EURUSD Short: Supply Holds Strong - Market Eyes 1.1680 DemandHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of EURUSD (3H) based on the current chart structure. EURUSD is trading within a broader bullish structure, supported by a well-defined ascending trend line that has guided price higher from the previous pivot low. Earlier, the market spent time consolidating inside a range, indicating accumulation before the upside expansion. A strong impulsive breakout from this range confirmed buyer control and triggered a bullish continuation move. As price advanced, EURUSD reached a key Supply Zone around 1.1750–1.1760, where selling pressure became visible. Multiple attempts to push above this area resulted in fake breakouts, clearly signaling buyer exhaustion and the presence of strong sellers at higher levels. The chart highlights several failed breakouts and rejections from the supply line, reinforcing this zone as a critical resistance.
Currently, after the rejection from the upper highs near the pivot point, price broke below the short-term structure and is now trading below the supply line, suggesting a loss of bullish momentum. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, indicating that the market may be preparing for a deeper pullback rather than immediate continuation higher. Below current price, the Demand Zone around 1.1680 stands out as the next major downside target. This level previously acted as support and aligns with a key horizontal demand area where buyers may attempt to step back in. A move toward this zone would represent a healthy correction within the broader structure.
My scenario: as long as EURUSD remains below the 1.1750 Supply Zone and continues to respect the descending supply line, the short-term bias favors sellers. I expect downside continuation toward the 1.1680 Demand Zone. A strong bullish reaction from demand could lead to consolidation or a corrective bounce, but a clean breakdown below 1.1680 would signal a deeper bearish correction. For now, price is at a key decision area, with sellers in control below supply and demand acting as the main downside objective. Manage your risk!
Supply and Demand
BTCUSDT Long: Uptrend Continues Toward 94,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT initially traded within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure during that phase. This move ended with a clear pivot point, followed by a strong breakout from the descending channel, signaling a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. After this breakout, price transitioned into a broad range, where BTC consolidated for an extended period, showing balance between supply and demand with multiple internal reactions.
Currently, BTC is approaching a key Supply Zone around the 94,500 level, where previous selling pressure is expected to re-emerge. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of a reaction. Below current price, the Demand Zone near 86,800 remains a critical support level, marking the prior breakout area and the base of the bullish structure.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect price to test the 94,500 Supply Zone, where a reaction or short-term pullback may occur. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would signal further upside continuation. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below channel support would suggest a deeper corrective move. For now, structure favors buyers while price remains within the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
XAUUSD 30M – Support Hold & Bullish Recovery SetupPrice is reacting from a well-defined support zone around 4,310–4,330, showing signs of a short-term bullish recovery
A break and close above 4,360–4,380 can confirm upside momentum toward the first TP near 4,395–4,400
Sustained strength above 4,415 opens the path toward the main target at 4,450–4,460, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Gold Outlook Demand Holding, Upside ProjectedGold forming a classic inverse head and shoulders structure after a sharp bearish impulse. Price established the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder within a clearly defined accumulation base, signaling exhaustion of selling pressure. The neckline is marked around the 4,403 region, and price has reacted strongly from the highlighted buy zone, confirming demand interest. The projected bullish continuation targets the 4,538 resistance/high, aligning with the measured move of the pattern. Overall, the structure suggests a short-term bullish reversal, contingent on sustained acceptance above the neckline.
Bitcoin is completing a bullish triangle (12H)Since we marked the red arrow on the chart the price has entered a bearish phase
This phase appears to be a complex correction likely a double structure as we can observe an ABC plus X wave followed by a triangle formation
We are currently at the end of the second corrective wave with only one wave Wave E of this triangle remaining Once Wave E completes within the green zone the price may enter a bullish phase
In this scenario the recovery will only begin after the completion of Wave E This means that all movements from the current low until now have been part of corrective action and the bearish phase Therefore we can anticipate Bitcoins recovery target to reach around 106000 dollars
It is expected that the price will find support moving from the red zone toward the green zone after which stronger bullish movements could follow
Targets have been clearly marked on the chart for reference
Important A daily candle close below the invalidation level will negate this analysis and suggest a different market scenario
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report to end the year we said we would only be looking for short trades and gave the levels above that we wanted to short from. Price didn’t quite hit our red box level but we got close and upon activation on the indicators and Excalibur we managed to get the trade we wanted, and what a trade it was!
We then update traders with the potential low to look for and the retracement trade long up into the red box which was also pin-point successful. As you can see from the chart, it was from there we wanted the RIP, again, level to level, point to point on the indicators for the short to end the week!
Another successful week, month and year in Camelot not only on gold but across the numerous other pairs we analyse and trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
With NFP this week and a lot of news to start the week, we can expect volatility as usual. Now add the geopolitical news over the weekend and there are chances we open with gaps on the markets. For that reason, we will say we’ll stick with our levels as they work well no matter the market condition, however, expect some choppy movement and potential for the levels to be completed straight away!
Below we have immediate support at the 4330 level and below that the bias level of 4320. It’s the 4320 region that needs to be monitored for the break downside, as failure to do so can result in a RIP from there and potential move upside to break above 4335 taking us into the 4355-60 region and above that we should be looking at the 4390-95 region. It’s just above that we’ve highlighted potential for a RIP as these higher levels are lining up with the red boxes and unless we get a break above, we could get the reaction bears will want to see from above for another aggressive move.
Now, the caveat. We do have a higher Excalibur active but we want to see how the market opens and how it reacts to the open. Based on the structure at the moment there is a chance for an undercut low which make support lower but, defence is in the way so let’s see how the market opens and wait for the price to do it’s thing. Once we have opening confirmation, we will know how to play it. That’s just the way the game is played team.
RED BOXES AND TARGETS:
Break above 4340 for 4355, 4365 and 4368 in extension of the move
Break below 4320 for 4310, 4304, 4395 and 4390 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - Weekly UpdateTHE KOG REPORT WEEKLY CHART:
We used to do an up/down analysis a lot when we first started but stopped due to plagiarism. So we’ll start 2026 with an up and down analysis of the longer time frames for those looking for the swing trades.
The weekly chart shown has the red boxes added. You can see we have a slight gap below suggesting that the shorter movement upside will need to close the week above the 4365 region in order to target the higher levels. Based on the structure here the is defence below at the 4250-55 level with extension of the move sitting at 4230-5. This could be a swing in play with manipulation taking place, so lets keep an eye on the smaller TFs to finer tune our trading.
Line in the sand for bulls here is 4220!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
USDHCF I Weekly CLS Range I Model 1 Hi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 100 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it everyday become a MASTER.
I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru.
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Adapt useful, Reject useless and add what is specifically yours.
David Perk
SUI is on the verge of another rally (4H)From the point where we marked the green arrow on the chart, a bullish phase has started on SUI. This area acted as a key reaction zone where buyers stepped in decisively, shifting market sentiment from corrective to bullish.
Based on the current price structure, it appears that we are developing an ABC corrective pattern. In this structure, Wave B has formed as a triangle, which is a common consolidation pattern before continuation. The triangle suggests decreasing volatility and balance between buyers and sellers before the next impulsive move.
At the moment, price action indicates that we are still inside Wave B, with one final sub-wave remaining wave “e” of the triangle. Once this last leg of the triangle is completed, the corrective phase should be fully exhausted.
After the completion of this final wave, the market is expected to resume its bullish move in the form of Wave C, which typically unfolds as a strong impulsive rally. This next move should bring expansion in both momentum and volume compared to the corrective structure we are currently seeing.
To manage risk and execution efficiently, two entry zones have been clearly marked on the chart, and positions should be built using a DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) approach rather than a single entry. This allows better positioning in case of short-term volatility during the end of Wave B.
The projected targets for Wave C are also outlined on the chart, based on classical Elliott Wave projections and prior market structure. These levels represent logical areas where partial or full profit-taking can be considered.
⚠️ Invalidation:
This analysis will be invalidated if a candle closes below the marked invalidation level. A confirmed close below that level would indicate that the current wave structure is no longer valid and that the market may be transitioning into a different scenario.
As always, this setup is based on technical structure and probability, not certainty. Proper risk management is essential.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
Is 0.92 The Bottom ??0.92 looks like a very strong support level there where multiple attempts to break lower last each attempt quickly failed with the Monthly candles closing back above 0.925.
The setup is very straight forward I will wait for another drop down towards 0.92 then use the daily TF to time my entry on a MACD crossover looking to target the Monthly trendline @ 0.94 which also lines up with a nice resistance.
For further strength above this we want to see a break and close of the trendline resistance and then a quick retest and use the lower TF daily chart to get back in for a move up towards the 0.98 resistance and further towards the key 1 level.
There is a good positive swap on this pair and its common to see CHF cross pairs to strengthen at the beginning of the year if you look at some of my previous ideas on CHF pairs.
