Nifty Analysis EOD – January 12, 2026 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 12, 2026 – Monday 🔴
The Phoenix Recovery: Bulls Resurrect Nifty with 340-Point V-Shape Swing!
🗞 Nifty Summary
After hitting multi-month lows, the Nifty performed a spectacular “Phoenix Recovery.”
The session started flat but quickly turned into a bloodbath as the index plunged 172 points to find initial support at 25,530. A symmetrical triangle formed near the lows, eventually breaking down to test the 25,473 level.
However, as noted in previous sessions, the market was deeply oversold. Fueled by short covering and potential positive news, Nifty executed a vertical reversal, reclaiming the 25,750 ~ 25,780 resistance zone with ease.
The index closed at 25,790.25 (with intraday highs hitting 25,806.10), effectively wiping out the morning panic and signaling a powerful structural reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a tale of two halves. The morning belonged to the bears, who exploited the initial flat open to drive a high-velocity sell-off toward the 25,470 zone.
The symmetrical triangle breakdown looked like a final flush-out of weak hands. The afternoon, however, saw one of the sharpest recoveries in recent history.
The vertical ascent crossed the 25,750 barrier without any significant pullback, leaving late-entry bears trapped at the bottom.
The close near the day’s high confirms that the “oversold” spring has finally uncoiled.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,669.05
High: 25,813.15
Low: 25,473.40
Close: 25,790.25
Change: +106.95 (+0.42%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish Rejection Candle.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 340 points — extreme intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 121 points — reflecting strong bullish participation in the second half.
Upper Wick: ≈ 196 points — massive rejection of lower prices, signaling a potential bottom.
Lower Wick: ≈ 23 points — minimal resistance at the close.
📚 Interpretation
The massive lower wick (nearly 200 points) is a classic “Hammer” signal appearing after a prolonged downtrend. It indicates that supply has been exhausted and demand has aggressively returned. The close above the opening price, despite the deep early plunge, is a high-conviction signal that the short-term sentiment has flipped from “Sell on Rise” to “Buy on Dip.”
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Rejection / Hammer-Like Recovery Candle — Traditionally marks the end of a bearish sequence; follow-through above 25,820 is now critical.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 204.84
IB Range: 171.90 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:58 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.71) (Symmetrical Triangle Breakout)
12:04 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:6.34) (Trendline Breakout)
Trade Summary: A legendary day for the Gladiator Strategy. While the morning short trade captured the final flush-out, the 12:04 PM Long signal on the trendline breakout was the star performer. It captured the entire V-shape reversal, delivering a massive 1:6.34 R:R as Nifty relentlessly marched toward the day’s high
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25820
25855 ~ 25880
25940 (Crucial)
Support Zones:
25600
25550
25475
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The bulls have found their spine.”
Technically, this is a perfect reversal setup, but caution is still the word of the day.
I am staying neutral-to-bullish but will remain cautious until we get a decisive daily close above 25,940. As for the weekend “Trump Fate,” it seems the market decided not to wait for a tweet to start the recovery! Let’s see if he provides the “HUGE” momentum needed to cross the 26K hurdle again, or if this was just a short-covering bounce. For now, let’s watch the opening tick tomorrow with a smile.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Pivot Points
GAIL (India) Ltd – Bearish view🧠 Trade Thesis:
The recent upswing appears to be a probable bull trap, with price rejecting from the upper band of resistance. A prior pivot low has been decisively broken, confirming bearish structure and weakening bullish momentum.
The setup aligns with a mean reversion play, targeting the Higher Time Frame Demand Zone below. The dotted projection and annotated rejection candle reinforce the bearish bias, suggesting limited upside and increased probability of downside continuation.
🔍 Technical Confluence:
- Supply zone rejection with low conviction candles.
- Supply zone in confluence with 21 DEMA
- Broken pivot low confirms bearish intent.
- Stop loss placed above the trap zone to avoid false triggers.
🛡️ Risk Management:
Trade is invalidated if price sustains above ₹172.01. Monitor for volume spikes and candle strength near resistance to confirm trap behavior.
