Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown
Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀
We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤
Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏
Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯
🛠 Possible Plays:
Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀
If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows.
Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab.
Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
Parallel Channel
SMS PHARMASMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (currently trading at ₹292) is a Hyderabad-based API manufacturer specializing in high-potency molecules, oncology intermediates, and controlled substances. With over 20 years of experience, the company operates three USFDA-approved facilities and exports to 70+ countries. Its therapeutic focus spans anti-ulcer, anti-fungal, anti-viral, CNS, and cardiovascular segments. SMS Pharma is known for its backward integration, regulatory compliance, and ability to scale complex molecules for global clients.
SMS Pharma – FY22–FY25 Snapshot
• Sales – ₹420 Cr → ₹460 Cr → ₹520 Cr → ₹580 Cr Growth driven by oncology APIs, USFDA approvals, and export traction
• Net Profit – ₹22 Cr → ₹28 Cr → ₹36 Cr → ₹44 Cr Earnings supported by margin expansion and product mix
• Operating Performance – Moderate → Strong → Strong → Strong EBITDA margins improving with scale and regulatory leverage
• Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% → 0.00% No payouts; reinvestment-focused strategy
• Equity Capital – ₹32.00 Cr (constant) No dilution; lean capital structure
• Total Debt – ₹110 Cr → ₹100 Cr → ₹90 Cr → ₹80 Cr Gradual deleveraging supported by internal accruals
• Fixed Assets – ₹280 Cr → ₹300 Cr → ₹320 Cr → ₹340 Cr Capex focused on oncology block, USFDA audits, and backward integration
Institutional Interest & Ownership Trends
Promoter holding stands at 62.00%, with no pledging. FIIs and DIIs maintain limited exposure due to small-cap nature and regulatory dependency. Delivery volumes reflect quiet accumulation by pharma and export-focused micro-cap funds.
Business Growth Verdict
SMS Pharma is scaling across oncology APIs and regulated markets Margins improving due to backward integration and high-value molecules Debt is declining steadily with strong operating cash flows Capex supports long-term competitiveness and audit readiness
Management Con Call
• USFDA audit completed for Unit I and II; EIR received for both • Oncology block commissioned; exports to US and EU initiated • FY26 outlook includes 12–15% revenue growth, margin retention, and new DMF filings • Focus remains on high-potency APIs, controlled substances, and global client onboarding
Final Investment Verdict
SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. offers a niche API compounding story built on regulatory strength, molecule complexity, and export scale. Its improving profitability, disciplined capital structure, and expanding therapeutic depth make it suitable for accumulation by investors seeking exposure to India’s pharma manufacturing and global generics supply chain. With strong execution, audit readiness, and oncology-led margin expansion, SMS Pharma remains a durable value creator in the API space.
EURGBP - Testing Supply at the Channel TopEURGBP has been grinding higher on the 4H, respecting a rising channel. Price is now tagging the overbought zone near the upper bound and a 0.873–0.875 supply area.
This confluence is key 🔑. If sellers react here, I’ll look for short setups on rejection, aiming for 0.867 first, then 0.863 toward demand and the lower channel.
If price breaks and holds above 0.875, the short idea is invalidated and 0.880+ could follow. Until then, it’s a “look for shorts at supply” play.
What’s your take - fade the touch at supply, or wait for a confirmed break and retest? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GOLD → Retest of resistance at 3660. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is testing resistance to correction after breaking the local market structure from bearish to bullish. A breakout of 3660 could give buyers a chance...
A 25 bp rate cut to 4.25% was expected, but the forecast for further cuts came as a surprise: now two cuts before the end of 2025 (instead of one) and one in 2026.
The reason for the shift: fears of a slowdown in the labor market outweighed the risks from inflation (2.9% in August).
The dollar continues its countertrend correction (rebound) after Powell's speech and economic news. This temporary phenomenon may soon end. Gold, after a manipulative phase, may return to an upward movement if the price breaks 3660 and consolidates above this level.
The Fed preferred to support employment, risking accelerating inflation. In the long term, this will support risk assets and commodities, but in the short term, the markets have taken a pause.
Resistance levels: 3360, 3675, 3688
Support levels: 3643, 3631
Gold is not updating local lows, a cascade bottom is forming and the local bearish structure is breaking down. If the market manages to overcome the resistance of the correction, a bullish impulse may form!
