CAD_CHF STRONG SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅CAD_CHF will be retesting a support
Level soon around 0.5920
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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Smartmoney
Price returned. I was already waitingThis wasn’t a pullback — it was a reset. And Smart Money doesn’t chase price. It sets traps. This is one of them.
Breakdown:
SOL delivered into a confluence zone where multiple models align:
Daily FVG overlaps perfectly with a 4H Order Block
0.5 fib retracement (141.82) tagging the midpoint of the prior expansion leg
Volatility spike? Engineered. Not reactive.
Retail is shaken. I’m composed. This is the zone you mark before price even gets there — because when it does, you don’t hesitate.
Trade logic:
Entry: 141.8–146.0 (inside D FVG + 4H OB)
SL: Below the 0.618 fib / 130.8 invalidation
TP1: 152.8 (0.382)
TP2: 166.4 (0.236)
Final draw: 188.4 — full inefficiency fill and premium rebalance
This isn’t about hitting every level. It’s about understanding why these levels matter. Structure tells the story. The fib just refines the sentence.
Final words:
“Smart Money doesn’t trade the reaction. It trades the setup that creates it.”
Massive GBP/USD Reversal Ahead? Head & Shoulders FormationGBP/USD is at a critical technical juncture following a sharp bullish impulse that pushed the pair above the 1.34 handle, printing a strong weekly bullish engulfing candle and breaking out of a multi-week consolidation zone. This move unfolded in a macro context where the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness, with Non-Commercial net long positions dropping drastically—from around 20,000 to less than 5,000 contracts. This shift points to a fading speculative appetite for the dollar, historically a leading indicator of upcoming corrective phases or broader declines in the DXY.
On the flip side, the Commitments of Traders (COT) report on the British Pound reveals that Non-Commercials (typically hedge funds and asset managers) remain net long on GBP, with a slight increase week-over-week. However, Commercials (generally institutions and hedgers) have aggressively built up a significant net short position—levels that in the past preceded major reversals on the pair. This divergence between speculators and institutional hedgers suggests short-term bullish potential, but with rising risk of exhaustion near current resistance levels.
Adding fuel to this outlook is the retail sentiment: approximately 63% of retail traders are currently short GBP/USD, with an average entry price around 1.3021. This kind of retail crowd positioning, typically inefficient from a historical perspective, adds contrarian support for further upside, as long as price holds above the 1.3340 structure.
From a seasonality perspective, June tends to be a mildly bullish-to-sideways month for GBP/USD, especially when looking at the 10- and 15-year seasonal averages. While the seasonal bias is not particularly strong, there’s also no statistical downward pressure this time of year, leaving room for technically-driven moves influenced by liquidity and sentiment rather than macro patterns alone.
On the technical front, the daily chart shows a steep rally capped by a large green candle on Monday, breaking cleanly through the 1.34 resistance zone. The price is now hovering inside a key supply area between 1.3499 and 1.3550—a historically reactive zone that has triggered major rejections in previous months. How price reacts here will likely shape the next major swing. A confirmed breakout and consolidation above 1.3550 would open the door for an extension toward 1.37–1.3750. Conversely, a sharp rejection followed by a break below 1.3412—and especially under 1.3340—would set the stage for a deeper correction toward 1.3170.
The RSI is currently showing early signs of momentum loss, although no strong bearish divergence has emerged yet. This implies that the pair could still fuel another push higher before running out of steam—possibly forming the right shoulder of a head & shoulders pattern if the rejection scenario plays out.
GBPCHF: Long Trade Explained
GBPCHF
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPCHF
Entry - 1.1005
Sl - 1.0971
Tp - 1.1064
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURAUD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
EURAUD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell EURAUD
Entry Level - 1.7760
Sl - 1.7819
Tp - 1.7660
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Price collapsed. I didn’t flinch. Here’s whyThat wick didn’t scare me — it confirmed the setup. Volume spiked, price swept an equal low, and printed the reaction I was waiting for.
The logic:
Clean FVG formed on the drop
Price returned to rebalance
Reaction from that FVG confirms Smart Money intent
It’s not about chasing the reversal — it’s about understanding the anatomy of one. And that’s exactly what just unfolded here.
Below price? An untouched EQ level. Above? A full inefficiency gap into 0.99. That’s the delivery map.
Trade framework:
Re-entry: Into the FVG zone (~0.825–0.807)
SL: Below EQ (~0.79)
TP1: 0.91 POC sweep
Final objective: Full push into 0.99
This isn't hype. This is precision. You don't need magic indicators when price gives you the story in volume and imbalance.
Final words:
“I don’t chase the move. I identify where it started — and wait for it to return.”
You were warned. Now it’s runningThis was the second test into the FVG + 4H OB confluence. High volume candle. Wicking liquidity. And structure still intact.
Why I stayed calm:
Price didn't just drop — it delivered into a known rebalance zone. That 0.176–0.178 box was a magnet, not a mystery.
The reaction came right on cue:
Volume confirmed interest
Structure stayed intact
And the engine kicked in right after the sweep
Now? The play isn’t about guessing the top. It’s about knowing where price is drawn — and why.
Play-by-play logic:
4H OB provided the base
FVG gave the imbalance
Reaction zone created a clean entry
TP target? +18% mapped to 0.21
I didn’t enter on emotion. I positioned based on structure. That’s why it’s already moving while others still think it needs “confirmation.”
Final words:
“You don’t need hindsight when your foresight is built on logic.”
BTCUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy BTCUSD
Entry Level - 10515
Sl - 10370
Tp - 10771
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart)
Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak).
The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again.
A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence).
Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion.
📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025)
GBP (British Pound)
Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial).
Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest.
Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts.
Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling.
Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long).
➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback).
📉 3. Retail Sentiment
72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2.
Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred.
The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation.
➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs.
📅 4. Seasonality
June tends to be neutral to bearish:
5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain)
10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30%
Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure.
🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence
The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term.
The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement.
Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest.
🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish)
Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection.
Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair.
Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4.
Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.
AUDUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
Looking at the chart of AUDUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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Three taps. One trap. I entered on the fourth.This was engineered. Price printed a clean triple top — classic liquidity bait. Retail saw resistance. I saw intention.
Setup logic:
We had multiple 4H FVGs and a refined Order Block sitting directly under that equal high setup. Price didn’t just fall — it delivered into confluence. That’s the difference between volatility and purpose.
The entry came right off the lower FVG sweep — rejecting from the midpoint of the OB with precision. No randomness. No confusion. Just Smart Money stacking positions while the crowd waited for a ‘breakout.’
Here’s how I see it:
Current PA is hovering inside the 4H OB, with the reaction candle holding
First sign of strength: reclaim 2.26–2.28
Above that, price will hunt the triple top zone — clean liquidity sitting near 2.35
Expectation:
Entry: ~2.24–2.25
SL: Below the 4H FVG (2.20 invalidation)
TP1: Liquidity sweep of 2.35
TP2: Breakout expansion toward 2.42+
If we lose the lower FVG? I wait again — but not from emotion, from structure.
Final thought:
“Liquidity doesn’t resist price — it attracts it. Learn the difference.”
This isn’t a breakout. It’s a setup.ETH has been coiling under this level for weeks. While most watch for breakout confirmation — I’ve already mapped the reaccumulation narrative.
The structure:
Price delivered cleanly off a Daily OB and is now grinding through prior inefficiencies. Multiple D FVGs stack just beneath the current zone — not noise, not gaps — these are algorithmic footprints.
Below price? A refined Daily Order Block at 2558, paired with stacked inefficiencies all the way to 2392. That’s the reload zone if price wants to run it deeper.
But the key here is this: price is compressing under draw-level FVGs. Every candle is building imbalance. Every wick is a test. This isn't weakness — it's staging.
Scenario 1:
Minor pullback into local D FVG cluster
Hold above 2580–2600
Reprice into 3030 FVG
Final objective: 3434 sweep and delivery into premium inefficiency (3650+)
Scenario 2:
Sweep below 2580 into full OB at 2558
Sharp rejection
Acceleration through D FVGs above
Mindset:
You don’t chase moves. You wait where Smart Money builds. This isn’t about predicting pumps — it’s about positioning before they become obvious.
“Structure doesn’t lie. Price just tells you who’s in control.”
While they panic at 0.618, I loadThis is the type of setup that filters out noise traders. Four-hour price delivered into a stacked FVG zone — aligned with equilibrium, and structured to reprice.
Here’s the logic:
After taking out short-term highs near 111.9k, price repriced sharply — not randomly, but with algorithmic precision — into a series of untouched 240min FVGs.
Price tapped the upper imbalance, hovered at the 0.618 fib retrace (107.3k), and held. That’s not weakness. That’s orderflow.
Below this sits the final FVG + golden 0.786 (106.4k) and round number zone near 105.2k. That’s your invalidation layer. Anything inside it? Still Smart Money accumulation.
Above? The draw remains clear: inefficiency fill to 110.6k and liquidity resting above 111.9k.
My framework:
Bias: Bullish unless 105.2k gets violated with intent
Entry: 107.3k–106.4k
TP1: 108.5k (fib 0.382)
TP2: 110.6k (inefficiency fill)
Final objective: 111.9k raid
Volume confirms the handoff — sellers are trapped chasing the leg, Smart Money has already shifted to accumulation.
Final thought:
I don’t wait for signals. I wait for price to make sense. And here, it’s giving every reason to load.
“Fear at 0.618 is the edge of amateurs. Patience at imbalance is where precision lives.”
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
EURUSD: Bulls Will Push Higher
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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TESLA Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA went up from the
Horizontal support but has
Hit a horizontal resistance
Of 335$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A further local move down today
Sell!
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Every breakdown is just a setup — if you know where the reaccumuPrice collapsed. But I didn’t flinch. Because beneath that move sits something most won’t look for: High-Volume Rebalancing (H RB), paired with a clean FVG structure that tells me exactly where Smart Money wants to reload.
The structure:
The breakdown into ~2483 wasn’t just a move — it was intentional. That candle didn’t just fall, it delivered into the H RB zone and paused. Below that? Nothing but inefficient space and a tightly engineered low.
Above? Three clear target zones:
TP1: 2528
TP2 : 2582
TP3: 2656
Final objective: 2762 — the origin of the final collapse
Every leg above is engineered to grab liquidity, rebalance inefficiency, and then clear out the next range. It’s a chain of fulfillment.
The trade:
Entry: 2483–2500 zone
SL: Below the H RB zone (~2470)
TP1: 2528
TP2: 2582
TP3: 2656
Optional extension: 2762
We aren’t buying because it’s “down.” We’re executing because it’s deliberate.
Final thought:
“Collapse isn’t the end. It’s the invitation.”
SILVER: Short Trade Explained
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 36.320
Stop Loss - 36.874
Take Profit - 35.158
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GBPNZD: Bears Will Push Lower
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPNZD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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SPY: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the SPY chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to go up due to the rising pressure from the buyers.
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AUD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅AUD_CHF has retested a resistance level of 0.5290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a confirmation
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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CHF_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday
LONG🚀
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AUD-JPY Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY made a retest
A wide horizontal resistance
Around 93.900 from where
We are already seeing a
Local bearish pullback so
We will be expecting
A further bearish move
Down on Monday
Sell!
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