EURUSD - Price is falling according to the H1 trendline.๐ 1. Trend & Market Structure
Current Trend: Bearish Pullback within a Short-Term Downtrend
Based on the H1 chart:
EUR/USD remains below the descending trendline and inside a bearish channel, confirming the short-term downtrend.
Price has rebounded from the 1.1400 area and is now testing the key resistance at 1.1425โ1.1440.
EMA9 (~1.1415) is turning higher but remains below EMA89 (~1.1429), suggesting the current rebound is still technical.
The Lower High โ Lower Low structure remains intact, indicating sellers still control the market.
RSI has recovered to around 48โ49, showing selling pressure is easing but not enough to confirm a bullish reversal.
๐ Current Trend: Bearish Pullback. Selling near resistance remains the preferred strategy.
๐ 2. Key Price Levels
๐ด Resistance
1.1425โ1.1440
1.1460โ1.1470
1.1490โ1.1500
๐ต Support
1.1400โ1.1405
1.1380
1.1360
๐ฐ Key Economic Events for EUR/USD
The following events may significantly impact EUR/USD in the short term:
FOMC Meeting Minutes and speeches from Fed officials.
US Initial Jobless Claims and other labor market data.
US CPI/PPI inflation reports.
ECB comments regarding future interest rate policy.
US Treasury yields and the performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY).
๐ Outlook: Stronger-than-expected US data could strengthen the USD and push EUR/USD lower. Conversely, weaker US data or a more dovish Fed could trigger a breakout above the descending trendline and extend the recovery.
Shorteurusd
EURUSD - waiting for selling pressure to push the price down.1/๐ Trend & Market Structure
Overall Bias
EUR/USD remains in a short-term bullish trend after a strong rebound from the 1.1500โ1.1520 support area.
EMA9 (~1.1611) remains above EMA89 (~1.1590), confirming bullish momentum.
Price continues to trade above both moving averages.
The market structure remains constructive, with a sequence of Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
The pair is currently consolidating just below the key resistance zone at 1.1620โ1.1640.
๐ Current Outlook: Bullish consolidation ahead of a major fundamental catalyst.
2/๐ฐ Key Economic Event
The upcoming FOMC policy decision and Federal Reserve statement are expected to be the primary drivers of market volatility.
Market Focus:
Federal Reserve interest-rate outlook
Updated dot-plot projections
Inflation and labor-market assessment
Signals regarding the timing of future rate cuts
Potential Scenarios
๐ด Hawkish Fed (higher-for-longer policy stance)
USD likely strengthens
EUR/USD could face renewed selling pressure
๐ข Dovish Fed (earlier rate-cut signals)
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SELL EURUSD zone : 1.16200 - 1.16300
SL : 1.16600
TP : 1.15900 - 1.15600 - 1.15200
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EUR/USD Extends Bearish Breakdown on USD Strength1. Market News
The EUR/USD exchange rate continues to trade at relatively low levels around the 1.1500 mark during Mondayโs European session. Ongoing geopolitical tensions are putting pressure on the pair, while also reviving safe-haven demand for the US Dollar.
2. Technical Analysis
a. Trend Structure
โข The market is clearly in a well-established downtrend
โข Price has just broken sharply below the consolidation zone around 1.1600โ1.1640
โข A strong sell-off has occurred, indicating accelerating bearish momentum
โข RSI has reached oversold territory and is showing a mild recovery
โข However, there are no signs of a trend reversal yet โ this is mainly a technical rebound within a bearish trend
b. Price Action
โข After the sharp decline, price is forming a small corrective bounce
โข This move is likely a pullback toward a supply zone before continuing lower
Key levels:
โข Supply zone: 1.1520 โ 1.1545 (near-term resistance)
โข Support zone: 1.1480 โ 1.1460 (area likely to be retested)
3. Outlook
The downtrend remains strongly intact as the US Dollar continues to outperform the Euro due to its safe-haven demand.
EUR/USD is currently in a strong breakdown phase, and the current move is considered only a technical correction within the broader bearish trend.
Wishing you a successful trading day.
