SOL — Deep Pullback Into Major SupportSOL has been in a steady freefall over the past weeks. On the higher timeframes the key support and resistance zones are very clearly defined. The $250 level acted as a big resistance area, with multiple rejections showing sellers were firmly in control up there.
On the downside, the $125 support zone has shown clear strength, with bulls defending this area and producing strong bounces each time price revisited it.
The swing low at $126 presents an attractive long opportunity, especially with the sell-side liquidity and the quarterly level at $124.54 sitting just below, adding further confluence. Additionally, the anchored VWAP from the $8 low lies around $114, aligning almost perfectly with the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement at $113.3, providing deeper support should price extend lower.
Long Entry Zones:
0.786 Fib: $129.13
0.886 Fib: $113.3
Why the 0.786–0.886 Zone Is a Major Reversal Area
The 0.786–0.886 Fib zone is one of the best spots to look for a reversal after a deep pullback. It’s where strong trends often take their final dip before bouncing.
Here’s why it works so well:
It’s the typical “deep correction” zone in strong trends.
Price usually sweeps sell-side liquidity here before reversing.
Many harmonic patterns use this exact area as their turning point.
It often lines up with anchored VWAPs or volume nodes, adding extra support.
It’s basically the capitulation zone where weak hands exit right before a bounce.
Overall, it’s a clean area with clear invalidation and great R:R → perfect for spotting high-probability reversal setups.
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Pivot Points
Upcoming rotation from big tech to crypto?Tech SP:SPX and crypto CRYPTOCAP:BTC have been tightly correlated despite suggestions that crypto is a hedge. Therefore it's surprising to see the relative outperformance in tech this year.
In fact, Bitcoin has just gone negative on the year, while the stock market is up double digits again after a sharp April drawdown.
History suggests that crypto / stock relationship should return to a tight correlation, but how do we get there? Will stocks hold and crypto appreciate? Will crypto hold and stocks depreciate?
I think crypto could dig in around current levels, but there's a very good chance I'm mental lol!
Buy the bottom of the PayPal uptrendNASDAQ:PYPL is known to be a high value stock with a depressing valuation.
Investors are under optimistic due to the struggling performance the past several years after a dizzying rally during the pandemic.
Recently the stock rallied on earnings due to a deal with Open-AI. Shares quickly gave the spike back and headed lower along with a broader tech pullback on AI bubble fears.
NASDAQ:PYPL has now undercut a long term upward trend line. Judging by the past few times this has happened, it could be a fantastic setup. It looks like the downtrend was broken in late 2024 when the price bottomed on an RSI divergence. The shares seem to be coiling up for a big move, and have been for almost a year now.
BTC possible scalping buyI would like to see BTC drop into the 94,100 zone to look for a potential bullish rebound, targeting the 97,900 area. This plan only becomes valid if we get a clear bounce inside the grey support zone marked at the bottom of the chart.
However, if price prints a strong bearish candle with a large body in that zone, I will not take the long setup. Instead, I would shift my bias and look for an opportunity to continue trading with the downward trend, aiming for lower levels.
The key here is confirmation, not anticipation — reacting to what price shows, not what we hope to see.
Summary:
📍 Long setup: Only if BTC shows a clear bounce at 94,100 → Target 97,900.
❌ Invalidation: A strong bearish candle in the zone.
🔄 Plan B: Look for shorts if support fails decisively.
EURUSD Long: Buyers Targeting a Move Toward 1.1670 ResistanceHello traders! EURUSD is maintaining a bullish structure after rebounding from the Demand Zone at 1.1600–1.1610, where buyers consistently stepped in to defend support. This area also aligns with the Demand Line of the ascending channel, making it a key decision point for the current uptrend. Earlier, the pair formed a Rounding Top near the 1.1650–1.1670 Supply Zone, which triggered a downside breakout and a short-term correction. Once price reached the pivot point around 1.1530, buyers regained control and initiated a steady recovery, forming a clean ascending channel.
