Surprise Short 🔥 Bulls Are Alive, But Sick 🩸Surprise Short 🔥 Bulls Are Alive, But Sick 🩸
We still believe in our previous Ideas.
We believe in our channels and RSI signals.
And that is why we bet on this short before going for Target 2 (See our previous Idea)
KEY POINTS:
- Volume Is Low = Channel Holds
- Price Action Is At Resistance
- Target Is At Channel Support
- RSI Favors Bears
Leverage: x1
Entry: $36 500
Target: $33 000
Stop Loss: Daily close above $41 000 + 6 six hours
Position
Bitcoin - work on the previous scenario (Intraday 30m TF) BTCHello
As always, a report and an addendum.
Yesterday's mini-review worked properly and was crowned with success.
You can see the result in the previous trading idea.
2% risk management
Now we have opened the long again from 33200-33250
the target pointers are shown on the chart.
Stop for the green block of the buyer.
Statistics 22 positions with profit
Loss - 3 stop loss.
The results are pleasing.
I can provide everyone with the entire trade report.
At the expense of the review, I can assume that there will be a triangle with a preload to the upper border, as well as a return of the price to the sheii zone, where we will test the resistance zone. And I expect an impulse price movement.
We'll see. There are NO guarantees that I am writing, this is only my review, and my vision for the market.
Trade wisely. May the profit come with us.
Bitcoin - Intraday Trading (30-m TF) BTC Long to the neck area? Guys, I am writing right away, I try to write, report, and explain my actions as quickly as possible so that you understand what is at stake. If something is wrong, and you have your own opinion, be sure to write it, maybe I omitted something.
people who trade with me for free, without VIP and without advertising, are satisfied with the work (you can check the reviews yourself)
I am writing this because it is nice to know and see it.
Why I decided to open a small long.
1) - The price made a breakout of the support level, and made a return beyond the 33000 level
2) The price is consolidating in a descending channel.
3) If we assume (theoretically) that we are now in wave 4, then it is likely that the price will return to the support channel line (all this is indicated on the chart)
Likewise, if the price follows my review, and we see that the resistance level, as well as the zone of the "neck" line from the "head and shoulders" pattern
there will be a hold
then we will continue to work with the short position further.
I tried to tell you everything as I see it here.
I do not give any guarantees that this will work 100%, but I try to describe everything that I am doing myself as quickly and usefully as possible.
All successful transactions and trading.
In our statistics
+20 profitable trades
- 3 stop loss
The result is still pleasing.
If there is an error, write it in the comment.
We 💎 HODL *** Bet on V-Shaped Recovery *** Bears = WeaklingsWe 💎 HODL *** Bet on V-Shaped Recovery *** Bears = Weaklings
Extremely negative funding rates yield astonishingly bullish opportunities.
Now, you can long and take the money of the newbie bears in addition to your trade profit.
The support line protects your back.
Bears do not have the momentum and volume to break it anymore.
You may counter-trade the herd and, at the same time, copy trade the professionals.
The Risk-Reward Ratio is marvelous:
We compare a potential $8 000 pump to a possible $2 000 dump.
Our position is:
Side: long
Leverage: x10
Entry: $32 000
Stop loss: $29 900
Target: $40 000
See our previous idea, in RELATED IDEAS, "Beware of 🧟♀️ Undead Bulls! And they can Moondance".
Our success rate has been 100% since we joined TradingView a month ago.
To join our community and browse our private ideas, type "OXY BITS" in the Telegram group search.
Bitcoin - What The next - Dump or Pump - BTC?Hi guys.
Well, I'm back on this platform. I decided to return to duty, because there are those who need it.
I'll start with the main thing.
My main forecast from 59,000 to 29,000 worked 100%
You can see this in my twitter account.
What can I say now, probably something - that there is no need to rush to buy every rollback now.
Because, there are so many factors that indicate a decline below 24,000.
I do not want to scare anyone, this is just my opinion and nothing more. Personally, if I were you, I would go to rest. Because now the price is stuck in a big channel.
Accumulation or distribution - no one will tell you 100%. But to buy every price rollback, you will forgive me, is stupid. It is foolish to work against the trend.
I expect an ascending channel reaching about 37-38 thousand, any decline pattern and continued decline.
There is a second option - if the price is a true breakout, remains below 29800 - look for a short for yourself. Because we will have amirrored level (where the price went up without stopping - it will be the same, only with a decrease)
What I am inclined to at this time is to mark 34850
from there I work in shores up to the level of 29,000.
If this level passes, and the price has been trading there for more than 6 hours, it is definitely long up to 38,000.
