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SPX (S&P 500 Index)

$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 18, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Post-Fed digestion: Markets recalibrate after Wednesday’s 🚩 FOMC decision + Powell press conference. 💵 Dollar & yields watch: FX and Treasury moves reflect how traders interpret the Fed’s updated path. 💻 Tech + growth trade: Positioning in AMEX:XLK and high-beta names remains key as rates reset. 🛢️ Energy chatter: Oil volatility keeps AMEX:XLE and inflation hedges in focus. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Sep) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Conference Board Leading Economic Index (Aug) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #joblessclaims #economy #Dollar #bonds #tech #oil
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
S&P500 Risks drop to the 4H MA200 if MA50 fails.The S&P500 index (SPX) is experiencing a strong intra-day correction that just hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since September 05. As long as this holds, we expect a gradual rise, targeting 6800 (representing a +3.89% increase similar to July's). A 1D candle closing below the 4H MA50 however, has historically paved the way to more selling within the 4-month Channel Up, that touched the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) before rebounding. If that candle closing takes place, we will close the 4H MA50 buy on minimum loss and buy on the 4H MA200, targeting 6700 (sharp rebound similar to all 4H MA200 bounces). Keep also an eye on the 4H RSI Buy Zone. It has given the 5 most optimal buy entries during these 4 months. Note also that the 4H MA200 has been holding as Support since the April 25 break-out. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
ES (SPX) Analyses for Wed, Sep 17 - FOMC - Key ZonesBias: The weekly and daily trends are staying positive, with higher highs and higher lows. We're in an uptrend, but right now, we're hitting some resistance instead of pushing into new territory. Price-wise, we’re stuck in a range between two key levels: there’s some overhead resistance at 6678–6683 (that's the top of yesterday’s range and where things first started to react) and 6703 (which is a key point to watch). On the flip side, the lower support level is at 6653–6658 (this was the high from last week, and often when we retest it, it leads to buying). Here’s what it all means: If we can stay above 6653–6658 and get rejected around 6678–6683, it might be a good idea to take some short positions back down to that support level. If we do manage to reclaim the lower support after a dip or if we break above 6703, we could continue upward to around 6720–6724, then maybe 6744–6750, and even 6760–6765. If the bias shifts, like if we see price acceptance below 6653, that could signal a sell-off targeting 6643, then 6627, and possibly down to 6611–6618. On the other hand, if we see acceptance above 6703, it could bring back some long momentum. Setups (Level-KZ 15m→5m→1m) LONG — Sweep & Reclaim at 6653–6658 (LIS) Idea: Liquidity grab into LIS, then buyers step back in. 15m trigger: Wick through 6653–6658 that closes back ≥ 6658. 5m confirm: Re-close up through 6664–6666 with a higher low. 1m entry: First HL pullback that holds 6659–6662. Hard SL: Below the 15m sweep wick ±0.25–0.50. • Targets: TP1 6678–6683, TP2 6703, TP3 6720–6724 (leave runner for 6744–6750). SHORT — Rejection Fade at 6678–6683 (overhead) Idea: First test into the box top fails; sell the rally back inside. 15m trigger: Probe 6678–6683 that closes back ≤ 6675. 5m confirm: Lower high + re-close down through 6672–6674. 1m entry: First LH retest 6679–6682 that fails. Hard SL: Above the 15m rejection wick ±0.25–0.50. • Targets: TP1 6666–6668, TP2 6653–6658, TP3 6638–6643. • Skip if TP1 < 2.0R versus your wick stop. We might see some compression before the FOMC meeting, especially in the early afternoon. It’s probably best to just react to any trades at the edges. The real action usually kicks off between 2:00 and 2:35 pm when the statement comes out and the Q&A starts. In the morning, there’ll be some mixed signals with housing data at 8:30, EIA at 10:30, and the VIX settling, which could cause some quick, random spikes. Just treat those as noise unless they really break through your levels. And don’t forget, the flows leading into Friday’s OPEX can really amp up the swings after the FOMC. The gamma profile tends to reset after the press conference too.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
