Stellar (XLM) Market Outlook — September 02, 2025Sergio Richi Premium ✅
#Stellar CRYPTOCAP:XLM — Market Outlook — September 02, 2025.
Current price : $0.3620
Charts:
Let’s be real: Stellar isn’t just another alt. It’s got actual utility — fast cross-border payments, cheap fees, and big-name partners (Visa, PayPal, MoneyGram, even Telegram wallets). That’s not meme-coin hype, that’s infrastructure.
Why It Matters
➖ Protocol 23 Upgrade (September 3, 2025): A major network enhancement focusing on scalability for tokenization and RWA use cases, including improved smart contract performance and data handling. This is expected to boost institutional adoption and could drive XLM toward $1.27-$2.39 if bullish momentum holds.
➖ Archax Partnership (August 18, 2025): Collaboration with institutional-grade exchange Archax to accelerate RWA tokenization, including fractional real estate and yield-bearing assets.
➖ PayPal PYUSD Integration (July–August 2025 Impact): PayPal's stablecoin on Stellar triggered a 5% price surge earlier, with ongoing effects into August. PayPal's Digital Currencies SVP joining SDF further strengthens ties.
➖ Telegram Wallet Integration: Enables seamless XLM transfers within chats, boosting mass adoption.
➖ ZARC Stablecoin Launch (Ongoing 2025): TD Markets' South African Rand-pegged asset on Stellar, ideal for remittances.
➖ Visa Stablecoin Settlement Support: Visa added Stellar for settlements with PYUSD, USDG, and EURC, enhancing global payment rails.
➖ UNDP Partnership and SDG Accelerator: Stellar joins for pilots in climate finance and social protection.
➖ RWA and DeFi Milestones: Q2 2025 saw $4 billion in RWA payments, with tokenized assets rising from $15.2B to $24B. DeFi TVL growth across protocols signals real-world utility.
The Trade
XLM is sitting at $0.36 after a choppy summer. In my book, it’s coiling for the next leg of the global bull run.
🎯 Targets:
➡️ Take Profit 1: $1.27 (+250%)
➡️ Take Profit 2: $2.39 (+560%)
Final Take
Stellar’s building the rails while half the market’s still arguing about ETFs. At these levels, risk/reward screams long.
STELLAR
XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum⭐️ XLM — Stellar Lumens: AI x RWA, Real Utility, Real Momentum
Buy/Hold bias aiming for $0.75 🎯; reload zone ~ $0.25 🔁.
Thesis rests on tokenization (RWA) traction, US gov data on-chain, and 2025 scaling roadmap (5k TPS target, faster blocks) + AI tooling around Soroban. If thesis plays out, upside case ≈ +200% from reload—not financial advice.
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🔥 Why now (meaningful catalysts)
• US Dept. of Commerce → GDP on Stellar
First time ever: the Commerce Department is putting official GDP data on-chain (hash) on Stellar, creating an immutable, public record—big signal for gov-grade data + DeFi oracles. (Stellar)
• RWA push: new partners & capital-market pipes
SDF’s 2025 goal: $3B RWA value & $110B volume; continuing integrations with Franklin Templeton, Paxos, Ondo, SG Forge. Recent Archax investment targets regulated tokenization rails. (CoinDesk, Stellar)
• Scaling roadmap → utility unlocks
Targeting ~5,000 TPS, 2.5s blocks, OpenZeppelin token standards, and 100× payout capacity (Merkle trees). These hit the exact pain points for enterprise/RWA and payments at scale. (Stellar)
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🤖 The AI angle (pipeline + tools)
• Official roadmap AI
o Stella AI Assistant (enhanced) → a more capable agent interface for builders.
o Contract Copilot → AI-assisted smart-contract generation, linting & testing.
These live on SDF’s 2025 roadmap. (Stellar)
• Community AI on Soroban
o AI Agent Kit: lets AI agents interact with Stellar accounts & Soroban contracts.
o SoroBuilder: AI-driven in-browser Soroban contract builder/auditor.
o AI Transparency Token (AITT): compliance attestations on-chain. (Stellar Community Fund)
Net: AI lowers dev friction (faster dApp iteration) and expands use cases (agents, audits, compliance)—a pull for builders who need programmable money + verifiable data.