Until then, shorts, bears and honey
FUTU : RESET / POSITION TRADEFutu Holdings Limited operates an online brokerage and wealth management platform in Hong Kong and internationally. The company provides trading, clearing, and settlement services; margin financing and securities lending services; and stock yield enhancement program.
While Robinhood gets most of the hype in the US, Chinese wealth management platform Futu Holdings (NASDAQ:FUTU) continues to perform at a high level.
For Q1 of 2021, Futu reported revenue of $283.56 million and EPS of $1.03 per share. While many companies beat estimates, it's impressive the degree that Futu beats at.
Revenues came in $65.52 million over estimates, a beat of 30%. Meanwhile, analysts were expecting EPS of $0.61 (the $1.03 was a beat of 68%). This isn't the first time that Futu Holdings has beaten analyst estimates. The company is a "serial estimate beater" and has continually outpaced estimates.
In Q1 Futu saw accelerated user growth. Paying clients totaled more than 789K, which was a 231% YoY growth. Futu saw YoY paying client growth of 160% in Q4, so the growth in paying users is accelerating. Total revenues were $283.6 million for the quarter, an increase of 349% YoY.
Futu Holdings seems to fly under the radar when comparing its valuation and growth rates to other companies with higher multiples and lower growth. A sustained triple-digit growth rate is remarkable, and Futu's Q1 earnings showed that this trend remains intact. While execution always needs to be proven quarter by quarter, a business growing as rapidly as Futu Holdings can quickly build a margin of safety due to its high growth rates.
Source : Wealth Insights, Seeking Alpha, 20-May-2021
seekingalpha.com
seekingalpha.com
Scaling Into a PositionEver see price nearing a zone of interest and wonder when is the right time to get into a position?
Try scaling in!
Taking a few smaller positions as price moves into your area can allow you to get into a trade while managing risk along the way.
This can help you to not miss moves by waiting too long AND to not overleverage by taking a large position too early.
Take a look at this recent move on BTC as an example.
how to risk smartly? position sizing, risk n reward, SL n TP 👌Risk refers to the probability of a negative event happening in your activities; an event that goes contrary to your intended outcome. Risk is part and parcel of the cryptocurrency trade. It is the chance of an undesired outcome on the trade, which translates to making losses. For instance, a 50% risk on a short position simply means that there is a 50% probability that the Bitcoin price will rise, resulting in a loss on your part.
Today, we take you through the simple rules to follow when managing risk in crypto trading.
Types Of Risk
The crypto trading world is exposed to four main types of financial risks:
Credit Risk
This risk affects crypto projects. It is the probability of the parties behind the crypto project failing to fulfill their due obligations. Credit risk is mostly attributed to theft and fraud in the crypto market. A good example is the hacking of Binance in 2018, which led to over $40 million loss.
Legal Risk
Legal risk refers to the probability of a negative event occurring with respect to regulatory rules. For instance, a ban on cryptocurrency trading in a specific country. A practical example of legal risk is when the states of Texas and North Carolina issued a cease-and-desist order to Bitconnect cryptocurrency exchange due to suspicion of fraud.
Liquidity Risk
Liquidity risk in respect to crypto trading refers to the chance of a trader being unable or incapacitated to convert their entire position to fiat currencies (USD, YEN, GBP) that they can use in their every-day spending.
Market Risk
Market risk refers to the chance of coin prices moving up or down contrary to your desire in an open position.
Operational Risk
Operational risk is the chance that a trader is unable to trade, deposit, or even withdraw money in their crypto wallets.
Main Risk Management Strategies
The rule of thumb in crypto trading is: “Do not risk more than you can afford to lose.” Given the gravity of risk in crypto trading, we generally advise traders to use not more than 10% of their budget or monthly revenue. Also, trading with borrowed money is not advisable as it puts them in a credit risk position.
Risk management strategies can be broadly categorized into three: risk/reward ratio, position-sizing, as well as stop loss & take profits.
1. Position Sizing
Position sizing dictates how many coins or tokens of cryptocurrency a trader is willing to buy. The probability of realizing great profits in crypto trading tempts traders to invest 30%, 50% or even 100% of their trading capital. However, this is a disruptive move that puts you at serious financial risks. The golden rule is: never put all your eggs in one basket. Here are three ways to achieve position sizing.
Enter Amount vs Risk Amount
This approach considers two different amounts. The first involves money you are willing to invest in every single deal. We advise traders to look at this amount as the size of each new order they take, regardless of its type. The second involves money at risk, i.e. the money that you stand to lose in case the trading fails.