Selena | XAUUSD – 1H | Market Structure & Live AnalysisPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Price previously rejected from the upper channel resistance, triggering a deep correction. That correction formed a range-out zone, where sellers failed to continue downside. The breakout from this range indicates re-accumulation, not distribution. Current price action is a pullback into a previous intraday demand / breakout retest zone, which aligns with the channel midline — a high-probability continuation area.
This is not a random buy. This is structure-based continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the highlighted demand zone and respects channel support, continuation toward HTF highs is expected.
🎯 Target 1: 4,500
🎯 Target 2: 4,540
🎯 Target 3: 4,580 (HTF resistance / liquidity)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A strong 1H close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish continuation and suggest deeper correction toward 4,300.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,500 – 4,560
Support 🟢: 4,420 – 4,440
Invalidation ❌: Below 4,400 (1H close)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Selena | EURUSD – 4H | Higher-Timeframe Channel Support ReactionFX:EURUSD
After a strong bullish expansion toward the upper range highs, price entered a corrective phase. The current decline has reached a confluence zone consisting of prior support and channel support, where selling momentum has slowed. This suggests potential for a technical bounce as long as structure holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the current demand zone and respects the ascending channel:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1720
🎯 Target 2: 1.1800
🎯 Target 3: 1.1880 – 1.1900
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A decisive 4H close below 1.1575 would break the channel structure and open the door toward lower liquidity levels near 1.1510 – 1.1485.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1720 – 1.1800 – 1.1880
Support 🟢: 1.1640 – 1.1575
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Gold Potential Sells (Overall Bullish Sentiment)Gold reached an new ATH during Asia session, hitting R1, R2 & R3 target zones.
While the overall price action is bullish:
Seeing a potential sell on the retraceent and targeting two entry points:
1. Rejection of Asia high / exhaustion zone, with a 15 min bearish candle flip, to secure a 1:3 RR. Target will be the 50% Hi-ADR
2. If proce pushes through the R2 / 50% Hi-ADR, with a close below on the 15 min TF, will consider the continuation for a 1:2 RR, targeting the Asia low / exhaustion zone, which is just above the R1.
Ultimately though, if we don't get these entries, will be looking for buys back to the aTH.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for This Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Support 1: 4540 - 4552 area
Support 2: 4595 - 4501 area
Support 3: 4342 - 4451 area
Resistance 1: 4595 - 4610 area
Resistance 2: 4640 - 4655 area
Resistance 3: 4690 - 4705 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD: Bullish Breakout & Retest SetupTF: 15M | Bias: Buy
Gold is consolidating after a strong bullish impulse, forming a bullish pennant. Price is testing the upper resistance, and a confirmed breakout could trigger the next move higher.
📈 Trade Setup
Buy Zone: $4,586 – $4,588 (break & retest)
SL: $4,582
TP: $4,620
🔍 Notes
Strong bullish momentum prior to consolidation
Watch for volume expansion on breakout
Favorable risk-to-reward toward liquidity highs
⚠️ Risk management is essential. Never risk more than 1–2% per trade.
This is not a financial advice
XAUUSD | Weekly Outlook | Jan 2nd Week | 20261. Bias
Bullish with downside risk; range-bound near major resistance.
2. Key Levels
Support: 4,470–4,480
Major Support: 4,380–4,400
Resistance: 4,550 (ATH)
Upper Psychological Level: 4,599–4,600
3. Scenarios
Bullish Continuation: Acceptance above 4,500 and a clean break of 4,550 exposes 4,600, with 4,520 acting as a potential support flip.
Pullback (Healthy Correction): Rejection from 4,510–4,550 may lead price back toward 4,460–4,480 while maintaining bullish market structure.
Bearish Scenario: Strong rejection from ATH zone followed by loss of 4,470 support could accelerate a move toward the 4,380–4,400 demand zone, indicating deeper corrective pressure.
4. Invalidation
Sustained trading below 4,380 invalidates the bullish structure and shifts bias to bearish.
5. Notes
USD Index strength may increase downside volatility and trigger liquidity sweeps before directional clarity.
