VRAusdt at Risk Key Support Under PressureVRA remains under sustained downside pressure, with price now approaching a critical support base that must hold to preserve the broader structure. This zone represents a key inflection point; failure to defend it would significantly weaken market confidence and could accelerate further downside risk.
If buyers successfully defend this level, a technical rebound is expected, with the bullish recovery path and upside objectives clearly outlined on the chart.
Pivot Points
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 13, 2026 – Tuesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 13, 2026 – Tuesday 🔴
Fib 0.618 Defense: Expiry Day Rollercoaster Ends in 296-Point Volatility!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty started the session with a promising 90-point Gap Up, seemingly continuing yesterday’s bullish momentum. However, the optimism evaporated instantly as the index dived 195 points from the first tick, hitting the 25,700 mark.
After forming a temporary base and recovering 120 points to 25,820, Nifty encountered a textbook Double Top pattern, which triggered a second collapse back to the day’s low. A period of consolidation followed before a final flush-out broke the IBL, dragging the index to a day low of 25,603.30.
Interestingly, this low coincided exactly with the Fib 0.618 level, sparking a violent 150-point recovery to close at 25,714.20 (-0.22%).
While heavyweights like Reliance, LT, and Trent acted as major anchors, the intraday swings provided a paradise for agile traders.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a masterclass in “stop-hunting” and liquidating over-leveraged positions on both sides. The initial “Open = High” (almost) structure led to a vertical drop that trapped morning bulls.
The recovery to 25,820 was promising until the Double Top confirmed that the bears weren’t finished. The breakdown to 25,603 was the ultimate “capitulation” move. The subsequent sharp recovery suggests that the 0.618 Fibonacci level is being defended as a major structural floor.
Despite the bearish close, the massive 129-point lower wick indicates that demand remains potent at the extreme discount zone.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,897.35
High: 25,899.80
Low: 25,603.30
Close: 25,732.30
Change: −57.95 (−0.22%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle with a long lower wick.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 296 points — exceptionally high intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 165 points — reflects firm selling pressure from the opening gap.
Upper Wick: ≈ 2 points — zero buying strength observed near the highs.
Lower Wick: ≈ 129 points — strong, aggressive buying rejection from the Fibonacci base.
📚 Interpretation
The candle is a portrait of a market in flux. Opening at the top and closing significantly lower confirms that the morning gap was used as a massive distribution window.
However, the recovery of nearly 130 points from the lows (the lower wick) confirms that the 25,600 zone is a high-demand territory. The market is oscillating violently, looking for a stable equilibrium after the recent “Phoenix” recovery.
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Candle with Strong Lower-Wick Rejection — Signals heavy overhead supply but strong underlying support at the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 214.01
IB Range: 198.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
10:04 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.08) (Trendline Breakout)
12:41 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.95) (IBL Breakout)
Trade Summary: Despite the chaotic expiry day swings, the strategy remained disciplined. The morning long capture was a quick scalp before the Double Top formed. The afternoon Short trade on the IBL breakdown was the high-conviction move of the day, capturing the slide toward the Fib 0.618 target.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25820
25855 ~ 25880
25940 (Crucial)
Support Zones:
25600
25550
25475
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The Fibonacci levels don’t lie, even on expiry day!”
Today’s price action proves that 25,600 is the line in the sand for the bulls.
If we gap down below this tomorrow, things could get ugly. But if we sustain above it, the “reversal” story is still on the table.
I’ll let President Trump decide if he wants to tweet the Nifty back to 26,000 or if he’s too busy “hiring and firing” to worry about our 0.618 levels! Let’s see what the opening tick brings on Wednesday.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Elite | XAUUSD – 4H WEEK ANAKYSIS | Bullish ContinuationPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Gold has transitioned from accumulation into a sustained bullish expansion. Pullbacks are corrective and shallow, indicating strong demand. Price is trading above the bullish trendline with no structural breakdown, suggesting continuation toward higher liquidity levels rather than reversal.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → Continuation above trendline with targets toward upside liquidity and premium imbalance zones.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Only valid if price breaks and closes below the bullish structure trendline, invalidating the higher-low sequence.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,600 → 4,720 → 4,800
Support 🟢: 4,520 – 4,500 (trendline + pullback base)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
XAUUSDLooks at gold prices are at ATH,i still believe price will push even higher as the higher lows on the 1hr has been taken out for liquidity,price did fail to give a lower low at 4,508 saying to me that buyers are potentially getting ready to drive price to the ⬆️ upside,price went further to reclaim the broken higher low that was taken out for,now I watch and wait on Newyork to drive price up or down
AMAT 1W: Retesting the Neckline Before the Next Move?On the weekly chart, Applied Materials (AMAT) has completed a clean inverted head and shoulders breakout around $226, and is now pulling back to retest the neckline zone near $200–211.
