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Rising Wedge

Price-Action Analysis (Gold – Daily Chart)Price-Action Analysis (Gold – Daily Chart) 1. Rising Wedge Structure The chart highlights a rising wedge, where price is moving higher but the slope of the highs and lows is converging. This shows that although price is advancing, the momentum is slowing because each new high is made with decreasing strength. The wedge boundaries show price repeatedly touching both the upper and lower trendlines. 2. Recent Price Behavior Price moved from the lower wedge boundary upward and recently touched the resistance area near the upper boundary. After this touch, the latest candle shows a pullback, indicating a pause in upward momentum. This is consistent with price meeting the top of a tightening structure. 3. Interaction With EMAs Price has been trading above the EMA 7, EMA 9, and EMA 21, reflecting short-term upward pressure. The EMA 50 lies further below and has acted as a secondary dynamic support in earlier phases of the chart. The clustering of EMAs under price indicates a generally constructive short-term trend. 4. Possible Breakdown Area (Structure-Based) The dotted vertical measurement displayed on the chart illustrates the height of the wedge. This height is often used to project a distance, not as a signal, but simply to visualize how the pattern size compares with nearby price areas. The green “Target” box reflects this projected measurement placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, representing a hypothetical zone based solely on the wedge’s size. 5. Volume Context Volume appears higher during strong downward candles earlier in the chart, then stabilizes during the wedge. This fits a common observation where momentum can slow as patterns tighten. 📌 Summary (Neutral & Descriptive) Gold has been moving inside a rising wedge, showing higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing structure. Recently, price touched the upper boundary of the wedge and showed a mild pullback, indicating reduced momentum at that level. Price remains above several EMAs, reflecting ongoing short-term strength, while the pattern itself shows compression. A measured-move projection is drawn underneath the wedge to illustrate how its height compares with lower price zones if the structure were to resolve downward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Harry_Megat
EUR/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Signaling Deeper BearishThis EUR/USD 2H chart shows a classic rising-wedge distribution, a pattern that often forms before a strong bearish move. Price rallied inside a rising channel, but the momentum weakened near the upper resistance zone, creating lower highs and showing sellers stepping in early. A clean breakout below the wedge support confirms that buyers lost control. After the drop, price pulled back for a retest of the broken structure — exactly where sellers typically reload positions. That retest (highlighted in yellow) shows rejection, signaling bearish continuation. The market is now expected to push toward the 1.15400 support zone, which aligns with previous demand and high-volume areas. If that level fails, the larger support near 1.14700 becomes the next major target. This setup reflects a textbook bearish transition: Breakout → Retest → Continuation.
Short
by ZACKFX7
Rising Wedge Breakout Spells Decline Continuation For GUFX:GBPUSD delivered a Breakout of A Rising Wedge to end the week last week! Next, we should suspect a Retest of this Breakout @ the 38.2% Retracement level around 1.31864. This level proved to hold price below it through the formation of the pattern and would serve as a great area of opportunity to short the pair and ride Price down! If the Retest of the Breakout is successful, Price would next find Support at the April Lows around the 1.28 - 1.27 area! Fundamentally its a heavy week for USD with events for GBP littered throughout so keep a close eye on how the results end up affecting the markets!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
Bitcoin Bear Market 2026 | Macro Cycle & Rising Wedge BreakdownBitcoin Macro Cycle Analysis (2013–2029) | Rising Wedge Breakdown • 2026 Bear Market Targets • Historical % Drops & Next Accumulation Zone Bitcoin historical data strongly follows multi-year macro cycles , where each bull market has been followed by a deep bear market correction: 📉 2nd Cycle (2017–2018) Top: 19,666 (17 Dec 2017) Bottom: 3,122 (15 Dec 2018) Correction: –84.23% 📉 3rd Cycle (2021–2022) Top: 68,997 (8 Nov 2021) Bottom: 15,479 (9 Nov 2022) Correction: –76.64% 📉 4th Cycle (2025–2026 – Ongoing) Top: 126,272 (6 Oct 2025) Rising Wedge + Distribution Phase breakdown confirms bearish structure shift Based on historical cycle behavior and on-chain indicators, Bitcoin has entered the 4th major bear market 📍 Projected Bottom Zone (2026) Primary Support Zone: ➡️ $40,000 – $42,000 – $45,382 (Aligned with Wedge Breakdown + Macro Support) Percentage-Based Targets: –68.16% drop: → ≈ $40,000 –74% historical drop scenario: → ≈ $31,000 (max capitulation zone) 📅 Expected Bottom Window: September – October 2026 → Historically the strongest long-term buying opportunity . 📈 5th Cycle Expectations (2026–2029) Bitcoin has been following a Long-Term Rising Wedge (Bearish Continuation / Reversal Pattern) since 2021. This pattern is expected to fully complete by April 2029 → leading into a new long-term top and then the 5th bear market . ⭐ Why This Analysis Matters Combines **cycle history**, **on-chain metrics**, **pattern analysis**, and **macro support zones** Helps identify high-probability long-term Bitcoin accumulation levels Useful for swing traders, long-term investors, and cycle-based portfolio strategies 🔔 If You Find This Analysis Helpful 👍 Like • 💬 Comment • ⭐ Save It motivates me to share more high-quality Bitcoin cycle research!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Houseofcryptokings
CDSL !! Time to Be Cautious! Bearish Signals Getting StrongerThis is the Daily Timeframe Chart Analysis of CDSL CDSL is currently forming a Rising Wedge pattern near the key resistance zone of 1680–1700. A breakout above this level with strong volume could lead to an upside target around 1800. However, if the stock fails to break this resistance and the zone holds, we may witness a downside move. In that case, CDSL could retrace towards the range-bound support area of 1500–1520. Thank you.
NSE:CDSLLong
by FiveCircles
TSLA 3-Drive & ABCD Pattern – Path to $500 Before a PullbackThis chart highlights multiple harmonic and Elliott structures aligning for a potential bullish extension in Tesla (TSLA). A well-defined ABCD pattern and 3-Drive pattern suggest momentum building toward the $500 zone, supported by Fibonacci projections and channel resistance. The current wave structure points to an imminent 5-wave advance, likely completing the “Drive 3” and pattern D confluence area near $500–505. Following that move, a corrective pullback (ABC) is anticipated, possibly retesting prior support near $440–400. Key elements featured: ABCD completion zone: around $500 3-Drive pattern: confirming exhaustion at upper trendline Elliott 5-wave projection: short-term bullish continuation Possible corrective phase: after the final wave up 📈 Watching for confirmation of Wave iii and potential exhaustion signals near $500 before considering downside setups.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by msezng
S&P500 | Mild CrashRisk assets looking to sell off as the stock market tops out around $6,800. Current price action is only pulling back to test sellers again and we should see a continuation in selling until mid November and hopefully to see a Christmas rally to end the year off. Since price action awfully looks similar to '24 - '25 Fractal we could say the SPX will look to top next year February/March also considering we're on correction 4 in the Elliott Wave Theory. Would like to see the S&P bottom out around April - July months of next year at $5,600 if we can continue the bullish parallel trend.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Nathanl19
S&P 500: Rising Wedge signals movement before NFP📈 BLUEBERRY:SP500 | Rising Wedge + Non-Farm Payrolls: Which breakout scenario is more likely? A Rising Wedge pattern is forming on the 30-minute chart of US SPX 500, with price approaching the convergence point of two trendlines. This pattern typically signals weakening bullish momentum but doesn’t rule out a breakout to the upside 🚀. 🔍 Technical Analysis: • Price is consolidating within a narrowing channel, forming a Rising Wedge 🔺. • Key support lies between 6717 - 6734 (lower blue zone) 🛡️. • Target zone on a breakout to the upside is 6767 - 6775 (upper blue zone) 🎯. • The pattern signals an imminent breakout, but confirmation with a candle close beyond the wedge is needed 🕒. 📊 Non-Farm Payrolls Impact: • If NFP comes in below expectations, the market may react positively (break up) on hopes of Fed easing monetary policy 💵👍. • Conversely, a higher-than-expected NFP could increase downside pressure (break down from the wedge) 📉⚠️. 💡 Trade Setup: • Enter a BUY position once price breaks above 6733 with confirming high volume 🔥. • Place stop loss below support at 6716 to manage risk 🚧. • Target area between 6770 - 6775 🎯. 📝 Summary: The Rising Wedge on SPX 500 points to a breakout soon, with the NFP report acting as a key catalyst. Wait for confirmation and manage your risk carefully ✅. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
BLUEBERRY:SP500Long
by ZuperView
