BTC - Not the End of the DropRather the beginning. Bitcoin has fallen below this bearish intersection. Anticipating price to fall rapidly on one of these two pathways to the Uber low liquidity levels.
DXY is retesting a major bearish breakdown - this is the conduit that will justify a flash crash of this magnitude prior to a 3-5 year bull run.
Happy trading.
Shortsetup
PENGU / USDT : Breaking down from Trendline supportPENGU/USDT is breaking down from the trend line support, but the retest is still in progress. Watch for rejection at key levels.
Pro Tip: Wait for confirmation of rejection before entering the trade and always apply proper risk management to safeguard your position.
Bearish Retest Setup After BreakdownPrice broke down from the recent bounce and lost the 0.098–0.101 zone, which lined up with the 23.6–38.2 fibs. That area is now likely to act as resistance. Momentum is still bearish. MACD histogram is red and expanding, and no signs of reversal yet. On the daily timeframe, MACD has just started to cross bearish, which adds weight to the downside bias.
If price retests that 0.098–0.101 area and shows weakness (like rejection wicks or small-bodied candles), it’s a clean short opportunity. First target would be the recent low around 0.092, and if that breaks, the next key level is 0.077.
Any push above 0.102 would invalidate the setup for me.
downtrend below 3300 , after ADP-NF⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve’s policy statement noted that economic activity has slowed in the first half of the year, although the unemployment rate remains low and inflation is still “somewhat elevated.” The Fed reaffirmed its commitment to achieving maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2% target, while also acknowledging that “uncertainty around the economic outlook remains elevated.”
Earlier data showed that U.S. GDP grew in the second quarter, but underlying details painted a softer picture. Consumer spending cooled, and business investment declined significantly. According to Reuters, most economists now forecast full-year GDP growth at 1.5%, below the Fed’s 1.8% projection.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices reacted negatively as the FED kept interest rates unchanged and Chairman POWELL's hawkish stance. Selling pressure below 3300 is being maintained.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3360- 3362 SL 3367
TP1: $3350
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3249-$3247 SL $3242
TP1: $3258
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3285
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
#PENGUUSDT confirms a bearish impulse📉 SHORT BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P from $0.034625
⚡ Stop loss $0.035646
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
⚡ Overview:
➡️ A Double Top pattern BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P has formed, signaling a bearish reversal.
➡️ The price broke the $0.0355 support and is consolidating below, confirming seller strength.
➡️ Increasing sell volume confirms bearish control.
➡️ Main focus on targets in the $0.034–0.033 zone.
➡️ The POC at $0.03113 remains the ultimate bearish objective.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0.033947
💎 TP 2: $0.033369
💎 TP 3: $0.032948
BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P Trade Recommendations:
📢 Hold short towards the TP zones.
📢 Watch for reaction around $0.0339 — partial profit-taking possible.
📢 Invalidation if price reclaims above $0.0356.
⚠️ As long as bearish pressure holds, the price is likely to continue towards TP2–TP3.
⚠️ A recovery above $0.0356 would invalidate this setup.
🚀 The signal confirms a bearish impulse — expecting further downside!
Getting short on EUR/USD!The dollar has looked set for a reversal and coming into the week it didn't hang around at all. I had a bit of a short bias on EUR/USD and was looking for confirmation signal which pretty much came at market open.
Price pushed higher back into the key level taking out a short term high, but was unable to follow through to form a new higher high. Heading into Monday London session, momentum immediately took hold with a clear bearish change of character and price didn't look back > breaking structure and key levels with minimal effort.
I was waiting for a pull back to get short early which didn't occur. But no need to chase price, waiting and patience is part of the game.
Price has now broken another key support level and is set to retest it as resistance. This will be my entry point (see screenshot) > using the 70.5%-78.6% fib retracement level and my stop above Tuesdays high. Keep it simple.
s3.tradingview.com
Is the market panicking over FOMC today?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates within a narrow range during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing only modest gains and losses as traders tread carefully ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcement. The metal’s recent rebound from the $3,300 area faces hesitation, with investors awaiting clearer signals on the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory before committing to new positions. As such, attention remains firmly on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, set to be released later today.
