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Rising Wedge

GOLD → The uncertainty factor before the news. Down / up?FX:XAUUSD after updating another high to 3578 went into the phase of profit taking before two busy news days. The trend is aggressively bullish, but the risks of correction are quite high due to the uncertainty factor.... The price pulled back from record highs amid profit taking and reduced panic in the bond market. The dollar stabilized, but remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The key event will be the publication of US employment data (NFP) on Friday. A correction after a sharp rise is a natural reaction, but the expectation of Fed policy easing is supporting the metal's price. Geopolitics: Trade risks (Trump's tariffs) mitigate gold's fall. Gold's correction so far looks like a pause before further movement. The main driver is NFP data, which will determine Fed rate sentiment and USD direction. But, today all eyes are on ADP Nonfarm, Initial jobless claims, and ISM data. Unexpected data may intensify the sell-off.... Resistance levels: 3546, 3559, 3563 Support levels: 3526, 3508 It is difficult to determine the news reaction in advance, we will have to orient ourselves after the fact. Technically, I expect a deeper correction for a healthy market. I expect a retest of the 3560 zone and further decline to local liquidity zones. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
Bitcoin at Make-or-Break: Will BTC Fill the CME Gap?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) increased to $113,500 as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think Bitcoin can fill the upper CME Gap($117,235-$113,800) !? Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,720-$113,580) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($115,000-$113,588) , Resistance lines , and Monthly Pivot Point . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin’s movement over the past 2 days has been in the form of corrective waves and has had low momentum . The corrective wave structure is a Double Three Correction(WXY) . From a Classic Technical Analysis perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Rising Wedge pattern . I expect Bitcoin to move towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($109,500-$108,000) after volatile movements over the next two days . CME Gap: $112,870-$112,700 CME Gap: $112,155-$111,940 Stop Loss(SL): $115,510(Worst) Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
49
Gold at Resistance ! Next move will decide trend.Daily Chart Update – Gold1! Gold is currently forming a rising wedge pattern, with resistance near the sell zone of 103550–103700. The metal is also trading within a well-defined ascending parallel channel, where the channel resistance aligns with the first selling level around 10500. On a percentage basis, after a 5–6% upward move, gold has reached the key levels of 104700–10500. If these resistance levels hold, we may witness a potential decline in prices. Accordingly, positions can be shifted, and selling opportunities may be considered in line with both the pattern formation and the overall market structure. Conclusion: According to the pattern and overall structure, 103500 is the first selling zone, while further resistance lies at 104700–10500. Sustaining below these levels could open the way for lower prices.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by FiveCircles
GOLD → Retest 3400. Readiness for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD is "consolidating" creeping up on resistance, which generally increases the chances of a breakout, but the initial resistance test may end in a pullback. However, there is news ahead that could trigger one of two scenarios... At the moment, gold is testing $3,400, but is ready for a correction pending new data from the US. However, further decline may be limited for the following reasons: Weak dollar: The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 90%. Trump-Fed conflict: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook undermines confidence in the dollar. Trade wars: New US tariffs (on India) and retaliatory measures (Mexico, Canada against China) increase demand for "safe havens" What is important: Political uncertainty and soft rhetoric of the Fed continue to play in favor of gold. Any attempts to reduce will be supported by buyers. It is also worth paying attention to the GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published today at 12:30 GMT. Resistance levels: 3405, 3420, 3433 Support levels: 3386, 3373, 3369 Technically, the situation is ambiguous and everything depends on the reaction to 3405 and further news. Weakening of the fundamental background may lead to consolidation or correction to 3373 - 3369. However, if traders feel support, then the retest of 3405 may end with a small consolidation around the level and subsequent breakout and growth to the specified targets (I am more inclined to this scenario based on the above situation) Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Correction and retest of a previously broken level...FX:XAUUSD breaks through the support of the local consolidation “symmetrical triangle” and falls to a minimum of 3311... Gold remained at a three-week low of around $3,300 in Asian trading on Wednesday as markets awaited the Fed minutes and Powell's speech in Jackson Hole. The dollar is strengthening on expectations that the Fed chair will reject the idea of aggressive rate cuts despite weak labor market and inflation data. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 85%. Strong housing market data and news about negotiations on Ukraine provided additional support to the dollar. Powell's comments on Friday remain the key factor for gold, while current movements are mainly technical in nature. Resistance levels: 3328, 3331, 3345 Support levels: 3314, 3300, 3328 Technically, a correction is forming after a bearish rally. As part of the correction, the price may test the zone of interest, which is represented by local resistance levels. Distribution could bring the price to 3300-3270. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