This is how you define your enter amount:
A = ((Stack size * Risk per Trade) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss)) * Entry Price
Let’s say we wish to purchase BTC with USDT with a target of $13,000. Our parameters would be:
Stack Size: $5,000
Risk per Trade: 2%
Entry Price: $11,500
Stop Loss: $10,500
Our enter amount would be:
A= ((5,000 * 0.02) / (11,500 – 10,500)) * 11,500 = 1,150
The ideal amount to invest in this deal is $1,150 or 23%. However, due to our Stop Loss, we only risk 2% as it will stop the trade once it reaches the determined level.
Risk trading in cryptocurrency
Elder’s “Sharks” and “Piranhas”
This concept of position sizing relates to diversifying your investments. Dr. Alexander Elder, who is credited with the concept, suggests two rules:
Limiting every position to 2% risk. Elder compares risk to a shark bite. Sometimes you would wish to risk a huge amount, but the risk would be huge and catastrophic as a shark bite.
Limiting trading sessions to 6% per session. In a losing streak, you may end up spending everything you own little by little. Elder compares this risk to a piranha attack, which takes small bites of its victim until it consumes it all.
Following Elder’s sharks and piranhas approach results in no more than three open positions per 2% each or six ones per 1%. Limiting results in reverse compounding; losses get smaller and smaller with each subsequent loss you make.
Kelly Criterion
The Kelly criterion is a formula developed by John Larry Kelly in 1956. It is a position sizing approach that defines the percentage of capital to bet. It suits long-term trading.
A = (Success % / Loss Ratio at Stop Loss) – ((1 – success %) / Profit Ratio at Take Profit)
Using the previous example, the features would be:
Stock size: $5,000
Invested Amount: $1,150
Success %: 60%
Entry Price: $11,500
Stop Loss: $10,500
Loss Ratio: 1.10
Take Profits: $13,000
Our result would be:
A = (0.6 / 1.10) – ((1 – 0.06) / 1.13) = 0.19
This means you should not risk more than 19% of the entire capital of $5,000 for you to arrive at the best possible outcome in a series of deals.
2. Risk/Reward Ratio
The risk/reward ratio compares the actual level of risk with the potential returns. In trading, the riskier a position, the more profitable it can get. Understanding the risk /reward ratio enables you to know when to enter a trade and when it is unprofitable. The risk/reward ratio is calculated as follows:
R = (Target Price – Entry Price) / (Entry Price – Stop Loss)
From the previous illustration:
Entry price: $11,500
Stop Loss: $10,500
Target price: $13,000
Our ratio would be:
R = (13,000 – 11,500) / (11,500 – 10,500) = 1.5 or 1:1.5
A ratio of 1:1.5 is good. We advise traders not to trade with a ratio lower than 1:1.
3. Stop Loss + Take Profit
Stop Loss refers to an executable order which closes an open position when a price decreases to a specific barrier. Take Profit, on the other hand, is an executable order that liquidates open orders when the prices rise to a certain level. Both are good approaches to managing risk. Stop Losses save you from trading in unprofitable deals while Take Profits let you get out of the trade before the market can turn against you.
You can make use of Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits which follow the rate’s changes automatically. Such a feature, however, isn’t available at the majority of crypto exchanges. Fortunately, with crypto terminals like Superorder, you can set your Trailing Stop Losses and Take Profits right from the terminal.
Winning Strategies
Accept Failures
Risk is part and parcel of trading. Besides, we cannot eliminate it but only manage it. You should, therefore, accept your losses and rely on plan-based decision making to realize profits in future trades.
Consider Fees
New traders often do not know the fees that come along with trading. Such include withdrawal fees, leverage fees, etc. You should consider these in your risk management.
Focus on the Win Rate
Risks will always be there to discourage you from trading. However, focusing on the number of times you win helps to develop a positive attitude in trading.
Measure Drawdown
This refers to the total reduction of your initial funds after a series of losses. For instance, if you lost $1,000 from $5,000, your measure drawdown is 10%. The higher the amount, the more you would need to inject into a trade for it to recover. As Dr. Elder advised, stick to a 6% risk limit.
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Bitcoin - Triple Top,Correction,Continued Fall Beginner's reviewHello, all the participants of this platform. I'm new to trading.
So you don't need to take my feedback seriously. This is just my opinion, my review and nothing more.
I have never been involved in trading, I have only studied this area, kept my diary, recorded my observations, and created my own personal training program for myself on which I plan to trade. If you have any comments, write about it, I will gladly accept all the information and write it down for myself in my diary... Now, after the "reset" of the entire cryptocurrency that I expected, I decided to try my hand at trading and start trading.