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD | Consolidation Above 1.35 – Breakout or Breakdown?Macro Hook:
Sterling turned higher after the BoE’s hawkish lean in early August. Since then, Cable has been driven by two forces: UK’s sticky inflation (slowing the BoE’s path to cutting rates) and softer US data (feeding expectations of Fed cuts and a weaker dollar). Yesterday’s softer US PPI hinted at easing price pressures upstream, and today’s Core CPI will decide whether that dovish Fed story holds or gets challenged.
Technical Lens:
The breakout from the descending channel created an impulse leg higher, and price is now consolidating in a corrective flag above the 1.35 handle. The 20/50 MAs remain supportive, showing trend momentum is still in play as long as 1.35 holds.
Scenarios:
If Core CPI comes in line or softer → USD stays pressured, Cable could break the corrective channel to the upside and continue its September climb.
If Core CPI surprises hot → Fed cut bets may be pared back, boosting USD and risking a Cable drop under 1.35 back toward old resistance/now support.
Catalysts:
US Core CPI today — sticky vs soft outcome will shape Fed cut pricing.
UK CPI mid-Sept — could confirm whether inflation remains sticky enough to delay BoE easing.
Fed FOMC later this month — tone and dot-plot guidance key for USD direction.
Takeaway:
1.35 is the decision point. Hold above, and the bullish impulse stays alive. Lose it, and the correction deepens — especially if US inflation surprises on the hot side.
BTCUSD Long: Awaiting Bounce from Channel SupportHello, traders! The prior price auction for BTCUSD was controlled by a downward wedge, which guided the price to the major 110000 DEMAND level. A strong bullish initiative from this demand zone caused a reversal and a breakout from the wedge, establishing the current bullish market structure and shifting control to buyers.
Currently, the price action is being guided by a new ascending channel. The auction has recently pushed up to test the significant horizontal supply at the 117600 level and is now in a corrective pullback phase, heading towards the lower support line of this channel for what I see as a critical test.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of this uptrend after the corrective dip completes. I believe the price will find strong support on the ascending demand line of the channel. In my opinion, a successful bounce from this dynamic support will confirm that buyers are still in control, triggering the next impulsive wave higher and breaking the 117600 supply level. The take-profit is therefore set at 120300, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Manage your risk!
SOLUSDT → Correction amid a strong bullish trend BINANCE:SOLUSDT , after updating its next high, formed a false breakout of local resistance and returned to the trading range as part of a correction. What to expect from altcoin?
The main driver of the crypto market, Bitcoin, is consolidating above 115K and facing fairly strong resistance at 117400. Earlier, the price completed a downward correction. The market is dominated by a positive technical and fundamental background.
SOL looks stronger than Bitcoin and is testing new highs...
The price of SOLANA is forming a false breakout of resistance and is entering a correction phase amid a bullish trend. As part of the correction, the price may test the local imbalance zone and the key liquidity level of 242.5.
Resistance levels: 244, 249.2, 253.5
Support levels: 242.5, 239, 231.5
Technically, the price may form a false breakdown of the nearest zone of interest at 242.5, and if the bulls manage to keep the price above the resistance zone of 242.5-244.0 after this maneuver, the coin may return to an upward movement. However, if this does not happen, I would wait for a retest of the 239.0 zone, where the trend support line is located. The medium- and long-term outlook for SOL is positive, and the price is highly likely to test the ATH 295.0.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD: Bounce from 3615 Support LevelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, after a strong run-up within a prior Upward Channel, the price action for Gold has transitioned into a horizontal consolidation Range. This shift from a trending to a ranging market indicates a period of balance as buyers and sellers digest the previous impulsive move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this Range. After recently failing to break above the Resistance Zone, sellers have pushed the price down, and it is now approaching the major horizontal support at the bottom of the consolidation, near the Support 1 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
I think that this Range structure will continue to hold for now. The lower boundary, which aligns with Support 1 at 3615, is a significant area of historical support. This Support zone represents a high-probability area for buyers to step in and defend, just as they have in the past.
My scenario is that Gold will complete its drop to the lower part of the consolidation, testing the Support 1 level. Therefore, I expect that a successful defense of this support will lead to a rally back across the Range. My target for this move is 3700, which is placed within the major Resistance Zone at the top of the consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market dynamic for Bitcoin has undergone a significant shift, with the prior bearish trend being invalidated by a strong breakout from a downward channel. This reversal has established a new bullish market structure, with the price action for BTC now being methodically guided higher within a well-defined upward channel. This pattern has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance boundaries, originating from the 108400 - 109400 buyer zone. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy correction after testing the upper part of the channel, and the price is now approaching a critical confluence of support. This area is defined by the ascending support line of the channel and the major horizontal 109400 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, anticipating that buyers will defend this support confluence. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the primary upward trend. This move is expected to break through the intermediate 117500 resistance level. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 119600, targeting the upper resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold's Movement in the Current Market: A Technical PerspectiveGold has been experiencing some fluctuations recently. Currently, the price hovers around 3,653 USD/ounce, with slight movements observed. Based on recent patterns, gold appears to be trapped in a downward channel, which could signal further downward pressure unless key support levels hold.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: Prices have been testing the 3,660 USD level and could face challenges breaking through this area.
Support Zone: The price is now testing a critical support region near 3,640 USD. A breakdown below this could signal further declines.
Short-Term Outlook:
If the support at 3,640 USD breaks, the price of gold could fall towards 3,630 USD, possibly reaching the next lower level of 3,600 USD. However, as always, traders should keep an eye on market sentiment, as external factors like economic data and geopolitical events can shift the trend quickly.
What do you think about the current direction of gold prices? Let us know your thoughts!
Undeads Games may Be Preparing for its Next Major Move UpHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Undeads Games. The market for Undeads Games has transitioned from a strong impulsive uptrend into a prolonged corrective phase, setting the stage for its next potential major move. After a rally within an upward channel peaked near the 2.0200 Resistance Level, the price entered a lengthy consolidation, forming a large pennant pattern. This correction guided the price of UDSUSDT back down to the key 1.6100 buyer zone, where it found significant support. Currently, the asset is at a critical inflection point, with the price coiling tightly at the apex of this pennant, signaling that a high-volatility breakout is imminent. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates a bullish resolution to this consolidation. The expectation is that the price will break out from the top of the pennant and rally towards the major Resistance zone at 2.0200, which serves as TP 1. Following the achievement of this first target, a healthy correction or retest of the broken resistance is anticipated. A successful hold of this level as new support would then provide the foundation for the next impulsive wave higher, with a secondary objective set at TP 2 at the 2.3000 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT...
The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold.
The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens.
After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets.
Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6
Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8
Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPAUD → False breakdown. Return to bullish trend FX:GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of support and returning to a bullish trend. The market has seen a breakdown of the local structure, signaling the end of the correction.
The pound sterling has consolidated above the consolidation resistance, thereby showing bullish signs, which has a positive effect on the GBPAUD currency pair.
False breakdown of the trend and support of global consolidation. The price returned to the range and closed in the long zone. Bulls may provoke continued growth after the formation of local patterns...
Resistance levels: 2.0746, 2.103
Support levels: 2.04788, 2.0301
Consolidation of the price above support and a breakout of local consolidation may trigger further growth. The trend is bullish, targets are indicated on the chart.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN UPDATEHello friends
According to the open cycle, we can say that our trend is bullish and is in a channel, but a resistance has stopped it, which it has hit twice. Now we have to see if this resistance will finally be broken or if the price will continue to suffer below this resistance.
If the price breaks the resistance, it will move to the specified targets.
Trade safely with us.
Gold will correct to support area and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish, with the price action being guided by a well-established upward channel that has defined the trend for a significant period. The structure of this channel has been confirmed by multiple rotations between its support and resistance lines, originating from the deep 3370 - 3390 buyer zone. Currently, after a rejection from the channel's highs, the price of XAU is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pull-back has brought the asset into a critical confluence of support, defined by the 3635 - 3615 support zone and the ascending support line of the channel itself. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, which anticipates that buyers will step in to defend this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the conclusion of the corrective move and the resumption of the dominant upward trend. This would likely initiate the next impulsive wave higher within the channel's structure. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3740 points, representing a new potential structural high and a measured objective for the next impulsive wave. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Gold corrects ahead of rate cut (bullish) Gold is rebounding from trend resistance ahead of the new week. The market was not ready to buy at high prices ahead of a possible Fed interest rate cut. Under pressure from sellers, the price of gold is falling to retest trend support.
The price attraction zone is support at 3657-3646. Below this area, there is an accumulation of trader positions that may be liquidated before the price begins to rise.
As for the Fed, rates are likely to be cut, but it will be necessary to monitor what Powell says about future policy. If he supports 2-3 interest rate cuts, gold may continue its global growth...
GOLD → The market depends on the mood of the FED. Rate cuts FX:XAUUSD , after reaching 3700, entered a correction phase triggered by profit-taking ahead of important market news—the Fed's interest rate meeting.
Gold is falling and testing 3660-3650 after updating its ATH to 3703 ahead of the Fed's decision. All eyes are on Powell's forecasts and comments on future policy.
Fundamentally, a 25 bp rate cut is already priced in. Much more important is whether the Fed will hint at more than two cuts before the end of the year.
The market is expecting aggressive easing due to the risks of stagflation (weak labor market + persistent inflation).
If the Fed takes a dovish stance (three rate cuts), gold could hit new records.
If it is hawkish, i.e., a surprise (only one or two rate cuts), the dollar will strengthen and gold will correct
Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3686, 3700
Support levels: 3657, 3646.5, 3637
Technically, the further scenario for gold depends solely on the mood of the Fed and Powell's comments. The market still hopes to hear more positive hints and, before that, is forming a deep correction to the liquidity zones indicated on the chart in order to buy cheaper, if the situation allows...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XRPUSD → Will the rate meeting be a bullish driver for altcoins?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is consolidating above the previously broken boundary of the descending triangle formed within the bullish trend. Important news is ahead—the Fed's meeting on interest rates, which is highly likely to become a bullish driver for the cryptocurrency market.
The daily structure of the XRP market looks promising. The price is not updating global lows, is staying within the boundaries of the uptrend, and at the same time is breaking through the resistance of the downward correction, trying to consolidate above the fairly strong support level of 2.9535. But the market is waiting for a driver, namely fundamental background. If this background strengthens after Powell's speech, Bitcoin and altcoins may strengthen, including XRP. However, the fundamental background largely depends on the overall mood of the Fed and its comments. The market has already priced in an interest rate cut, as this is predictable given the economic data. But traders will be watching Powell's tone and how dovish or hawkish his view of the situation is.
Support levels: 2.9535, 2.8853
Resistance levels: 3.0577, 3.155, 3.359
Technically, at the moment, I am considering a scenario of a retest of support and the formation of a long squeeze at 2.9535 - 2.8853 against the backdrop of increased news volatility (manipulative nature). However, if this does not happen, the focus will be on 3.0577, and a close above this level could trigger further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation RangeMOG Coin continues to respect the Wyckoff Accumulation model, showing strong structural alignment with the textbook schematic.
Phase A: PSY, BC, AR, and ST defined the range after the initial uptrend exhaustion.
Phase B: Distribution-like chop with a clear UT before the breakdown.
Phase C: Spring & Test successfully swept deep liquidity into the $0.00000045 – $0.00000077 zone.
Phase D: Current action shows a Jump Across the Creek (JAC) followed by an LPS, building the foundation for a Sign of Strength (SOS).
Phase E (Projection): If SOS confirms above $0.0000244, markup towards $0.000040 – $0.000050 becomes the next likely phase target.
LSEG Wave Analysis – 16 September 2025
- LSEG broke support level 9000.00
- Likely to fall to support level 8000.00
LSEG under the bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the support level 9000.00 (which has been reversing the price from July).
The breakout of the support level 9000.00 continues the active short-term impulse wave 5, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (C) from May.
Given the overriding downtrend, LSEG can be expected to fall to the next round support level 8000.00, the target for the completion of the active short-term impulse wave 5.
Alibaba Wave Analysis – 16 September 2025- Alibaba broke key resistance level 147.70
- Likely to rise to resistance level 170.00
Alibaba Group has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions after the earlier breakout of the key resistance level 147.70 (which stopped the previous wave (A) in the middle of March, as can be seen below).
The breakout of the resistance level 147.70 was preceded by the breakout of the 2 daily up channels from July and April - which accelerated the active impulse wave (C).
Given the strong daily uptrend, Alibaba Group can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 170.00, the target for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).






















