We didnt get a move down off am highs as I was hoping for, gap up above 4020-35 happen, so the move lower is off the table. Now 4025 and 4015 are 2 main supports to hold for next week to continue advance. 4085 is next target. This still can be a fakeout and if we close below am open, and especially below 4015SPX it will be bearish and I will be looking for 3925...
Hi everyone! Im still battling with timing on the high and potential crash this/next month. We either bottom this month, we have interest rate decision on the 21st and then up into Oct 3rd week where the turn suppose to happen and last into EOM or even Nov. My timing showing a low in Oct/Nov. There is a chance for us to see 4425! but the lows we just had must...
Here is my SPX update I sent out to those who are on my email list: Ideally we see lower open on Sunday and maybe Monday and then push higher into the cash open on Tuesday (we already got the first part), that would be bullish. Also, I wont rule out a move down to 3840-50ES on Monday and 12k NQ and reverse to open green on Tuesday, that would be very bullish...
Futs are down and it seems the flush continues! Must hold the 3910-43 cluster tomorrow or it opens the door for low 3800! Absolute must hold is at 3890-3900 tomorrow am, right at the support trendline! If it holds and reverses tomorrow, we should go up into the 5th high, ideally we see 4080-4135 at min Have a good night
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% SPX, 75% Cash. *Equities, Equity Futures and Gold are all slightly down to start the week while Cryptos, VIX, Energy and US Treasuries are up and DXY has stayed relatively flat. The Risk-Off reaction to Jerome Powell's hawkish comments in Jackson Hole last Friday is continuing into the start of this...
I had no time to post this last night, but I did the ES. We did hit my upper target at 4210-20, reversed and never looked back! Was looking for this move for several days now, but it came so big, I didnt expect to have so much of a move in 1 day. This gives me more confidence on my lower target zone to hit 3930-50SPX So for today's close 2 very important...
Morning, quick update here Lets see if we close below 4145 again, then we are going down into the 29th low I have a main resistance to hit at 4166+-, above it it can stretch to 4175-76, should hold the night highs today and make a lower high during the regular hours imo Im going to short 4166 and 4175-76 with a stop Im currently long ES from 4148, tight stop there
SPX flagging, there is a good setup for a good size gap down tomorrow. Again has to gap down below 4255-57SPX to mark the top being in place (reference to March topping pattern) If we gap down to 4189-4207SPX (the bottom of the channel) and hold it early from the open, then I will go long for a move up into the close. If this is what will play out, then we...
Quick update. The price needs to gap down tomorrow below 4255-57 to confirm the top being in place. Usually this type of the move trap bulls for long, so as long as we gap down hard tomorrow, I can mark the top being in. There is still a room to squeeze to 4330-34, but Im not really playing it unless I see a good setup. If we gap up tomorrow, will have to...
Hello everyone, We have a very clear 3 wave structure here that has extended the 3rd over the 1.618% fib extension after breaking up from the ending diagonal in the intermediate 4th wave position. I wouldn't expect SP500 to fill the 3,800 or 3,600 gap anytime soon guys. So I think 4,000 or maybe , possibly over shot 3,900 worst case IMO. The 1 fib level will...
SPX needs to break 4245 to be bearish on this move, otherwise still in the trend channel. Watching 4248-52 level, can be a good r/r long there at least for a bounce with a stop below 45
Expected a high being hit today, we got it. Expected a close below 4308.5SPX, we got it. Expected a red close, got it only on NASDAQ and Small Caps. As long as we stay below 4340SPX we should see lower is my next expectation. VIX (see my update earlier) has a clear ISH pattern. Main support is 4177SPX Tomorrow must watch numbers are - 4285 and especially 75,...
Ideal target has been met! Watch to close below 4308.50, ideally we close red, tomorrow will be a bigger sell off with the bounce on the 18th. The target zone is at 4300-33, it can stretch into 20s, I will short it there, or short if we close below 4308.50 Timing should be right as per my last night update. I will post a zoomed out chart after the close with...
Nothing much to add since my most recent updates. The price is in the target zone I had for a while now. Was expecting a good size pullback, never happened. Im still in some trapped ES short, as well as RTY from Fri close and some SPY puts. We got right into the Yellow dotted line I had for months now, its the main resistance line and right in our 4308SPX target...
Nothing much I can add, but few things: Lots of evidence of the market hitting the ceiling - SPX is at 61.8 fib retracement, very important to watch - Added a trendline off Feb 2020 and Sep 2020 highs, we are right at the resistance zone. - Main target (4308-30) is getting close to hit with no 4th wave pullback but relentless grind in a C wave up. - Weekly...
SPX500 has dropped 25% from its peak on Jan 22. It has recouped around 14.5% loss and it is above 200 EMA. The trend appears to have reversed. The market is in a bull phase now. It is safe to be long if the market is above 4,200 levels.
- VIX gave a long signal and short signal for the markets, same as we had on the 29th of July. Tomorrow we have a directional change as well as Fri with clear low on the 16th. I would like to see a good move lower starting tomorrow or Fri and a gap down on Monday. Volatility spike on Monday supports my view on this possible outcome. And then reversal day on...
Im watching 3992 and 3938-40SPX zone for a possible support zone by Aug 16th. Should stay below the broken channel and gap down tomorrow