Why This BTC Price Action Doesn’t Inspire ConfidenceIn my yesterday’s analysis, I raised a rhetorical question: I s Bitcoin in a corrective rebound, or are we witnessing a genuine upside reversal?
Even in my Sunday educational post, I mentioned that the whole “ great reset, now we go up ” narrative doesn’t resonate with how I view trading.
At the time of writing, BTC is down again around 112K, after touching once more the 110K support zone — almost like a second chance for those who missed the first dip.
However, this kind of price action is far from encouraging in my opinion.
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Technical Picture
• The price reversed before the 118K resistance, forming what can now be viewed as a lower high.
• If the 110K level breaks, the next obvious target remains 100K, both from a psychological and technical perspective.
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Trading Plan
My plan is to sell preferably around the recent high, aiming to position with the broader structure rather than chase short-term fluctuations.
BTC still needs to prove it can sustain an uptrend — until then, rallies look like selling opportunities rather than the start of a new bull leg.
Signalservice
Is This the End of the Insane Rally? (read before comment!)In my Sunday video, I argued that after Friday’s close it seemed likely that 4100 could be next for Gold — and indeed, Gold didn’t just stop there, it printed a new all-time high at 4180.
Yesterday, as usual, when I woke up Asia had already done its job — we’re used to that by now — and I found the price 400 pips higher. So, I simply watched.
However, last night, considering that after a 1500+ pip rally at least a correction could follow, I decided to take a short position — a very risky one, to be fair.
Luck (and timing) were on my side, and by the time of writing this post, the price already dipped under 4100, and my trade was closed with a +600 pip take profit.
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The Big Question:
Is Gold done with this insane rise?
In my opinion — yes, at least temporarily.
There’s no secret that the price is overstretched, and if we look carefully at the chart, the recent 4,000-pip rise is contained within an expanding triangle.
We saw a short-lived spike above the resistance of that triangle — and also above the ascending channel — followed by a strong 1,000-pip reversal in just two hours, clearly signaling heavy profit-taking.
At this moment, the price has stopped its descent around the horizontal level below 4100, and we’re seeing a technical rebound.
I plan to use this rebound as a new selling opportunity.
While my first short targeted the 4100 area, my second trade will aim for the 4050 zone, which coincides with last week’s all-time high and now acts as a key confluence support.
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Final Thoughts
Markets often humble us — and they do it with irony.
Although I'm very bullish on Gold overall, my last five trades have all been shorts.
And the irony? The results are more than satisfying:
✅ +550 pips
❌ -200 pips
➖ Break-even
✅ +350 pips
✅ +600 pips
That’s +1,300 pips profit from trading drops in a bullish market.
The market truly has a sense of humor. 😄
Lingrid | GOLD Retracement Entry Trend Continuation SetupThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD remains within its strong upward channel, rebounding each time from its dynamic trendline to form higher lows. The structure displays clear bullish momentum supported by consecutive range breakouts and sustained trend continuation. A stable hold above 4,050 could trigger a renewed rally toward 4,200 and possibly 4,250 resistance. The broader market structure confirms steady accumulation, keeping buyers in control of the short-term trend.
⚠️ Risks:
A break below 4,060 could weaken bullish pressure and lead to a deeper correction.
Rising U.S. yields or hawkish Fed Chair Powell commentary may limit upside momentum.
Unexpected macro data or geopolitical developments could cause short-term volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | AUDUSD Demand Zone Bounce OpportunityFX:AUDUSD extended its decline after a clear rejection from the resistance zone, breaking below both its upward channel and short-term support trendline. Price is now approaching the demand zone near 0.6430. A rejection and rebound above 0.6430 would confirm a short-term recovery setup as buyers attempt to regain control. Momentum currently leans corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a possible consolidation before any larger directional move.
⚠️ Risks:
Weakness in commodities or a stronger USD could delay recovery attempts.
Failure to hold 0.6430 may expose price to deeper losses.