OrAI (Orachain) AI. Trend. Death, or a Little Later? 01 11 2026Logarithm 1 week. The idea is more educational. In my opinion, it's a dying project simulating utility, fueled by the hype of AI agents. During the hype, it was around $100-$80. Now it's $0.64. That's a price drop of -99.4%. Just think about it...
I also specifically showed buying at the “bottom” between -99 and -99.4, a whopping -40%.
Therefore, when trading something like this, you need to understand that TA (besides understanding the trend direction and reversal zone on a large time frame), the logic of price movement on assets with such liquidity (the "developers pouring in" money and the crowd joining in), is a convention, especially in terms of support/resistance levels.
If desired, the creators of such crypto projects can achieve instantaneous death (sell their remaining crypto coins at the market price and come up with an excuse, such as "we were hacked").
Or, conversely, they can create a “pump stick” with a large percentage, followed by a huge amount of positive news on the community's social media to "restore the faith" of holders and traders. The same applies to selling remaining coins. If you, as a trader, control your risks by following risk management and understand the nature of manipulation, you can catch this moment and profit from it.
🔵 Main trend . A descending channel with a large percentage increment. Developers pump a large percentage and sell while there is liquidity. Then they delist from exchanges and die. Several similar projects, with “new faces” of creators, have already been created using the proceeds to fuel hype. This is practically the case, and we must accept this. The price is at dynamic support within the internal channel. A rebound would be rational (to sell off the remaining stock before delisting from the exchanges with the main liquidity where it is traded) if the market turns green on or around January 17th.
🟡 Secondary Trend . The targets of the huge "head and shoulders" pattern have been realized, with impressive pumps in part of the formation due to low liquidity at +1000%, and, naturally, similar corrective movements.
🟣 Local Trend . The -88% target of the second component of the pattern, namely the descending flag, is currently being realized. The % targets according to the classic TA have not yet been fully realized (not necessarily to the exact %), but are close to completion. The decline has currently stopped at the dynamic support of the main trend within the internal channel. If a reversal occurs from this zone or slightly below, I've shown the percentage for orientation. What's important for the chart is a breakout of the local downward trend (highlighted in purple). In the long term, and perhaps even in the medium term, this could spell the end of the project. It will be interesting to follow up in the future and see how they proceed.
Bitcoin - Waiting for confirmation on weekly candleWe’re at a critical inflection point for Bitcoin. A weekly close above the orange trendline would strongly favor continuation toward $100k. Structurally, this could still be interpreted as a right shoulder within a large weekly head and shoulders formation unless price decisively breaks through resistance. A clean break and close above that level would invalidate the bearish structure and instead signal the potential start of an extreme bull run.
If Bitcoin fails to close above the orange trendline, I expect either downside or extended consolidation before another attempt. At that point, the setup looks weak. Personally, that’s where I would exit rather than sit through uncertainty.
"Bear Flag" - The Lazy Bitcoin Pattern Every Dog KnowsIt always surprises me how lazy technical analysis has become. What has TA turned into? Google image search "bearish pattern" → draw two parallel lines → post for engagement.
Let's go candle by candle since nobody else will:
Within this "bearish pennant" - which depending on how you draw your trendlines is ALSO clearly a rising wedge - there are about 80 different patterns unfolding. But sure, let's talk about the one pattern your dog could identify.
Here's what kills me: Did anyone mention the micro head and shoulders forming inside this structure? No? Just lazy bear flag posts? Nobody's talking about the patterns within the pattern.
THE STRUCTURE:
Cup & Handle, inverses etc forming inside a Rising Wedge
Inside a Rounded Triple Bottom
Forming the right shoulder of a macro Inverse Head & Shoulders
Micro H&S within the current consolidation
Neckline sits at 97.5K
Broken uptrend now acting as a MAGNET - price will hug this line on the way back up
THE LEVELS (since nobody else gave you any):
Invalidation: 94,266 - Break this and the micro H&S fails
Target 1: 95K - Within 7 days
Target 2: 105K - Within 30 days if structure holds
If bearish plays out: 76,556 zone - If that micro H&S breaks down, there's room for one more push lower
THE REALITY:
In this market you have to adapt like water. If 94,266 breaks and the micro H&S plays out bearish, there's room for a final push down. I'm not married to a direction - I'm married to levels and structure. The market will tell you what it wants to do.