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🧱 Building blocks already in place
• Smart contracts live (Soroban via Protocol 20) → programmable RWA/DeFi. (Oodles Blockchain)
• Freighter wallet upgrades + RPC/ETL improvements → smoother infra & analytics for apps. (Stellar)
• Stablecoin/RWA breadth (e.g., Franklin’s BENJI, Ondo USDY coming to Stellar) → liquidity primitives that institutions recognize. (Stellar)
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📣 Recent social buzz (signal, not noise)
• SDF amplified the GDP-on-chain milestone across socials, triggering wider crypto media pickup.
See SDF’s X post and summary thread references. (X (formerly Twitter))
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🧭 Levels & plan (author’s framework)
• Primary target: $0.75 🎯 if catalysts execute (RWA flow + scaling).
• Reload zone: $0.25 🔁 (where bulls re-accumulate in my playbook).
• Positioning: Buy/Hold bias for asymmetric upside tied to execution (RWA + AI-tooling + throughput).
• Risk: headline/regulatory risk on RWAs, roadmap slip, crypto beta. Size accordingly.
Note: A +200% outcome reflects upside math from reload zone to target; it’s not a guarantee. Do your own research.
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🗓 What to watch next
• Roadmap drops through Q4-2025:
o 2.5s block times target,
o OpenZeppelin token standards for assets/RWAs,
o Freighter mobile & advanced auth,
o Payouts 100× capacity. (Stellar)
• RWA onboarding flow: progress with Archax, Paxos, Ondo, and Franklin—TVL/volume & issuer announcements. (CoinDesk, Stellar)
• Gov/enterprise data on-chain follow-ups after Commerce/GDP—possible spillover into on-chain data feeds for DeFi. (Stellar
XLM Breakout Watch | How Global Markets Are Setting the StageIn this update, I break down XLM’s mid-term outlook and why the $0.65 level is a key breakout zone to confirm further upside. Based on current patterns, I’m targeting a potential move into the $100–$138 range over the mid-term.
While Bitcoin still influences XLM, the backdrop of massive money printing since 2018 has created conditions for meaningful accumulation, setting the stage for higher prices. Add to that an environment of rising interest rates, Fed interventions, and volatility cycles, and it’s clear we’re only at the beginning of what could be a period of outsized returns.
Stellar’s role in a shifting economic system also can’t be ignored. As fiat currencies face structural limits, crypto offers a framework that breaks those shackles, with altcoins like XLM poised to outperform Bitcoin in the next cycle.
Markets will continue to follow their familiar pump-and-dump patterns, but each cycle brings diminishing returns for central bank interventions—leaving room for crypto markets to step in and restore balance.
Stay tuned for the charts and insights that put these patterns into perspective.
XLMUSD about to rise parabolically?Stellar (XLMUSD) has turned sideways since the July 14 High (weekly) but remains supported by its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The 8-year pattern is an Ascending Triangle and this recent consolidation resembles a Bull Flag formation.
The very same pattern was seen in October - November 2017, which after holding the 1W MA50, initiated the final parabolic rally of that Cycle that peaked a little above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Attention is needed though as the last 1W Golden Cross was during the last Cycle and led to its Top a few weeks after.
As a result, the confirmation to resume the bullish trend would be a break above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Ascending Triangle and in that case, our Target will be $2.15 (Fib 1.618 ext).
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
XLM/USDT - Bullish Momentum Gaining Strength🚀 Trade Setup Details:
🕯 #XLM/USDT 🔼 Buy | Long 🔼
⌛️ TimeFrame: 1D
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🛡 Risk Management (Example):
🛡 Based on $10,000 Balance
🛡 Loss-Limit: 1% (Conservative)
🛡 The Signal Margin: $375.52
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☄️ En1: 0.336 (Amount: $37.55)
☄️ En2: 0.303 (Amount: $131.43)
☄️ En3: 0.2815 (Amount: $168.98)
☄️ En4: 0.2615 (Amount: $37.55)
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☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then:
☄️ Average.En: 0.2929 ($375.52)
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☑️ TP1: 0.4316 (+47.35%) (RR:1.78)
☑️ TP2: 0.5206 (+77.74%) (RR:2.92)
☑️ TP3: 0.6607 (+125.57%) (RR:4.72)
☑️ TP4: 0.8946 (+205.43%) (RR:7.71)
☑️ TP5: 1.2501 (+326.8%) (RR:12.27)
☑️ TP6: Open 🔝
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❌ SL: 0.2149 (-26.63%) (-$100)
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💯 Maximum.Lev: 2X
⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading
‼️ Signal Risk: 🙂 Low-Risk! 🙂
🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management.
📊 Sentiment & Market Context:
Stellar (XLM) is showing strong bullish momentum amid a growing demand for scalable, fast cross-border payment solutions. With the expanding adoption of Stellar’s blockchain technology in financial institutions and partnerships driving real-world use cases, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic. This fundamental strength combined with solid technical setups makes XLM/USDT a compelling long opportunity.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
💡 Stay Updated:
Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
TradeCityPro | XLM: Key Support Holding Amid Seller Pressure👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the XLM coin for you. It is one of the RWA projects with a market cap of $12.76 billion, currently ranked 13th on CoinMarketCap.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, this coin has reached a Maker Seller zone. So far, it has tested this zone twice and has been rejected both times.
🔍 In the second rejection, a lower high was formed, which shows weakness in the bearish trend. There is an important support level at 0.3629, and as long as the price remains above this level, the trend of this coin will stay bullish.
⚡️ If 0.3629 is broken, a deeper correction could extend to 0.3142. If the price continues to drop further, the main support of XLM will be around the 0.2244 zone.
✔️ However, if the price does not break below the 0.3629 level, I will try to open a long position with a breakout above the zone, because this level is very important, and its breakout could start a new bullish trend.
💥 The breakout trigger for this zone is currently at 0.4896, but in lower timeframes, we can find better triggers when the price reaches this level.
🔽 For a short position, we can open one if 0.3629 is broken, but for now, I will not open a short position, and if I take long positions, I prefer to do so on other coins instead of XLM.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Stellar Falls To $0.40; But Parabolic SAR Flags Deeper DeclineAt the time of writing , BINANCE:XLMUSDT trades at $0.409 and faces a risk of slipping lower. Technical factors point to a potential drop toward $0.393 support, a level that may determine whether bearish control continues to strengthen in the coming sessions.
From a technical perspective, BINANCE:XLMUSDT momentum is leaning bearish . The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has confirmed a bearish crossover, signaling growing downside pressure. The crossover reflects weakening strength among buyers and indicates a market environment increasingly favorable for sellers.
Adding to the concern, the Parabolic SAR indicator is positioned above candlesticks, acting as resistance. This placement confirms a downtrend, suggesting BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face additional declines. If bearish sentiment dominates, the cryptocurrency might even test deeper support near $0.359, worsening investor confidence further.
However, if traders shift toward a bullish stance, Stellar has recovery potential. Reclaiming $0.424 as support could allow BINANCE:XLMUSDT to climb toward $0.445. Achieving this move would negate the bearish outlook, signaling renewed strength and stabilizing the asset after recent declines.
XLMUADT Ready for Another Moonshot After Bullish Flag Breakout!$XLMUADT has just broken out of a well-formed bullish flag pattern, signaling the potential start of a strong upward move. This comes after its earlier breakout from a rising channel, which delivered impressive gains to traders who caught the move. The current breakout setup mirrors that previous rally, and if history repeats, we could be looking at another powerful uptrend in the making.
With momentum building and technicals aligning, buyers seem to be taking control again. However, as always, risk management is key, keep a strict stop loss in place to protect capital and lock in profits as the move unfolds. The market has already shown us what CRYPTOCAP:XLM can do, and this breakout might just be the next big opportunity.
$XLMUADT Currently trading at $0.44
Buy level : Above $0.415
Stop loss : Below $0.35
Target 1: $0.522
Target 2: $0.6
Target 3: $0.8
Max leverage 5x
Always keep stop loss
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Stellar (XLM): Proper Break of Structure (BoS) | Bullish We had a clean breakout on the XLM coin where the price did form the Break of Structure, and now we are aiming for that resistance zone near $0.50.
Even that zone is not the final stop for us; we look for that major target zone (which is major resistance on a bigger timeframe) to be reached!
