BTCUSD: Liquidity Geometry to 72k Before Deeper BottomBitcoin: Liquidity Geometry Points to 72k Before a Deeper Bear Market Bottom
📊 Bitcoin is trading in a decisive region.
After the recent sharp decline, price reacted from an area that could be seen as simple horizontal support. But the chart suggests something broader.
📉BTC did not only react from support. It reacted at the intersection of price, time, and a descending line that had been guiding the major highs since last year. At the same time, this reaction happened near the lower side of the yellow channel and now projects a possible bounce toward the EMA200 region and the broken structure.
This suggests that liquidity may be moving inside a broader geometric structure, where old supply lines continue to act as decision zones even after the visual trend has already shifted.
In other words:
Price is not just falling. It is moving inside a liquidity geometry where old lines continue to guide reaction zones in both price and time, because algorithms, technical models, conditional orders, discretionary traders, and structural readings often converge around similar areas.
This confluence makes the current reaction important.
Short term: bounce inside the structure
In the short term, Bitcoin can still attempt a relief rally toward 68k–72k.
This move could be driven by:
short covering;
a liquidity hunt above recent highs inside the channel;
a test of the EMA200 as dynamic resistance;
a retest of the broken structure.
Even so, this bounce should be treated as corrective, not as a confirmed reversal.
📌 Decision zone: 70k–72k
The 70k–72k region is the main decision zone for this scenario.
If price rejects this area, the breakdown retest scenario gains strength.
In that case, BTC could return to 62k–60k, the recent pivot region.
If 62k–60k fails, the path opens toward 55k and, below that, toward the 42k–50k range.
📌 Bear market bottom: why 42k–50k?
The projected bottom is not a random number.
The 42k–50k region is where the long-term descending liquidity line meets a likely capitulation area further ahead in time. If price takes longer or moves faster to get there, the exact level may shift slightly, but the logic of the line remains.
A reasonable estimate for the bear market bottom is between 42k and 50k, with 45k–48k as the sweet spot.
That zone would represent:
an approximately 40%–45% correction from recent highs;
possible medium- and long-term demand;
patient institutional and retail buyers buying fear, not euphoria;
potential miner capitulation pressure;
redistribution of supply into stronger hands.
⚠️ Mining and capitulation
There is no single miner capitulation price, because production cost varies by energy, efficiency, scale, and operating structure. Still, several recent estimates place the average total production cost in a high range, near 70k–90k per BTC.
That does not prevent Bitcoin from falling below that range.
On the contrary: when price trades far below the average production cost, less efficient miners may be forced to sell reserves, shut down machines, or reduce operations, increasing short-term selling pressure.
But this kind of stress often appears in late bear market phases.
That is why the 42k–50k region, especially 45k–48k, could become not only a technical support area from the liquidity geometry, but also a zone of capitulation, long-term absorption, and supply redistribution toward better-capitalized players.
Main scenario
1. Technical bounce toward 68k–72k.
2. Possible rejection at the breakdown retest zone.
3. Return toward 62k–60k.
4. If that area is lost, the path opens toward 55k and then 42k–50k, with 45k–48k as the main sweet spot for the bear market bottom.
❌ Invalidation
This view weakens if Bitcoin:
breaks and accepts price above 72k;
prints strong daily closes above that region;
recovers the EMA200 and turns it into support;
continues above the recent structure.
Until that happens, the current move still looks more like a corrective bounce inside a broader bearish structure.
⚠️ This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage your risk with discipline.
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As I said in my previous signals and analysis, Bitcoin's fall occurred exactly according to my analysis. (I hope you used and enjoyed my previous signals and analysis)
Now what is the next move for Bitcoin in my opinion?
Considering the demand area that Bitcoin is confirming and the PRZ area and the important one, Bitcoin is likely to rise from the price range of $60,000 to $70,000 to the area of $103,000 to $109,000.
On the other hand, we are witnessing the formation of the Quasimodo "QM" pattern in the RMT style, and from the ICT point of view, we are witnessing CHOCH, and considering the LIT style and observing IDM, we can say that this structure can be the continuation of Bitcoin's movement. That is, the rise to areas above $100,000 and then continuing to fall towards $30,000.
I have identified important demand areas for you in higher time frames.
I have indicated for you the type of movement it can make from the specified areas with PATH arrows.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including Dow and Wyckoff theories, as well as market structure and Quasimodo pattern in RTM style with a combination of ICT and LIT styles.
Get the necessary confirmations to enter the trade from this analysis based on your strategy and style.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
You are responsible for the transactions and I am not responsible for your failure to comply with risk and capital management.
💬 Note: This is only a possibility and this analysis, like many other analyses, may be violated. Given the specific conditions of Bitcoin, it cannot be said with certainty that this will happen and this is just a view based on the RTM and ICT style and strategy with other analytical styles, including the liquidity style.
Be successful and profitable.
Review the result of my previous analysis of Bitcoin:
BSV Why Bitcoin SV is a useless forkForked cryptocurrencies, which emerge as a result of splitting from the original blockchain, often face an uphill battle to establish themselves as valuable and distinct entities. One of the primary concerns is that forks are perceived as redundant copies of the original blockchain, lacking the same level of innovation, utility, and market demand. This perception leads some to believe that forks will struggle to gain widespread adoption and maintain significant value.
