Support and Resistance
XRP Daily Chart – Bullish Breakout & Trade PlanTrend Structure: Price has broken above a long-term descending resistance line and is now retesting it as support.
Dynamic Support: Holding above the 50-day moving average, which is acting as a launchpad.
Pattern: Cup and handle formation visible — a bullish continuation setup, pending breakout confirmation.
Momentum:
RSI is holding above 50, indicating positive momentum.
MACD is above the signal line with a green histogram, suggesting bullish pressure.
Volume: Currently average — a breakout with higher volume would add conviction.
Catalyst: Potential ETF-related news could accelerate price action in either direction.
Support Strength: Strong base; would require significant selling pressure to break.
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish, but awaiting breakout confirmation.
Entry Trigger
Aggressive: Enter on current support hold above 50 MA with tight stop.
Conservative: Wait for a daily close above the handle’s resistance (~$3.17–$3.18) with increased volume.
Targets
First Target: $3.17–$3.18 (handle breakout zone)
Second Target: $3.34 (measured move from cup and handle)
Stop-Loss
Below $2.79 (beneath retest zone and 50 MA) to protect against false breakouts.
Risk Management
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
Adjust stop to breakeven once first target is hit.
Notes
Watch for volume confirmation on breakout.
Be mindful of ETF news timing — could cause volatility spikes.
If price fails to hold the 50 MA, reassess bullish bias.
USDJPY BreakoutPrice has been consolidating since early August and has formed a clear 4-hour horizontal channel.
This week's news may cause a USDJPY breakout:
Tuesday, 16th September, US Retail Sales
Wednesday, 17th September, 🚨 FOMC, Fed Interest Rate Decision, Fed Press Conference 🚨
Friday, 19th September, Inflation for Japan, BOJ Interest Rate Decision
USD/JPY IS CURRENTLY EXHIBITING A BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend structure on the daily timeframe, signaling potential further declines in the upcoming trading sessions. Price action is trading near a lower high, reinforcing the bearish outlook as sellers appear to be gaining control. This downward momentum follows the recent formation of a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern near a significant resistance level, which often serves as a strong reversal signal. The presence of this pattern near resistance suggests that bullish momentum is weakening, increasing the likelihood of a sustained bearish move.
On the downside, the pair is expected to target the 142.00 level, which could act as a key support zone. A break below this level may accelerate selling pressure, opening the door for further declines. Traders should monitor price reactions around this level for potential consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Conversely, if the pair attempts a recovery, the 151.300 price level stands as a major resistance barrier. Any bullish retracement towards this zone could attract renewed selling interest, reinforcing the bearish bias.
The overall technical structure suggests that USD/JPY remains vulnerable to additional downside, with bearish momentum likely to persist unless key resistance levels are convincingly breached. Traders may consider short positions on rallies towards resistance or breakdowns below key support levels, while maintaining tight risk management strategies. Given the current market dynamics, the path of least resistance appears to be downward, with 142.00 as the immediate target and 151.300 acting as a critical resistance to watch for any potential trend reversals.
XAUUSD 30M – Intraday Plan Around the RangePrice is holding between $3,657.17 (resistance) and $3,626.93 (support).
We’re trading around $3,652–$3,653 just below resistance. Scalps can work, but bigger moves need confirmation.
🔼 Bullish Plan (primary focus – aligned with fundamentals)
Trigger: A clean 30min body close above $3,657.17 (not just a wick).
Targets: $3,660.30 → $3,664.53 → $3,666.14
Management: Take partials at $3,660.30, move SL to breakeven once $3,657 holds on retest.
🔽 Bearish Plan (secondary, cleaner below support)
Trigger: 30min body close below $3,626.93.
Targets: $3,624.52 → $3,623.32 → $3,621.49
Management: Scale partials at $3,624.52, protect the rest at breakeven.
🌍 Fundamentals: CPI bit hotter than expected → supports Fed rate cuts (odds at 100%). Real yields declining + strong central bank demand → keeps gold structurally bullish.
🔄 Range Scalp (higher risk, small size)
Shorts: $3,656–$3,657 on rejection → aim $3,650–$3,652, SL above $3,660.
Longs: $3,627–$3,628 on rejection wick → aim $3,636–$3,640, SL below $3,624.
✅ Break Confirmation
Strong 30min close through $3,657 or $3,626.
❌ Invalidation
Breakout closes back inside the box (trap).
Multiple wicks with no continuation.
📌 Bottom Line
Above $3,657.17 → bullish bias to $3,660 → $3,666.
Below $3,626.93 → bearish bias to $3,624 → $3,621.
Inside the box = scalp only, risk tight.
NAS100 Trading Zones – Navigating All-Time HighsThe Nasdaq is trading at all-time highs, which means there are no established sell zones above. In this environment, price is in full discovery mode. Every new tick higher sets fresh records, and volatility often picks up as traders probe for tops. That makes it difficult to fade strength, shifting the focus toward demand zones below as key areas for potential pullbacks.
🔹 Zone 1 – Today’s Asia Low (24,278–24,289)
This zone marks the intraday low from the Asian session and serves as the nearest short-term demand. A revisit here could attract buyers for a bounce, while a decisive break lower would signal loss of momentum and invite deeper retracement.
🔹 Zone 2 – Yesterday’s All-Time High, Now Demand (24,133–24,141)
Yesterday’s record high has flipped into a demand zone. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure stays intact. A strong rejection here favors continuation higher, but failure to hold could open the door to sharper downside.
Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic. Softer labor data and easing producer prices have strengthened expectations of Fed rate cuts, while strong momentum in select tech names, including Oracle’s upbeat cloud outlook, continues to drive the index higher. Still, with price trading near all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the backdrop fragile, leaving traders mindful that optimism rests heavily on the Fed delivering on dovish expectations.
USDCHF: Trend ContinuationGoing to make a trend continuation play on the USDCHF pair. I think there's a few levels to look at on both the daily and hourly levels.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed the daily HTL at the beginning of September
Price pulled back three days level but still held below it
H1 Timeframe:
This is the second ATL that price is crossing; based on the first ATL cross, movement is clean
Price did not exit from the EMA20/60 band so should reduce side
Knot Offshore Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 8.1/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Pinterest Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 35.8/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Core Natural Resources Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 73/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Canadian Solar Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 11/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
Silver Wave Analysis – 15 September 2025
- Silver broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 44.00
Silver recently broke the resistance area between the key resistance level 41.50 (which stopped the previous impulse wave iii) coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from June.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave v of the higher-order impulse waves 3 and (3).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 44.00, target for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 15 September 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke key resistance level 24000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 25000.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke above the key resistance level 24000.00 (upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the index has been trading from July).
The breakout of the resistance level 24000.00 accelerated the active impulse wave v of the higher order impulse wave 5 from June.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 25000.00, target for the completion of the active impulse wave v.
MSFT - Price ProjectionMSFT made a high on 31/07/2025 at 555 which turned out to be a big bearish engulfing candle. Chart pierced above a long term trendline at 515 to touch 555 and then formed a bull trap and continued its downward journey. Since then, price has been making Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Although it’s still just above SMA50.
In the short term, price is likely to kiss a trendline at 522 to 525 before heading downwards.
The question is where would I be a buyer?
I would inch in to buy for a swing trade at three levels:
- my first buy would be at around 450 to 455. This is strong support zone with previous pivot highs hitting this zone. This is also a Fib retracement level of 50%
- my second buy would be 425. This a support level, driven from a trendline which has acted as resistance for previous 3 pivot highs. This is also a Fib retracement level of 61.8% at 425.80. There is a gap fill at 422.86 as well
- my third buy would be between 395 and 386. This is a strong support level and a confluence of a long term trendline that dates to 2023. There is gap fill at 395.26 and Fib retracement level of 78.6% at 390.75
If stock market really had a strong dump, then my buy level for hodl/long term would be around 320. There is a trendline at this level that dates to 2019.
Alternatively, my thesis will be invalid if MSFT close above 555.50.
TON USDT UPDATEAs you can see, the price reached 3.021 But because the failure was not in the correct form, the analysis related to the purchase of the field was not activated and the loss limit of the purchase transaction was not activated And it reached the first resistance and decreased Naturally, it is clear to all that there is little left to resist; The best thing to do is to close part of the deal. After the price hits the first resistance, we see a drop in the price.
Gold Wave Analysis – 15 September 2025
- Gold broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance levels 3700.00 and 3800.00
Gold recently broke the resistance area between the key resistance level 3500.00 (which stopped the sharp impulse wave 1 in April) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the medium-term impulse wave 3 from the start of May.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3700.00 – followed by 3800.00 (target for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
GBPUSD Breakout Watch: Can Buyers Clear 1.3580 for Good?GBPUSD started the week with a push above 1.3580. Buyers showed up on Monday, but we still don’t have confirmation.
The key is a daily close. Without it, this move could fade just like the last few attempts.
If bulls can hold above 1.3580, the next level I’m watching is 1.3618. That poor high from Friday is unfinished business, and markets usually don’t leave those behind for long.
Support is now 1.3540. It was resistance last week, and it’s the line in the sand moving forward. A sustained close back below that level would flip the script and likely send GBPUSD toward the poor lows sitting further down the chart.
If buyers do confirm this breakout, the July imbalances near 1.3700 are still there as upside targets. That’s the clean path if momentum sticks.
On the dollar side, the DXY closed last week under 97.70. That puts pressure on 96.60/70 — a set of poor lows that haven’t been cleaned up yet. As long as the DXY is below 97.70, that downside bias is intact, which lines up with the potential GBPUSD breakout.
It’s also a big week for event risk: UK jobs and inflation data, the Bank of England decision, and the Fed meeting on Wednesday. Volatility is on deck.
I’ll keep sharing these setups here on TradingView as the week unfolds. If you find this helpful, hit the follow button so you don’t miss the next update.
SEP 15, 2025 | XAUUSD | 6th SignalIn technical analysis, maintaining the right order of priority is crucial to avoid information noise:
1️⃣ Main Trend
The overall trend remains bullish, supported by higher lows and strong demand zones. The upward structure is intact as long as price holds above 3633.
2️⃣ Key Price Zones
- PW VAH: 3654 – Acting as immediate resistance and potential breakout zone.
- PW POC: 3645 – Key balance level, showing strong buyer absorption.
- PW VAL: 3633 – Strong support tested in the Asian session.
3️⃣ Price Action
Price has broken above the POC 3645 and is now consolidating near 3652–3655, creating a potential retest setup. This zone overlaps with PW VAH, strengthening its role as a decision point.
4️⃣ Candlestick Patterns
Recent candles show rejection of downside moves with wicks absorbing selling pressure, suggesting buyer strength is still dominant.
5️⃣ Trading Plan
✅ Buy 3652–3655 on retest confirmation, with stops below 3645.
🎯 Targets: 3665 – 3675 – 3700.
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Short! Short! USDCAD - Double Head and Shoulder PatternI have identified a clear head and shoulders pattern forming within a larger head and shoulders structure on the daily timeframe for USD/CAD, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
From a fundamental perspective, several key factors are contributing to the current weakness in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar:
Canada's labor market showed significant weakness in August 2025, with a notable loss of 65.5 thousand jobs and a rise in unemployment to 7.1%, the highest in years. This has increased market expectations for monetary easing from the Bank of Canada (BoC).
Although core inflation remains above target, the weak jobs data is pushing the BoC towards potential rate cuts or a more accommodative policy stance, which weighs on the Canadian dollar.
The market is currently pricing in a very high chance (around 98%) of an additional rate cut by the BoC in September, following previous reductions to 2.75%. This dovish stance contrasts with the Federal Reserve’s more cautious or hawkish approach, creating a wider interest rate differential that supports US dollar strength.
Additionally, declining oil prices, a major export for Canada, are exerting further downward pressure on the CAD.
While recent US economic data has been mixed, the Fed is generally seen as less dovish than the BoC, sustaining demand for the USD.
Trade tensions and geopolitical risks between the US and Canada add to concerns over Canada’s growth outlook, contributing to CAD depreciation risk.
Trade Tip
A strong close below the Entry line will be a perfect entry /4hr TF
Stoploss : Above the Left Shoulder (Red Rectangle)
In summary, the combination of a weakening Canadian economy, dovish BoC bias, lower oil prices, and interest rate divergence between the US and Canada all support a bearish outlook for USD/CAD, which aligns well with the bearish head and shoulders pattern I have spotted on the chart.
Not an Investment Advise