there is a confluence of time and fib levels, the market will fall in 1-4 weeks. what will be the narrative ? idk , there is an Elliott wave count that says this is a major yearly high, but I don't want to believe it cause that would be catastrophic for the world, I hope it's just a pullback of 10-15%.
Yesterday's FOMC meeting concluded with a decision to keep the monetary policy unchanged, leaving the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%. During the subsequent press conference, Jerome Powell outlined the solid state of the economy alongside heightened inflationary pressures. Notably, he disclosed plans to commence with the reduction in quantitative tightening...
SP500 is on track and is following the idea i shared some days ago. I expect a continuation of the drop till the 4800-4900 area, and probably the target will be hit in May/June. Here i will look for longs to hold till Q4 2024. Updates will follow
The SPX has rallied approximately 3.5% since its lows on 19th April 2024 and well into the two-day FOMC meeting that kicks off today. In line with general market expectations, we do not anticipate any change to the central bank’s monetary policy, and just like on previous occasions, we expect Jerome Powell to reiterate the FED’s commitment to fighting inflation...
Trading Plan for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024 Market Sentiment: Uncertain, with the potential for sharp swings amplified by the FOMC announcement. Increased caution and focus on capital preservation are paramount. Key Supports Major Supports: 5060 (major), 5043-47 (major), 5030-32 (major), 5000 (major) Additional Supports: 4976 (major), 4938-41 (major) Key...
ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5095 Upper lvls: 5115 / 5127 / 5137 Aggressive Inflection: 5076 Lower lvls: 5052-5056 / 5030-5038 / 5005 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 17628 Upper lvls: 17660 / 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17901-17937 Lower lvls: 17507 / 17356-17370 / 17283-17293 / 17163 SPX Pivot 5036 Stay Frosty!
Last time we looked at SPY (April 11, see chart below), we got what we wanted, a break below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that met our exact bearish expectation which was a -5.93% decline, absolutely symmetrical with August 18 2023: As the subsequent rebound got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line on the chart above), the question is the following: Is...
This ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell,...
This ES1 chart is the six + Europe and Asia trading sessions. this hasn't corrected properly in over a decade.... and this is what it looks like when they print trillions out of thin air, as "aid for Ukraine" which is then spent entirely on weapons or infrastructure supplied by our military industrial complex. we were warned about this shit. Orwell, ...
Economic events: USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr) USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr) USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar) USA - Crude Oil Inventories USA - FOMC Statement USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision USA - FOMC Press Conference On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline,...
Amazon announced its earnings for the first quarter of 2024 yesterday after the closing bell. The company reported net sales worth $143.3 billion, marking a 13% YoY increase, and net income of $10.4 billion, up 225% YoY. Operating income rose to $15.3 billion, representing a growth of 218% YoY, with the AWS segment contributing $9.4 billion to the figure and...
SPX has possibly completed forming Waves A and B of a complex expanded flat correction, and may be near starting its Wave C. More likely this is the case should TVC:DXY continue up to and above 112-115. See related chart linked below under related ideas. Another possibility is a running flat correction where it turns back up near the 100% fib instead.
The chart posted is my view of the wave structure it is forming . We had two legs of equal in the sp 500 up into 5123 from 4954 .I would be rather bearish BUT cycles are in a time frame coming up and I think I would see a rather complex structure in formation . We have had a.7.3 % Correction >So I have now taken a 40 % net long I did want to add at 5061/5058 ...
Sharing AMZN chart from the TTR We are short as of high of the day AMZN reports after the close The price has re-tested the broken ending diagonal channel from below, a bearish signal by itself. I will take one lotto put. Implied volatility for AMZN stock is about 8% in either direction
The SPX500 has lost momentum since yesterday. If the hourly RSI remains below 50, we may see lower prices in the short-term. Keep an eye on the daily RSI because if that slips it will affect the higher time frame's momentum. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos Trading Pty. Limited and Stratos Global LLC, (collectively “FXCM...
Trading Plan for Tuesday, April 30th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, within a consolidation period likely followed by a breakout. Exercise caution and patience with trades. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127-30, 5121 (major), 5108 Major Supports: 5083 (major), 5067 (major), 5039 (major) Key Resistances Near-term Resistance: 5136, 5150-55 (major),...
The daily chart has been bouncing since moving oversold around the 19th of April. The daily RSI has now moved to the positive side of the indicator. The SPX500 hourly chart still shows signs of positivity. Its stochasstic indicates a bullish momentum, with no short-term oversold signals. This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos...
Trading Plan for Monday, April 29th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, following a multi-day rally. However, proceed with caution as a period of price discovery and more complex action is likely after the strong movement. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5127 (major), 5117, 5102 (major), 5089 (major), 5082 Major Supports: 5068-72 (major), 5043 (major), 5034...