Can Efficiency Topple AI's Titans?Google has strategically entered the next phase of the AI hardware competition with Ironwood, its seventh-generation Tensor Processing Unit (TPU). Moving beyond general-purpose AI acceleration, Google specifically engineered Ironwood for inference – the critical task of running trained AI models at scale. This deliberate focus signals a Major bet on the "age of inference," where the cost and efficiency of deploying AI, rather than just training it, become dominant factors for enterprise adoption and profitability, positioning Google directly against incumbents NVIDIA and Intel.
Ironwood delivers substantial advancements in both raw computing power and, critically, energy efficiency. Its most potent competitive feature may be its enhanced performance-per-watt, boasting impressive teraflops and significantly increased memory bandwidth compared to its predecessor. Google claims nearly double the efficiency of its previous generation, addressing the crucial operational challenges of power consumption and cost in large-scale AI deployments. This efficiency drive, coupled with Google's decade-long vertical integration in designing its TPUs, creates a tightly optimized hardware-software stack potentially offering significant advantages in total cost of ownership.
By concentrating on inference efficiency and leveraging its integrated ecosystem, encompassing networking, storage, and software like the Pathways runtime, Google aims to carve out a significant share of the AI accelerator market. Ironwood is presented not merely as a chip, but as the engine for Google's advanced models like Gemini and the foundation for a future of complex, multi-agent AI systems. This comprehensive strategy directly challenges the established dominance of NVIDIA and the growing AI aspirations of Intel, suggesting the battle for AI infrastructure leadership is intensifying around the economics of deployment.
Semiconductors
NVIDIA (NVDA): Oversold or Start of a Larger Correction?Overview & Market Context
NVIDIA just saw a major sell-off, dropping around 7% in a single session and slicing below key support levels. This abrupt move has raised questions: Is NVDA oversold enough for a bounce, or are we at the onset of a broader bearish trend? High trading volume suggests significant institutional distribution, so caution is warranted for both bulls and bears.
1. Price Action & Volume
* NVDA closed near the $94.31 mark after the sharp decline.
* Volume spiked (~532M), confirming that large players have been active—often a sign of heightened volatility and potential trend changes.
2. Moving Averages
* The 200-day SMA sits near $127.07, which NVDA fell below decisively. Historically, losing the 200-day often signals a medium-term bearish bias, making it a key level to watch on any rebound attempts.
3. RSI & Momentum
* The RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around the high-20s, indicating oversold conditions. While this can lead to a short-term bounce, oversold can remain oversold if negative momentum persists.
Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance:
* $96–$100 Range: Minor overhead supply; if price rallies here, watch to see if it rolls over again.
* $105–$110: This region aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. A strong push above $110 would challenge the bearish thesis.
Primary Support Targets
* $90 (Psychological Marker): Could be the first zone for a pause or bounce.
* $82.89 (“Half 1 Short” from algorithmic levels): A logical next stop if the sell-off continues.
* $76 Area: Deep support from earlier consolidation zones; if selling intensifies, the stock may reach these levels.
Potential Trade Setups
1. Bearish Continuation (Short)
Entry:
* On a weak bounce into the $96–$100 zone, or
* A breakdown below $94 on strong volume.
Stop Loss:
* Conservative approach: Above $105–$110, where a bullish reversal could invalidate the short setup.
Profit Targets:
* $90 (near-term psychological level),
* $82.89 (algorithmic short target),
* $76 (longer-term support).
2. Contrarian Bounce (Long)
* Entry: Around $90 or upon a clear intraday reversal signal (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume).
* Stop Loss: Below $88 to reduce risk of a deeper flush.
* Profit Targets:
* $96–$100 (short-term push),
* Extended target near $105–$110 if momentum sharply reverses.
Thought Process & Strategy
* The extreme volume and steep decline reflect a high-conviction move. Usually, when you see volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional selling, meaning rallies may be met with further supply.
