Support and Resistance
XAUUSD: Maintain Buy Strategy, Target 4232–4250With the Federal Reserve’s rate cut finally confirmed, gold delivered a roller-coaster performance. It first climbed to around 4250, and today it has returned to the 4200 area. After holding long positions throughout yesterday, we finally captured significant profits under the stimulus of the rate cut.
Today we maintain a bullish strategy, paying particular attention to 4217. If it can hold above this level, it should at least rise to around 4232. We can seize this opportunity.
The next resistance level is 4250-4260. Next is the resistance at 4250-4260. If it cannot be broken strongly, you can sell with a small position at this level. If it falls back but does not break 4225, you can continue to go long. If the bulls are strong, we may be able to look forward to the 4268-4280 area.
SAPIEN Analysis (1H)A structural change (CH) has formed to the bearish side, and now during pullbacks we are looking for Sell/Short positions.
Targets have been marked on the chart.
A 4H - candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
XAUUSD: Horizontal Channel, Trade The Bounce.XAUUSD is ranging on horizontal channel of support and resistance, the pair have failed to break above or below this channel, continues to move inside the horizontal region. we can plainly spot the price heading towards the support zone, as we anticipate a buy after a clear retracement above.
The alternative measure here is buying at support and selling at resistance, while we expect a breakout outside the horizontal channel.
Possible outline;
A confirmed reversal above the horizontal support, would trigger upward rise to $4,260.
Keep it simple, keep trading.
Thanks for reading.
Fifth Spot XRP ETF Set for Launch After CBOE ApprovalThe fifth XRP ETF product is set to begin trading following new approval from the Cboe. This would place the fund in the company of other ETFs that have since recorded over $950 million inflows in less than four weeks.
Cboe Clears Path for New XRP ETF Under Ticker TOXR
The Cboe has approved the listing of 21Shares’ upcoming XRP fund, which will trade under the ticker “TOXR.” This approval was disclosed in a filing to the SEC. The fund will start trading on the exchange once it meets the final requirements.
The current approval brings the list to five different U.S. spot XRP-related funds. This approval comes after 21Shares made its fifth update to its S-1 registration earlier this week to complete the final steps before the launch.
The filing still carries a “delaying amendment.” This means the issuer may be awaiting a CERT notice or direct SEC approval.
Once launched, the XRP ETF will track the CME CF XRP-Dollar Reference Rate, New York Variant. This would expose investors to XRP price performance without having to custody the token. 21Shares publicly hinted at its upcoming launch on X.
The 21Shares TOXR fund is designed to have an annual sponsor fee of 0.3% charged daily and paid weekly in XRP. The issuer improved security and followed regulations by using a system with multiple custodians.
Ripple Markets created initial liquidity for the ETF by providing 100 million XRP. This is currently worth about $226 million. Creation and redemption will be either through in-kind via XRP transfers or via cash settlements.
This would be the latest fund to launch after Franklin Templeton’s spot XRP fund debuted late last month.
XRP Funds Close in On $1 Billion Milestone
The spot XRP ETFs in the U.S. have gathered nearly $1 billion in inflows within less than a month. Total inflows, according to the latest figures, are about $954 million.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse shared in a post on Monday that XRP has become the fastest-growing U.S. crypto ETF by AUM since Ethereum Demand for regulated products is increasing in the market.
XRP spot funds have not reported any day of net outflows. Just yesterday, despite market fluctuations, it still gained about $10 million in new inflows.
In other news, Ripple released an important update to the XRP Ledger. This update is designed to improve network stability and enhance its DeFi features.
How To Decide Short Trade In US500 IndexThis video explains how we decide a short trade in the US500 index by observing price behavior and market structure. The analysis focuses on how the US500 reacted from a defined supply zone, how momentum shifted, and what signals indicated a potential downside move. The goal of this breakdown is to show the process of identifying structure, reaction points, and momentum changes using pure price action.
This content highlights how supply zones, rejection behavior, and momentum alignment can help understand possible short-side opportunities—purely from an educational and analytical perspective, without offering any trading advice.
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis
📊 Market Structure (H1)
Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows:
• Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term.
• However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept.
• Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below.
→ The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move.
💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch
🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone
• 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times.
• 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS.
• Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards.
🔸 Support / Buy Zone
• 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated.
• If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting.
🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170
Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up.
