BTCUSD Short: Fading the Rally in a Bear ChannelHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a clear bearish phase since its rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 115200. This has established a well-defined descending channel that has been guiding the price lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rallies, confirming that sellers have the initiative.
Currently, after testing the lower support line of the channel, the price is in the midst of a corrective bounce. This upward move is carrying the auction towards the upper boundary of the channel, which represents a major area of dynamic resistance.
My scenario for the development of events is that this corrective rally will fail upon testing the channel's resistance line, which aligns with the SUPPLY ZONE around the 111000 level. I expect this area to hold as strong resistance, causing a rejection and a continuation of the primary downtrend. The take-profit is therefore set at 107000, targeting a new lower low within the channel. Manage your risk!
Parallel Channel
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of the news. Rise or fall?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3738-3759 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data, a key indicator for forecasting further Fed policy. Pressure on the metal is intensifying amid a strengthening dollar.
The revision of GDP growth in Q2 to 3.8%, a decline in jobless claims, and an increase in durable goods orders have lowered expectations for aggressive Fed easing.
The new tariffs imposed by Trump have supported demand for defensive assets, but have not been able to offset the pressure from the rise of the USD.
The overall fundamental backdrop is stagnant amid Powell's uncertain stance and the start of a rate cut cycle. The market reaction is mixed...
Gold is in wait-and-see mode. Strong PCE data could send the price to support at $3700, while weak data could bring back interest in record highs.
Resistance levels: 3754, 3759, 3776
Support levels: 3738, 3728, 3703
Technically, the price is storming the resistance of the downward correction and the resistance of the “triangle” consolidation. A breakout and close above 3754-3759 will confirm the bullish sentiment, which could trigger growth towards the ATH. Otherwise, we can expect a retest of 3738-3728 before a possible rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Rally will Continue after CorrectionHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
The prior Upward Channel has been broken, and the price is now trading below a major Trend Line, indicating that the strong bullish momentum has paused and the market has entered a corrective phase.
Currently, this corrective phase has taken the form of a horizontal Range or consolidation above the Support 2 level. The price has been oscillating between local support and resistance, and is now making another move down towards the bottom of this Range for what I see as a critical test.
My Scenario & Strategy
I'm looking for the price to complete its correction down into Support zone. A confirmed bounce from this area would be the first signal that the pullback is over. The next key step would be a breakout from the top of the current Range.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful breakout from the Range would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent rally is 3825, which aims for a retest of the major broken Trend Line from below.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Long: Reversal from Wedge Support ExpectedHello, traders! The prior market structure for EURUSD was a bullish ascending channel, which concluded with a pivot point high at the SUPPLY 2 level of 1.1835. A subsequent breakdown from that channel shifted the market's momentum, initiating a corrective phase that has since taken the form of a downward wedge, guiding the price lower.
Currently, the price auction has completed another leg down within this wedge and is now at a critical inflection point. The price is directly testing the descending support line of the formation, a key area where a bullish reversal could originate. This represents a major test of the prevailing bearish momentum.
My scenario for the development of events is a bullish reversal from the support of this downward wedge. I expect the price to find strong support at the current demand line and initiate a new rally. In my opinion, this move will be strong enough to break through the immediate SUPPLY at 1.1690 and continue towards the upper resistance line of the wedge. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1755, targeting that upper boundary. Manage your risk!
EURJPY → The classical model of technical analysis FX:EURJPY is attempting to break through resistance. The trend is bullish, and the probability of continued growth after consolidation above 174.50 is quite high...
The market is forming an uptrend amid a decline in the dollar index. EURJPY looks quite strong, breaking through resistance at 174.47 sends the price into a void zone where there are no barriers to growth.
A breakout of the “ascending triangle” consolidation resistance is forming. If the bears keep the price above 174.47, the market may enter a distribution phase...
