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The Compression Break: Identifying the Spring Before ExpansionDifficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋 (Intermediate) This article is for traders who want to recognize and trade explosive moves that form after periods of tight price compression. Perfect for those familiar with structure, volume, and volatility concepts. 🔵 INTRODUCTION Price doesn’t move in a straight line — it breathes. It expands when there’s imbalance, and it compresses when the market is building energy. The most powerful moves often start with a compression phase — a tight, controlled price range — before a sudden breakout. Learning to spot these “springs” before they snap can give you trades with excellent risk/reward ratios and clear invalidation points. 🔵 WHAT IS COMPRESSION? Compression occurs when price volatility shrinks, and each swing becomes smaller than the last. It looks like price is being “squeezed” between converging support and resistance levels. Common causes of compression: Liquidity build-up before a major session open Market waiting for a news release or key event Institutional positioning before a drive The tighter the range, the bigger the potential release. 🔵 WHY IT MATTERS Compression is important because: It reveals where the market is balanced and undecided It creates a high-energy environment — a small push can trigger big moves It offers tight stop-loss placement and clear breakout targets Think of it like a coiled spring: the more it’s compressed, the more explosive the release. 🔵 HOW TO IDENTIFY COMPRESSION 1️⃣ Price Action Clues Consecutive smaller candles with overlapping ranges Lower highs + higher lows (triangle formation) Reduced wick size in the final stages before breakout 2️⃣ Volume Clues Declining volume during the squeeze Sudden volume spike as breakout begins 3️⃣ Volatility Clues ATR (Average True Range) dropping to local lows Bollinger Bands narrowing (optional) 🔵 TRADING THE COMPRESSION BREAK Step 1: Define the Box Mark the high and low of the compression range. This will be your breakout reference. Step 2: Wait for Volume Confirmation Avoid jumping in on the first tick outside the box. Wait for a volume surge or strong close beyond the boundary. Step 3: Trade in the Breakout Direction Entry: After confirmed breakout close Stop Loss: Inside the compression range Target: Equal to the height of the compression box or previous swing high/low 🔵 EXAMPLE SCENARIO Price compresses for more then 10 bars into a tight range Volume steadily declines → ATR hits a local low A big body bullish candle breaks above range high with 2× average volume Entry at breakout close, stop inside range, target = box height projected upward or 1:2 RR 🔵 ADVANCED TIPS Align with higher timeframe trend for higher probability Watch for false breakouts (liquidity sweeps) before real move Combine with order blocks or VWAP to refine entries Use session timing — many compression breaks happen at market opens 🔵 CONCLUSION Compression is the market’s way of loading a trade with potential energy. When you spot it, you’re seeing the buildup before the burst. Trade it with patience, volume confirmation, and proper structure, and it can become one of your highest-probability setups. Have you traded compression breaks before? Share your best example in the comments!
Education
by BigBeluga
11
CPOOLUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Momentum Surge & Key TargetsCPOOLUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Momentum Surge & Key Targets 🔍 Let’s dive into the CPOOL/USDT 1D chart and break down the latest price action that’s catching attention, with an eye on bullish setups and critical zones. ⏳ Daily Overview The chart shows a dynamic breakout above the accumulation box (range), with price riding a clear yellow trendline and volume spiking hard — classic momentum signals. RSI is entering the overbought zone, which confirms surging buying interest and the possibility for rapid moves. 🔺 Long Setup: - The breakout from the range box suggests accumulation and fresh interest. Immediate upside looks at the mid-range target of $0.26010. - Next, if momentum holds, price could rally towards $0.34350, which lines up with the risk-reward (RR1) from the box. - Sustained momentum and continued volume spikes could unlock even higher targets beyond these levels. 📊 Key Highlights: - Yellow trendline supports the move, tracking bullish sentiment. - Volume spikes show real participation — this isn’t a low-liquidity fakeout. - RSI entering the overbought zone is a momentum engine, but keep an eye out for possible pullbacks or cooling periods as price tests higher levels. - Fake breakout earlier in the range now confirmed by the strong candle and volume surge. 🚨 Conclusion: Momentum is accelerating. If buyers stay in control above current support, price could climb to the mid-box target of $0.26010, with $0.34350 as the next bullish destination. This setup favors longs as long as volume and trendline support remain intact. Aggressive momentum could push price even further — time to watch those critical resistance levels.