Upcoming U.S. macro data could increase volatility across USD pairs.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | DOGEUSDT Range Bound Market AnticipatedThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OKX:DOGEUSDT dropped sharply after forming a lower high near the resistance trendline, confirming a clean breakdown from its triangle formation. The market is now consolidating near the support zone. A sustained hold above 0.180 could initiate a rebound toward 0.231 as momentum stabilizes. Recent volatility seems corrective in nature, implying that price may attempt a recovery once consolidation completes.
⚠️ Risks:
Broader market weakness could extend the correction phase.
Failure to hold 0.182 support may trigger deeper retracement.
Any negative crypto sentiment or BTC pullback could delay recovery.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
CAKE Analysis — Bulls Still in the GameIn my previous CAKE analysis, I mentioned that the coin could rise to at least 5 USD, following a breakout above the 1.5-year accumulation resistance.
That projection worked well, with CAKE reaching a high around 4.5 USD before entering what initially looked like a normal correction. However, Friday’s massive liquidation event turned that pullback into a sharp drop.
Yet, unlike many other altcoins that are still trading below their broken supports, CAKE showed an impressive recovery, quickly reclaiming the lost level. This kind of V-shaped recovery often signals strong underlying bullish pressure and confident buyers.
Technical outlook:
• Bias: Bullish again
• Key support: 3.00 USD (as long as price holds above, trend remains constructive)
• Target zone: 5.00 USD
• Strategy: Look for entry points near 3.00 USD or during healthy dips above that level
Momentum has shifted back to the bulls, and as long as 3 USD holds, the path of least resistance remains upward. 🚀
EURUSD Bears Still in Control – Rallies Are for SellingAs I explained before, my bias on EURUSD is bearish.
In yesterday’s DXY analysis, I mentioned that as long as the 98.60 zone remains intact, the U.S. Dollar Index has high chances to extend its rise toward 100.00.
That scenario is playing out perfectly so far.
Yesterday, EURUSD erased the entire Friday’s up move, falling back to its local support area. This type of reversal structure is typically seen in weak markets — when bullish attempts are quickly negated by strong selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, this is very bearish price action. The market keeps testing the same support level without any meaningful bounce, which usually leads to a breakdown rather than a reversal.
My strategy remains unchanged:
• Bias: Bearish
• Plan: Sell rallies
• Short-term view: Pressure remains on the downside
• Medium-term target: 1.1400, with respect for the 1.1500 psychological level
As long as DXY holds above 98.60, EURUSD should remain under pressure. The pair might consolidate briefly, but the broader structure still points lower.
Everyone’s Bullish Again… But Is Bitcoin Ready?As I explained in yesterday’s post , even though I want to stay bullish — partly because I still hold a bag of altcoins — the overconfidence across the market makes me cautious.
Everyone seems convinced that “the bottom is in.” and history tells us that when sentiment becomes one-sided, it’s often premature.
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1. Recent Price Action
Bitcoin indeed reversed from a key support zone and managed to recover part of Friday’s losses.
However, so far, this looks more like a technical rebound than a return of genuine buying power.
Momentum remains fragile, and price is still struggling.
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2. Key Technical Levels
• Resistance: The $118K horizontal level followed by the $120K psychological barrier remain decisive.
Only a clear breakout above these zones would signal renewed bullish control.
• Support: On the downside, failure to hold above $110K would likely trigger a new leg lower, erasing the recent optimism.
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3. Outlook
The structure is neutral-to-bearish until Bitcoin confirms strength above $118K–$120K.
Until then, this bounce should be treated as a reaction, not a reversal.
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Bottom line:
I still want to be bullish — but I’ll follow the chart, not the crowd.
Confirmation first, conviction later. 🚀
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Dip-Buying Dominance ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD market delivered another impressive performance this week, decisively pushing through the psychologically significant $4,000 threshold. While this round number naturally attracts considerable market attention, seasoned traders recognize it as simply another milestone in gold's broader trajectory rather than a definitive ceiling.
What's particularly noteworthy is the dramatic increase in market volatility. Recent weeks have demonstrated a pattern where pullbacks averaging around 2% are consistently followed by rallies exceeding 4.5%. This asymmetric price action—where advances substantially outpace corrections—reveals strong underlying bullish momentum and aggressive buying on dips. The market may easily absorb a 2.8% pullback before staging another robust recovery, reinforcing this established rhythm.
Price action shows gold trading within a well-defined upward channel, with price respecting both the lower trendline support near $3,950 and approaching the upper resistance zone around $4,100. The all-time high formation near $4,060 marked a crucial peak, and current consolidation below this level suggests the market is building energy for the next directional move.
Key support remains anchored around $3,950, while the upward channel structure indicates potential targets extending into the $4,100-$4,200 range. The combination of persistent bullish momentum, widening volatility swings, and successful defense of higher lows points to a market that's far from exhausted. We should watch for either a breakout above $4,060 toward the target area or a retest of channel support before the next advance materializes.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | EURUSD Resistance Rejection: Bearish ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:EURUSD continues to slide after rejecting the 1.1700 resistance and failing to maintain consolidation highs. Price action shows a break below the midrange structure, confirming bearish momentum within the descending setup. The pair now tests the upward trendline, with potential to revisit the 1.1545 support if 1.1680 remains unbroken. Overall, market sentiment suggests a controlled downside correction as traders position for deeper pullback phases.
⚠️ Risks:
A break back above 1.1680 could invalidate the bearish structure.
Dollar weakness driven by macro data may fuel short-covering.
Unexpected ECB policy comments could trigger sharp volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 58.884Colleagues, it appears that the downward movement is not over and I see several reasons to continue to look short.
The higher order wave “C” is looking to complete the correction and I expect the start of the middle order wave “3” to see the low update and reach the support area at 58.884.
Fundamental context
Oil remains under pressure as supply increases and demand outlook weakens. OPEC+ decided to slightly raise output for November, while U.S. inventories keep growing. Crude lost about 8% last week, and EIA now expects lower prices by the end of the year — all of which supports the idea of a continued downside move within wave “3” toward the 58.884 support area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Sharp Drop Creates Buying OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:BTCUSDT rebounded sharply from the 102,100 support level after a flash crash, signaling renewed demand near structural lows. Price action remains inside a wide consolidation range, with the 119,500 target acting as a key resistance level. A sustained price movement above the trendline could confirm recovery momentum toward ATH at 125,000. The flash crash likely shook out weak hands before market stabilization and potential re-accumulation.
⚠️ Risks:
Another liquidity flush below 108,000 could trigger panic selling.
Broader risk-off sentiment across crypto could delay recovery.
Failure to reclaim 119,500 may reinforce short-term bearish pressure.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to support area of 6646 .Colleagues, in the last forecast I was counting on price reaching the 6550 area, but that plan turned out to be a long term plan. I see the sense in making some shorter term targets.
The closest target I see is the 6646 support area, where wave “4” ends. This is a corrective movement, so it is necessary to realize that the price may continue to fall after reaching the target.
Fundamental context
U.S. inflation remains elevated — CPI rose to about 2.9 % YoY, with core inflation around 3.1 %. At the same time, the labor market continues to cool, and corporate earnings show mixed results. Combined with the Fed’s cautious stance and ongoing fiscal uncertainty, this creates pressure on the stock market.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DXY Analysis – Bullish Structure Still IntactIn my latest DXY analysis, I mentioned that the 100.00 level remains the next key target for the U.S. Dollar Index.
After an initial push higher to 99.55, the index faced some selling pressure and is now trading slightly below 99.00.
However, the constructive bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 99.60 support zone.
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1. Technical Context
• The recent pullback looks more like a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal.
• The higher-lows pattern remains valid, keeping the bullish momentum alive.
• The 99.60 area now acts as a key pivot zone — holding above it favors a renewed push toward 100.00.
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2. Trading Implications
Given this setup, selling rallies in EUR/USD and GBP/USD remains the preferred strategy, as both pairs are likely to face renewed dollar strength once DXY resumes its upward leg.
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In short:
The Dollar Index remains bullish.
As long as 99.60 holds, the path of least resistance stays upward — and 100 remains on the radar. 🚀
Silver: New ATH, Sharp Pullback, and What Comes NextLast week, something traders had been waiting for finally happened — Silver reached a new all-time high, touching 51.30 before a strong 3,000-pip selloff followed.
