Support and Resistance
USDT DOMINANCE Looks Bearish (4H)We have a major downtrend on Tether dominance. When we see strong downtrends, every upward correction should be monitored carefully, because once the correction trendline breaks, it can be a signal for the continuation of the larger downtrend.
Right now, the corrective upward trendline has been broken, no higher highs have formed, and we see bearish CHs on the chart.
Price can pull back toward the flip zone and then drop again to lower levels, even toward the green area.
This means we must be cautious with our short sell positions, because Bitcoin and Ethereum may register new all-time highs!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
3655-3625 oscillation structure, sell high and buy low#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Over the weekend, I reminded everyone to pay attention to a hidden piece of news.💻
China and the United States are currently holding their fourth round of talks in Spain on economic and trade issues, which involves tariffs. The outcome of the game between the two major powers will also affect the trend of gold. 📊The two sides are still negotiating, so please continue to pay attention.👀
Gold continued to fluctuate in the box at the opening today, fell slightly during the day and rebounded after testing the support below again. 🌈The short-term upward pressure still remains at 3655-3665. 📉I have repeatedly emphasized that only by breaking through and stabilizing above can gold continue to open up upward space. If it is difficult to break through during the day, gold will continue to fluctuate and pull back.
The price of gold is still in an upward channel. The correction range of gold at high levels is limited. The short-term support below is 3635-3625.🥅 Before it effectively falls below the support, it is difficult for gold to change the volatile pattern. However, if the price breaks below support and breaks the box structure, it is very likely to test the 3600 mark, or even the important support level of 3580.🐻
If the 3655-3625 box is not broken during the day, the buy low-sell high strategy will be maintained. 📊If it falls back to 3635-3625, you can continue to go long on gold, with the target at 3655-3665. If the upper resistance is touched, you can short gold with a light position.
EURUSD InsightWelcome, subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to boost and subscribe.
Key Points
- International credit rating agency Fitch downgraded France’s sovereign credit rating by one notch from AA- to A+, citing recent political risks and fiscal challenges. However, the agency assessed the outlook as “stable.”
- Russian and Belarusian forces plan to conduct joint military exercises until the 16th of this month in Russia, Belarus, the Baltic Sea, and the Barents Sea. In response, NATO is strengthening surveillance along Europe’s eastern front against potential Russian threats.
- The central bank governors of France, Spain, and Finland expressed concerns over economic growth and the possibility of disinflation, signaling a more dovish stance.
- At the upcoming FOMC meeting starting on the 16th, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. Markets are watching closely to see whether the “dot plot” projection for two rate cuts this year will increase to three cuts.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ September 16: U.S. August retail sales, Canada August CPI
+ September 17: Eurozone August CPI, Bank of Canada rate decision, FOMC announcement
+ September 18: Bank of England rate decision
+ September 19: Bank of Japan rate decision
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The EURUSD has shown no clear trend, moving sideways between 1.16000 and 1.18000 for the past two weeks. The key question this week is whether the pair will break above resistance and continue rising toward the 1.20000 level, or fail to do so and retreat back toward 1.15000. At this stage, the overall trend still appears slightly bullish.
Ceva Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091425Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 23/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
LRCX Chart Journal
Ticker: \ NASDAQ:LRCX
Process Over Profit
What Did I mIss:
LRCX is sitting right at 117.50 on the 8-hour chart. I spotted what *looks like a double bottom**, which usually tells me buyers are defending this level and trying to step back in.
### Trade Map I Built:
🔼 CALLS Setup:
If price breaks above 117.56, that confirms the double bottom breakout. I’ll then look toward:
* TP1: 119.55
* TP2: 120.59
Those levels came straight from my pivot map — clean air above if buyers step in.
🔽 PUTS Setup:
If price pushes up into 119.78 and rejects hard, that’s my trigger to look at the put side. My downside targets are:
* TP1: 118.12
* TP2: 117.03
This lets me flip the script if the move runs out of steam.
Chop Zone = No Trade Zone
I’ve marked anything between 116.80 – 117.50 as a chop zone. If price is bouncing around in there, I’m sitting on my hands.
🧭 Final Thought:
Today’s setup is about **prepping both sides**.
* The double bottom gives me my bullish scenario.
* The rejection level builds my bearish plan.
* The chop zone tells me when to wait.
Why I Think Gold will Sell...Technical Analysis Hey Rich Friends,
Happy Sunday. I know Gold was on a crazy bull run, we all know what comes up, must come down. It may not happen today, but it will happen soon so I will be using pending orders (sell stops) on this trade. This is only my technical analysis, so please check the news and cross-reference any indicators you have on your chart.
I follow the same process every time and I buy or sell based on which side has the most confirmations. Very systematic and unemotional. Here is what I am looking at:
- The candles have been rejected the 4H high since Friday.
- The red candles are getting bigger and the blue candles are getting small, signaling a bearish reversal.