Long
by AtresCryptoAcademy
10yr yield rangesSupport Zones (Bounce Potential): First Support: Around 4.16% (the lower boundary of the channel and the 0.786 Fib level). If yields drop toward here, watch for a reaction or bounce. Major Support: Near 3.96% (1.618 Fibonacci extension)—historically, such extensions offer strong bounce candidates if tested. Resistance Zones (pullback potential): Immediate Resistance: 4.42%–4.45% (upper channel and multiple EMA clusters). This is the first hurdle for upward moves. Previous Top Target: Yields could rally toward 5.20% if resistance zones are cleared (marked by the big, bold orange arrow). That’s the previous cycle high where sellers may reappear. Price Structure: The moving averages are tightly grouped, suggesting indecision. A breakout from this cluster—especially upward—could spark momentum toward 5%. Channel Guide: The descending channel (yellow lines) acts like a garden fence; a move above the top suggests a break in trend and potential for a run higher. Fibonacci Extensions: Not just mystical numbers! They help map out calculated support and resistance. See chart's blue/red lines for reference levels—each marks a potential turning point. Bullish Scenarios: Two orange arrows show possible rally paths, indicating upward bias if supports hold.
TVC:US10Y
by Low_Leverage_Matthew
Ethereum will rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ethereum. Following a sustained upward trend, Ethereum entered a prolonged consolidation phase, forming a wide range between the buyer zone near 3370 and local resistance. Throughout this period, a key ascending mirror line provided consistent support, underpinning the bullish market structure and allowing for accumulation before the next major move. Recently, a decisive breakout from the top of this range occurred, propelling the asset to a new local extremum and confirming the strength of the buyers. However, the price action following this breakout has shown signs of potential exhaustion, with momentum appearing to wane at these elevated levels. The primary working hypothesis is a short, corrective scenario, which anticipates that after a potential final push to a new high, the price will undergo a sharp reversal. A key component of this thesis is the expected break of the main ascending mirror line, an event that would signal a significant shift in short-term market dynamics and confirm that sellers are taking control. Therefore, the tp for this anticipated downward move is logically placed at the 3930 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:ETHUSDShort
by LegionQ8
BTC Broke the downtrendCRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken a descending trendline and is pushing toward the mid-range resistance at 119,500. Above that sits a liquidity pocket at 121,000, with the range high at 123,250. Momentum signals on higher timeframes remain bullish, with accumulation patterns in place, but lower timeframes show bearish RSI divergences, suggesting the potential for a pullback before continuation. Bullish scenario: Hold above 117,000 – 117,454 (4H Bull FVG) keeps bullish momentum intact. Break and close above 119,500 sets up a liquidity sweep at 121,000. If momentum sustains, an extension toward 123,250 (Range High) becomes possible. Bearish / Invalidation scenario: Rejection from 119,500 followed by a break below 117,000 could pull price back toward 115,750 (Range Low). Loss of 115,750 exposes deeper retrace into 1W Bull FVG 110,655 – 115,900. Trading plan: Watch for breakout + retest of 119,500 to target 121k. Take partial profits into 121,000; leave runner toward 123,250. Protect downside if price loses 117,000.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
ZRO – Best SetupPrice is consolidating near key equal lows around $1.48–1.50. Liquidity likely sits below these lows, making a sweep into that zone attractive for larger players. Chasing longs here is risky without confirmation. Plan: • Wait for a clean sweep below the equal lows • Look for a strong reclaim of the range back above $1.50 (failed breakdown) • Entry trigger is confirmation of buyers stepping in after the sweep If these conditions are met, targeting $2.46 and higher makes sense. No sweep/reclaim = no trade.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
ETH | #4h #short — Range High Sweep & Short SetupScenario: ETH swept the range high at $3,860, trapping late buyers and triggering stops. Watching for a retest of this level — if it holds as resistance and we see rejection, that’s a short trigger. Target: Main target is the 1D FVG at $3,457–$3,477. Possible extension: sweep of range low if selling accelerates. Why: Failed breakout setups are classic mean reversion triggers, especially when supported by a visible liquidity pool (FVG) below. Plan: Wait for a retest and rejection to confirm short. Partial TP at the FVG zone, manage risk above the sweep high.
