Clear positive divergence here on the weeklyAs the current price has been decreasing, the relative strength of CTRV continues to increase. This has also bounced off of a signal previously returning huge gains in the last year.
Spread
Why selling OTM spreads is guaranteed to wipe out your profitsTrading without a risk management is gambling. Gambling relies on hope.
Selling OTM spreads depends on a 75% success rate and surviving a few big losses. The RR is very low if you are aiming to collect 25% of the spread. I traded 12 months solely on BullPut and this has taught me well. It's a losing strategy based on the misconception of high win rate and "consistent" income.
Using ITM spreads, you can enjoy higher RR and live to make another trade. I took a calculated loss on AAPL with RR 1.6.
BMW - VW (Correlation)Comparing the BMW chart to the VW chart it is striking that both price developments are strongly correlated to each other. Given the current spread between the two price changes in percentage, determined by using the closing price of the first day after going public, subtracting it from the current stock price and then subsequently deviding it through the first closing price, this offers us to greatly take advantage of their correlation. Obviously, it is likely that both prices are going to cross again in the future which means that all we have to do is shorting the BMW stock and buying some VW stocks in order to benefit from the decreasing spread between both prices. If we now charge both positions with the same amount of money and then close them when prices cross again, we are going to end up with 16.43% in profit.