How to achieve profits by managing emotions?Market fluctuations are often a direct reflection of the emotions of market participants. Managing and controlling emotions is essential for successful trading. If you cannot control your emotions, you will suffer from impulsive emotional behavior and make bad decisions, which will harm your trading performance. 
Negative emotions such as fear, hatred, anger, greed, jealousy, pessimism, and despair can lead to negative consequences for traders. Traders who have negative emotions may lack the ability to leave positions, refuse to accept reality, and blame others, resulting in selling positions only after a long period of price declines, missing the best buying points, and selling too early.
Negative traders may also regard failure as a negative, significant, and final result, attributing losses to their own shortcomings or negligence.
Everyone experiences various emotions, but people with high emotional intelligence can better manage their negative emotions and vent them appropriately. Emotional control skills can be developed through practice, but it is important to note that this process is a long-term and systematic one. Traders must be psychologically prepared for this.
Therefore, no matter what happens, you must control your impulsive emotions. Take a deep breath for 10 seconds, then choose the best course of action. This often leads to more rational and correct decisions.
 Do not make decisions when impulsive, and do not make promises when excited. By managing your emotions, you gain control over your life.
 
There are various emotions in life, and you must learn to manage and control them.  Do not be a slave to your emotions. Manage your negative emotions and cleverly transfer them . Similarly, controlling emotions in life determines emotional control in trading.
 The three stages of emotional failure leading to trading losses are: 1) being careless before unexpected events occur; 2) being panicked after unexpected events occur; 3) being eager to make up losses after suffering losses. The solutions are as follows: 
 Always respect the market and trade with caution. Approach the market with a trembling, cautious attitude.
 Once you suffer losses, do not panic. Stop trading temporarily, find the cause, identify the problems, and improve your system.
 Impatience is the biggest reason for traders' losses. Heavy positions are impatience, opening and closing positions without signals is impatience, frequent trading is impatience, adding positions is impatience, which is essentially greed, wanting to make money quickly. Be patient, make calm decisions, and the market will reward you.
Research
An easy way to lower the risk profile of your stock portfolioThe correlation between Visa and Mastercard creates an interesting investment trick.
I began this analysis not even looking for the correlation between these two companies' stock prices. But rather I was looking for some chart patterns using a stock screener. At the top of the list, these two companies emerged. As usual, I was going to go through the stock charts of all the companies in the list briefly to determine if they hold any chart pattern merit.
However, as I scanned over Visa, and then Mastercard, I noticed they looked extremely similar. Weird. I then opened up Tradingview and put these stocks in. Side by side they look the same.
These two companies have very similar price movements. No surprise, they are very similar companies. They are direct competitors. They are both big players in the global credit services market. Transacting trillions of dollars in total payments volumes per year. They’re both tech companies that connect the consumer and the merchant digitally for transactions. They have been seen as rivals for over a decade now. Neither Visa nor Mastercard are involved in extending credit or issuing cards. They work in a co-branded relationship with the card provider. That's why you will see their logos on your credit card but won’t see a full absolute Mastercard/Visa credit card.
Visa is generally larger in terms of the transaction, purchase volume and cards in circulation. However, Mastercard growth has been picking up and may see a catch-up.
Now let’s get back to the price movement analysis. I have split this up into three time periods and then done a Pearson Correlation Test. The first period is the matched IPO date to the current date. The next is the last 5 years and then the last 2 years.
The reason for the three time periods is simple. I want to do a full IPO to current date analysis to get the full picture and long-term perspective. A 5-year analysis because if you look at the charts above, that’s when the volatility in the stocks picks up. The last 2 years, because if you look again at the charts above, some crazy price movements have been occurring in the last two years that do not follow the past 14-year trend.
The closer to +1, the closer the correlation.
March 2008 - Nov 2022: 0.83
Nov 2017 - Nov 2022: 0.92
Nov 2020 - Nov 2022: 0.90
As you can see from the above stats both of these stocks have a close relationship with each other. A higher correlation in recent years. Of course, correlation doesn’t mean causation. However, the fact that these two companies are very similar and direct competitors means that one could form a reasonable conclusion. Not that one stock is affecting the other price. But rather than investors see these two companies as very similar. Such that when they exit one, they exit the other. Unless there is a big reason not to. But as you can see from the stats above. The stocks have a close correlation over the last 14 years such that even if one says that, let, for example, Visa is going to grow faster than Mastercard, the chances are - Mastercard wouldn’t be far behind.
