BTCUSDT - The battle for 90K may end in a decline BINANCE:BTCUSDT , against the backdrop of Trump's speech and various comments, caused a shake-up within the range of 87,800-90,300, but the price is consolidating below key resistance within the current downtrend...
The downtrend may continue if Bitcoin consolidates below 90K. There is a chance of this happening as there is still no fundamental support for the market. Everyone is talking about the "CLARITY Act" on cryptocurrencies, but there is no date for its signing, and there are rumors that the process may be postponed until late winter or mid-spring, leaving the market without a bullish driver.
The market is experiencing a phase of struggle for the 90K resistance zone. Bears are stubbornly resisting, forming a false breakout and consolidation below resistance. The structure could be broken if there is an impulsive breakout of the 90,500 zone and the bulls are able to keep the price above this zone, but the bears have formed a fairly strong resistance zone.
Resistance levels: 90,400, 91,400
Support levels: 87800, 85000
I do not rule out another attempt to retest the 90350 zone, but if the bears keep the price below 90K, the market will have no chance for growth. In this case, a pullback to 89K - 88K can be considered.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
$POL breaks long downtrend, rallies 83%, pullback now in focus.2026 has started strong for BINANCE:POLUSDT , with price finally breaking its long-term bearish channel that had been in place since early November 2025. The confirmed breakout occurred on January 1, marking a clear shift in market structure.
Following the breakout, BINANCE:POLUSDT printed 9 consecutive daily bullish candles, delivering an ~83% rally backed by ~$950M in volume during the first week of 2026. This was not a random pump—the move was supported by strong fundamentals, including the Open Money Stack launch (focused on stablecoins and institutional payments) and increased token burn activity, reinforcing sustained buyer interest.
Price is now approaching a key selling/supply zone at $0.1798 – $0.1876. From this area, a healthy pullback is expected before any further upside, making this a retracement-based trade, not a trend continuation entry.
Retracement Trade Setup:
Entry: $0.1804
Stop Loss: $0.2004
Target 1: $0.1500
Target 2: $0.1204
Manage risk accordingly. This setup is designed to capture a short-term pullback within a broader bullish structure, not to chase the breakout.
Silver Breaks Higher After a Decade of CompressionSilver has entered a structurally different phase following a decisive breakout from a multi-year consolidation range. After spending more than a decade oscillating within a complex corrective structure, price has resolved higher in what increasingly resembles the early stages of a larger impulsive advance.
From a long-term Elliott Wave perspective, the extended corrective sequence appears complete, with the advance from the 2020 lows unfolding as a developing five-wave structure. The initial impulse and subsequent correction respected rising channel support, and the latest acceleration suggests the market is transitioning into a higher-momentum phase.
Near term, silver may experience a corrective pause following the recent vertical advance, with a pullback toward former resistance and channel support remaining a healthy outcome rather than a structural threat. Such a retracement would be consistent with a developing wave (iv) before trend continuation.
On a broader horizon, the resolution of a decade-long base opens the door to significantly higher price discovery over the coming years. While volatility is expected, the larger technical framework now favors expansion rather than consolidation.
Bottom line:
Silver is no longer behaving like a range-bound metal. The structure argues that a long-suppressed trend may finally be asserting itself.
SOL / USD [Solana] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS DAILY TFSOLUSD – Macro Elliott Wave Perspective (3D)
From the April 2020 low, SOL entered a strong five-wave impulsive advance, completing an intermediate-degree uptrend into the November 2021 peak. This move showed classic impulse characteristics: expanding momentum, clean wave separation, and accelerating trend structure.
From November 2021 to December 2022, price unfolded a five-wave impulsive decline, ending with capitulation during the FTX collapse. This completed a full intermediate-degree downtrend, not a simple pullback.
Following the December 2022 low, SOL began a new advance into a January 2025 double top, characterised by a flatter slope and weaker momentum expansion.
Since the January 2025 high, price action has turned corrective and overlapping; hence, a minor-degree A–B–C correction appears to be unfolding. The current decline is interpreted as Minor Wave C of Intermediate (B), with a potential termination zone in the $55–75 region.
Once Intermediate (B) completes, the model anticipates the start of Intermediate Wave (C) — a five-wave impulsive advance that would complete the larger ABC structure originating from the December 2022 low.
Based on Fibonacci extensions and channel geometry, the projected region for Intermediate (C) currently aligns near $1,450–1,500, assuming price confirms with impulsive structure and expanding momentum. Confirmation of Intermediate (C) will require a clear impulsive breakout from the corrective channel.
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EURUSD: Trend Shift in Play as Buyers Defend Rising SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish context after completing a corrective phase. Earlier, price moved higher inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming strong buyer control with a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After reaching the upper boundary of the channel, the market transitioned into a corrective bearish move, forming a descending channel that reflected temporary seller dominance rather than a full trend reversal. During this correction, price interacted multiple times with key structure levels, producing several breakouts and fake breakouts, which highlighted increased volatility and stop-hunting behavior. Eventually, EURUSD broke below the descending channel but failed to sustain downside momentum. Sellers lost control near the Support Zone around 1.1700, where price found strong demand aligned with previous structure and a rising support line. Buyers stepped in aggressively from this area, leading to a sharp bullish impulse and a confirmed breakout above the descending channel resistance. This breakout suggests a structural shift back in favor of buyers.
Currently, price is consolidating above the support zone and holding above the rising support line, indicating acceptance and strengthening bullish intent. Overhead, the market is approaching the Resistance Zone around 1.1780, which previously acted as a rejection area and remains a key level to watch.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario remains bullish as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1700 support zone and continues to respect the rising support structure. A sustained move toward the 1.1780 resistance area is likely, with this level acting as the first target (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm continuation and open the door for further upside.
However, if price gets rejected from resistance, a period of consolidation or a shallow pullback toward the support zone could occur before the next attempt higher. A decisive breakdown below the 1.1700 support would weaken the bullish bias and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, structure and price action favor buyers while support continues to hold.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Rejection From Resistance, 1.1630 Support in FocusHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously traded within a well-defined bullish channel, supported by a rising trend line and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This structure confirmed strong buyer control after price reversed from the broader base and pushed higher with momentum. During this bullish phase, price broke above a key Seller Zone around 1.1680–1.1700, confirming bullish continuation and acceptance above former resistance. The market then extended higher before momentum started to fade near the upper boundary of the channel, where price clearly turned around, signaling exhaustion from buyers. Following the top, EURUSD transitioned into a corrective phase, breaking below the ascending structure and forming a descending channel. This shift marked a short-term change in market control, with sellers gaining strength. Price respected the descending resistance line, producing lower highs and confirming bearish pressure. Several corrective pullbacks occurred, but each rally failed below the Resistance Level near 1.1700, reinforcing this area as a strong supply zone. Fake breakouts and quick rejections from this zone further highlight active selling interest. Currently, EURUSD has broken below the descending resistance line and is trading beneath the Seller Zone, suggesting that recent upside moves are corrective rather than impulsive. Price is now moving toward the Buyer Zone / Support Level around 1.1630–1.1600, which previously acted as a key demand area and structural reaction zone. This level is marked as TP1, where buyers may attempt to slow or pause the decline. My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1680–1.1700 Resistance Level and continues to respect the broader bearish structure, the downside bias remains valid. I expect price to continue lower toward the 1.1630–1.1600 Support Level (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this zone would open the door for a deeper bearish continuation. However, a strong bullish reaction and acceptance back above resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and suggest a possible return to consolidation or trend recovery. For now, market structure favors sellers while price trades below resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC Outlook: Correction Exhaustion Signals Lower ContinuationBitcoin continues to trade within a well defined descending channel with recent price action reinforcing a broader bearish structure. The advance into channel resistance appears corrective in nature, completing a larger W - X - Y formation rather than signalling trend reversal. Overlapping candles and lack of impulsive momentum suggest this move represents the final phase of a corrective rally.
With price rejected from the upper boundary of the channel, the market is likely transitioning into the next impulsive leg lower. This sets the stage for the development of Wave 5, which may typically unfold with strong downside momentum as sellers regain control. The initial area of interest lies near the 80,700 level, where price may attempt a brief pause or corrective reaction. A deeper decline toward the 66,600 region remains the primary objective, aligning with the lower channel boundary and prior structural support.
Unless Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above channel resistance with impulsive strength, rallies are expected to remain corrective. The broader structure continues to favor downside continuation, with risk skewed toward lower prices in the weeks ahead.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
LINK / USD [Chainlink] EWP TC FIB ANALYSIS WEEKLY TFChainlink macro structure shows a complete intermediate wave 3/C five-wave impulse into the 2021 high. Since then, price has been correcting that entire advance in a higher-degree Wave 4 sideways, unfolding as an A–B–C structure inside a descending corrective channel. Wave (A) completed in 2022, Wave (B) formed a multi-year complex correction, and intermediate wave (C) of primary Wave 4 is projected to continue toward channel support, with termination expected in the $2.50 region. Based on channel geometry and Fibonacci confluence, Wave 4 is expected to complete around December 2026. Until then, all upside remains corrective. Once Wave 4 finishes, Fibonacci extensions and long-term channel projections point toward the $230 region as the terminal target for the final macro Wave 5.
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Index at the top of the channel
Hello fellow traders and investors,
It seems to me we are at a critical juncture with both markets (ADX and DFM). I am out until I see what the market does in the coming days. I prefer to see some consolidation before I have confidence with any breakout from these major channels. Entries currently should be with a lot of caution.
All the best!
UJ, Yen takes over, Weekly Overview and Upcoming week PlanThe week:
Exiting week for the pair, first signs of weakness in the trend confirmed both by the pattern and level where it happen. A text book evening star at the same level where the found resistance and reversed on the week of 13 January last year, so know we have 3 confirmations: Time, Pattern and level, and to add more to it we have healthy volume above average, indicating that this is not just price manipulation but there is real market participation. Next Target for the bears is the weekly lower band at around 154.500 if it crosses this level successfully the next area of support is down at 146.500. Last year at this level the price entered in a waterfall without re-testing the high, but we should not exclude that.
Another interesting pattern is the shotting star that happened in June 2024 just about this level a bit higher, the are identical and also had a price waterfall after that (I marked them in the chart to visualise better). Now we all know that historical PA is a guidance only not a prediction of future PA, but those old levels are the bedrocks of the chart analysis.
Daily Chart:
All gains from December 24th were wiped in day, strong day for the bears was Friday and the change of sentiment is clear. Looking at the volume we can see that the selling started earlier in the week already on Tuesday we can identify that by looking at that narrow/doji candle and the huge volume that came with, institutions were already selling in a weak market.
4h Chart:
Getting even a closer look, what took my attention is that the re-test of the high on this TF is already done, so it gives some confidence to believe that the price it wont be going back to 159.000 again, if a correction is to happen from the current level I would expect to go as high as the Daily Mid Range, if you look at the chart you will notice that the mid ranges of 4h, daily and weekly are very near to each other and each of them is adding to the resistance at this level, further confirmation that it will be hard for the bulls to push it over those levels.
1h Chart:
Zooming into those trading ranges, is interesting to see that watching on the left from the current level we note that we are entering into the mid December trading levels and the most important level is 154.500 where the price found support on multiple occasions and this is where the bottom band of the weekly range is situated, perfect for a target on our entries.
The Plan
Short Breakout of the current low, before the breakout would be better to see a bit of correction as mentioned earlier, to around 157 level, this is where the first short positions can come and the add more at breakout of the low. Target Weekly low band 154.5 and Weekly -0.25 extension just above 153.
This is the only entry I'm interested in this week, obviously one might consider to join the bulls in that correction with a long there are good levels for SL and Target (i.e SL below 155.500 and target 157.250)
Thank you for dedicating some of your very precious time reading this idea.
If you want to know more about how to improve your trading confidence and optimise your Profits, soon I will be releasing a very interesting article which took me over an year to prepare on the importance of trading empirical data collection, if is something you might like follow to don't miss it.
Index at the top of the channelHello fellow traders and investors,
It seems to me we are at a critical juncture with both markets (ADX and DFM). I am out until I see what the market does in the coming days. I prefer to see some consolidation before I have confidence with any breakout from these major channels. Entries currently should be with a lot of caution.
All the best!
EJ, LIQUIDATION ARRIVED, Weekly overview and Upcoming week planThe Week:
Liquidation has arrived. Another try to close above 185.000 failed, the week started well for the Euro then on Friday we've seen some serious liquidation coming in place. The weekly chart printed the second shotting star in a row this time on high volume. In the coming week it is highly likely to see this bearish momentum to continue down to 175.600.
Daily Chart:
The most important print of the daily chart is this two candle reversal or engulfing pattern, which also las supported by good volume. In the incoming week we will be looking to re-test the HL 182.863, in case of break below the next two area of support are the weekly mid range 181.074 and the weekly lower boundary 175.600. Another confirmation point for the bears is that this is the biggest down candle since this move began in early March last year (just over 200pips lost in a single day).
4h Chart:
At this TF the confirmation of a change in sentiment becomes even clearer with two very wide down candles. Another important candle to keep an eye is the hammer which formed in the last 4 hours of the session, its body is really narrow but the volume still on the high. It's a warning signal of temporary pause (profit taking mostly), it is likely to see the price at this point correct or congest briefly before continues lower. There are two levels of correction to look for, the daily mid range 184.772 and the 4h upper band 186.019(marked on the chart with red circles) this levels can offer a good opportunity to join the trend down.
1h Chart:
Zooming into faster trading levels and positioning, we get further confirmation of the swing levels for the correction, setting up alerts at this levels it's a wise thing to do to see the reaction and possibly confirmation of bearishness. Not excluding a correction up to the high!
The Plan
Short Rejection at daily mid range 184.772 target daily lower band 182.774 or weekly mid range 181.300
Short Rejection at 4h upper band 186.019 Target 4h low 183.817 or Daily Low 182.807
Short Breakout + Re-Test at the current low target weekly mid range 181.300
Thank you for dedicating some of your very precious time reading this idea.
If you want to know more about how to improve your trading confidence and optimise your Profits, soon I will be releasing a very interesting article which took me over an year to prepare on the importance of trading empirical data collection, if is something you might like follow to don't miss it.
GOLD - Correction to 4900. Is there a chance it will reach 5000?FX:XAUUSD continues to update historical highs. New 4967, bears appeared (profit-taking). The market has moved into correction, but the overall fundamental (geopolitical) background is still complex...
Expectations of further easing of Fed policy remain the main factor supporting gold.
Trump's reversal on Greenland temporarily improved sentiment, but did not stop the flow into defensive assets.
Economy : GDP for the third quarter has been revised upward to 4.4%. Core PCE (inflation) rose to 2.8% y/y. Jobless claims (200,000) were better than expected.
Despite strong indicators, the dollar is weakening amid the general trend of de-dollarization .
Today, preliminary PMI (business activity) data for key regions will be released.
The figures may affect global sentiment, but are unlikely to change the main upward trend for gold.
Resistance levels: 4935, 4967, 5000
Support levels: 4900, 4888, 4870
The current correction is a distribution of the formed consolidation 4935 - 4967. In the context of the current movement, the market may test the key support area (liquidity zone) 4900 - 4888. I do not rule out a deep long squeeze (to 4870) before renewed interest in growth. In the current cycle, there is a possibility of a retest of 5000!
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD - Readiness for a breakthrough and rally FX:GBPUSD breaks through the resistance conglomerate and enters a long zone. Consolidation is forming (due to bullish activity), and we have a chance for a local rally...
The long squeeze of the key support zone at 1.3400 forms distribution and growth towards the intermediate resistance at 1.3486. The trend is bullish, there is support in the market (weak dollar).
The currency pair breaks through resistance with an impulsive movement, after which the bulls try to keep the price above 1.3486. A breakout of the local base will give a chance for continued growth to 1.3562 - 1.3671
Resistance levels: 1.3486, 1.3507, 1.3562
Support levels: 1.3486, 1.3456
Consolidation above 1.3486 - 1.3500 will be a strong signal of readiness to continue growth within the bullish trend
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD - Retest of support at 1.170 on a bullish trendFX:EURUSD is in a bullish trend phase and is forming a correction to retest the key psychological support level. Bulls may influence the situation...
The dollar has fallen sharply due to economic problems, which has triggered a rise in the euro, which is trying to stay above 1.170.
After rallying and updating the interim high to 1.1768, the currency pair entered a correction phase and is testing 1.170, an important technical and psychological support level.
Support levels: 1.1700, 1.1672, 1.1685
Resistance levels: 1.1763, 1.1804
A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above 1.170 could form a reversal pattern and give a chance for growth within the local bullish trend
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY at PRZ – Is a Sharp Reversal About to Start?At the moment, GBPJPY( FX:GBPJPY ) is currently within a Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) on the 1-hour timeframe, and has formed an Ascending Channel over the past day.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that GBPJPY is completing microwave 5 of the main wave C. The correction pattern is Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5).
We can also observe a negative Regular Divergence(RD-) between two consecutive valleys.
I anticipate that GBPJPY, after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel, will likely decline to 212.77 JPY. If the support line is broken, we can expect further declines toward the next target.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on GBPJPY. Do you think it will begin a downward trend on the 1-hour timeframe, or will it continue its upward movement?
First Target: 212.77 JPY
Second Target: 212.35 JPY
Stop Loss(SL): 214.31 JPY(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 British Pound/Japanese Yen Analysis (GBPJPY), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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EURUSD Long: Buyers Step In After Bearish Structure FailsHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD previously experienced a corrective bearish phase, trading inside a descending channel after forming a rounding top near the highs. However, this bearish structure has recently weakened. Price broke above the descending channel, signaling a loss of seller control and the beginning of a potential structural shift. After the breakout, EURUSD formed a pivot low and reacted strongly from the Demand Zone around 1.1690, which aligns with previous structure and acts as a key support area. This demand zone is now being defended by buyers, and the latest bullish impulse suggests that the breakout from the descending channel is valid rather than a fake move.
Currently, price is consolidating above demand and below the Supply Zone near 1.1760, indicating short-term compression after the breakout. This consolidation looks constructive, as price is holding above former resistance turned support and is not showing strong bearish rejection.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1690 Demand Zone and continues to print higher lows, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to maintain control and attempt a continuation toward the 1.1760 Supply Zone (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above 1.1760 would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for a move toward higher resistance levels. Manage your risk!






