At the moment, I want to analyze bitcoin itself, as everyone knows that a lot depends on it.
This whole trading idea is shown on the chart.
At the moment, I have a long open position on this position from 37400.
For a long time, I analyzed the chart, market psychology, and levels.
My main goal in this position is 46800. (first goal)
I plan to close a small part of the position there.
In the near future, there will be an intersection of moving lines, which is called the "cross of death"
Judging by the previous such intersections, the market looked short. For this reason, my analysis of the global short is still so.
SOL/BUSD Ascending triangleHello everyone!
This is my first published analysis and I hope you enjoy it.
In my opinion I see for SOLBUSD an ascending triangle for 1h TF. I think we can start with a long for 39.6.
I would appreciate a like from you, if you liked my thoughts.
DVN uptrend - What to expectI took some time this morning to go over the chart for Devon Energy. It looks like there is a lot of room for potential. 35 Analysts say 86% BUY. Trend continuity is in perptual uptrend. There's a steady diagonal line there. Earnings report coming up in July. There are some good short squeeze positions at the pinnacle of those bounces as well however if you buy now and hold until the end of the year there is a good potential for gains at just under 50%.
DVN Uptrend - What to expect I took some time this morning to go over the chart for Devon Energy. It looks like there is a lot of room for potential. 35 Analysts say 86% BUY. Trend continuity is in perptual uptrend. There's a steady diagonal line there. Earnings report coming up in July. There are some good short squeeze positions at the pinnacle of those bounces as well however if you buy now and hold until the end NYSE:DVN of the year there is a good potential for gains at just under 50%.
TDOC : POSITION TRADE / RESETTeladoc is the sixth-largest holding in the ARKK ETF - a top performing actively managed fund focused on disruptive innovations.
Teladoc reported third-quarter revenue up 109% year-over-year to $288.8 million. Total visits increased 206% year-over-year to 2.8 million.
The company expects to end the year with 50 million to 51 million U.S. paid members and 21 million to 22 million visit fee only members.
The Teladoc - Livongo merger has created the singular global, consumer-centered virtual care platform.
Together, they have formed the dominant category leader with a massive $121 billion Total Addressable Market.
seekingalpha.com
GDX : RESET / POSITION TRADE / HEDGEDuring the last three-month trading period, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has generated net inflows of 731.35 million. More importantly, we can see that the greatest selling pressures emerged after the Pfizer vaccine news was released on November 9th.
This suggests that the market is simply undergoing a temporary reaction to a news event and that further downside in GDX seems unlikely because any additional vaccine announcements would probably do little to change the underlying environment.
Moving out to an even longer-term view, we can see further evidence that these assertions are accurate because the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF has actually generated net inflows of 2.37 billion during the last three years.
All together, these trend divergences tell us that investors might have an opportunity to profit from recent paradigm shifts in the precious metals markets. While this short-term enthusiasm might be moderately favorable for U.S. stock benchmarks into the end of 2020, we think that the prospects for economic deterioration during the first-quarter period of 2021 might be enough to send investors right back into safe-haven assets.
Ultimately, the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF provides an alternative strategy for investors that are interested in moving deeper into the precious metals sector and its expense ratio of 0.52% remains near the middle of the range for the category as a whole.
SOURCE : INCOME GENERATOR, THE INCOME MACHINE / SEEKING ALPHA
seekingalpha.com
AMD : RESET / POSITION TRADEObviously any investment comes with risk (some more than others). With AMD you are paying a very high PE with the hope that growth can justify that number. Long term - I think it can. Short term is a bit of a gamble, but given the demand for GPUs I think AMD is a good speculative bet if you keep your bet small. Given how high the market is, I do not want to go overboard on AMD and get tied up if the market has a downturn and the music halts. On the flip side, stimulus money is going to flow into the markets to some extent and should keep the game of musical chairs going on a bit longer. Cyberpunk mania is not going away and crypto GPU mining might be a flash in the pan until things stabilize.
Source : Austin Craig, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
GOOGL : RESET / POSITION TRADETo sum up everything, GOOGL is a great business. Search is wonderful, and provides a continuous tailwind for the business. There's very little that can stop GOOGL, including competitors and the government. My favorite reason to own GOOGL is its huge pile of cash, which provides a tremendous margin of safety, to weather any storm. That cash also offers wonderful optionality, including the possibility of buybacks. Personally, I'm a buyer up to $2K.
Source : John Rhoades, SeekingAlpha
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