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NQ to 15196I haven't made new ideas for a while. I have been taking care of issues to make me healthier woman. I'm getting there but still more to growing. I love that I get questions in message from readers. I don't know it all or even may be most but I am good at what ido know. So keep messages coming and I do Best tó answer. We have an algo built where I Solve differential probabilty sets and my brother does his brilliant compútar programming on. We do very successfully. We each take are talent and make it Biggar together. But I still like old fashion TA because it is fun. On Nq I see a move to 15196 after rejection of 786 fib 3 times. I took sell on 3rd rejection. Will see if target hit. Are algo is hinting for much Biggar move down on NQ in next 20 or 30 days. But We don't have enough dháta points yet to declare significance. I hope We all make money. Be kind to each other. Thanks for reading. Mise Bunny 🥰
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn11430563
5
NQ - 4Hr / Retracement PotentialIt was an interesting FOMC Day, the FED was somewhat reserved in its forward guidance. The NQ made an early overthrow of the 15min DT Channel and chopped around until the Lunchtime EST. Price managed to move higher into the close, a first in a number of trading days where the final hour saw increased Selling, often 100 Ticks or more of downside. Today was a refreshing change for us, as we've been sitting in CASH with no longer-term positions. Taking small bites on very reduced size and manually scalping the 30Min Candles with shortcut Market Orders. Price has a GAP above for the NQ at the intersect, the timeline for the next move down keeps appearing on a number of charts as of October 21st, next Thursday. Worth reviewing the EPS Calendar for this day. The draw within the Chart is off the Ledge @ 15399 to the recent lows, the downtrend Lows were 143667. We managed to hold the 14587 Level and begin a CR Higher up and over the DT Channel - ie. the Lows held, so a break-up was to be expected Short Term. We will see IF it is another False Retracement or this correction builds in Complexity. The Ranges are quite large and they are attempting to set a higher low to the bottom of the Range. Within the Daily Uptrend Channel, we moved to the Lows. We'll be looking for scalp entries the balance of the week into Next as the 21st approaches. Lower lows will follow this retracement, we'll see how far it pushes.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
7
NQ - 3PM Squaring... 100 Ticks comes off - Black Betty HourSellers took the 3PM Gift and dunked the NQ for a Quick 100. The close - 14658.50 Apparently, there remains a group who do not want to hold this mess too long, And who can blame them, they had a good RT 2Day and managed to grab a whole bunch o' Ticks from the Pre-EU Session Open. NYSE Open only served to power higher on recycled $'s from Jerry and PD's. The VXN shook the lows and promptly began to grind up... Issue there as they cannot prevent retail from BUYING PUTs. Which, of course, they did as IV fell. This provides further Fuel for a continued RT possibly up to the Ledge at 838. We shall see, perhaps the Dippers win one, unlikely at this juncture. NQ Structure is awful, the Weekly looks as if it is staving off the inevitable. More fun to come as this can turn on a Pin at any time. It is truly a ticking Bomb ripe to go boom boom. Patience, let the symmetry trade out. Bank the Range.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
3
NQ - ES YM RTY ZN TLT / Final Commentary - 10/7/2021 Macro Observations As the Global Economy continues to weaken, DEBT is beginning to weigh heavily on the same. Inflations have many Vectors - Monetary, Fiscal, and Confidence. Throughout the history of the United States, the "Debt Ceiling" has always been a Glass Roof. At present, decades of abuse since the 1980s have come home to roost. The result of multiple stimulus measures aimed at combating the pandemic's economic impact... Congress will run a budgetary shortfall this year equivalent to 13.4% of GDP or approximately $3.1 Trillion. It is axiomatic, Fiscal and Monetary Policies have failed. The crisis will continue to worsen over the coming years, 2022 it will reach its zenith and fail in the most unimaginable ways. Confidence is nearing all-time lows. A Panic is in the air within the "Investing Complex" - it has just begun for Retail Investors. Buy the Dip, the FED has a Put under the Equities Markets is slowly, ever so slowly giving way to the recognition, All is not at all well. The "Everything Must Go Sale" is gaining momentum. And by "everything" - we, indeed, mean everything for reasons which have been discussed repeatedly here within this sliver of TV. The Boat will tip, list, and capsize into 2022, for now, a healthy correction is ahead as indicated. Higher rates are axiomatic, the Federal Reserve will begin to move further into the Shadows with its Operations. Dark Pools will continue to position into the Sell. It won't be The End, it will, however, "feel" like it. There will be one last high to put bring an end to the Longest Bull Market in History. That will be THE END. For now, Buckle up, the Sportiness is ON. ______________________________________________________________________________________ NQ ES YM RTY ZN TLT The Nasdaq chart above illustrates the larger Daily Price Objective. How it gets there will be quick and dirty, a rather nasty affair as reality sets in, takes hold and dumps the sordid mess on its collective head. Whether or not there is a consolidation zone prior to the large DUMP, will depend upon Distribution patterns and the Budget news cycle as well as the middle of the UST Curve, namely the 10 Year Note. It is not a no-mans land, but the very inflection point on the Yield Curve. It is overdue, for reasons we have covered repeatedly. Over and over and over to the point, they no longer bare repeating. Simply review the past several months of commentary to EDU yourself. We have grown wary of rehashing our Thesis. It has been proven correct and is now in Trade. It takes time to form a top, it is a process until it becomes an event. The Technical Conditions have been growing increasingly weak for several months. 3x and 4x Divergences have been building on Larger timeframes and are now beginning to assert themselves. It will remain choppy to Down and as October unfolds, the larger Sell will arrive. The ES & YM will follow the NQ, the YM will remain the Laggard as will RTY until rotational failure will occur. It is best to observe the Weekly and Monthly TF's there for levels. We believe the 200SMAs, as well, the 400SMAs come into play in October, no later than November. One fairly significant cleansing of Speculative Juices among the Retail Investing Herd. ZN & TLT, again, for reasons we have covered repeatedly are in a confirmed SELL. We believe the 10 Year Note Yield will see new highs, the ROCs we noted are gaining immense traction. An explosive move higher is unfolding. 139s will print on TLT, ZN could dive well into the 120s. Debt Obligations will demand higher rates at a time when the DEBT edifice itself is going to be difficult to string together. Pushing on a string comes to mind. Conventional Correlations are DOA, insisting they are functioning is simply ignoring reality. Yesterday is today shall be tomorrow... best of luck to you in this Dogma. Lagarde and Powell both speak this morning, furthering the All Digital agenda. We will be absent for a number of trading Sessions as we relocate our arrangements over the coming days. Hopefully, to return no later than October 7th. Be well - HK
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by HK_L61
23
NQ - Micro / Friday Close 15318.75 / Higher LowNasdaq 100 is circling Sellers for Globex, although weakening the 318 Level remains important. NQ Struggled today as the VXN did not complete its Gap Fill, which inhibited the Instrument from doing the same. During RTH the count did not exceed, that was reserved for the Globex toss over @ 399. This implies they will attempt to not only Fill the overhead Gap, but attempt to retake the 399. Probability of this @ the moment is low during RTH, as NQ's structure continues to weaken. Sellers have been rotating to Cyclicals and out of TECH, due to the Yield sensitivity is unable to push higher during RTH. Tomorrow will provide far more information as to the balance of the week's positioning. AAPL was unable to move over 147.55 and the SMH was a mixed bag with ASML getting taken to the woodshed for 3.86% while the flipside was MU up 1.17%. They have been leaking out via rotation in Semis as well, not wanting to bring it to the RED. AMZN Recovered after a nasty early SELL. The Russel found the Bulk of TECH flight, it appears the 2335 SELL will come back to Trade. it has been a struggle to get there, but Wall Street wants the Fill which now ranges from 2335 to 2406. The YM was unable to capture 34993 - 35035 on rotation, which is typical as it is far easier to manipulate the RTY's weightings. Overall the Markets continue to weaken, led by TECH. Globex will be interesting, fill the Gap or retest the lows of last week... pay attention to which trades first. Month-end approaches.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
1
nq lower time frame. this is a crazy picture to me.nothing but upwards. I'm happy for the market, but this is a little crazy what it's doing to the nasdaq. All of the e-minis caught a similar influx of buyer activity. Some of them were relatively low, so now they look normal, however, the nq was really strong previously, so now it looks overbought. the recent move made new highs in the es and the nq, but not in the dow or the russell, however, the dow is pretty close, probably will try to break a high today or tomorrow.
