Sellers rejected the price at the 4450 resistance level.GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) sticks to modest intraday losses below the $4,400 mark heading into the European session on Tuesday and, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak. The US Dollar (USD) builds on the overnight bounce from a two-month trough as inflation risks stemming from higher oil prices underpin prospects for at least one interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2026. Moreover, the US-Iran standoff keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and further underpins the safe-haven Greenback, which, in turn, is seen exerting pressure on the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The price is consolidating around the 4400 level, with selling pressure consistently being rejected below 4450.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4448 - 4450 SL 4458
TP1: $4430
TP2: $4402
TP3: $4380
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4311- 4313 SL 4303
TP1: $4325
TP2: $4340
TP3: $4355
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Shortgold
some selling pressure around 4,300GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to find acceptance above the $4,300 mark and retreats from its highest level since June 18, touched during the Asian session on Thursday amid the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) buying. A slew of prominent US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials recently warned that persistent inflation risks could necessitate further interest rate hikes, which revives the USD demand and caps the non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Uptrend – gold prices have rebounded to 4,300. Watch for short-term retracement levels; the upward trend is recovering this week.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4300 - 4302 SL 4310
TP1: $4280
TP2: $4256
TP3: $4240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4150- 4148 SL 4140
TP1: $4177
TP2: $4200
TP3: $4233
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Selling pressure on gold, trendline 40651. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Short-term Bearish Bias (Range Breakdown Risk)
Key Signals:
Price remains below the EMA 89 (4,062), indicating that the medium-term trend is still under bearish pressure.
EMA 9 (4,059) has turned lower and is trading below the EMA 89, reflecting weakening bullish momentum.
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, supported by an ascending trendline but capped by a descending resistance line.
RSI (14) is around 48, showing neutral momentum with no clear buying strength.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 outlook is cautiously bearish. Unless price breaks above 4,066–4,080, the triangle is more likely to resolve to the downside, exposing the 4,020 support area.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Current Price: around 4,057
Immediate Resistance: 4,066–4,080
Major Resistance: 4,080–4,090
Nearest Support: 4,045
Key Support: 4,020
Price is trading near the apex of the triangle after failing to break above resistance several times.
This suggests the market is approaching a breakout point. A break below the rising trendline would likely confirm a bearish continuation toward 4,020, while a breakout above 4,066–4,080 would invalidate the bearish setup and shift momentum back to the upside.
--------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4065 - 4068
SL : 4073
TP : 4055 - 4040 - 4022
---------------
The consolidation around 4000 continues, remaining stable.1. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Sideways within a broad range, with a short-term bearish bias
Key Signals:
Price continues to trade within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern that has been developing since early July.
The descending trendline remains dynamic resistance, with each successive swing high forming lower than the previous one.
EMA 9 (≈ 4,059) remains below EMA 89 (≈ 4,066), indicating that short-term momentum still favors the bears.
Price is trading below the EMA 89 and has yet to break above the dynamic resistance zone.
RSI (14) ≈ 45–46 remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that buying pressure is still relatively weak, although the market is not yet oversold.
The histogram remains below the zero line, indicating that bullish momentum has not yet been confirmed.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 trend remains bearish in the short term. However, as price approaches the apex of the symmetrical triangle, the market is likely to experience a strong breakout in either direction.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,110
Higher Low: around 3,976
Current Price: around 4,045
Price is currently consolidating within a narrowing range between:
The descending trendline (upper boundary).
The ascending trendline (lower boundary).
This indicates an accumulation phase before the market chooses its next directional move.
Current Pattern:
Symmetrical Triangle → Consolidation → Breakout Pending
3. EMA & RSI Analysis
EMA
EMA 9 remains below EMA 89.
Price is trading below both moving averages.
→ Short-term momentum has not yet turned bullish.
RSI (14)
RSI is around 45–46.
No clear bullish divergence has formed.
→ Momentum remains relatively neutral but still slightly favors the downside.
4. Key Price Levels
Resistance
4,060–4,066: EMA 89 and immediate resistance.
4,110–4,140: Major supply zone and long-term descending trendline.
Support
4,000–3,976: Ascending trendline and key support zone.
If this support is broken, the next downside target could be 3,940–3,950.
