The S&P500 is highly overbought on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 77.490, MACD = 202.930, ADX = 73.429) and hasn't provided the slightest correction under the key 1D MA50 trendline since November 3rd 2023. In spite of that, the index can keep rising without providing such a correction, let alone enable us to time it. Its structure of this nonstop rise since...
Trading Plan for Monday, March 25th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, watching key support levels after the rally Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5284-88 (major), 5276, 5259 (major), 5245-48 (major), 5236, 5230, 5219-21 (major), 5213, 5208, 5200-5197 (major), 5191, 5186, 5177, 5168-71 (major), 5163, 5155, 5145...
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NYSE:RTX Well Fargo upgraded RTX yesterday and give it a $120 price target. I used this morning’s early pullback to get an early start on this one. It will not be a technical breakout until it moves over 92.81. My plan is to build an oversized position after it breaks out of this flat base. I will be patient but have a stop of no more than 3% loss. On another...
4H on SPX looks hella bearish. Insitutional orderflow looking great. I expect SPX to push lower. What do you think?
The S&P500 index hit yesterday the top of the 19 month Channel Up. That was the first time since it started trading. This is a strong sell signal and considering that the MA50 (1d) has been intact since the November 3rd 2023 bullish break out, we expect to cross under it now. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 4950 (-6.00%, 0.618 Fib...
I am back in $PLTR. I have an extensive post on this one which I will link below. Suffice to say I am bullish went long and manually closed the position as I did not like yesterday's action. I am back with a 1/2 size position. Lets see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:OKTA jumped over 22% at the open from earnings reported on February 29th. It had a wide range of trading that day and closed just under the open about midway through the candle. It has been digesting that big move on lower volume for sixteen “trading” days (3 weeks). I went long this yesterday on the break of the downtrend line (blue). It pulled back by...
NYSE:GTLS is in the energy space as an equipment manufacturer. One that may not come on your radar. The average price target on this is $197.68. USB just gave it a new “BUY” rating and a price target of $170. At the current price that implies a 16% move. At the average price target the implied move would be over 34%. Now the technical that I trade. This had...
Trading Plan for Friday, March 22nd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Cautious, watching key support levels Weekly Volatility Risk: High Supports to Watch: Immediate Supports: 5302 (major), 5298, 5286, 5282-79 (major), 5275, 5257, 5246-49 (major), 5236 (major), 5231, 5225, 5218 (major), 5212, 5208 (major), 5203, 5191-94 (major), 5179, 5169-71 (major), 5162, 5153-55...
AMEX:ARKK Mark Minervini made famous the VCP as a set-up. It is also simply a wedging pattern that can break either way. However, where there was a previous uptrend, like in this chart, the direction of the break is usually to the upside. The path of least resistance is a continuation of the previous trend. ARKK had a move of over 60% from the Oct 30th low to...
The black arrow/path is my near-term forecast, I expect price to trade along this trajectory. As the title indicates, the market is near-term bullish but don't enter long or add until Feb 27th for the following reasons: 1) chart perspective : The structure is setting up for a sustained break of 5039 to make a final leg higher to complete a smaller degree wave 5...
The chart says it all. PS: I have been continuously posting, but about 2 years ago the button of 'public' idea was switched to 'private' and apparently nothing was published publicly..
Last week began with a display of strong conviction from buyers, propelling price upwards towards the previous high (516.5). They managed to surpass it by a small margin, establishing a new historical high at 517.1. Unfortunately, bulls were unable to sustain momentum and build a new value zone, allowing bears to regain control and push price back towards the...
SPX was much sideways yesterday after the rally on FOMC the day earlier. SPX opened and moved up to first resistance before pulling back, but did not touch the bottom level. Some weakness towards the end of day as it is unable to go higher. Still SPX closed green. I said I will scalp for the pullback. It was not easy as there were "strange" rotations between...
Nike’s stock looks bullish over the longer-term after breaking up from a falling channel pattern on the daily chart1. If Nike receives a bullish reaction to its earnings print and remains above the 50-day SMA, the eight-day EMA will cross above the 21-day EMA, which would be bullish1. Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow added Nike to his top picks list, stating, "We...
Yesterday’s FOMC meeting ended as widely anticipated, with no change to monetary policy. During the press conference, the FED’s chairman reiterated the central bank’s commitment to bringing inflation under control and outlined a strong economy and tight labor market. Jerome Powell also described inflation as being on a downward trajectory and explained the need to...
In the infamous words of Mark Twain, we are analyzing today the S&P500 index (SPX) on the long-term 1W time-frame. This is a cyclical perspective obviously, attempting to find similarities between past and present price action, in anticipation of projecting the trend in the near future. As you can see, the index is replicating quite closely the 1W price action...