7
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Fed Day: All eyes on the FOMC decision + Powell press conference — this will lock in the September rate path. 📉 Positioning risk: Funds lightened up into Tuesday’s Retail Sales; volatility likely post-Fed. 💻 Tech leadership in focus: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , and AI plays driving AMEX:XLK flows ahead of macro. 🛢️ Crude swings: Energy price stability remains an inflation sentiment wildcard. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Aug) ⏰ 10:30 AM — EIA Petroleum Status Report ⏰ 🚩 2:00 PM — FOMC Policy Decision + SEP (dot plot) ⏰ 🚩 2:30 PM — Powell Press Conference ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #FOMC #Powell #Fed #housing #energy #bonds #Dollar #megacaps
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
Day 31 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$24 Near Breakeven“I actually started the day rough — down nearly -400 overnight after an oversized short on that early X7 sell signal. That put me close to my stop-loss limit, so I forced myself to wait for 2–3 confirmations before entering again. By slowing down and focusing only on high-probability trades, I was able to grind my way back to nearly breakeven — closing the day at just -24. The key lesson? Overleveraging at night cost me what could have been an easy green day. Discipline around size is just as important as reading the signals.” News Context: “On the macro side, Bessent said a 25 basis-point cut is already priced in. No surprises there, but it reinforces why the market isn’t reacting much to Fed talk at this point.” Key Levels for Tomorrow: “Here’s what I’ll be watching: Above 6660 = Stay bullish Below 6645 = Flip bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
ES (SPX) - Analyses - Key zones - Trade Setups for Tue, Sep 16Bias: BUY DIPS into 6653–6643. Continuation long on 15m acceptance ≥ 6722–6726 with a 5m hold. Counter-trend short only on a clean 15m rejection at 6722–6726 (2.0R gate). Why bullish bias (even with short fade allowed) So, here’s why I’m leaning bullish (but I’m cool with a short fade now and then): First off, when you check out the higher time frame (HTF), the trend is up. It’s usually a better bet to buy when prices dip rather than trying to call the top. Then there's the risk situation: if we look at support around 6638–6643 and resistance levels at 6678/6700, we can set up for a nice 2R–3R trade with tight stops based on the 15-minute chart. As for shorts, we’re going against the trend here. The only reason to short would be if we hit major resistance around 6722–6726. But if we don’t see a proper rejection, I’m not going to push it—I’ll just stick to going long. Setups: Long — Dip Buy (primary) • Zone: 6653–6658 (Support-Initial) → 6638–6643 (Support-Next). • Trigger: 15m reclaims support (body back above) → 5m re-close up with HL → 1m HL entry. • SL: under the 15m trigger-low −0.25/−0.50. • TPs: 6678–6683 → 6700–6706 (then trail only after TP2). Tomorrow’s key U.S. events (ET) • Retail Sales & Core Retail Sales — 8:30 (consumer pulse; can move index futures). • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization — 9:15. • NAHB Housing Market Index — 10:00. • Import/Export Price Indexes — 8:30. • Treasury bill auctions (4- & 8-week; supply headline). • FOMC (two-day) begins Tue; decision & SEP/dot plot Wed. • Monthlies/OPEX: Fri Sep 19 (flows can affect tape later in week). Long — Acceptance Continuation (secondary) • Flip condition: 15m full-body ≥ 6722–6726 and 5m holds ≥ 6720–6722. • Entry: 6721–6723 HL retest. • SL: under the 15m trigger-low −0.25/−0.50. • TPs: 6760–6765 → 6804–6808. Short — Rejection Fade (counter-trend, extremes only) • Zone: Resistance — Major 6722–6726 (or 6700–6706 if Major remains untagged). • Trigger: 15m sweep & body back inside → 5m LH re-close → 1m fail/reclaim sell. • SL: 15m sweep-high +0.50. • TPs: 6678–6683 → 6653–6658 → 6638–6643.