What’s a Wedge Pattern?What's up traders! 👋 Wedge patterns are a powerful tool in technical analysis that can give you a heads-up about potential price moves. Whether you’re spotting a falling wedge or a rising wedge, these formations can reveal key signals about market direction. What’s a Wedge Pattern? A wedge pattern forms when price moves between two converging trendlines, creating a shape resembling a triangle. These patterns usually appear when the market is slowing down or consolidating before making a bigger move. Wedges can slope upwards or downwards, and the key difference lies in whether the trendlines are converging in an uptrend (rising wedge) or a downtrend (falling wedge). Falling Wedge Pattern: Bullish Reversal 📈 The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal signal. This formation occurs when price moves between two downward-sloping trendlines, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows. The downward momentum weakens as the trendlines converge, indicating that sellers are losing strength, which sets up the potential for a bullish breakout. How to Trade the Falling Wedge Entry: Wait for the price to break above the upper trendline. This is your signal to enter long. Target: Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point and project it upwards from the breakout point. Stop Loss: Place it just below the most recent swing low to protect your position if the breakout doesn’t happen. The chart illustrates a falling wedge pattern on the Bitcoin / Tether US pair with a 1-hour timeframe. Price action is contained within two converging downward-sloping trendlines, suggesting weakening bearish momentum. The breakout above the upper trendline signals a bullish reversal, and the subsequent uptick in price confirms the shift in momentum. In rare cases, a breakout failure can lead to a bearish falling wedge pattern, but this scenario is less common. Keep an eye on the price action for signs of continued upward momentum. Rising Wedge Pattern: Bearish Reversal 📉 The rising wedge pattern is a bearish reversal signal. This formation happens when price moves between two upward-sloping trendlines, creating higher highs and higher lows. The rising wedge indicates weakening buying pressure and a potential reversal to the downside. How to Trade the Rising Wedge Entry: Enter a short position once the price breaks below the lower trendline. Target: Measure the height of the wedge and project it downward from the breakout point. Stop Loss: Set it just above the most recent swing high to protect your trade. Wedge Chart Pattern Trading: Key Tips ⚡ Context is everything when trading wedge patterns. If a bullish wedge pattern appears in an uptrend, it’s more likely to break to the upside. If a bearish wedge shows up in a downtrend, expect a breakdown. Here are a few quick tips to improve your wedge trading pattern game: Trendlines are key: Ensure your trendlines are drawn accurately. Properly drawn trendlines lead to better trades. Breakout confirmation: Confirm breakouts with increased volume and, ideally, by checking for confluence with other indicators like RSI or MACD. A breakout without volume is often a false signal. Risk management: Always use a stop loss to protect your capital. Use other indicators: Wedge patterns work well with additional tools such as RSI, moving averages, or MACD. The more confluence, the better! Final Thoughts 🏁 Wedge patterns, whether it’s the falling wedge pattern signaling a bullish reversal or the rising wedge pattern trading indicating bearish pressure, are some of the most reliable chart formations out there. But remember: no setup is perfect, so always use a stop loss and never rely on a single indicator. With practice, you’ll get better at spotting these setups and timing your entries and exits like a pro. Happy trading, and may the charts be in your favor! 💰📊
Education
by WhiteBIT
6
SOLANA → When will the sale end? Bullish trend...BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is testing the key support zone of 210-215 amid a market decline. However, it is too early to say that the correction is over; additional signs are needed... Bitcoin is not slowing down yet, a small correction is forming, and there is a chance for the market to fall to 110K. This could also trigger a decline in altcoins before further growth. SOL has been hit by a general sell-off across the entire market. Technically, the chart shows a sell-off and a halt to the decline in the support zone of 212.22. A double bottom has formed, which may be tested before the price returns to growth. The current consolidation in the range of 212.0 - 221.0, the boundaries of which are of interest to the market, gives hope. Support levels: 212, 200, 197 Resistance levels: 221, 231.5 A breakout of the local consolidation resistance and a close above 223.5 - 224 could trigger further growth within the bullish trend. Otherwise, MM may test the liquidity and support zone of 212.0 before the coin begins its recovery phase. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