Resistance levels: 174.47, 175.0
Support levels: 174.226, 173.86
The classic technical model for the continuation of the movement is a breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle. Consolidation of the price above 174.47 - 174.5 may provoke a continuation of the movement within the bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD - Bullish Control Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
This week, AUDUSD has been retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and green support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBPUSD: Cable slides under 1.35 handle after triple blow!Cable faces a crucial test at 1.3500 following yesterday's triple blow from disappointing UK PMI data, hawkish comments from Powell, and concerning UK public sector borrowing figures ahead of November's Budget.
In this ThinkMarkets analysis, we break down the key technical levels as GBPUSD loses the round 1.3500 support but remains within its upward channel.
Key focus areas :
Immediate Risk : Break below channel support targeting 1.3372 double bottom
Critical Level : 1.3335 - invalidation of inverse head & shoulders pattern
Fibonacci Support : 61.8% retracement cluster around 1.3340
Trading Strategies : Three approaches for the potential breakdown
Key Levels to Watch :
Support : 1.3500 (breaking), 1.3450, 1.3372, 1.3340
Resistance : 1.3550 bounce target
Bias : Cautiously bearish while below channel support
The pound continues to face domestic headwinds with stalling economic data and fiscal concerns, making any recovery challenging despite potential Fed dovishness.
Cable traders, watch this critical technical juncture closely.
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This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Weak closing but market on the verge of being oversold.We saw a closing today that has dragged Nifty below Father line support and mid channel support of hourly chart. RSI is indicating that the market is oversold and there are slim chances of recovery from support near 24872. If 24872 is broken than we can see Nifty further slipping towards 24772, 24644 or even channel bottom near 24473. If 24473 is broken then market can end up in total bear grip.
Resistances for market seem to be near 24959 Mid channel resistance, followed by father line and Mother line resistance near 24999 and 24125. Closing above 25125 can take the market upwards towards 25215, 25343 and 25431. As of now 25431 is the channel top.
As of now shadow of the candle is neutral but with a tinge of red. Meaning we can have a flat to positive start but later market can become laggard again. For market to sustain upward momentum we need a closing above both Mother and Father line resistances on daily chart.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Bitcoin can Continue to Decline to Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has recently shifted to a bearish bias following a significant breakdown from its prior upward channel. After a complex consolidation within a triangle, the price of BTC made a final push to the highs near the 115600 seller zone before being strongly rejected, which led to the failure of the channel's support. This structural break initiated a new bearish phase, causing a sharp decline to a recent low of 111600. Currently, the asset is in a small consolidation, attempting a minor corrective bounce after the significant fall. In my mind, this consolidation is simply a pause before the next wave of selling pressure resumes. I expect that this small upward movement will soon be exhausted and that the price will continue its bearish movement downwards. A failure to produce a strong rally from these levels confirms that sellers remain in control of the market. Therefore, I have placed my TP for this trend-continuation scenario at the major 110000 support level. This target is a logical objective, as it represents the next significant area of historical support and aligns with the 110000 - 109500 buyer zone. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GOLD → Will the correction continue, or is it time for growth?FX:XAUUSD is inside a descending channel—corrections within a global bullish trend. The price is forming a retest of resistance, and the market's reaction to the 3760 zone will give further insight into price movement...
Gold is consolidating in the range of 3730-3790 in anticipation of US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. Pressure on the metal is intensifying due to revised expectations for rate cuts and a correction in the dollar...
Key factors: Markets have reduced expectations for easing to 43 bps by the end of the year after cautious comments from the Fed. The dollar index has reached a 9-day high, limiting gold's growth. Tensions between Russia and NATO are preventing gold from falling.
The market is in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow's PCE data. Strong data today will strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction in the metal, while escalating geopolitics will bring back demand for safe havens.
Resistance levels: 3760, 3776, 3791
Support levels: 3752, 3741, 3731
Technically, the market is testing downward resistance. Since the opening of the session, the price has already moved a lot and there may not be enough potential for an initial breakout. I expect a pullback to 3745-3740, and if the bulls return the price to 3760, the market will have a chance to break through resistance and continue growing towards the resistance level of the range.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCHF - Oversold at Demand: Longs on Confirmation?GBPCHF has been drifting lower on the 4H inside a falling channel. Price is now tapping a multi-touch demand zone around 1.066–1.070, right at the channel’s lower bound—classic confluence for a bounce.
