SPX - Nice trend day in play. After defending previous day low we moved higher and breaking previous day high. Bull Puts on 1 + 1.5 sigma #BouhmidiBands working out fine today.
Gold is keeping a strong uptrend after breaking all time highs. We may experience small retracements, but we know the overall momentum is to the buy-side
Some industries are notoriously cyclical. Semiconductor is a prime example. It swings to the extreme on both bullish and bearish sides. While the industry is in a bull run, investors can still participate in its rise but with caution. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (“SOX”) is a modified market-cap weighted index. It is composed of semiconductor firms involved in...
Bitcoin is surging through expectations defying rally. Bitcoin (“BTC”) stands 22% higher over the last seven days. At its highest on 28 Feb 2024, BTC at USD 64k was 7% shy of its all-time-high. Recent bitcoin (“BTC”) performance harkens back to the euphoric bull runs. Market metrics signal more steam in store. This note discusses BTC’s recent rally and the...
Many have heard about P2P cryptocurrency arbitrage using bank cards and exchangers. With this, there are a number of problems and risks associated with blocking accounts, freezing money indefinitely or blocking accounts on the exchanges, since in order to effectively engage in this type of arbitration a trader must have not only his personal cards, but also drop...
24-01-26 EURUSD Long Entry Trade Management Price Levels A. Move Stop loss to a take profit support level on a lower time frame Price: 1.08450 Locked In Risk to reward: + 0.25 % Going to the weekend * Left a bit of breathing room for spreads for sunday opening and to cover my risk if any large news happens this weekend * Signal Price Info Entry Price:...
When traditional markets sense optimism, crypto markets go straight to the moon. Bitcoin (“BTC”) has been on a tear this year supported by hopes of spot BTC ETF launch, rising regulatory clarity, and monetary policy easing. When BTC sentiment turns bullish, it leads to sharp outperformance in digital asset-linked stocks as noted previously. Coinbase is a top...
The lights, carols and the last FOMC of the year, you know the drill by now, Christmas is here soon! As we head into the year's end, it's the perfect time to revisit an old idea we had last Christmas. In our piece last December titled “ Is the Santa Claus rally real? ” we explored the concept of the Santa Claus rally, discussing why and how a modified version...
Looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average vs Russell 2000 I believe we are looking at potential strength from the later. Growth stocks continue to stay buoyant.
Last week , we examined Natural Gas from a seasonality perspective. This week, we aim to extend that discussion and explore other ways to implement a similar view. To quickly recap: From a seasonality standpoint, we identified short-term opportunities for a downward move in Natural Gas. Factors such as higher-than-normal storage levels, unseasonably warm weather,...
Was curious to see the spread between the US National Debt and Real GDP. As we can see, the National Debt was sustainable prior to 2016 as productivity was greater, but this has since changed. How long can we continue this, especially with a looming recession aka reduced productivity in spite of continued deficit spending?
This is called the "Steepener" trade and refers to a mean reversion in the yield curve. From current level of (-38 basis points, or -0.38%), I'm targeting a move back to 1.00%, or ~70bp, risking down to about (-45bp), or about (-13bp) downside. Yield curve steepeners seek to gain from a greater spread between short- and long-term yields-to-maturity by combining...
The chart posted is the 10/2 spread that everyone is watching >it bottomed see golden ratio
Germany, Europe's economic powerhouse, has consistently delivered impressive performance since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the European debt crisis. This strong performance is rooted in Germany's strong manufacturing sectors and robust export activities. The country's economic strength is exemplified by the DAX's considerable outperformance of other...
Hello and welcome to this analysis CNX 500 after a very lengthy period of sideways correction that started in OCT 2021 has shown a very strong reversal in APRIL 2023. The relative strength chart has now given a fresh signal of further strengthening of CNX 500 over NIFTY, suggesting that CNX 500 stocks shall outperform NIFTY stocks for quite some time. It also...
As the world remains engrossed in the unfolding drama of the debt ceiling, we believe another event of significance deserves our attention. Let's take a brief detour into the annals of economic history, looking at the era of Abenomics. This term refers to the monetary policy instituted during Shinzo Abe's second term as Prime Minister of Japan. Abenomics rested...
$NQ_F short vs $ES_F long spread may begin working again. First sign of consolidation in a long time.
Natural gas made a stunning rally to an all-time high, only to come crashing back down again. It's been a while since we last covered natural gas, so let's take a look at what's happened since then. The previous technical & seasonality setup played out perfectly with the RSI bouncing off the low and the rally into the winter season, hitting our profit...