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XAUUSD: 800 Pips Secured, but Is the Correction Really Over?Yesterday, after revisiting the 4,000 support zone as expected and explained in my previous analysis, Gold bounced strongly and tested the area above 4,100. That rally delivered around 800 pips profit on my long trade, and now the market is showing a mild pullback, consolidating around 4,085. The key question now: 👉 Is the overall correction over, or is there still more to unfold? From a technical perspective, as long as 4,000 remains intact, Gold retains its bullish potential toward the 4,200 resistance zone. However, I prefer to stay patient at the moment — being flat at the time of writing — and will wait for a potential dip toward 4,050 or slightly below. If the price shows a positive reaction in that area, I’ll consider re-entering long positions. 🎯 Upside targets: • First: 4,150 • Second: 4,200 Keeping a positive risk-reward balance remains the main priority. 🚀 Let’s see if the market confirms the plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
Gold – 24 Hours of Chaos: From 4400 to 4000The last 24 hours in Gold trading were absolutely insane. After retesting the 4400 zone all-time high last night, XAUUSD literally collapsed, dropping straight to the 4000 zone in just one day — a 10% move that’s unheard of for gold (at least I haven't seen). 1️⃣ Technical Picture Once the price broke back below 4200, it confirmed a double top formation, and the selloff accelerated dramatically toward its measured target around 4000 — a level also supported by the ascending trendline that started in late August. 2️⃣ Current Context At the time of writing, gold already rebounded nearly 1300 pips from the low, which means there’s no attractive level to enter long right now, even though the recovery might continue in the short term. 3️⃣ Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: 4200 zone – now turned into a major resistance. If the price revisits this level, I’ll be looking for short setups, ideally on intraday spikes. • Support: 4000 zone – if the price dips again before testing resistance, it could offer long opportunities from this confluence area. 4️⃣ Trading Plan In short, we’re in a wide range between 4000 and 4200, both levels offering potential trades but in opposite directions. For now, I’ll stay patient and wait for price to get closer to one of these extremes before taking action. ⚠️ Final Note Volatility is off the charts, so if you decide to trade XAUUSD these days, adjust your stop losses and targets accordingly. This is not the time for tight stops, is time for patience, and flexibility. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
15
Gold Analysis – Volatility Rules the GameYesterday marked another strong bullish session for Gold, as the price completely erased Friday’s losses, confirming that buyers are far from done. Regardless of how high the market has already climbed, momentum remains firmly on the bullish side. Technically, Gold managed to reclaim and break above the 4285–4300 resistance zone, which triggered a sharp acceleration toward the recent all-time high around 4380. At the time of writing, the market is undergoing a normal retracement, which is a healthy technical reaction after such an aggressive move. The 4300 area has now turned into key short-term support, and as long as bulls defend this level, the probability of a new ATH remains high. From a trading perspective, however, volatility has reached extreme levels. This type of price action often favors large players with fundamental reasons rather than discretionary traders. For that reason, I prefer to stay on the sidelines today, waiting for volatility to stabilize before engaging again.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Silver: After New All-Time Highs, a Sharp CorrectionLast week, Silver reached a new all-time high, almost touching my $55 target. However, on Friday, the market delivered a powerful sell-off, with the price dropping by around 4,000 pips — from the $54.50 ATH down to the $50.50 support zone. At this stage, I expect the price to stabilize and form a temporary base of consolidation. My focus now shifts to the $53.50 resistance zone, which could act as a short-term decision point. If I observe signs of weakness or rejection in that area, I’ll consider short positions, targeting a potential retest of the $50 support zone.
