NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZDJPY tapped the discount zone inside horizontal demand after sweeping liquidity, signalling accumulation. If bullish order-flow sustains, expect a repricing toward the premium buy-side target above. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
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Signals
AUDUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.645.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.641 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPAUD Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.033.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.022.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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XAU/USD ANALYSIS 11/25/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is slightly weakening due to expectations that the FED will keep rates unchanged and may deliver more dovish signals in speeches this week.
• U.S. Stocks:
Wall Street inched higher last night, with the market leaning toward a risk-on sentiment, which usually weighs on gold. However, the gains were not strong → gold is not under heavy pressure.
• FED:
The FED continues to emphasize a “data-dependent” stance, but the market is starting to believe in the possibility of rate cuts in the coming months. This supports gold in the medium term.
• TRUMP Administration:
The new administration prioritizes economic recovery, deregulation, and tax cuts → which may stimulate the stock market, but geopolitical risks still linger → gold benefits whenever volatility rises.
• Gold ETF (SPDR):
SPDR has been buying and selling alternately with no clear trend. However, recent selling volume is not large → no major bearish pressure on gold. On Nov 24, the fund bought 0.29 tons—small, likely probing while waiting for upcoming news and market reactions.
b) Politics:
Tensions in the Middle East remain unresolved; additionally, U.S.–China trade competition still holds the potential for new conflicts → gold maintains its safe-haven appeal.
c) Market Sentiment:
The market is slightly risk-on, but within a narrow range and lacking strong momentum → reversal risks are always present.
The “waiting for FED this week” sentiment makes gold move more technically.
2. Technical Analysis:
The 30-minute timeframe gives extremely clear signals:
• Price has broken above the descending trendline extending from the Nov 17 high.
• A new uptrend (short- to medium-term) is forming.
• Extended targets if momentum holds: 4,244 – 4,276.
• RSI is in the mid-high zone but not overbought → still room for upside.
• MA20 has crossed above MA50 nicely, supporting the bullish trend.
Overall: Gold is likely retesting the breakout and continuing the upward trend.
RESISTANCE: 4,193 – 4,244 – 4,276
SUPPORT: 4,096 – 4,040 – 4,029 – 4,000
3. Previous Market Session:
• Gold surged strongly from the 4,040 zone, breaking the descending trendline and the ascending triangle.
• Price closed above all short-term EMAs → buying pressure dominates.
• Volume increased during the breakout → confirming the trend.
4. Strategy for Today (Nov 25, 2025):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4195 – 4193
SL: 4199
TP1: 4187
TP2: 4181
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4084 – 4086
SL: 4080
TP1: 4092
TP2: 4098
Latest Gold Update Today!Hey traders,
As we kick off this new week, XAUUSD is holding steady, hovering around the 4,050-dollar level with barely any noticeable volatility.
This calm price action comes as the market keeps a close eye on what the Federal Reserve plans to do next. More and more participants are expecting the Fed to shift toward a more dovish stance and potentially move closer to a rate cut by the end of the year. With bond yields slipping, the dollar gradually losing strength, and safe-haven demand picking back up, gold is getting a solid foundation for a possible short-term push higher.
From a technical standpoint, XAUUSD is tightening inside a triangle pattern — a classic setup that usually signals accumulation before a stronger impulsive move. If price manages to break above the upper boundary, the next target could stretch toward the 4,500-dollar region, supported by the strength of the previous bullish leg.
From my perspective, market sentiment is slowly leaning toward the buyers, especially if upcoming U.S. data continues to ease pressure on gold.
What about you? How do you see things playing out? Are you expecting more upside, or do you think a correction is coming?
Wishing you a smooth, confident, and profitable trading week ahead.
IMPP Imperial Petroleum Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought IMPP before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IMPP Imperial Petroleum prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 7usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2026-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
XAUUSD starting a new short-term Bullish LegGold (XAUUSD) is testing today once more its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Having held the Higher Lows trend-line two times already since the November 13 pull-back, a second break above the 4H MA50 can technically confirm a quick test of the Lower Highs trend-line of the Triangle. As a result, our short-term Target is 4180 (also just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
A closing above the Lower Highs trend-line, potentially means the emergence of a Channel Up (blue), in which case we will re-buy the first 4H pull-back and have a final Target at 4275 (the 0.786 Fib). Long-term we believe Gold is going to have a bearish 2026.
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GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has already rebounded from the rising trendline after clearing internal liquidity, showing renewed bullish order-flow. Expect continuation toward the horizontal buy-side liquidity above.Time Frame 5H.
Sell!
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USD-JPY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDJPY is tapping the horizontal supply after a sweep of internal liquidity, signaling distribution. If rejection confirms, expect a drop toward the next sell-side liquidity zone.
Time Frame 1H.
Sell!
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EURUSD Pullback Into 15min Orderblock Before Targeting LiquidityQuick Summary
EURUSD is expected to pull back into the 1.15191 15 Min orderblock, where a bullish reaction may form. If confirmed with a candle close and rejection signal, price may reverse upward toward the 1.15528 liquidity target on the H1 timeframe.
Full Analysis
Continuing the previous EURUSD outlook on the H4 timeframe, the pair is now approaching a notable orderblock around 1.15191. This zone has structural significance, as it aligns with the recent corrective leg and represents an area where institutional buying may reappear.
From a market-structure perspective, the movement toward this level appears corrective, suggesting that sellers may only be gathering liquidity before the next impulsive move higher. The market has a clear pool of targeted liquidity at 1.15528 on the H1 timeframe, making it a logical upside target if bullish orderflow resumes.
The preferred entry approach is a reaction from the 1.15191 orderblock, but only if the market provides proper confirmation. This includes a clear 15-minute candle close inside the zone, combined with a strong rejection signal, indicating that buyers are defending the level and absorbing sell-side liquidity.
If these confirmations align, the setup offers a clean continuation opportunity toward 1.15528, where liquidity rests above previous highs.
ADA/USDT | Cardano Slides to 0.38 and Bears Keep Pushing!By analyzing the CRYPTOCAP:ADA chart on the 3 day timeframe, we can see that price finally dropped to 0.38, which confirms the bearish pressure we talked about earlier. ADA is now trading near 0.40 and the chart still looks weak. Buyers are not showing real strength and momentum is clearly on the sellers’ side.
If the drop continues, the next downside target I am watching is 0.36. Make sure you monitor price reaction at this level.
From my perspective, the 0.32 to 0.36 zone is a possible long term accumulation area for investors who use proper risk management and do their own research (DYOR).
For now the bias stays bearish until ADA reclaims strong levels with real demand.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'.
Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000.
Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026?
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TRON below its 1W MA50 after 2.5 years! Is Bear Cycle confirmed?Tron (TRXUSD) closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 20 2023. Those +2.5 years it has been riding the new Bull Cycle within a Channel Up that peaked on the December 02 2024 1W candle, around the majority of the altcoin market.
The current 1W MA50 break seems similar to the December 13 2021 one that was also initiated after a 0.236 Fibonacci level rejection and confirmed the subsequent Bear Cycle. With the 1M RSI brutally falling below its MA, we believe the market may have again confirmed the new Bear Cycle and the next target (as then) is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
Our long-term projection for a Cycle bottom is the 0.786 Fib, unless the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) gets hit after August 2026. If not we believe the market may bottom around at least 0.16500, which is still a more optimistic scenario as it falls even above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the November 14 2022 (previous) bottom.
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BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 86,941.46.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 74,805.18 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 156.909.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 155.044 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURAUD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.785.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.777 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CADJPY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 111.244.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 112.283 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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90-91K POTENTIALLY INTERESTING FOR SELL.Morning folks,
So, our DRPO "Buy" pattern has failed. This shows is how strongly market depressed, and here we see non-market driving factors. Now we suggest that the really big game is ready to start. On weekly chart 2/3 parts of H&S is already in place. And it will be quite interesting to see what will happen in nearest 2-3 months.
In short-term, market has completed our 79K target on daily chart of the same downside AB-CD pattern. BTC is oversold now on all time frames. At the same time, the price shape here is not bullish - too slow and choppy. It's just a technical bounce. So, we think that 90-91K resistance area might be interesting for potential short entry with the minimum target around 84K - downside momentum on daily chart is rather strong.
Below 51, Silver Remains Heavy – Watching 47.50 Next1. What Happened After Last Week’s Call
As expected — and exactly as outlined in last week’s analysis — Silver reversed sharply from the sell zone above 52, dropping nearly 4,000 pips from that level.
This was a textbook reversal from resistance, confirming that the 52+ area is a major rejection zone for the metal.
After the drop:
- Price reclaimed the 49 support, showing short-term stabilization,
- But failed to regain the 50.50 zone, which was crucial for a genuine bullish recovery.
- Instead, Silver has now slipped into a sideways consolidation, showing hesitation and lack of strong buyers.
2. Current Market Context – Not the Same as Gold, but Still Bearish
While Silver’s structure is not identical to Gold’s, it shares the same underlying message:
➡️ The market is heavy, not neutral.
Key observations:
- The rebound lacked momentum.
- Every rally since the drop has been corrective, not impulsive.
- The failure at 50.50–51.00 confirms that sellers are still defending this zone aggressively.
This leaves Silver stuck under resistance with a bearish tone, despite the temporary bounce above 49.
3. Technical Outlook – Preparing for the Next Leg Down
Resistance zone:
50.50 – 51.00
This remains the decisive ceiling.
As long as Silver stays below this band, the market structure is bearish, and every rally into this area is a sell opportunity.
Support zone:
49.00
A key reference point.
If Silver breaks below 49 again, sellers will likely push aggressively.
Downside target:
47.50 zone
This is the next major support, and the most logical destination for a completed second leg down.
Given the current rhythm of the market, a drop into this zone is highly plausible if 49 gives way.
4. Trading Plan – Clear, Simple, Disciplined
- Sell rallies into 50.50–51.00 resistance
- More confirmation if price approaches 49 again
- If 49 breaks, expect a continuation toward 47.50
Bias changes only if Silver reclaims 51 with strong buying (low probability for now)
No need to overcomplicate this setup — the market is offering clear technical boundaries.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Coiled Spring at Key CrossroadsOANDA:XAUUSD price action has settled into a tense, range-bound struggle, repeatedly testing the ascending trendline that has defined its path since late October. This persistent retest is a double-edged sword: while it demonstrates underlying buying interest, it also signals exhaustion and a growing risk of failure. The market is now at a critical juncture where the next decisive move will determine the immediate direction. A close below this trendline would be a significant bearish signal, such a break often triggers a deeper corrective pullback to complete an ABC pattern. Conversely, a strong breakout above the recent lower high near $4,130 could reignite the bullish momentum and target the $4,200 resistance zone.
The broader structure on the 4-hour chart reveals a clear downward channel forming from the peak in mid-October, with price currently trapped between the channel’s upper boundary and the ascending trendline support. This creates a tightening triangle pattern, a classic consolidation formation that typically precedes a sharp, directional move. Key levels to watch are the immediate support around $4,020 and the more substantial monthly low near $3,930. The current corrective move phase suggests the market is digesting prior gains, and the upcoming catalyst—whether it’s a fundamental driver or pure technical exhaustion—will likely force a resolution. The repeated tests of resistance near $4,230 have so far been unsuccessful, reinforcing the view that bulls lack the conviction to push higher without a catalyst.
For us the strategy is simple: wait for the breakout. The neutral stance is warranted as long as price remains within the converging trendlines. A close below the ascending trendline would be a clear sell signal, targeting the $3,930 support area. On the flip side, a sustained move above $4,150, especially with increasing volume, would be a buy signal, opening the path toward $4,200 and potentially $4,300. Until then, the market is in a holding pattern, with the balance of power shifting with every candle. The key takeaway is that the longer price trades in this narrow range, the more explosive the eventual breakout is likely to be, making patience the most valuable tool for navigating the coming week.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD market after “Fed fever”, growth momentum is challengedOANDA:XAUUSD prices remain in the spotlight as the market has been experiencing a series of strong fluctuations following mixed signals from the Federal Reserve and labor data. However, developments show that the risk of price declines is increasing as the precious metal has repeatedly failed in its efforts to hold the $4,100/ounce area, the first resistance level of this year's hot period.
For most of 2025, gold has risen more than 55%, despite high bond yields and a strong dollar. But as the Fed’s final policy meeting approaches and the market lacks consensus on the path of interest rate cuts, the traditional correlation between gold, interest rates, and the dollar is returning. According to CME’s FedWatch, the market still expects a more than 70% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates next month, while economists maintain a more cautious assessment of only about 50/50.
This puts the upcoming economic data in a decisive position for both market expectations and gold’s stability in this trading week.
Fed’s Dovish Return: A Direct Impact on Gold’s Upward Momentum OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold settled in the first half of the week as demand for havens increased, while the ADP report showed that the private sector cut an average of 2,500 jobs per week in the four weeks to November 1.
The 4,000 USD/ounce level continues to be the key threshold determining the short-term trend, as the market is moving within a correction zone but has not yet broken the medium-term bullish structure.
Technical analysis and suggestions OANDA:XAUUSD
1. Price Structure & Overall Trend
• Price is still within the ascending channel that has extended since August, although the range has narrowed compared to October. The October peak around 4,128 USD acts as a major medium-term resistance.
• The current decline is still only a pullback within the uptrend, as long as price holds above 3,972 USD (Fib 0.382) and especially the 4,000 USD psychological & technical support.
2. Key Technical Zones
• Nearest resistance: 4,128 – 4,216 USD
(A strong resistance cluster where price has been repeatedly rejected in November.)
• Nearest support: 4,055 – 4,000 USD
(This zone aligns with Fib 0.382 and the short-term bottom.)
• Deeper supports:
3,846 USD (Fib 0.5) – Important for a deep pullback scenario
3,720 USD (Fib 0.618) – Reaction support in case of strong macro volatility
3. Price Momentum – RSI
• RSI has moved out of oversold territory but remains weak and has not re-established a bullish structure.
• The RSI-MA21 is flat → the market lacks strong momentum; sideways movement or a retest of the 4,000 USD zone is highly likely.
4. Short-Term Outlook (Next Week)
• Market bias: Neutral to slightly bearish, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
• Price is likely to retest 4,000 USD, then form one of two scenarios:
o Hold 4,000 → rebound to 4,128 – 4,216 USD
o Break 4,000 → drop to 3,972 – 3,846 USD
👉 Conclusion: 4,000 USD is the decisive level for the short-term trend.
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4102 - 4100⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4106
→Take Profit 1 4094
↨
→Take Profit 2 4088
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4016 - 4018⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4012
→Take Profit 1 4024
↨
→Take Profit 2 4030






















