Breakout Or Breakdown?Price has recently shown signs of bullish intent after a clear CHoCH (Change of Character), breaking above previous lower highs. This shift suggests potential accumulation following the BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside earlier.
Key Levels:
Resistance (R) Zone: Currently testing this supply area. A strong close above could confirm continuation.
Support Zone: Below, previous demand and BOS zone, likely to act as support if price rejects.
Bullish Scenario:
A clean breakout and retest of the resistance zone could open up a push towards higher targets, confirming bullish momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
If price rejects strongly from resistance, we may see a return to the lower support zone and potentially break it to reach the lower target.
Watch for confirmation before entering, and manage risk accordingly.
Support
Will BTC go further down?🧩 1. General Context
Bitcoin is currently declining after rebounding from around $124,000.
The chart shows a clear descending channel (yellow lines), where the price bounced off the upper and lower boundaries.
Currently, the daily candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel and the support zone (red rectangle) between ~$110,000 and $107,000.
📉 2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance 1) 115,699 EMA50/SMA200 average zone — possible retest from below
Resistance (2) 119,875 resistance with a potential bounce
Resistance (3) 124,585 strong resistance with a potential bounce
Support (1) 110,000 Daily support currently being tested
Support (2) 107,111 200-day SMA — a strong defensive line in the uptrend
Support (3) 105,000 Lower boundary of the September demand zone
📊 3. Moving Averages
The 50-day EMA (~115,700) recently crossed the 200-day SMA (~115,600) → a possible death cross if it holds below.
Price below the EMA50 and SMA100, approaching the SMA200 → momentum is definitely bearish in the short term.
⚙️ 4. MACD
The MACD indicator shows a fresh crossover of the downward signal.
The histogram deepens into the negative zone → confirmation of downward pressure.
Momentum is negative, with no signs of upward divergence.
💪 5. RSI
RSI = 37.9, close to the oversold zone, but not yet extreme.
A technical rebound could potentially occur when touching 30–35.
No divergence is visible yet (RSI confirms price movement).
🕯️ 6. Candlestick Structure
The last three daily candles are:
Two strong bearish candles with large bodies (without significant shadows).
Today's candle with a lower wick is testing the 110,000 zone → a possible defense attempt by buyers.
📈 7. Short-Term Scenarios
🔻 Bearish:
A break of 110,000 and a daily close below 107,000 → a possible decline to 105,000 and even 101,000–102,000 USD.
The MACD and moving averages confirm this scenario.
🔼 Bullish:
A defense of 110,000 and a return above 112,000–113,000 → a possible retest of 115,000–116,000 (EMA50/200) is possible.
The RSI indicates that the market has cooled down → a short-term technical rebound is possible.
AR (Arweave) - Major Support Zone In PlayAR has seen a sharp pullback over the last few weeks and is now testing a key support level. This zone has previously acted as a strong base, making it a potential area for bullish reversal or bounce.
💡 Trade Idea:
🔹 Entry Zone: $5.20 – $5.40
🔹 Targets (TP):
• First target: $6.10 – $6.60
• Second target: $7.80 – $8.75
🔹 Stop Loss: Just below $5.00
🔍 Watch for bullish confirmation (volume spike, candle reversal) at support before entering. Manage your risk and scale out at key resistance levels.
Euro may Break the 1.1550 Support LevelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The dominant market pressure for the Euro has been bearish since the price failed to sustain its rally to the 1.1920 high. This reversal initiated a significant downward trend for EURUSD, characterised by the breakdown of several key market structures, including the prior upward channel and the major 1.1740 resistance level. Currently, this bearish impulse has brought the price down to the major horizontal support level at 1.1550, an area which also coincides with a historical buyer zone. The price is now in a consolidation phase, attempting a minor corrective bounce from this support. In my mind, this bounce appears weak and lacks the momentum to signal a true reversal. I expect that this small upward movement will fail to attract significant buying interest and will soon be overcome by the prevailing selling pressure. I think a failure of this bounce will lead to a decisive breakdown below the 1.1550 support level. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 1.1510, targeting a new structural low in what I believe is a continuation of the primary downward trend. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
The LINK/USDT will probably go lower📉 Trend and Structure
The price is currently trading within a descending channel (yellow lines), which has been in place since late August.