In the meantime, pre-Fed uncertainty is lending some support to the safe-haven appeal of gold. Additionally, a slight pullback in the U.S. Dollar—after hitting its highest level since June 23 on Tuesday—is providing a mild lift to the metal. However, expectations that the Fed will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period are limiting the dollar’s decline and capping upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Adding to the cautious mood, recent optimism on global trade also tempers bullish momentum in XAU/USD.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
slight recovery, not big before FOMC news. Gold price will still be under selling pressure when interest rate stays at 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3373- 3375 SL 3380
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3344
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3283-$3281 SL $3276
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3307
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold - Short Setup Off Major Trendline Rejection📉 Gold - Short Setup Off Major Trendline Rejection
Gold has broken down through the rising trendline and is now retesting it — the moment of truth! 🧐
🔻 Short Entry: 3,336
🎯 Target: 3,236 (Fib 1.0 + HVN gap fill)
🛑 Stop: 3,346 (Above trendline retest)
⚖️ Risk/Reward: ~1:10
📊 Bonus: High volume node above adds resistance. Bearish volume profile structure confirms the breakdown bias.
Watching for volume to pick up on the move down. Let's see if GC bleeds into August. 🩸📆
EUR/USD Will Continue Melting Be Sure To Be Part Of That!Here is my thought of EURUSD chart today. I think that this pair can go down further more specially after breaking this strong area of support and old resistance. as shown on the chart we can wait for the price to come back again and retest this area once and then this will be the best place to enter a sell trade. I am targeting around 250n pips in this trade. as I said I will wait for a retest and a good bearish price action and from there I will enter a sell trade.
OMNI ShortShort Bias Active Now — but only with strict stop-loss near $6.35.
📌 Short Entry: $5.30–5.60
📌 Stop-Loss: $6.35
📌 Targets:
TP1: $4.60
TP2: $4.00
TP3: $3.50
maintain selling pressure around 3300, GOLD ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their slide for a fourth straight session, falling over 0.60%, as the U.S. and European Union reached a weekend trade agreement that halved proposed tariffs on EU goods—from 30% to 15%. XAU/USD is currently trading around $3,312, after earlier touching a high of $3,345.
The trade breakthrough lifted market sentiment, boosting risk appetite. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar is regaining strength, with the Dollar Index (DXY)—which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies—rising 0.99% to 98.64.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price maintains selling pressure around 3300, continuing the downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3353- 3355 SL 3360
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3332
TP3: $3317
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3287-$3285 SL $3280
TP1: $3295
TP2: $3307
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ZORA — Parabolic Rally Nearing ExhaustionZORA has been on an explosive run, pumping +1239% in just 20 days. But after such a vertical move, the question is:
Is this rally nearing exhaustion?
Let’s dive into the technicals 👇
🧩 Elliott Wave Structure
Looking at price action through the lens of Elliott Wave Theory, ZORA appears to be completing its 5th wave:
➡️ Wave 3–4 zone: Held around the $0.05 trading range
➡️ Wave 5: Now pushing into the $0.097–$0.103 zone
This area aligns with:
The 1.618–2.0 Fib extension pocket — a typical exhaustion zone for wave 5s
The $0.10 psychological level
🔴 Short Trade Setup
This zone between $0.097–$0.103 is the ideal reversal area to consider shorting, with clearly defined targets and confluence:
Entry: $0.097 – $0.103
Stop-Loss: Above the 2.0 Fib Extension
TP1: Around $0.08
TP2: Around $0.064
Confluence: TP1
Daily Open (dOpen)
0.786 Fib of the local move
0.382 Fib of the 5-wave structure
TP2 (Lower Target):
0.618 Fib retracement of the 5-wave move at $0.064
Risk-to-Reward:
TP1 gives an R:R of 1:8
TP2 offers potential 1:13+
Watch for signs of weakness.