Short
by Goldfinch_song
1
SUI | Spot Buy Zone for PullbackPrice has pulled back after a local top and is heading toward a clear demand zone. Key buy area sits around $3.12, aligned with 0.618 retracement and recent consolidation. Strong structure below—if majors keep retracing, this is where risk/reward for new spot buys becomes attractive. Plan: Waiting for price to reach the green zone to accumulate spot. Invalidation below $2.80, targeting a move back toward $4.45 and higher if momentum returns.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
ENA | Range Low Reclaim — Targeting Midrange and AboveClear reclaim of the range low and a strong daily close confirm a bullish market structure shift. Printing a higher high signals potential for continuation. Dips toward the reclaimed range low are healthy, providing buy-the-dip opportunities. Accumulation at the range low with invalidation below keeps risk tight. Plan: Accumulate pullbacks toward the range low. Hold for midrange ($0.83) and upper range/major resistance.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
PUMP | Watching for Base ConfirmationThe sharp downtrend is showing signs of exhaustion as price starts to consolidate and build a potential range. If we see a sweep and reclaim of the range low, that would confirm the start of a new accumulation phase and signal a potential reversal. The invalidation for any long attempt is a confirmed breakdown below the deviation or the origin of the reclaim. Plan: Wait for a clean sweep and reclaim of the range low to trigger a long entry. Target resistance levels above, with stops set below the reclaim origin.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
Bitcoin Facing Macro Volatility: Key Supports Hold Firm__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Dominant bullish bias on higher timeframes (1D to 2H). Key Supports/Resistances: Key pivot zone at 114.7K–115.8K defended across all timeframes; major resistances at 119.7K, upside extension to 122.3K. Volume: Peaks on breakout, normal to high volumes depending on TF, no signs of seller capitulation. Behavioral Indicators: Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strong on all strategic TFs; ISPD DIV neutral except for a defensive buy signal on 1H. Multi-timeframe summary: Broad horizontal consolidation, no panic or euphoria detected. Major supports overlap, confirming structural strength amid macro volatility. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias: Bullish above 114.7K; neutral/slightly bearish below this key level. Opportunities: Longs via scalping/range trading on reactions at 114.7–115.8K; swing accumulation on daily/4H stabilization above 115K. Risk: Break below <114.7K, macro volatility around NFP/PMI, false breakouts. Macro catalysts: Expanded US tariffs (Trump), NFP, PMI, Fed status. Action plan: Reactivity on pivots, reduce exposure during macro events, hard stops <114.5K H4. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Working the 114723 pivot support. Bullish momentum, no excessive selling, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “STRONG BUY”. 12H-6H: Building a bottom on the daily base; sustained volumes during sell-off, no panic, technical buy signals emerging. 4H-1H: Vigorous support defense, 1H ISPD DIV “buy” signal. Healthy range pattern; volumes up during rebound attempts. 30min-15min: Slow recovery after high-volume drop, no euphoria or capitulation. No “trap” or imminent squeeze, favorable for tactical trades. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Higher TFs (1W/1D/12H/4H) show strong bullish signals, boosting risk confidence. Decorrelation with lower TFs allows flexible management, controlled accumulation, tight stops at 114.7K. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & BTC Context Summary (Twitter) __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: US tariff shock, max volatility likely, amplified moves in equities and crypto. Bitcoin: Sharp correction post-record close, but solid supports remain, no sign of trend end. Integration: Technical status quo; favor defensive accumulation, caution on NFP/PMI. __________________________________________________________________________________ Actionable Synthesis: Plan & Risk Management __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategies: Longs/scalp >114.7K; swing/accumulate post daily/4H confirmation; partial TPs near 119.7K/122.3K. Risk Zones: Hard stop <114.5K. Tight monitoring around NFP for volatility spikes. Reward: Risk-to-reward >2 if buying lower range with strict stops. __________________________________________________________________________________ Key Macro Events to Watch __________________________________________________________________________________ 