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
5
4,000 Pips Up, 2,000 Down – Gold’s Wild Ride Continues!Last week has been a wild ride for Gold traders, with the price rallying aprox 4,000 pips (around 10%), only to sell off 2,000 pips on Friday in what many expected to be a well-deserved correction. The big question now is: was that correction enough, or is Gold preparing for another leg down before continuing higher? In my view, this was just the first leg of the correction, and I expect another wave of selling to come this week. Currently, Gold is recovering from Friday’s sharp drop, and this rebound could potentially push prices back above 4,300. If that happens, I’ll be watching closely for signs of weakness to position myself short. Overall, I believe a new test of the 4,200 area is likely before any sustainable recovery can take place.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
16
When Everyone’s Buying, I’m Watching for the TopAs we’ve grown used to by now, Gold sets a new ATH almost every day — and by the time we, in Europe, wake up, it’s already 300–400 pips higher. Yet despite the strong bullish momentum, speculative trading remains extremely difficult. Sudden drops of hundreds of pips can easily hit your stop loss if your entry timing isn’t perfect. From my perspective — even though I don’t have an open position — the idea remains the same: a correction is inevitable. Since Friday’s low, the price has rallied around 3,000 pips — a fabulous move, but like any late-stage rally, it’s becoming excessive and irrational (even more than it already was). Of course, it can always go higher, but the more it exaggerates, the faster it tends to normalize. As I mentioned before, my approach remains focused on identifying potential tops — and while that’s the riskiest thing a trader can do, it has worked quite well during the sharp downward spikes of the last two weeks. Technically, the move from Friday’s low is forming a rising wedge, with resistance around 4270, which is where I’ll be looking to sell. The target zone is roughly 1,000 pips lower. One encouraging factor — even more so than before — is the noticeable narrowing of the spread between futures and spot, now at just 0.2–0.25%, compared to the usual ~1% (and sometimes higher) during strong bullish phases.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
73
Gold – Madness in MotionGold rose this week — so far (and I really want to stress so far ) — by around 10%. That’s massive by any standard. On Monday, I tried to catch a dip and missed it. Since Tuesday, I’ve been on the sell side — completely wrong on direction , yet somehow still managed to finish positive overall. Yesterday my stop got hit, but after what happened overnight, it turned out to be just a scratch. With this kind of volatility, a recovery of 250pips can happen in ten minutes. Looking at the chart — it’s bullish, no question. Should it be bought? Hmmmm... Looking at the volatility… for me, it’s become untradeable. Can it keep going higher? Of course. How high? Nobody knows. At this point, any prediction is just throwing numbers in the air. Trading corrections, as I’ve tried to do, is a guessing game. I’ve had some luck so far, but after yesterday's stop loss, I’m stepping aside. My take: stay out. Let others make money if they can. A 1,000-pip rise and an equal reversal — all while I was asleep (and trust me, I sleep very little) — is too crazy. Stops can be wiped for bulls just as easily as for bears. At some point, it will settle down and define its levels. Until then — it’s not for me anymore.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
21
Doge- Support turned resistance. What's next?Friday’s crash took DOGE below two key support zones — first, the ascending trendline around 0.23, and then the horizontal support near 0.21. After the drop, DOGE attempted a recovery that only brought it back to retest the broken 0.21 level, which has now turned into resistance. The price has since started to roll back down. At this stage, if the negative sentiment across the crypto market continues, the probability of a deeper correction remains high — with the next significant target around 0.15. Only a sustained move above 0.21 would neutralize this bearish scenario and open the path for a potential rebound.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Bitcoin Under Pressure: 108-110k Zone Support Now CriticalI’m struggling to maintain my bullishness lately — not because of Friday’s crash, but because, regardless of what timeframe I analyze, I just can’t find a convincing bullish bias anymore. On the weekly chart, the structure looks increasingly fragile. After breaking above the 108k zone in mid-summer, Bitcoin pushed to a new ATH around 125k, then pulled back to retest the broken resistance. That was fine — a normal retest within a healthy uptrend. But what followed wasn’t. The price made a new, but very anemic all-time high, showing a clear lack of momentum, and then dropped again to the same support area. Even if this drop was provoked, the fact that BTC returned so quickly to that zone makes me question the strength of any potential reversal. From a technical standpoint, if we ignore the reasons and look only at the chart, the last 3.5 months resemble more of a distribution phase rather than a solid consolidation before another leg up. If Bitcoin breaks below the 108k support, the next logical target sits around 100k. But considering the long-term structure I’ve shown on the weekly chart, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a deeper correction toward 90k. The bulls are still in the game, but they’re losing ground — and unless BTC shows strength soon, the market might be preparing for another leg down before any sustainable recovery