Swallow Academy
Bullish on XLMUSDTStellar / XLM turns bullish again, retracement is over. We have an EMA cross, we have passed an high volume node and now we try to move above EMA200. As soon as we manage to stay above we will head for the targets around 0.46$ and 0.52$.
For more trade ideas check and insights check our profile.
Disclamer: only entertaining purpose, no financial advice - trading is risky.
Stellar (XML) Price Ends 2-Week Downtrend As Inflows SpikeBINANCE:XLMUSDT price is currently trading at $0.41 1, just under the resistance level of $0.424. Breaking this resistance will be key for XLM to recover the recent losses and continue its upward trajectory. The Parabolic SAR moving below the candlesticks after two weeks signals that the downtrend is coming to an end.
Ethereum’s technical indicators also suggest a return to bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved back into the positive zone, above the neutral 50.0 mark, after briefly dipping into bearish territory. This reversal from the prior downtrend shows that BINANCE:XLMUSDT is regaining strength.
The RSI indicates that investor sentiment is improving . The brief period of bearishness was likely caused by broader market uncertainty and skepticism. However, with the RSI back in the positive range, the likelihood of further price increases has increased.
If Stellar can flip $0.424 into support , it could pave the way for a rise past $0.445 and possibly reach $0.470 . This would allow BINANCE:XLMUSDT to recover a significant portion of the losses it sustained over the past two weeks and continue its uptrend.
However, if broader market conditions fail to remain bullish and investor sentiment turns negative, BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face a decline. A failure to maintain support at $0.424 could lead XLM to drop to $0.393 , with further bearish momentum pushing the price to $0.359, invalidating the bullish outlook.
Stellar (XLM) Shoot Up 11%, Aims To Cross This Barrier
BINANCE:XLMUSDT price has increased by 11% over the last 24 hours , positioning it among the top-performing altcoins. Trading at $0.4077 , the altcoin remains under the resistance of $0.4245. This indicates potential for a breakout if broader market conditions stay favorable and support the bullish trend.
The 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) provides strong support, signaling that the broader market momentum is bullish. This support could propel BINANCE:XLMUSDT towards $0.4450 , with further gains potentially pushing it to $0.4701, confirming the continuation of its positive trajectory in the market if conditions remain favorable.
However, if market conditions worsen , especially with the upcoming August 7 announcements, XLM might fail to breach $0.4245 . In this case, the price could fall to $0.3597 , and losing this support would invalidate the bullish outlook for BINANCE:XLMUSDT , signaling potential downside risks in the coming days.
"Stellar XLM will definitely reach 0.6389."" Stellar (XLM) is expected to begin its upward move from the price zones of 0.3375, 0.3153, and 0.2822, heading toward the confirmed targets of 0.5215 and then 0.6389.
While the exact starting point may vary slightly, the targets at 0.5215 and 0.6389 are considered certain." BINANCE:XRPUSDT
STELLAR LUMENS - DOLLAR COST AVERAGE FOR LONG TERM GAINSSTELLAR LUMENS (XLM) has taken off late 2024 from under .10 cents and now trading at .40 cents for a 400% Gain in 6 months so far, and there is much more upside to come potentially. It hit all time highs around .50 cents and now the token seems to want to test those highs in the near term 2025, we can easily see XLM approach $1.00 towards 2026 for a 100% gain and even higher longer term. Overall, XLM moves with XRP and we all know XRP is a blue chip project, it has all the funds and institutional backing, and so does XLM.
Both projects share a common creator in Jed McCaleb, however they have different focuses. Ripple, and its native token XRP, was initially designed to facilitate cross-border payments for financial institutions. Stellar, on the other hand, focuses on financial inclusion and aims to provide accessible financial services for individuals, including remittances and access to banking services.
CAN WE SAY BULLISH?! TO THE MOON!!!
XLM Explodes +132% — Is the Party Over or Just Starting?XLM has been one of the top movers, sweeping the January 2025 swing high at $0.515 before stalling and moving sideways for the past 4 days.
Is XLM gearing up for another push toward the highs, or is a correction imminent?
Let’s dive into the details.
🧩 Market Structure & Fractal Pattern
XLM skyrocketed +132% in just 13 days, mirroring the explosive move seen back in November 2024.
If we apply the November fractal, the current price action suggests we could be setting up for an ABC corrective move.