2025-08-01: US NFP, unemployment, hourly wages – High volatility expected, possible swings 2025-08-01: ISM Manufacturing PMI – Short-term trend confirmation or invalidation 2025-07-30: FED conference – Range-bound / Moderate volatility US Tariffs (Trump) – Global risk-off, caution BTC & tech __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion __________________________________________________________________________________ BTC consolidates steadily between 114.7K–122.3K despite macro shocks Daily/H4 supports robust, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong on higher TFs Accumulation/scalping favored as long as supports defended Main risk = break of 114.7K, imminent macro volatility
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
AVAX | Final Accumulation & Potential ReversalContext: Price is in a major accumulation range, showing similarities to the October 2024 setup. Green zones indicate strong demand/support; blue is key structural support. Step-by-Step Scenario: Accumulation Phase: Price is consolidating above the $20 level, with repeated defenses of the support zone. Spot Buys: Orders set in the $19–$20 area to capture a potential “final shakeout.” Spring/Reversal: If price sweeps below $20 and quickly reclaims the level, this signals the final flush before reversal — mirroring the October 2024 bottom structure. Upside Target: First major resistance at $38, but the big objective is the $54–55 range, marking previous macro highs and supply. Invalidation: A sustained close below $14.1 would break the accumulation structure and invalidate the bullish scenario.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
GBPAUD - Trading The Range - AGAIN!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPAUD has been hovering within a big range. Last week, as per our previous analysis, GBPAUD rejected the upper bound of the range and traded lower. This week, GA is retesting the lower bound of the range acting as a support. As long as the support holds, we will be looking for longs on lower timeframes, targeting the upper bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
6
ETH — Perfect Long Play: Pullback & 1W Breaker Reclaim After the strong move, price is likely to retrace as longs get trapped and late buyers take profit. Best scenario: ETH pulls back to the 1W breaker zone ($3,141–$3,456), which previously acted as resistance and could now flip into support. Watch for bullish reaction and confirmation in the 1W breaker zone. If support holds, enter long — targeting a return to the range high and then the liquidity zone ($4,108+). Invalidation if ETH closes below the 1W breaker or loses range low ($2,876) support. ETH has rallied hard. After such a move, it’s normal for price to pull back and test old resistance as new support. The ideal long is on confirmation of a bounce from the 1W breaker zone, which keeps risk controlled and sets up for a continuation move higher. This approach avoids FOMO and protects against reversal if the breakout fails.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
2
BTC Dominance — Bounces, Chop, and Next Wave Setup BTC.D reached strong support, confirming euphoria top for now. Currently, BTC.D is at the first key support (green zone 59.8–61.1%). This is a logical bounce zone where dominance could chop or rebound short-term. If BTC.D holds and bounces here, expect more range-bound action, potentially retesting 64–65% (red zone). If this support breaks, the next area of interest is the 54–55% green box. This would open the door for more sustained altcoin strength (altseason continuation). Ultimately, a decisive break below both green boxes signals the start of a major altcoin expansion phase, with BTC.D trending lower toward 48–50% support. BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is at a critical inflection point after rejecting at strong resistance and reaching daily support. Bounces from this area are typical as traders rotate profits, but sustained breakdown below support would mark a shift in market regime, favoring alts. Watching for confirmation — the next parabolic move in alts begins if BTC.D loses these green boxes.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Goldfinch_song
Acet Token will break resistance level and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Acet Token. Looking at the recent price action, we can see a clear narrative unfolding. The asset initially formed a large wedge pattern, experiencing a trend reversal that led to a breakdown and a period of prolonged consolidation within a defined range between the buyer zone around 0.0580 and the upper boundary. Recently, however, the market showed a strong impulse, breaking out of this range and decisively moving upwards. Currently, the price of act is testing the key resistance level at 0.0755, an area historically defined as a seller zone. The hypothesis is that after this powerful impulse, the asset will manage to break and hold above this resistance. A successful retest of the 0.0755 level would likely signal a continuation of the uptrend, paving the way towards our specified take-profit targets. The first goal is set at TP 1 at 0.0860, with a further extension to TP 2 at 0.0960, capitalizing on the anticipated bullish momentum. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
7
APTOS Weekly Bottom Formation — Early Signs of Reversal APT has retested and held the long-term weekly support zone (green box) multiple times, confirming strong demand and buyer defense. Current price action is pushing off the support with a series of higher lows, suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Scenario A (Bullish): — If APT holds above $5.40 and weekly closes stay above this green zone, expect gradual momentum toward the $15–$19 resistance (red box). — First target is $15.30, with extension to $19.50 if trend accelerates. Scenario B (Invalidation/Bearish): — If price fails to hold $5.40 and breaks back below $3.40, setup is invalidated. In this case, expect retest of lower support at $3.00 or lower. Aptos is showing a classic bottoming structure on the weekly timeframe, with clear accumulation at major support. Sellers have repeatedly failed to break the lows, while buyers step in on every dip. This increases the probability of a mid-term reversal toward the upper resistance band. Weekly structure remains bullish above support; only a major breakdown below $3.40 would invalidate the scenario.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
ETH Approaching Major Resistance — Watch for Range High Deviatio ETH has rallied strongly and is now testing the range highs around $4,100. The most likely scenario is a direct tap or wick above the range highs — this is a classic spot where the majority expects continuation, but also where deviations (fakeouts) frequently occur. If price closes above and holds, it could trigger further upside. However, the risk/reward (RR) for fresh longs here is not attractive after such an extended move. A deviation above range high (quick push above, then close back inside) is possible and would be a bearish signal in the short term. After this wave, any deep dips in ETH will likely be a high-conviction buy, given the strong bullish momentum. ETH is showing extremely bullish momentum as it approaches a major weekly resistance at the range high. The obvious play here is a sweep or break of this level, but with the move being so extended, a deviation or fakeout becomes increasingly likely. While momentum is still up, waiting for a dip or failed breakout (deviation) is a better risk/reward play than chasing longs here. Any meaningful pullback will likely present an excellent buying opportunity given the macro strength.
by Goldfinch_song
GBPJPY - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPJPY has been hovering within a big range. This week, GBPJPY is retesting the upper bound of the range and $200 round number. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
8
Bitcoin may bounce up from support area to 122800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analyzing the broader market context on the BTC chart, the past price action has carved out two significant technical structures: a wide trading range and a larger upward wedge pattern. The formation of this wedge indicates a generally positive market sentiment, though the narrowing price swings suggest a decrease in upward momentum. The foundation of the current structure was established around the buyer zone of 105500 - 104500, a level that has historically proven to be a robust floor. This historical behavior provides a critical reference for our hypothesis. Currently, we are observing bitcoin's price action closely, interacting with the current support area, located between 116500 and 117300. The character of the movement here is largely corrective and consolidative, pointing to a state of temporary equilibrium. This consolidation near the lower boundary of the wedge is a pivotal point. My thinking is that a final, brief dip to thoroughly test the 116500 - 117300 support area is a high-probability scenario. Such a move would effectively absorb remaining sell-side liquidity before a reversal. We can then anticipate an impulsive move upwards across the range. Therefore, the logical take-profit for this long position is set at 122800 points, as this level marks the upper resistance of the range and a natural target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
21