Henceforth, this leads to an interesting investment tip:
Let’s say you want to diversify your portfolio by gaining some exposure to the credit services industry. Since Visa and Mastercard are the two leading companies, you chose them. However, you only have enough money to invest in one. But you also want to lower the risk profile of your portfolio. Is there a way both can be done?
The answer is yes, since Visa and Mastercard have such a close correlation and are very big established companies they will most likely follow each other in price movement. Also, since they are two different companies, you will be diversifying your investment and will be lowering your risk. So, you divide that last portion of your portfolio into two smaller portions and buy Visa and Mastercard 50:50. This will mean you get the exposure you are after, the returns as well since they have a close correlation, and the risk is lowered since they are two separate companies. Quite a cool trick is not it?
I created three different portfolios. Each beginning with $10,000. I invested the full out in two of them into Visa and Mastercard. The last portfolio had a 50:50 split. I then calculated the standard daily deviation and the annualized standard deviation. Here are the results:
Visa 100%:
Start value: $10,000
End value: $137,295.57
Annualized STD: 29.60%
Mastercard 100%:
Start value: $10,000
End value: $151,466.00
Annualized STD: 32.30%
Visa 50% Mastercard 50%:
Start value: $10,000
End value: $144,380.79
Annualized STD: 29.50%
As you can see from the above stats, once the two stocks have been combined the standard deviation drops by 8.67% and the standard deviation is lower than the two stocks individually. This means the risk is lower. However, yes, the final value isn’t as high as the Mastercard 100% the returns are higher than the sole Visa 100% portfolio by 5.10%. So, in other words, the risk has been lowered than if you had individual portfolios and the returns are higher as well. Of course, the returns aren’t as high as they are in the Mastercard 100% portfolio, but the risk is lower while still ensuring higher returns. This means the Visa 50% Mastercard 50% portfolio provides an effective way to reduce risk while increasing returns.
However, one thing to note is the maximum drawdown was the lowest in the Mastercard 100% portfolio. The second lowest is Visa 50% Mastercard 50%. Highest in Visa 50%. So, ensure that if you are going to follow this strategy, there is more research to be done and it is best worked in a long-term investment strategy possibly combined with dollar cost averaging.
To conclude, if you want to see a higher return while lowering the risk profile of your portfolio. It pays to diversify with similar correlating assets.
Should You buy an #Aptos?Estimated price per token of the funds: 2$-3$
(Yellow block)
Prime cost of $APT: 0,70$
(Cyan dashed line)
Right now there are only 130M $APT in circulation and the pressure on the price can only be exerted by the people who got the airdrop.
These tokens are likely to be bought back so the price doesn't drop too much.
This way it will be possible to pump $APT where staking rewards will be sold. At the moment 823M of $APT are staked.
I already have $APT in hand for the airdrop.
2/3 have been sold and 1/3 of $APT remain for perspective.
If $APT drops then I have defined for myself an area for future purchases.
Area for my future purchases: 4$-6$
(Green block)
Quick coin analysis before buyingBINANCE:BTCUSDT 
 How to evaluate the tokenomics of the project?  
Below you will find the main questions that you need to ask yourself when analyzing the tokenomics of the project - this scheme will not predict the price of the token with an accuracy of a cent, but it will help to predict the dynamics and assess the prospects. 
 1. Supply  
Main question: based on supply alone, will the token be able to maintain/increase the price, or will it be eroded by inflation? 
General supply 
— How many tokens exist today? 
How many will there be in the future? Is there a supply limit? 
Emission rates 
Is the emission rate fixed or changing? 
— If it changes, what factors determine it? 
Allocations/vesting 
— How was supply originally distributed among investors, community, team? Are there any groups that own a significant share of the supply and could exert significant selling pressure after vesting ends? 
— What is the vesting schedule for the largest holders? 
2. Demand 
Main question: why would anyone hold this token? 
ROI 
- Without taking into account the price increase, what income does a simple hold of a token bring (for example, due to staking)? 
— Is it possible to get additional profit through farming? 
— Are protocol revenues distributed among token holders? 
— Is there a rebase* as inflation progresses? 