* However, the oversold reading (RSI in the high-20s) hints that a bounce might come soon—though it could be short-lived unless macro or fundamental conditions shift.
* Clearly defining both bullish and bearish scenarios—along with exact stop-loss levels—removes emotion and helps avoid “decision paralysis.” Trading is about probabilities, not certainties.
Final Notes
* Risk Management: Always size positions so that a single trade does not jeopardize your account.
* Emotional Control: These levels are algorithmically defined, aiming to reduce subjective bias. Watch how price reacts at each support/resistance zone.
* Stay Vigilant: With elevated volatility, rapid intraday swings are possible. Monitor real-time price action for confirmation.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Perform your own due diligence, and trade responsibly.
Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$SMH: First the generals then the index NASDAQ:SMH with closing @ 180 $ on 04 April 2025 is equivalent to drawdown we saw during COVID crash. During the covid crash the semiconductor ETF lost 37% and this tariff crash we also saw 36% drawdown. If this tariff war on goes then we might see some more weakness. With this drawdown the NASDAQ:SMH is below its 200 Day SMA. ‘Nothing good happens below 200 Day SMA’ and the ETF is below the upward sloping channel. The RSI is also touching the lows the lows we saw during the COVID time reaching the oversold mark of 30.
This weakness can be attributed to heavy weights like NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AVGO which have been down more than 40% form their ATH. But the question remains will the drawdown stop here or there is some more pain. But we should not forget the 3-day rule in the markets. Where the sell off peaks off in the 3rd Day. 07 April will be the 3rd Day after the tariff selloff.
Should we call the bottom here? Unless we think that there will be a recession then these are good levels to buy. But if the tariff negotiations go on for longer period, then there will be chop around for a longer period and instead of a V shaped recovery we might see a U-shaped recovery in SMH.
Verdict: Accumulate some NASDAQ:SMH here and go extra-long @ 170-180 $
$SOXL $SOXX BOTTOMED (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)An ascending triangle is a bullish breakout pattern that occurs when the price breaks through the upper horizontal trendline with increasing volume. The upper trendline is horizontal, showing nearly identical highs that create a resistance level. Meanwhile, the lower trendline slopes upward, indicating higher lows as buyers gradually increase their bids. Eventually, buyers become impatient and push the price above the resistance level, triggering further buying and resuming the uptrend. The upper trendline, which previously acted as resistance, then becomes a support level.
Semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX are crucial to the United States for several reasons:
Technological Backbone: Semiconductors power essential technologies like smartphones, computers, cars, and medical devices. They are integral to almost everything with an on/off switch. The semiconductor industry aka NASDAQ:SOXX significantly contributes to the U.S. economy. It supports millions of jobs and drives innovation in various sectors, including artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and clean energy.
Semiconductors are vital for national security. They are used in military systems, aircraft, weapons, and the electric grid, making them critical for defense and infrastructure. Maintaining a strong semiconductor industry helps the U.S. stay competitive globally so BUY AMEX:SOXL , $SOXX. The CHIPS and Science Act, for example, aims to revitalize the U.S. semiconductor industry, create jobs, and support American innovation. Strengthening the domestic semiconductor supply chain reduces dependency on foreign sources, enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains.
BUY NOW AND HOLD
Finally happened. Semi’s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least.
LONG 3 days ago
AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio🙏🏼👍
I’m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 sma’s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings.
AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Price TargetAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) has positioned itself as a major player in the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on growing demand for high-performance computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and data center solutions. As of now, AMD’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 17.12, indicating that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its growth potential.
AMD has benefited from the increasing adoption of AI-driven solutions, particularly through its MI300 series of AI accelerators, which have gained traction among major cloud service providers. The company’s expansion into the data center market has also been a key growth driver, with strong sales in EPYC processors contributing to revenue growth.
Furthermore, AMD's strategic acquisition of Xilinx has strengthened its position in the FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) market, enhancing its ability to offer diversified and high-margin products. This, combined with improving margins and consistent product innovation, positions AMD for steady financial performance in the coming quarters.