Currently, EURUSD is approaching the Supply Zone at 1.1650–1.1670, which also aligns with the Supply Line of the channel — creating a strong confluence resistance area. A breakout above this zone would confirm bullish continuation toward the next major liquidity cluster. As long as the pair holds above the Demand Line, the bullish structure remains intact. A minor pullback toward the 1.1610–1.1620 Demand Zone would be considered a healthy correction within the trend.
My scenario as long as EURUSD stays above 1.1600–1.1610, buyers remain in control and the bullish channel is valid. The primary upside target is 1.1670, which serves as both a Supply Zone and a key structural resistance. A confirmed breakout above 1.1670 would signal continuation toward higher levels and mark a shift into a stronger bullish phase. If the pair rejects the Supply Zone, a pullback toward 1.1620–1.1600 is likely, where buyers may re-enter. A break below 1.1600 would weaken the bullish outlook and open the path toward deeper correction. For now, the market favors buying pullbacks while holding above demand. Manage your risk!
Smart Money Roadmap: Gold’s Next Move Mapped OutGold is currently reacting inside a high-impact Smart Money footprint zone after a strong bearish move. Price has left multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) above, suggesting a potential short-term bullish correction as institutions rebalance inefficiencies. The first logical target is the upper FVG zone around 4,139, where price may face strong resistance.
Below, a critical Smart Money support area around 4,033 – 4,062 is acting as a decision point. If price holds above this zone, we could see a healthy pullback toward FVG imbalances. But if price breaks below the Smart Money support and crosses into the warning region, the next downside target aligns with the channel projection near 3,911, opening the door for deeper sell opportunities.
Gold has printed a strong bearish leg, leaving behind clear Smart Money footprints. The current zone around 4,033 – 4,062 is a key institutional support area. As long as price respects this zone, Smart Money may push into the upper Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) around 4,139, which would be the first target for a corrective move.
However, a break below the Smart Money zone triggers a major warning. If price falls into the red channel, it opens clean sell opportunities with a downside projection toward 3,911. This level lines up with the bottom of the descending channel and represents a deeper liquidity target.
🟢 Bullish bias → only if price respects the Smart Money support and moves to fill upper FVGs.
🔴 Bearish continuation → if price breaks below the warning zone and enters the channel.
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Fair Value Gaps, liquidity levels, and institutional price behavior.
XAUUSD PLAN & IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR INTRADAY ( 17 NOV 25 )This chart shows the important support and resistance levels for OANDA:XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe. The price recently made a sharp fall from the upper resistance zone, and it is now holding above a minor support area. The market is trying to pull back, but the overall structure still looks bearish.
My plan is simple. If the price moves back into FX:XAUUSD the highlighted supply zone, I will wait for signs of rejection. If a clear bearish signal appears, I expect the market to continue falling towards the lower support near the green line. However, if the price breaks above the supply zone with strong momentum, then the bearish idea will be invalid for the moment.
Lets wait for a cleaner entry instead of rushing into trades.
AUD/USD Holds Above 100-day EMAWhile the Aussie saw two-way volatility last week and a narrow open-to-close range between Tuesday and Friday, my bias remains bullish with scope for a move towards the 0.6580 high.
Risk reversals point to limited downside for AUD/USD on the options market. The pair also posted four consecutive daily closes above the 100-day EMA, with prices attempting to hold above the 20-day EMA. Monday’s strong bullish candle set the tone for the current range, and Thursday’s spinning-top doji highlights demand sitting just above the 200-day EMA.
The one-hour chart shows volumes rising during Friday’s rally but fading during the pullback, suggesting the move lower lacks real bearish intent. If AUD/USD can hold above the September low, the oversold hourly RSI(2) supports a bounce towards 0.6550. A break above that level exposes the weekly R1 near the 0.6580 high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
I wouldn't think to go long on SNPI wouldn't think to go long on SNP at this time. If already in, watch and see what happens. But I, personally, would not enter long at this price.
If perhaps price was to pullback to the grey zone, depending on how it falls, how fast, what happens in that area, etc. you may rethink and possibly look for longs.
