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$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Thursday Feb 5, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Thursday Feb 5, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🧠 AI Cost Reckoning Big Tech spending fears intensify after GOOGL capex shock and AMD collapse, forcing markets to question AI profitability timelines 🏭 Hardware vs Software Divide Capex-heavy AI buildouts favor chip and infrastructure suppliers while pressure mounts on software margins 💊 Healthcare Rotation Accelerates LLY strength highlights capital rotation out of volatile Tech into durable growth healthcare ⚖️ Macro Crosscurrents Weak ADP payrolls clash with strong services data, keeping recession and no-landing narratives in conflict 🛡️ Defensive Repositioning Gold stabilizes as investors hedge against Tech volatility and labor market uncertainty 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Thursday Feb 5 ET 8:30 AM Initial jobless claims Jan 31: 212,000 delayed release due to shutdown 10:50 AM Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #AI #GOOGL #AMD #Macro #Jobs #Gold #Healthcare #Markets #Stocks #Options
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
WAVE 5 target 7031 plus or minus 2The sp 500 has declined today in what seems to be an ABC decline and has held support at 6833 the low is 6839 I have labeled this as wave B in wave 5 of my diagonal wave C of 5 is a target of 7031 By if we are to have anything short of this target it would be 7006 in which wave C of 5 would be .786 of the Wave A I maintain The top is on 2/9 peak the window is no more that 2/11 open So The damage in my work in IGV in my super cycle peak is clear what lies ahead in 2026 They are running with both hands into the oldest the DJI i still need a print of 50100 to 50540 into feb 9 to call The TOP . stand ready best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
6
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Wednesday Feb 4, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🧠 AI Reversal Setup AMD earnings confirm AI chip demand is accelerating, resetting sentiment for NVDA AVGO MU and the broader semi complex 📉 Tech Shakeout Exhaustion Tuesday’s Nasdaq selloff looks like a leverage flush ahead of real earnings confirmation rather than a trend break 💰 Inflation Hedge Resilience Gold and Silver rebound sharply, signaling investors are not abandoning inflation protection despite recent liquidation 👷 Labor Market Stability Steady job openings and ADP data reinforce the no-landing narrative heading into Friday’s payrolls 🏦 Fed Noise Returns Lisa Cook remarks late in the day could reintroduce rate volatility after markets ignored recent Fed warnings 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Wednesday Feb 4 ET 8:15 AM ADP employment Jan: 45,000 9:45 AM S&P final U.S. services PMI Jan: 52.5 10:00 AM ISM services Jan: 53.5% 6:30 PM Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks ⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #AMD #NVDA #AI #ISM #ADP #Macro #Earnings #Stocks #Options
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Opening (IRA): SPY February 27th 590/600/725/735 Iron Condor... for a 1.29 credit. Comments: More of an engagement/boredom trade than anything else. Selling the 10 delta short options and buying the wings out from there to generate a 75% POP (Probability of Profit) setup that pays in the neighborhood of 10% of the width of the wings. Metrics: Max Profit: 1.29 ($129) Buying Power Effect: 8.71 ($871) ROC at Max: 14.81% 50% Max: .65 ($65) ROC at 50% Max: 7.41% Will look to adjust on side test or on side approaching worthless.