Continued accumulation - gold price around 4000✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 08/03/2026 - 08/07/2026
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price tumbles nearly 1.50% on Friday as the US Dollar recovers some ground after Japanese authorities intervened in the foreign exchange markets a day ago, driving the Greenback to a 30-day low before recovering, according to the US Dollar Index (DXY). The XAU/USD trades at $4,045.
XAU/USD drops as Treasury yields, Fed dissents and inflation risks pressure Bullion
The yellow metal is poised to finish the week with losses of over 0.11%, unable to decisively crack the $4,100 milestone. At the same time, the DXY, which tracks the performance of the buck’s value against six currencies, is down 0.05%, at 99.91, but failed to provide a tailwind for Gold prices as US Treasury yields are soaring.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is consolidating around 4000-4100, and gold prices continue to be in a medium-term downward correction phase over a larger timeframe.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $4110, $4139, $4165
Support: $4022, $3995, $3960
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price consolidates below 4100.GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through the Asian session on Friday and seems vulnerable after struggling to build on a two-day-old move up above the $4,100 mark. The US Dollar (USD) regains positive traction and reverses part of the previous day's heavy losses to its lowest level since June 17. Furthermore, inflation risks stemming from volatile crude oil prices keep bets on an interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) firmly on the table and exert some downward pressure on the non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices mostly traded sideways around 4000-4100, with the market maintaining a consolidation zone and short-term rebounds.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4099 - 4101 SL 4109
TP1: $4080
TP2: $4066
TP3: $4040
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4030- 4028 SL 4020
TP1: $4044
TP2: $4060
TP3: $4088
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Accumulation - H1 remains below 40701. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Short-term Bearish
Key Signals:
Price was strongly rejected from the 4,110–4,115 resistance zone, forming a Lower High.
Price continues to trade below the descending trendline (blue line), indicating that sellers remain in control.
EMA 9 (≈ 4,052) is near or slightly below EMA 89 (≈ 4,052), reflecting weakening short-term momentum with no clear bullish signal.
RSI (14) ≈ 46 remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that buying pressure is still weak while sellers maintain the advantage.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 bias remains bearish. As long as price stays below the 4,045–4,052 resistance zone and fails to break above the descending trendline, the probability of further downside toward lower support levels remains high.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,085
Lower Low: around 4,035
Current Price: around 4,035
Following the sharp decline from the 4,110 area, price has only managed a weak recovery before continuing to form Lower Highs and Lower Lows, confirming that the bearish structure remains intact.
Current pattern:
Bearish Impulse → Weak Pullback → Bearish Continuation
This is a classic bearish continuation pattern commonly seen during short-term downtrends.
-----------
SELL GOLD zone : 4070 - 4073
SL : 4078
TP : 4052 - 4035 - 4010
----------
Accumulation declines - gold price moves sidewaysGOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its intraday rejection slide from the $4,100 mark and moves further away from a one-week high, touched the previous day. The US Dollar (USD) regains positive traction following Wednesday's post-FOMC decline and is seen as a key factor weighing on the commodity. Furthermore, inflation concerns stemming from escalating US-Iran tensions keep US Federal Reserve(Fed) rate-hike bets firmly on the table, further driving flows away from the non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The medium-term downtrend continues to consolidate - gold prices are moving sideways around the 4000-4100 price range. The market is consolidating amidst this week's news volatility.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4070 - 4072 SL 4080
TP1: $4050
TP2: $4026
TP3: $4003
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3996- 3994 SL 3986
TP1: $4012
TP2: $4030
TP3: $4052
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Sideway - waiting for FOMC below 40501. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Short-term Bearish
Key Signals:
Price remains below EMA 89 (around 4,050), indicating that the medium-term trend has not yet turned bullish.
EMA 9 (around 4,035) is moving sideways following the recent rebound, reflecting weakening buying momentum.
Price rebounded from the 4,010 support area but was rejected just below the 4,045–4,050 resistance zone.
RSI (14) is hovering around 50, suggesting a neutral market with no clear momentum.