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Day 30 — Trading Only S&P Futures | One-Month MarkDay 30 of Trading Only S&P Futures is in the books! I started the day a little rough, down -100 from an overnight trade, but patience paid off. Watching NQ DD buy signals kept me from forcing shorts early, and SPX gamma levels showed 6620 as the top. Once we hit it, I shorted and played the range for steady gains, finishing with a clean MOB bounce for +196.94. Big milestone here — 30 straight days of trading only the S&P Futures. The consistency is starting to show, and the lessons are stacking up fast. 📰 News Highlights VIX jumped 6% while the market gained 0.5% — an odd divergence worth watching. 🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow= Above 6645 = Remain Bullish Below 6635 = Flip Bearish
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by DiYWALLST
S&P500 | H1 Rising Wedge | GTradingMethodHello again Traders 🧐 Market Overview: The S&P is forming a rising wedge on the 1H chart. I don’t usually trade this pattern, but with the price approaching the wedge top, I see a potential short opportunity worth a small risk. On the 4H chart, there’s an even larger rising wedge at play. My instinct is still that this could turn into a fake-out, so I’m monitoring lower timeframes for short setups that align with the bigger picture. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 9.45 Entry: 6 621.4 Stop Loss: 6 631.0 Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 546.2 Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 487.4 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next idea and please share your thoughts – I’d like to hear them. 📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
2
SPX500 Holds Below 6,590 Pivot – Key Breakout Levels AheadSPX500 – Overview The S&P 500 is showing bullish momentum but remains sensitive to the 6,590 pivot for confirmation of the next move. 📉 Bearish scenario: As long as price trades below 6,590, momentum favors a drop toward 6,571. A confirmed break under 6,571 would open the way to 6,550 → 6,527. 📈 Bullish scenario: A 1H close above 6,590 would shift bias bullish, targeting 6,604 → 6,631. Key Level Pivot: 6,590 Resistance: 6,604 – 6,631 Support: 6,571 – 6,550 – 6,527
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: rte-cut hypeJust a week before the September FOMC meeting, the S&P 500 reached another fresh, new all-time highest level at 6.594 at Friday's trading session. The index managed to gain another 1,6% for the week. The latest move is sort of gearing-up for the forthcoming FOMC meeting, where the market is expecting to see a 25 bps cut by FED officials. The jobs and inflation figures posted during the week, showed further stabilisation in inflation levels, but also weakening of the US jobs market. Both figures are supportive of the Fed to make a decision over a quarter-point rate cut. However, analysts are noting that the tone and rhetoric of Fed Chair Powell in after the meeting press conference on September 17th, will be crucial for the next move of US equity markets. Certainly, this will mark the most important day for financial markets in the week ahead. Tech companies are again the ones that are driving the market to the higher grounds, TSLA gained 7,36% on Friday, continuing a recent upward trend. Despite no major announcements from Tesla, the stock has gained nearly 12% over the past week, driven by investor optimism that declining interest rates could boost car sales. The artificial intelligence tech firm Super Micro Computer jumped 6% after announcing it had begun volume shipments of its Nvidia Blackwell Ultra solutions to customers globally. Warner Bros Discovery rose nearly 8%, building on Thursday’s 29% surge, after reports in the news indicated that Paramount Skydance is preparing a takeover offer.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
