Phemex Analysis #95: Pro Tips for Trading Stellar (XLM)Stellar ( PHEMEX:XLMUSDT.P ) is an open-source, decentralized blockchain platform specializing in fast, affordable cross-border transactions aimed at enhancing global financial inclusion. Its native cryptocurrency, Lumens (XLM), serves as a bridge for currency exchanges and is used to pay transaction fees on the network. Founded in 2014 by Jed McCaleb, Stellar connects banks, payment systems, and individuals worldwide, providing seamless and cost-effective financial interactions.
Recently, Stellar has shown positive market momentum, including a notable 5% price surge coupled with increased transaction volumes. A key catalyst for this optimism is PayPalโs upcoming integration of its stablecoin PYUSD onto the Stellar blockchain, significantly expanding Stellar's real-world use case and accessibility across more than 170 countries.
Given these promising developments, letโs explore several possible trading scenarios to help traders strategically approach XLM.
Possible Scenarios
1. Breakout Rise to $0.28 and Above (Bullish Scenario)
On the daily chart, XLM recently formed a clear "cup and handle" pattern, with the handle emerging around June 22. This classic bullish indicator signals accumulation of buying momentum. If XLM decisively breaks out above the critical resistance level at $0.257, particularly with strong trading volume, it could confirm a bullish continuation, potentially targeting resistance zones around $0.28, $0.312, and even the significant resistance at $0.43.
Pro Tips:
Entry Point: Consider entering positions after confirming the breakout above $0.257, ideally with significant volume confirmation.
Profit-Taking Levels: Aim to take partial profits at key resistance levels: $0.28, $0.312, and $0.43.
2. Rejection by Key Resistance Levels (Neutral Scenario)
While the immediate resistance at $0.28 is relatively weak and likely to be overcome easily, subsequent resistance at $0.312 and particularly at $0.43 could present strong selling pressure, potentially rejecting XLMโs first attempt.
If rejection occurs, the price will likely retrace to retest support zones, such as around $0.25, consolidating before attempting another bullish move.
Pro Tips:
Cautious Entries: If initial rejections occur at higher resistance zones ($0.312 or $0.43), consider waiting for price stabilization around lower support areas ($0.25) before re-entering.
Volume Check: Closely monitor trading volumes during retracementsโdeclining volume often indicates a healthy pullback rather than a significant reversal.
3. All Things Go South (Bearish Scenario)
If broader market sentiment suddenly turns sharply negativeโparticularly driven by a significant decline in BitcoinโXLM could face substantial selling pressure. A sharp drop below key support at $0.216 with high volume, accompanied by broader market downturns, would signal serious bearish momentum.
Pro Tips:
Market Observation: Stay cautious and consider stepping aside until clear stabilization occurs at lower support levels.
Accumulation Opportunities: Long-term holders should watch closely for stabilization at critical historical supports, including $0.20, $0.18, $0.12, and $0.09, which could offer attractive entry points for gradual accumulation.
Conclusion
Stellar (XLM) currently stands at a pivotal juncture driven by significant fundamental catalysts and compelling technical signals. By closely monitoring the outlined bullish, neutral, and bearish scenarios, traders can strategically position themselves for profitable trades while effectively managing risks. Always remain alert, employ disciplined risk management strategies, and stay informed on broader market movements to successfully navigate XLMโs market dynamics.
๐ฅ Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
STELLAR
Stellar 2025 Bull Market, ATH Targets, Price Action & MoreA very interesting chart. What is interesting here is how obvious it is that the correction is over. Stellar produced a massive bullish breakout in November 2024, more than 700% growth. After a strong move, there is always a correction. After the correction ends, we get the resumption of the initial move, in this case a bullish wave.
The 0.786 Fib. retracement level worked as support. 7-April. There is an interesting dynamic around this level. Back in July 2023 as XLMUSDT was rising resistance was found around 0.2000. Very close to this level. We then had the late 2024 bullish wave and the correction that ended in early April this year. Support was found exactly at the 0.786 Fib retracement level and this level matches 0.2000. This is the purple line on the chart. Resistance turned support.
After this support zone was hit and confirmed Stellar moved to produce an initial breakout and on the 16-June week, 22-June, we get a higher low. This higher low signals the start of the next bullish wave with a target around 0.9100. This is the next target for the current move but not necessarily where the bull market cycle will end. Can be but not necessarily, the action can move higher.
Growth potential from current price to our target goes to 257%. Coming from the August 2024 low, this same target would give a total of 1,099%. Seeing how strong the first jump was, it is likely that Stellar will go higher in this 2025 bull market.
We have another target between $1.25 and $1.35.
Let's focus on the market and the bigger picture.
Stellar has already proven that it will be a top performer in this cycle. Back in late 2024 XLM outperformed many projects, we can expect the same pattern to repeat in this bullish continuation.
The fact that there are no new lows also signals strength. We saw many pairs hitting new all-time lows in April and June, this is not the case here. And this is also good.
This is a proven project so it is easy to go in big.
Last time the meat of the move unraveled in just two weeks. Something also to keep in mind. Something similar would allow us to profit from the entire XLM wave and then browse the market for new opportunities.
Remember, the market is set to grow for 6 months in the least or it can extend and grow for years. While some pairs go down, others will be going up. When some pairs stop going up, others being down will recover and grow. The market will cycle between this and that, here and there; in the end, everything grows; that's the definition of a bull market. A rising wave lifts all boats.
Notice the long-term consolidation phase, it lasted more than 900 days and then we had a very strong bullish breakout. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the move that follows. This is only the beginning, there will be more.
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Namaste.
XLMUSD Huge breakout may happen any moment.Stellar / XLMUSD is testing the 6 month Falling Resistance again, while trading inside a Channel Up.
The 1day RSI is in strong support of this move and may force a 1day candle closing above the Resistance finally.
If it happens, go lonh and target 0.3650 (+32.79%).
Previous chart:
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Stellar (XLM) Update, By Request (New ATH 2025)Definitely bullish, everything points up.
Let's start with the good news. The next wave, the 2025 bull market bullish wave, will be awesome. Why? Because the 2024 initial bullish breakout was really strong, super strong. More than 600% and it reveals what is coming.
Naturally, this breakout is corrected into a higher low. Here with a classic rounded bottom pattern (orange).
This higher low will soon transform into a new bullish wave leading to a new high, higher high and new All-Time High. The new All-Time High can then go crazy and reach even higher, new heights. You will need to scroll up to find the higher targets on the chart.
I am again keeping it simple as I don't see any need to complicate things. Stellar is set to grow. Right now prices are good for trading trading spot and focusing on the long-term. Leverage traders have many other factors to consider, a closer look is needed.
Namaste.
Stellar (XLM) Falling Wedge + Inverse Head & ShouldersBINANCE:XLMUSDT has recently broken out of two major bullish patterns:
โข Falling Wedge: The breakout above the descending resistance (orange) confirms the wedge setup, with a measured target around $0.70.
โข Inverse Head & Shoulders: Breakout confirmed with a measured target around $0.40.
Key Levels to Watch
โข $0.30 โ 0.618 Fib level. IH&S neckline and current support. A break below it would invalidate the IH&S setup and potentially lead to a retest of the wedge's resistance as support.
โข $0.36 โ 0.5 Fib level and previous S/R.
โข $0.40 โ IH&S measured move target.
โข $0.50 โ 0.236 Fib level and previous resistance / swing high.
โข $0.70 โ Wedge measured move target.
Volume Analysis
Breakout volume is not as strong as expected, suggesting the need for further confirmation. A continuation with increasing volume would strengthen the bullish case.
XLMUSD: Aggressive surge expected to at least 0.5500Stellar (XLMUSD) just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.377, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 37.056), extending the rebound on its 1W MA50. The long term pattern is a Triangle so for the medium term the upside is limited to 0.55000. Since however the structure from mid 2024 resembles late 2016 onwards (price rising then pulling back to the 0.5 Fib), we expect a rise to the 1.618 Fib (TP = 2.5000) if the price crosses above the LH trendline.
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XLM/USDT โ 3D Long Signal Active ๐
April 29, 2025
The system triggered a long entry at the last 3D bar close.
Currently, the price remains around the same levels.
โ
System conditions for a long are fully met:
MLR > SMA > BB Center > PSAR
Price is trading above the 200 MA on the 3D timeframe.
โ ๏ธ Caution:
On the 1D timeframe, price is still below the 200 MA, which suggests some lingering weakness. Proceed carefully.
๐ Strategy Plan:
Consider entering long at todayโs daily close or at the next 3D bar close.
Suggested stop-loss: below the latest PSAR dot for system integrity.
๐ Keep an eye on updates and thank you for reading! ๐๐
XLM/USD Main trend. Timeframe 1 week. Channel. Radiant Star of 2218) One of the most โsilentโ cryptocurrencies. Unlike its fellow clone, pumped up by the community on the ears of pseudo-esoterics (although 589 is not going anywhere, which is, that is, it is not price))))....
Note that past secondary trend reversals are shrinking after significant dips. We are now in the lower zone of the channel, but not at the lowest potential values. Never โcatchโ the lows and highs, but work most of your position near those values, and you will be happy and relaxed.
I advise you to combine pyramiding (up) + martingale (down), and you won't care where the price goes, because you'll be happy with either direction. It is also rational to protect your profits with stops, but not near intraday volatility.
