ITA : iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF IdeaThe defense sector has been in a steady structural advance for years, and price is now resting inside a zone of interest formed at the highs. Above it, three institutional areas sit stacked like floors of a building that has not been visited yet. Below, two support zones wait in silence, one shallow, one deep.
Scenario 1: the current zone holds. Price consolidates, builds energy, and begins the staircase climb, reacting at each overhead area, pulling back, and continuing. Trend continuation in its purest form.
Scenario 2: the zone fails first. Price rotates down into the shallow support area, the kind of reset long-term trends use to shake out weak hands before the real move.
Scenario 2a: from that reset, demand steps back in and the staircase resumes, this time with cleaner fuel underneath it.
Scenario 3: the shallow zone breaks. Then the deeper area becomes the destination, and the structural conversation changes entirely.
On a quarterly chart, patience is not a virtue. It is the entire strategy. The zones are drawn.
The path will reveal itself one candle at a time, and each candle takes three months.
Hidden in plain sight. EQC.
Like, Follow, Boost, Join, Thank You!
Financial Disclaimer: This post is not financial advice. I am not your financial advisor, your life coach, or your legally responsible adult. Always do your own research and never trade based solely on internet comedy. ASTI 1D: When solar power reaches beyond earthAscent Solar Technologies is developing one of the most unique stories in the renewable energy sector. The company produces flexible CIGS solar panels designed for space applications, drones, aviation, and next generation energy systems, targeting markets where efficiency and weight matter more than cost.
Fundamentally , ASTI remains a high risk growth story. In Q1 2026, revenue came in at just $0.05 million, while net loss widened to $2.18 million. EPS was -$0.27 versus analyst expectations of -$0.19, highlighting that the company is still in the early stages of commercialization.
Liquidity improved significantly after a $10 million PIPE financing and $6.7 million from warrant exercises, increasing cash reserves to $16.1 million. However, management continues to include a Going Concern warning, acknowledging that current revenue levels are insufficient to achieve positive cash flow in 2026 without additional funding.
The most important catalyst remains the partnership with Momentus through the TASSA solar array program for small satellites. ASTI's lightweight flexible solar technology is designed to deliver high power output while minimizing payload mass, making it attractive for the rapidly expanding space economy.
Technically , the setup is far more constructive than the fundamentals. Price has established a demand zone between $5.14 and $5.62, where the 0.705 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels converge. The stock has already started reacting higher from this area.
The chart is supported by a Golden Cross between the 50 day and 100 day moving averages, while an unfilled FVG remains above current price and could act as a magnet for future upside. ADX continues to signal trend strength, and volume has improved following the bounce from support, although activity remains below long term averages.
The first upside target sits near $9.80, with a secondary target around $13.48.
ASTI remains a speculative opportunity with limited revenue, ongoing losses, and potential dilution risks. But markets rarely reward current fundamentals alone. They reward future potential. If flexible solar technology becomes a critical component of the next generation space industry, today's valuation may look very different in the years ahead. 
Long
TRMB: The Anatomy of a Textbook Capitulation BottomNFA - Opinion
We have been tracking the intense block box accumulation on Trimble Inc. NASDAQ:TRMB inside the orange box over the last several weeks, and the technical story playing out on the 4 hour chart is loud and clear.
After a heavy distribution phase off the low 70s, the stock dropped off a cliff into its recent 52 week low at $47.92. But it is the immediate follow through that signals a major structural shift in who owns these shares.
The Technical Blueprint
When a stock slides on consecutive red candles and suddenly hits a brick wall on massive, expanding green volume, you are looking at classic selling capitulation meeting an aggressive institutional buyer. The violent V reversal right out of the high 40s and back into the low 50s tells us the weak hands have officially been shaken out. A definitive technical floor is locked in.
Following the Corporate Money Trail
So, who is soaking up all this volume? Look no further than management's own corporate treasury.
Trimble authorized a massive $1.0 billion buyback program. While they executed poorly by burning $316.9 million earlier in the year buying up shares in the high $60s, they did not blow their whole wad. They entered this current quarter with $608 million in dry powder left in the tank. For an industrial tech company pivoting heavily toward software driven recurring revenue (ARR), a drop under $50 is an absolute gift to average down. Management is clearly stepping up as the buyer of last resort to protect this zone.
The ETF Rebalancing Bid
Layered right underneath the company's buybacks is a programmatic institutional bid. TRMB is a core, top holding in the Procure Space ETF NASDAQ:UFO , carrying a massive 5.1% portfolio weight.
When a core index stock drops 30% while the rest of the sector holds up, its total portfolio allocation slips out of alignment. Because of how these tracking funds are structured, fund managers are forced to go out into the open market and systematically absorb blocks of shares to bring the weighting back up to target.
