SoftBank's $4B AI Gamble: The DigitalBridge VerdictJapan's SoftBank recently committed $4 billion to acquire DigitalBridge (DBRG) in an all-cash deal. This move marks a pivot toward Masayoshi Son's vision of Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI). For investors, the question remains: is the $16-per-share price a ceiling or a launchpad?
Geopolitics and the Race for AI Sovereignty
AI infrastructure has transitioned from a corporate luxury to a national security asset. The United States and Asia are currently locked in a race for AI dominance. DigitalBridge controls the physical layer of this race data centers and fiber networks.
SoftBank’s acquisition secures a geostrategy foothold in Western and Asian digital assets. The deal integrates DigitalBridge into global AI infrastructure initiatives. This partnership aims to build hyperscale computing sites to ensure Western AI sovereignty.
Leadership and the "Fronthaul" Innovation
CEO Marc Ganzi successfully transformed the firm from a traditional real estate player into a digital powerhouse. His leadership focuses on "fronthauling" the network. This strategy prioritizes dense fiber and software-defined networks over older, slower architectures.
DigitalBridge’s innovation extends beyond physical towers. The firm recently partnered with KT Corporation to develop gigawatt-scale AI data centers in South Korea. This venture represents a rare crossover where an infrastructure manager dictates the hardware standards driving AI demand.
Macroeconomics and the Valuation Gap
By traditional metrics, DigitalBridge appears expensive. The stock recently traded at 250 times trailing earnings, far exceeding the industry average of nine. However, SoftBank is not buying current earnings; it is buying future capacity.
The $16 offer provides a 15% premium but effectively anchors the stock price until late 2026. High-interest rates previously pressured infrastructure REITs, but the AI boom has decoupled DBRG from standard economic cycles. SoftBank is betting that physical "bottlenecks" like power and land will make existing assets priceless.
Technical Moat: Fiber and Cyber Security
DigitalBridge manages $108 billion in assets, focusing on high-density compute and low-latency fiber. These assets form the "connective tissue" for AI. Unlike cloud software, physical fiber routes are difficult to replicate and offer a natural competitive moat.
The firm also emphasizes edge computing, placing data processing closer to the user. This reduces latency, which is critical for real-time AI applications and autonomous systems. As cyber threats evolve, owning the physical fiber provides an additional layer of hardware-level security that software providers cannot match.
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Summary for Investors:
SoftBank’s buyout likely caps short-term stock gains at $16. However, the deal validates the immense value of the physical AI backbone. Investors should view this as a signal that the "hardware phase" of the AI revolution is just beginning.
Softbank
SOFTBANK can drop another 50%Softbank Group shares took a nosedive on Thursday, dragging down Japanese markets as mixed earnings and guidance from cloud giant Oracle raised fresh worries about excessive spending on artificial intelligence.
#Softbank (TYO:9984) dropped 7.7% to a one-week low of 17,210.0 yen by 22:34 ET (03:34 GMT), making it the biggest loser on the Nikkei 225 index, which fell by over 1%.
The decline in Softbank followed a more than 10% drop in Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), which plummeted after its fiscal second-quarter earnings report. Although the company exceeded market expectations for its net income, it fell short on revenue and provided a weaker-than-anticipated outlook for the upcoming quarter.
#Oracle also raised its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $50 billion from $35 billion. The mixed earnings, along with expectations of increased capex, reignited concerns about how Oracle intends to profit from its substantial AI data center spending plans. There are also worries about the company’s debt load, following billions in issuances this year, and its significant exposure to OpenAI, which negatively impacted sentiment towards the stock.
BMO analysts pointed out that Oracle’s ties to OpenAI pose some long-term risks, considering the scale of the startup’s spending commitments and uncertainties about how it plans to fulfill those promises.
These worries spilled over to Softbank, which has a heavy investment in OpenAI. Softbank CFO Yoshimitsu Goto recently mentioned to Nikkei that the tech conglomerate is firmly focused on OpenAI and has no interest in funding its rivals.
Can Power Infrastructure Outmaneuver Silicon in the AI Race?The reported SoftBank acquisition of DigitalBridge represents a fundamental shift in the AI value chain from semiconductors to the physical infrastructure that powers them. DigitalBridge's 20.9 gigawatt portfolio positions it as the gatekeeper to AI scaling, addressing what has become the industry's primary bottleneck: grid-connected power capacity. While chip availability has stabilized, the 3-5 year interconnection queue delays and PJM's capacity auction surge from $29 to $329 per megawatt-day reveal that electricity access now dictates competitive advantage. SoftBank's "Project Izanagi," a $100 billion AI semiconductor initiative, requires immediate deployment infrastructure that cannot be built within a commercially viable timeframe, making DigitalBridge's existing "power bank" an irreplaceable strategic asset.