It is also natural for your peace of mind to forget about two things if you have a mind:
1) Forget margin trading. Work only on spot.
2) Forget the 1 โworld's most reliable exchangeโ (diversification of trading and storage).
Coinmarket: XLM
About the enlightenment: .
1) Instant (less than 3 sec) transactions,
2) Conditionally free transactions $0.000001 (0.00001 XLM micro payments),
3) No network congestion (30 sec refund in case of failed transaction (not to be confused with exchange),
4) Smart contacts and NFT (2022),
5) "Transaction rollback" (this is an advantage, not a disadvantage for real use, not speculation),
6) Support for multi-currency transactions.
7) Interest in XLM blockchain by states.
And much more...
Roughly speaking, all the best worked out solutions from thousands of temporary โfaith cryptocurrenciesโ over the last 10+ years.
Incidentally, many states will be making โtransitionalโ fiat currencies on this blockchain. For example, the long-suffering Ukraine. But then when there will be โtotal sadnessโ. Creating a problemโpresenting a ready-made solution.
Here's what this important zone looks like on the 1-day timeframe. Key reversal or trend continuation zone.
Breakout of the local symmetrical triangle +10% to the mirror resistance level of 0.2022.
Sorry StellarI think price movements will continue in this way between parallel lines.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Will Stellar Drop 27% to $0.20?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, โ
All previous targets were nailed โ
! Now, letโs dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Stellar ๐๐.
Stellar is currently navigating a downward trajectory, consistently losing key support levels along the way. Previously, I identified $0.27 as a critical level, which has now transformed into a temporary support zone. Given the prevailing market conditions, a breakdown of this level appears imminent, potentially driving the price toward my primary target of $0.20. This decline, representing a minimum drop of 27%, would bring Stellar to a historically significant long-term support area.๐๐
๐งจ Our team's main opinion is: ๐งจ
Stellar is stuck in a downtrend, losing key supports, and if $0.27 breaks soon, it could drop another 27% to $0.20, hitting a major historical support level. ๐๐
Give me some energy !!
โจWe invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everythingโfeel free to ask questions in the comments! ๐๐ฌ
Cheers, Mad Whale. ๐
The Case for $XLMA laggard compared to its sister, XRP.
XLM showing potential for a breakout. XRP & XLM once traded together almost systematically, XRP was able to break out of its wedge repeating its performance of 2017. Although past performance does not indicate future performance its important to reference.
XLM seems ready to sweep sell side liquidity one last time before its next leg up out of its wedge.
Ill continue to add to this thread as the days go on.
"Stellar vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the XLM/USDT "Stellar vs Tether" Crypto Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (0.2900) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
๐I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss ๐:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (0.2600) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 0.3400 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
XLM/USDT "Stellar vs Tether" Crypto Market Heist Plan (Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check ๐๐๐
๐Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
From Crypto Winter to Crypto Depression - Trouble for StellarStellar or XLM is in major trouble as it fights for its life in the crypto world.
If Bitcoin, Ethereum crashes - the alt market does tend to follow similar to major stock indices versus minor.
And there is no exception for this.
Now there are a few other reasons for Stallars downside to come including:
๐ฅ 1. Crypto Market Crash
A broader sell-off across crypto markets has dragged Stellar down with it.
๐ 2. Lack of Developer Activity
Stellar is facing declining interest from developers compared to rival platforms.
๐ฐ 3. Investors Moving to Bigger Coins
Investors are shifting funds to Bitcoin and Ethereum for perceived stability.
๐ซ 4. Partnerships Falling Through
Several high-profile partnerships have quietly ended or stalled.
๐ง 5. Low Community Engagement
Social media buzz and community activity around Stellar have hit new lows.
Here are basic technicals.
M Formation broke downn
Price below 20MA
First target to 200MA
Next to $0.135
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XLMUSDT, We are near buy zone areaHello everyone
According to the chart that you can see , the price is in correction wave and we think the price should come and do the end of corretion in buy zone area and after that is ready to move up , you can buy in 2 part in each of the buy zone area and after that at least 50% percent profit is near to us.
Be lucky
AA
XLM charts with April 'flash crash' thesis zones.Here's my latest XLM chart, which includes potential levels that could be hit, along with an alternative path for the 5th wave, assuming the bottom is already in on the chart.
- If wave 4 is already complete, then the wave 6 "flash crash" low would likely be higher than the chart shows.
- If wave 4 isn't complete, then the wave 6 "flash crash" would likely sweep that low, prior moving into the real breakout beginning in the month of May.
- The real breakout, the 7th wave, would likely take out the previous pattern high making a run for what could potentially become a new all-time high in XLM.