AMEX:SPY
by NaughtyPines
Updated wave structure for the Cash sp 500 Major turn is at hand Under the current wave structure and Fib relationships within the waves We have forming a Major Top The breakdown in IGV is the canary in the coal mine and The 10 and 20 year bonds markets show a breakdown forming The rotation is nearing the end of what I call the game of MUSICAL CHAIRS is just about over The RUG PUT is Close I was hoping to see One last gasp up above 7021 to 7081 midpoint 7044 zone for about nine months I have stated The top should be seen in the 6981 to 7031 I Am Happy to have seen the market Hold up But the charts show rotation ending . The market based on CYCLES is starting the weak seasonal first down leg I have a cluster of Spiral pointing at 2/9/2026 for The TOP BUT rallies are weaker and weaker So has of tonight I took a 75 % long PUTS deep in the money in the SPY for 2028 and 2027 . The blowoff it gold and silver and then the freefall shows me there is little support and change in ASSETS to roll over is started We are at a muti year trendline IGV and it should take out the april 7 panic low Easy ! best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
13
S&P Wheel Spinning Around Fibo 161. End Of TrendLast time I’ve published about the S&P was in mid November, 2025 mentioning higher time frames like the weekly and the monthly charts. And I was expecting a downtrend to start in January (I know, we are in February), I’ve even mentioned to a couple of friends. Though I remind you that the Stoch RSI on the monthly chart has crossed downwards as expected. I’ve also mentioned before that every financial report is expecting a recession mid 2026 and if everybody is expecting and declaring the same thing, either it doesn’t happen or it happens earlier by another reason. I might be wrong but I’m publishing what I’m observing and seeing on the charts. As you know, these time frames take a bit time to form. And as we see on the daily chart, the bars on are struggling around Fibonacci 161 level. An indicator that we have reached the end of the trend. And the RSI is having a huge negative divergence which is kind of scary. In addition, Nvdia cannot move upwards and having a similar appearance - which is like a Wycoff distribution. And Bitcoin is another thing to pay attention to. It’s being beaten up bad. I was expecting Btc to go as low as 74,000 level but seems like it will bounce and go lower than this for another round. (Possible to go as low as 45-50,000 level.) Bitcoin moves first (either way), the stock market follows. All of these might turn out to be wrong but time will tell.
TVC:SPXShort
by erdem_bilgin
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Feb 3, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Tuesday Feb 3, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🧠 AI Earnings Reset PLTR blowout restores confidence in enterprise AI demand with read-through to AI SOUN and broader software 🏭 Manufacturing Re-Acceleration Strong ISM manufacturing confirms expansion and shifts narrative away from recession fears toward real-economy growth 💾 Memory Supply Crunch Rotation continues from compute into storage as SNDK MU and WDC benefit from AI data bottlenecks 💰 Anti-Fiat Stabilization Gold and crypto attempt to base after forced liquidation as markets digest Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination 📉 Dip-Buying Psychology Equities absorb weekend panic as capital rotates out of crowded hedges and back into stocks 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Tuesday Feb 3 ET 9:45 AM - S&P final U.S. services PMI Jan: 52.5 10:00 AM - Job openings JOLTS Dec: 7.1 million - ISM services Jan: 53.5% ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #PLTR #AI #ISM #JOLTS #Macro #Earnings #Stocks #Options
AMEX:SPY
by TrendTao
2
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Week of Feb 2–6, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Week of Feb 2–6, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 💥 Anti-Fiat Unwind Gold, Silver, and Crypto suffer forced liquidation as capital rotates out of crowded hedges 🧠 AI Earnings Take Center Stage GOOGL, AMZN, PLTR headline a second straight AI earnings stress test week 🏭 Manufacturing vs Services Split Weak manufacturing data contrasts with resilient services, complicating the growth narrative 👷 Labor Market Reality Check ADP, Jobless Claims, and Friday’s Jobs Report will drive Fed cut expectations 🌏 Emerging Market Pressure India budget selloff highlights fragility across EM, raising spillover risk to EEM 📅 Post-FOMC Re-Pricing Markets digest last week’s Fed tone through hard data instead of rhetoric 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data — Feb 2 to Feb 6 (ET) MONDAY, FEB. 2 - TBA Auto sales Jan | Previous: 16.1M - 9:45 AM S&P flash U.S. manufacturing PMI Jan | Previous: 51.9 - 10:00 AM ISM manufacturing Jan | Actual: 48.4 | Forecast: 47.9 TUESDAY, FEB. 3 - 9:45 AM S&P final U.S. services PMI Jan | Previous: 52.5 - 10:00 AM Job openings Dec | Actual: 7.1M | Previous: 7.1M - 10:00 AM ISM services Jan | Actual: 53.5 | Previous: 54.4 WEDNESDAY, FEB. 4 - 8:15 AM ADP employment Jan | Actual: 45K | Forecast: 41K THURSDAY, FEB. 5 - 8:30 AM Initial jobless claims Jan 31 | Actual: 212K | Previous: 209K - 10:50 AM Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks FRIDAY, FEB. 6 - 8:30 AM U.S. employment report Jan | Actual: 55K | Forecast: 50K - 8:30 AM U.S. unemployment rate Jan | Actual: 4.4% | Previous: 4.4% - 8:30 AM U.S. hourly wages Jan | Actual: 0.3% | Previous: 0.3% - 8:30 AM Hourly wages YoY | Actual: 3.6% | Previous: 3.8% - 10:00 AM Consumer sentiment prelim Feb | Actual: 54.0 | Previous: 56.4 - 3:00 PM Consumer credit | Actual: $8.0B | Previous: $4.2B ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #Macro #JobsReport #NFP #Earnings #AI #Crypto #Gold #Markets #Options
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30)SPY Weekly Outlook – Week 4 of 2026 (Jan 26–30) Technical Look SPY moved exactly as expected on the bearish side, reaching its downside targets with the Tuesday open last week and finding a bounce from those levels. In the Mid Week Update shared afterward, I highlighted that price had transitioned into a bullish structure and that higher targets were now in focus. I’m also linking last week’s outlook on the side for reference. Scenarios – Prediction At this point, I am tracking two possible scenarios for SPY. Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario (Likely) With the bullish structure formed during the week, I expect price to continue higher and potentially target all time highs. Bullish sentiment remains strong enough to support this move. That said, risks remain. Escalation around Iran or a potential 100% tariff on Canada could shift market structure back to bearish, so staying cautious is important. This bullish scenario can play out in two ways: 1-A direct gap up open followed by continuation toward bullish targets 2-A pullback toward the 687 area, a brief deviation, then a bounce with a strong close above that level, leading to higher targets Bullish scenario targets: 691 – 696 – 700 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario Geopolitical tension around Iran or a potential tariff shock could still trigger a bearish shift, keeping this scenario in play. A strong break and close below 687 would activate the bearish scenario for me. On any retest, price should fail to reclaim and close back above 687. If that happens, I would look to actively trade this scenario using puts. Potential bearish targets: 676.5 and 669.5 Position Management Notes I manage risk by scaling out of positions at key reaction levels and adjusting exposure as structure confirms. Partial profit taking at major levels is a core part of my approach. I share deeper SPY-QQQ breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
3
SLV - Parabolic Exhaustion Play - $100 Puts Feb 13📉 Pattern Recognition Setup AMEX:SLV just completed a 68% run from $65 to $110 in under 3 months. This isn’t normal commodity ETF behavior - this is meme-stock price action. Key Observation: The current parabolic structure mirrors the prior $30→$48 spike that collapsed violently after hitting exhaustion (see bar pattern overlay on daily). Same RSI divergence, same volume behavior, same exhaustion signature. Technical Confluence: • RSI: 74 (overbought with multiple bear divergence signals) • Structure: Double top at $110 resistance zone • Volume: 8h chart shows peak Volume surges mark local Tops/Bottoms • Pattern Target: $88.91 measured move • Historical Precedent: Prior parabolic collapse followed identical setup Trade Details: Entry: $100 Puts, Feb 13 expiration Trigger: Close below $105 on 4H timeframe Target: $88-90 zone Stop: Reclaim and hold above $110 invalidates pattern Risk Management: This is a defined-risk speculation on technical pattern completion. When parabolic runs exhaust at resistance with stacked divergence, retracements are swift and violent - not gradual. Size accordingly. Timeline: 11 trading days for execution This is my own thoughts put together by Claude.ai This is my own charting and my own words and thoughts gathered into a presentable form.
