Silver (XAG/USD) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Bearish ContinuationTechnical Analysis & Market Outlook
The Silver (XAG/USD) 1-hour chart presents a clear rising wedge formation, a well-recognized bearish reversal pattern. This formation develops when price action creates higher highs and higher lows within a contracting range, signaling a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Currently, Silver has broken below the lower trendline of the wedge, confirming a bearish breakout. This move suggests that the recent uptrend is weakening, and sellers are beginning to take control. A retest of the broken support level as new resistance could provide an ideal entry for a short position.
Key Technical Levels & Trading Plan
1️⃣ Resistance & Supply Zone: 34.00 - 34.20
Price has struggled to break above this region multiple times, confirming strong selling pressure.
The market rejected this level sharply, leading to the current downside movement.
A stop-loss can be placed slightly above this zone to protect against unexpected reversals.
2️⃣ Support Level & Retest Zone: 33.50
Previously, this level acted as a strong support, but the breakdown confirms a shift in market structure.
If price retests this level and faces rejection, it could serve as an optimal entry point for short trades.
3️⃣ Short Entry Confirmation
Traders should look for price rejection from the 33.50 zone before entering a short position.
A bearish candlestick pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or a lower high formation) would further validate the entry.
4️⃣ Bearish Target: 31.90 - 32.00
The projected downside move aligns with the measured move of the wedge breakdown and previous support zones.
If price maintains bearish momentum, further downside potential exists beyond this target.
5️⃣ Stop-Loss Placement: Above 34.20
Setting a stop-loss above the recent resistance ensures protection against invalidation of the bearish setup.
This placement accounts for potential price spikes or false breakouts.
Trade Execution Strategy:
📌 Entry: Short on a retest of the 33.50 level, ensuring confirmation via price rejection.
📌 Stop-Loss: Above 34.20 to avoid premature stop-outs.
📌 Take-Profit: Targeting the 31.90 - 32.00 zone for an optimal risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion & Risk Management:
The breakdown from the rising wedge signals a shift in market sentiment, favoring a bearish move. Traders should remain patient for a retest of broken support to confirm the validity of the trade. Proper risk management with a well-placed stop-loss and a defined target ensures controlled exposure to market fluctuations.
📊 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
🔍 Key Watch Areas: Retest of 33.50 for Short Confirmation