BUY Conditions:
• Price touches 4,184–4,170
• Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH
• Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear
Targets:
• TP1: 4,190
• TP2: 4,200
• TP3: 4,215
• TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell)
Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x
If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up:
SELL Conditions:
• Retest 4,243–4,244
• Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH
• Must not close H1 above 4,250
Targets:
• TP1: 4,235
• TP2: 4,225
• TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170
Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout.
3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261
Only activate when:
• Price bounces strongly from OB Buy
• Clear breakout of 4,243 zone
• Structure forms HL → HH
At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243.
• SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs.
• OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
GIFTNIFTY IntraSwing Levels For 11th Dec '25[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline.
Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market.
📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1)
1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile)
Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves
No clean breakout above 4,218 yet
2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy”
Important zones:
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation
4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area)
4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms
Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward.
🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep
▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability)
Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181.
🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181
🔹 SL: below 4,172
🔹 TP1: 4,218
🔹 TP2: 4,242
Why this works:
Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand
MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion
▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest)
If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend.
🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220
🔹 TP: 4,242
🧭 MMF Bias Today
Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds
Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance
Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
ETH/USD: Fade the fear or chase the flush?ETH/USD has put in a topping pattern on the daily tick, printing a shooting star candle after a failed bullish probe above the interaction of the 50 and 200DMAs. As things stand, Thursday’s candle would complete an evening star bearish reversal pattern should it close around these levels or lower, doubling down on the bearish signal.
However, I don’t trust the broader risk-off move in Asia, apparently sparked by renewed concerns about AI capex following an update from Oracle. I suspect it’s just as much about yen strength weighing on the Nikkei after the Fed’s not-so-hawkish cut delivered on Wednesday. With a near-perfect correlation between Nikkei futures and risk assets such as Ethereum on a one-minute tick over the past hour, it feels like the move may be faded once Europe gets up and running.
I’m watching $3,200 closely into the changeover as it screens as an ideal level to build trades around, given it provided both support and resistance over the past month. If the price holds beneath $3,200 into Europe, consider initiating shorts with a stop above for protection, targeting either $3,000 or $2,916 initially. But if the price reverses back above $3,200 and holds there, the option is there to set longs with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the confluence of the 50 and 200DMAs or Wednesday’s high above $3,450.
The momentum picture is neutral, putting more emphasis on price action when assessing both setups.
Good luck!
DS
NIFTY Analysis for 11th Dec '25: IntraSwing Spot & FUT levelsAs of Now (9.45 am of 11-12-2025)
NIFTY Weekly PCR:
Put OI: 14,73,647
Call OI: 26,69,808
PCR : 0.55
Put OI Chg : 2,42,642
Call OI Chg : 4,00,347
Nifty Future Screen Shot 5 min TF:
Numeri basis Levels.
Future LEVELS Future LEVELS
LONG > 25892 SHORT < 25818
TGT#1 25916 TGT#1 25794
TGT#2 25934 TGT#2 25776
TGT#3 25953 TGT#3 25757
TGT#4 25980 TGT#4 25730
TGT#5 25996 TGT#5 25714
TGT#6 26034 TGT#6 25676
TGT#7 26057 TGT#7 25653
TGT#8 26079 TGT#8 25631
TGT9 26112 TGT#9 25598
[ Level Interpretation / description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
Do Comment for In depth Analysis. Follow notification about periodical View
XAUUSD 10-12 key levelsGreetings
Hello traders, This is the crucial support zone for XAU-USD at 15 minute,
based on the movement of the day prior and market trends.
Support zone (White line)
Important levels:
4181.00 is the entry
Target: 4191.09
Stop loss: 4171.09
1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio
We are inspired to continue learning and exchanging ideas by your likes and boosts!
BEL - ShortBEL has shown double top pattern and also broke the trendline support with strong red candle. Either this will go in sideways for few days before breaking down or will go to 400 and then again strong sell may come. TGT - 363-360 in few active sessions (5-10). Highlighted the consolidation areas 393-380.
AU10Y 8% By 2028The bullish pennant has been broken to the upside.
If similar momentum is maintained in the second half of the move, we might see 8% by 2028.
Each fib level correlates with a resistance zone.
Major Australian banks have already moved to increase fixed interest rates on some loan products out of cycle.






