EURUSD Consolidates Below Resistance as Markets Await a Catalyst1.EUR/USD Update
EUR/USD trades cautiously around the 1.1650 area during Monday's European session. The pair remains under mild selling pressure as the US Dollar gains strength amid uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran ceasefire negotiations and escalating tensions between Israel and Lebanon.
On the other hand, the Euro continues to find support from hawkish comments made by European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, who have signaled the possibility of an interest rate hike in June. This has helped limit the downside potential for EUR/USD.
2.Technical Analysis
After finding support near 1.1578, the pair has staged a modest recovery. However, the rebound remains weak and continues to face resistance below the 1.1660 level.
Recent price action suggests that the market is consolidating within a narrow range. Such conditions often indicate that traders are waiting for a fresh catalyst before committing to the next directional move.
If EUR/USD fails to close a H4 candle above the 1.1660โ1.1680 resistance zone, sellers may regain control, with the first downside target at 1.1625, followed by 1.1585.
Conversely, a clear H4 close above 1.1680 would confirm a bullish breakout. In that scenario, the next upside targets would be 1.1720 and potentially 1.1785.
Wish you a successful trading day
EUR/USD Stays Range-Bound Ahead of US GDP1. Market update
EUR/USD is staging a modest recovery during the European session after the US Dollar strengthened earlier as market sentiment turned risk-averse following Iranโs retaliatory response to recent US strikes near Bandar Abbas airport.
2. Analysis
โข The 3x1 EMA remains sloping downward, suggesting that the short-term trend is still mildly bearish.
โข Price continues to face rejection around the EMA zone and nearby resistance levels.
โข However, the lower support area has not been decisively broken, indicating that the market remains in a consolidation/ranging phase.
3. Outlook:
For now, EUR/USD is likely to stay trapped within its current sideways structure as traders await todayโs key US GDP release, which could determine the pairโs next directional move.
At the same time, investors remain focused on developments surrounding the USโIran conflict. This continues to be a major medium-term market driver, as any further escalation between the two sides could boost demand for the US Dollar as a safe-haven asset, potentially putting additional downside pressure on EUR/USD.
Resistance Zone: 1.1660
Support Zone: 1.1580
Wish you a successful trading day ๐ฐ
Continues forming lower highs โ bearish structure remains intactEUR/USD Update:
โข EUR/USD continues holding near its two-month low around 1.1596 ahead of the release of the FOMC meeting minutes.
โข The US Dollar remains firmly supported as Treasury yields continue moving higher, while safe-haven demand linked to ongoing USโIran tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve may still raise interest rates this year continue strengthening the USD.
Personal view:
From a structural perspective, price continues forming lower highs while repeatedly breaking below key demand zones, indicating that sellers still maintain control over current market conditions.
At the same time, the MA 34/89 remains aligned to the downside, reinforcing the ongoing bearish momentum.
Price may continue extending lower toward the next demand area around 1.1555 and potentially deeper toward 1.1500, as USD strength remains firmly intact.
Resistance zone: 1.1660
Support zones: 1.1555 / 1.1500
Wish you a successful trading day ๐ฐ
Remaining within the bearish trend zone, targeting the 1.1600 ๐EUR/USD Update:
๐ EUR/USD has recovered part of its earlier losses on Monday but remains capped below the 1.1650 level, as the US Dollar continues to attract safe-haven demand amid renewed Middle East tensions. In addition, inflation concerns driven by rising oil prices are still limiting the Euroโs upside momentum.
Personal View:
๐ The overall trend of this pair continues to favor the downside, with key resistance remaining around 1.1650.
๐ At the same time, EMA 34/89/200 are all aligned downward, supporting the current bearish momentum.
๐ With no major economic data scheduled today, EUR/USD is likely to remain under bearish pressure and continue moving toward the 1.1600 area.
Nearest Resistance Zone: 1.1650
Nearest Support Zone: 1.1570
Wish you a successful trading day ๐ฐ
USD dominates - EUR/USD continues to fall.๐EUR/USD Update :
๐ EUR/USD extended its decline following Tuesdayโs session and continues moving toward the 1.1700 area during Wednesdayโs European trading session.
๐ Broad USD strength after stronger-than-expected inflation data continues to pressure the pair, while ongoing uncertainty surrounding the USโIran conflict is keeping market sentiment cautious.