* A rebase is similar to a stock split, when holding or staking a token allows the owner to increase its amount, thereby compensating for the impact of inflation (for example, a mechanism when the share of ownership of a supply remains unchanged). 
Community 
How active are Discord and Twitter of the project? 
— Is there an ecosystem fund? Grants? Hackathons? 
— How actively is the protocol working on community involvement? 
— Are there one-time or ongoing initiatives to create additional demand for the token? 
— Is there a token blocking program? If yes, how many awards are allocated to it and what are the requirements for receiving these awards? 
— What share of the total number of tokens in circulation is locked? 
— What additional selling pressure will arise after the expiration of locks? 
Are there non-monetary benefits from staking and locking tokens (e.g. increased voting power)? 
It is worth noting that even taking into account all these factors does not in itself guarantee the growth of the token or the success of the project, but is only one of the necessary aspects, in addition to the market phase, hype around a particular direction, and others.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
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Galapagos (GLPG.as) bearish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Belgium company Galapagos NV (GLPG.as) at daily chart. Galapagos NV (formerly known as Galapagos Genomics) is a Belgian pharmaceutical research company which was founded in 1999. The company develops drugs against rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, psoriasis, systemic lupus erythematosus and cystic fibrosis. The Triangle has broken through the support line on 26/07/2022, if the price holds below this level you can have a possible bearish price movement with a forecast for the next 7 days towards 45.00 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 56.70 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Galapagos agreed to acquire CellPoint and AboundBio in an all-cash transaction propelling into next-generation cell therapy while significantly broadening its portfolio and capabilities.
Galapagos will pay an upfront amount of €125 million for CellPoint, an additional €100 million to be paid upon achieving certain milestones, and $14 million for AboundBio.
Galapagos said that, through the acquisition of CellPoint and AboundBio, it gains access to an automated point-of-care cell therapy supply model and a next-generation fully human antibody-based therapeutics platform.
 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
COFORGE - Short term Bearish trendCOFORGE - Short-term Bearish trend
1. It cuts the secondary trend support and the primary trend resistance as well.
2. next support will be in 1890.
3. Buy once it touches 1890, hopes the market trend reversal at the same time.
Note:
1. I’m not a SEBI Registered advisor, my research is personal and for educational purposes only.
2. Always check with your financial advisor and take the trade as per your risk/reward ratio.
3. Follow me for more patterns and like, and share so that we feel it is helpful to many and share more patterns...
NASDAQ 100The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors: 
www.nber.org
On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies:
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction:
deliverypdf.ssrn.com
Can Mutual Fund “Stars” Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis:
rady.ucsd.edu
Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns:
www.newyorkfed.org
Do the Fama-French Factors Proxy for Innovations in Predictive Variables?:
efmaefm.org
Further readings:
The Econometrics of Financial Markets
by John Y. Campbell, Andrew W. Lo, A.Craig MacKinlay
Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange, 2nd Edition
by Keith Cuthbertson, Dirk Nitzsche
SBEV Walmart distribution deal, and make sure to read the restSBEV is pretty crazy, they just got a distribution deal with Walmart and Ralph's 187 Grocery Stores . The ceo keeps locking in deals week after week. His name is  Robert Nistico, he was a former VP at Redbull, the 5th employee that led the start-up from zero sales to $1.45 billion. Keep in mind this guy is well connected in the beverage industry. He's even branding his companies with celebrities and athletes and growing sales for all of the brands owned by Splash Beverage Group, which is a lot of them, I listed them below, the links are the brands SBEV owns. 
Keep in mind current market cap is so low that the company is an acquisition target. They could very well get acquired soon. If SBEV doesn't get acquired, at this pace, they will continue to grow, locking in deals, and possibly acquire additional brands to take the company to the next level.
Brands owned by Splash Beverage Group (SBEV)
tapoutdrinks.com
www.drinksalttequila.com
www.copadivino.com
www.pulpo-loco.com
So where does SBEV go from here? In my honest opinion $15-$20 per share but if the shorts get piled up at $10-15 then SBEV could possibly reach $40 to $50 per share from a short squeeze. Similar to what happened with AMC and GME
AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC), and  GameStop (NYSE:GME)
Please share my research with others if you found it useful, thank you so much.
ETHUSD - Longer term view! 🐂 🐻We in consolidation for now:
Lows: $4000 areas
Highs: $4800 areas
A break to either direction, a pull back and then continuation to show the direction of trade short term of the formation draw. Either way, longer term I am bullish ETH and any pull backs regarding price, I will be buying in further. 
Long term view: A break above, pattern: Cup & handle formation including the shorter term formation, we could easily reach to $5500-$6000 areas. Larger institutional firms are predicting it to go towards $15k-$20k. However, price doesn't always go in a straight line. 
Institutional wise ETF & Options etc & the  adoption of ETH has more of a use case is far greater than BTC. Allowing the Alt-coins in yr 22 to prosper further.
 Disclaimer: NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. 
Ride The Wave Ride the wave, and cash out before earnings. 
Technicals mean nothing for the Tesla Machine as investors want to buy in before earnings. 
Does this indicate we are guaranteed an EPS beat and stellar conference call? What about future outlook? 
I need your help on this one! Comment your thoughts on Tesla and research backed support is a must! 
No Tesla fanboys allowed, I am looking for facts and I will be putting the research in myself and updating this publication daily and responding to comments daily. 
Lets make this the ultimate hub for Tesla pre earnings 
Happy trading to all!  
ZVIA , Would love to hear your opinions on Zevia soda..First of all , Zevia is a stevia sweetened soda. A decent variety of flavors are available. Also is, naturally flavored, calorie free and some of the flavors , such as "cola" are caffeinated but most are not . 
Now, a bit about my personal diet habits . I like to practice intermittent fasting , and a keto based diet, with a cheat weekend allowed every 3 weeks :) . I'm pretty active , but as I have gotten a bit older ( particularly noticing that after I turned 30  ) , I have developed an new amazing belly growing skillset lol ! 
To combat this,  I have personally found that, for me,  intermittent fasting is great and, if paired that with a ketogenic diet (so your body switches it's fuel source to fats) , your actually almost not hungry between meals .
 
I started drinking Zevia about a year ago . It really suits my diet style and the diet style is increasing in popularity .  
Not to mention, I'm sure that in general it is a great alternative to be considered by many others instead of regular pop .
It's a pretty new product though and I'm curious if I am a minority here . Also , it's a new IPO and a bit difficult to see a current institution ownership % .  
So I would love to hear some feedback on this . 
I would love to hear some feedback .
Have you personally tired Zevia ?
Do you like the product ?
Have you recommended it to others ?
Have you made it a regular addition to your shopping list ?
Thanks in advance .
$TYLStrong support on the trendline & 200dMA(blue). 20dMA (green) crossing upwards through the 50dMA(red)  which is medium term bullish signal. Our STOCH is hanging around in oversold territory currently & just recently has a nice hammer candle. 
Some DD - Tyler Technologies just recently acquired ReadyStub, which makes scheduling software for school districts. ReadyStub works with approx. 1k school districts across the United States & TYL already has 2k school districts as clients. 
Some would say TYL is significantly overvalued, but the long term return of this company I love. Its projected to grow 10.78% annually over the next five years. They have strong financial strength with a good cash to debt ratio and interest coverage. They are at 30.47 which is better than 75% of the companies in the software industry. $TYL has been profitable 10 times over the last 10 years. Over the past 12 months the company has had a revenue of $1.1 billion dollars. Its operating margin is 15.49% which ranks them better than 82% of the companies in software industry. 
 This is not financial advice, I am not a financial advisor. This is solely my opinion. 
Equities and their relationship to CPI InflationBull markets tend to follow a drop in CPI, once the deflationary relationship ceases and goes back into inflationary mode.
As it takes additional "devalued currency" to acquire the consistent amount of the equity in relation to it.
In addition, with low rates, this creates opportunities to take on debt (with equity as well) such as a home, as the loan itself will be eroded away in terms of the dollars within the loans purchasing power. While the underlying asset will appreciate in comparison to the devalued/inflated dollars relative to it.
So may be time to buy that home you were considering! 
Still think USO is a great way to invest in Oil?An Interactive Broker trader with a $77,000 account thought he would outsmart every institution and every big Oil trader, the result? A $9 million loss.
Well done.
IB normally doesn't take beginners, you need 2 years experience to trade FX with them (haven't checked futures so I don't know what the rule is for those), and the min account size is 10,000.
This day trader (go figure) thought he was smarter than every one, and he went all in, he bet the farm. This alone is stupid, but he went all in without doing his research!