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
ETH: Technical Precision Amid the CrashIn spite of the crypto market crash, Ethereum actually moved very technically. The break below the $4,300 support led to a drop toward the important $3,500 zone. Although the price also broke below $3,850, a quick reversal followed — the rebound brought the price back above the $3,850 support and up to the $4,300 resistance. A new wave of selling came next, but this time, the price stopped around the $3,850 support zone, confirming it as an important level. A quick rebound followed, and now ETH is back above $4,000, trading around $4,100. Also very important — the price of ETH is forming an ascending triangle, with resistance at $4,300. A break above $4,300 will most likely accelerate gains toward the $4,900–$5,000 area, which is both a technical resistance and the target of the triangle. I’m looking to buy on dips, preferably below $4,000, and considering the mentioned target, such a setup offers around a 1:3 or even 1:4 risk-reward ratio.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
ALGO – Reversal from the Final Support ZoneLike most altcoins, Algorand also ended Friday’s crash by touching its final support zone, then strongly reversed. After dropping to 0.10, the coin rebounded sharply and reclaimed the next key level at 0.15. Currently trading around 0.20, ALGO is showing early signs of stabilization. If the overall crypto recovery continues, this setup could develop into a solid bullish signal. The confirmation comes with a break above 0.2250, which would mark the end of the correction that started in December last year — opening the way toward the 0.40 zone. Let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
LINK – Back Inside the Bullish FlagOn Friday night, Chainlink lost its confluence support from the 18.50 zone and dropped sharply to just under $10. However, looking at the chart, we can clearly see the importance of this area, marked by both the 2022–2023 accumulation resistance and the 2024 lows. From there, the coin rebounded fast, managing to reclaim the 18.50 support and re-enter the bullish flag that started forming at the end of August. This recovery shows strong buying interest — but no clear buy signal has yet appeared. For now, LINK remains a coin to watch closely. A confirmed breakout above 21.50 would open the door for a new bullish leg, with 30 USD as the next technical target.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Why This BTC Price Action Doesn’t Inspire ConfidenceIn my yesterday’s analysis, I raised a rhetorical question: I s Bitcoin in a corrective rebound, or are we witnessing a genuine upside reversal? Even in my Sunday educational post, I mentioned that the whole “ great reset, now we go up ” narrative doesn’t resonate with how I view trading. At the time of writing, BTC is down again around 112K, after touching once more the 110K support zone — almost like a second chance for those who missed the first dip. However, this kind of price action is far from encouraging in my opinion. ________________________________________ Technical Picture • The price reversed before the 118K resistance, forming what can now be viewed as a lower high. • If the 110K level breaks, the next obvious target remains 100K, both from a psychological and technical perspective. ________________________________________ Trading Plan My plan is to sell preferably around the recent high, aiming to position with the broader structure rather than chase short-term fluctuations. BTC still needs to prove it can sustain an uptrend — until then, rallies look like selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bull leg.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Is This the End of the Insane Rally? (read before comment!)In my Sunday video, I argued that after Friday’s close it seemed likely that 4100 could be next for Gold — and indeed, Gold didn’t just stop there, it printed a new all-time high at 4180. Yesterday, as usual, when I woke up Asia had already done its job — we’re used to that by now — and I found the price 400 pips higher. So, I simply watched. However, last night, considering that after a 1500+ pip rally at least a correction could follow, I decided to take a short position — a very risky one, to be fair. Luck (and timing) were on my side, and by the time of writing this post, the price already dipped under 4100, and my trade was closed with a +600 pip take profit. ________________________________________ The Big Question: Is Gold done with this insane rise? In my opinion — yes, at least temporarily. There’s no secret that the price is overstretched, and if we look carefully at the chart, the recent 4,000-pip rise is contained within an expanding triangle. We saw a short-lived spike above the resistance of that triangle — and also above the ascending channel — followed by a strong 1,000-pip reversal in just two hours, clearly signaling heavy profit-taking. At this moment, the price has stopped its descent around the horizontal level below 4100, and we’re seeing a technical rebound. I plan to use this rebound as a new selling opportunity. While my first short targeted the 4100 area, my second trade will aim for the 4050 zone, which coincides with last week’s all-time high and now acts as a key confluence support. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts Markets often humble us — and they do it with irony. Although I'm very bullish on Gold overall, my last five trades have all been shorts. And the irony? The results are more than satisfying: ✅ +550 pips ❌ -200 pips ➖ Break-even ✅ +350 pips ✅ +600 pips That’s +1,300 pips profit from trading drops in a bullish market. The market truly has a sense of humor. 😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