Given AMD’s solid fundamentals, growing market share in AI and data centers, and attractive valuation at a 17.12 forward P/E, a price target of $125 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by continued revenue growth and expanding profit margins.
Potential key reversal top detected for WBTLevel of interest: Prior support/resistance levels in the past of $3.04 (09-Aug-2022) and $3.75 (12-Dec-2022) (key support/resistance areas to observe).
Await signals for entry such as DMI/ADX and/or RSI swing to the bearish direction, and observe market reaction to support/resistance area at $3.04 to confirm.
Stop loss for the trade involving ASX:WBT (and indication that this trade is an absolute 'no-go') is any trade above the high of the signal day of 2nd January (i.e.: any trade above $3.80).
Is Apple's Empire Built on Sand?Apple Inc., a tech titan valued at over $2 trillion, has built its empire on innovation and ruthless efficiency. Yet, beneath this dominance lies a startling vulnerability: an overreliance on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) for its cutting-edge chips. This dependence on a single supplier in a geopolitically sensitive region exposes Apple to profound risks. While Apple’s strategy has fueled its meteoric rise, it has also concentrated its fate in one precarious basket—Taiwan. As the world watches, the question looms: what happens if that basket breaks?
Taiwan’s uncertain future under China’s shadow amplifies these risks. If China moves to annex Taiwan, TSMC’s operations could halt overnight, crippling Apple’s ability to produce its devices. Apple’s failure to diversify its supplier base left its trillion-dollar empire on a fragile foundation. Meanwhile, TSMC’s attempts to hedge by opening U.S. factories introduce new complications. If Taiwan falls, the U.S. could seize these assets, potentially handing them to competitors like Intel. This raises unsettling questions: Who truly controls the future of these factories? And what becomes of TSMC’s investments if they fuel a rival’s ascent?
Apple’s predicament is a microcosm of a global tech industry tethered to concentrated semiconductor production. Efforts to shift manufacturing to India or Vietnam pale against China’s scale, while U.S. regulatory scrutiny—like the Department of Justice’s probe into Apple’s market dominance—adds further pressure. The U.S. CHIPS Act seeks to revive domestic manufacturing, but Apple’s grip on TSMC muddies the path forward. The stakes are clear: resilience must now trump efficiency, or the entire ecosystem risks collapse.
As Apple stands at this crossroads, the question echoes: Can it forge a more adaptable future, or will its empire crumble under the weight of its design? The answer may not only redefine Apple but also reshape the global balance of tech and power. What would it mean for us all if the chips—both literal and figurative—stopped falling into place?
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.
$AMD trying to breakout on the daily!NASDAQ:AMD being bought heavily by institutions for past 3 days straight. It’s looking like it wants to breakout on the daily. There could be added excitement for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings coming up in the semi-conductor space. I have been accumulating NASDAQ:AMD April 17 115Calls @ 7.00
*Not financial advice
DCA Play $SOXL | TARGET 1 REACHEDPrice action moved with good momentum and maintained volume for the trading day.
The original call is good to go:
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists (poor spelling when analyzing at 3am - but you get the gist)
I expect a minor pull back before gap fill; depending on price action, may or may not add to position.
A gap up would be signal to close all profits, with a +10% PnL.
gg
Intel: "So the last shall be first..."As the Holy Bilble says in Matthew 20:16, "So the last shall be first, and the first last: for many be called, but few chosen."
We agree. After our analysis, one stock comes into focus: INTEL - a long-term buy candidate. Investment horizon: 5-10 years, the right time to get in could be now.
This is not a buy recommendation, just an exchange of ideas. You have to use your own analysis and your own head and make your own decisions.
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
NVDA LONG WIZARD PREMIUM IDEA 100% SURE
My idea has proven to be 100% successful: the short trade resulted in a precise profit, and the long trade on Nvidia was executed flawlessly, based on the surgical support line I had drawn—despite all the initial criticism. Now, the stock has bounced exactly where I predicted, and the long position is already up 25%. Now, we go in strong!
AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**🔥 AMD: A Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity!**
In pre-market, AMD briefly touched **$125** following earnings. You all know how this works—sooner or later, the algos will bring it back to that level. No hesitation, I’m **quadrupling my bet—going in MASSIVELY!** 🚀💰
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ-NXPI: Is the Market on the Verge of a Reversal?A Critical Juncture: What’s Next for NASDAQ-NXPI?
The semiconductor sector has been riding a wave of volatility, and NASDAQ-NXPI is no exception. The stock currently trades at $208.55, reflecting a 29.56% decline from its all-time high of $296.08 recorded in mid-2024. With a downward deviation of nearly 30%, the market is now questioning whether this is a buying opportunity or the precursor to another leg down.
Technicals reveal a battle between bulls and bears. The 50-day moving average sits at $212.72, hovering just above the current price, indicating a near-term resistance zone. Meanwhile, RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 39.35 suggests the stock is creeping into oversold territory, yet not signaling a definitive reversal. Furthermore, sell volumes have surged, forming multiple bearish candle patterns, reinforcing the short-term downside risk.
Adding to the complexity, macroeconomic pressures, including a strong U.S. dollar and shifting interest rate expectations, have kept buyers cautious. But with powerful support levels at $206.34 and $198.82, is this a crucial inflection point?
The Big Question: Reversal or Continuation?
With a resistance ceiling at $211.02, the next move could define NXPI’s short-term fate. A break above this level could trigger a bullish surge, but failure to hold above $206.34 may invite another wave of selling.
Will buyers step in at this critical moment, or are we in for another leg downward? The answer may shape the next major move in NXPI. Stay alert.
NASDAQ-NXPI Roadmap: Tracking the Market’s Footsteps
January 14 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish Signal)
The first major signal of a buy-side push emerged on January 14, with an increased buy volume pattern at $208.88. The price closed higher at $210.53, setting the stage for a continuation. The key takeaway? Buyers were stepping in, and the momentum was shifting.
January 15 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Reversal Signal Fails)
Just a day later, sell-side pressure increased, marking a potential reversal with a closing price of $213.49. However, instead of following through, the market did not sustain the downward movement, negating this sell signal. The previous buy volume pattern held firm, proving bulls were still in control.
January 17 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 (Confirmed Bullish Trend)
The market locked in another bullish confirmation as the VSA manipulation buy pattern formed at $214.45, closing higher at $214.61. With strong buying activity in place, the stock continued its ascent, respecting the trendline and validating the prior bullish signals.
January 21 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Confirmation)
The first true bearish confirmation materialized as the price turned south, closing at $214.78 after opening at $215.26. This drop signaled a shift in sentiment and tested the conviction of the bulls. With further confirmation needed, all eyes turned to the next move.
January 22 – Sell Volumes (Bearish Momentum Builds)
With a lower close at $215.98, sellers began solidifying control. The sequence of declining closes and increased sell volumes confirmed the downtrend was gaining steam.
January 23 – Buy Volumes Take Over (Reversal in Motion)
Just as the bears looked ready to dominate, buyers stepped back in, driving the close to $219.89. This strong shift nullified the previous bearish sequence and set the stage for a fresh upward move.
January 24 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish)
Momentum followed through with a close at $213.44, reinforcing that buying interest was sustained. The roadmap now pointed to another attempt to test higher resistance levels.
January 27 – Increased Buy Volumes (Final Bullish Confirmation)
The price surged to $215.2, cementing the overall bullish bias established throughout the roadmap. The earlier bearish dips proved to be shakeouts, and those who stayed in line with the buy-side confirmations saw the real move unfold in their favor.
This roadmap clearly showcases how bullish and bearish patterns played out, giving traders and investors a structured way to read the market’s evolution. Will the next setup follow the same rhythm, or is a fresh shakeout coming? Stay alert.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
206.34 – local buyer zone; if broken, expect further downside
198.82 – critical level for bulls; a break here could trigger a move to 192
192.375 – last potential hold for buyers; below this, free fall territory
Resistance Levels:
211.02 – immediate resistance; needs a solid breakout for upside continuation
222.00 – key level to watch; if bulls take control, momentum could accelerate
234.955 – major resistance; breakout here would shift the structure bullish
Powerful Support Levels:
224.26 – a strong demand zone; if lost, could flip into heavy resistance
Powerful Resistance Levels:
200.00 – psychological barrier; flipping above this would be a strong bullish sign
175.00 – long-term level; failure to reclaim may keep sellers in control
149.90 – structural pivot; reclaiming this zone would confirm trend reversal
If any of these levels fail to hold, they will act as new resistance zones, and the price will likely revisit them before making the next move. Watch for fakeouts and liquidity grabs before committing to a trade. 🚨
Trading Strategies Based on Rays
Concept of Rays
My proprietary analysis method is built on Fibonacci-based rays, dynamically adjusting to market movement. These rays create predictive zones where price interactions suggest either continuation or reversal. Importantly, entry positions are taken only after price interacts with a ray and initiates movement. Each move extends from one ray to the next, setting up structured trade targets.
Dynamic Factors in Play
Moving Averages: MA50 at $212.72, MA100 at $214.16, and MA200 at $212.76 serve as dynamic resistance/support levels. Their intersection with key rays amplifies probability zones.
VSA Rays: These pre-defined market structures align with volume-driven price shifts, making them highly reactive points for execution.
Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Entry: Break and close above $211.02 after ray interaction.
First Target: $222.00 – Key resistance; first profit zone.
Second Target: $234.955 – Breakout continuation level.
Third Target: $247.67 – Long-term bullish extension.
Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Rejection from $211.02 or breakdown below $206.34.
First Target: $198.82 – Major support test.
Second Target: $192.375 – Strong demand zone.
Third Target: $175.00 – Structural breakdown zone.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Momentum Breakout Trade: Long on a break above $211.02, targeting $222.00.
Reversal Trade: Short after a rejection from $211.02, aiming for $206.34.
Pullback Entry: Buy from $206.34 if it holds as support, riding to $211.02.
Breakdown Trade: Short if $206.34 fails, targeting $198.82 first.
Range Scalping: Buying dips at $206.34, selling resistance at $211.02 until a breakout.
These setups provide both aggressive and conservative trading approaches. Every trade moves from ray to ray, setting up the next logical price step.
What’s Next? Let’s Discuss!
Trading is all about understanding key levels and making decisions at the right moment—that’s exactly what my ray-based strategy helps with. If this breakdown made sense to you, drop a comment with your thoughts or questions—I always reply!
Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later and see how price moves along my levels. Tracking the market in real-time is the best way to sharpen your trading edge!
By the way, all the rays and levels are automatically mapped by my private indicator. If you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message—I’ll explain how it works.
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NVDA Long After Nearly 20% DeclineNASDAQ:NVDA got hit hard by the huge sell-off today and because of the DeepSeek release. The Chinese GPT alternative claims to be better or at least as good as GPT using way less and way older NVDA GPUs. If true, this could create a lot of stress on the CapEx of big US tech companies because the managers will ask their employees why they needed to buy all of those expensive GPUs if they are not necessary at all. That would lead to shrinking sales at NVDA. So far, so bad.
But, we should not forget that misinformation is always a thing when talking about Chinese companies and claims. I also don't think that the result of such a claim would be that tech companies lower their CapEx and start doing less. Instead they will use this to understand how DeepSeek works and how they can be better than their Chinese counterpart using way more powerful GPUs. So, this huge sell-off could trigger a bounce from this confluence support. We perfectly hit the upward trend and a support level at $118. So, be brave and test the water.
Target Zones
$131
$140
Support Zones
$118