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GBP/NZD: Smart Money Flows Back Into Sterling🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) British Pound (GBP) Non-commercial longs: 84,500 (+3,704) Non-commercial shorts: 86,464 (−912) → Institutions increased long exposure and trimmed shorts → signaling renewed bullish interest in the pound. New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Non-commercial longs: 12,295 (+3,044) Non-commercial shorts: 33,415 (+6,160) → Both positions increased, but the stronger rise in shorts suggests a bearish institutional sentiment on the NZD. Institutional flow supports GBP strength and NZD weakness → overall bullish bias on GBP/NZD. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 69% short / 31% long 📌 Retail traders are heavily short — a contrarian bullish signal aligned with the COT positioning. 🔹 Seasonality British Pound (GBP): October is historically neutral to slightly positive (+0.2% to +0.4% on average over 5–10 years). New Zealand Dollar (NZD): October shows mild positivity in the short term (2–5 years) but turns neutral/negative over 10–20 years. 📌 Seasonal takeaway: slight divergence, but GBP retains the upper hand in the medium term. 🔹 Price Action Price remains within a rising channel, testing the dynamic support around 2.3050–2.3100. After a pullback from the 2.3450–2.3550 supply zone, price is now reacting from the channel’s lower boundary. RSI is neutral but showing potential for a technical rebound. 🎯 Main Scenario: A pullback around 2.3100–2.3150 could provide a new long opportunity toward 2.3500–2.3600, with extension to 2.3800. ⚙️ Invalidation: daily close below 2.2950. 🔹 Trading Outlook Primary Bias: Bullish Confluences: COT → Institutions long GBP, short NZD Sentiment → Retail excessively short = contrarian long Seasonality → Favors GBP Price Action → Rising channel structure still valid 🎯 Technical Target: 2.3500 → 2.3800 🚫 Invalidation: below 2.2950
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
GOLD Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! GOLD SMC based setup forming after price mitigated the horizontal supply area and showed clear rejection. Smart money is likely offloading long positions here before targeting liquidity below recent equal lows. ------------------- Stop Loss: 4,188$ Take Profit: 4,093$ Entry: 4,139$ Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
EURUSD Review October 23 2025Short-term price movement ideas. The price has tested the weekly zone of interest, and from there we received confirmations on the daily chart in the form of a short FVG. This zone currently serves as the main area for short setups. Inside it, there is a 4H trigger — after its sweep and confirmation on a lower timeframe, short positions can be considered with the target of taking out the previous low. However, if we receive confirmations directly on the 4H chart, we can then aim for the weekly low. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
Price Doesn’t Move Randomly: It Hunts Liquidity1. Introduction Every trader starts by learning “supply and demand.” Sounds logical: buyers push price up, sellers push it down. But that’s not how it really works. Price doesn’t move because of demand. It moves toward liquidity — where orders exist. The market’s goal is simple: find liquidity, fill it, and move on. 2. What Is Liquidity? Liquidity is the pool of pending orders sitting on the chart — stop losses, limit orders, and resting positions. Think of them as magnets. Above highs: stop losses from shorts. Below lows: stop losses from longs. Around major levels: limit orders waiting to be filled. Institutions and large players can’t just “market buy” or “market sell” huge positions — they need liquidity to fill them efficiently. So, price hunts it. 3. The Game of Stop Hunts You see it all the time: A breakout above resistance → instant reversal. A sweep below support → immediate bounce. That’s not coincidence — that’s a liquidity grab. Big players push price to trigger stop losses, collect those orders, and then reverse in the true direction. Retail traders call it “manipulation.” Smart traders call it “the business model.” 4. How to Read It Stop focusing on predicting direction — start identifying where liquidity sits. Look for: Equal highs/lows → obvious stop clusters. Clean levels that everyone sees → perfect trap zones. FVGs or inefficiencies → likely rebalance points post-hunt. Instead of asking “where will it go,” ask “who’s trapped?” 5. Takeaway The market isn’t random. It’s strategic. Every wick, every fake breakout, every stop hit — it all serves one purpose: to find liquidity. Stop trying to predict the next candle. Start understanding why the candle exists. Price hunts liquidity — not logic.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Crypto_Meehow
EURUSD | Key Zone Reaction SetupMonitoring a potential reaction at the marked zone on the 15-minute chart. The setup remains valid only if price leaves a wick into the zone and closes below it, confirming rejection. Execution will occur on the next candle, even with a slight (1 pip) move in my direction. Stop-loss: above the wick. Take-profit: the marked low. Precision. Patience. Execution. That’s the blueprint behind every setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Short
by bluewolf_trades
AUD-CAD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUDCAD Price has tapped into a horizontal demand area where smart money buyers are likely positioned. A potential bullish reaction could follow as liquidity gets absorbed from the previous lows. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.9059 Take Profit: 0.9079 Entry: 0.9068 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
NZDUSD Review October 22 2025Short-term price movement ideas. The price has fully played out according to yesterday’s scenario, and we have now reached the nearest area of interest — from which further downside movement can be expected in the form of a weekly FVG. During the FVG test, we also saw a daily liquidity sweep that has already been partially confirmed on the 4H timeframe. From here, we should expect either a 4H structure break or a retest of the already-formed area of interest with confirmation on a lower timeframe, in order to consider opening a short position. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
NATGAS Short From Supply Area! Sell! b]Hello,Traders! NATGAS is approaching a major horizontal supply area, where strong selling pressure may reappear. A rejection from this zone could trigger a short-term correction toward lower liquidity pools. Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TopTradingSignals
3
EUR/USD: Technical Rebound in Progress — Watch 1.1550🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro (EUR) Non-commercial longs: 252,472 (−789) Non-commercial shorts: 138,127 (+2,625) → Institutions are reducing long exposure and adding shorts, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum on the euro. US Dollar Index (DXY) Non-commercial longs: 14,032 (+1,541) Non-commercial shorts: 24,376 (−1,009) → Institutions are adding longs and cutting shorts, reflecting growing confidence in the USD. Institutional flows confirm a bearish bias on EUR/USD, with strengthening USD sentiment and mild euro weakness. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 50% short / 50% long Market sentiment is perfectly balanced — a neutral retail positioning indicating no clear contrarian signal, consistent with a possible short-term consolidation phase. 🔹 Seasonality Historically, October tends to be neutral to slightly negative for EUR/USD (−0.2% to −0.5% on 10–20-year averages). Shorter cycles (2–5 years) show minor positive returns, suggesting that any rebound may be temporary within a broader bearish structure. Slight downside bias, with potential for short-term corrective upside. 🔹 Price Action EUR/USD recently reacted from the 1.1530–1.1550 demand zone, showing signs of short-term accumulation. The descending channel has been broken to the upside, and price is now retesting the previous mid-range support (1.1600–1.1620). RSI remains neutral but shows a gradual bullish divergence building at the lows. 🎯 Main Scenario: If 1.1600–1.1620 holds as support, a short-term bullish leg toward 1.1710–1.1780 (former supply area) is possible. Invalidation: daily close below 1.1550, which would reopen downside toward 1.1500.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
EUR-GBP Local Short! Sell! Hello, Traders! EURGBP tapped a key supply area after a liquidity grab, signaling potential smart money distribution. Expect bearish reaction and continuation toward the target level as price seeks balance after inefficiency. Time Frame 3H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
USD-CAD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! USDCAD Price is reacting from a well-defined horizontal demand area where previous sell-side liquidity was swept. Smart money may now be accumulating long positions for a bullish push toward the next liquidity pool. ------------------- Stop Loss: 1.3975 Take Profit: 1.4020 Entry: 1.3995 Time Frame: 3H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
1