But here's what I know: if you're posting bear flags, you better be short. Post your positions or don't post at all. It's complete nonsense if you can't stand on what you post.
I'm long here.
That's the difference. I'm telling you my position, my invalidation, and my targets. Where's yours?
To the bear flag crowd:
Go take your shorts. Post your entries. Show me your stop loss. Explain the logic behind your actual bearish formation beyond "it looks like the picture I googled."
Give me specific invalidation levels. Tell me where you're wrong. Otherwise you're just posting for likes while real traders are positioning.
95K in 7 days. 105K in 30. I'm long.
Your move.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Faces Heavy Resistance as New Whales Target $99K Break-EvenOn-chain data signals growing resistance for Bitcoin near the $99,000 level. Recent whale investors accumulated BTC at higher prices and now sit in unrealized losses. As price attempts to recover, many of these holders may look to exit at break-even, turning $99K into a key psychological and technical barrier.
Realized Price Data Highlights Selling Risk
The data focuses on short-term whale holders, typically wallets holding between 100 and 10,000 BTC for less than 155 days. Their realized price currently sits around $99,000, meaning any move toward that level could trigger selling pressure. Similar setups in past market cycles repeatedly stalled price advances as underwater holders rushed to cut losses.
Whale Concentration Amplifies Market Impact
Recent analysis shows that new whales now control close to half of Bitcoin’s realized capitalization. This shift increases their influence over short-term price action. If a large portion chooses to sell at break-even, volatility could spike rapidly, especially during low-liquidity conditions.
What This Means for Bitcoin Price Action
While selling pressure poses a risk, it does not automatically signal a cycle top. If new whales hold through resistance and absorb supply, it could indicate growing market maturity. A clean break above $99,000 would likely require sustained spot demand or institutional inflows to overpower defensive selling.
Bitcoin Analysis Going Forward
Bitcoin price behavior near $99K will act as a key confirmation level. Rejection could extend consolidation, while acceptance above it may flip resistance into support. Traders and investors will closely monitor whale behavior as Bitcoin approaches this zone.
CGPT (ChainGPT) Main Trend. Channel. AI. January 11, 2026Time frame: 1 week. Another project under the hype of AI, which is developing slightly now and will grow strongly in the future. A descending channel in which a descending wedge is forming (the second wave of the structure). A breakout of the wedge (dynamic resistance) is a trend reversal. I showed two options (working for a breakout):
1) a breakout of the wedge from the current zone (internal support of the channel of the large formation).
2) a breakout of the wedge near the external support zone of the ascending channel of the main trend.
AITECH Main trend Channel Wedge. Reversal zones. AI. 30 07 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week. Main trend. Huge pumps for hype. The price is driven up on dexes, and profits are realized on centralized medium and low liquid exchanges. Important. Twitter (X) of the project has 560 thousand subscribers. That is, at the right time there will be a flow of positive news for subscribers who are former holders, or potential buyers (there are most of them, they buy only very expensive ones) and pumping as before, but by a smaller percentage.
And while in the ascending channel, the decline phase forms a descending wedge in the secondary trend. A triangular formation has formed in the local trend. The logic of the reversal zones is shown with arrows.
What is it. From the marketplace:
Solidus AI Tech is building one of Europe's first Web3-based AI infrastructures, powered by a state-of-the-art, green HPC data center. The $AITECH token powers an ecosystem of products that combine AI utilities, scalable computing, and Web3 tools, empowering developers, enterprises, and institutions to easily build, deploy, and scale AI solutions.
With the support of major partners including NVIDIA, IBM, Fetch.ai, Tron, BNBChain, Binance Wallet, Trustwallet, and many more, Solidus AI Tech is becoming one of the most advanced and adaptable Web3 AI token projects, positioning itself among industry leaders.
SHELL Main Trend. Channel Platform AI. January 10, 20253-day logarithm. Current decline from the high (not a listing squeeze) is -91%. This is low for such liquidity, but if there is a breakout of the local downward trend, the trend will reverse first to the channel resistance, and then we'll see.
Percentages from key support/resistance zones for clarity and for building your trading and money management tactics.
What is it? MyShell is a platform for AI users, enabling anyone to create, share, and own AI agents. The team combines AI and blockchain through agent frameworks, open-source models, and a community of AI creators. MyShell also provides users with AI-powered entertainment and useful features, offering shared ownership.
Monthly Structure Tightening — Wave 5 LoadingDDT is forming a clean Elliott Wave contracting triangle as a Wave 4 consolidation. As long as Wave E pulls back without breaking the Wave C low, the structure remains valid and a continuation breakout becomes the higher‑probability path.
The simple triangle thrust target is marked on the chart, while the broader range target will depend on where Wave E completes.
Key areas of interest for a potential Wave E low include:
A rally from current levels that sees the January candle break and close above the Wave D high, signalling early strength and a possible premature completion of Wave E.
A continued pullback toward the ~$8.46 region, ideally accompanied by declining volume and narrowing candle spreads, which would align with classic Wave E behaviour inside a contracting triangle.
If the structure holds, the next move should be the Wave 5 breakout.
GRT Main Trend (addition) Double Bottom + Triangle 08 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 week.
Main trend . Supplement for clarity to the previous idea for this cryptocurrency, published 23 02 2025 Everything is essentially the same, the new idea is made to visualize the trend, nothing more.
GRT Main trend.
Line chart, price now
Secondary . Big double bottom (in any case, with local scenario A or B, it will be realized in the medium term).
Local trend (price movements in the trend minimum zones before a big pump). Triangle above the Gann fan ray (see the previous idea, where this tool of the logic of movement in the trend is shown).
The second wave of the triangle is formed.
A downward breakout is a descending pennant, which is the removal of longs under the pattern of a larger scale of historical minimums.
A upward breakout is the realization of the triangle targets, and the price movement to the descending line of the main trend +80-100%
MEW Main Trend. Memcoin. 2025 07 02Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Cat in a dogs world (MEW)
X -133 thousand subscribers (this is not enough).
Reduction from the maximum -87%. For such assets, this is not enough.
I imposed a descending channel on the chart (current descending trend of the main trend), and a horizontal one, if by some miracle this local Ross hook is broken upwards (not forming a local head and shoulders), not only to the resistance of the secondary trend (red line), but to break through it. Percentages to key zones of support/resistance levels are shown for clarity.
After the downward trend is broken, such "psychological-fundamental" assets are usually pumped up by +800-1000% from the minimums or more. Low liquidity, and the contingent of people who subscribe to these projects, allows this to be done easily at the right time: "the hamster is not scared". After pumping — a slow death, with pumps an order of magnitude smaller. Therefore, do not forget to sell in the alt season.
When working with such cryptocurrencies by liquidity, observe money management, use partial entry or on a breakout. Do not use margin leverage, as there may be snot in any direction for a large percentage, which will lead to liquidation "out of the blue".
WULF Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:WULF
🎯 Price appears exhausted at the upper channel boundary. The Elliot wave pattern completes a leading diagonal, which hints at higher to go, but after a deep wave 2 pullback, which could end at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $8, but a more likely target is the 0.5 Fib at $5.84 with downside momentum, also the weekly 200EMA.
Breaking out above the channel would change the count and structure and be very bullish.
📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing.
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back above $18
Safe trading
RIOT Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:RIOT
🎯 Riot tested the upper boundary trend-line after its breakout. Expected behaviour. The uptrend is intact with price above the weekly 200EMA and pivot. Price appears to be in a wave 3 with a target of $40, the R£ weekly pivot.
📈 Weekly RSI has hidden bullish divergence at the EQ
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close below $6.33
Safe trading
MSTR Macro analysis | The bigger picture | Long-term holdersNASDAQ:MSTR
🎯 Sentiment is low, the asset is hated and misunderstood by TradFi and retail. It’s a recipe for a bottom! Price is now below the weekly 200EMA and pivot, in wave 4, hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. The bears are in control.
📈 Weekly RSI hit oversold with hidden bullish divergence
👉 Analysis is invalidated if we close back below $101
Safe trading






