The transaction thesis extends beyond real estate fundamentals to geopolitical positioning in the Sovereign AI era. DigitalBridge's diversified global footprint through Vantage, Switch, and Scala provides the territorial distribution that nation-states increasingly demand for data sovereignty. Switch's Tier 5 Platinum facilities, fortified by over 950 patent claims covering thermal management and security protocols, create a defensible moat around mission-critical government workloads. However, CFIUS scrutiny presents material execution risk; foreign ownership of infrastructure hosting DoD-classified data will likely require operational ring-fencing or potential divestiture of sensitive assets. The regulatory path mirrors SoftBank's Sprint precedent but operates in a heightened national security environment where data centers are now classified alongside telecommunications as critical infrastructure.
Financial markets initially mispriced DigitalBridge as a transitional REIT rather than a utility-grade infrastructure platform, with the stock trading below intrinsic value estimates of $25-35 before the 50% surge. Fee-Related Earnings grew 43% year-over-year in Q3 2025, reflecting institutional capital allocation into digital infrastructure that the market overlooked amid GAAP complexity. The strategic validation extends beyond SoftBank; any acquirer recognizes that replicating 21 GW of secured power capacity would cost multiples of DigitalBridge's enterprise value. Whether the deal consummates or not, the "SoftBank put" has established a valuation floor, signaling that in 2025's AI industrialization phase, land is sold by the megawatt, not the acre.
GDS Holdings (GDS) – Bullish Setup in the AI-Data Center BoomGDS Holdings Limited NASDAQ:GDS is emerging as a key player in Asia’s data infrastructure race, positioned to capitalize on explosive demand for AI-ready, high-density data centers.
🔍 Thesis Summary:
$1.2B Series B Equity Raise Completed
Backed by SoftBank Vision Fund & Ken Griffin, funding will enable >1 GW new capacity. A massive expansion push in China & Southeast Asia, where demand for digital infra is accelerating.
AI Wave = Data Center Surge
GDS is well-positioned to benefit from the rise in AI workloads, which require low-latency, high-power density facilities. Their premium sites in top-tier Asian hubs make them a first-choice provider.
Strategic Advantages Noted by Analysts
Raymond James cites rare access to land & power near major Chinese metros — a barrier to entry that protects margins & boosts scalability.
📊 Trade Setup:
Bullish above $33–$34
Upside target: $50–$52
SYM to $89Overview
Consumers of artificial intelligence have garnered my attention, specifically cybersecurity and robotics automation companies. This is a hopeful attempt to obtain early exposure to industries that may thrive during the era of artificial intelligence. Symbotic ( NASDAQ:SYM ) is one of the those companies.
What does SYM do?
Symbotic Inc. utilizes artificial intelligence and robotics to enhance warehouse production. How this translated to me is that they support online shopping (ex: Amazon) by generating environments that can keep up with the demand through the use of robotic automation and artificial intelligence. This could be used in just about every business venture as a growing company will face the challenges that come with maintaining a healthy supply chain. This is why I believe Symbotic has a bright future ahead.
As of 24 July 2023, Symbotic and SoftBank ( TSE:9984 ) jointly founded GreenBox Systems LLC which aims to provide access to Symbotic's automations and software. The goal is to reduce inventory costs while simultaneously increasing capacity and management -- organization and collection. SoftBank has also vested in Symbotic with the purchase of 17.8M shares (worth $707,550,000 today) in addition to an unspecified amount of warrants covering 2% of outstanding shares. Warrants are similar to options except they are distributed to the holder directly by the underlying company.
Key takeaway: SoftBank is significantly invested in the A.I. powered robotics company.
2025 Price Target
Symbotic has been in a yearlong symmetrical triangle that appears ready for a breakout before the end of 2024. If a breakout does occur, I believe the share price will reach around $89 USD sometime in 2025. This price target was determined by utilizing uptrend Fibonacci retracement levels from the lowest and highest values of the current trading pattern.
Short-Term Price Target
A double bottom pattern appears to be forming which may see the share price diminish back to the $32-35 price range (yellow circle) in the near future. Should these price levels experience significant support, I believe the next area of significance will be the $41-42 price range (green circle). A breakout at this level may indicate a further rally.
SOFTBANK Group _ Next Target is Channel Top +42 % PROFITA Rising Channel Pattern has formed, and the Previous All-Time High has also breakout. The Next Target is the Channel Top, offering a chance to make a PROFIT of 42% or more. For Long-Term Analysis, you must follow the Trend continuation technique.
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
BABA SoftBank to Sell Its Huge Stake ???Additional American depositary share registration in the U.S. was translated by Citigroup`s analysts as SoftBank Group intention to sell part of its stake.
Softbank was a pre-initial public offering investor in BABA, owning 5.39 billion ordinary Alibaba shares, or a 24.8% stake,
The can drop to the $109 support, if not even lower.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Stocks - Softbank is NextIdea for Softbank:
- Evergrande's temporary suspension has it out of sight and out of mind, but it is expected to default on the 18th. How soon they forget. The corporate bond market collapse is not localized, but instead is spreading:
- We have reached the end of a Yen Carry Trade Cycle:
- Japan is #1 in the world in debt, boasting a Debt-To-GDP of 266% ($13T). It would make sense for their debt bust to occur first. Japan is next on the chopping block.
