NZD/USD Ready to Explode? The Smart Money Is Making a MoveBias: Bullish Bounce from Key Demand Zone
NZD/USD is testing a strong confluence zone:
Long-term ascending trendline support
Weekly demand area between 0.5890 and 0.5940
Bullish RSI divergence near oversold conditions
The triple rejection wicks signal strong demand around 0.5900, suggesting a possible reversal toward the 0.6020–0.6050 resistance area.
🧠 COT Insight:
NZD: Non-commercial traders added +669 long contracts and reduced shorts by -102 → net bullish shift
USD: Net short exposure increases; total non-commercial shorts now exceed longs by ~4000 contracts
Implication: institutions are rotating into NZD while trimming USD exposure
📊 Sentiment:
86% of retail traders are long NZD/USD → retail sentiment is heavily skewed
This could delay or limit upside as smart money often moves counter to retail positions
📅 Seasonality (July):
July has historically been a bullish month for NZD/USD across all reference windows (20Y, 15Y, 10Y, 5Y, 2Y)
Average July return consistently positive → adds conviction to bullish thesis
🗺 Outlook:
If the zone at 0.5880–0.5920 holds, price may bounce toward 0.6020–0.6050.
Break below would invalidate structure and expose 0.5850 and then 0.5780.
Smartmoney
18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play
Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep?
🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights
Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game:
Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation.
Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling.
Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria.
EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down.
💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend.
📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play
Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction.
For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3312
Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+
⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
Stop Loss: 3370
Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
⚠️ Final Notes
Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL.
🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
Gold 15-Min Chart Analysis Alert!Gold has successfully broken above the descending trendline, showing early signs of bullish momentum. Price has reclaimed structure and is now trading above the breakout level.
📌 Retest Zone:
We can expect a possible pullback towards the marked zone for a healthy retest before continuing the upward move.
🎯 Bullish Target:
As long as price holds above the support area, the bullish bias remains intact with targets around 3351+.
EURCHF: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURCHF pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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GOLD: Short Trade Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3354.53
Stop - 3357.9
Take - 3345.9
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDCHF: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the NZDCHF pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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CRUDE OIL BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL broke the rising
Support line which is now a resistance
And the price made a retest an a pullback
So we we are bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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EUR-GBP Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair
Is going down now so after
The retest we will be
Expecting a bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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GOLD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GOLD is trading in an uptrend
And the bullish bias is confirmed
By the rebound we are seeing
After the price retested the support
So I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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AUDCAD: Long Signal Explained
AUDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDCAD
Entry - 0.8908
Sl - 0.8882
Tp - 0.8950
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURNZD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
The analysis of the EURNZD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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EURUSD: Bulls Will Push
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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EUR-NZD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
Pair made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.9580 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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EURCAD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
EURCAD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy EURCAD
Entry - 1.5929
Stop - 1.5899
Take - 1.5985
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUD-USD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY is making a bullish
Rebound and the pair is
Making a retest of the key
Horizontal resistance of 0.6497
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
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Gold 30-Minute OB and Demand Zone SetupGold is now approaching a 30-Minute Order Block along with a strong demand zone 🟢. We are expecting some clean reactions from these areas.
📌 Plan:
Scenario 1:
👉 If price respects the M30 OB and Demand zone area at 3327 -3320, we can look for bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles to enter buy positions 📈, targeting the upper zone M30 OB zone near 3347 🎯.
Scenario 2:
👉 If price tap the above 30 min OB near 3347 we take our sell or short side entries for a reaction from there entering short ✅.
Both scenarios are possible, so we will watch the price action closely 🧐 and only trade with confirmation!
EUR_JPY WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 173.166
LONG🚀
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CAD_JPY BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅CAD_JPY is trading along
The rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels
Above at 108.708
LONG🚀
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EUR-AUD Strong Uptrend! Buy!
Hello, Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading along
The rising support line in a
Strong uptrend so we we are
Bullish biased and as the pair
Is going down to retest the
Support we will be expecting
A rebound and a move up
Buy!
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EUR_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅EUR_NZD is trading in an uptrend
Along the rising support line
Which makes me bullish biased
And the pair is about to retest the rising support
Thus, a rebound and a move up is expected
With the target of retesting the level above at 1.9544
LONG🚀
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USD-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support line and the pair
Already made a bullish
Rebound and is consolidating
In a local range so as we
Are bullish biased we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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NZD-USD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD already made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5992 from where we
Are seeing a bearish reaction
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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GBPJPY: Short Trading Opportunity
GBPJPY
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPJPY
Entry - 199.63
Sl - 200.26
Tp - 198.44
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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