👉 Conclusion: Price is currently undergoing a technical rebound after the recent decline. As long as it remains below the 4,045–4,050 resistance zone, the probability of another move lower toward the support area remains high.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,047
Nearest Support: around 4,010
Current Price: around 4,034
Following the rebound from the recent low, price is now testing a supply zone formed by EMA 89 and horizontal resistance.
This suggests that the market is in a pullback phase. If price fails to break above the current resistance, the structure is likely to continue following the pattern:
Pullback → Rejection → Bearish Continuation
--------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4047 - 4050
SL : 4055
TP : 4030 - 4012 - 3990
--------------
Accumulating downwards along the trendline, awaiting FOMC.GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be published later today and is expected to show a fall in the headline number amid a significant decline in gasoline prices during June. Meanwhile, the focus will be on the core CPI figures, which act as a primary gauge to track the underlying inflation trend. Furthermore, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's inaugural semi-annual monetary policy testimony before the House Financial Services Committee will influence rate-hike bets. The outlook, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and providing some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding Gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices are consolidating - a downward trend following the trendline. The market is awaiting the Fed's interest rate decision.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4115 - 4117 SL 4125
TP1: $4100
TP2: $4080
TP3: $4055
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4005- 4003 SL 3995
TP1: $4020
TP2: $4044
TP3: $4060
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Scalping - retest entry SELL 4050 , continue down 1. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Short-term Bearish
Key Signals:
Price has broken below the ascending trendline (pink line), confirming that the previous bullish structure has been invalidated.
Following the breakdown, price attempted a retest of the broken trendline but failed and continued to weaken.
EMA 9 (≈ 4,042) remains below EMA 89 (≈ 4,068), confirming that bearish momentum is still dominant.
RSI (14) ≈ 29 has entered the oversold zone, indicating strong selling pressure while also warning of a possible short-term technical rebound.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 trend remains bearish. As long as price stays below the 4,042–4,068 resistance zone, sellers are likely to remain in control.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,055
Lower Low: around 4,030
Current Price: around 4,030
After breaking below the ascending trendline, price has continued to form Lower Highs and Lower Lows, confirming that the bearish trend remains intact.
Current pattern:
Trendline Break → Failed Retest → Bearish Continuation
This is a classic bearish continuation pattern.
--------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4040 - 4043
SL : 4048
TP : 4030 - 4012 - 4000
--------------
Downtrend, trendline 40721. Trend Overview
Current Trend: Short-term Bearish
Key signals:
Price has broken below the ascending trendline (pink line), confirming that the previous bullish structure has weakened.
At the same time, price remains below the descending trendline (blue line), indicating that sellers are still in control.
EMA 9 (4,064) is below EMA 89 (4,073), confirming short-term bearish momentum.
RSI (14) ≈ 31 is approaching the oversold zone, reflecting strong selling pressure while also signaling the possibility of a technical rebound.
👉 Conclusion: The H1 bias remains bearish. As long as price stays below the 4,060–4,073 resistance zone, the probability of further downside remains high.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,094
Lower Low: around 4,044
Current Price: around 4,044
After breaking below the ascending trendline, price has continued to form Lower Highs and Lower Lows, confirming that the bearish trend remains intact.
The current price action confirms the following pattern:
Trendline Break → Failed Retest → Bearish Continuation
----------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4071 - 4074
SL : 4079
TP : 4055 - 4040 - 4022
---------------
Downtrend - Gold price correction H1GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered tone through the Asian session on Tuesday and currently trades just below $4,050, down 0.85% for the day. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside. However, subdued US Dollar (USD) price action could help limit the downside as the focus remains on the crucial two-day FOMC policy meeting. Investors will look for cues about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) future policy path, which will play a key role in driving the USD demand and providing a fresh directional impetus to the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is expected to correct downwards ahead of the FOMC meeting this week - H1 chart breaks trendline, heading towards the 4000 accumulation zone.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4072 - 4074 SL 4082
TP1: $4050
TP2: $4022
TP3: $4000
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 4064- 4062 SL 4054
TP1: $4080
TP2: $4102
TP3: $4133
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Decline in accumulation - pay attention to the 4090 region.1. Trend Overview
Current trend: Short-term Bearish with a Technical Recovery
Key signals:
Price has declined sharply from 4,150 to 4,022, forming a Lower High – Lower Low structure.
