GBPUSD - HTF Narrative & Timing OutlookHTF (4H):
GU is bullish. Price swept higher-timeframe liquidity around 1.31335 and mitigated the mid-term OB in the orange zone. Structure held the pullback, and now we’re seeing continuation as lower timeframes confirm the higher-timeframe direction.
MTF (30M):
30M internal structure is forming cleanly. Sell-side liquidity was swept, and price is reacting inside mid-term OB territory. This shows we’re aligning with the HTF continuation phase.
LTF (5M):
5M gave a lower-high break + first BOS, shifting into a bullish trend. I’m waiting for a new high to break and a pullback into refined structure (displacement zone/OB) for confirmation before looking to target the next 4H highs.
Timing Insight:
Everything is aligned — now it’s about waiting for the LTF pullback to complete the delivery cycle.
Targets:
• 5M highs
• 30M highs
• 4H highs
Mindset:
Patience until smart money delivers.
Pivot Points
Bretton Woods 2.0?Examining the long-term trend of TVC:DXY since the 1980s, we might be facing a staggering 40% reduction in valuation, potentially landing us around 60. If the US were to devalue the dollar this drastically, could it effectively erase the national debt? 🤔 Is Trump bold enough to consider such a move?
We know the FED is going to cut eventually, the question is when and by how much? Initial claims came in higher than estimated, with cracks beginning to show in the labor market, how much longer can JPow hold out?
EURUSD - HTF Narrative & Timing OutlookHTF (4H):
Current trend is bullish. Price cleared sell-side liquidity around 1.15725, tapping into HTF internal structure and confirming the higher-timeframe demand. We were in a pullback phase, but now price is confirming the internal low inside the 4H structure, signaling continuation potential.
MTF (30M):
After the mid-term CHoCH from HTF internals, price is likely seeking a mid-term sweep into the OB sitting below. Once we get full-body candles inside that zone, the 30M will align with the continuation narrative.
LTF (5M):
Execution only once 5M gives:
• BOS
• Inducement
• Pullback into refined OB
• Trend change confirmation
This is where entries become valid.
Timing Insight:
Price isn’t fast or slow — it’s simply moving through its delivery cycle. Once timing aligns with HTF, continuation becomes clean.
Targets:
• 5M highs
• 30M highs
• 4H highs
(Depending on external delivery)
Mindset:
Smart money directs price — we stay patient and let timing do its job.
Let’s work.
Crypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money FooCrypto Total Market Cap Is at a BREAKING Point – Smart Money Footprint Explained!
🧠 Smart Money Footprint: The Level Most Retail Traders Ignore
The entire crypto market cap has dropped into a massive Smart Money footprint zone — a level where institutional players historically accumulate before major bullish legs.
At the same time, the $3.85T resistance above is the key battlefield.
👉 If price breaks this level, it flips into support, opening the door for a strong upside continuation.
What This Chart Teaches You 👇
✔ Support → Resistance → Support transitions
✔ How Smart Money leaves footprints at major accumulation zones
✔ Why price often reverses from areas retail traders overlook
✔ Market structure timing for long entries
Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 $3.1T – $3.2T → Smart Money accumulation block
🔹 $3.85T → Major resistance flip zone
🔹 Above this = bullish momentum can accelerate fast
Trade Idea (Educational Only, Not Financial Advice):
📈 Long bias as long as price holds within or above the Smart Money footprint.
🔥 Break & retest of $3.85T = high-probability continuation setup.
If this helped you, hit 👍 and save it — more Smart Money lessons coming!
Comment “SMC” if you want the next educational chart breakdown.
Follow @TradeWithMky for daily Smart Money insights.
Bullish until proven bearishStay bullish, maybe buy retest of first grey area.
Can have a bullish bias for now, but I would look to see if and how price takes out the current high.
If it takes it out, pulls back, follows through = look to long.
If it takes it out, rejects back down, look to short on the rejection, or second sign of weakness.
Look to grey areas (not precise - approximate) for price to potentially stall and/or reverse.
Watch price closer whilst in these areas to know whether to close short, or hold onto it for lower prices.
Look like a decent short if double top is placed here.
AROBS Long/Short Depending on Short-Term MoveIf price breaks above prior high and stays above = look to long.
If price breaks above then snaps back down = look to short.
If short, look to grey lines for support (slowing down price or potentially reversing price).
Need to watch price closely at these levels to see if price wants to simply pullback, then continue lower. Or continue the higher timeframe uptrend higher.
Would be a decent short. But needs to be watched as there are plenty of levels where price may encounter buyers.
SNG down to 9.50 then 8.65Looks like a good short-term short, worth trying out and seeing how long one can hold.
First target 9.50. See how price reacts here. If price breaks 9.50, possible short term pullback, or depending on how price develops, cut short, and look to long.
Depending on how bearish this can stay (assuming price stays below 9.50) a target of 8.65 looks reasonable in the short-term.