But it's quite possible that if/when price begins the downtrend, it may push through this zone. Price will definitely react, but don't think just because price is in this zone, it's now a long. No, at that point think the downtrend is likely to continue, unless of course, the day to day price action says otherwise.
TLDR: don't go long here. If you wish to long, wait for pullback to grey area, then look to see if price is more likely to continue lower or if it has good odds of attacking the all time high.
EURCHF - HTF/Mid-Term OutlookHTF (4H): Bullish
Strong liquidity sits at 0.92676.
We’ve shifted out of the pullback phase and are now aligned with continuation. Mid-term (30M) internal structure has fully formed, mapped, and refined, giving us the framework for a clean bullish leg.
Price took the identified sell-side liquidity (SSL) and dove deeper into the mid-term order block. Normally, I’d expect confirmation from the first orange MTF OB, but price slashed through and tapped into the deeper HTF order block instead — showing that Smart Money wanted a cleaner mitigation.
MTF:
That deeper tap triggered a mid-term trend change, aligning us perfectly with the HTF continuation leg.
The SSL has been swept and price is reacting off a fresh mid-term OB.
HTF candles are also showing strong intent — clean displacement to the right, strong-bodied bullish candle taking control.
If you take it back to candle-reading fundamentals, this is exactly the kind of transition candle that suggests bullish opening momentum once the market opens.
LTF (5M):
Trend change is almost complete inside the overlapping mid-term OBs.
Now all we need is:
• LH break
• Pullback into the 5M OB
• Execution toward external liquidity above
Until then, we let Smart Money direct the delivery cycle and stay patient.
Let’s go.
"USDCAD - Waiting for the Mid-Term Sweep Before Re-Alignment"USDCAD — HTF/Mid-Term Outlook
HTF (4H): Bullish
Strong liquidity sits at 1.38864.
We’re currently in a pullback phase, not a continuation. Traders operating only on LTFs will likely feel confusion here if they aren’t interpreting structure correctly — because the higher-timeframe leg is still retracing.
MTF (30M/15M): Developing
I’m waiting for sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be swept so price can drop into the mid-term order block sitting below.
This phase is still developing — no reason to rush ahead before the sweep and proper mitigation confirm alignment.
LTF (5M): Pending
Once the sweep + mitigation hits, I’ll shift to the 5M to look for:
• Trend change
• Lower-high break
• Pullback into the nearest structure OB
• Execution with alignment to the 4H bias
Until then, we stay disciplined.
Smart Money directs the delivery — we wait for price to complete its cycle, then act.
Let’s go.
NZDUSD - Pullback Phase Completing Soon? Liquidity TimingNZDUSD — HTF/Mid-Term Outlook
HTF (4H): Bullish
Major liquidity sits at 0.58447.
Price is currently in a pullback phase and already cleared a lot of courtyard liquidity built from the mid-term structure. We’ve seen a clean drop into the 4H order block, which is the higher-timeframe reaction zone I wanted to see.
MTF (30M): Developing
We’ve already received the mid-term lower-high break, confirming bullish intent.
Now I’m waiting for mid-term sell-side liquidity (SSL) to be taken so price can dip back into the next 30M/4H order block beneath.
That sweep + mitigation = alignment.
LTF (5M): Pending
Once market delivers the mid-term sweep, I’ll drop to the 5M for:
• Trend shift
• Pullback into the nearest structure OB
• Clean execution
Until then, structure is still developing — no chasing.
Smart Money directs the delivery.
We stay patient, disciplined, and let price come to us.
Let’s go.
BTCUSDT: Trend in 2-H time frameMarket conditions remain uncertain and unsettled, making it difficult to define a clear trend for Bitcoin or the broader market. That said, the overall trend remains bearish, with potential downside targets across different timeframes around $91700, $81200, $75100, and $70300. Reactions at these levels are to be expected.
The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the three accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
EURUSD: Updated Support and Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis, important supports
and resistances for EURUSD for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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