After reaching the 4,022 low, price staged a rebound but is still trading below the EMA 89 (4,068).
EMA 9 (4,045) has started to turn higher, indicating improving short-term buying momentum.
RSI (14) has recovered to around 49, suggesting that bearish momentum is fading, although there is still no confirmation of a bullish reversal.
👉 Conclusion: The selling pressure has eased, but the H1 trend remains bearish. The current rebound is more likely a technical pullback before the market determines its next directional move.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Lower High: around 4,094
Lower Low: around 4,022
Current Price: around 4,056
Price is recovering from the recent low and is now approaching the resistance zone created by the previous breakdown.
This suggests that the market is retesting the supply area following the sharp decline.
3. EMA & RSI Analysis
EMA
EMA 9 is turning upward but remains below EMA 89.
Price is still trading below EMA 89.
→ The short-term bearish trend has not yet been reversed.
RSI (14)
RSI is around 49.
It has recovered from the oversold region back to the neutral zone.
This indicates that selling pressure has weakened, but bullish momentum is still not strong enough to confirm a trend reversal.
---------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4087 - 4090
SL : 4095
TP : 4060 - 4044 - 4020
----------------
Downtrend - selling pressure returns below 4000GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts sellers for the second straight day on Friday and weakens further below the $4,050 level during the Asian session. Escalating US-Iran tensions remain supportive of elevated crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and bolstering expectations of higher-for-longer US interest rates. This, in turn, helps the US Dollar (USD) to preserve its strong weekly gains to a nearly one-month high, touched on Thursday, and turns out to be a key factor undermining the non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The consolidation continues – sideways movement around 4000-4200. Gold's downtrend is driven by geopolitical tensions.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4087 - 4085 SL 4095
TP1: $4070
TP2: $4044
TP3: $4028
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3962- 3960 SL 3952
TP1: $3980
TP2: $4000
TP3: $4033
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Scalping - Selling gold around 41171. Trend Overview
Current trend: Short-term Bearish within a medium-term Bullish context
Key signals:
Price has broken below the ascending trendline (red line).
EMA 9 (4,108) has turned downward, and price is trading below the EMA 9.
RSI (14) has declined to around 34–35, indicating that bearish momentum is currently dominating.
The histogram has turned negative, suggesting that short-term selling pressure is increasing.
👉 Conclusion: The current H1 bias is tilted toward a corrective bearish move, with a high probability of extending lower toward the 4,050–4,045 support zone before a significant buying reaction appears.
2. Current Price Structure
H1 Structure
Recent High: 4,164
Lower High: 4,117
Current Price: around 4,094
After forming a peak at 4,164, price failed to hold above the 4,117 area and has broken below the short-term support structure.
This confirms the following pattern:
Trendline Break → Failed Retest → Bearish Continuation
------------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4115 - 4118
SL : 4123
TP : 4102 - 4082 - 4060
----------------
Scalping - Downward adjustment for H1: 41251. Trend Overview
Short-term trend: Bullish but showing signs of slowing down
Key signals:
Price has experienced a strong and continuous rally from the 4,060 area to above 4,140.
EMA 9 (4,118) remains above EMA 89 (4,059), indicating that the H1 uptrend is still intact.
The market structure continues to form Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
However:
The bullish momentum is gradually weakening.
Recent candles have formed a short-term top around 4,140–4,145, but price has failed to extend higher.
The RSI is beginning to cool down from overbought territory.
👉 Conclusion: The primary trend remains bullish, but the market is showing signs of short-term distribution, and a technical pullback is increasingly likely before the next directional move is confirmed.
2. SIGNAL
SELL GOLD zone : 4125 - 4128
SL : 4133
TP : 4110 - 4092 - 4070
Accumulation declines following the trendline.1. Trend
Main trend: Bearish
Price continues to form Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
The upper descending trendline has been tested multiple times, and each test has attracted strong selling pressure.
The current structure remains in favor of sellers as long as price stays below the descending trendline.
Conclusion: The H1 trend remains bearish, and the current upward moves are mainly pullbacks within the broader downtrend.
2. Key Trendline
Descending Trendline (upper blue line)
Connects the highs around 4,200 → 4,120 → 4,060.
This is the strongest dynamic resistance in the current structure.