AMEX:SLVShort
by TazmanianTrader
12
Updated January 14 Volatility Event BreakdownThis video will help you understand how the markets are playing out related to my original prediction of a big volatility event on January 14. Watching the markets swing up and down over the past two weeks while almost perfectly following my predicted price trends has been incredible. But, I'm not always this accurate in my predictions - no one is. I believe this market move is following my longer-term prediction of a moderate breakdown in Q1/Q2 of 2026. If my research is correct, we will continue to see an ABC or ABCDE wave structure where price continues to move downward and attempts to find a base near July 2026. The one thing I really wanted to point out is the use of Fibonacci Defense Levels and how you can use them to better determine when and how price is breaking from a moderate pullback into an extended or deeper pullback/trend reversal. I've been using these Defense Levels for quite a while, and I find they work well. Please take a minute to watch this video. I also highlight Gold/Silver and Natural Gas in this video. Hope all of you are GETTING SOME today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
DJ:DJIShort
by BradMatheny
1
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Fri (Jan 30)AAPL crushed it today - iPhone revenue up 23%, China sales up 38% - and the market just sold it. Couldn't hold the pop. Tim Cook mentioned chip shortages and being in "supply chase mode" which spooked some folks. Meanwhile MSFT got hammered, down 10% after hours on cloud growth slowdown and AI spending concerns. That's a big deal - roughly 15-20 points of drag on ES at the open. ES broke down during Asia, flushed from 6,980 through 6,968 all the way to 6,943 before catching a bid. Bounced back to 6,967-6,970 where we're now seeing a Lower High form on the 15-min. Structure is bearish - lower highs, lower lows confirmed. The 4H equilibrium at 6,930-6,920 is the magnet below. Forecast: • Overnight: Down to flat, leaning bearish • Morning Session: Expecting downside pressure • Afternoon: Likely choppy and two-sided • Daily Close: Leaning toward a red close • Expected Range: 6,900 to 6,990 • Most Likely Path: Test and reject 6,970-6,980 early, roll over and break 6,950, test the 6,930 equilibrium, bounce attempt fails, fade into close near 6,920-6,940 Friday Events: • 6:15 AM: CVX (EPS 1.38 exp, Rev 44.1B) • 6:30 AM: XOM (EPS 1.69 exp, Rev 81.3B) • 6:30 AM: VZ (EPS 1.06 exp, Rev 36.1B) • 7:00 AM: AXP (EPS 3.56 exp, Rev 18.9B) - good read on consumer spending • 10:00 AM: Core Trend Inflation data • After the bell: AMZN, GOOGL, INTC Resistance: • 7,022 – Thursday's High • 7,010-7,012 – Prior Equilibrium Zone • 6,993-6,995 – Critical Level / PDH Area • 6,980-6,982 – VWAP / Demand Turned Resistance • 6,968-6,970 – Lower High Formation Support: • 6,955-6,950 – Tested Support Zone • 6,943-6,945 – Overnight Low • 6,930-6,920 – 4H Equilibrium (Major Target) • 6,900 – Psychological Level • 6,875 – Prior Week Low How I'm seeing it: • Leaning bearish below 7,000 • A push back to 6,970-6,980 that can't reclaim sets up a fade toward 6,950, 6,940, then 6,930 • The bounce from 6,943 looks like a selling opportunity, not a trend change • Above 6,995 and held - bearish view weakens • Below 6,943 opens the door to 6,930-6,920 The market couldn't rally on perfect AAPL numbers. MSFT down 10% will probably overshadow META's +9%. Good Luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MyAlgoIndex
1
$SPY & $SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Friday Jan 30, 2026🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX — Market-Moving Headlines Friday Jan 30, 2026 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🛒 Mega Cap Save AMZN and AAPL lift Nasdaq after hours as cloud demand and product certainty calm markets 📉 Goldilocks Inflation Cooling PCE resets rate fears as yields fall and risk appetite broadens 🧠 AI Hardware Wins Capex spending funnels into suppliers with NVDA and ANET leading on data center buildouts 🏥 Obesity Buyout Chatter VKTX spikes on takeover rumors as pharma M and A focus returns to weight loss 📅 End of Month Flows Window dressing dynamics dominate as January closes after a catalyst-heavy week 📊 Key U.S. Economic Data Friday Jan 30 ET 8:30 AM - Producer Price Index Dec delayed: 0.3% - Core PPI Dec delayed: 0.3% - PPI YoY - Core PPI YoY 9:45 AM - Chicago Business Barometer PMI Jan: 44.0 1:00 PM - Fed Gov Stephen Miran TV interview 1:30 PM - St Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speech 5:00 PM - Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman speech ⚠️ Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #PPI #Inflation #Earnings #AMZN #AAPL #AI #Macro #Markets #Stocks #Options
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$SPY the beginning of a covid style selloff? 20-32% drop?It is finally time for a larger selloff to happen. As you can see, we've broken down out of a rising wedge and many people are calling for another scenario to buy the dip, but this dip doesn't look the same as all of the other dips. To me, this looks more like the start of a larger selloff. My thesis is that this selloff will be a cross between the selloff that took place in 1989 and covid. I think we're about to see a 20-32% drop that comes very quickly not giving people time to get out. The past two days we're already trading exactly like we did in covid, where we can see sharp rallies that are met with more selling. The reason this selloff is different is because volatility is starting to react and I have strong buy signals on the weekly timeframe while I'm getting weekly sell signals on SPY. While my base case was that we'd only get a 20% selloff down to the $550-560 area on the chart, I won't rule out the possibility of the market selling off to the next support level down at $468-$481. The selling should get stronger once we're under the $666-672 level and volatility will start to rise quickly. Under the $650 level should be lights out for the market. Again, I think this selloff is going to happen very quickly over the next few weeks, so I'd be cautious buying any dips. Let's see how it plays out.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
16
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key-Zones, Setup for Thur (Jan 29)FOMC is behind us. Powell kept rates at 3.50-3.75% with a dovish lean. Two dissents favoring a cut from Waller and Miran which tells you something about where the Fed might be heading. They upgraded growth to "solid pace" and said labor is "stabilizing" so the soft landing story is still alive. Earnings after hours were solid. Microsoft beat EPS by 31%, Azure still growing at 38%. Meta crushed guidance. Tesla had 20% gross margins which surprised a lot of people, plus Optimus 3 coming in three months. IBM did well too. But even with those beats, ES sold off about 21 points after the close. Interesting part though, CVD flipped positive during the drop. Looks like buyers were quietly absorbing on the way down. Something to keep in mind tonight. Tomorrow morning GDP drops at 8:30 AM. Atlanta Fed GDPNow has it at 5.4% while street consensus is around 2.5-3%. If it comes in hot, could get choppy as people start pricing out cuts. Resistance: - 7010-7012: Need to get back above here first - 7022: Today's high - 7032-7044: Bigger resistance zone - 7057-7060: Weekly extension Support: - 6990-6993: Where we're hanging out now - 6975-6980: Minor demand - 6920-6930: 4H equilibrium, bigger support - 6875: PWL How I'm seeing it: - Neutral to slightly bullish overnight - Watching 6990 for any absorption - Above 7010 and 7022-7035 comes into play - Below 6975 and bulls lose control With CVD positive and earnings strong, feels like bears have some work to do here. But a hot GDP or weak Apple numbers Thursday evening could flip things around pretty quick. Good Luck !!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
1
$QQQ Momentum Fracture Near Highs Similar Conditions To 2022 TopWe are currently trading inside a tight range near highs after a strong trend. What stands out to me is not price itself but momentum behavior. When I compare this structure to the 2022 topping period I notice three things lining up. Price consolidated near highs rather than expanding higher RSI chopped sideways in the mid range instead of making higher momentum highs MACD compressed and flattened showing loss of directional strength That same behavior is showing up again now. RSI is not expanding with price and MACD is compressing instead of pushing higher. This is typically what distribution looks like before direction is resolved. This does not mean price must collapse immediately. It does mean upside is no longer being confirmed by momentum and risk is increasing at these levels. For me this is an area to be cautious chasing longs and instead focus on reactions. Acceptance above the range with expanding RSI and MACD would invalidate this. Failure and rejection would confirm a topping process. This is a conditions based thesis not a prediction. Looking at a swing perhaps, if we can consolidate and head lower. Patience for the next few days.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TazmanianTrader