19
BTC Dominance Breakdown – Altseason 2025 Loading? The BTC Dominance chart is flashing a familiar pattern we last saw before the explosive 2021 Altseason — and history might be about to rhyme. Let’s break it down: BTC Dominance has once again tapped the same multi-year resistance trendline (red line). Price has been riding a rising wedge since early 2022 — a pattern that typically resolves to the downside. Last week, dominance rejected from the resistance zone and broke below wedge support. Key Technicals: Resistance Trendline: Serving as a multi-year ceiling since 2019. Support Trendline: Rising wedge support now broken, opening the door for a deeper decline. Current Level: 60.81% — sitting right below the breakdown zone. What This Means for the Market: If dominance continues to fall, altcoins could see significant capital inflows. A sustained drop could trigger an Altseason 2.0, with high-beta alts outperforming BTC. Watch for BTC to consolidate or move sideways — this typically accelerates altcoin gains. Confirmation & Invalidations: ✅ Bullish for alts if: Dominance closes weekly candles below 60%. Momentum builds to retest lower dominance support levels (50%-55%). ❌ Invalidation: A reclaim of wedge support + breakout above 67% would kill the altseason narrative in the short term. 📌 Conclusion: BTC Dominance is at a critical turning point. History suggests we could be on the verge of a powerful altcoin cycle if the breakdown sustains. Patience and positioning are key — the biggest alt rallies start when most traders are still skeptical. 💬 What do you think — are we about to witness Altseason 2025? Drop your thoughts below.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by CoreCrypto1
Gold holds its bullish momentum - Strategy 1000 pips ? Hello everyone, what do you think about gold prices? Yesterday, gold ended the session near the key psychological level of 3,400 USD. Overall, the metal remains in a short-term uptrend. Some immediate supporting factors include: -Concerns about the US economy – The Fed may soon have to cut interest rates, weakening the USD and making gold more attractive. -Geopolitical uncertainty – Trade tensions between the US and India over Russian oil imports are prompting investors to turn to gold. -Financial market volatility – Global equities show signs of a pullback after a strong rally, driving defensive capital flows into gold to reduce portfolio risk. From a technical perspective: XAUUSD is maintaining a steady upward trend after breaking out of its previous down channel and forming a Rising Wedge pattern. On the chart, prices are consistently creating higher highs and higher lows, with the range narrowing over time — a sign that the market is consolidating before a potential breakout. Currently, the lower boundary of the wedge is acting as support. If prices hold above this level, the primary scenario remains a move higher toward the 3,433 to 3,450 USD resistance zone. Conversely, if the wedge’s support is broken, the price could retrace to 3,350 USD before the uptrend resumes. And you — what’s your view on XAUUSD’s next move? Share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
13
GOLD → A stalemate situation - a bullish wedgeFX:XAUUSD is unable to break through the resistance level of 3400. However, an ambiguous “bullish wedge” pattern is forming on the chart... The price of gold retreated from a two-week high on profit-taking. The correction intensified after the US imposed tariffs on imports of gold bars (1 kg), which could disrupt supplies from Switzerland and London. Key supporting factors: Escalation of trade conflicts, concerns about the US economy and pressure on the Fed, questions about the Fed's independence after Trump's appointments Risks: Short-term volatility ahead of US CPI data next week. However, fundamental drivers remain bullish. Support levels: 3390, 3350 Resistance levels: 3405, 3435 The problem with the bullish wedge pattern is that it forms an ambiguous figure. We have an upward movement, but the pattern could easily reverse the local upward trend due to the fairly difficult resistance zone of 3390-3410. If gold manages to consolidate above 3405, this will increase the chances of growth to 3435-3500. BUT! There is a fairly high chance that the 3390 support level could be broken. In this case, the market could fall to 3350 before rising... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
Trading Divergences With Wedges in ForexTrading Divergences With Wedges in Forex Divergence trading in forex is a powerful technique for analysing market movements, as is observing rising and falling wedges. This article explores the synergy between divergence trading and wedges in forex, offering insights into how traders can leverage these signals. From the basics to advanced strategies, learn how you could utilise this approach effectively, potentially enhancing your trading skills in the dynamic forex market. Understanding Divergences In forex trading, the concept of divergence plays a pivotal role in identifying potential market shifts. A divergence in forex, meaning a situation where price action and a technical indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) move in opposite directions, often signals a weakening trend. This discrepancy is a valuable tool in divergence chart trading, as it may indicate a possible reversal or continuation of the current trend. There are two primary types of divergence in forex—regular and hidden. Regular divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs or lower lows while the indicator does the opposite, often signalling a reversal. Hidden