Price is currently approaching this trendline around 4,030–4,036.
➡️ A rejection from this area would significantly increase the probability of another downside move.
Descending Channel
Upper boundary: Descending resistance trendline.
Lower boundary: 3,930–3,960 zone.
Price is currently trading in the upper half of the channel, which is typically a favorable area for trend-following sellers.
------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4034 - 4037
SL : 4042
TP : 4024 - 4009 - 3985
-------------
Breakout - Gold price recovers to 4080GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) regains positive traction following the previous day's two-way price moves, though it struggles to capitalize on the move and trades below the $4,050 level during the Asian session on Tuesday. Despite a cycle of tit-for-tat strikes between the US and Iran, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Sunday that the US was still open to holding talks with Iran, keeping hopes alive for a potential diplomatic resolution to the conflict. This holds back the US Dollar (USD) bulls from placing fresh bets, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor supporting the commodity.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Upward trend and recovery - as the short-term timeframe shows a breakout of the trendline. Gold price is heading towards higher resistance: 4080, 4096
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4080 - 4082 SL 4090
TP1: $4066
TP2: $4044
TP3: $4025
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4096- 4098 SL 4106
TP1: $4080
TP2: $4062
TP3: $4044
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold prices remain stable around 4000.1. Trend
Short-term bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish
Price is forming a short-term Higher Low after rebounding from the 3,960–3,970 zone.
EMA9 has crossed above price and is turning upward.
However, EMA89 remains above price, indicating the medium-term trend has not fully shifted to bullish.
The descending trendline (red line) is still the main resistance of the current structure.
➡️ The market is currently in a bullish pullback within a larger downtrend.
2. EMA Analysis
EMA9: Turning upward and supporting the short-term recovery.
EMA89: Still sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance.
Price is trading between EMA9 and EMA89, reflecting a consolidating and indecisive market.
3. RSI (14)
RSI is around 57.
Short-term bullish momentum has improved and moved above the 50 level.
However, RSI is not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for further upside if resistance is broken.
-----------------
SELL GOLD zone : 4080 - 4083
SL : 4088
TP : 4066 - 4050 - 4022
------------------
Continued accumulation - gold price below 4100GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) reverses a modest Asian session dip to the $3,983-$3,982 area and is now looking to build on Friday's bounce from the monthly low. The intraday uptick is sponsored by a softer US Dollar (USD), which tends to benefit the commodity. That said, rising geopolitical tensions and expectations of higher US interest rates favor the USD bulls, warranting caution before positioning for any meaningful appreciation for the non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices remain in consolidation around 4000, with a potential downward trend below 4000.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4071 - 4073 SL 4081
TP1: $4055
TP2: $4033
TP3: $4005
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3962- 3960 SL 3952
TP1: $3977
TP2: $3992
TP3: $4022
⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Selling pressure is expected to continue next week below 4000.1. Trend
Medium-term trend: Bearish
Price is moving within a descending channel.
The upper descending trendline continues to act as resistance.
EMA9 is below EMA89, confirming that bearish momentum remains dominant.
The market structure continues to form Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
➡️ The main H4 trend remains bearish.
2. Price Structure
After forming a top around 4,360–4,400, price declined sharply.
Each rebound has been rejected at the descending trendline.
Price is currently pulling back toward the trendline zone around 4,015–4,030.
This area often acts as a retest zone before the downtrend continues.
3. Key Resistance
4,020–4,030
Immediate resistance.
Confluence of:
Descending trendline
EMA9
Previous breakdown zone
A rejection from this area would strongly favor further downside.
4,076
Intermediate resistance.
Coincides with the H4 EMA89.
4,200–4,205
Major resistance / strong supply zone.
A break above this area would be needed to confirm a medium-term reversal.
4. Key Support
3,961
Key support.
Recent swing low within the descending channel.
3,905
Next major support.
Marked as the extended downside target on the chart.
A break below 3,961 could extend the decline toward 3,905 → 3,850.
5. EMA Analysis
EMA9: Sloping downward.
EMA89: Slightly downward, acting as dynamic resistance.
Price remains below both EMAs.
➡️ Sellers remain in control of the H4 trend.






