ES — Week Ahead (Sep 15–19) — Fundamentals & Key Risk WindowsMacro focus: FOMC (Wed 2:00/2:30 pm ET), plus Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Philly Fed, and LEI. Calendar (ET): Tue 9/16 • Retail Sales (Aug) 8:30 — Census schedule confirms Sep 16, 8:30 am release. • Industrial Production (Aug) 9:15 — G.17 release calendar shows Sep 16 at 9:15 am. • NAHB Housing Market Index (Sep) 10:00 — NAHB schedule sets Sep 16, 10:00 am. • FOMC (Day 1) begins — Fed calendar. Wed 9/17 • Housing Starts/Permits (Aug) 8:30 — Census/HUD note next report Sep 17, 8:30 am. • FOMC Statement 2:00 / Powell 2:30 — Fed event calendar. Thu 9/18 • Initial Jobless Claims 8:30 — DOL weekly; last print 263k (spike tied to TX/fraud anomalies). • Philly Fed (MBOS) 8:30 — 3rd Thu schedule. • Conference Board LEI 10:00 — next release Sep 18, 10:00 am. Fri 9/19 • State Employment (Aug) 10:00 — BLS schedule. • (FYI for next week: Existing Home Sales (Aug) Tue Sep 23, 10:00 am.) Context to watch: • Markets widely expect a 25 bp cut at the Sep 16–17 FOMC; path/“dots” and Powell’s tone matter more than the cut size. • Michigan sentiment (prelim) fell to 55.4 with inflation expectations elevated (1-yr 4.8%, 5-yr 3.9%). Tomorrow (Mon 9/15) — Trade Plan Kill-zones (ET): NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00. News risk: NAHB 10:00 (size down or wait 2–3m around print) Long from support 6586 → TP1 6600 • 15m trigger: Rejection at 6586 (close ≥ 6587 after testing ≤ 6585). • 5m confirm: Higher-low + close ≥ 6588. • 1m entry: First retest that closes back above 6587. • Hard SL: 15m wick low − 0.25–0.50. • TP1: 6600 (book 70%, runner 30% @ BE). • TP2 (runner): 6606.25. Short from resistance 6600 → TP1 6586 • 15m trigger: Rejection at 6600 (close < 6596.5 after probing ≥ 6598.5). • 5m confirm: Lower-high + close < 6596.0. • 1m entry: First retest that closes back below 6596.5. • Hard SL: 15m wick high + 0.25–0.50. • TP1: 6586 (book 70%, runner 30% @ BE). • TP2 (runner): 6581.50. Weekly plan—how fundamentals change our timing • Tue AM (Retail Sales 8:30 / IP 9:15 / HMI 10:00): Expect a more directional NY AM; trade level→level but avoid first prints by ±3–5m. • Wed (FOMC 2:00/2:30): Treat NY PM as the main event; no positions carried into 1:55–2:35 unless already at TP1 with runner @ BE. • Thu (Claims/Philly/LEI): 8:30–10:00 stack can create a trend morning; trade acceptance if a 15m body prints through a level.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
"US500 BREAKOUT – TIME TO LOAD LIMIT ORDERS FOR THE PUMP?"🔥🦹‍♂️ "SPX500 BANK HEIST – LAYERED BULL RAID IN PROGRESS!" 💰📈 (Thief Trader’s Multi-Limit Order Bullish Ambush – No Weak Hands Allowed) 📍 ASSET: US500 / SPX500 (S&P 500 INDEX) 🎯 HEIST PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT 6500.00 💣 ENTRY: ANY PRICE LEVEL (Thieves use Layered Limit Orders – adapt like a pro!) 🔫 SAMPLE LAYERS: (Scale in like a boss!) BUY LIMIT LAYER 1: 6475.00 BUY LIMIT LAYER 2: 6460.00 BUY LIMIT LAYER 3: 6440.00 (Add more layers if needed – flexibility is key!) 🛑 STOP LOSS: 6400.00 (Thief’s Emergency Exit – adjust based on your risk!) 🎯 TARGET: 6600.00 (First profit zone – trail or take gains!) 🦹‍♂️ THIEF TRADER’S MASTER PLAN: "We don’t ask for permission – we take profits." 🔹 ENTRY TACTICS: Use multiple limit orders (LAYERED STRATEGY) – like planting timed explosives at key levels. No panic entries – thieves strike with precision, not emotion. DCA if needed – but keep bullets for the real move. 🔹 STOP LOSS RULES: 6400 = Danger Zone – if price breaks, abort mission & regroup. SL too tight? You’ll get stopped out by market noise. SL too wide? You’ll bleed. Find balance. 🔹 TAKE PROFIT STRATEGY: First TP @ 6600 – secure partial profits. Let runners ride with trailing stop – or full exit if momentum fades. 🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES: ✅ Only LONG – no revenge shorts, no greed traps. ✅ Trade in SILENCE – avoid high-impact news (CPI, NFP, Fed). ✅ Risk management = Survival – don’t blow your account on one play. ✅ BOOST & SHARE – if this plan helps, spread the word! 📢 FINAL WARNING: "This is not financial advice – it’s a thief’s blueprint. Plan your escape before entry. Market heists require discipline." 💬 COMMENT "ROBBING SPX" if you’re in! 🔥 LIKE & BOOST if you ride with the Thief Trader crew! 🦹‍♂️ THIEF TRADER OUT. 💸 STEAL SMART. GET RICH. REPEAT.