๐ Personal View:
๐ The repeated rejection around the 1.1800 resistance zone suggests weakening bullish momentum, giving sellers more control over the market.
๐ The bearish trend is likely to continue if the 1.1720 support zone is clearly broken, opening the way toward 1.1678 and potentially deeper toward 1.1622.
๐ EUR/USD may remain under pressure as USD strength continues to dominate major currency pairs, with no clear signs of slowing down yet.
โ๏ธ Support zones: 1.1678 ; 1.1622
โ๏ธ Resistance zones: 1.1786 ; 1.1835
Wishing you a successful trading day ๐ต
Holding steady around 1.1700 while awaiting US data.๐ถ Short-Term EUR/USD Update
๐ EUR/USD remains under pressure below the 1.1700 level during Tuesdayโs European trading session. The US Dollar is regaining its safe-haven appeal amid renewed concerns over a potential violation of the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, as tensions around the Strait of Hormuz escalate once again.
๐ The rebound in the USD, combined with risk-off sentiment, continues to weigh negatively on the currency pair.
๐ Personal View:
๐ EUR/USD is still maintaining its bearish structure on the 4H timeframe.
The pair is likely to remain stable around the 1.1700 area while markets await todayโs key US economic data.
๐ At the same time, the renewed strength of the US Dollar could make it difficult for the euro to push significantly higher, keeping the pair trapped within its current trend range ahead of the news release.
Resistance zones: 1.1710 ; 1.1760
Support zones: 1.1660 ; 1.1620
Wishing you a successful trading day โจ
Bearish trend remains ahead of the EU policy statement.๐ EUR/USD news:
๐ The EUR/USD exchange rate extended its decline for a third consecutive day, trading around 1.1660 during the Asian session.
๐ The Federal Reserveโs decision to keep interest rates unchanged continues to support the US Dollar, putting additional pressure on the Euro ahead of todayโs Monetary Policy Statement release.
Personal view:
๐ EUR/USD is showing bearish momentum after breaking below the key support zone at 1.1670 and may continue to decline throughout todayโs session as the USD recovery still shows no clear signs of slowing down.
๐ At the same time, the SMA 34 crossing below the SMA 89 signals that a new bearish trend could be forming.
Nearest resistance zone: 1.1740
Nearest support zone: 1.1632
Wishing you a successful trading day.
EURUSD - Accumulation below resistance level of 1.17000๐ 1. Technical Analysis
๐ Trend & Structure
Previously: strong bullish move โ forming a mid-term top
Currently:
Price is consolidating below the 1.1700 โ 1.1720 resistance zone
A rounded top pattern is forming with weakening momentum
๐ง Key Structure
Signs of:
A minor Lower High โ buying pressure is fading
A small Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside
Price is:
Moving sideways within a tight range
Likely to form a deeper pullback
๐ Implication:
The market is shifting from bullish โ into a distribution / correction phase
๐ Key Levels ๐ด Resistance
1.1700 โ 1.1720
๐ต Support
Short-term: 1.1680
Key level: 1.1640 โ 1.1650
2. Potential signal:
SELL EURUSD 1.17000 - 1.17150 SL: 1.17400
TP: 1.16700 - 1.16400 - 1.16100
๐ 3. Macro Outlook (EURUSD)
USD (Key Driver)
Key data to watch:
CPI / NFP / Jobless Claims
๐ Impact:
Strong GDP โ stronger USD โ EURUSD declines
Weak GDP โ weaker USD โ EURUSD rises
EUR (ECB) : Slightly hawkish bias
EURUSD - Accumulation of FVG, selling pressure.๐บRelated Information: ( eurusd )
The EUR/USD pair eases back and trades around the 1.1580 area in the early European session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) softens against the US Dollar as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East push investors toward safe-haven assets.
According to Bloomberg, US President Donald Trump had indicated a possible five-day window for Iran, suggesting renewed negotiations with Tehran that he believed could help reach an agreement and ease the conflict. However, Iranian authorities rejected these claims, stating that no discussions with the United States were taking place following Trumpโs comments.
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐ Chart analysis:
๐ Short-term timeframes: M15, M45, H1
H1 is currently consolidating below: 1.16160
Formation of a H1 downtrend line
๐ Medium-term timeframes: H2, H4
Follow the EMA below, the short-term downtrend line.