_________________________________
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EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25📊 EURJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W31 | D28 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
OANDA:EURJPY
Get liquidity at the beginning of the week, continue to decrease⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to lose ground, slipping to around $3,335 in early Asian trading on Monday. The metal is on its fourth straight day of declines as easing geopolitical tensions and trade progress weaken safe-haven demand. Investors are now turning their focus to the upcoming FOMC policy decision on Wednesday.
Market sentiment has improved following a breakthrough in US–EU trade talks, with both sides agreeing to a uniform 15% tariff on traded goods, effectively ending months of stalemate. The new tariffs will come into effect on August 1. Meanwhile, the US and China are reportedly planning to extend their tariff truce for another three months, according to the South China Morning Post. The renewed risk appetite continues to pressure gold, traditionally favored in times of uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Short-term recovery in Asian session, gold price takes liquidity and continues to accumulate below 3369
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3369- 3371 SL 3376
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3305-$3303 SL $3298
TP1: $3314
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3342
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold price continues to decrease, keep the rate unchanged✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/28/2025 - 08/1/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) looks set to close the week lower, pressured by upbeat U.S. economic data and progress in trade negotiations, which have reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Despite declining U.S. Treasury yields, the U.S. Dollar regained some ground. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336, down nearly 1%.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the fifth time this year. Recent data supports this stance, with Initial Jobless Claims falling for the fourth straight week—signaling a resilient labor market—while Friday’s sharp drop in Durable Goods Orders, driven by weaker aircraft demand, adds a mixed tone to the outlook.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices continue to fall as interest rates remain unchanged almost this week. Along with the H4 time frame, prices continue to break important support and continue to follow a downward trend.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3350, $3428
Support: $3312, $3280, $3246
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
PENGU Topping Out? Targeting 30% Downside After Liquidity SweepPENGU has had an explosive run, but it now looks to be nearing completion of wave 5 of its current Elliott impulse.
We’re approaching a key high at $0.04698, a likely liquidity grab zone — and potentially a great area to position for a short trade.
🧩 Short Setup Overview
➡️ Wave 5 Completion Incoming:
Price is showing signs of exhaustion as it approaches $0.04698, where liquidity is likely stacked above the previous high.
➡️ SFP Trigger Zone:
Watch for a swing failure pattern (SFP) at $0.04698 — confirmation for a potential short entry.
➡️ Psychological Resistance:
The $0.05 level also sits just above — a classic psychological barrier that may get tapped or wicked into.
🔴 Short Trade Setup
Entry: After a confirmed SFP at $0.04698–$0.05
Target (TP): Yearly Open (yOpen) — potential move of ~30%
Stop-loss: Above post-SFP high
R:R: Excellent asymmetry if setup confirms
🛠 Indicator Note
In this analysis I'm using my own indicator called "DriftLine - Pivot Open Zones ", which I recently published.
✅ It helps highlight key open levels, support/resistance zones, and price structure shifts — all critical for confluence-based trade planning.
Feel free to check it out — you can use it for free by heading to my profile under the “Scripts” tab.
💡 Educational Insight: How to Trade Wave 5 Liquidity Sweeps
Wave 5 tops often trap late longs, especially when paired with psychological levels and key highs.
➡️ Patience is key — wait for a rejection pattern or SFP before entering.
➡️ Liquidity sweeps first — then the move.
Final Thoughts
PENGU is pushing toward $0.04698–$0.05, but this may be its final move up before correction.
With the yearly open as a logical target, and clear confluence via DriftLine, this setup offers a clean short opportunity — if confirmation comes.
Stay sharp, let price lead, and trade the reaction — not the prediction.
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HBAR Game Plan: Short the Bounce, Long the Liquidity GrabHBAR has been moving strongly and is currently offering both short and long trade opportunities based on a clean potential ABC corrective pattern, key fib levels, volume profile, and anchored VWAP. Let’s break down the setup.
🧩 Technical Breakdown
Higher Timeframe Confluence:
0.618 fib retracement from the macro move
1.618 trend-based fib extension
1.272 VWAP band resistance
Point of Control (POC) from the visible range profile
This is marked as a major take profit/short opportunity zone.
For extra confluence, the negative fib extension golden pocket (-0.618 to -0.666) also aligns right at this resistance zone
Current Structure:
We’re potentially completing wave B of an ABC corrective move
Price has retraced into a high-probability short zone
🔴 Short Setup
Entry Zone:
Between the 0.702 and 0.786 fib retracement levels
Why Here?
0.702–0.786 fib retracement → short zone for reversals
Potential wave B top → setting up for a C leg down
Target (TP):
Around $0.25–$0.24, near the expected wave C completion
🟢 Long Setup
Entry Zone:
~$0.25–$0.24 area.
Why Here?
This zone is a strong confluence area:
➡️ 0.786 fib retracement
➡️ 1.0 trend-based fib extension of ABC
➡️ Anchored VWAP from the entire trend, offering dynamic support
➡️ Liquidity pool
➡️ Previous weekly Open
Plan:
Wait for price to complete wave C into this zone, then look for bullish reaction signs to enter long.
💡 Educational Insight
Why the 0.702–0.786 short zone?
These fib levels are often overlooked but are key “hidden” zones where wave B tops out before C waves.
Why anchored VWAP?
Anchored VWAP gives you dynamic institutional support/resistance, especially when aligned with fibs and liquidity.
Why wait for confirmation?
Blindly longing or shorting levels can trap you. Wait for SFPs, wick rejections, or lower timeframe structure flips to boost trade probability.
Final Thoughts
HBAR is in a highly interesting zone, offering both:
A short setup into the C wave,
And a long setup at the C wave completion, backed by multiple confluence factors.
Let the levels come to you and wait for confirmation!
_________________________________
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XRP Coiled in Range — Liquidity Below, Trade Setups AheadXRP has been stuck in a trading range around $3.50 for the past 5 days, offering multiple trade opportunities within the chop.
A notable short was triggered after a swing failure pattern (SFP) at the 0.666 fib retracement level near $3.563.
Now, with liquidity building to the downside, we’re watching closely for the next high-conviction setups.
🧩 Current Structure & Short Setup
🔴 Short Opportunity (Triggered):
SFP + 0.666 fib retracement at $3.563 led to rejection.
Market now shows a head & shoulders pattern forming.
Target: $3.2176 (0.618 fib retracement).
Trigger: Watch for a neckline break + retest for short confirmation.
Stop-loss: Above the right shoulder.
🟢 Long Setup:
Watching for a high-probability long around:
$3.26 → nPOC + 1.272 TBFE
$3.23 → anchored VWAP bands
This zone offers strong confluence and could act as the next launchpad.
Long Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: potential entries between $3.26–$3.22, price action needed for confirmation
Stop-loss: Below swing low at $3.1675
Target (TP): ~$3.40
✍️ Plan: Set alerts near the lows and react to price action at the zone — don’t front-run, let structure confirm.
💡 Pro Tip: Trade the Confluence, Not the Emotion
High-probability trades come from confluence, not guessing.
This setup combines nPOC, TBFE, VWAP, fib levels, and classical market structure (H&S) to map precise zones for both longs and shorts.
Let price come to you and wait for confirmation — especially in a rangebound environment where liquidity hunts are frequent.
Final Thoughts
We’re still rangebound, but liquidity is building below.
Keep an eye on the $3.26–$3.22 support zone for long entries and the H&S neckline for short breakdown confirmation.
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NZDCADDate:
July 24,2025
Session:
Tokyo and London session
Pair:
NZDCAD
Bias:
Short
liquidity pool that is waiting to be swept this week. Looks like price is gonna be magnetized towards that pool level during London and Tokyo. The trade may even stretch into NYC.
Entry: 0.82331
Stop Loss: 0.82635
Target: 0.81475
RR: 2.81
USDNOK short potential setupUSDNOK recently broke down below the monthly 50ema (overlayed on this 4h chart) and has rejected off the daily 20ema (overlayed) twice this week. RSI is showing bearish momentum after a brief overbought period while the PA has remained in a strong downtrend. Short setup potential is evident but not certain.
I'm a cat not a financial advisor.