The price attempted to break out of the channel at the top around $23.40, but buyers lacked strength – it was rejected at resistance and fell back below the downtrend line.
Currently, the price is just below the upper edge of the channel and below the 50/200 EMA, confirming that the medium-term trend remains downward.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support:
$21.40 – local support, which is currently being tested.
$20.80 – strong support from previous price reactions.
$19.68 – lower boundary of the channel, a very important level for bulls.
Resistance:
$22.20–$22.70 – zone of the 50/200 EMA and previous rejections.
USD 23.40 – the last local high and the point of the false breakout.
USD 24.90 and USD 25.50 – key breakout levels from the channel, paving the way to USD 27–28.
⚙️ Technical Indicators
MACD:
The MACD line has crossed the upside signal → sell signal.
The histogram has turned slightly negative, indicating a loss of upward momentum.
RSI (14):
Currently around 51, with a slight downward slope.
Neutral, but with a strong upside – a drop to around 40 is possible before the bulls attempt a rebound.
🧭 Scenarios
🔻 Bearish Scenario (more likely)
If the price remains below $22 and the channel is not broken, a further decline to $20.80 is possible, or even a test of the lower band of the channel at $19.70.
Confirmation will be a close of the 4-hour candle below $21.40.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (less likely at this time)
If the bulls reclaim $22.70–$23.00 and close the 4-hour candle above it, a breakout from the channel could occur.
The targets will then be $23.40, $24.90, and $25.50, respectively.
Increased volume and confirmation on the MACD (bullish cross) are required.
EUR/USD - 4H & 15m forecastEUR/USD
As of this currently picture I’m looking for price to fill this imbalance during New York session. Hoping that’ll then sweep the high of Asia session to then displace further down towards sell side liquidity. Targeting HTF Demand.
Reason for my entry is seeing a rejection from the 4H Supply. We then have a rejection from the 15m zone. All I want is an entry off the imbalance or ICT traders would consider this as an I-FVG sell setup. Trading into support gives me confluence price wants to push down
Good luck all traders
USD/JPY - Multi timeframe Analysis🔥 USD/JPY — Bit More In-Depth, Still Punchy
🧭 Weekly (HTF Bias)
Trend up. We just tagged 153–154 weekly supply (prior rejection zone).
Two paths:
Clean break & hold above 154 → 156–157 magnet 🎯
Wick/reject here → corrective dip toward 149–150 (old highs + demand).
📆 Daily (Structure Check)
Clear BOS up; daily 50-EMA + structure stack around 149.2–150.2 = prime buy-the-dip area.
Expect a liquidity sweep under 150, then reclaim → rerun 153.5–154.
Daily close <147.8–147.5 = momentum shift ⚠️
⏰ 8H (Execution Map)
Rising liquidity trendline guiding pullbacks.
Buy Zone 1: 149.2–150.2 (trendline + demand + prior high).
Buy Zone 2 (deep discount): 144.8–145.6 if we get a full flush.
Above 151.5–152 and holding? Bulls may skip the deep dip and rocket straight back into 153–154 🚀
🧩 Trade Plan (rules-ish)
Primary idea (pro-trend):
Wait for sweep/reclaim of 150 on LTF (H1/H4 close back above).
Entry : 149.8–150.2 retest.
TPs: 152.2 → 153.5 → 154.8–155.2.
Invalidation : H4 close <149.0 (safer: <147.8).
Alt (only if strong breakout):
H4 close >154.2 + retest holds → ride to 156.0–157.0.