Exploring the Two Variations of the Rising Wedge PatternHello everyone! When I first started learning technical analysis, one of the patterns I found incredibly interesting and important was the Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is formed when the price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the price range gradually narrows. However, there’s something that few people know – the Rising Wedge pattern can appear in two different forms, and each form has significant implications for predicting market trends. Form 1: Rising Wedge in an Uptrend (Reversal) The first and most common form of the Rising Wedge is when it appears in an uptrend. This pattern signals that the uptrend is losing momentum. When I identify this pattern, I know the market is weakening and is likely to reverse into a downtrend. Characteristics: The price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the range of price movement narrows, and trading volume typically decreases. Confirmation: A breakout below the support at the bottom of the Rising Wedge confirms a trend reversal. When this pattern forms, I prepare to enter a short trade when the price breaks the support at the bottom of the pattern. This is when the market could start to reverse and move downward. Form 2: Rising Wedge in a Downtrend (Continuation) The second form of the Rising Wedge appears in a downtrend. Although it may look similar to the first form, its purpose is different. This pattern does not signal a reversal, but instead indicates that the downtrend will continue after the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern. Characteristics: Similar to the pattern in the uptrend, the price also creates higher highs and higher lows, but the price narrowing occurs within a downtrend. Confirmation: Once the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern, it is expected to continue the strong downward movement. In this case, I do not rush to enter a buy trade because this pattern signals that the downtrend is still strong. After the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern, I will consider entering another short trade. In Summary The Rising Wedge pattern is an incredibly useful tool for technical analysis to identify changes in price trends. Whether in an uptrend or downtrend, this pattern can provide great trading opportunities if you know how to identify and act on it promptly. In an uptrend: The Rising Wedge signals weakness and a potential reversal. In a downtrend: The Rising Wedge signals the continuation of the downward trend. Understanding these two forms helps me make more accurate trading decisions and manage risk more effectively in any market condition.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Kenn_Nguyen
GOLD → The uncertainty factor before the news. Down / up?FX:XAUUSD after updating another high to 3578 went into the phase of profit taking before two busy news days. The trend is aggressively bullish, but the risks of correction are quite high due to the uncertainty factor.... The price pulled back from record highs amid profit taking and reduced panic in the bond market. The dollar stabilized, but remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The key event will be the publication of US employment data (NFP) on Friday. A correction after a sharp rise is a natural reaction, but the expectation of Fed policy easing is supporting the metal's price. Geopolitics: Trade risks (Trump's tariffs) mitigate gold's fall. Gold's correction so far looks like a pause before further movement. The main driver is NFP data, which will determine Fed rate sentiment and USD direction. But, today all eyes are on ADP Nonfarm, Initial jobless claims, and ISM data. Unexpected data may intensify the sell-off.... Resistance levels: 3546, 3559, 3563 Support levels: 3526, 3508 It is difficult to determine the news reaction in advance, we will have to orient ourselves after the fact. Technically, I expect a deeper correction for a healthy market. I expect a retest of the 3560 zone and further decline to local liquidity zones. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
14
Bitcoin at Make-or-Break: Will BTC Fill the CME Gap?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $113,500 as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think Bitcoin can fill the upper CME Gap($117,235-$113,800) !? Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($115,000-$113,588) , Resistance lines , and Monthly Pivot Point . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin’s movement over the past 2 days has been in the form of corrective waves and has had low momentum . The corrective wave structure is a Double Three Correction(WXY) . From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Rising Wedge pattern . I expect Bitcoin to move towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,500-$108,000) after volatile movements over the next two days . CME Gap: $112,870-$112,700 CME Gap: $112,155-$111,940 Stop Loss(SL): $115,510(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
48