The Baseline Business
Trimble is not just a generic hardware player; they are an essential infrastructure backbone. Their positioning, modeling, and connectivity systems are embedded directly into global transportation, defense mapping, and multi year federal infrastructure projects.
The Play:
With a hard technical floor established at $47.92, an active $608M corporate buyback backstop, and passive funds like UFO doing the heavy lifting to absorb the float, the risk to reward ratio here at the $52 to $53 mark is heavily skewed in favor of the bulls.
LUNR: When space infrastructure becomes a businessIntuitive Machines has long ceased to be just a lunar lander company. After acquiring Lanteris Space Systems, it transformed into a vertically integrated space contractor, combining satellite platforms, ground stations, navigation services and lunar technologies. Today the company builds infrastructure for the new space economy, not isolated missions.
Fundamentals - Q1 2026
On May 14, the company posted a record quarterly report. Revenue nearly tripled year over year to $186.7 million, driven by the consolidation of Lanteris. Adjusted EBITDA turned positive for the first time at $2.7 million.
The backlog grew to a record $1.1 billion, up nearly $842 million from the end of 2025. Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance: revenue of $900 million to $1 billion and positive Adjusted EBITDA.
What's happening now
In January, Intuitive Machines closed the $800 million acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems. In Q2, the company received a new task order under the NASA CLPS program, entered the US Space Force Andromeda IDIQ defense program with a potential ceiling of up to $6.24 billion, and signed an agreement to acquire the British Goonhilly Earth Station, strengthening its Earth-to-Moon communications infrastructure.
On June 3, the company registered an ATM program of up to $500 million. This does not mean an immediate issuance of all shares but provides management with the flexibility to gradually raise capital to fund further growth. The market reacted negatively to the potential dilution, putting pressure on the stock.
An additional factor was NASA's decision to select Astrolab and Lunar Outpost for the Lunar Terrain Vehicle program, leaving Intuitive Machines out of that project.
Technicals
On the weekly chart, price is approaching a strong demand zone at $10.81–$11.44, where the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the 200-week moving average, and a long-term ascending diagonal support line converge. This kind of confluence often becomes an area of increased buyer interest.
If this zone holds, the first target is $24.95, with the next target at $46.75.
Intuitive Machines is undergoing a major transformation. The company is no longer limited to lunar landings but is building a full-fledged space infrastructure for government and commercial customers. A record backlog, the integration of Lanteris, and expanding partnerships with NASA and the US Space Force form a strong long-term foundation.
At the same time, pressure comes from the equity offering, an earnings miss, and the capital-intensive nature of the business. That is why the current correction looks more like a repricing of market expectations rather than a deterioration of the long-term investment case. 
Long
Long
Long
Long 
FJET - Shift in Momentum in Action!Momentum shifts rarely happen instantly.📉📈
Usually, the market starts giving early clues first.
That is exactly what AMEX:FJET is starting to show right now.⚠️
📊 Technical Breakdown
FJET has been overall bearish for months, consistently printing:
• Lower highs
• Lower lows
• Strong bearish impulses
However , something important is changing. 👀
The bearish impulses are no longer aggressive.
From left to right on the chart:
• The first bearish impulse was steep and strong
• The second impulse became shallower
• The latest bearish move turned smaller and weaker
This is a classic sign of bearish exhaustion. 📉
And this week, FJET failed to print a new lower low.
Instead , price formed a higher low around the green demand zone and the psychological $5 round number, an early signal that momentum may be shifting from bearish to bullish. 📍
🎯 What’s Next?
The key trigger for bulls sits around the red resistance zone near $6.2.
In such a scenario, bulls would regain full control.
🎯 First target: $10 round number
🎯 Second target: $15 resistance zone
As long as price remains above the green demand area, the bullish reversal scenario remains valid. 📈
💡 Bigger Picture (Fundamentals)
Starfighters Space continues advancing its STARLAUNCH initiative alongside GE Aerospace ✈️, recently progressing into the Critical Design Review (CDR) phase before full-scale testing.
The company also expanded its leadership team with former Blue Origin executives while continuing to grow its hypersonic and aerospace testing operations, keeping FJET tied to the expanding space and defense sector narrative .🛡️
📌In brief, FJET is showing early signs of reversal, but bulls still need confirmation above $6.2.
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr 
Long
FJET - Accumulation in the Making!After months of bearish pressure, FJET may finally be entering a different phase. ⚠️
Following the sharp selloff, price managed to stabilize around the major $4.5 - $5 support zone, where buyers started stepping in repeatedly.
Now, instead of making aggressive bearish impulses, price is compressing inside the green symmetrical triangle, which is often considered an early accumulation structure. 📊
🎯 What’s Next?