CME_MINI:NQU2021
by emehoke
NQ - One Enormous Range / ES YM RTY VIX Inversions.TECH continues to hold for now. Large Divergences on the Daily TF have yet to take hold. The Apex of the ascending wedge completes @ ~ 15323 inching its way towards our PO @ 15363. Equities outside of TECH can rise due to financial components and favorable rate environments for Banks. NQ Bank a solid indicator. ES RTY and YM are finding footing into higher targets for YM - 35,900 and 36,700. NQ would underperform. The VIX Is quickly moving to its lower boundaries down to 12.30 - 15.47 on the Daily. Lots of naysayers to this, yet here we are. Interesting times, trade safe.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by HK_L61
NQ - Range for Friday 14976 will be important Level for OPEXWe are Neutral for Today, VX during Roll should continue to come under pressure. Should the VX break 16.90 we could see a quick flush down to ~16.50s. Ahead of Jackson Hole, there will be an effort to continue the Trend - which remains Bullish for now. We anticipate a blow off ahead of VX roll. The FED has a high probability of announcing tightening in varying forms - even as the Commodities Complex is coming under duress - Lumber was off 7% yesterday. Gamma for AAPL will play an important role for the large number of Calls purchased when AAPL was trading 141s. Bonds are pulling back ZN/ZB selloffs will provide a tailwind to Equities as will NQ Bank. Opening Breadth on Friday's usually provides a solid trend, Friday's are generally NOT a consolidation. Bias is to Upside for Index Complex.16.68 and then 16.49. The VX is presently trading -2.57% with the VX Curve in a well defined Contango. 15045.90 is the upper Limit should 14,976 be broken. 14.672.80 is the lower Limit for Today unless it breaks - 14,540.75 would be lower Support. NQ may well trade this entire range over the coming week into VX Settlement. VXN will provide guidance as Support remains 19.15
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by HK_L61
4
NQ trade going better than expectedSo you can see here I took a position on NQ for sell. I have hit my profit goal but continue to let this run until I see a reason to exit. Right now am using a trailing stop. This could potential be the one of a few trades a year that really add to your yearly profit. Like winning football matches mostly 1-0 or 2-0 or losing matches 0-1. But then suddenly the very occasional wipeout when you win a match 5-0. This is my analogy for a winning strategy. See also link to my previous idea for NQ setup below ❤️ Ms Bunny
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn11430563
6
NQ - Nasdaq100 e-mini futures buy zones (MNQ valid)Hello traders, Description of the analysis: M30 strong s/r zones. Currently NQ in the all time high area, where the probability of rejection and decline is increased. Sentiment will show. Support zones ideal for timing short-term long positions (gray). Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan. Analysis is also valid for e-micro MNQ futures. About me: Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund ($4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades. Jacob
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Jacob_Kovarik
NQ UpdateLOL, I just can;t stay away from the market today for some reason. In any case I kept pointing out that NQ wasn't oversold, and something had to give. Well it did and NQ went oversold. So I assume we get at least a dead cat bounce here either tomorrow or Monday even if the market decides to take a big crap again. Considering how the EUros started the selloff in Feb, and again this week, I'd be very cautious about going long. There's a chance we get another waterfall, because "second wave" and what not. We haven't seen a selloff like this since Feb. In any case, I was right yesterday, we did backtest the old top.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by hungry_hippo
1
NQ testing important resistance NQ1!See chart for summary. I don't think the market has topped here, but I do think there's an opportunity for short term shorts to nail a momentum move down AFTER a fail at the zone. I included the EMA's here because they provide a good visual tool...a pullback to the 25 EMA + zone + price action fail....that's essentially what I'm looking for. Ideally I'd like to see it developing on the H1 and execute on the 5m tomorrow. That's very specific, and like I said before, I've been burned by the NQ many times on technical setups. This is a algo heavy instrument that's perfected the art of the fakeout + trap. If I'm completely wrong and price busts up through the level, this is still a chart worth studying. Why? Two reasons: 1. Momentum will come into the market here. First step in good trading is to identify when/where opportunities will present themselves. 2. The second step is knowing which direction to pick. I'm a discretionary technical trader...and if I'm clearly trapped, it's a chance to study how the NQ will set up attractively to one side and then slam the other way at the last minute. Either way, watch for the move that's coming.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by structuredtrader