divergence, on the other hand, happens when the price makes lower highs or higher lows while the indicator shows higher highs or lower lows, typically suggesting a continuation of the current trend. Trading Rising and Falling Wedges Rising and falling wedges are significant patterns in forex trading, often signalling potential trend reversals. A rising wedge, formed by converging upward trendlines, often indicates a bearish reversal if it appears in an uptrend. Conversely, a falling wedge, characterised by converging downward trendlines, typically reflects a bullish reversal if it occurs in a downtrend. Traders often look for a breakout from these patterns as a signal to enter trades. For rising wedges, a downward breakout can be seen as a sell signal, while an upward breakout from a falling wedge is often interpreted as a buy signal. When combined with divergences, this chart pattern can add confirmation and precede strong movements. Best Practices for Trading Divergences Trading divergence patterns in forex requires a keen eye for detail and a disciplined, holistic approach. Here are key practices for effective trading: - Comprehensive Analysis: Before trading on divergence and wedges, be sure to analyse overall market conditions. - Selecting the Right Indicator: Choose a forex divergence indicator that suits your trading style. Common choices include RSI, MACD, and Stochastic. - Confirmation Is Key: It’s best to watch for additional confirmation from price action or other technical tools before entering a trade. - Risk Management: Traders always set stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively. Divergence trading isn't foolproof; protecting your capital is crucial. - Patience in Entry and Exit: Be patient as the divergence develops and confirm with your chosen indicators before entering or exiting a trade. Strategy 1: RSI and Wedge Divergence Traders focus on regular divergence patterns when the RSI is above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold), combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern. The strategy hinges on identifying highs or lows within these RSI extremes. It's not crucial if the RSI remains consistently overbought or oversold, or if it fluctuates in and out of these zones. Entry - Traders may observe a regular divergence where both the price highs/lows and RSI readings are above 70 or below 30. - After the formation of a lower high (in an overbought zone) or a higher low (in an oversold zone) in the RSI, traders typically watch as the RSI crosses back below 70 or above 30. This is accompanied by a breakout from a rising or falling wedge, acting as a potential signal to enter. Stop Loss - Stop losses might be set just beyond the high or low of the wedge. Take Profit - Profit targets may be established at suitable support/resistance levels. - Another potential approach is to exit when the RSI crosses back into the opposite overbought/oversold territory. Strategy 2: MACD and Wedge Divergence Regarded as one of the best divergence trading strategies, MACD divergence focuses on the discrepancy between price action and the MACD histogram. The strategy is particularly potent when combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern in price. Entry - Traders typically observe for the MACD histogram to diverge from the price. This divergence manifests as the price reaching new highs or lows while the MACD histogram fails to do the same. - The strategy involves waiting for the MACD signal line to cross over the MACD line in the direction of the anticipated reversal. This crossover should coincide with a breakout from the rising or falling wedge. - After these conditions are met, traders may consider entering a trade in anticipation of a trend reversal. Stop Loss - Stop losses may be set beyond the high or low of the wedge, which may help traders manage risk by identifying a clear exit point if the anticipated reversal does not materialise. Take Profit - Profit targets might be established at nearby support or resistance levels, allowing traders to capitalise on the expected move while managing potential downside. Strategy 3: Stochastic and Wedge Divergence Stochastic divergence is a key technique for divergence day trading in forex, especially useful for identifying potential trend reversals. This strategy typically employs the Stochastic Oscillator with settings of 14, 3, 3. Entry - Traders may look for divergence scenarios where the Stochastic readings are above 80 or below 20, mirroring the RSI approach. - This divergence is observed in conjunction with price action, forming a rising or falling wedge. - Entry may be considered following a breakout from the wedge, which signals a potential shift in market direction. Stop Loss - Setting stop losses just beyond the high or low of the wedge might be an effective approach. Take Profit - Profit targets may be set at key support/resistance levels. The Bottom Line Divergence trading, coupled with the analysis of rising and falling wedges, offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the forex market. By integrating the discussed strategies with sound risk management and market analysis, traders may potentially enhance their ability to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of forex. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
8
Gold at a Crossroad: Long or Short? Key Levels in FocusThere are three chart of Gold . Gold1! is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with resistance positioned between 103500-104000 levels. Gold1! is facing Pivot Point resistance around the 103500 level, indicating potential supply pressure. Gold1! is approaching the parallel channel resistance, and the upside move is nearly complete in percentage terms, with resistance around 103800-104000. if this level sustain then we may see first of all higher prices then again fall in gold1! Thank You !!