Probably a "technical analyst". Weird, I thought magical esoteric TA told you everything you need to know, that everything was built in the chart and info not in the chart was useless noise. Didn't his magical TA tools tell him it would go negative? Well actually if he looked at the ATR / implied volatility he would have seen....
Even I, that has negative balance protection and guaranteed stops, went on the CME site to check announcements.
They don't exactly talk about negative prices nor clearly about limit up limit down, but here, with Oil massive volatility, they did confirm that yes indeed they were prepared for negative prices.
Thomas Peterffy (the hungarian market billionaire that is not George Soros) said 5 days wasn't enough for IB to update their platform and that's obviously true.
Now maybe they should have warned people with messages on the interface, e-mails, maybe set some hard limit to what their clients can do.
Maybe they should have had code ready at all time in case this happens. Maybe they share the fault, maybe not.
But anyway, being a customer friendly broker, they absorbed losses over 100 million.
Meanwhile I did my research, I shorted June contract and made money, and I'm fighting with my shady broker to withdraw some of my gains...
They have been condemned by the french regulators years ago for shady business practices go figure, but every retail broker has!
And the vast majority of their clients are retail. I'm waiting and waiting and waiting... I have resisted insulting them or calling the regulator for now.
The only other broker to give me a hard time was Kraken. They mention anti laundering laws and more, and I understand, but why be so unclear, and ask for documents 5 times rather than all at once, and why ask for the same documents several time, and why be so difficult, only when someone made money?
Short Bitcoin on Kraken which was clearly very pro bull, short Oil on *** which had a massive number of retail short sellers (they were on the June contract thought), and then it's an issue. Never had a single problem buying Bitcoin and sending it to a wallet, never a problem when losing money, extreme ease to deposit and start paying commissions, without any warning "getting it out will be very hard". "It's quick instant easy" ye sure, no it's not.
The fund running USO clearly said it was a tool for short term bets. It's not made for massive hoardes of dumb money to buy and hold.
They have spread over several months to be more nimble, ye looks like its working great!
I heard reverse splits were a good sign, that it was smart to invest in a stock after it made a reverse split.
Once again, retail that never in their lives made money consistently, thought they knew better than every one else, and that they would get rich quick.
Once again, I warned people with what little visibility I had.
Once again I was right and retail is getting wiped out.
Bagholders are going to argue, they are going to say "just wait", and any spike up will be their celebration and "told you so" "this is it".
Same old story. They'll keep arguing, they'll keep bagholding, they'll keep losing.
Dumb money at its finest: never understand when you lost. You can never tell them "told you so" because in their mind it's always just a matter of time.
When it gets delisted they'll have no choice but to understand they lost, and still then they'll go full lawsuit and dream of getting their money back.
How long for this? 5 years? 10 years? Apple Sapphire screen bagholders as I posted recently have gotten like 4% of their money back on average.
An average smart (average of the ones in the top) investor or speculator in 10 years will be up 15% compounded, so +300% (turn the total into 400%), and dumb bagholders that wanted to get rich quick "15% a year looool that's pathetic" will be spending their time in courts and dreaming of getting 4% back (turn the total into 4%).
Delusion at its finest. There is no free lunch...
If Oil was priced at $0.01 there was a very good reason for it.
Oil traders weren't just selling at this price because "emotions" "rsi very oversold".
It's so risible that some complete noobs that don't understand anything they are doing thought they are just so much smarter than the market, and that whales were just "being emotional" and selling a barrel of Oil at $5, $3, etc just because they were "scaaaaared".
Homer Simpson really thought "Aha! Whales are selling Oil at $1 a barrel but they are scared. I, Homer J Simpson, know something they don't! Oil is worth more. I am a visionary!"
It's like when Homer went hunting for a Turkey, he just put a nice plate down with rice and other food in, then shouted "Come on Turkey come join your friends" and pointed the gun towards the plate with a big smile on his face, fully convinced a Turkey would jump in his plate.
I thought the Simpsons were ridiculous and overly exagerated when I was a kid. How wrong I was.
My broker lets me set an order to short USO. Oh my, I sure know what I'm going to do! 2 possibilities actually.
The Difference Between Stupidity and Genius Is That Genius Has Its Limits.






