Counter-trend scalp (advanced): bearish wick rejection inside 153.5–154.2 → tag 151.6–150.8 “snack stop,” then look to flip long.
Summary : Bias bullish, hunting a dip to 150 for continuation. Lose 147.8 and the script changes.
Eur/Usd - 15min Continuation From Orderblock Rejection Price has recently tapped into the order block (OB) area after a clear shift in market structure (ChoCH), showing a strong bearish reaction from supply. After the rejection from the OB, the market formed a minor pullback to retest the EMA zone, creating a potential short entry opportunity at the marked “ENTER” point. The structure suggests bearish continuation as liquidity has already been swept above previous highs, indicating potential for a downside move.
If the bearish momentum sustains below the EMA and price rejects from this retracement level, we can expect continuation towards the support area and weak low zone. The target aligns with previous liquidity pools resting below the current market structure, offering a clean bearish setup.
Target: Support zone / weak low area
BTC Short-Term 1H🔹 General Context
On the chart, we see that Bitcoin:
Has broken the local downtrend line (yellow line), suggesting an attempt to change the short-term trend.
It is currently consolidating just above the 50/200 EMA, which is a positive sign for bulls.
We also see a MACD crossover in the positive zone and an RSI rising, but not yet overloaded (around 52–60).
🔸 Key Technical Levels
Support:
122.460 USDT – strong local support, aligned with previous lows and the 200 EMA.
121.900 USDT – next support, also marked by the blue 200 EMA.
120.600 USDT – deeper support, recent significant low.
Resistance:
123,700 – 123,900 USDT – resistance zone where the price is currently stalling (there was a reaction after the trendline breakout).
124,700 USDT – next resistance level (local high).
125,700 USDT – strong resistance resulting from previous swing highs.
🔸 Technical Indicators
📈 EMA 50/200 (golden cross on 1 hour):
The 50 EMA is breaking below the 200 EMA – a classic bullish signal (Golden Cross).
Confirmation requires the price to stay above 122,800 USDT for several H1 candles.
📊 MACD:
The histogram has turned positive, the MACD line is breaking above the signal line – momentum is increasing.
There is no strong negative divergence yet, so the signal is clear.
💪 RSI:
Value ~52–60 – moderately bullish.
It is not overbought yet, so there is potential for further upward movement.
🔹 Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Sustainability above 122,800 USDT.
A breakout and retest of the 123,700–123,900 USDT resistance could open the way to 124,700 USDT and then 125,700 USDT.
The MACD and RSI support this scenario.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
A reversal from the current level and a decline below 122,400 USDT.
A retest of 121,900 USDT and a possible deepening correction to 120,600 USDT is possible.
VeChain (VET) – Key Support Test & Long SetupVET is currently retesting a major support zone, presenting a solid opportunity for a long spot position ahead of what could be a Q4/year-end rally.
📉 Entry Zone: $0.0215 – $0.02245
📈 Targets:
• TP1: $0.026 – $0.028
• TP2: $0.03 – $0.0325
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $0.02
$SUSDT Breakout Alert: Bullish Reversal in Play.$S just broke out of a long falling wedge, signalling a possible bullish reversal.
MACD is turning positive, adding momentum to the move.
If price holds above the breakout zone, it could rally toward $0.8808, nearly 195% higher than current levels.
DYOR, NFA
Xauusd - Price At Decision Point Price is currently hovering around a Decision Point at a key Resistance Zone, following a series of BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) formations, indicating significant market shifts.
Key Levels & Zones:
Resistance Zone: Price is retesting this zone, which has acted as a ceiling previously.
Demand Zone: Below current price — if the market rejects from resistance, this becomes a potential area for bullish reactions.
Weak High: Marked just above current price action; may be targeted for liquidity sweep before a reversal.
Scenario 1 (Bullish):
Price breaks and holds above the Decision Point, invalidating the Resistance.
Potential upside target towards 4,000 - 4,020 range.