However, looking closely at the chart, we can see that this decline stopped precisely at the confluence of horizontal support and the ascending channel’s lower boundary — a technical level that often attracts renewed buying interest.
In my Friday’s analysis, I mentioned that although Silver looked very strong, traders should watch the ATH zone and the channel’s upper resistance for potential pullbacks. Indeed, XAGUSD reacted exactly from that area and corrected lower.
Now, things get very interesting:
1. Strong demand near $50 – Despite the initial drop on Friday, Silver built a solid floor just under the 50 level, suggesting that buyers remain in control and the recent ATH might just be a prelude to new highs.
2. Holding above the median line – The price is hovering around the channel’s midline without testing the lower boundary, a clear sign of underlying strength.
3. Potential pennant formation – Although not perfectly shaped, the price action since Thursday resembles a small pennant, which is typically a continuation pattern in bullish trends.
Putting these clues together, the technical picture still favors the upside, with confirmation coming if price sustains above the 50.50–50.70 zone.
If that happens, considering Silver’s recent momentum, we could easily see $55 as the next target in the coming week.
As long as $49 remains intact, my plan stays simple — buy the dips. 🚀
TAO Analysis – Strength After the DropIn my last week’s TAO analysis, I mentioned that the coin remains bullish, with the $300 zone being an excellent buy area.
Friday’s market-wide crash also hit TAO, but what followed was far more important.
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1. Reaction After the Drop
• The decline stopped exactly at the previous support.
• Price quickly recovered the $300 level, turning it back into support.
• That support was retested and held again, confirming its strength.
• Finally, TAO broke above resistance and even made a high above Friday’s top.
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2. Outlook
All these are bullish confirmations of strength and resilience.
If the broader market continues to stabilize, TAO could extend its move toward $500, followed by $700 as the next potential target zone.
The outlook stays strongly bullish as long as $300 remains intact.
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Conclusion:
TAO continues to outperform and show real momentum.
Support respected, resistance broken, buyers in control. 🚀
Too Early to Buy Solana? Watch the $200–210 ZoneAs mentioned in my general crypto post yesterday, I remain bullish on the broader market and still hold some altcoins at this stage.
However, that doesn’t mean we should jump in blindly, assuming this is it.
Every setup needs confirmation — and Solana is no exception.
At the time of writing, SOL/USD is trading close to my initial entry area, but price action deserves a closer look.
1. What Happened on Friday
The general market sell-off pushed Solana below both a key horizontal support and the lower boundary of its rising channel — a clear bearish technical signal.
After that, we saw a strong recovery into the weekend, with price touching the psychological $200 level overnight before facing some resistance.
2. Current Market Structure
Despite the bounce, the structure remains bearish for now.
A clean stabilization and acceptance above the $200–210 zone would be the first technical sign of a potential trend shift to the upside.
3. Trading Plan
If you’re considering a long position on Solana, I believe it’s too early to enter.
The market looks overconfident in recovery, and when everyone assumes “the bottom is in,” that’s often when a new drop comes.
Wait for confirmation!
ETH— What the 3500 Support Means and How I’m Trading ItExactly on Friday, just before the big drop, I bought ETH at 4300.
Fortunately, I had a stop loss at 4150, which — of course — got triggered.
But instead of frustration or searching for someone to blame, I took it like a trader should — accepted it, moved forward, and focused on what’s next. Because in trading, maturity starts where ego ends.
Technical Picture
Looking at the chart, after breaking the 4300 support line, ETH accelerated to the downside and found buyers around 3500.
This level is not random — it’s defined by:
1. A major horizontal support
2. The ascending trendline from previous lows
3. And the psychological round number of 3500
Naturally, we saw an initial rebound from that area.
Trading Plan
If the market retests the 3500 zone, I’ll be looking for buying opportunities, targeting a potential retest of 4300.
However — and this is crucial — my trade will be low-volume and protected by a tight stop.
Why? Because while I believe this could be a turning point, so does everyone else.
And when every retail trader sees the same thing, I trade carefully — because as we’ve all learned now, there’s no such thing as free money.