- "SoftBank Group Corp 9984.T has built a global conglomerate of telecoms and tech companies on an ever-growing mountain of debt that major rating agencies categorize as junk." - Reuters
- SoftBank also owns the Vision Fund, the largest tech fund in the world, with great exposure to US tech. Its collapse will be felt around the world.
GLHF
- DPT
PULLBACK ZONE FOR SHORT DIRECTION ENTRY - SFTBY - SOFTBANK - 4HThank you for the like, comments and shares! Much appreciated! This is not financial advise, just ideas on probable market evolution.
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The trend has probably changed as the very strong blue up trending line has been frankly and strongly broken.
The price is now evolving under the bearish channel. This might be a sign that the bearish action is possibly still going on.
We see an horizontal zone emerging, showing a potential pullback zone and good entry for a short direction positions.
The black line can possibly be the target price as it is an historical center of gravity like price.
A probable idea would be to wait for pullback and get a short entry, and, as we approach the black horizontal line, we lower our position weight by taking profits.
probably good to lower exposition if having already bought up there.. it probably can become worse.
PS.:
Hope is there, because following fundamental analysis, we can see that SoftBank is pretty active and doing very strategic investments. Are the latest's SoftBank investments to be copied to improve portfolio experience ? Robotics, Communications, Uber.... etc..
Is the black line the best place to enter from for a long direction entry and for long time ? (with the probability that in the near future the price of SoftBank stock will rise to record numbers)
KAHOT global Leader in gamifying learningKahoot! is used by 97% of Fortune 500 companies, being the global Leader in gamifying learning!
Besides Microsoft and Walt Disney, Softbank invested $215 million in the company.
I see a strong support at 53 and 32.5 dollars with a potential to 105 and 65usd accordingly.
Nasdaq news sell off dipThe news report saying Softbank was behind the NASDAQ pump were over-exaggerating.
In fact it was inevitable results from the FED stimulus packs.
Softbank's decision was wise because obviously no Japanese company could benefit from it, and the only quick way to make it happen is through investing in NASDAQ tech companies.
Irrational sell of by Japanese investors here is a great Price-Down-Pick-Up opportunity.
Risk/Reward Ratio is 6.15 depending on overall market conditions.
*NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
VIX Breakout means more SPY downside to come?You can see from this chart that the VIX weekly has broken out of above 9 and 21 SMA. In past occurrences this has lead to further SPY downside (blue line) in the following weeks. In this case the VIX was leading the SPY with the daily breaking out with 9 day crossing to the upside of 21 SMA even as SPY was achieving ATHs. This curious phenomenon has been explained over the past couple days by multiple $B in tech call option purchases from Soft Bank.
After Fridays rapid drop and vicious (although incomplete) recovery, the VIX fell yet still remained above significant SMAs. It seems that increased SPY downside should be expected in coming weeks. The question is whether or not this downside will come with rising or falling volatility. In past occurrences VIX has fallen with SPY in similar situations, but in recent history VIX breakout has not lead the SPY drop on the daily. I am interested to see how this unique situation plays out. Any input or comments are greatly appreciated.
Softbank testing diagonal supportSoftbank price has used the diagonal trendline as support several times. This can be seen in the OBV as well.
The VPVR shows a lot of interest in the current price levels too.
Expecting the price to test the trendline once more.
The current decline is due to the WeWork fiasco. Softbank has proposed to take over the company. If things go well Softbank will continue its investment spree with the Vision Fund 2. It will keep investing in companies which specialize in AI, Machine learning and other future technologies and in most investments they are the lead investor. This gives Softbank the authority to steer the company towards a direction they choose and also create additional synergies with other companies in their investment portfolio. Softbank will most likely become a mega consortium controlling several of the future tech companies all over the world.
Current Marketcap: 81 Billion $
2030 Marketcap: 500 Billion $+
Note: This is not financial advise. Please do your own research.
SOFTBANK - WEEK CHARTHi, today we are going to talk about SOFTBANK
We observe a D1, some important points. The details are highlighted above.
Thank you for reading and leave your comments if you like.
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Bonus Bonus chart: SoftBank weaknessCouple of things to unpack with Softbank, 9984:
#1 Lower 78.6% high from previous peak
#2 Previous peak was reversal off a massive long-term wedge resistance marking major tops from 2006
#3 Broke down from 30M SSR and key MA support
#4 Softbank is super levered and materially dependent on unicorn valuations for its acquisitions to keep 9984 share price up. Softbank is now ranked up there with dumb money as it habitually overpays for acquisitions. 9984 paid $45 for Uber pre-IPO and no prizes for guessing the mark-to-market on that "investment".
#5 Upward sloping wedges almost always breaks lower. Son almost lost everything during the tech bust, he has not changed his MO so why would this time be different?
Softbank: Trading at top of megaphone patternSoftbank has come under increasing scrutiny for its eye-popping investments and corporate governance practices. Investing almost a billion into a company embroiled in a massive accounting fraud scandal (Wirecard) is not what I would characterize as best use of shareholders' capital.
Starting from the 2009 trough, the stock has completed 5-waves up with the price action over the last 5 years culminating in a bearish megaphone pattern.






















