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4th Extended Drive Gold Shorts Explained. Shorting Gold into 1850.00 as mentioned on prev analysis. Commodity went 60-70 pips past crucial weekly level to take out all intraweek/swing sellers and also putting in buyers into the market. It has made 200+ pips in just the Assian session so im expecting a intraday meltdown into the current LOD for the next two sessions ahead. Feeling confident about the move but anything can happen in this market so trade smart. Let's grab this bag for Christmas! Peace Out
FX:XAUUSDShort
by tropicalinvestor
1
COFFEE FUTURE : POTENTIALLY SOMETHING BIG TO COMEENGLISH - Prices have been evolving below a bearish trendline, registering lower highs but no significant new market bottoms since May 2011. The long-term trend is then neutral. - However, even though prices have still been consolidating laterally over the last year, they also managed to clear their bearish trendline by successfully rebounding multiple times over the 87.00/103.75 zone, registering what looks like a reversal rounding bottom pattern . In addition, volumes have been on the rise during all the testing phase of the support zone while the DMI shows an increasing bullish pressure inside a more and more directional movement. - It is still hard to talk about a strong bullish reversal here as the market hasn’t registered any new highs. However, this year’s bullish breakout tells us the bearish trend is now over while positive signs on technical indicators (transaction volumes and DMI) demonstrate buyers ‘interest for the asset. It seems the slow dance around the strong psychological and technical level of 100.00 has been an opportunity for bull traders to try to regain control of the market. In this configuration, the bullish scenario remains the most likely but a market close below the 103.75/95.00 zone would invalidate or, at least, delay the bullish potential towards 140.00, 172.00, 198.00 and 224.00 by extension. NB : Coffee has been overperforming the Bloomberg Commodity Index since October 2019 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ FRENCH - Les prix ont évolué sous une ligne de tendance baissière, enregistrant des sommets de plus en plus bas mais aucun nouveau creux de marché significatif depuis mai 2011. La tendance long-terme est donc neutre. - Cependant, même si les prix ont consolidé latéralement au cours des dernières années, ils ont également réussi à s’affranchir de leur ligne de tendance baissière de long-terme en rebondissant à de multiples reprises au-dessus de la zone 87.00/103.75, en s’inscrivant dans ce qui semble être une figure haussière de creux en soucoupe. De plus, les volumes ont été en hausse durant toute la phase de test de la zone support alors que le DMI affiche une pression acheteuse grandissante au sein d’un mouvement de plus en plus directionnel. - Il est toujours compliqué de parler d’un fort renversement à la hausse alors que le marché n’a toujours pas effectué de plus haut significatif. Cependant, le franchissement technique de cette année nous confirme que la tendance baissière de long-terme est désormais terminée alors que les signes positifs rapportés par les indicateurs techniques (volumes de transaction et DMI) nous démontrent un regain d’intérêt des acheteurs pour l’actif. Il semblerait que la lente dance des prix autour du niveaux technique et psychologique fort des 100.00 a été une opportunité pour les acheteurs de tenter de reprendre le contrôle du marché. Dans cette configuration, le scénario haussier reste le plus probable mais toute clôture de marché en-dessous de la zone 103.75/95.00 invaliderait ou, du moins, diffèrerait le potentiel haussier vers 140.00, 172.00, 198.00 puis 224.00 par extension. NB : le café superforme l’indice Bloomberg des matières premières depuis Octobre 2019.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by PierreVeyret
Elliott Wave View: Support Area for SilverElliott Wave View of Silver (XAG) suggests the cycle from September 1 high has ended as wave (1) at 25.82 low. From there, the metal bounce higher in wave (2). The correction unfolded as zigzag Elliott Wave Structure. Up from wave (1) low, wave A ended at 27.48 high. The dip in wave B ended at 26.54 low. Afterwards, the metal resumed higher and ended wave C at 27.60 high. This ended wave (2) in the higher degree. Since then, the commodity has resumed the decline lower. Down from wave (2) high, wave 1 ended at 26.26 low. The subdivision of wave 1 unfolded as 5 waves impulse structure. Wave ((i)) ended at 26.98 low and wave ((ii)) bounce ended at 27.43 high. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 26.69 low and wave ((iv)) bounce ended at 26.94 high. The push lower in wave ((v)) ended at 26.26 low. The metal then bounced higher in wave 2, which ended at 27.22 high. Afterwards, the metal resumed lower in wave 3, which ended at 23.67 low. The bounce in wave 4 ended at 25.24 high. Currently, wave 5 is in progress. As long as 27.60 stays intact, expect the bounces in 3,7 or 11 swings to fail for more downside. The 100 – 161.8% extension from August 7 high is at 18.36 – 22.39 area. If reached, that area can see support for 3 waves bounce at least.
FX_IDC:XAGUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
The concerns in the commodity market and the political problemsThe concerns in the commodity market and the political problems faced by Moscow are slowing down the Russian ruble, allowing the also weak US dollar to steadily advance against in the trading sessions. In fact, the trading pair is on track to reach its resistance level by the latter part of the month. Moreover, crude prices are seen climbing up right now as a hurricane continues to lash out in the Gulf of Mexico. However, the main worry for the oil market is the expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will cut back on its estimates for global crude oil demand. If the demand will be adjusted lower, oil prices could fall down in the trading sessions, pulling the Russian ruble along with it. Meanwhile, the US dollar is also seen slowing down thanks to the jitters felt by investors as they wait for the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s last official meeting before the highly anticipated US Presidential Elections next month.
Long
by Financebroker
1