📉 Key Levels & Confluences
FVG Zone: ~$0.49–$0.50 — likely to be swept before any major move down.
Monthly Support: $0.4142
Key Level / Liquidity Pool: $0.4056 — likely cluster of stop-losses.
Anchored VWAP (from $0.2228 start of trend): currently near $0.4056, adding strong confluence.
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension (ABC projection): If price pushes to ~$0.49 to complete wave B, the projected 1.0 TBFE for wave C lands right on the $0.4056 key level + VWAP, creating a perfect confluence zone.
➡️ Conclusion: The $0.4142–$0.4056 zone is a critical support and liquidity area with multiple confluences lining up.
Trade Setups
🔴 Short Setup:
Entry zone: $0.48–$0.50 (ladder in)
Stop-loss: Above $0.5166 (prior high)
Take-profit: $0.4142–$0.4056 zone
R:R ≈ 1:3
🟢 Long Setup:
Entry zone: $0.4142–$0.4056 (preferably near VWAP)
Stop-loss: Below $0.395
Take-profit: $0.44
⚡ Final Thoughts
Watch for a potential final push toward $0.49–$0.50 before a corrective wave unfolds.
The confluence at the $0.4142–$0.4056 zone — including monthly/weekly levels, VWAP, liquidity pool, and the 1.0 TBFE target — makes it a key area for decision-making.
Stay patient and wait for confirmation at these levels. Will post an update as things unfold!
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XLM - Resistance/Consolidation of 8 Years- Finally after 8 years of consolidation and getting rejected by the resistance at the same level around 0.65, XLM is preparing to break out from the almost decade old resistance
- A clear breakout from this resistance will phenomenal
- The price surge after the breakout will be unlike anything you've ever seen.
- I'm planning to enter after a confirmed breakout, entry before the breakout will be risky in case if the price gets rejected again.
Entry Price: Candle closeAbove 0.65
Stop Loss: Below 0.41
TP1: 0.88574
TP2: 1.21012
TP3: 1.92545
TP4: 2.68849
TP5: 4.27772
Don't forget to keep stoploss
Cheers
GreenCrypto
XLMUSD Nearing Breakout After 3,000-Day Triangle FormationXLM has been consolidating inside a massive symmetrical triangle for over 3,000 days. This long-term pattern on the monthly chart dates back to 2017. The price is now approaching the upper resistance trendline of the triangle. A breakout from this structure could ignite a major bullish rally.
The current monthly candle shows strong momentum with over 100% gains. A confirmed breakout above resistance could mark the start of a macro uptrend. This triangle is one of the most significant technical setups in XLM’s history.
Target 1: $1.00
Target 2: $2.50
Target 3: $5.00
XLM Coiling at the Highs After Holding Support PerfectlyStellar broke out, then printed the cleanest support range you’ll find.
Wicks into demand, fast rejections, and now it’s compressing just under resistance.
If it breaks from here, there’s room to stretch.
But don’t forget — the longer it coils, the harder it snaps.
#XLM #StellarLumens #XLMUSD #SupportAndResistance #BreakoutSetup #CryptoCharts #TradingView #QuantTradingPro #BacktestEverything
Stellar (XLM) Makes History Amid 78% Price Surge This WeekBINANCE:XLMUSDT is currently trading at $0.46, up 78.5% over the past week . However, the altcoin faces resistance at $0.47, a level it has struggled to breach in recent days. The ability to break this resistance is crucial for continued growth, as it will determine whether XLM can push higher.
BINANCE:XLMUSDT futures market activity has also surged, with Futures Open Interest hitting an all-time high of $520 million in the last 24 hours. This indicates that traders are increasingly interested in the asset's derivatives, which are capitalizing on its rise.
Given the strong sentiment from futures traders and the technical indicators, it is likely that BINANCE:XLMUSDT will push past the $0.47 resistance and target $0.50 in the coming days . A successful breakthrough could lead XLM toward its next target at $0.56, marking an eight-month high. This would signify continued strength for the asset.
However, if the broader market sentiment shifts or investors begin to sell their holdings, BINANCE:XLMUSDT could face a significant pullback. If the price falls below the key support levels of $0.43 and $0.41 , it could slide further to $0.35, which would invalidate the current bullish outlook.