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Pivot Points

Has Life Sprung Back in ALTS?Quick ETH Trade Update — Market Showing Signs Of Life Just a short update for everyone who’s been following my ETH long position — I’m still in, and we’re finally seeing some movement! There’s been a bit of news that brought life back into the market, especially across altcoins, and I wanted to share my quick thoughts on what this means. I’ll also cover what I’m watching next, my invalidation levels, and what would make me either hold or scale out of the trade. Stay patient, stay focused — the move could just be starting. #Ethereum #ETH #Altcoins #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #ICTStrategy
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Trader-Alchemist
1
Gold Bearish Bias for the Day📅 Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025 🕓 4H Timeframe 1️⃣ Market Context After a strong impulsive bullish run, GOLD is currently consolidating near a heavy supply zone ($4340–$4370). Price has failed to make a new higher high and is now showing early signs of exhaustion — potential short-term distribution in progress. 2️⃣ Bias: Bearish (Intraday/Short-Term) Expecting a retracement or corrective leg back into the previous demand zone ($4200–$4230). This could form a clean short-term sell opportunity before the next major bullish continuation resumes. 3️⃣ Trade Plan Entry Zone: 4340–4360 (Short/Sell entries from premium supply zone) Stop Loss: Above 4375 (above previous swing high / invalidation) Targets: TP1 → 4290 TP2 → 4250 TP3 → 4205 (final demand zone retest) RRR: 1:3+ potential depending on entry precision 4️⃣ Confirmation Triggers ✅ Bearish engulfing or rejection wick from supply zone ✅ BOS (Break of short-term structure) on lower TF (1H/15M) ✅ Volume drop on retest = ideal entry signal 5️⃣ Intraday Summary If GOLD holds below 4360 — bias stays bearish. Only a clean 4H close above 4375 will flip structure bullish again. Until then, focus on shorting premium areas toward discount levels below $4250. 💬 Conclusion: "Sell the premium, buy the discount" — today GOLD looks ripe for a controlled bearish correction before the next leg up. Stay patient, wait for confirmation, and don’t chase longs inside supply.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Champ_of_Gold
2
1.40 Appears Pivotal For USD/CADUSD/CAD remains in an established uptrend on the daily chart, although momentum showed signs of turning lower on Friday. Still, the 1.40 handle and monthly R1 pivot sit close by as a key support zone, making this area pivotal for both bulls and bears in the near term. If the support zone holds, the bias favours a move toward 1.41, near the monthly R2 pivot. However, a break below 1.40 would shift focus to the high-volume node (HVN) at 1.3948, where bears may look to extend downside pressure. Given the prevailing uptrend, bulls may continue to watch for evidence of a swing low before re-entering. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by City Index
1
GBP/CAD Looks Set To Mean RevertA two-bar bearish reversal pattern (dark cloud cover) has formed around the monthly D1 pivot, suggesting that momentum could temporarily shift lower. Bears may look to fade retracements within the reversal zone and maintain a short-term bearish bias while prices remain below last week’s high. The 20-day EMA, 50-day EMA, and monthly pivot point could serve as downside targets for bears — or potential swing-low zones for bulls to monitor. A break below 1.8550 would signal a deeper correction or potentially a trend reversal in progress. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by City Index
BTC 2026 Outlook - Roadmap Speculation to $300KHello BTC Watchers. Let's talk about BTC in the Logarithmic view. I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "lines" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future? It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "lines". Even the fifth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price. This would mean the new peak could be in 2026 around USD 300k. It's important to note that this ay not be a straight line up. As you'll see, although the price has been increasing exponentially, there have been periods of hard pullbacks or corrections. These are great times to enter the market, NOT when the price is close to the peak of the curve (in green). So could it be that this is just another dip in the road towards a new ATH - despite the recent market liquidation?
