IP Sell/Short Setup (12H)A key trendline has been broken, and on the chart, along with a bearish CH, we’ve also seen a sweep of a support zone.
The price is expected to drop downward upon reaching the order block.
The target could be the green line.
A candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Pivot Points
USDCAD short to longUSDCAD has shown a new high in the market on the Daily. On lower TF, we see consolidation, expansion up before strong selling causing a break of market structure. Today, I am expecting price to sell at the midpoint or value of that consolidation (Entries are at 1.39364). Should be a nice snipe of 97 pips targeting 1.38357. After target is met, I'll enter buys at the sell's TP targeting 1.39583.
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsThe Bank Nifty ended the week at 54,389.35, down -1.93%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
54,273 to 54,506 – This blue-shaded range is the key area to watch. A breakout on either side could set the tone for the week ahead.
Support Levels:
S1: 53,925
S2: 53,460
S3: 53,038
Resistance Levels:
R1: 54,857
R2: 55,326
R3: 55,813
📈 Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
If Bank Nifty sustains above the pivot high of 54,506, buyers may step in, driving the index toward R1 (54,857). With momentum, further targets are R2 (55,326) and R3 (55,813).
Bearish Scenario:
If the index breaks below the pivot low of 54,273, sellers could dominate, pushing it toward S1 (53,925), with deeper downside levels at S2 (53,460) and S3 (53,038).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,654.70, closing with a sharp decline of -2.65%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,577 to 24,734 – This range will act as a crucial decision-making zone for trend continuation or reversal. A breakout from this zone is likely to set the market tone.
Support Levels:
Support 1 (S1): 24,343
Support 2 (S2): 24,031
Support 3 (S3): 23,763
Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1 (R1): 24,971
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,287
Resistance 3 (R3): 25,524
📈 Market Outlook
Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty sustains above the pivot zone high of 24,734, it may witness fresh buying momentum. Upside targets include R1 (24,971), followed by R2 (25,287) and R3 (25,524).
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above the pivot low of 24,577 could invite selling pressure. On the downside, the index may test S1 (24,343), with extended weakness dragging it towards S2 (24,031) and S3 (23,763).
Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800? The Golden Run Continues: XAUUSD Eyes $3800?
Prior Bullish Momentum & Consolidation : XAUUSD entered a period of consolidation following a robust bullish rally earlier in the year. This initial surge established a strong underlying demand.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation : This consolidation phase manifested as a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. This pattern typically represents a period of indecision, or accumulation/distribution, before a continuation of the prior trend.
Decisive Bullish Breakout: Gold has now executed a powerful and decisive upward breakout from the upper trendline of this symmetrical triangle. This action confirms the prevailing bullish sentiment and signals the likely resumption of the uptrend.
Key Support Level Established: The former upper trendline of the triangle, now residing around the $3500 mark, has effectively transformed into a critical immediate support level. A successful retest and hold of this level would further validate the breakout.
Strong Upward Trajectory: Post-breakout, the price action has been emphatically bullish, currently exhibiting a steep ascent within the marked green channel, indicating significant buying pressure.
Primary Price Target at Based on the measured move principle, often applied to symmetrical triangle breakouts (projecting the height of the pattern from the breakout point), our primary upside target for XAUUSD is 3800. This implies significant rally potential from current levels.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis - 28.09.25Welcome! Enjoy the Analysis and read carefully ;)
We did some adjustments and changes to the counts which do not affect the short term analyses and counts by much.
We assume that the last ATH was the end of a Wave 3 in blue and we are now looking for another Wave 4 into Wave 5. The Wave 4 support area is between the 0.236 FIB at 113187.3 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 101704.4 USD. Technically we could go a bit lower but preferably we do not break the 0.618 FIB at 96955.9 USD substantial.
We count the blue Wave 4 as an WXY in red of which we finished Wave W and most likely Wave X and currently we are forming Wave Y as an ABC. We have a yellow ABC which theoretically could be the whole Wave Y but it seems a bit shallow in time and regarding price we would like to see another low for that scenario. For that reason we also have a red ABC on the chart which would be the extended correction of Y in this case the yellow ABC would be only the red Wave A of the extended correction.
If the yellow C goes lower the next targets for it would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 107189.9 USD and then the 1.382 FIB at 104733.8 USD. The Wave B resistance area would be between the 0.382 FIB at 112045.6 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 116799.6 USD. Be aware that B Waves are hard to predict.
The target for the Wave Y is the 0.618 FIB at 107448.1 USD which is in confluence with the 1 to 1 FIB target of the yellow Wave C as well as the 0.382 FIB of the support area. The next target would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 101496.5 USD which is at confluence with the 0.5 FIB of the support area.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC — Sunday Liquidity TrapAfter hitting the BIG resistance at $117,896 (0.618 Fib retracement), BTC rejected as anticipated and started its current downtrend. The anchored VWAP from the $117.9K high has been an excellent guide, acting as resistance → most recently at $113,800, where it provided a clean short entry.
Over the weekend, BTC has traded sideways. We just saw a small pump to clear the range highs and take out buy-side liquidity, a common setup before markets rotate lower to sweep sell-side liquidity.
Key Confluence Zone
The next level of interest sits around $108,250, where multiple factors align:
Monthly Open: $108,246.36
Daily Level: $108,246.35
0.618 Fib Retracement: $108,236.67
Liquidity cluster with many stop-losses residing here
If this zone fails to hold, the next downside interest lies at:
Key Low: $107,255 → possible SFP area
0.666 Fib Retracement: $106,975.52 → additional support
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: Long around $108,250 (mOpen confluence zone)
Stop-Loss: Below 0.666 Fib retracement (~$106,975)
Take Profit: TP1 → $111K, if volume expands → trail stop for higher targets
R:R: ~1:2
Market Insight
Sunday pumps are notoriously unreliable, often designed to trap traders into late longs before a pullback wipes them out. This setup reflects exactly that dynamic.
Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
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XRP - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis - 28.09.25Welcome
We assume that the low on the 7th of April formed the green Wave 4 and we are since then working on the green Wave 5 which is the last Wave to the upside of this bullmarket for XPR.
We have already formed the blue Wave 1, 2 and most likely 3 of the green Wave 5 and we are working on the blue Wave 4. The green Wave 5 appears to be an ending diagonal.
We are still working on the blue Wave 4 which currently we count as an WXY in red of which we finished Wave W and X and are working on Y. Wave Y would unfold as ABC. The Wave 4 support area lies between the 0.5 FIB at 2.6350 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2.1909 USD. The next targets to the downside for Y are the 2.5160 USD and the 2.3728 USD price level depending on the count and measurement. The 2.4161 USD price level is also interesting as it is the point of control of the previous price action which could function as additional support as well as the white trendline that we have going through the support area.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XAUUSD: Trend in 30-Min timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, channels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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US30 -Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: US30
🔹 HTF Overview: Structure bullish; market momentum favors the upside.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for a deep sweep of stop-losses (SSL) to refine continuation setup.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once SSL is taken, drop to lower timeframe for CHoCH confirmation and precise entries.
🔹 Targets: Mid- to long-term highs, aligned with bullish structure and liquidity zones.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is key—let smart money lead before committing.
EURJPY - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: EURJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Price structure bullish, though prints not perfectly clean. Monitoring carefully.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for sweep of stop-losses (SSL) into the midterm OB area to refine continuation setup.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once MTF sweep occurs, will drop to lower timeframe for proper alignment and entries.
🔹 Targets: Midterm liquidity pools and highs above recent structure.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is critical—wait for smart money confirmation before committing.
GBPJPY - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: GBPJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Price has been respecting structure cleanly across all timeframes. Bullish bias intact.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Continuation plays forming toward midterm highs. Momentum aligned with HTF structure.
🔹 LTF Setup: Watching for lower-timeframe alignment to refine entries in line with continuation moves.
🔹 Targets: Midterm highs and liquidity above recent structure.
🔹 Mindset Note: Let structure and smart money lead—patience ensures optimal entries.
NZDUSD - Bearish Bias
🔹 Pair: NZDUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price showing bearish intent, respecting higher-timeframe structure.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for a sweep of liquidity in the midterm OB. This will highlight smart money interest and refine continuation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once the sweep occurs, I’ll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries into premium OB areas for optimal short positions.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity zones aligned with bearish momentum.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is key—let smart money guide before taking the trade.
AUDUSD - Bullish Bias
🔹 Pair: AUDUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price respected higher-timeframe bullish structure and swept past the MTF OB with momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Mitigation occurred in the deeper hidden anchor OB. Waiting for a clean midterm CHoCH to confirm continuation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once the MTF CHoCH prints, I’ll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries and align with discounted areas.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity points above recent structure in line with bullish bias.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience and alignment across timeframes remains the edge.
BTCUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Price remains strong and bullish, respecting higher-timeframe structure with clear upward momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for midterm alignment—once a lower-high (LH) breach occurs, we’ll position for continuation with fresh OB areas.
🔹 LTF Setup: Currently in a deep anchor OB. Waiting for the hold and CHoCH switch before committing to long entries.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity zones above recent highs, aligned with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Let smart money lead—patience ensures optimal timing and execution.
XAUUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Gold (XAUUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Market structure remains bullish, with strong upside intent still intact.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for price to sweep short-term sell-side liquidity and mitigate the deeper OB below—this will refine the continuation play.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once MTF objectives are cleared, I’ll align with CHoCH and fresh OB prints on the lower timeframe to position long.
🔹 Targets: Eyes remain on higher liquidity pools in line with bullish market rhythm.
🔹 Mindset Note: Timing is everything—patience until MTF and LTF structure align.
UJ - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: USDJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Bullish structure well respected, with clean momentum driving price higher.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Price mitigated our midterm OB, held firmly, and validated the continuation longs we’ve been anticipating.
🔹 LTF Setup: Bullish setups already played out—now waiting for fresh alignments and new mitigations to position for the next leg.
🔹 Targets: Eyes on mid- to long-term highs as liquidity magnets in line with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience sharpens precision—let the market confirm before engaging.
GU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: GBPUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price swept liquidity, then respected a higher-timeframe order block. Momentum shifted bullish with a steady rhythm.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Initial OB mitigation failed cleanly, but price tapped deeper into hidden anchor OBs. From here, expecting smart money to defend and guide the move higher.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and a fresh OB print. Once midterm structure aligns, I’ll refine entries from the LTF.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity pools above recent highs in line with bullish HTF intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the real entry—let smart money confirm before committing.
EU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: EURUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Major higher-high order block respected cleanly. Strong bullish intent and volume confirmed; market structure favors upside continuation.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Original OB failed, but price tapped deeper into the hidden anchor block. Expecting this zone to act as the true smart money foundation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and lower-high break. After that, I’ll target a pullback below 50% equilibrium into discounted areas for long entries.
🔹 Targets: Continuation toward higher-timeframe liquidity above recent highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge. Smart money confirms before committing.






