Key zones:
๐ Supply zone (resistance): 1.16160
๐ Demand zone (support): 1.14900
๐ Three EMA moving averages; technical indicators: stochastic, volume
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
โ๏ธ Personal opinion:
Accumulation around FVG on the daily chart is creating selling pressure on EURUSD, which is trading sideways and waiting for a breakout.
My thoughts on EUR/USDSince January 31st, EUR/USD had been in a bullish trend--a bullish channel in the 4H and 1D. I knew we were about to break out of this bullish trend. I had been anticipating a very strong reversal for a while, given we recently retested the top of another stronger Trendline. A much more reliable channel. the channel I speak of is the 3M, 1M and 1W timeframe channels, they are bearish. We once again hit the resistance of this monthly channel, while, at the same time being in a bullish trend in the 4H and 1D timeframes. So obviously I presumed the 4H bullish trend would end and reverse-which it has and did. This monthly bearish channel has been active for 14-17 years and has perfectly retested the support and resistances numerous times--making it a valid A+ setup in my book. To further this, on the 4H-1D timeframes, while we were still inside this 4H bullish channel, we saw a perfect Head and Shoulders pattern and quickly got our confirmation when it crossed the neckline. All of this indicates we will see strong selling pressure very soon.
So, where are we headed exactly? Well we know that we have FVGs and strong Supports. key areas for TPs are 1.09, 1.06, and on the monthly as low as 0.82.
If you guys have any questions feel free to ask. And share your thoughts and opinions on EUR/USD--thanks :)
Example Short Orders
SL 1.137
Limit order 1.255
TP1 1.09
TP2 1.06
TP3 1.02
TP4 0.82
(Maybe i am wrong, but if I am it will be the first time in 17 years for EUR/USD.. I like the odds)
OANDA:EURUSD
Short Eurusd - Targeting 1.02211Eurusd has been making continuous strides further down in price. The recent pullback to 1.04500 was rejected and indicating for me more movement to the downside, there was divergence of the RSI & MFI on the 4hr at that rejection level of price. If price continues to slide, I'll be looking to target a price of 1.02211. I'm currently in a short position at 1.04077, a nice 187 pips I would be looking to grab if price hits target. Patience is key! If you see anything different, feel free to share!
Short EURUSDI'll be looking to see the EURUSD go lower this month. The DXY has been steadily gaining since the beginning of the year, and it seems like that continuation is likely to keep at it. I'll be entering a short position and looking to take profit at the lows of Nov 1st of last year (1.05197). Let me know your thoughts on this pair, if you share a similar analysis or something different I'm open to see all sides. Good luck traders!
EUR/ USD!! 5/12/2023 supporting the DOWN trendโญ๏ธ Smart investment, Strong finance
โญ๏ธ EUR/USD INFORMATION:
The US Census Bureau released data on Monday revealing a 3.6% month-on-month decrease in US factory orders in October, following a 2.3% increase in the previous report. In addition, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that the US ISM Manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 46.7 in November, falling short of expectations.
According to Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, the US monetary policy has been successful in slowing down the economy, as predicted, with the overnight interest rate now in restrictive territory. Although Powell emphasized the Fed's readiness to further tighten policy if necessary, market sentiment suggests that the rate-hike cycle has reached its conclusion. Consequently, this has put downward pressure on the US dollar across all markets.
โญ๏ธ Personal comments NOVA:
The price area touches the downtrend line, Scalping during the day is a SELL signal
โญ๏ธ SET UP EURUSD PRICE:
๐ฅSELL EUR/USD zone: 1.08500 - 1.08650 SL 1.09100
TP1: 1.08000
TP2: 1.07700
TP3: 1.07400
โญ๏ธ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
โญ๏ธ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short EURUSD on Trend TurningEURUSD had definitely broken down the bullish channel over the past 2 to 3 weeks. It could be the European economic weakness and the strength of the USD after the resolution of the debt ceiling is driving the short EURUSD. That said given the current moves, the EURUSD might retrace first today before going down. Look at the short trade parameters.






