As long as the $4.5 - $5 support zone holds, we will be expecting the bulls to gradually take over short-term within the accumulation phase.
The first bullish objective remains the upper bound of the triangle marked in green. 📈
However, for the bulls to fully take over long-term and officially start the bullish trend / markup phase, a confirmed breakout above the accumulation structure is needed.
In such a scenario, momentum expansion toward higher levels becomes increasingly likely. 🚀
In brief, AMEX:FJET appears to be transitioning from bearish pressure into accumulation, but bulls still need breakout confirmation.
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr Long 
What Powers Submarines, Mars Rockets, and Risk?BWX Technologies (NYSE: BWXT) opened 2026 with momentum that few defense-and-nuclear suppliers can match. First-quarter consolidated revenue climbed 26% year-over-year to $860.2 million, GAAP net income rose 21% to $91.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached $148 million, all underpinned by a commanding order backlog of $8.65 billion. Management responded by lifting full-year guidance to above $3.75 billion in revenue, $650–665 million in adjusted EBITDA, and $315–330 million in free cash flow. The catch lies in the price: shares trade at a 52.1x P/E versus an industry average of 40.2x, with some analysts pegging the stock 57.2% above fair value and flagging a steep 157.6% debt-to-equity ratio. The premium leaves essentially no cushion if execution slips.
The backlog rests on geopolitics. Indo-Pacific competition is fueling a defense-spending supercycle, and as the sole-source manufacturer of naval reactors for the U.S. Navy, BWXT sits at the center of it, supplying propulsion systems for Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines. In May 2026, the company captured over $1.4 billion in naval awards, including a $1.285 billion base contract for fiscal 2026 material procurement (the first of five annual awards through 2030) and a $165 million carrier-component contract. The AUKUS pact extends this demand internationally, with Australia recently authorizing a $218 million payment for UK-sourced long-lead reactor items, reinforcing the broader Western defense supply chain.
Beyond the seas, BWXT is reaching into space and next-generation energy. It partners with Lockheed Martin on the $499 million DRACO nuclear-thermal rocket targeting a 2027 launch and far shorter transits to Mars and supports the AFRL JETSON program, where reactor-driven Stirling engines could deliver four times the power of conventional solar arrays. On the commercial side, the company is helping rebuild a domestic HALEU supply chain (currently dominated by Russia and China) through an NNSA downblending contract, while advancing TRISO-fueled microreactors such as the 75 MWt BANR. A deep patent portfolio in additive manufacturing of nuclear fuel and fail-safe reactivity control further cements its technological moat, though tightening CMMC 2.0 cybersecurity mandates and False Claims Act exposure add compliance pressure.
Tying the threads together, BWXT's roughly $200 million acquisition of Precision Components Group, adding 500,000 square feet of capacity and 400+ skilled workers, aims to relieve manufacturing bottlenecks and scale commercial operations toward SMRs and fuel expansion. The strategic picture is compelling: a near-monopoly franchise riding defense, space, and clean-energy tailwinds. Yet the investment case hinges on a single tension: whether massive backlogs and successful PCG integration can grow into a valuation that already assumes near-flawless delivery, against the drag of heavy leverage. The answer to "what powers the risk" is the very thing that powers the upside. 
Long
Long
Long 
Long
SIDU Space (SIDU): A Textbook Rounding Bottom BreakoutThe recent price action in Sidus Space (SIDU) has printed one of the cleanest technical setups in the current Space sector market cycle. Over the past 3 months, from January 2026 through April 2026 - SIDU has meticulously carved out a classical Rounding Bottom (Cup) pattern, signaling a major trend reversal from accumulation to a parabolic breakout.
The Technical Blueprint: Precision in Motion
What makes this formation particularly remarkable is the role of the 150-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA 150). Throughout the first quarter of 2026, the EMA 150 acted as a visual guide for the "cup," tracing the price as it bottomed near $1.50 and steadily climbed back. This confirms that the long-term institutional bias has shifted from distribution to heavy accumulation.
The Breakout Catalyst
Yesterday, the pressure finally blew the lid off. SIDU surged +16% on a massive volume of 36 million shares -representing a 2.1x increase over its average daily volume. This wasn't just a price spike; it was a structural shift:.
Donchian Channel Breach: Price broke above the upper boundary of the 20-day Donchian Channel, marking a clear 20-day high and a volatility expansion to the upside.
Pre-Market Momentum: As of this morning, SIDU has already cleared the psychological $5.00 barrier, trading around $5.04 - $5.08.
Indicator Confirmation
Relative Strength (RS Line): SIDU is significantly outperforming S&P 500 proving it is a leader in the current market regime.
MACD & LWTI: The MACD histogram is expanding in the green, and the Larry Williams Trend Indicator (LWTI) has crossed comfortably above 50, confirming the bullish trend is now "in gear."