Worth a short, closely watched.
Will ARUSDT's Hidden Liquidity Grab Spark a Major Bullish Move?Yello, Paradisers — are you watching ARUSDT closely? Because this setup could develop into one of the cleanest short-term opportunities we’ve seen lately, but only for those who remain patient and calculated. The current structure is showing early signs of a potential bullish shift, and here’s what we’re seeing.
💎ARUSDT has displayed a proper bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) along with a Break of Structure (BOS), both occurring right after a clean sweep of seller-side liquidity. This kind of price action generally signals a potential reversal and significantly increases the probability of a short-term bullish continuation.
💎However, while the bias is clearly tilting bullish, jumping in at current price levels doesn't offer an optimal risk-to-reward setup. Entering now would only give about a 1:1 RR, which isn’t ideal for high-probability trading. The more strategic move would be to wait for a retracement back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG). If price pulls back into that zone and forms a clear bullish candlestick pattern, the probability of a strong move upward increases substantially, and the RR improves in our favor.
💎That said, the setup isn't without its invalidation. If ARUSDT breaks down and we get a candle close below the invalidation level, the entire bullish scenario becomes invalid. In that case, there’s no reason to force a trade. It’s smarter to stay patient and wait for a clearer structure to reappear.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. There will always be another opportunity, but only if you protect your capital and remain disciplined. Stay focused and let the setup come to you — not the other way around.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
DON'T TRADE THESE SUPPORTS AND RESISTANCES (FOREX GOLD)
When it comes to technical analysis,
the understanding of which support and resistance levels to not trade can be as important as knowing which ones to trade.
In this article, I will show you the structure levels that professional traders avoid to maximize their profits and minimize losses.
Invalidated support and resistance
Invalidated support/resistance is the structure that has a clear historical significance, but that lost its strength and was neglected by the market during the last 2 tests.
Have a look at that key horizontal support.
We can see that in the recent past, the price bounced from that multiple times, confirming its significance.
Then, the price suddenly broke and closed below that support.
According to the rules, that structure should turn into a resistance after a violation.
However, after its test, the price bounced and violated that to the upside.
The structure became invalid , and you should not trade that in future.
Resistance in a Bullish Trend
If the market is trading in a bullish trend, according to the rules its last higher high composes a key horizontal resistance.
USDJPY is trading in a strong bullish trend.
The price dropped once it set a new higher high higher close.
It composes a key horizontal resistance.
Always remember, that in a bullish trend, the price tends to set new higher highs and higher lows over time.
Quite often, the test of the level of the last high leads to a further bullish continuation and a formation of a new higher high.
For that reason, it is better not to trade such resistances.
Support in a Bearish Trend
In a bearish trend, the last lower low is always considered to be a key horizontal support.
Above is a price action on USDCHF.
The pair is bearish and recently set a new lower low.
It is a key horizontal support now.
However, in a bearish trend, the price tends to set a new low after a retracement. Most of the time, it does not respect the support based on the last lower low.
I recommend you not to trade such supports.
I always repeat to my students that key levels work, but they are not equal in their significance. While some of them are very strong, some are better to be avoided.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100 8H - real correction or just another dramatic rehearsal?NAS100 held the 24850–25000 demand zone with precision, forming a classic false break followed by a sharp recovery back into the rising channel. Volume expansion on the reversal, strong lower wicks, and sustained support at the dynamic trendline all signal that the medium-term bullish structure remains intact. The path toward 26300 inside the channel stays open, and a breakout above this level unlocks the next target at 27300 - the upper boundary of the current impulse.
The NAS100 index represents the core of the US tech sector, reflecting demand for IT, cloud infrastructure, AI technologies, communication platforms, and high-growth digital companies.
Fundamentally , the backdrop on November 15 strengthens the bullish case: the market continues to price in a softer Fed stance, bond yields are easing, major tech companies are raising guidance, and demand for AI-driven solutions remains stable. With inflation trending into a manageable range and expectations for improved credit conditions rising, liquidity is rotating into high-beta assets, providing structural support and limiting corrective depth. Strong margins, solid earnings and resilient tech demand continue to anchor the broader uptrend.
As long as price holds above 24850–25000, the bullish scenario remains active. A confirmed breakout above 26300 opens the way toward 27300. Any controlled pullback into 24850–25000 remains a buy zone within the prevailing trend.
NASDAQ likes to overact, but more often than not it’s simply warming up before the next performance.
OSCR to below $11 long-termTo be treated as a downtrend.
Currently in a Weekly sideways trend. Price may bounce the bottom of the orange line, and rally higher (50-60% of the range) then fall lower.
Or the recent downtrend may continue lower, with normal sized pullbacks, and continuations lower.
Gaps up / down may give much more clarity as to the short-term direction.
Not bullish on OSCR. Since we're at the bottom of the range, expect buying / demand.
Then watch to see what that demand does. Quite possible, short-term traders will buy and sell rather quickly. When their rally rolls over, you can look at shorting the topping pattern and target the bottom of the range and lower.