Keep in mind that the "flash crash" in April is a theory and may not come to fruition or could be off in timing. However, I do believe that the breakout will begin in May, even if the "flash crash" does not occur in mid to late April as I've theorized.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy
Everything is clear on the chart, I didn't have enough time to explain further. From the supply area, with or without the area hunt, it can fall to the demand area. Then you can invest in your style by getting the necessary confirmations when the high-time divergence is completed, which is probably the third collision on the lines marked in the demand area.
This analysis is only to show important areas.
It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Atom currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of โโthe important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your monthly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility.
Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area.
Important areas are drawn and labeled so you can make informed decisions.
Good luck.
Stellar XLM price analysisWhile CRYPTOCAP:XRP price has already firmly established itself above the 2021 highs, the junior "padawane" CRYPTOCAP:XLM has not yet succeeded.
But compared to other alts, the price of #XLMUSDT is still very well held and moves from level to level.
There was a nice rebound from $0.226 to the current $0.27
Of course, it would be nice to test $0.19-0.20 as a courtesy gesture according to TA canons, but if it doesn't, it will only confirm the strength and serious intentions of buyers.
โ๏ธ Who knows, maybe this year the alt-season will come, and the #Stellar price will reach the current #Ripple levels around $2.30
How much will CRYPTOCAP:XRP cost then?)
XLM Crashes Below Key Support โ Is a Reversal Near?XLM has broken its previous low, raising the question: where is the next major support zone? To determine this, we will focus on fibonacci, moving averages, and order blocks to find a high-probability bounce area for a potential long position.
๐ Fibonacci Retracement โ Locating the Next Support Level
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool from the low at $0.0757 to the high at $0.6374:
0.618 Fib Retracement โ $0.2903 (Already Lost) โ Current Price: $0.248
Next Major Fib Level โ 0.786 Retracement at $0.1959
Since the 0.786 Fib level is a key retracement point, we need further confluence factors to confirm its strength as a potential support zone.
๐ Confluence Factors Strengthening the Support Zone ($0.1959 โ $0.17179)
1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension
High: $0.6374
A: $0.3179
B: $0.515
1:1 extension aligns at $0.1902 โ Strong confirmation near 0.786 Fib retracement โ
Wave A-B Fibonacci Extension
1.618 Fib extension from wave A to B is at $0.1875 โ Aligns with the 1:1 trend-based extension โ
Daily Support Level at $0.1962
Sits almost exactly at the 0.786 retracement ($0.1959) โ
21 EMA & 21 SMA for Moving Average Support
21 EMA at $0.20338
21 SMA at $0.17187
Order Block Between $0.2208 โ $0.1964
Demand area aligns with the major support zone โ
Key Takeaway:
A high-probability support zone is now identified between $0.1959 and $0.17179, with multiple confluences suggesting a strong potential bounce.
Trade Plan โ Scaling Into a Long Position
Given the strong confluence at the support zone, the best approach is scaling into a long trade.
DCA Entry Strategy:
Start scaling in at $0.22, as an order block exists between $0.2208 โ $0.1964
Main focus remains on the support zone ($0.1959 โ $0.17179)
Stop Loss:
Below the 21 SMA ($0.17187) for invalidation
Take Profit Levels for Optimal R:R:
First TP at $0.25 โ Resistance area
Next TP at $0.30 โ Strong psychological & resistance level
R:R Approximation:
2:1 R:R for first TP ($0.25)
3:1+ R:R if targeting $0.30
High-Probability Support Zone Identified
โ Multiple confluences confirm a strong support zone at $0.1959 โ $0.17179
โ Scaling into a long from $0.22 to $0.17179, with stop loss below the 21 SMA ($0.17187)
โ Take profit levels set at $0.25 & $0.30 for a solid R:R trade
Alternative bullish scenario: A reclaim of lost key low at $2526 with rising volume could signal a long opportunity, only on confirmation.
๐ฌ Will XLM bounce from this key support? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ๐๐ฅ
(xlm) STELLAR "LOOP"This chart looks like there is no real volume and only someone very rich controlling the price of XLM. If I missed the top to sell and the price of XLM never went higher than previous ATH the price of most cryptocurrency is what would otherwise be stuck in a loop with very little interest from real investors. How is it possible for the chart to be like this?
XLM is going to put some smiles on people's faces very soon!The XLM chart appears to be showing some serious potential for growth. Currently trading within a descending wedge pattern and displaying a 5th wave internal wave count, XLM could outperform many people's expectations if the 5th wave plays out. Although many people tend to prefer XRP over XLM, I wouldn't count it out just yet, asโwith recent price increasesโit has potentially become more desirable compared to XRP due to its lower entry price range. As we know, many people donโt have a lot of extra cash just lying around nowadays.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!






