- There has been a break of structure and retest of the new support on 4H.
- The stochastic is facing down, the orange line is on top and both lines have crossed below 80.
- There are all strong bearish confirmations for me which is why I decided to set sell stops in increments on 500 pips.
Additional Information:
- You can wait for stronger sell signals on the Daily or 1H time frame.
- Wait for current 4H candle to close to confirm selling trend.
- Use previous highs as stop losses and previous lows as sell stops and TPs.
Great luck if you decide to take this trade. Let me know your thoughts on this ideas in the comments.
Peace and Profits,
Cha
NVDA: A Stoic Approach to a Losing Trade (The Second Breath)As we just discussed, a loss is not a failure; it's information.
This trade on NVDA is a perfect, real-time application of that Stoic and Douglas-inspired philosophy. The first attempt was stopped out for a small "paper cut" loss. The Stoics teach us to focus only on what we can control. We couldn't control the price hitting our first stop, but we can absolutely control our reaction.
Our reaction is not one of frustration, but of calm acceptance. We take the information the market gave us, remain balanced, and execute the next step of our plan.
The New Trade Plan
This second attempt is an action taken with more wisdom and an even better potential reward.
Style: Long / Re-Entry
Entry: Limit Order at $167.75
Stop Loss: A tight, strategically placed stop at $162.25 (3.28% risk)
Target: $192.50
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1 : 4.5
The #limitlessTrader's Mindset
The first trade was simply an exhale. This second trade is the next breath, taken with more clarity and from a place of balance. This is the process.
Just shine.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
$ETHUSD: A Breath in the Thin AirGreetings, fellow navigators of the chart.
We find ourselves observing BITSTAMP:ETHUSD in the high altitudes, a territory where the air is thin and the next step must be taken with intention. After a powerful ascent that shattered the old structural ceiling around $3,800, price now pauses. This is not a moment for prophecy, but for observation. This is the market's breath —the exhale after a mighty inhale. Our task is to listen to its rhythm.
The Technical Landscape
The primary trend, like a great river, still flows upwards, defined by the long-term ascending trendlines. The immediate question, however, concerns the former resistance near $3,800. Will this old ceiling now become the new floor? A structure's true strength is only revealed when it is tested. A retest and hold of this level would be a powerful statement of acceptance by the market, paving the way for the next phase of the ascent.
The Philosophy: Two Paths from the Summit
In trading, we do not force a direction; we merely align with the path of least resistance as it reveals itself. Both the bull and the bear are part of the same ecosystem.
The Bullish Path: The patient bull waits for price to return to the ~$3,800 zone. They watch for signs of accumulation, for the market to build a new foundation upon the rubble of old resistance. This is the path of trend continuation. To fight a confirmed hold here would be to play the role of the salmon , exhausting oneself against a powerful current.
The Bearish Path: The tactical bear understands that even the strongest climb requires rest. A deeper correction allows for the bears to be " fattening up for winter ," a necessary phase to gather energy for a sustainable move higher. A return to a stronger base isn't a sign of failure, but of a healthy, functioning market. It is simply one piece of a much larger puzzle .
An Illustrative Setup
To illustrate how one might approach the bearish hypothesis, consider the following structure. This is not a prediction, but a plan—a way to engage with the market with defined risk.
Hypothesis: Short-term exhaustion prompts a corrective move towards a prior area of high activity.
Entry: ~$4,590.33
Invalidation: A close above ~$4,800 signals the immediate trend is resuming, and the corrective thesis is wrong.
Objective: ~$2,854.61, an area of prior structural significance.
This setup provides a logical framework for testing the bearish thesis. If invalidated, we simply listen to what the market told us and move on. The process is the goal.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
EURUSD BEARISH FALSE BREAKOUT.Price retested previous resistance level at (1.17897 - 1.17713) and was rejected back to the trading range at (1.17441- 1.17213) and formed a double top with bearish engulfing triggering entry.
Two Entry Model with different Stop Loss.
Entry 1- At the close of the bearish Engulfing Stop loss at 1.17488 at new lower high formed or Stop loss at 1.17806 previous high.
Entry 2 -Wait for the trendline break for extra confirmation, Stop loss at 1.17488 at new lower high formed.
XAUUSD Outlook I’m watching two possible scenarios this week:
1️⃣ Bullish Case – If price breaks above resistance, I’ll wait for a retest to scalp buys.
2️⃣ Bearish Case – If price breaks below the key support zone, I’ll be looking to sell and hold for the week.
🔑 Levels to watch:
Resistance: 3646 – 3656
Support: 3621 – 3612
Major downside target: 3502 – 3500
GBPCAD Key Resistance Level + Double Top at the level.Price is at Key Resistance level tested multiple times and Previous High at (1.88375 - 1.86941). Price formed Double Top inside our level followed by Short term trendline with 2 touches.