This area acts as strong support. If buyers defend it, the bullish pattern stays valid, with a projected target around $277, matching the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
From a fundamental perspective, AMAT remains a key semiconductor player, benefiting from ongoing demand for chip-making equipment. The pullback looks more like a healthy pause than weakness - a classic chance for latecomers to re-enter.
Funny enough, the “head and shoulders” pattern, known for signaling tops, is doing the exact opposite here - apparently, even the market likes a good plot twist.
BTC Local Trend. Reversal Zone. Targets. Tactics. 23 12 25Logarithm. Time frame: 1 day.
Local downtrend. After the decline, the price is trapped in sideways consolidation for a long time (the idea is for stop-loss levels to accumulate on both sides). Price is near the breakout zone.
Buy fear in parts, sell joy in parts.
🟢 Upward breakout (trend + key local levels and, due to the short stop-loss domino effect, momentum) — fulfillment of the Dragon pattern's targets (first targets).
🔴 Downward breakout (support and long stop-loss zone) — fulfillment of the descending flag's targets (long stop-loss domino effect), at least partially.
More upside than downside, possible through stop-loss accumulation. But it's important to wait for a breakout in one direction or another.
A patient and consistent person will be rewarded, while a restless person will not.
Use trigger orders on both sides of the reversal zone:
1️⃣ for an upward breakout in the market (marker order) - 2 local zones;
2️⃣ and simultaneously for a decline - 2-3 trigger limit orders.
If you do this, you won't have to constantly monitor charts, news, opinions, and so on like a speculative addict, and you won't care at all which way the price goes. After all, your orders will trigger in the direction of the trend, and won't trigger (cancel them later) in the opposite direction. The exception is if your first orders hit a false exit, but this is taken into account in risk management and position allocation.
Risk should always be justified and controlled by you. This is the foundation of everything. If this isn't the case, you're building a speculative house on a clay foundation, trying only to guess the price. Sooner or later, it will collapse, and the later it happens, the more painful it will be.
ROIV: Failed Breakout → Reclaim Setup With Defined RiskROIV has spent the past ~4 weeks digesting a strong +70% run, forming a tight base with only a ~7% pullback. A recent breakout attempt didn’t stick, but price held the top of the prior base and found support at the 50-DMA.
I opened a half-size position on the reclaim, with risk clearly defined. A decisive close below the 50-day would invalidate the setup and I’d step aside before the stop is hit.
If price continues to cooperate, I’ll look to take some off near +3% and then again at the ATH to reduce risk, and then see if the rest can work.
CHESSUSDT 1DShort technical update 👇
On the daily timeframe, CHESS broke its bearish structure and completed a clean retest of the breakout level. The retest held, selling pressure is fading, and higher local lows are forming. The current structure suggests a recovery phase after a prolonged decline. The base scenario is a continuation to the upside with a move toward the MA200 as the next key mid-term target.
Nifty Analysis EOD – January 12, 2026 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – January 12, 2026 – Monday 🔴
The Phoenix Recovery: Bulls Resurrect Nifty with 340-Point V-Shape Swing!
🗞 Nifty Summary
After hitting multi-month lows, the Nifty performed a spectacular “Phoenix Recovery.”
The session started flat but quickly turned into a bloodbath as the index plunged 172 points to find initial support at 25,530. A symmetrical triangle formed near the lows, eventually breaking down to test the 25,473 level.
However, as noted in previous sessions, the market was deeply oversold. Fueled by short covering and potential positive news, Nifty executed a vertical reversal, reclaiming the 25,750 ~ 25,780 resistance zone with ease.
