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EUR-AUD Local Short! Sell! Hello,Traders! EUR-AUD is trading in a Downtrend and the pair Made a bearish breakout Of the key horizontal level Of 1.7699 which is now A resistance and the pair Is now making a local Correction but after the Price retests the resistance We will be expecting a Further bearish move down Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
2
AUD/USD Ready for a Short Squeeze? COT Divergence Signals1. Retail Sentiment 73% of retail traders are short versus 27% long. Such an unbalanced positioning usually suggests short squeeze potential, as the market often moves against retail flows, especially when technical levels confirm the bias. 2. COT Report USD Index: Non-Commercials remain skewed to the short side (+18.6k short vs. +13.6k long), with a slight reduction. This indicates the dollar is losing part of its net strength. AUD Futures: Non-Commercials are heavily short (112k vs. 29k long), adding –16,930 new shorts. However, Commercials (hedgers) increased their longs (+11,908). Historically, commercials are more accurate at market turning points. This divergence may point to a bottom forming in AUD. 3. Seasonality (September) September has historically been neutral to slightly negative for AUD/USD: flat performance over 20 years, and weaker over the last 5 years. However, mid-to-late September seasonality stabilizes, setting the stage for an October recovery. Bearish pressure may start fading, leaving room for upside. 4. Technical Outlook Demand Zone: 0.6450–0.6500 has repeatedly rejected price, confirming strong support. Supply Zone: 0.6650–0.6700, recently tested, represents the first upside target. Structure: Price is printing higher lows and showing signs of a potential bullish structure shift. RSI is neutral, with no overbought signals. Possible Scenario: A short pullback into 0.6520–0.6540 before accelerating toward 0.6680–0.6700. 5. Trading Summary Bias: Moderately bullish in the short-to-medium term. Key Drivers: Extreme retail short positioning → potential squeeze. COT divergence (specs heavily short, commercials long) → possible bottom. Weak but improving seasonality. Technical structure favoring upside continuation. 👉 Bottom line: AUD/USD favors long setups, but heavy Non-Commercial short exposure implies volatility could remain elevated.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
8
GBPCHF on the Edge: Why a Major Breakdown Could Be Next1. Retail Sentiment 90% of retail traders are long, only 10% are short. Long volume is heavily skewed (536 lots vs 58 short). ➡️ This imbalance suggests a risk of further downside pressure (contrarian view), as markets often move against the retail crowd. 2. COT Report (Sept 2, 2025) CHF: Non-commercials heavily short (34k vs 8k long). Commercials strongly long, hedging in favor of CHF strength. ➡️ Structural bullish bias for CHF. GBP: Non-commercials net short (109k vs 76k long). Commercials significantly long (117k vs 85k short), hedging a weak pound. ➡️ Confirms bearish pressure on GBP. Summary: Strong CHF – Weak GBP → Main direction: Short GBPCHF. 3. Seasonality (September) CHF: Historically strong in September. GBP: Historically weak in September. ➡️ Seasonality supports a short bias on GBPCHF. 4. Price Action Strong rejection from weekly supply zone (1.0850–1.0900). Bearish continuation candle below 1.0800 resistance. Next support: 1.0700–1.0680 zone. RSI trending lower with no divergence → bearish momentum intact. 5. Trading Plan Bias: Short GBPCHF. Key levels: Resistance: 1.0800 / 1.0850 (ideal short re-entry). Support: 1.0700 (first target), extension to 1.0650–1.0620 if bearish pressure continues. Strategy: Wait for a pullback into 1.0800–1.0850 to short, stop above 1.0900. Targets: 1.0700 → 1.0650. If price breaks straight below 1.0700, expect continuation towards 1.0620. ✅ Pro conclusion: All factors (COT, sentiment, seasonality, technicals) align in favor of CHF strength and GBP weakness. The best setup is a short re-entry near 1.0800–1.0850, targeting 1.0700 and 1.0650 with controlled risk above 1.0900.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
4