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by FiveCircles
Microsoft Sees Declining Trading Volume Despite All Time HighsSince December of 2021, MSFT traded within a Rising Wedge structure that has gradually resulted in lower and lower highs in volume, at the same time IV on the Options Chain has begun to price down the strikes above $515 while Shorter Term Downside IV has begun to price up all the way out to $240.00. If this trend continues we will likely see the $515 area act as strong resistance as liquid interest above it begins to dry out. This could be the beginning of a move to break down the wedge and trade down to the lower strikes first targeting the $365 price level and resolving around $240 near the 200 Period SMA.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by RizeSenpai
XRP Hits $3.10 — Rising Wedge or Ready to Fly?XRP has been on a strong run over the past 24 days, rallying from $1.90 → $3.10 — a +62% price increase. But after hitting key resistance, is XRP about to correct, or will it break out further? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Market Structure Rising Wedge Pattern: The current market structure resembles a rising wedge, with XRP likely completing wave 5. Rejection Zone Hit: Price tapped the nPOC at $3.10 and rejected — providing a clean short opportunity. 📉 Key Support Levels & Confluences Taking the full 24-day bullish move: 0.382 Fib Retracement: $2.6326 — aligns with liquidity pool below the $2.6596 swing low. 226-day Trading Range VAH: ~$2.62 (red dashed line) — adds confluence. Daily Level: $2.60 — further support. Anchored VWAP from $1.90 Low: ~$2.54 (rising over time). ✅ Conclusion: The $2.66–$2.60 zone is a critical support area and offers a solid long opportunity. Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup (After Breakdown Confirmation): Wait for a sell-off & breakdown of the wedge. Ideal entry: retest of the lower wedge edge, ideal short entry would be between 0.618–0.786 fib retracement. 🟢 Long Setup: Entry Zone: $2.66–$2.60 SL: below VWAP line Target: Fib 0.618 as TP 🧠 Educational Insight: Rising Wedges Explained A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, often signalling weakening momentum as price climbs within narrowing highs and lows. Key points: ➡️ Volume typically declines as the wedge matures. ➡️ Breakdown below the lower wedge edge often triggers stronger sell-offs. ➡️ Retests of the broken wedge support turn into ideal short entries. Pro tip: Combine wedge patterns with fib retracement zones and VWAP levels for higher-confidence setups. Watch for wedge breakdown confirmation before shorting. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
BF UTILITIES LTD 'S KEY LEVEL || BREAKDOWN OR BREAKOUT ??These are two charts of BF Utilities – one on the daily timeframe and the other on the weekly timeframe. In the first chart : BF Utilities is sustaining near its Law of Polarity (LOP), which is acting as a resistance zone around the 880–890 range. In the second chart : BF Utilities is forming a Rising Wedge pattern, with the resistance also lying in the 870–880 zone. If this level is sustain ,then we may see lower price in BF Utilities.If this level is broken, the stock may move towards the upper boundary of the channel. Thank you !!
NSE:BFUTILITIE
by FiveCircles
HINDUSTAN ZINC LTD at Best Support !!There are two charts of Hindustan Zinc — one on the 4-hour time frame, and the second on weekly time frame. Chart 1 (4-Hour Timeframe): The stock is moving in a Higher High, Higher Low (HH-HL) structure, indicating a bullish trend. Support zone is observed near the 400–410 range. Chart 2 (Weekly Timeframe): On the weekly chart: the stock is approaching a major support zone in the range of ₹375 – ₹390, which has historically held strong. If this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in HINDZINC. Thank You !!
BSE:HINDZINCLong
by FiveCircles