Final Thought
Discipline is not about winning every trade — it’s about staying rational when emotions scream louder than logic.
Lingrid | TRXUSDT Market Disruption Sideways Period LikelyBINANCE:TRXUSDT is consolidating under pressure after a sharp rejection from 0.3277, sustaining its bearish structure inside the downward channel. The chart reflects a sequence of lower highs, aligning with continued seller dominance and weak momentum. A short-term bounce toward 0.3277 could precede another drop toward the 0.3000 buying area. Broader picture suggest markets will go sideways for a while because after shock prices consolidates.
⚠️ Risks:
A confirmed close above 0.3277 could shift bias to neutral.
Bitcoin recovery may pull altcoins higher temporarily.
Sudden sentiment shifts from global macro events could trigger volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Bitcoin's drop, opportunity in disguise?Yesterday’s move took me by surprise.
I’ve been bullish on BTC and many altcoins, and without looking for excuses, I didn’t expect what happened last night (mine). The new tariff threats from Trump hit the markets like a hammer, triggering a sharp crypto selloff.
So, the question is — is this the start of a more meaningful drop, or actually an opportunity in disguise?
Looking at Bitcoin’s chart, price broke below the key 118k support zone, almost touching 108k, which I consider the real line in the sand.
In my opinion, bear markets don’t start like this. This drop looks more like a liquidation event — a clean sweep that flushed out weak hands and overleveraged positions.
If BTC dips under 110k again, I’ll be watching closely for buying opportunities. In the short term, at least a recovery toward 118k seems quite probable.
ETH Correction Complete? Bullish Setup Reemerges As I mentioned in my previous ETH analysis, while my medium-term outlook remains bullish, I was anticipating a short-term correction.
That’s exactly what unfolded. After retesting the 4750 resistance zone, Ethereum began to retrace, reaching the support area just below 4300 earlier today.
Currently, the price is rebounding, and there’s a strong probability that the corrective phase has ended.
I’m now looking to re-enter long, as even a move back to the recent highs could offer a 1:2.5 risk–reward setup — a solid short-term opportunity within the broader bullish structure.
New Silver ATH, Sharp Drop, Strong Rebound – What’s Next?Yesterday:
Silver finally made a new All-Time High, a moment that many precious metal traders have been waiting for.
After touching the 51.20 zone, price also experienced a sharp drop, similar to what we saw in Gold.
However — the situation here is notably different.
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Key Technical Observations
1. Support Retest, Not Overlap:
The recent drop found support on a horizontal level that acted as strong resistance earlier this week.
Unlike Gold, the structure didn’t overlap — a clear technical advantage.
2. Bullish Structure Intact:
The correction remained above the ascending channel’s support line, meaning Silver never exited its bullish formation — another plus point.
3. Strong Rebound:
At the time of writing, Silver is showing a solid recovery, reclaiming both the 50.00 level and the median line of the channel — a third technical confirmation of strength.
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Trading Bias
Unlike Gold, my bias on Silver is bullish in the short term now.
If Gold manages to rebound above 4,000, as I expect in the short term, there’s a high probability that Silver will print a new ATH.
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Key Level to Watch
I’ll be watching closely the upper boundary of the channel and yesterday’s high.
Since I’m currently out of the market and late to join the bullish leg, I’ll wait for price action to show its hand.
If signs of weakness appear in that zone, I’ll consider short opportunities, targeting yesterday’s low.
Until then — it’s a wait-and-see approach.
Lingrid | GOLD Bullish Trend Extension OpportunityOANDA:XAUUSD remains in a strong bullish structure, holding above the confluence zone near 3,940 and respecting the upward trendline. Price action forms higher highs inside the ascending channel, suggesting continuation toward the 4,055–4,100 resistance zone in the mid-term. As long as 3,940 holds as support, the next leg toward the 4055 target remains valid. Broader trend momentum confirms sustained buying pressure aligned with the overall bullish trajectory.
⚠️ Risks:
A close below 3,940 could invalidate the bullish continuation setup.
Sudden shifts in U.S. economic data or Treasury yields may strengthen the dollar.
Market reaction to inflation-related announcements could trigger short-term volatility.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!