Entry 1 - Aggressive Entry at the Close of the Bearish Engulfing.
Entry 2 - Conservative at the break of the Short term trendline in H4 to signal that the previous uptrend is over and sellers are coming in since we are going against the dominant uptrend we need extra confirmation.
TRG Pakistan Limited – Breakout and Technical OutlookTRG Pakistan Limited (PSX: TRG) has been consolidating within a multi-year descending channel and is now approaching a critical technical juncture.
Technical Structure
Downtrend Resistance: The stock has remained under a long-term declining trendline since early 2021, consistently making lower highs.
Support Base: Strong demand has been observed in the 44–50 PKR zone, which has acted as a multi-touch support level.
Immediate Resistance:
68.66 PKR – near-term breakout level.
80.51 PKR – mid-term resistance.
93.73 PKR and 100.76 PKR – long-term upside targets upon a sustained breakout.
Price Outlook
A close above 68.66 PKR would indicate a potential structural shift, opening room toward the 80–100 PKR range.
Sustained price action above the descending trendline would confirm a long-term reversal and potentially attract institutional participation.
Conversely, failure to hold above current levels could lead to a retest of the 50–44 PKR demand zone.
Strategic View
TRG remains in a neutral-to-bullish posture in the short term. A confirmed breakout above resistance levels will improve risk-reward dynamics for medium- to long-term investors, while the downside remains capped by a well-defined support base.
DOT — Key Levels Reclaimed, Breakout Ahead?DOT has been in sideways chop for 222 days, but things are finally getting interesting. Price is now sitting above the yearly level ($4.309), the daily 233 EMA/SMA, and the weekly 21 EMA/SMA. Even better, it reclaimed the POC of the entire 222-day range.
Why $4 Is So Important
Yearly level → $4.309
Daily 233 EMA → $4.37 / Daily 233 SMA → $4.21
Weekly 21 EMA → $4.15 / Weekly 21 SMA → $4.05
POC of 222-day range → $4
0.618 Fib retracement (current move) → $4
That’s a whole lot of support stacked at one zone.
Where It Gets Exciting (Targets)
First major target is the monthly 21 EMA/SMA ($5.3–$5.5), which also lines up with the range highs. That’s the first real test. The swing target zone sits around $6–$6.5, with multiple layers of confluence:
Key Level → ~$6
Fair Value Trend Model Line → ~$6.5
0.382 Fib retracement of the downtrend → ~$6.19
0.618 Fib speed fan → ~$6.2 (October projection)
1.618 trend-based Fib extension → $6.308
Market Cap Confluence: 10B market cap at $6.18
Yearly Open: $6.642 → the overall target and an additional layer of resistance
📌 This creates a solid resistance cluster between $6–$6.6, ideal for taking profits and potentially looking for shorts.
🟢 Long Trade Idea
Entry: Ladder longs from $4.36 down to $4
Stop: Below $4 (clear invalidation)
Take Profit: If $4 holds, DOT’s path is clear: first stop $5.3-$5.5, then $6.0–$6.6 as the macro target with the yearly open at $6.642 marking the final resistance.
Key Levels
Support → $4.36–$4
Resistance → $5.3–$5.5, then $6.2–$6.6 (10B market cap $6.18 + yearly open $6.642)
🔍 Indicators used
LuxAlgo — Liquidity Sentiment Profile (Auto-Anchored)
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support Resistance Zones → to identify support and resistance zones such as the monthly 21 EMA/SMA.
Fair Value Trend Model → Calculates a regression-based fair value curve
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
WLFI 4H Analysis | Key Triggers Ahead👋🏻 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — CryptoWinter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BINANCE:WLFIUSDT on the 4-Hour timeframe. Let’s take a look at WLFI on the 4-hour timeframe. This token belongs to Donald Trump’s family and operates in the DeFi sector.
👀 On the 4H chart, WLFI has been consolidating after its initial launch without showing any strong moves (no large-bodied candles yet). In my view, if it breaks above the 0.2327 zone, it could start a solid bullish leg to the upside.
⚙️ The RSI oscillator has created two key zones since launch. So far, WLFI hasn’t entered the overbought area, and whenever it gets close, momentum fades. A divergence appeared near the 70 level (overbought threshold)—if price can break this, it could trigger a strong upward trend. I’ve also marked the 40 level as a swing support.
🕯 Candle size and buying volume looked decent, but as price approached the resistance area and ticker sellers stepped in, we saw sudden selling pressure, followed by weakness in the downtrend. This week will be crucial to see how WLFI performs.
💡 We can either Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trigger zone with a 4H close, then enter with an indecision candle + SMA confirmation (using 15M or 1H timeframe for stop placement).
Or, place a stop-buy order with a wider stop-loss, which is a riskier strategy (though I personally prefer to take it with limited risk).
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
NZDCAD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDCAD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCAD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts