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Sell Zone Ahead for NZDUSDAfter reaching a low just under the 0.56 figure — just above the 2025 lows — OANDA:NZDUSD finally found support and began reversing to the upside. The pair then broke above the falling-wedge resistance, confirming short-term bullish momentum. At the time of writing the price is 0.5782, and is approaching the 0.5850 major resistance zone. Given: - the significance of this resistance level, - the prevailing long-term bearish trend, - and the broader fundamental landscape, I believe 0.5850 offers an attractive sell zone for a longer-term swing trade. A rejection from this area could send the pair back toward the lows.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
17
SILVER (XAGUSD) – Short-Term DangerOn Monday, I highlighted something important in my Silver analysis: after a full week of rectangle consolidation, the most probable scenario was an upside break — with a projected target around 61. I also repeated a point I’ve been making for weeks: Silver continues to look stronger than Gold. Fast-forward to now: 🔹 That 61 target has been reached 🔹 Silver rallied more than 3,000 pips from the bottom to the high yesterday 🔹 The broader bullish trend is not in question Let me be very clear: this post is not about denying the bullish structure. The trend is intact, momentum is real, and a new ATH is absolutely possible. ⚠️ The Warning: A Short-Term Drop Is Becoming Likely This is a timing post, not a trend post. If you are a short-term trader and not already long, entering here is pure FOMO — and extremely risky. Why? Because the market just moved 13,000 pips in 20 days. That is not sustainable without a reset. Technically, the structure is stretched, and the probability of a corrective move is increasing. 📉 Levels to Watch for a Pullback - 59 – my base expectation for the next corrective wave - 55 – not my primary scenario, but absolutely possible considering the size of the latest rally Neither scenario breaks the bullish trend. These would simply be healthy retracements inside the larger upward trajectory. 📌 Final Thoughts The trend is bullish. The long-term outlook is strong. But the entry right now is terrible unless you're already positioned. Stay disciplined. Wait for the market to reset. Silver will offer better opportunities — don’t let FOMO make the decision for you!
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Silver Pauses After ATH RunLast week, silver printed a series of new ATHs. However, after Monday’s one, each subsequent high was only marginal, and the market shifted into a consolidation box — very similar to gold’s recent price action. The uptrend is still dominant, but for a new accelerated bullish leg, silver needs a clean break above 59. If that happens, the measured move points toward a target near 61. On the downside, if bulls lose control of the 57 zone, the most probable outcome becomes a drop toward 54. For now, it’s a classic wait-and-see environment.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
1
4250–4180: The Box Controlling GoldDespite a week filled with major fundamental releases, gold spent the entire period trapped inside a 4250–4180 range. Even Friday’s strong early rally into 4250 failed to hold, with the daily close producing a sharp sell-off that left traders without a clear directional bias. Today’s Asian session opened with renewed buying interest, lifting price back toward 4220, the midpoint of the range. But without a decisive breakout, the medium-term direction remains unclear. Technically, both the medium-term and long-term trends are still bullish. However, as long as price remains locked inside this range, taking trades carries elevated risk. What I want to see next: Bullish scenario: A fresh attempt to break above resistance, followed by either a clean breakout or a tight consolidation right below it — a classic pressure-building structure. Bearish scenario: A breakdown below 4175–4180, which could open the door for a move back toward 4100 or even lower. Until we get clarity, I remain on the sidelines.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Gold Shows Cracks: Is the 4180 Support About to Give In?Yesterday, Gold stayed between the boundaries of the 4180–4250 range. Although the session started with a bullish tone, buyers failed twice: first, to push price toward the upper resistance, and later, after touching support, to reclaim the 4200 zone overnight. This inability to regain control is a clear sign of weakness. Key Question Has Gold finished its consolidation? Why a continuation lower is likely? - The market has been distributing for more than a week inside this 4180–4250 corridor. - Failed bullish attempts reveal vanishing demand. - Support at 4180 has become increasingly vulnerable. If support breaks with momentum, we could see downside acceleration toward the 4100 zone. Trading Plan For now, the bias is bearish as long as the price stays below 4220. Only: - A move above 4220 would shift Gold back into a range-trading environment. - And stabilization above 4250 would bring bulls back into the game.