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Check-
26
DLO 1D: steady within the channel, eyes on $20+On the daily chart, DLocal keeps trading inside a clean upward channel. After a strong leg up, price is pulling back toward the 13.12–13.90 buy zone - a confluence of the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the channel’s lower boundary. As long as both MA50 and MA200 stay below price, buyers remain in control. Volume expansion supports the idea of another bullish swing ahead. First resistance is near $16.45, with the broader target sitting at $20.57 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. From a fundamental standpoint, DLocal keeps strengthening its presence in emerging markets. The fintech theme is still alive, and this setup looks like a calm pullback before another push higher. In short - wait for confirmation around support, then let the trend do the heavy lifting. Just remember: even the cleanest channels have bumps along the road
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
SOL Waiting at the weekly pivot...CRYPTOCAP:SOL has fallen out of the wedge, an interior wave 5 completion structure, which suggests we should see a broader sell off to the next High Volume Node in interior wave 2, $120. It is concerning no new high was made and backs up a deeper correction. This would also meet the ascending the weekly 200EMA. Weekly RSi is crossed bearish but price remains above the weekly pivot and EMA which is bullish. Direction is ambiguous for now. A push back into the wedge would flip the outlook bullish. Wave 5 target remains $600 at the R5 weekly pivot. Safe trading
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
$ONDO wave (2) Bottomed?LSE:ONDO appears to have completed wave 2 with WXY complex correction ending at the major High Volume Node support just above the golden pocket. Weekly RSi has printed bullish divergence but is not yet confirmed. A dip into the wick and High Volume Node is to be expected before high but may not get there. Wave (3) has an initial target of the R2 weekly pivot at $3.18, a strong move from here. $1.22 weekly pivot and High Volume Node will put up a fight. Safe trading
COINBASE:ONDOUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
1
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin also cross $100,000?!Bitcoin is located between EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. In case of an upward correction towards the specified supply range, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Bitcoin’s recent rally has stalled under macroeconomic pressures, marking one of the most significant events in the asset’s history. With capital inflows into ETFs slowing and volatility spiking, the market has entered a recalibration phase—characterized by deleveraging, cautious investor sentiment, and a reliance on new demand to reignite the bullish trend. This latest price decline is particularly concerning, as it marks the third time since late August that Bitcoin has fallen below roughly $117,000, a zone where most large holders are now underwater. Following the largest liquidation cascade in Bitcoin’s history, capital inflows into U.S. spot ETFs have weakened alongside price declines. At the same time, the derivatives market has seen a sharp reduction in leverage, while ETF investors have shown mild selling pressure, resulting in a net outflow of about 2.3K BTC so far this week. Unlike previous capitulation phases, where outflows typically accelerated price drops, the current slowdown reflects hesitation rather than panic. However, if weakness persists or ETF inflows take longer to recover, it could signal fragility on the demand side, undermining one of the core drivers behind Bitcoin’s past rallies. During the recent liquidation wave, spot trading volumes surged to some of the highest levels of the year, reflecting intense market activity as traders rapidly adjusted their positions amid heightened volatility. ...داده‌اند In Q3 of this year, the number of publicly traded companies holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets hit a new record — despite ongoing market turbulence. According to data from Bitwise Asset Management, the number of listed firms with Bitcoin holdings grew by nearly 40% in just three months, reaching 172 companies. Still, a recent October survey by Bank of America shows that 76% of investors currently hold no exposure to cryptocurrencies, up from 67% in September. Even among those with some allocation to digital assets, exposure remains minimal: • 3% of investors hold only 2% of their portfolios in crypto. • 1% allocate around 4% to cryptocurrencies. • 3% have 8% or more of their portfolios invested in digital assets....
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for a Decisive Week?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. As long as the Nasdaq is in its range, you can be a seller at the top of the range and a buyer at the bottom. If this range is broken, you can look for new trends in the Nasdaq. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September 2025 will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 a.m. New York time (4:00 p.m. Tehran time). This release comes as most other economic data have been delayed due to the ongoing federal government shutdown, which has suspended normal operations. The CPI report is particularly important for the U.S. Social Security Administration, as it serves as the basis for calculating annual adjustments to retirement benefits and other statutory payments. In a statement released on Friday, the agency confirmed that it would temporarily recall a limited number of furloughed employees to ensure the timely publication of the CPI report. Originally scheduled for October 15, the release has now been rescheduled for October 24. This CPI release will be among the few remaining economic datasets published by federal agencies during the shutdown. Since October 1, most data-producing institutions have ceased operations amid political deadlock between Democrats and Republicans that has halted large portions of federal services. With the federal shutdown continuing, U.S. markets are increasingly relying on private-sector data to gauge the state of the economy. In the upcoming week, indicators such as housing sales and private manufacturing surveys will be released, serving as alternative references for traders and analysts. Without access to official government data, investors, businesses, and consumers face a heightened level of uncertainty, making it difficult to plan for spending, hiring, and saving decisions. The CPI report could play a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, as the FOMC will have access to the data ahead of its October 28–29 policy meeting. Fed officials are currently debating whether to cut interest rates further, and if so, how quickly. In September, the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate to support a weakening labor market by reducing borrowing costs across short-term loans. Another rate cut is widely expected in October, though elevated inflation could slow or prevent further easing. The Chief Financial Officer of Bank of America (BOFA) stated that the bank expects two additional rate cuts by the Fed before the end of this year. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently warned about downside risks to the labor market, sparking speculation that he might have had early access to the yet-unreleased September employment report. However, a closer examination of his remarks shows no confirmation or denial of such access. The key takeaway from Powell’s speech was his firm reaffirmation of market expectations for a rate cut later this month, delivered without any sign of hesitation or opposition — a clear and confident signal to investors. In another commentary, Bank of America highlighted that the current boom in AI data centers is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of the early 2000s. The bank attributed today’s expansion to strong semiconductor utilization, healthy cash flows, lower valuations, and a more favorable interest rate environment. Nonetheless, it acknowledged ongoing concerns about excessive spending and stretched valuations in certain AI sectors. Finally, the October Bank of America investor survey revealed that recession fears have fallen to their lowest level since February 2022, while optimism about economic growth has seen its strongest jump since 2020: • 33% expect a “no-landing” scenario (up from 18%) • 54% foresee a “soft landing” (down from 67%) • 8% anticipate a “hard landing” (down from 10%).
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
$ETH Macro unchangedNothing has changed for me on the CRYPTOCAP:ETH macro. The pullback was shallow for a wave 2 not even hitting the weekly pivot or 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. We expect wave 2 to be a sharper drop to at least the 0.382. This has me skeptical about higher straight away without further downside. If the bottom is in then wave 3 should kick in and be a powerful move into price discovery with initial target of the R5 weekly pivot $8500 Further downside should be expected as we are below major High Volume Node resistance, weekly RSI is bearish with rom to fall. The first target is the weekly pivot at $3200, followed by the rising weekly 200EMA, High Volume Node support and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $2600 Safe trading
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
AAVE Macro changed... Another huge triangle?EURONEXT:AAVE macro has changed with the recent price action. We appear to printing a multi-year macro triangle in wave B, with wave (C) now complete on last weeks wipeout. Price touched the S1 pivot and High Volume Node support just above the golden pocket. Weekly RSi still has room to fall with no bullish divergence yet. The next longer term target will be the pivot point and the top of the first wave of wave D, $260, followed by the triangle upper boundary at ~$340. Breaking out of the triangle has a first target of the all time high at $670. Not what AAVE investors want to see but still a x3 from here. Price is above the weekly 200EMA but only just. Analysis is invalidated if we fall below wave (A), $102 and will liley see a slow death to $45 if this happens. Safe trading
COINBASE:AAVEUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
Sideways No More?Waypoint REIT (WPR) has been range bound for nearly six years, but the current structure hints at a potential breakout. Price has retraced to the top of the long-term range and is now finding support at two key 50% levels projected from major swing highs and lows. Trade Scenario 1: Aggressive Entry Entry: Current levels Stop Loss: Just below the bullish engulfing candle from the week ending 19 Oct Target: Initial TP just under the yearly R2 pivot. Beyond that, trail your stop below new swing lows to manage risk. Minimum Range Target: $3.70 This setup favors traders looking to front run the breakout with tight risk control. Trade Scenario 2: Conservative Confirmation Entry: Wait for a clean breakout and hold above the $2.82 high Stop Loss & Targets: Same as above initial TP near R2, then trail stops with structure This approach suits those prioritizing confirmation over early positioning.
ASX:WPRLong
by AlvinDeo96
Apple (AAPL) – Potential Short-Term UpsideOn the 4-hour chart, Apple began a noticeable downward trend around October 8. That trend appears to have shifted around October 16, when the stock hit a low of $245. Since then, it has rebounded to approximately $252. The strength of this bounce suggests the possibility of continued upward momentum in the short term, potentially lasting through the week leading up to earnings on October 30. Traders may want to watch for support near $245–$248 and resistance near $255–$257, which could indicate the next potential price moves.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AboveTheLine
1
BTCUSDT: Trend in 4-H time frameBitcoin has dropped to around $102,300. The key support level and the 50 MV in weekly time frame are both located near $99,700. It’s important to note that there’s a $3,000 price gap, which makes a retest of that zone quite possible. Looking at Bitcoin’s current setup, there’s also a chance it could retest the 200 MV in daily time frame, situated near $106,800. A major resistance level can be found around $115,800, and price action around that zone should be watched closely. Overall, market conditions remain uncertain and unsettled, making it difficult to define a clear trend for Bitcoin or the broader market. That said, the overall trend remains bearish, with potential downside targets across different timeframes around $91700, $81200, $75100, and $70300. Reactions at these levels are to be expected — but if this downward trajectory continues, altcoins are likely to suffer more severely, possibly testing even lower price levels. The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames. A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas. So, Please pay special attention to the two accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive. BEST, MT
by MT_T
2
XAUUSD Weekly expectations Long/Shirt ?! 🧩 Market Overview Gold is currently trading around $4,253 , after a strong drop of about -1.6% . Price is moving inside a rising (uptrend) channel, but the recent red candle shows selling pressure. ⚙️ Key Zones Resistance: $4,378 → Recent high where price was rejected Support: $4,036 → Previous low / major demand zone Buffer Zone: $4,200 → Important area to watch for bounce or breakdown SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Below $4,200 → Possible stop-hunt area 📊 Possible Scenarios 🟢 Bullish : If price bounces from the $4,200 buffer zone, it may continue higher towards $4,300–$4,378. 🔴 Bearish : If price breaks and closes below $4,200 , it may fall toward $4,100–$4,036 . My View Gold is now near a decision zone. I’ll wait to see if buyers defend $4,200 or if sellers break it down. No rush — patience brings better entries. 💬 Disclaimer This is not financial advice. It’s an educational analysis based on technical structure and liquidity levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Champ_of_Gold
2