BLACKBULL:SPX500Long
by The-Thief
3
PFE is forming a trough no questions asked! 3Ms is so oversold !Using only the Money flow index is dangerous game do your own analysis!... The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that uses price and volume to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a security, similar to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) but incorporating volume data. It's a momentum oscillator ranging from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 often suggesting an overbought market (potential sell signal) and readings below 20 indicating an oversold market (potential buy signal). Traders use the MFI to confirm price trends, identify divergences (warnings of trend reversals), and gauge investor conviction behind price moves
NYSE:PFELong
by samitrading
SPX500 Holds Below 6,590 Pivot After Hitting 6,600 TargetSPX500 – Overview The S&P 500 reached our 6,600 target following softer inflation data that reinforced Fed rate-cut expectations. Price is now stabilizing below the 6,590 pivot, signaling the potential for a near-term pullback. 📉 Bearish scenario: While trading below 6,590, momentum favors a drop toward 6,571. A confirmed break under this level could extend the decline to 6,550 → 6,527. 📈 Bullish scenario: A 1H close above 6,590 would shift bias bullish, opening the way toward 6,604 → 6,631. Key Levels Pivot: 6,590 Resistance: 6,604 – 6,631 Support: 6,571 – 6,550 – 6,527 Bias: Bearish while below 6,590; bullish breakout confirmed only on a 1H close above this pivot.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
ES (SPX) Futures Analyses for tomorrow Sep 12Overnight Expect balance 6586–6596 with a modest bullish tilt. If ON accepts >6596.5, drift toward 6603–6606 is likely before NY. Tomorrow (NY session) Base case: Early range, then acceptance >6596.5 (close + clean retest) → expansion to 6606 → 6612 → 6616–6619 (HTF extension band). Failure path: Rejection at 6596–6600 and acceptance <6586 → rotate 6581 → 6577; deeper only if 6577 fails (then 6566/6556). Fundamentals (times ET) 10:00 — Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim, Sep). This is the only major macro print on deck; expect a 2–5m whipsaw around the release, then directional follow-through after displacement. Today’s context: CPI (Aug) came in +0.4% m/m, +2.9% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, and Initial Jobless Claims rose to 263k (week ending Sep 6). Together: inflation still sticky but labor softening—into tomorrow this supports “range→up unless 6586 breaks.”
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by MyAlgoIndex
1
Melt-Up into FOMC - Post FED Expect CorrectionMore all-time highs I shouldn't be upset (and I'm really not as the portfolio continues to make new YTD highs) But technically, it is extremely frustrating to see nothing more than slow grind higher after slwo grind higher on the indexes - and also see blowout moves on individual stocks (ORCL, GOOGL, AVGO for example) Rising Wedge still hasn't rolled over, resistance at 6500 hasn't been a wall yet 50 Day Moving Average is now over 90 bars from price. I could see price action melting up into a crescendo or peak pre, during, or post FOMC and then fading lower after to find some technical levels I've been eyeing for weeks Enjoy the melt-up, just be ready for some action and volatility in the indexes, gold, silver, bitcoin, and the bond/yield markets I won't complain about YTD highs, but it's the caution ahead that I don't want to be surprised by in the coming weeks Plan accordingly - I'll continue to grind through it the best and safest way I know how Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
S&P500 | Daily rising wedge | GTradingMethodGood morning fellow traders, S&P price action is tightening inside a rising wedge on the daily chart, with volume steadily dropping. Rising wedges often signal potential reversals, but with CPI on deck, volatility could go either way. My guess, price tests top of rising wedge, finds resistance and down we go - a long way down. Keen to hear your thoughts on whether CPI is going to be a catalyst for a breakout or breakdown?
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by GTradingMethod
6
SPX500 Awaits CPI – Pivot 6,527 in Focus (Details Below...)SPX500 – Overview U.S. futures were flat Thursday as traders awaited the August CPI report, which could shape expectations for a potential 50bps Fed rate cut next week. Earnings from Kroger and Adobe are also due. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained +0.3% and the Nasdaq +0.03% to fresh record highs after a surprise drop in PPI and strong Oracle guidance, while the Dow fell -0.48% on Apple weakness. Technical Outlook 📉 Below 6,527 → bearish momentum may extend to 6,506 → 6,490 → 6,470. 📈 Above 6,527 → bullish bias continues toward 6,550 → 6,565, with a potential push to 6,600 if CPI comes in softer (<2.9%). ⚠️ A hotter CPI print could trigger sharp downside volatility. Key Levels Pivot: 6,527 Resistance: 6,550 – 6,565 – 6,600 Support: 6,506 – 6,490 – 6,470
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi