We got my green open but it didnt really continue, I did few longs, still have one running in case its bottoming here But wont be surprised of bigger down days to come, 27th should mark some sort of a low in turn around Tuesday. I think we hit 3680 at min, be careful on the long side. The price is so weak cant even bounce much, means consolidation for lower...
We've broken out of the downward trend line, and have double bottomed at support. Short term bullish technically speaking , but who knows what will happen with CPI numbers tomorrow. Be careful!
Main resistance for the SPX is: - 3942 - 3952-60 Support cluster is still the same: - 3802-3817 - 3750-55 and much lower (check my last SPX update) Im currently long ES and some SPY calls and will be adding to my swing short NQ position tomorrow and ideally on Wednesday. - 3955 and 3975 are the 2 numbers where I will be adding to my short position. In case of...
SPX is at the end of a cycle and assuming that the crisis will continue, it is in a C wave in my opinion. My estimated target price for wave C is as I have shown.
I did post this warning on Sep 12th as well as emailed to those who are on my email list. Check the MACD on that day and now! It created a hook and continued lower, bearish! Some people noted and didnt get trapped on that day, it was daily high close DO NOT GET TRAPPED Today!!! Dont short this red whole! Have to leave, will be back in few hours, again dont...
I was sleeping in today, no point to trade this market but hold swing short position. Mid Bollinger or 20MA crossed 110MA on daily, not a good sign for the bulls. MACD is still making new lows. This seems to get to 3680SPX by the FOMC decision or right after. Main resistance now is at 4030-45SPX Mid resistance is at 3970-85SPX and I think we wont get above on...
MoM economic reports are beginning to show very meager results. Optimism is slowly fading out, and we're starting to have more bears in the market. Impact from interest rate hikes will take a while to show. Middle and lower income are feeling the pinch, but the market has been more resilient as we have learnt from history. The retail stock market hasn't come to...
I want quickly update the SPX chart. 2 scenarios: 1 - we gap down tomorrow 2 - we hold the lows and go up in am First scenario: Support is at 3885-86SPX And nothing till 3800-20 I would be looking for 3775 and ideally 3680 as the main targets before or buy 20-21st. Second scenario is we see 3970-85SPX tomorrow and sell off into above outlined numbers by...
I did warn about this possible outcome early Monday am All we need is to gap down tomorrow (which has a high probability now as we closed below 3955 and especially 3935) Then the downside targets will be 3775 and even 3680. It can even stretch to 3450 if Jun lows are broken. Only a gap up tomorrow can save from this pathway for now. Dont pay attention to the...
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% SPX, 65% Cash. *August CPI surprised to the upside by increasing 0.1% to finish 8.3% higher than the year before compared to 8.1% consensus estimates, sending Equities, Cryptos, Commodities, Euro and Futures into the red. Today's winners are once again a combination of DXY, US Treasuries and VIX....
Not being able to even test 4k zone, we should see my 3955 and ultimately 3935-40 4003-10 is the main resistance level. Im going to short 4020-25ES with a tight stop
Its all about 4125-35, 4150-60 and 4202SPX now. All 3 are resistance levels! Support is at 4085-90 and 4025, below it we should see 3955SPX Im not sure about the exact pathway, so my game plan is to short 4145-60 and 4202 zone. If we breakout I will flip for a trip back to 4285-92 and even over 4300SPX Please note, that this can even extend to 4425 just to screw...
I want to present a very possible pathway in case MACD will make a hook like turn, which is very bearish! I saw this many times, when everyone is cheering bullish and looking for that golden cross and all they get is a the hook formation (zoomed in and outlined at the bottom of the chart) So far MACD is still way below 0, RSI is at 50 level and could make a lower...
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 70% SPX, 30% Cash. *Equities Futures, Precious Metals, EURUSD and Cryptos are up slightly while DXY and US Treasuries are down before market open this week. All eyes will be on August CPI this Tuesday, if it comes in at consensus (8.1%) or lower, markets will likely rally in the near term; however, in the...
We didnt get a move down off am highs as I was hoping for, gap up above 4020-35 happen, so the move lower is off the table. Now 4025 and 4015 are 2 main supports to hold for next week to continue advance. 4085 is next target. This still can be a fakeout and if we close below am open, and especially below 4015SPX it will be bearish and I will be looking for 3925...
Hi everyone! Im still battling with timing on the high and potential crash this/next month. We either bottom this month, we have interest rate decision on the 21st and then up into Oct 3rd week where the turn suppose to happen and last into EOM or even Nov. My timing showing a low in Oct/Nov. There is a chance for us to see 4425! but the lows we just had must...
This is a cross asset technical analysis on the S&P500 Index (SPX) on the 1M (monthly) time-frame. The symbols included are the Personal Savings Rate (orange trend-line), the Yield Curve Inversion (teal trend-line) and the % of Domestic Banks tightening (black trend-line). ** Personal Savings ** A little background info on what each symbol means. The Personal...
SPXUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 25% SPX, 75% Cash. *Equities, Equity Futures and Gold are all slightly down to start the week while Cryptos, VIX, Energy and US Treasuries are up and DXY has stayed relatively flat. The Risk-Off reaction to Jerome Powell's hawkish comments in Jackson Hole last Friday is continuing into the start of this...