The index closed at 25,790.25 (with intraday highs hitting 25,806.10), effectively wiping out the morning panic and signaling a powerful structural reversal.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The day was a tale of two halves. The morning belonged to the bears, who exploited the initial flat open to drive a high-velocity sell-off toward the 25,470 zone.
The symmetrical triangle breakdown looked like a final flush-out of weak hands. The afternoon, however, saw one of the sharpest recoveries in recent history.
The vertical ascent crossed the 25,750 barrier without any significant pullback, leaving late-entry bears trapped at the bottom.
The close near the day’s high confirms that the “oversold” spring has finally uncoiled.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,669.05
High: 25,813.15
Low: 25,473.40
Close: 25,790.25
Change: +106.95 (+0.42%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish Rejection Candle.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 340 points — extreme intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 121 points — reflecting strong bullish participation in the second half.
Upper Wick: ≈ 196 points — massive rejection of lower prices, signaling a potential bottom.
Lower Wick: ≈ 23 points — minimal resistance at the close.
📚 Interpretation
The massive lower wick (nearly 200 points) is a classic “Hammer” signal appearing after a prolonged downtrend. It indicates that supply has been exhausted and demand has aggressively returned. The close above the opening price, despite the deep early plunge, is a high-conviction signal that the short-term sentiment has flipped from “Sell on Rise” to “Buy on Dip.”
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Rejection / Hammer-Like Recovery Candle — Traditionally marks the end of a bearish sequence; follow-through above 25,820 is now critical.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 204.84
IB Range: 171.90 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:58 Short Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:1.71) (Symmetrical Triangle Breakout)
12:04 Long Trade: Target Hit (R:R 1:6.34) (Trendline Breakout)
Trade Summary: A legendary day for the Gladiator Strategy. While the morning short trade captured the final flush-out, the 12:04 PM Long signal on the trendline breakout was the star performer. It captured the entire V-shape reversal, delivering a massive 1:6.34 R:R as Nifty relentlessly marched toward the day’s high
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25820
25855 ~ 25880
25940 (Crucial)
Support Zones:
25600
25550
25475
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The bulls have found their spine.”
Technically, this is a perfect reversal setup, but caution is still the word of the day.
I am staying neutral-to-bullish but will remain cautious until we get a decisive daily close above 25,940. As for the weekend “Trump Fate,” it seems the market decided not to wait for a tweet to start the recovery! Let’s see if he provides the “HUGE” momentum needed to cross the 26K hurdle again, or if this was just a short-covering bounce. For now, let’s watch the opening tick tomorrow with a smile.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
GAIL (India) Ltd – Bearish view🧠 Trade Thesis:
The recent upswing appears to be a probable bull trap, with price rejecting from the upper band of resistance. A prior pivot low has been decisively broken, confirming bearish structure and weakening bullish momentum.
The setup aligns with a mean reversion play, targeting the Higher Time Frame Demand Zone below. The dotted projection and annotated rejection candle reinforce the bearish bias, suggesting limited upside and increased probability of downside continuation.
🔍 Technical Confluence:
- Supply zone rejection with low conviction candles.
- Supply zone in confluence with 21 DEMA
- Broken pivot low confirms bearish intent.
- Stop loss placed above the trap zone to avoid false triggers.
🛡️ Risk Management:
Trade is invalidated if price sustains above ₹172.01. Monitor for volume spikes and candle strength near resistance to confirm trap behavior.
Selena | XAUUSD – 1H | Market Structure & Live AnalysisPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
Price previously rejected from the upper channel resistance, triggering a deep correction. That correction formed a range-out zone, where sellers failed to continue downside. The breakout from this range indicates re-accumulation, not distribution. Current price action is a pullback into a previous intraday demand / breakout retest zone, which aligns with the channel midline — a high-probability continuation area.
This is not a random buy. This is structure-based continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the highlighted demand zone and respects channel support, continuation toward HTF highs is expected.
🎯 Target 1: 4,500
🎯 Target 2: 4,540
🎯 Target 3: 4,580 (HTF resistance / liquidity)
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A strong 1H close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish continuation and suggest deeper correction toward 4,300.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 4,500 – 4,560
Support 🟢: 4,420 – 4,440
Invalidation ❌: Below 4,400 (1H close)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Selena | EURUSD – 4H | Higher-Timeframe Channel Support ReactionFX:EURUSD
After a strong bullish expansion toward the upper range highs, price entered a corrective phase. The current decline has reached a confluence zone consisting of prior support and channel support, where selling momentum has slowed. This suggests potential for a technical bounce as long as structure holds.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the current demand zone and respects the ascending channel:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1720
🎯 Target 2: 1.1800
🎯 Target 3: 1.1880 – 1.1900
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A decisive 4H close below 1.1575 would break the channel structure and open the door toward lower liquidity levels near 1.1510 – 1.1485.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 1.1720 – 1.1800 – 1.1880
Support 🟢: 1.1640 – 1.1575
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
Gold Potential Sells (Overall Bullish Sentiment)Gold reached an new ATH during Asia session, hitting R1, R2 & R3 target zones.
While the overall price action is bullish:
Seeing a potential sell on the retraceent and targeting two entry points:
1. Rejection of Asia high / exhaustion zone, with a 15 min bearish candle flip, to secure a 1:3 RR. Target will be the 50% Hi-ADR
2. If proce pushes through the R2 / 50% Hi-ADR, with a close below on the 15 min TF, will consider the continuation for a 1:2 RR, targeting the Asia low / exhaustion zone, which is just above the R1.
Ultimately though, if we don't get these entries, will be looking for buys back to the aTH.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for This Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Support 1: 4540 - 4552 area
Support 2: 4595 - 4501 area
Support 3: 4342 - 4451 area
Resistance 1: 4595 - 4610 area
Resistance 2: 4640 - 4655 area
Resistance 3: 4690 - 4705 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD: Bullish Breakout & Retest SetupTF: 15M | Bias: Buy
Gold is consolidating after a strong bullish impulse, forming a bullish pennant. Price is testing the upper resistance, and a confirmed breakout could trigger the next move higher.
📈 Trade Setup
Buy Zone: $4,586 – $4,588 (break & retest)
SL: $4,582
TP: $4,620
🔍 Notes
Strong bullish momentum prior to consolidation
Watch for volume expansion on breakout
Favorable risk-to-reward toward liquidity highs
⚠️ Risk management is essential. Never risk more than 1–2% per trade.
This is not a financial advice
XAUUSD | Weekly Outlook | Jan 2nd Week | 20261. Bias
Bullish with downside risk; range-bound near major resistance.
2. Key Levels
Support: 4,470–4,480
Major Support: 4,380–4,400
Resistance: 4,550 (ATH)
Upper Psychological Level: 4,599–4,600
3. Scenarios
Bullish Continuation: Acceptance above 4,500 and a clean break of 4,550 exposes 4,600, with 4,520 acting as a potential support flip.
Pullback (Healthy Correction): Rejection from 4,510–4,550 may lead price back toward 4,460–4,480 while maintaining bullish market structure.
Bearish Scenario: Strong rejection from ATH zone followed by loss of 4,470 support could accelerate a move toward the 4,380–4,400 demand zone, indicating deeper corrective pressure.
4. Invalidation
Sustained trading below 4,380 invalidates the bullish structure and shifts bias to bearish.
5. Notes
USD Index strength may increase downside volatility and trigger liquidity sweeps before directional clarity.
OrAI (Orachain) AI. Trend. Death, or a Little Later? 01 11 2026Logarithm 1 week. The idea is more educational. In my opinion, it's a dying project simulating utility, fueled by the hype of AI agents. During the hype, it was around $100-$80. Now it's $0.64. That's a price drop of -99.4%. Just think about it...
I also specifically showed buying at the “bottom” between -99 and -99.4, a whopping -40%.
Therefore, when trading something like this, you need to understand that TA (besides understanding the trend direction and reversal zone on a large time frame), the logic of price movement on assets with such liquidity (the "developers pouring in" money and the crowd joining in), is a convention, especially in terms of support/resistance levels.
If desired, the creators of such crypto projects can achieve instantaneous death (sell their remaining crypto coins at the market price and come up with an excuse, such as "we were hacked").
Or, conversely, they can create a “pump stick” with a large percentage, followed by a huge amount of positive news on the community's social media to "restore the faith" of holders and traders. The same applies to selling remaining coins. If you, as a trader, control your risks by following risk management and understand the nature of manipulation, you can catch this moment and profit from it.
🔵 Main trend . A descending channel with a large percentage increment. Developers pump a large percentage and sell while there is liquidity. Then they delist from exchanges and die. Several similar projects, with “new faces” of creators, have already been created using the proceeds to fuel hype. This is practically the case, and we must accept this. The price is at dynamic support within the internal channel. A rebound would be rational (to sell off the remaining stock before delisting from the exchanges with the main liquidity where it is traded) if the market turns green on or around January 17th.
🟡 Secondary Trend . The targets of the huge "head and shoulders" pattern have been realized, with impressive pumps in part of the formation due to low liquidity at +1000%, and, naturally, similar corrective movements.
🟣 Local Trend . The -88% target of the second component of the pattern, namely the descending flag, is currently being realized. The % targets according to the classic TA have not yet been fully realized (not necessarily to the exact %), but are close to completion. The decline has currently stopped at the dynamic support of the main trend within the internal channel. If a reversal occurs from this zone or slightly below, I've shown the percentage for orientation. What's important for the chart is a breakout of the local downward trend (highlighted in purple). In the long term, and perhaps even in the medium term, this could spell the end of the project. It will be interesting to follow up in the future and see how they proceed.
Bitcoin - Waiting for confirmation on weekly candleWe’re at a critical inflection point for Bitcoin. A weekly close above the orange trendline would strongly favor continuation toward $100k. Structurally, this could still be interpreted as a right shoulder within a large weekly head and shoulders formation unless price decisively breaks through resistance. A clean break and close above that level would invalidate the bearish structure and instead signal the potential start of an extreme bull run.
If Bitcoin fails to close above the orange trendline, I expect either downside or extended consolidation before another attempt. At that point, the setup looks weak. Personally, that’s where I would exit rather than sit through uncertainty.
"Bear Flag" - The Lazy Bitcoin Pattern Every Dog KnowsIt always surprises me how lazy technical analysis has become. What has TA turned into? Google image search "bearish pattern" → draw two parallel lines → post for engagement.
Let's go candle by candle since nobody else will:
Within this "bearish pennant" - which depending on how you draw your trendlines is ALSO clearly a rising wedge - there are about 80 different patterns unfolding. But sure, let's talk about the one pattern your dog could identify.
Here's what kills me: Did anyone mention the micro head and shoulders forming inside this structure? No? Just lazy bear flag posts? Nobody's talking about the patterns within the pattern.
THE STRUCTURE:
Cup & Handle, inverses etc forming inside a Rising Wedge
Inside a Rounded Triple Bottom
Forming the right shoulder of a macro Inverse Head & Shoulders
Micro H&S within the current consolidation
Neckline sits at 97.5K
Broken uptrend now acting as a MAGNET - price will hug this line on the way back up
THE LEVELS (since nobody else gave you any):
Invalidation: 94,266 - Break this and the micro H&S fails
Target 1: 95K - Within 7 days
Target 2: 105K - Within 30 days if structure holds
If bearish plays out: 76,556 zone - If that micro H&S breaks down, there's room for one more push lower
THE REALITY:
In this market you have to adapt like water. If 94,266 breaks and the micro H&S plays out bearish, there's room for a final push down. I'm not married to a direction - I'm married to levels and structure. The market will tell you what it wants to do.
But here's what I know: if you're posting bear flags, you better be short. Post your positions or don't post at all. It's complete nonsense if you can't stand on what you post.
I'm long here.
That's the difference. I'm telling you my position, my invalidation, and my targets. Where's yours?
To the bear flag crowd:
Go take your shorts. Post your entries. Show me your stop loss. Explain the logic behind your actual bearish formation beyond "it looks like the picture I googled."
Give me specific invalidation levels. Tell me where you're wrong. Otherwise you're just posting for likes while real traders are positioning.
95K in 7 days. 105K in 30. I'm long.
Your move.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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