As long as this base holds, I’ll look for reversal confirmation (wick rejections/HH-HL) to ride a rotation toward 1.075 first, then 1.082–1.085 near the channel midline 📈. A clean 4H close below 1.064 would invalidate the idea and expose 1.060–1.058 next.
What’s your move => buy the dip at demand, or wait for a break of the red channel before joining? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Can Pi Network(PI) Bounce +15% From PRZ?In recent days, Pi Network ( OKX:PIUSDT ) has dropped more than -40% , raising the big question: Is Pi still a project we can rely on, or is momentum fading away?
Main Reasons Behind the Drop:
1-Mass token unlocks in September → Huge increase in supply created heavy selling pressure.
2-Rising exchange reserves → More than 420M now sitting on CEX wallets, a sign of potential sell waves.
3-Fast-track KYC & protocol upgrades → Gave many users access to their tokens, fueling more selling activity.
4-Low liquidity + whale sell-offs → A few large orders accelerated the decline.
The Pi community remains strong, but current supply shocks are outweighing demand. Until the project reaches full exchange listings and sustainable utility, traders should stay cautious and manage risk carefully.
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Now let’s take a look at the PI Token chart on the 15-minute time frame .
The PI Token has formed a descending channel over the past day.
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it looks like PI Token is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) in the descending channel .
I expect PI Token to start rising as it enters or touches the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again and rise to $0.289(+15%) . In general, a break of the upper line of the descending channel is a good sign for the PI token to rise .
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pi Network Analysis (PIUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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BTCUSD: Rally Back to 116000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
The market for Bitcoin has seen a structural shift after breaking down from its prior Upward Channel. This event signaled a loss of bullish momentum and led to a sharp decline down to the major horizontal Support at the 112000 level.
Currently, the price has found significant support in the 111500 - 112000 Support zone and has initiated a bounce. The market is now in a potential reversal phase, but I believe the conviction of the buyers still needs to be confirmed with one final test.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that the 112000 Support is a major area of demand that will ultimately hold. I'm looking for a strong and confirmed bounce from Support zone. This would be the key signal that the corrective low is in place and the market is ready to reverse its course and begin a new rally.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this successful retest. It would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally back up to the point of the initial breakdown. The primary target for this move is the 116000 Resistance level, which also aligns with the Resistance Zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GOLD → Intermediate bottom. Consolidation before growth FX:XAUUSD is being sold off and declining amid profit-taking following speeches by Powell and Trump. However, the market is quite aggressive amid falling interest rates. After forming an interim bottom, the market quickly bought back the decline.
Gold is correcting after record growth, awaiting new signals from Fed representatives and PCE inflation data on Friday. The price remains close to historic highs, but the upward momentum has temporarily slowed, with consolidation forming at 3752-3791.
Key factors : Powell gave no clear hints about future rate cuts, noting the risks of rising inflation and a weakening labor market. The probability of a rate cut in October has risen to 92%, but the Fed's sentiment index is fluctuating somewhat...
The risk of a US government shutdown on October 1 and mixed PMI data are holding back the USD's strengthening.
Technically, gold remains in a bullish trend, but consolidation is possible in the short term. PCE data will be the deciding factor — weak figures will support the metal, while strong figures will trigger a correction.
Resistance levels: 3776.9, 3791, 3800
Support levels: 3767, 3752, 3738
The price is consolidating. Before reaching 3791-3800, there may be a retest of local support. Similarly, a retest of the ATH may also trigger a small pullback of 1/2 of the impulse before a breakout and growth to the specified targets.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/AUD: Confirmed Bearish Reversal?!EURAUD appears to be providing significant bearish signals, Following a test of a strong daily horizontal resistance,
I have observed both a double top and a rising parallel channel pattern.
The price has broken below the horizontal neckline and a trend line, closing below both.
I anticipate a continued bearish movement towards 1.7730.
BTCUSD 4h ShortTerm Chart1. Main Trend
The chart clearly shows a descending channel – the recent upward breakout failed to hold, and the price has returned to resistance.