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Buy Zone Respected, Bull Trend AliveAfter breaking out on Friday during a low-liquidity environment and tapping the 4250 resistance zone on Monday, gold did exactly what strong markets do — it corrected. The pullback reached the ideal buy zone at 4160–4170, respected it perfectly, and the market reversed sharply from there. Now, price is trading comfortably above 4200, holding around 4220, and the structure remains firmly bullish. From here, I expect: - A new bullish leg, - Followed by a clean break above the 4250 zone. If that breakout materializes, the next major target for buyers becomes a retest of the ATH at 4380. I remain bullish as long as yesterday’s low holds, and in my view, buying dips continues to be the dominant play in this market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
13
BTC Bounce Looks Corrective – Bottom Not In Yet1. Recap of My Last BTC Outlook (5 November) In the 5th November analysis, I noted that the 106k support zone was under pressure, and if that level failed, the next meaningful target would be 90k — because 100k, despite being psychological, should not offer much after technical break. That played out perfectly: - 106k failed - 100k offered nothing but a small rebound - BTC dropped straight into the 90k zone And then continued even deeper, almost touching 80k before rebounding We’re now trading around 87,500, after a textbook corrective bounce. 2. Is the Bottom In? ➡️ In my opinion, no. Definitely not. And here’s where I apply my usual contrarian filter: Whenever I start hearing the same voices saying the same thing — “Bitcoin bottom is in! Bitcoin up only!” — I immediately become cautious. These are the same people who never consider the other side of the market. A broken compass can show the right direction once in a while, but it’s still broken. 3. Technical Picture – Nothing Bullish Here - Yes, the bounce from 80k is normal and expected. - Yes, BTC can easily retrace 10–15k after a large drop. - But nothing in the current structure suggests a meaningful bottom. What we have right now is: - A classic corrective rebound - Weak impulse - No break back above of important resistance - No reversal pattern - No shift in market bias It looks exactly like what price should do after a violent leg down — not like a new bull trend. This is the type of rebound where retail screams “moon,” but professionals simply prepare for another sell. 4. My Outlook – Bearish Until BTC Reclaims 100k With Conviction My plan is simple and level-driven: Preferred Sell Zone: - 92k → This is where I want to sell, ideally on a weak rally Downside Targets: - 80k → Recent low and first logical stop - 75k → Major structural support and second target Bearish outlook is invalidated ONLY if: ➡️ BTC reclaims 100k with conviction (not a wick, not a temporary spike) Until that happens, every rally is a potential shorting opportunity. 5. Conclusion – Still Bearish, Despite the Bounce BTC has done exactly what it was supposed to do: - Drop to 90k - Overshoot to 80k - And bounce in a corrective manner Nothing about this price action signals a bottom. If anything, it signals more downside ahead — once the corrective rally into 92k completes. Bias: Bearish Approach: Sell rallies Invalidation: Break and hold above 100k with conviction Until then, the narrative “bitcoin up only” remains a meme, not analysis. ⚠️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
4100 Zone Protected: Eyes Now on the Symmetrical Trendline📌 Yesterday’s Outlook – What Happened In my yesterday's analysis, I highlighted that Gold turned bullish the moment price broke above resistance, shifting the entire short-term structure in favor of the buyers. I also mentioned that 4100–4110 is the key zone where bulls should stay active. During yesterday’s session, the market validated this view: 🔹 Price dipped into 4100–4110 three separate times, 🔹 Each dip was defended aggressively, 🔹 And eventually Gold pushed into a new intraday high. This shows clear buyer interest and confirms that the zone is currently acting as strong demand. ❓ Key Question Today Has Gold built enough momentum to break the falling trendline of the symmetrical triangle that started from the all-time high? This trendline is the major short-term decision area. What happens here will set the tone for the next leg. 