Last week the JSE Financials were on the move but before jumping on the train a word of caution. If one looks back to 2015 we see a long distribution range that formed with investors getting out of South African financial stocks. The recent rise on the back of the covid drop is likely to only be a backup to this distribution range and not longer-term interest in...
The Financial Index of the JSE has shown some strength and this week it is time for the mark up back to the Support that is now likely to be resistance and test the area between 1400 and 1600.
Following the Wyckoff logic of the markets the distribution trading range (Started in 2015) of the JSE financial index has been broken and the markdown (meltdown) has started. The upward stride has also been broken. The financial index is also performing poorer than the Top40 index. We could have a backup to the trading range with price finding support as previous...
There has been a change of character (CoC) with two of the largest delining pushes since the uptrend started. Price has broken the upward stride. Volume is higher during the downward pushes and delines on the rallies. Currently, the Volume RSI is oversold and the price has reached the bottom of the trading range. So we can expect a pause before the markdown begins...
Using the Satrix Fini as a proxy for the financial index we notice that we are at an important decision point. There has been a declining interest in buying the index. Buying volume in 2016, 2017 and 2018 has failed to push the index to new highs and in 2019 volume has been low. Price has reached the long term oversold trend line and a break lower could open...
- Finding support on the 100ma and currently above 50ma (4HR)
- Target a move to R16.32
- Stop Loss around R15.46
- R/R is 1.5
- Weaker dollar will aid Financials
- MANAGE YOUR RISK -
Disclaimer: All ideas are my opinion and should not be taken as financial advice.