Gold at Resistance ! Next move will decide trend.Daily Chart Update – Gold1! Gold is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, with resistance near the sell zone of 103550–103700. The metal is also trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, where the channel resistance aligns with the first selling level around 10500. On a percentage basis, after a 5–6% upward move, gold has reached the key levels of 104700–10500. If these resistance levels hold, we may witness a potential decline in prices. Accordingly, positions can be shifted, and selling opportunities may be considered in line with both the pattern formation and the overall market structure. Conclusion: According to the pattern and overall structure, 103500 is the first selling zone, while further resistance lies at 104700–10500. Sustaining below these levels could open the way for lower prices.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by FiveCircles
GOLD → Retest 3400. Readiness for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD is "consolidating" creeping up on resistance, which generally increases the chances of a breakout, but the initial resistance test may end in a pullback. However, there is news ahead that could trigger one of two scenarios... At the moment, gold is testing $3,400, but is ready for a correction pending new data from the US. However, further decline may be limited for the following reasons: Weak dollar: The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 90%. Trump-Fed conflict: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook undermines confidence in the dollar. Trade wars: New US tariffs (on India) and retaliatory measures (Mexico, Canada against China) increase demand for "safe havens" What is important: Political uncertainty and soft rhetoric of the Fed continue to play in favor of gold. Any attempts to reduce will be supported by buyers. It is also worth paying attention to the GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published today at 12:30 GMT. Resistance levels: 3405, 3420, 3433 Support levels: 3386, 3373, 3369 Technically, the situation is ambiguous and everything depends on the reaction to 3405 and further news. Weakening of the fundamental background may lead to consolidation or correction to 3373 - 3369. However, if traders feel support, then the retest of 3405 may end with a small consolidation around the level and subsequent breakout and growth to the specified targets (I am more inclined to this scenario based on the above situation) Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Correction and retest of a previously broken level...FX:XAUUSD breaks through the support of the local consolidation “symmetrical triangle” and falls to a minimum of 3311... Gold remained at a three-week low of around $3,300 in Asian trading on Wednesday as markets awaited the Fed minutes and Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is strengthening on expectations that the Fed chair will reject the idea of aggressive rate cuts despite weak labor market and inflation data. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 85%. Strong housing market data and news about negotiations on Ukraine provided additional support to the dollar. Powell's comments on Friday remain the key factor for gold, while current movements are mainly technical in nature. Resistance levels: 3328, 3331, 3345 Support levels: 3314, 3300, 3328 Technically, a correction is forming after a bearish rally. As part of the correction, the price may test the zone of interest, which is represented by local resistance levels. Distribution could bring the price to 3300-3270. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19
BTC Dominance Breakdown – Altseason 2025 Loading? The BTC Dominance chart is flashing a familiar pattern we last saw before the explosive 2021 Altseason — and history might be about to rhyme. Let’s break it down: BTC Dominance has once again tapped the same multi-year resistance trendline (red line). Price has been riding a rising wedge since early 2022 — a pattern that typically resolves to the downside. Last week, dominance rejected from the resistance zone and broke below wedge support. Key Technicals: Resistance Trendline: Serving as a multi-year ceiling since 2019. Support Trendline: Rising wedge support now broken, opening the door for a deeper decline. Current Level: 60.81% — sitting right below the breakdown zone. What This Means for the Market: If dominance continues to fall, altcoins could see significant capital inflows. A sustained drop could trigger an Altseason 2.0, with high-beta alts outperforming BTC. Watch for BTC to consolidate or move sideways — this typically accelerates altcoin gains. Confirmation & Invalidations: ✅ Bullish for alts if: Dominance closes weekly candles below 60%. Momentum builds to retest lower dominance support levels (50%-55%). ❌ Invalidation: A reclaim of wedge support + breakout above 67% would kill the altseason narrative in the short term. 📌 Conclusion: BTC Dominance is at a critical turning point. History suggests we could be on the verge of a powerful altcoin cycle if the breakdown sustains. Patience and positioning are key — the biggest alt rallies start when most traders are still skeptical. 💬 What do you think — are we about to witness Altseason 2025? Drop your thoughts below.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CoreCrypto1