Additionally, forks often encounter difficulties in building and sustaining communities and resources. Divided communities and limited developer support can hinder the progress of forked projects, preventing them from achieving the same level of growth and ecosystem development as the original chain. These challenges can also impact liquidity and network effects, making it harder for forked cryptocurrencies to compete effectively.
Furthermore, the original blockchain, from which the forked cryptocurrency originates, usually retains its dominance in terms of market capitalization, brand recognition, and developer activity. This creates a significant hurdle for forks to overcome, as they face strong competition from the established and widely adopted original chain. The success of the original chain can overshadow the forked projects, diminishing their perceived value and hindering their ability to gain traction.
In my opinion BSV Satoshi's vision could easily reach $12.10.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it! #BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
Warning: Bitcoin is ready for the next wave of decline. As I have been warning for months that Bitcoin will fall below $30,000, now is the time for it to happen.
My analysis and prediction for Bitcoin in 2026 and 2027 will be as follows.
We will enter 2026 with a tiring suffering and end 2025.
We will have the accumulation towards the end of 2026 and the main growth of Bitcoin will occur in 2027.
As shown in the previous chart, on the monthly timeframe, the 2 candles that I have marked on the chart are similar to the last 2 candles of Bitcoin in the last 2 months.
I have marked for you the important areas of demand on the higher timeframes.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the Dow and Wyckoff theories, as well as market structure.
Get the necessary confirmations to enter the trade from this analysis based on your strategy and style.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
You are responsible for trading and I am not responsible for your failure to comply with risk and capital management.
💬 Note: This is just a possibility and this analysis, like many others, may be violated. Given the specific circumstances of Bitcoin, it cannot be said with certainty that this will happen and this is just a view based on the style and strategy of ICT with other analytical styles, including the liquidity style.
Be successful and profitable.
Review the result of my previous analysis on Bitcoin:
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#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy
Warning: Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market are poised for the next wave of decline. I envision 2 scenarios for Bitcoin, both of which aim to see Bitcoin fall below $90,000. The first scenario, which is a daily block breaker, is more likely. The second scenario will only be activated when Bitcoin consolidates above $109,000, aiming to fill the FVG. Eventually, the second scenario will be activated, and the main decline will begin from the upper supply range that I have identified for you.
I have identified the important supply and demand zones of the higher timeframe for you.
As you can see in the chart, the trend change from bullish to bearish has been confirmed in the decline we had.
This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style.
Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade.
Don't forget about risk and capital management.
The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management.
💬 Note: This is just a possibility And this analysis, like many other analyses, may be violated. Given the specific circumstances of Bitcoin, it is not possible to say with certainty that this will happen, and this is just a view based on the ICT style and strategy with other analytical styles, including the liquidity style.
Be successful and profitable.
Review the result of my previous analysis on bitcoin :
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$ETHUSDT Analysis - Oct 10 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:ETHUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Ethereum on the 4-hour timeframe.
After rejecting from the supply zone, Ethereum has reached an IFC, which could cause a price pullback.
On the 15-minute timeframe, look for confirmation signals to enter a long position — the first target is around $4,520, followed by $4,750.
Keep in mind that this setup is very risky, and no entry should be taken without proper confirmation.
The second scenario is a break below $4,200, which could provide a short opportunity targeting $3,950, and then the 4H low. (The break must be confirmed by a full candle close, not just a shadow.)
These scenarios allow you to align with price movement in both directions — the key is to wait for precise confirmations before entering any trade.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team... Long 
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Below are just some of the unique feature that make EPIC CASH superior digital cash:
Scarcity
with a fixed supply of only 21 million coins: EPIC maintains Bitcoin’s identical hard cap of 21 million coins — With 84% of the supply already in circulation, its ownership trajectory aligns with BTC’s, to reach 20.3 million coins by 2028.
Mineable by Anyone
EPIC employs a multi-algorithm mining system that allows ordinary computers to mine it with their laptops or desktops using CPU and GPU, making it accessible to over 6.4 billion devices worldwide, allowing for broad usage and continued decentralization. In contrast, BTC can only be mined on ASICs, which are large cumbersome industrial computers that need frequent replacement and have obvious onerous environmental repercussions.
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I don't know the main reason why I changed my mind from a sharp market fall, but at least I know that I used to take Bitcoin from the $25,000 range to very large targets, but it makes sense to introduce this setup to you. On the monthly time frame Bitcoin has closed above the previous ceiling with the body of the candle and on the other hand we have a valid exchange range that can support Bitcoin and cannot be ignored, but the market maker always surprised us. If I were to act like a sniper, the setup I have considered is suitable for the stated objectives, but I have marked the important support areas for you anyway, including the weekly block order I specified with WOB and finally If the monthly block order area I specified with Mob is gone. , we can see the drop until we reach the target of our previous 14 setup. & Do not forget that the WOB area should not be neglected.
Related Analysis & Setups of Bitcoin : (( BTC/USD )) : Check Link :
Good memories of the time I threw Bitcoin to the Moon From the $40,000 range :
"It is true that it stopped, but it does not diminish the value of my analysis. ((This was the first setup to be published in tv.))"
Related Analysis of Bitcoin Dominance : (( BTC.D )) : Check Link :
"If everything goes according to my old analysis of Bitcoin Dominance, then this update can be approved."
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