RSI Caution: The RSI currently sits at 74. While this confirms extreme strength, it also puts the stock in "Overbought" territory. Traders should anticipate a potential "throwback" or a brief consolidation before the next leg up.
Price Targets & Key Levels
Based on the depth of the cup formation, the technical measurements point to significant upside:
Immediate Support: $4.30 – $4.36 (The prior resistance-turned-support zone).
Secondary Support: $4.00.
Near-Term Target: $5.39.
Major Technical Target: $6.50 – $6.75 (Aligning with the cup's height projection and psychological resistance).
Bottom Line
SIDU has transitioned from a sleeper to a high-momentum leader. While the RSI suggests a short-term cooling-off period might occur, the volume-backed breakout of a 4-month base is a powerful signal. The plan: Watch for a successful retest of the $4.30 level or a consolidation above $5.00 as a base for the next rally toward $6.75.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Long 
Long
MDA Space: when orbit is no longer a dream, but a trajectoryMDA Space is one of those companies that doesn’t just participate in the space industry - it quietly builds its backbone. Canadarm on the ISS, satellite constellations for Telesat Lightspeed and Globalstar, advanced Earth observation radar systems - this is not a startup story, this is 55 years of engineering discipline scaling into a new cycle of global demand. With headquarters in Brampton, over 4,000 employees, and deep integration into both commercial and defense ecosystems, MDA is positioning itself at the intersection of two accelerating forces: space infrastructure and geopolitical rearmament.
The numbers confirm the shift. The company reported on March 4, 2026, delivering 51% revenue growth to CAD 1.63B, with adjusted EBITDA reaching CAD 324M and GAAP net income at CAD 108.5M. Free cash flow came in at CAD 165M. Q4 alone delivered CAD 499M in revenue (+44% YoY), marking a record quarter. More importantly, backlog expanded to $4B, while the five-year pipeline now stands at an impressive $40B, providing long-term visibility that most companies in the sector simply don’t have.
Growth is not abstract - it is concentrated and operational. The satellite systems segment surged 85.5% to CAD 1.1B, driven by large-scale constellation builds. The company is preparing to scale production up to two digital satellites per day at its new Montreal facility, effectively transitioning from project-based execution to industrial-scale manufacturing.
At the same time, MDA is strengthening its strategic positioning. In March 2026, the company completed its NYSE listing, raising $300M, unlocking access to U.S. capital markets and expanding its M&A flexibility. Government demand continues to accelerate: partnerships with the Canadian government and Telesat for Arctic defense communications, agreements with South Korea’s Hanwha Systems, and a $32M contract from Canada’s Department of National Defence. Notably, all five major U.S. defense contractors source satellite components from MDA - a signal of deep integration into Western defense supply chains. The launch of its subsidiary 49North further reinforces its focus on national security priorities, while the acquisition of SatixFy adds vertical integration in space-grade semiconductor technology.
Now to the technical structure - and this is where things align.
On the daily chart, a classic head & shoulders pattern has already played out. The neckline break was confirmed, followed by a clean retest, and price is now transitioning into a continuation phase. This is not a speculative setup - this is a completed structure moving into trend expansion.
Momentum indicators support the move. ADX at 39.54 confirms a strong, established trend, while DI+ (24.45) significantly exceeds DI- (16.28), indicating clear bullish control. CCI (20) at 65.06 shows upward momentum without entering overbought territory, leaving room for continuation. BBP (13) at 0.092 suggests price is positioned within the upper range of Bollinger dynamics but not overheated, which is typical for sustainable trends. Price remains above key moving averages, reinforcing structural strength.
The risks are real, but they are structural rather than immediate. The business remains exposed to government contract cycles, capital expenditures are expected to increase to CAD 225–275M in 2026, potentially pressuring short-term free cash flow, and insider selling has been present in recent months. However, these factors are typical for companies transitioning into expansion phases rather than signals of deterioration.
On the other side, the opportunities are asymmetric. A $40B pipeline, expansion into U.S. markets, vertical integration through semiconductor capabilities, and rising defense budgets across North America create a multi-year tailwind that is difficult to ignore.
MDA is currently riding two macro waves simultaneously: the militarization of space and the commercialization of orbital infrastructure. Revenue is growing above 50%, backlog provides forward visibility, and the technical structure confirms continuation rather than exhaustion.
The head & shoulders pattern has completed its cycle, the retest has held, ADX confirms trend strength, CCI shows no overheating, and BBP suggests the move is still developing, not ending.
As one aerospace engineer once said: “A satellite doesn’t forgive mistakes. But once it reaches orbit, no one remembers the launch tension.”
Right now, MDA looks less like a launch and more like a trajectory already locked in. 
Long
Long 
Long