Lines drawn are just 2 ways price may develop (big picture).
Blue line may be better if interested to short, as you'll get a better price + closer to resistance.
Orange line, shorting can work as long as trade is watched closely. Usually not a good idea to short a support level. Unless it rejects off of it. One example. Break down below support, retest, short here. Or wait for 2nd breakdown (the breakdown of the lower low, followed by the retest, and break beneath the lower low) and short here.
SUBCLooks to be continuing its downtrend 1st target 165, then possibly (depending on how it develops) lower to 130 (may or may not actually reach that level - could put a bottom before then).
At the moment to be treated as if price is heading to 2nd target of 130. Until a bottoming pattern emerges, and starts forming a new uptrend.
A Case Study- DRREDDY Lab Probable price projectionAs it is clear from the chart it is analysed in weekly time frame
concepts used:
1. Trend and Pattern analysis
2. Pivots.
Observations:
1. price taken support along the trend channel from March 2022
2. Last week, of October 2025, candle has broken the channel successfully.
case 1. :
The channel is so powerful that a fake breakdown happened during April 2nd week 2025 and recovered immediately.
Now it is broken by a weekly candle but on daily time frame a couple of gap down candles are observed. which creates a dilemma whether to consider it a breakdown or not.
For the purpose PIVOTS were considered and it is made clear that the price is below central pivot and taking support at S1.
So, If the price sustains below the marked lower level 1178 (s1) then there is high probability of price moving down and may reach lower levels.
Case 2. :
However if the price sustains above S1 may move upto pivot and may be for retesting and if any rejection from the level may result in price moving down. and if sustains above pivot may slowly move up so that price can retest upper channel.
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 14, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 14, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Last-Hour Bull Spike Erases Weekly Uncertainty; 170 Points Fulfilled Descending Triangle Target!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened the final session of the week with a significant 117.80-point Gap Down. The session started with an OL formation (Open = Low), and the initial gap was swiftly filled within the first 20 minutes. However, the market immediately fell back to the opening price, marking the beginning of an extremely volatile, range-bound day characterized by sharp 50-100 point moves. The price action successfully trapped sellers multiple times around the PDL, IB Low, and Open Price Zone. Gradually, the range tightened, forming a Descending Triangle pattern.
The entire picture shifted dramatically at 3:00 PM when this pattern triggered a powerful breakout, spiking 170 points within 10 minutes and fulfilling the pattern’s target.
The day closed at 25,910.05, near the day’s high and above the Previous Day’s Close (PDC).
This close above 25850 successfully maintains the short-term bullish momentum, setting sights on 26100 and the All-Time High (ATH) next week, provided the crucial 25750 support holds tight.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The session commenced with a deep gap-down, but the initial OL formation saw bulls immediately absorb the selling, filling the gap. However, the rest of the day was a struggle, defined by a choppy, balanced Market Structure with high volatility. The resistance near the previous day’s trading range successfully pushed the index lower repeatedly. The critical development was the formation of the Descending Triangle throughout the afternoon, reflecting consolidation and potential breakout tension. The explosive breakout at 3:00 PM caught many off-guard, demonstrating the sustained underlying buying interest and conviction to close the week strong.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,767.90
High: 25,940.20
Low: 25,740.80
Close: 25,910.05
Change: +30.90 (+0.12%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Small bullish candle with a long lower wick.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 199.40 points — reflecting healthy and active intraday volatility.
Body: ≈ 142.15 points — a moderately sized bullish body, demonstrating buyer dominance by the close.
Upper Wick: ≈ 30.15 points — limited profit booking near the day’s high.
Lower Wick: ≈ 27.10 points — immediate, sharp buying response from the lower levels.
📚 Interpretation
The market opened soft but confirmed buyers were present at the low (25,740). The strong, rapid close near 25,940 is the most important structural element, confirming that the bulls decisively won the weekly close battle. The overall day was active due to factors like financial/election results and the week’s end, but the final action indicates trend continuation.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Candle with minor rejection at highs — This is a strong continuation candle and indicates that the underlying uptrend remains intact heading into next week.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 208.20
IB Range: 112.85 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
13:44 Short Trade – SL Hit
Trade Summary: The tight, volatile, and balanced nature of the day resulted in tricky trade management. Many opportunities arise, but the system is not permitted due to Risk Reward (R:R) Rules.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25920 ~ 25944
25977 ~ 26010
26040
26100
Support Zones:
25880 ~ 25865
25790
25740 ~ 25715
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The close is not just a number; it’s a statement.”
The weekly close is firmly bullish, successfully securing the required level above 25850. The challenge for the start of the next week will be to convert the short-term 25920 ~ 25944 resistance into support. A sustained move above this zone should quickly challenge 26100. For the bears to gain control, they must push the Nifty below the 25750 level.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.