29
CAKE Analysis — Bulls Still in the GameIn my previous CAKE analysis, I mentioned that the coin could rise to at least 5 USD, following a breakout above the 1.5-year accumulation resistance. That projection worked well, with CAKE reaching a high around 4.5 USD before entering what initially looked like a normal correction. However, Friday’s massive liquidation event turned that pullback into a sharp drop. Yet, unlike many other altcoins that are still trading below their broken supports, CAKE showed an impressive recovery, quickly reclaiming the lost level. This kind of V-shaped recovery often signals strong underlying bullish pressure and confident buyers. Technical outlook: • Bias: Bullish again • Key support: 3.00 USD (as long as price holds above, trend remains constructive) • Target zone: 5.00 USD • Strategy: Look for entry points near 3.00 USD or during healthy dips above that level Momentum has shifted back to the bulls, and as long as 3 USD holds, the path of least resistance remains upward. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
2
EURUSD Bears Still in Control – Rallies Are for SellingAs I explained before, my bias on EURUSD is bearish. In yesterday’s DXY analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 98.60 zone remains intact, the U.S. Dollar Index has high chances to extend its rise toward 100.00. That scenario is playing out perfectly so far. Yesterday, EURUSD erased the entire Friday’s up move, falling back to its local support area. This type of reversal structure is typically seen in weak markets — when bullish attempts are quickly negated by strong selling pressure. From a technical standpoint, this is very bearish price action. The market keeps testing the same support level without any meaningful bounce, which usually leads to a breakdown rather than a reversal. My strategy remains unchanged: • Bias: Bearish • Plan: Sell rallies • Short-term view: Pressure remains on the downside • Medium-term target: 1.1400, with respect for the 1.1500 psychological level As long as DXY holds above 98.60, EURUSD should remain under pressure. The pair might consolidate briefly, but the broader structure still points lower.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Everyone’s Bullish Again… But Is Bitcoin Ready?As I explained in yesterday’s post , even though I want to stay bullish — partly because I still hold a bag of altcoins — the overconfidence across the market makes me cautious. Everyone seems convinced that “the bottom is in.” and history tells us that when sentiment becomes one-sided, it’s often premature. ________________________________________ 1. Recent Price Action Bitcoin indeed reversed from a key support zone and managed to recover part of Friday’s losses. However, so far, this looks more like a technical rebound than a return of genuine buying power. Momentum remains fragile, and price is still struggling. ________________________________________ 2. Key Technical Levels • Resistance: The $118K horizontal level followed by the $120K psychological barrier remain decisive. Only a clear breakout above these zones would signal renewed bullish control. • Support: On the downside, failure to hold above $110K would likely trigger a new leg lower, erasing the recent optimism. ________________________________________ 3. Outlook The structure is neutral-to-bearish until Bitcoin confirms strength above $118K–$120K. Until then, this bounce should be treated as a reaction, not a reversal. ________________________________________ Bottom line: I still want to be bullish — but I’ll follow the chart, not the crowd. Confirmation first, conviction later. 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
3
DXY Analysis – Bullish Structure Still IntactIn my latest DXY analysis, I mentioned that the 100.00 level remains the next key target for the U.S. Dollar Index. After an initial push higher to 99.55, the index faced some selling pressure and is now trading slightly below 99.00. However, the constructive bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 99.60 support zone. ________________________________________ 1. Technical Context • The recent pullback looks more like a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. • The higher-lows pattern remains valid, keeping the bullish momentum alive. • The 99.60 area now acts as a key pivot zone — holding above it favors a renewed push toward 100.00. ________________________________________ 2. Trading Implications Given this setup, selling rallies in EUR/USD and GBP/USD remains the preferred strategy, as both pairs are likely to face renewed dollar strength once DXY resumes its upward leg. ________________________________________ In short: The Dollar Index remains bullish. As long as 99.60 holds, the path of least resistance stays upward — and 100 remains on the radar. 🚀