📉 Why the Trendline Matters & What Comes Next Gold is now pressing directly into the falling trendline of the larger symmetrical triangle structure. This zone is crucial because: 1. It’s the first major dynamic resistance since ATH. 2. A break above it would CLEARLY shift the medium-term bias back in favor of the bulls. 3. Momentum is building — dips are being bought with consistency. 4. Buyers have defended yesterday’s lows multiple times. If the trendline breaks cleanly, the door opens toward the 4250 zone. That’s the next logical magnet for price. 📈 Trading Plan – Still a “Buy-the-Dip” Market As long as yesterday’s lows remain intact, the structure stays bullish. 🟢 Smart play: Buy dips into intraday support levels 🔒 Invalidation: A break below yesterday's low 🎯 Upside focus: Trendline break → 4250 Until the market shows a reason to flip, momentum is in favor of the bulls. 🚀 Let’s see if Gold has the strength to break that trendline today.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
10
Structure Turns Bullish, Yet Volatility Warns of Traps1. Recap of Yesterday’s Outlook In yesterday’s analysis, I said very clearly: ➡️ “As long as 4100 resistance is intact, the structure remains bearish.” And indeed, I followed that bias — I sold the rally around 4075, the trade moved 150 pips in my favor, but without follow-through. I closed it with an insignificant 30-pip profit, a good decision considering that holding it would’ve led straight into a stop-loss hit. Price action justified the caution. 2. Has the Structure Shifted? The key question today: ➡️ Has the market turned bullish? So far, yes — technically, the structure has shifted. Why? - The 4100 resistance was broken strongly, with conviction. - The breakout wasn’t just a wick; it held. - Momentum flipped short-term direction Under normal conditions, this would imply: ➡️ Upside continuation toward 4200. And the logic is simple: - What was resistance becomes support. - So the 4100–4080 zone is now the bullish line in the sand. 3. But This Is Gold These Days… Volatile & Erratic The problem is not the technicals — the problem is behavior. Gold recently has been: - Hysterical in volatility, - Featuring massive fakeouts, - Delivering 700–1500 pip swings within hours, This makes the breakout valid, but not necessarily trustworthy without confirmation. And here’s the key: ➡️ If Gold drops back under 4080, the structure instantly turns bearish again. This is why blindly buying the breakout is dangerous. Patience and confirmation matter more than ever. 4. Technical Outlook – Levels That Matter Bullish structure (for now): - 4100–4080 is support - Above this zone → bullish - Target → 4200 Bearish trigger: - Break back below 4080 → failed breakout - Structure returns bearish - Possible revisit of 4000, then 3900 Bigger picture: Gold is still contained in a large triangle formation since the all-time high. Breakouts inside a triangle are often traps until the triangle itself resolves. That’s why flexibility is essential. 5. Trading Plan – Short-Term, Flexible, and Level-Based Because Gold is in a triangle and volatility is intense: - Trade short-term, not swing positions. - Look to buy dips into 4100–4080, but only with clear reversal signs. - Don’t hold bias stubbornly — adapt candle by candle. Clear plan: Bullish scenario: - Buy dips around 4100- 4110 only if reversal signs appear - Target 4200 Bearish scenario: - If price falls back below 4080, forget the breakout — bearish again - Potential drop toward 4000, then lower This is one of those moments where discipline beats prediction. 6. Conclusion – Bullish, but With an Asterisk In summary: - The breakout above 4100 is real → bullish bias active - Target: 4200 - BUT the structure remains fragile due to recent volatility - Below 4080 = bearish again - Triangle structure adds uncertainty - Short-term trading and flexibility are essential these days The trend says bullish, the behavior says be careful.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
DXY Coils Above 100 – Build-Up Before the Breakout?1. Recap of Recent Analysis In my last DXY update, I highlighted the 100.00 zone as both a major psychological resistance and my initial upside target for the entire rise from 99. Price reached that zone perfectly. Since then, the index has been consolidating, but not in a weak way — the structure looks tight, controlled, and directional, not corrective or exhausted. 2. Current Market Context – Sideways, But With a Bullish Tilt What stands out in this consolidation is: - DXY is not rejecting 100 zone aggressively. - Candles are small but. - Sellers are not showing real control. This type of behavior suggests a market that is building energy, not one that is rolling over. The sideways action appears more like a pause before a breakout, not the start of a larger correction. 3. Technical Outlook – Trend is Up Since Mid-September The broader structure is clear: - DXY has been in an uptrend since mid-September. Based on the trend, structure, and consolidation behaviour, the probability favors upside continuation. Next technical target: ➡️ 102.00 zone This level stands out as the next meaningful resistance and a natural extension of the current rally. 4. Trading Plan – Follow the Trend, Don’t Fight It My approach remains simple: Bullish outlook stays active as long as DXY holds above 99.20. I expect a break above resistance soon, especially if volatility picks up. First major target: 102. Only if DXY fails dramatically at 100 with strong rejections would I consider a short-term bearish adjustment — not the case right now. 5. Conclusion – The Dollar Looks Ready for the Next Push The index is coiling at resistance, but the structure favors buyers, not sellers. Given the steady uptrend since September and the controlled consolidation just above 100, the most probable scenario remains an upside continuation toward 102. 💵📈
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Below 51, Silver Remains Heavy – Watching 47.50 Next1. What Happened After Last Week’s Call As expected — and exactly as outlined in last week’s analysis — Silver reversed sharply from the sell zone above 52, dropping nearly 4,000 pips from that level. This was a textbook reversal from resistance, confirming that the 52+ area is a major rejection zone for the metal. After the drop: - Price reclaimed the 49 support, showing short-term stabilization, - But failed to regain the 50.50 zone, which was crucial for a genuine bullish recovery. - Instead, Silver has now slipped into a sideways consolidation, showing hesitation and lack of strong buyers. 2. Current Market Context – Not the Same as Gold, but Still Bearish While Silver’s structure is not identical to Gold’s, it shares the same underlying message: ➡️ The market is heavy, not neutral. Key observations: - The rebound lacked momentum. - Every rally since the drop has been corrective, not impulsive. - The failure at 50.50–51.00 confirms that sellers are still defending this zone aggressively. This leaves Silver stuck under resistance with a bearish tone, despite the temporary bounce above 49. 3. Technical Outlook – Preparing for the Next Leg Down Resistance zone: 50.50 – 51.00 This remains the decisive ceiling. As long as Silver stays below this band, the market structure is bearish, and every rally into this area is a sell opportunity. Support zone: 49.00 A key reference point. If Silver breaks below 49 again, sellers will likely push aggressively. Downside target: 47.50 zone This is the next major support, and the most logical destination for a completed second leg down. Given the current rhythm of the market, a drop into this zone is highly plausible if 49 gives way. 4. Trading Plan – Clear, Simple, Disciplined - Sell rallies into 50.50–51.00 resistance - More confirmation if price approaches 49 again - If 49 breaks, expect a continuation toward 47.50 Bias changes only if Silver reclaims 51 with strong buying (low probability for now) No need to overcomplicate this setup — the market is offering clear technical boundaries.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold Dancing Around 4050– Will the Market Rhyme With Last Month?1. Recap of Last Week’s Price Action Last week started with a fake attempt at recovery: Gold reversed early in the week back above 4100, reaching a local high around 4133. From there, sellers stepped back in and pushed the price lower, bringing us once again into the familiar 4050–4100 range I have been talking about for days. On Friday, we had a classic whipsaw: - Price dipped below 4050 support, - Then reversed sharply and tested 4100 resistance again, - Only to close the day slightly above support, right back inside the range. Today, during the Asian session, selling pressure returned and Gold is trading below 4050 support once again. The market is still orbiting this key zone like a magnet. 2. Current Technical Picture – A Heavy Market Hiding Behind a Sideways Range Right now, the chart shows: - Well-defined resistance: 4100–4110 - Broken/fragile support: 4050 - Key downside reference: 3900 zone Even though we are “just” ranging between 4050 and 4100 most of the time, I still see the structure as heavy, not neutral. The fact that: - Every bounce above 4100 fails quickly, and - Every dip below 4050 gets a bit deeper or a bit more frequent, …suggests that sellers are slowly gaining control, even if there is no clean breakdown yet. 3. Bigger Picture Outlook – Why I Still Expect 3900 📉 My medium-term outlook remains the same: ➡️ I still expect a drop toward the 3900 zone. Why? - Failed upside follow-through: - The reversal back around 4100 looked promising for bulls, but there was no continuation. That kind of failed breakout often precedes a deeper leg down. Support erosion at 4050: 4050 used to be a clean support. Now it’s constantly pierced, reclaimed, then lost again. When a level is “played with” too much, it often breaks properly later. Lack of strong bullish candles: We see bounces, yes, but not the kind of decisive ones that normally start a new leg up. Because of this, I still see 3900 as the next logical destination once the market finally gives up on this range. For now, I’m out of the market, waiting patiently to sell rallies, not chase price in the middle. 