With seasonality behind our back as well, I see the December Live Cattle Lean Hog Contracts on a potential turn here this coming week. Keep an eye on the key levels and trendlines to see if the market turns at that level and continues in its short downtrend.
New strategy spread.
I made my initial deposit to 10 M.
I was losing big money on 1 M and i thought on a scale i was trading i should add up some money on the deposit.
For 10 M i trade 5000 SP and 500 DOW. For 1 M capital it should be 500 and 50 respectively and so on. It is safer.
SP vs DOW. I put orders every 10 points in sp and evry 100 points in...
Currently long using an option spread in /ES Futures.
Directionally biased trade - LONG
Sep 30th Exp, 2d exp
+3325 /ES Call
-3495 /ES Call
Probability of profit 39%
Max Win $6,450
Max Loss $2,037
Theta -3.2 (spread protects us from time decay)
Delta 0.67 - Long trade
This is another trade taken today: Long Facebook vs Short JC DECAUX.
Facebook has lost about 20% from its august top.
Fundamentals are still strong (ROE, revenues, margin, cash flow), the management is strong as well.
I choose to hedge it with JC DECAUX, traditional advertising industry, with weakening fundamentals (debt and cash flow are bad),...
If there's one stock I had to name for being the most unpredictable, it's TESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ). This rather volatile stock is expected to have some pretty big moves going into market close today as the company will be holding their annual shareholder meeting at 4:30 p.m. ET.
...But wait...there's more!
Once the meeting is over, the company will immediately...
The second good looking bear spread in soybeans complex. If you consider to trade both, i would either recomend to allocate your position between both 2 or just trade 1 on them. They tend to behave similliar, so it is not wise to trade correlated assets and manage them as 2 standalone trades.
This soybeans oil spread is much less risky. Historical lowest prices...
There is a good opportunity in Soybeans complex. However this bear spread is a bit more aggresive as the price could go as low as -50. Therefore this is not suitable for position trade, but to put SL to the market to minimalize your loss in case of another fall. But there is a good potential with reduced risk. 4:1
The probability of the succes is on our side, if...
Roku looks like it has developed a Head and shoulders pattern and is currently trading on its support trend line. I expect a pop back to the neckline and then a confirmation down which should bring Roku to roughly ~$145 which has a ton of volume. This should create consolidation that once lost, will move ROKU to $130. Long side, we should see a break above the...
Labor days future action seems pretty bullish with world markets very green. AAPL had a hammer candle followed by an engulfing green candle (bullish), followed by a 3 bar play with a continuation green candle (bullish). We did however hit some resistance. If this trend continues, we should very quickly test $130 with a short squeeze, and possibly back to ATH. On...
We can keep this one pretty simple. It's day #2 with an Extreme Turn sell/short on the SPY daily timeframe. The prior day was the first sell signal in the entire move since the March lows. There is absolutely nothing bearish looking in this chart. That said, we recall our adage at TDG - Markets' always look the most bullish at the tops.
We're expressing the...