Confirmation would come from a strong bullish candle closing above the Resistance with momentum.
Scenario 2 (Bearish):
Rejection from current level (Resistance/Decision Point) suggests price may target the Demand Zone.
Break below demand could lead price lower, targeting 3,940 area.
Look for signs of exhaustion or bearish engulfing candles near resistance.
Market Bias: Neutral-Bullish
Awaiting clear breakout or rejection at the Decision Point to determine the short-term trend.
Break or Bust — ETH betwen Support vs. Overbought 4‑WeekETH sitting at the 20‑day Leavitt MA while hitting strong resistance — overbought of 4‑week RSI.
If price breaks and closes above $4,630, trend continuation is likely.
If price breaks below $4,000, expect a drop toward $3,800 and possibly $3,360.
Technical notes:
Use the 20‑day Leavitt MA as your short‑term trend anchor.
Watch for a confirmed daily close above $4,630 to signal continuation (entry on retest or momentum breakout).
A daily close below $4,000 invalidates the bullish case; targets: $3,800 then $3,360 (scale stops and size accordingly).
Manage risk with stops outside breakout levels and position sizing for potential volatility.
NASDAQ Future long: after resitance broken, new support formed Current Analysis: Nasdaq futures are currently facing a critical support at 22100
I see the chance of a Bullish rebound:
Support Strength: This support was a resistance in past weeks, then it was broken on Feb 14th and act as support in last 3 days.
Additionally, from Dec. 17th to February 12th, price formed a triangle that was broken up on Feb.13th.
Expected Movement: If the price successfully breaks above 22100, I expect it to rally towards the $22400 area.
Action Plan:
Entry Point: entered long with limit order at 22100
Target: Set a target in the $22425 (high of December 17th)
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 21937.75, below minimum of Feb.20th and with Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.
Gold - 4H Forecast ☀️ GOLD – 4H Forecast ☀️
Alright gold gang, let’s talk business — XAU/USD is setting up for something clean 👇
🧠 Bias :
Still bullish overall, but we’re chilling in premium territory, and this structure screams “pullback incoming.” Expect a retrace before the next rocket launch 🚀.
🧩 Technical Breakdown:
Price just printed a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) grab up top — textbook liquidity sweep before a potential correction.
We’ve got a strong impulsive leg pushing off a 4H + Daily demand confluence around $3,850–$3,880.
The 71% fib retracement zone aligns beautifully with that 4H demand, creating a prime reload area if price dips.
The volume profile gap (POI) also hints at untested liquidity sitting below current highs.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: $3,880–$3,860 (4H & Daily demand overlap)
Target 1: $3,970 (current high retest)
Target 2: $4,010+ (continuation into new impulse)
Invalidation: Below $3,830 (break of structure + demand failure)
⚙️ Risk Management:
Keep risk tight — 1%–1.5% max. If we get a reaction at the 71% level, partials at $3,950 are smart to secure profits before the next leg.
💬 Summary :
Gold just ran buy-side liquidity and looks ready to dip into discount before ripping higher again. If we get a clean 4H or 1H confirmation in the demand, expect another bullish leg to unfold.
EUR/USD - 4H Forecast (Full Breakdown Linked)🔥 EUR/USD – 4H Forecast 🔥
Alright traders, here’s the 4H play for the Fiber 👇
🧠 Bias:
Short-term bearish, baby. Price just printed a Break of Structure (BOS) after a clean shift in momentum from the upside. The bulls are losing steam, and sellers are creeping back into the driver’s seat.
🧩 Technical Breakdown:
Price rejected beautifully from a 4H supply zone around 1.1750–1.1770, confirming bearish intent.
We’ve got a solid BOS and shift, setting the tone for a potential continuation leg down.
A minor pullback into the 4H zone could act as the sniper’s entry area.
Below sits a juicy imbalance and SSL (sell-side liquidity) near 1.1530–1.1560, waiting to get cleared.
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: 1.1700–1.1740 (4H supply retest)
Target 1: 1.1580 (mid-range demand)
Target 2: 1.1440 (major liquidity pocket)
Invalidation: Above 1.1780 (if price reclaims the 4H supply, bias flips)
⚙️ Risk Management:
Stick to your plan — 1–2% risk max. Wait for confirmation candles or lower-TF rejection before diving in. No FOMO entries.
💬 Summary :
EUR/USD looks primed for a bearish continuation unless the bulls pull off a miracle reclaim. Eyes on that 4H zone — rejection there could kickstart the next drop.
BNB/USDT 4H Chart Review📊 Market Structure
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle (yellow lines) from which a breakout occurred upwards—a classic signal of a continuing uptrend.
The price has broken above resistance at ~$1,210, which now acts as local support.
Current price: ~$1,226, following a dynamic breakout from the triangle.
📈 Key Levels
Support:
$1,210 — Retest after the breakout (important defensive level for bulls)
$1,193 — Previous local support in the triangle
$1,170 — Stronger support and lower boundary of the previous consolidation
Resistance:
$1,239 — Local resistance that has already been tested
$1,260–$1,265 — Next target upon breakout (equal movement or measuring the height of the triangle)
$1,300 — Psychological and technical resistance level
📊 Volume
The breakout was confirmed by a significant increase in volume, lending it credibility.
No sharp drop in volume after the breakout — the market remains in demand.
⚙️ MACD
The MACD is above the signal line and rising, confirming a bullish impulse.
The histogram is positive, but not excessively broad → momentum is healthy, but not overheated.
💪 RSI
RSI: ~75, which is slightly in the overbought zone.
It's worth watching for a short-term correction or retest of the $1,210 level before the uptrend becomes more established.
US100: Strong resistance sell setup on the 30-minute chart
📈 SKILLING:US100 — Technical Analysis: Sell Setup Near Strong Resistance
🔍 Technical Analysis:
• Currently, US100 price is approaching a significant resistance zone (highlighted in red). This area has acted as a strong ceiling in recent sessions, where sellers tend to emerge.
• The price has rallied back after a sharp decline but is showing signs of slowing momentum as it nears this resistance. This often leads to a rejection rather than a clean breakout, especially on a 30-minute timeframe.
• Below, the light blue zones represent key support levels, which could serve as realistic targets if sellers regain control. These zones are important areas where buyers previously stepped in, creating potential bounce points.
• The drawn dashed lines illustrate a possible price path: a test of the resistance level, failure to break higher, followed by a pullback and continuation of the downward trend.
• For confirmation of the sell setup, traders should look for reversal candlestick patterns such as rejection wicks (long upper shadows), bearish engulfing candles, or pin bars at the resistance zone. These signals help validate that sellers are gaining dominance.
• Volume and momentum indicators should also be monitored for divergence or weakening bullish pressure near resistance to strengthen the case for a sell.
📊 Trade Considerations:
• Entering a sell position should be done only after clear confirmation of price rejection at resistance.
• Setting a stop loss slightly above the resistance zone helps manage risk in case of a false breakout.
• Targets can be placed near the support zones (light blue areas), with partial profit-taking to lock gains while allowing some position to run if price reacts there.
📌 Summary:
The technical structure of US100 on the 30-minute chart suggests a high probability of price reversal from the strong resistance area. A cautious sell setup is favored, waiting for confirming price action signals to reduce risk. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility near this key level.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
$BTC Bearish Divergence Signals Possible Correction Toward 118KBitcoin on the 4-hour chart is flashing a clear bearish divergence — while price is forming a higher high, RSI is slipping into a lower high. 📉
This setup often hints at an upcoming correction phase. Based on the current market structure, 118K appears to be a strong liquidity gap area where a short-term bounce or lower high could form.
However, if BTC loses its footing below 107K, that’s where the real bearish confirmation kicks in. Until then, the 107K support remains the key battleground for bulls to defend. ⚔️
Volume analysis also supports the correction narrative — buying pressure is fading while selling momentum is picking up. Stay alert for a possible test near 118K before the next major move.
#Bitcoin #BTCAnalysis
ETHUSDT 1D chart review📊 1. Main trend
• The chart shows a long -term movement in the inheritance trend channel in which the price is currently fighting for the mountain, but here you can see that the inferior canal limit is a strong resistance for the price.
⸻
🧠 2. Medium walking
• We see the cut SMA 50 and SMA 200 (so -called Golden Cross) - this is an upward signal in day interval.
• EMA 50 (green) is approaching the intersection of EMA 200 (red) - if the growth cross is confirmed, it may mean further growth time.
⸻
💹 3. Horizers of support and resistance
Support:
• 4,034 USDT - strong level, defended after the last inheritance.
• 4,252 USDT - short -term support (after breaking above trendline).
Resistance:
• 4 720 USDT - local resistance, previously rejected several times.
• 4,966 USDT - next strong resistance (local peak).
If ETH pierces 4 720 with a volume, the road opens towards 4,950-5,000 USDT.
⸻
⚙️ 4. Indicators
Macd:
• The histogram grows green → growth momentum.
• The MacD line cut the signal line from the bottom → buy signal.
RSI:
• RSI around 60, which indicates the advantage of bulls, but without buying out.
• If the RSI pierces 70, a short -term pullback may occur.
KIOCL on the verge of 8 years BreakOut📊 KIOCL Ltd – 8-Year Breakout Summary
🔑 Price Action Overview
The stock is trading at ₹528.80 (+19.99%), hitting an upper circuit with strong momentum.
Price is on the verge of a multi-year breakout from the consolidation zone that lasted nearly 8 years (2017–2025).
Historically, every breakout in KIOCL has led to sharp parabolic moves (2017 rally, 2020 rally, 2024 rally).
📈 Key Resistance Levels
1. ₹540 – ₹560 zone → Immediate breakout resistance (current price testing this zone).
2. ₹620 – ₹650 → Next major resistance; earlier rejection zones in 2017 and 2024.
3. ₹750 – ₹800 → Medium-term resistance zone.
4. ₹900 – ₹1000 → Psychological & historical supply zone.
📉 Key Support Levels
1. ₹500 – ₹510 → Immediate support (previous resistance now acting as support).
2. ₹450 – ₹460 → Strong support, base of recent rally.
3. ₹400 – ₹410 → Long-term support, multiple touch points (2023–24).
4. ₹340 – ₹350 → Strong multi-year support zone; breakdown here invalidates bullish structure.
🔍 Volume & Strength
Volume has spiked sharply (11.5M vs avg 9.9M), confirming institutional buying interest.
Weekly chart breakout with highest volume in years indicates accumulation phase turning into expansion phase.
📊 Technical Indicators
Momentum: RSI likely entering overbought zone but still bullish (strengthening breakout).
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows visible since mid-2023.
Pattern: Cup & Handle / Long-term Rectangle breakout.
🚀 Upside Potential
Measured move targets (based on breakout projections):
First Target: ₹620 – ₹650 (20–25% upside)
Second Target: ₹750 – ₹800 (45–50% upside)
Final Target: ₹900 – ₹1000 (80–85% upside)
⚠️ Risks
Profit booking after sharp rallies.
If it fails to sustain above ₹500 support, trend may weaken.
PSU stocks can be volatile due to government policies.
✅ Summary in One Line:
KIOCL is on the verge of an 8-year breakout with strong volumes. Sustaining above ₹500–₹510 opens the gates for ₹620 → ₹750 → ₹900+ in the medium to long term, while downside is protected by ₹450 & ₹400 supports.






