4. The “Rhyme” With Last Month – A Speculative but Interesting Angle 📅 “Markets don’t repeat, but they often rhyme.” If we look back at last month’s end-of-month action, there’s an interesting similarity in structure: - On Thu 23 Oct, we had a low, then a reversal up. - By Mon 27 Oct, price was back to support around 4050 – yes, the same 4050 zone we’re dealing with now. - On that Monday, we then got the real break, followed by a 1,500-pip drop into Thu 28 Oct. Now compare that to the current price action: - We have a low → bounce → failure → back to 4050 pattern, - We’re again at (or just under) 4050, - The broader structure feels like a tired consolidation after an earlier strong move. Is this a guarantee that we’ll see another sharp fall like last time? 👉 Of course not. This is only speculation and observation. But the similarity in the structure is worth keeping on the radar, especially considering that: - We’re again at 4050, - We’re again in a sideways consolidation after a strong leg down - And again the market seems to be “deciding” whether to finally break. If the “rhyme” plays out, we might see: - A bit more back-and-forth around 4050–4080, - A clean, decisive break of 4050, - A more direct move toward 3900 (or even beyond) with less hesitation than now. 5. Trading Plan – What I’m Actually Doing (Not Just Thinking) Despite the interesting fractal and speculation, my plan stays simple and disciplined: - I’m currently out of the market – volatility around 4050 is messy. - I’m looking to sell rallies, especially if we see: - Price popping back into 4100 area, but failing to hold, or - Weak, corrective rebounds into resistance after another dip. I’m not interested in chasing shorts after a big down candle at 4010 or 4000. I want price to come to me, not the other way around. Target remains: 3900 zone. If the market gives a similar “impulsive leg” as it did last month, this level can be reached faster than most traders expect. 6. Conclusion – Logic First, Speculation Second Bias: still bearish. Key level: 4050 – the market is clearly “fighting” around this line. Plan: stay patient, sell rallies, target 3900. The October “rhyme” is just an extra narrative layer – nice to watch, but risk management and levels still come first. If the market decides to repeat that end-of-month pattern, I’ll be ready. If not, I’ll still trade the levels, not the story. 😊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
15
Bias Still Bearish, But Confirmation Below 4050 Is Needed1. What Happened Yesterday Gold continued to trade inside the well-defined 4050–4100 range discussed in the previous analysis. Aside from a few small spikes, price respected the boundaries perfectly, confirming this as the current “decision zone” for the market. 2. Current Market Context My outlook remains bearish, but as mentioned yesterday, nothing meaningful happens until 4050 breaks cleanly. This level is acting as the floor of the range, while 4100 caps every bullish attempt. We are simply waiting for confirmation. 3. Technical Outlook The levels are very straightforward: - Below 4050 → bearish continuation A decisive break opens the path toward 3900, which remains the primary downside target. - Above 4100 → bullish extension A clear breakout and stabilization above 4100 would give scope for a move toward 4200. Until one of these levels goes, expect more range-bound trading. 4. Trading Plan No changes from yesterday: Bias stays bearish, but only with confirmation below 4050. If price breaks above 4100, short-term upside to 4200 becomes the higher-probability scenario. 5. Conclusion Gold is trapped in a tight range, and the next major move will be decided by a clean breakout from 4050 or 4100. For now, patience is key.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Mihai_Iacob
40
Gold Drops, Rebounds, Drops Again – Structure Still Bearish1. What Happened Yesterday Gold reacted perfectly from the indicated sell zone, dropping almost 800 pips in a very short period. However, immediately after the decline, the market turned violent with a 600-pip reversal, followed by another 700-pip drop overnight. Such chaotic swings clearly show a battle between bulls and bears, with neither side managing to seize full control so far. 2. Current Market Context This is one of the most difficult types of environments to trade: - Momentum is uncertain - Volatility is extreme - Direction changes rapidly Still, certain levels remain crucial for identifying the next move. 3. Technical Outlook Key levels to watch: - 4050 support → absolutely critical for bulls A break and sustained move below 4050 would likely open the path toward a retest of 3900 - 4100 zone → immediate upside barrier A clean stabilization above 4100 could finally give bulls the strength to push toward 4200 Without a decisive break of either level, expect more volatile two-sided trading. 4. Trading Plan As of now, my bias remains bearish, unchanged from yesterday. However, I remain aware of the strong intraday volatility and the possibility of fast upside spikes. My main scenarios: - Below 4050 → bearish continuation, targeting 3900 - Above 4100 → bullish momentum, possible rise toward 4200 Until one of these breaks occurs, expect Gold to remain noisy and difficult. 5. Conclusion Gold is in a highly unstable phase, with sharp 600–800 pip swings in both directions. The market is fighting for direction, but structurally, the bearish bias still dominates unless price regains stability above 4100.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
7
New Leg Up Possible, Yet I Expect Another Decline Toward 491. What Happened Since Yesterday In yesterday’s analysis, I highlighted the possibility of a rebound from the confluence support and mentioned that Silver could rise toward the 50.50 resistance. Not only did Silver reach that target — it broke above it, and the price is now trading above 51.00. The bullish momentum was stronger than expected, confirming buyers stepped in aggressively from support. 2. Current Market Context With price holding above 51, the short-term chart structure is slightly bullish, and a new leg up is possible in the immediate term. However, despite this strength, I believe the overall correction is not yet complete. Silver has a habit of producing sharp counter-trend moves before continuing the broader direction. 3. Technical Outlook Key levels to monitor: Resistance: - 52.00 – major short-term barrier; ideal area to search for shorts - 50.50 – intraday resistance turned support Support / Downside target: - 49.00 – the next major support and my preferred downside target Until Silver breaks and holds above 52, upside continuation remains limited in my view. 4. Trading Plan My plan is straightforward: If price reaches the 52 zone, I will look for short entries. Downside target is 49. I will reassess the bias only if Silver starts to stabilize well above 52, which would shift the structure back to bullish. 5. Conclusion Silver exceeded expectations on the rebound, but the larger corrective structure appears intact. Short-term upside is possible, yet I still expect another leg down, with 49 as the main target.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Gold Rebounds, But Sellers Likely Preparing for Another Drop1. What Happened Yesterday Gold finally rebounded after the steep 2500-pip drop from the recent top. Although I anticipated this rebound, my preferred buy zone around 3970 was never reached. Instead, Gold dipped only slightly below the 4000 figure, then climbed to the 4080 zone. This confirms that buyers are still active 2. Current Market Context In my view, this bounce is just a corrective move, not the start of a new bullish leg. Momentum remains bearish, and the market structure still favors another wave of selling. 3. Technical Outlook Key levels to watch: - 4120–4140 → resistance zone and ideal area to hunt for new short entries - 4080 → intraday pivot - 3900 → next major target and strong technical support As long as Gold stays below 4140, the path of least resistance remains to the downside. 4. Trading Plan My plan going forward is simple: - Look for shorts on rallies into 4120–4140 - Hold a downside target at 3900 - Reassess only if Gold breaks and stabilizes above 4140 Until then, selling strength continues to make the most sense. 5. Conclusion Gold’s rebound was expected — but limited. With the broader trend still bearish, I anticipate another decline, potentially toward the 3900 zone. Any rally into resistance should provide attractive selling opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