Let me know your thoughts wishing you a healthy and prosperous 2026 :)
ETH New Analysis (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
Since no significant capital flowed into Ethereum, the pattern changed in a way that shortened the target of the next wave. As we are in the final days of the year, market liquidity is low, which is why we are seeing increased volatility and erratic behavior across market assets.
Analysis is not very effective these days, and as we announced a week ago, you should reduce your trading volume due to the year-end conditions | for exactly these reasons.
Instead of the previous diametric analysis, the price structure appears to have shifted into a wider pattern. This expansion is due to the lack of capital inflow and overall low liquidity in the market during these year-end days.
Price is expected to be supported from the origin of the move, which we have highlighted in green on the chart.
Ethereum is still owed an upward move, but it is likely to make this move with difficulty. The targets are marked on the chart.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Is Bitcoin on the verge of a bullish move? (4H)This analysis is an update to the previous one, which you can find in the related analyses section.
The previous analysis is still valid, and Wave D of this diametric pattern needs to complete. Since trading volume was low and it was the end of the year, this move has taken longer.
I had marked a red line in the previous analysis, noting that as long as this line isn’t convincingly broken, the price cannot recover. In the past, every time the price approached this line, it was quickly rejected but now, after moving above this red line, it hasn’t been rejected yet.
We’ve marked Bitcoin’s targets on the chart.
Let’s see how it plays out.
If you have a coin or altcoin you want analyzed, first hit the like button and then comment its name so I can review it for you.
This is not a trade setup, as it has no precise stop-loss, stop, or target. I do not publish my trade setups here.
BTC Breakout in Play Retest Zone Will Define ContinuationAs highlighted in our previous BTC update, price was approaching a structural decision point and the breakout has now been confirmed.
BTCUSDT has now broken above the upper trendline of the bearish structure , signaling a short-term shift in market behavior after prolonged downside pressure.
A sustained break and acceptance above the immediate resistance will confirm bullish stability, with a natural retest expected toward the breakout zone and the immediate support zone.
If this retest is successful and price holds above reclaimed structure, upside continuation remains favored toward the projected targets marked on the chart. Failure to maintain acceptance above this zone would invalidate the breakout scenario and shift focus back toward lower support.
XAUUSD Short: Rejection from Supply – 4,340 Demand as TargetHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. After an extended bullish phase, Gold was trading inside a well-defined ascending channel, confirming strong buyer control and a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. During this phase, price respected the channel structure multiple times, using the lower boundary as dynamic support. Before the impulsive move higher, XAUUSD also formed two visible consolidation ranges, indicating accumulation prior to expansion. A clean breakout from the upper range triggered strong upside momentum and accelerated price toward the upper channel boundary.
Currently, XAUUSD is trading near the Demand Zone around 4,340, which aligns with a rising trend line and a previous reaction area. A recent dip below this level resulted in a fake breakout, followed by a quick recovery back above demand, suggesting buyers are still active in this zone. Price is now reacting upward from demand, but remains capped below the 4,400 supply area, keeping the structure corrective rather than fully bullish.
My scenario: as long as XAUUSD remains below the 4,400 Supply Zone, the bias favors sellers. I expect price to show rejection signals in this area—such as long upper wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or failed breakouts—followed by renewed downside pressure. The first downside target is a move back toward the 4,340 Demand Zone. A clean breakdown and acceptance below this level would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper move toward lower support levels. Manage your risk!
Selena | XAUUSD – Strong Zones | Market Structure ShiftFOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
After a prolonged bullish move, price formed distribution near highs and broke structure to the downside. The sharp drop indicates stop-hunt and liquidity release. Price is currently reacting inside a higher-timeframe demand zone, where buyers may attempt to defend. This zone will determine whether the move is a healthy correction or a deeper bearish continuation.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
If price holds above the demand zone and forms a higher low, a corrective rally toward the mid-range and previous structure resistance is likely.
🎯 Target 1: Mid consolidation range
🎯 Target 2: Channel equilibrium
🎯 Target 3: Previous highs / buy-side liquidity
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A strong candle close below the demand zone invalidates bullish recovery and opens downside toward lower liquidity pools.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: Broken channel support & previous consolidation high
Support 🟢: Strong holding demand zone
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the year and week with the gap on open breaking our bias level and completing the red box targets. We also managed to achieve the red box defence where earlier we got the RIP for a bonus reverse trade.
Now we have resistance at the red box which needs to be monitored for a 4H close, otherwise, we'll stick with the idea and look for a possible retracement here into the 4430-20 region initially.
With this gap below and the stretch in play, we're too high and it's too risky to attempt going long, so there is no option but to wait for the pullback or, to attempt the short from resistance levels.
Key levels here:
4455 Resistance with 4460 in extension
4440 support with 4435 in extension
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD | 2026 Kickoff: Geopolitical Spike & Breaker Test Gold starts 2026 with strong safe-haven demand following escalating geopolitical tensions. Price is recovering from the late-December liquidity void and is now pressing into a key 4H breaker zone.
Bias • Short-term: Bullish
• Medium-term: Neutral → Bullish
Market Structure ✔ 4H MSS confirmed above 4413 (EQ)
✔ Price compressing below resistance → breakout or trap setup
Key Levels • Resistance: 4485 → 4550 (ATH)
• Immediate Support: 4413
• Major Support: 4350 (200 MA & base)
Trade Plan
🔵 Long Continuation • Entry: 1H close above 4442
• Targets: 4485 → 4549
• SL: Below 4402
🔴 Rejection / Trap Scenario • Rejection from 4450–4480 with wicks + RSI divergence
• Possible liquidity sweep toward 4375 before continuation
Notes ⚠️ Volatility elevated (~2.5x normal)
📊 Fed Minutes later this week — watch DXY 104.50
🕒 NY open & London/NY crossover are key
Question Are you holding for ATH breakout → 4600, or booking profits at previous highs?
👇 Share your bias below
⚠️ Caution: This is purely for educational purposes trade at your own risk
EURJPY: Bullish Push to 184.24?FX:EURJPY is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price bouncing from an upward trendline near lower high, converging with a potential entry zone at support that could fuel upside momentum if buyers hold amid recent consolidation. This setup indicates a rally opportunity post-pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:2.5 .🔥
Entry between 182.43–182.69 for a long position (entry from current price with proper risk management is recommended). Target at 184.24 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 182.1 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:2.5 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with increasing volume, capitalizing on the pair's upward bias near key levels.🌟
Fundamentally , EURJPY is trading around 182.9 in early January 2026, with key events this week including Wednesday's Eurozone HICP Flash (Dec) for preliminary inflation data that could strengthen EUR if higher than expected, signaling ECB hawkishness; and Thursday's ECB SCE (Spring Consensus Expectations) for economic projections that may boost EUR on positive outlooks. For JPY, Monday's Japanese PMI Final (Dec) could weaken the yen if revised lower, indicating manufacturing contraction. Overall, stronger Euro data versus soft JPY readings could favor upside in EURJPY amid low holiday volume. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry (Long):
182.43 – 182.69
(Entry from current price is valid with proper risk & position sizing.)
🎯 Target:
• 184.24
❌ Stop Loss:
• Daily close below 182.10
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward:
• > 1:2.5
💡 Your take?
Does EURJPY extend toward 184.24, or do you expect deeper consolidation before the next push higher? 👇
GOLD (XAUUSD): Short Term Bearish! Watch The -FVG!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Jan.5-9th.
Gold took a bearish turn last week, closing below the previous weekly candle. This is ordinarily a bearish indication. But with the US actions against Venezuela, we may see Gold spike up with
the tensions.
If the market moves higher, there is a -FVG just above it to offer resistance. If the market doesn't respect the -FVG, we know to look for long setups upon the inversion of that FVG.
If the market respects the -FVG, look for sells on the LTFs.
Simple.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
GOLD Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD price has reclaimed a key horizontal demand zone after a clean liquidity sweep below prior lows. Strong displacement to the upside signals smart money accumulation, with structure favoring continuation toward the next buy-side liquidity pool. Time Frame 12H.
Buy!
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XAUUSD | Jan 2th 2026 | 2nd Idea | Buy the Dip Price reacted perfectly from the 4,315–4,300 demand zone after filling the 1H FVG.
Liquidity below lows is swept → buyers stepping in.
Plan:
📍 Buy Zone: 4,315 – 4,300
🎯 Targets: 4,400 → 4,480 → 4,530
❌ Invalidation: H1 close below 4,280
Bias remains bullish above 4,300.
A clean break & hold above 4,400 confirms continuation.
⚠️ SMC-based idea. Risk management required.
⚠️Caution: This is purely for educational purposes , trade at your own risk
SILVER FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅SILVER is reacting inside a higher-timeframe supply zone after a strong impulsive push. This move shows clear buy-side liquidity capture, with displacement losing momentum. Expect a bearish rotation toward the discounted imbalance below.
—————————
Entry: 76.50$
Stop Loss: 78.12$
Take Profit: 74.00$
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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