The pattern of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) continues, likely indicating a break to a lower low.
The recent high at ~$118.3k has been rejected, and the market is heading down.
2. Key Levels
Support (red lines):
$111.426 – currently being tested.
$109.408 – stronger support, previous local lows.
$108.100 and $107.356 – further potential targets if the decline deepens.
Resistance (green lines):
$115.775 – the nearest significant resistance.
$118.322 – the upper boundary of the channel and the previous LH.
USD 122,367 – a key breakout level that would reverse the trend.
3. EMA/SMA
The 50 and 200 EMAs (blue/yellow) show a bearish cross, with the price below the averages → a negative signal.
The 200 SMA (~USD 114,137) acts as strong resistance, currently unbroken.
4. Indicators
MACD: lines strongly below the line, histogram rising in the negative zone → a downtrend with a predominance of supply.
RSI: ~33, close to the oversold zone (<30), which could result in a short-term rebound, but there is no upside divergence yet.
5. Scenarios
🔴 Bearish (more likely)
Continuation of the downward move towards 109.4k → 108k → 107.3k.
A break below 107k opens the way to 103–105k (LL2 on the chart).
🟢 Bullish (less likely)
A defense of 111.4k and a return above 114.1–115.7k.
A break above 118.3k would negate the downtrend and open the way to 122k+.
EURUSD: Dip and Bounce from Triangle SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
After reversing from a prior Downward Channel, EURUSD has been consolidating in a large Upward Triangle. This pattern is typically bullish and is defined by a flat horizontal Resistance at the 1.1780 level and an ascending support line, showing that buyers are becoming progressively more aggressive on each dip.
An interesting part of this pattern's history is the 'fake breakout' we saw previously, where the price spiked to a local ATH at 1.1920 before falling back inside. Currently, the price is again in a corrective pullback, heading towards the ascending Triangle Support Line for another test.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that this Upward Triangle will eventually resolve to the upside. I'm looking for the price to complete its downward movement and find strong support on the ascending Triangle Support Line. A confirmed bounce from this line would be the key signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound that finally leads to a decisive breakout above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent expansion is 1.1860, a logical objective for the move that would follow.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin will Retest Support Before the Next Leg UpHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has seen a significant shift from bearish to bullish, following a strong reversal from the 109300 - 110000 buyer zone. This pivotal move led to a breakout from a prior downward wedge, invalidating the bearish trend and establishing the current, well-defined upward channel. The price action for BTC has since been constructive, creating a series of higher highs and higher lows within the boundaries of this new channel. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase after being rejected from the highs, and the price is now trading at a critical inflection point, close to the ascending support line of the channel. In my mind, this pullback represents a classic trend-continuation opportunity. I expect that the price will bounce from the channel's ascending support line. I think this rebound will have enough momentum to break through the 117500 Resistance Level and continue its rally towards the major seller zone. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 119500. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
DOW JONES (US30): Confirmed BoS & More Growth
I see another confirmed break of structure and a violation
of an important intraday horizontal resistance on a 4h time frame on US30 Index.
Odds will be high, that the market will continue rising.
Next resistance - 46550
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GOLD → Aggressive growth is not over. Powell's speech...FX:XAUUSD is rallying, with demand high amid a falling dollar and the Fed's rate cuts. Technically, there are no obstacles to growth, and the market is aggressive. For trading, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Gold is rallying and hitting new highs as people realize what's going on (interest rates are falling). Powell's speech is coming up, and it may trigger a correction (profit-taking) amid growing risks.
Key factors: Powell's speech today, at which time the market is waiting for hints of further easing of Fed policy.
PMI data (US), weak figures will support the possibility of further rate cuts...
Demand for metal is supported by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 3800
Support levels: 3760
Many factors are supporting the rise in gold, and there are no compelling reasons to sell gold now. The ideal trading strategy is to wait for a pullback and retest of support levels with the formation of strong reversal points for buying.
Sincerely, R. Linda!






