USDJPY Near Major Resistance – Rising Wedge Signals Reversal1. What Happened Recently After the gap up above resistance in early October, USDJPY has continued to climb, recently breaking above the 155.00 psychological level. However, the entire advance of the past weeks is developing inside a rising wedge pattern — a structure that usually signals loss of momentum and often precedes a bearish reversal. 2. Current Market Context It is also important to note that if USDJPY rises above 156.50, it enters a major resistance zone, historically triggering significant pullbacks. So while the trend is still technically up, the risk-reward for new longs is deteriorating rapidly. 3. Technical Outlook Key levels to watch: - 156.50 → strong resistance; break above it creates a fade-the-rally opportunity - Rising wedge support → a break below confirms a reversal signal - 158.00 → invalidation; strong buying above this level cancels the bearish scenario Downside target: - 150.00 → main objective for a completed wedge breakdown 4. Trading Plan I am currently preparing two sell plans: - Break above 156.50 → fade rallies If price spikes above this zone but fails to hold, I will look to sell. - Break of the wedge support → trend reversal setup A clean breakdown from the wedge would confirm that the uptrend is exhausted, offering another shorting opportunity. 5. Conclusion Although USDJPY remains in an uptrend for now, the combination of a rising wedge, major resistance at 156.50, and weak bullish momentum makes a reversal increasingly probable. My target is 150, with invalidation only if strong buying appears above 158.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
1
ETH Hits 3K Target – Rebound Likely, Correction Not Over Though1. What Happened Since the Last Update In my previous ETH analysis, I warned that if Ethereum loses the 3700 support zone, the probability of a drop toward 3000 becomes very high. That scenario played out perfectly — the 3700 level failed, and price has now reached the 3K zone in recent days. 2. The Key Question Now Is this the end of the correction, or just the first leg? From my perspective, the overall correction is probably not finished yet. However, the 3000 area is a major support level, both technically and psychologically, so a bullish rebound from here is very likely. 3. Technical Outlook Even inside a larger corrective structure, ETH can easily rally $230–$350, or even more, from these levels before deciding the next direction. Key levels to monitor: -Support: 3000 → then 2900 (preferred buy zone) - Upside target: 3300 - Invalidation: A clean daily close below 2800 would weaken the bullish rebound scenario 4. Trading Plan For the short term, I will look to buy preferably below 2900, targeting 3300 on the bounce. This is not a long-term trend reversal call — it is a tactical long setup inside a broader correction. 5. Conclusion ETH has reached the downside target discussed weeks ago. A rebound is likely from here, but the larger correction may not be over yet. Short-term, buying dips around 2900 makes sense for a bounce toward 3300
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold Losing 4050 Support – 4K Now at Risk1. What Happened Yesterday Gold broke below the key 4050 support zone and continued to decline, coming very close to the psychological 4000 level. This is the most significant bearish continuation we’ve seen since the strong rally earlier this month. 2. Current Market Context At the time of writing, price is showing only a weak and shallow rebound, hovering around 4017. Momentum remains bearish, and structurally, the market looks vulnerable to a clean break below 4K. 3. Technical Outlook If price continues lower, the 3950–3970 zone becomes highly relevant. This area represents a medium-term bullish demand zone, and a drop into it could offer a meaningful buying opportunity — but only with confirmation. Right now, the structure remains bearish. A genuine shift back to bullish conditions would require: - A reclaim of 4050, and more importantly - A stabilization above that level, not just a wick or intraday spike. Without that, any bounce is just noise inside a bearish trend. 4. Trading Plan - Bearish bias remains active as long as price trades under 4050 - A flush into 3950–3970 could be a buy zone, but only if price shows clear support and reversal signs - Until then, bulls are on defense, and shorts continue to have the advantage 5. Conclusion Gold is under pressure, and a break below 4K is a strong possibility. A deeper drop may eventually turn into an opportunity for medium-term buyers, but at this moment the structure is bearish and caution is required.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Rebound Possible, But Below 50.50 Silver Remains Vulnerable1. What Happened Recently After touching the old all-time high at 54.50 last week, Silver reversed sharply. Initially, the decline looked like a normal correction, and price held at 50.50 support — the level that had acted as a major bullish reference point. However, yesterday Silver broke below 50.50, and today it is trading near the next key support zone, which now represents the line in the sand for bulls. 2. Technical Outlook A short-term rebound from current levels is possible — markets rarely fall in a straight line — but for bulls to regain control, price must stabilize back above 50.50. If this does not happen, the structure remains vulnerable. The decisive level is 49.50. A sustained break below 49.50 would likely trigger a new bearish leg, confirming that last week’s rejection from ATH was not just noise — but a meaningful shift in momentum. 3. Trading Plan I remain cautious and will look to sell any rally back into 50.50, as long as price fails to reclaim that level. Below 49.50, I expect continuation lower. Only a firm close back above 50.50 would negate the bearish outlook. 4. Conclusion Short-term bounces may occur, but the broader picture now favors downside continuation unless bulls can defend the current support and recover 50.50. For now, the path of least resistance is lower, and I will position accordingly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Lingrid | XRPUSDT Flag Pattern Exit Downside MoveBINANCE:XRPUSDT remains trapped inside a clear downward channel, repeatedly rejecting both the resistance trendline and the mid-range supply zone around 2.4150. The chart shows multiple fake breaks and failed bullish attempts, confirming sellers are still in control. Price is now forming a small corrective bounce, but the structure points to a continuation pattern toward the lower support. As long as CRYPTOCAP:XRP stays below 2.4150, the likelihood of a bearish extension toward the 2.0000 target zone remains high. ⚠️ Risks: A clean breakout above 2.4150 may invalidate the bearish continuation. Strong market-wide bullish momentum could slow down the drop. Sideways compression within the flag could delay the move. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
1
Gold Hits 4150 Resistance: Healthy Correction or Reversal?1. What Happened in the Last 24 Hours Gold delivered an impressive bullish surge of over 1000 pips, reaching the 4150 resistance zone — precisely the level mentioned in yesterday’s analysis. The move was nearly one-directional, with only a brief intraday retracement after crossing above 4100. 2. Market Context Such a strong advance often leads to short-term exhaustion, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now. After touching the 4150 resistance, the price has started to pull back, which appears to be a normal correction rather than a trend reversal. 3. Technical Outlook The first key support for bulls lies near 4075, followed by the 4050 zone, which is now an important structural level. As long as these supports remain intact, the uptrend remains healthy and the probability of another bullish leg is high. 4. Trading Plan I remain bullish on Gold and plan to buy dips toward 4075–4050 zones. A sustained hold above these levels could open the way for a retest of 4200 resistance in the next sessions. If the price falls below 4050 with strong momentum, I’ll reassess the bias — but for now, the path of least resistance is still up. 5. Conclusion Yesterday’s explosive rally confirmed the bullish structure, and today’s pullback looks like a healthy correction within an ongoing trend. As long as 4050–4075 holds, buying dips remains the smart play. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold Momentum Extreme – Shorting Is High-Risk Despite Resistance1. What Happened Yesterday Despite a weak start to the day that looked like the beginning of a deeper correction after Monday’s strong rally, Gold once again defended the 4100 interim support. Bulls quickly stepped in, and the market delivered yet another 1,000-pip bullish session — a pattern Gold has normalized these days. 2. Current Market Context At the time of writing, price is hovering around the 4200 resistance zone, and the upside momentum remains extremely strong. Yes, after a 2,000-pip rise in just three days, a correction seems not only possible but probable. However, we must also remember that last month Gold rallied 4,000 pips in a single week without any meaningful pullback — making short-term timing very tricky. 3. Technical Outlook Key support levels to watch: - 4150 – first intraday support - 4100 – strong structural level - 4050 – major swing support and line in the sand for bulls Resistance levels: - 4200 – current zone being tested - 4280 – next clear target - 4400 – all-time-high resistance The structure remains bullish, but stretched. 4. Trading Plan For swing traders, this is a difficult location to initiate new positions in either direction. I personally prefer to buy only if Gold pulls back under 4100, where the risk-reward becomes more reasonable. As for short trades, the combination of strong momentum and last month’s parabolic behavior makes them very high risk, even in strong resistance. 5. Conclusion Gold remains in a powerful uptrend, and although a correction is likely, timing it is extremely challenging. Until we see a deeper pullback, I remain patient and only consider buys from lower support zones, preferably below 4100. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
4