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Silver: New ATH, Sharp Pullback, and What Comes NextLast week, something traders had been waiting for finally happened — Silver reached a new all-time high, touching 51.30 before a strong 3,000-pip selloff followed. However, looking closely at the chart, we can see that this decline stopped precisely at the confluence of horizontal support and the ascending channel’s lower boundary — a technical level that often attracts renewed buying interest. In my Friday’s analysis, I mentioned that although Silver looked very strong, traders should watch the ATH zone and the channel’s upper resistance for potential pullbacks. Indeed, XAGUSD reacted exactly from that area and corrected lower. Now, things get very interesting: 1. Strong demand near $50 – Despite the initial drop on Friday, Silver built a solid floor just under the 50 level, suggesting that buyers remain in control and the recent ATH might just be a prelude to new highs. 2. Holding above the median line – The price is hovering around the channel’s midline without testing the lower boundary, a clear sign of underlying strength. 3. Potential pennant formation – Although not perfectly shaped, the price action since Thursday resembles a small pennant, which is typically a continuation pattern in bullish trends. Putting these clues together, the technical picture still favors the upside, with confirmation coming if price sustains above the 50.50–50.70 zone. If that happens, considering Silver’s recent momentum, we could easily see $55 as the next target in the coming week. As long as $49 remains intact, my plan stays simple — buy the dips. 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
12
TAO Analysis – Strength After the DropIn my last week’s TAO analysis, I mentioned that the coin remains bullish, with the $300 zone being an excellent buy area. Friday’s market-wide crash also hit TAO, but what followed was far more important. ________________________________________ 1. Reaction After the Drop • The decline stopped exactly at the previous support. • Price quickly recovered the $300 level, turning it back into support. • That support was retested and held again, confirming its strength. • Finally, TAO broke above resistance and even made a high above Friday’s top. ________________________________________ 2. Outlook All these are bullish confirmations of strength and resilience. If the broader market continues to stabilize, TAO could extend its move toward $500, followed by $700 as the next potential target zone. The outlook stays strongly bullish as long as $300 remains intact. ________________________________________ Conclusion: TAO continues to outperform and show real momentum. Support respected, resistance broken, buyers in control. 🚀
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Too Early to Buy Solana? Watch the $200–210 ZoneAs mentioned in my general crypto post yesterday, I remain bullish on the broader market and still hold some altcoins at this stage. However, that doesn’t mean we should jump in blindly, assuming this is it. Every setup needs confirmation — and Solana is no exception. At the time of writing, SOL/USD is trading close to my initial entry area, but price action deserves a closer look. 1. What Happened on Friday The general market sell-off pushed Solana below both a key horizontal support and the lower boundary of its rising channel — a clear bearish technical signal. After that, we saw a strong recovery into the weekend, with price touching the psychological $200 level overnight before facing some resistance. 2. Current Market Structure Despite the bounce, the structure remains bearish for now. A clean stabilization and acceptance above the $200–210 zone would be the first technical sign of a potential trend shift to the upside. 3. Trading Plan If you’re considering a long position on Solana, I believe it’s too early to enter. The market looks overconfident in recovery, and when everyone assumes “the bottom is in,” that’s often when a new drop comes. Wait for confirmation!
by Mihai_Iacob
ETH— What the 3500 Support Means and How I’m Trading ItExactly on Friday, just before the big drop, I bought ETH at 4300. Fortunately, I had a stop loss at 4150, which — of course — got triggered. But instead of frustration or searching for someone to blame, I took it like a trader should — accepted it, moved forward, and focused on what’s next. Because in trading, maturity starts where ego ends. Technical Picture Looking at the chart, after breaking the 4300 support line, ETH accelerated to the downside and found buyers around 3500. This level is not random — it’s defined by: 1. A major horizontal support 2. The ascending trendline from previous lows 3. And the psychological round number of 3500 Naturally, we saw an initial rebound from that area. Trading Plan If the market retests the 3500 zone, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities, targeting a potential retest of 4300. However — and this is crucial — my trade will be low-volume and protected by a tight stop. Why? Because while I believe this could be a turning point, so does everyone else. And when every retail trader sees the same thing, I trade carefully — because as we’ve all learned now, there’s no such thing as free money. Final Thought Discipline is not about winning every trade — it’s about staying rational when emotions scream louder than logic.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin's drop, opportunity in disguise?Yesterday’s move took me by surprise. I’ve been bullish on BTC and many altcoins, and without looking for excuses, I didn’t expect what happened last night (mine). The new tariff threats from Trump hit the markets like a hammer, triggering a sharp crypto selloff. So, the question is — is this the start of a more meaningful drop, or actually an opportunity in disguise? Looking at Bitcoin’s chart, price broke below the key 118k support zone, almost touching 108k, which I consider the real line in the sand. In my opinion, bear markets don’t start like this. This drop looks more like a liquidation event — a clean sweep that flushed out weak hands and overleveraged positions. If BTC dips under 110k again, I’ll be watching closely for buying opportunities. In the short term, at least a recovery toward 118k seems quite probable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
9