ETH at the Edge! Massive Move ComingBased on your chart, Ethereum is currently sitting right on the lower boundary of the rising blue channel, which is a major decision zone for the next trend.
Bullish Scenario
If ETH holds the lower blue trendline (around $2,400–$2,500):
Bullish Targets
1. $3,200 — mid-channel resistance
2. $3,760 — major structural resistance
3. $4,800 — historical peak & cup-and-handle breakout level
4. $5,500–$6,000 — full bullish channel extension
Confirmation for upside
• Strong reversal candle on the lower channel
• Break & close above the 50-day SMA
Bearish Scenario
If ETH breaks below the lower channel (~$2,400):
Bearish Targets
1. $2,000 — psychological support
2. $1,550 — major previous swing low
3. $1,000–$1,200 — full downside breakdown target
Stop-Loss Recommendation
(To protect against a channel breakdown)
Stop-Loss:
Below $2,350
This is slightly under the lower trendline — if broken, the bullish structure fails.
Trading Plan Summary
• Entry zone: $2,450–$2,600 (channel support region)
• Stop-loss: $2,350
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: $3,200
• TP2: $3,760
• TP3: $4,800
• TP4: $5,500–$6,000
Support and Resistance
BTC Breakdown Alert: Is $73K the Last Line of Defense?Overall Structure
BTC has been trading inside a multi-month ascending channel, but the recent breakdown has pushed price below the lower boundary — a significant technical event.
Price is now hovering around 82,000, sitting between two major levels.
Bearish Signals
1. Breakdown from Ascending Channel
• BTC has clearly broken below the rising channel that guided price throughout 2024–2025.
• This typically signals a shift from bullish structure to mid-term bearish momentum.
2. 50-Day SMA Turning Downward
• The 50 SMA is rolling over, confirming weakening trend strength.
3. Next Major Support
• $73,645 (purple line) is the first strong horizontal demand zone.
• If this breaks, BTC will likely target:
• $52,800 (major structural support)
• This also aligns with the lower dotted horizontal structure.
Bullish Possibilities
A bullish reversal becomes viable ONLY if:
1. BTC reclaims the channel
• Price must break back above $107,600 to return inside the ascending trend.
• This would invalidate the breakdown and could trigger a new leg up.
2. Strong Reaction at $73,645
• The purple zone is the main place bulls are likely to defend.
Bullish Scenario (Green Arrow)
If BTC holds above $73,645 and pushes upward:
Targets:
1. $107,600 — reclaiming the channel
2. $120,000 – $130,000 — upper channel resistance (if fully recovered)
Bearish Scenario (Red Arrow)
If BTC loses the $73,645 support:
Targets:
1. $52,800 — major structural support
2. If deeper panic emerges, even $40,000–45,000 becomes possible (not shown but structurally valid)
Summary
• Trend: Turning bearish after channel breakdown
• Critical Support: $73,645
• Bullish Trigger: Break above $107,600
• Bearish Trigger: Break below $73,645 → $52,800
Bitcoin Bear Market Outlook🔴 INDEX:BTCUSD has confirmed a cycle peak near Target area 127K and begun correcting the entire rally from the 2022 low. This corrective phase could extend for a full year (Oct 2025 – Sep 2026), with the evolving structure defining the depth and character of the move.
🟠 The April 2025 lows (80K–75K) may trigger an initial bounce that fails, opening the path for deeper downside toward the July 2024 lows near 50K.
🟢The ideal accumulation zone lies below 50K, with the 2021–2022 support at 33K–28K acting as a critical pivot for long‑term equilibrium and the next bullish cycle.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): When to Buy?!
Bearish rally continues on Bitcoin.
The market already lost more than 34% from a current ATH.
Analyzing a historic price action, I see an important structure cluster to focus on.
65000 - 76000 is a significant support area.
That will be a good zone for buying Bitcoin, expecting a resumption
of a long-term bullish trend after its test.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold Analysis: Buyers vs Sellers Near Critical LevelsHello traders! Let’s take a look at XAUUSD (Gold). XAUUSD is currently trading within a broad corrective structure, moving between a well-defined Resistance Level near $4,100 and a strong Support Level around $4,030. Throughout the recent sessions, Gold has repeatedly reacted to these two key zones, forming clear ranges and turnarounds visible on the chart. Earlier, price created a large Range Phase, followed by a sharp rejection from the upper boundary of the descending Resistance Line, confirming continued selling pressure from higher levels. The repeated “Turned Around” reactions along this trendline show that sellers remain active every time price approaches the upper trend boundary. After breaking below the Seller Zone around $4,100, Gold retraced into the lower structure and entered the Buyer Zone, which aligns with both horizontal support and the ascending Support Line of the current bullish correction. This confluence makes the $4,030–$4,050 region a major demand area. Recently, XAUUSD bounced strongly from the Support Line, but the recovery stalled at the Seller Zone, where price is now showing signs of rejection once again. This confirms the zone as a significant barrier for buyers. A rejection from this level may trigger another downward movement toward the Support Level around $4,030, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. As long as Gold trades below the descending Resistance Line and the $4,100–$4,110 area, the market retains a bearish-to-neutral tone. Only a clean breakout above this zone would signal a shift toward a stronger bullish phase and open the path to higher resistance levels. As long as XAUUSD remains below the $4,100 Resistance Level, sellers retain the advantage. I expect price to potentially reject the Seller Zone and move back toward the $4,050–$4,030 Support Level. A rejection from resistance sends price down toward $4,030, where buyers may attempt another defense. Break below this level opens the door for deeper correction. Overall, the market currently favors selling pullbacks into resistance, while the Support Line remains the key area for defending bullish structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT ForecastBTC is dropping into a major support zone near 82,000–83,000, where a bullish rebound is expected. If price holds this support and reverses, upside targets sit first at 88,000 and then 92,000. Structure shows a falling channel, and a break from support could trigger a strong buy-side move toward these liquidity zones.”
"Thank you for your support! If you found this idea valuable or learned something new, please consider liking and leaving a comment. I’d really appreciate hearing your feedback and thoughts.
DeGRAM | GOLD will rebound from the $4000 level📊 Technical Analysis
● GOLD/USD is rebounding from the 4,000–4,060 support area, which aligns with the rising trendline that has held multiple times since early November.
● Price is forming a higher-low structure and breaking above short-term compression, opening room toward 4,132 and potentially 4,200 if buyers sustain momentum.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is supported by easing Treasury yields and renewed demand as markets price in softer U.S. inflation and increasing geopolitical hedging.
✨ Summary
Support: 4,000–4,060. Targets: 4,132 → 4,200. Medium-term bullish bias above trendline support.
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XAU/USD: Gold Set to Test Downtrend Line!⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 11/21/2025
🔍 Market Context
After adjusting from the 4,107 USD area, gold is moving sideways in the liquidity rebalancing zone – indicating a tug-of-war between the two sides.
The consecutive CHoCH – BOS movements forming around the 4,006 USD bottom show that buying pressure is starting to reappear.
The current decline seems to be just a correction phase, not yet showing enough signs of a complete reversal of the medium-term uptrend structure.
📊 Technical Structure
Downtrend line: continues to act as dynamic resistance – a confirmation area for the recovery trend if broken.
OB Bullish (4,006 USD): confluence with the previous liquidity bottom, is a potential BUY Zone.
Break–Resistance (4,045 USD): the first level to surpass to confirm buying pressure.
OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD): short-term supply zone – short-term SELL Zone, may witness profit-taking reactions if the price touches it.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario:
– Price may retest the OB Bullish / BUY Zone (4,006–4,025 USD).
– When a clear upward reaction appears, gold is likely to break through the downtrend line, heading towards OB Bearish (4,086–4,107 USD).
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:
– If the price does not hold the 4,006 USD area, the short-term structure will be invalidated, opening the possibility of retreating to a lower equilibrium area around 3,985 USD.
💎 Key Zones
BUY Zone: 4,006 – 4,025 USD → demand zone confluence OB + liquidity bottom.
SELL Zone: 4,086 – 4,107 USD → potential supply zone if the recovery trend is activated.
🧠 Analyst’s View
Gold is in a short-term accumulation state with signs of capital flow gradually leaning towards the buyers.
The retest phase of the 4,006 USD support area will be the key confirmation for a reversal – retest – continuation phase.
As long as the price stays above this area, the priority remains a buy-the-dip scenario in the short term.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is operating in a "break or hold" zone – clear confirmation is needed before following the trend.
Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not trading advice.
WTI/USD: Bullish Rally to 62.45?CFI:WTI is gearing up for a bullish rally on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a key support zone near cumulative long liquidation levels, setting up a strong entry opportunity if buyers maintain control and push toward resistance amid recent consolidation. Entry from current levels could also be favorable with proper risk management.
Entry zone between 57.5-58.3 for a buy position. Target at 62.45 near resistance.🎯 Set a stop loss at 56.335 , offering a risk-reward ratio greater than 1:2 . 📊 Watch for confirmation with a bullish close above entry and rising volume, capitalizing on oil's volatility.🌟
Fundamentally , WTI crude has fallen to around $58.13 per barrel as of November 21, 2025, amid supply outpacing demand, but recent breakouts above $60.7 signal near-term positivity despite forecasts of further drops to $53.50-$45.00 due to OPEC+ hikes and record US output. 💡
📝 Trade Setup
🎯 Entry Zone (Long): 57.5 – 58.3
🎯 Target (TP1): 62.45
❌ Stop Loss: 56.335
⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Greater than 1:2, offering a clean upside swing with defined invalidation.
What's your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Why is Microsoft Stock $MSFT dropping hard?Microsoft just did what every impatient trader hates… after a massive rally, the candles are shrinking, emotions are rising, and here comes the correction everyone said ‘couldn’t happen.’ Today I’ll show you—using pure supply and demand—why MSFT is being magnetically pulled back into the monthly demand imbalance like a toddler to a candy shop. No fundamentals, no drama… just price action, imbalances, and patience. Let’s dive in.
Microsoft Monthly Supply & Demand Analysis
After Apple’s strong monthly correction setup, Microsoft (MSFT) is showing the exact same pattern — but even cleaner.
This is what I love when I teach traders to learn to trade stocks using pure price action and supply and demand imbalances. You don’t need news, earnings, or any guru opinion — everything is already priced in at the higher timeframes. Just like I explained in the Supply and Demand Free Course , the bigger timeframes tell you what the professionals already did months ago.
Let’s break it down.
Candles Shrinking = Momentum Weakening
Fast-forward to mid/late 2025:
- The wide-bodied candles disappeared
- Small-bodied candles appeared
- Then came the big bearish candle
This is classic momentum decay. This is exactly when most traders start acting emotionally:
- They zoom into 5-minute charts
- Their IQ drops by 50 points
- They forget the trend
- They forget the imbalance
- They become chart zombies
But price action never lies — we’re simply seeing exhaustion after a massive markup.
Gold Consolidation Scenario – Market & Technical OutlookGold prices slipped on Thursday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. Markets are also cautious ahead of the delayed U.S. jobs report, adding uncertainty to near-term movements.
Fundamentally, gold is down primarily because rate-cut bets have been significantly scaled back over the past two weeks, reducing demand for non-yielding assets.
Technical Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a bearish structure, but the chart suggests a potential reversal area If bulls defend the 4060 zone, there is a chance for the price to resume upward momentum If the price fails to break above 4060 and continues showing weakness, further decline is likely.
Key Levels
Resistance Level: 4095 – 4132
Support Level: 4032 – 4000
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
US500 Price Showing Bullish forming a reversal patternUS500 price action moving within a broad ascending channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower trend boundaries. Recent momentum has shifted downward, bringing price toward the mid-range of the channel after failing to break above the upper resistance line.
A key support zone sits around 6,550–6,500, highlighted by a shaded region where previous buyers stepped in. The projection on the chart suggests a potential dip into this support area, forming a reversal pattern before pushing higher.
If a bullish rebound occurs from this support, the next critical level is the mid-range supply zone around 6,690 / 6,720. A successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward the major resistance area near 6,802, which is clearly marked as the upper target.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies,
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XAUUSD | Gold Signal | Now 21, 2025 SELL TREND TARGET FOR TODAY 📊
Based on the current trend, structure is strong to bearish. But right now, there’s still a chance for price to make a retracement first.
HAYATE is monitor the structure to see which one is safe whether we BUY first or continue SELL trend.
HAYATE target for this setup we should be able to collect around 100–150 pips++.
♾️Gold sell now @ 4046 - 4050
💰TP1 - 4043
💰TP2 - 4039
🚨SL - 4053
Bitcoin at 83K: Hold the Line or Freefall to 75K?Bitcoin Analysis – Testing Key Support With Bearish Momentum Increasing
Bitcoin continues to break supports aggressively, raising the possibility of revisiting the 75,000 zone. Price is currently sitting on a major support at 83,000, a level that has held multiple times in previous corrections. This area will determine whether BTC stabilizes or continues its decline.
From a technical perspective, BTC is showing:
Clear lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure.
Strong bearish candles breaking through intermediate supports with conviction.
A lack of liquidity zones between 83,000 and 75,000, meaning that if 83K fails, price can drop quickly.
Oversold signals starting to appear on lower timeframes, increasing the probability of short-term consolidation.
On the fundamental side, several key elements are weighing on BTC:
Risk-off sentiment in global markets as equities correct and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
ETF outflows over the past days, showing reduced institutional demand.
Miners increasing selling, likely due to profitability pressure post-halving.
Lower liquidity in crypto markets heading into the weekend, making sharp moves more likely.
If Bitcoin holds 83,000, we may see a sideways consolidation before attempting a rebound. But if this level breaks, the path toward 75,000 is wide open, with no major support blocking the move.
NZDUSD → The hunt for liquidity. Bearish trend...FX:NZDUSD is forming a correction towards consolidation after updating its global minimum. Bears may play aggressively against the backdrop of a strong dollar.
The dollar is quite strong after Thursday's news. After retesting resistance, the index is not falling, but is gathering strength and may continue to grow.
The global trend is downward. After a long consolidation, the currency pair is breaking support and updating its low. The market sentiment is bearish. Against this backdrop, NZDUSD may continue to decline after retesting resistance at 0.560 and a false breakout...
Resistance levels: 0.5606, 0.5635
Support levels: 0.555, 0.55
A false breakout, lack of bullish momentum, and price consolidation below 0.56 could trigger a further decline in price within the current trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold at a Critical Level: Will the Channel Hold or BreakXAUUSD Analysis – Key Rejection at Lower Channel Support
Gold has just shown another rebound from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, a level it has respected consistently since October 28. However, yesterday’s strong NFP data increased expectations that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates in December, which strengthens the U.S. dollar and creates potential downside pressure on gold.
If bearish momentum builds, gold could move toward the 4000 zone, completing the current fractal. This would be a dangerous level, as breaking below 4000 would mean losing the bullish channel and could send price back toward the 3950 support area.
Since today is Friday and liquidity tends to be lower, we may also see sideways movement between 4100 and 4020, as the market waits for next week’s catalysts.
SUIUSDT | Swing Buy Opportunity (Educational Idea)📌 Buy Zone (DCA Strategy)
I’m planning to accumulate SUI inside the 1.50 – 1.20 USD demand zone using a DCA structure:
Entry 1: 1.50
Entry 2: 1.40
Entry 3: 1.30
(DCA helps average the entry during volatility inside the zone.)
⛔ Stop Loss
Weekly candle close below 1.20 USD
A confirmed weekly breakdown invalidates the bullish swing structure.
🎯 Targets (Swing Outlook)
TP1: 2.2750
TP2: 3.0000
TP3: 3.7500
TP4: 4.5000
TP5: 5.2500
These targets align with major liquidity levels and structural resistance zones on the higher timeframes.
⚙️ Trade Management
This is a swing trade, not a day trade.
Partial take-profit at each target is recommended.
Move stop-loss to breakeven after reaching TP1 (2.2750).
Strict risk management is essential due to the weekly stop-loss structure.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This plan reflects my personal analysis and execution style.
It is not financial advice, and each trader should manage risk according to their own strategy.
Focus on opportunities to buy on dips.My thoughts on today's gold price movement!
From a technical perspective, gold is currently still consolidating at high levels, with the consolidation narrowing. Gold will face a choice in the near future. Looking at the price action, yesterday's US session saw gold prices rebound to a high below 4110 before encountering resistance and trending lower again. This area remains a significant resistance zone, and it's a key resistance level for short sellers to watch. Since the price hasn't broken through this level yet, we should continue to analyze the consolidation, buying low and selling high. The main resistance level is around 4100-4110. Therefore, if gold prices directly retest the 4100-4110 area and a clear bearish pattern forms, short positions can be initiated. However, if the price breaks strongly above this area, it's best to avoid short positions. Conversely, if the price first falls to test the 4040-4120 support level, long positions can be considered.
VETUSDT | Swing Buy Setup (Educational Idea)🎯 Buy Zone (DCA Structure)
I’m planning to enter VET in the 0.013 – 0.011 accumulation zone using a DCA approach:
1st entry: 0.013
2nd entry: 0.012
3rd entry: 0.011
Since price is currently trading close to 0.013, I prefer taking the first entry around 0.01320 – 0.01325 only if we see clear bullish reversal candles and positive closes on the lower timeframes.
⛔ Stop Loss
Weekly candle close below 0.011
A confirmed weekly breakdown invalidates the swing structure entirely.
🎯 Targets (Swing Structure)
TP1: 0.020
TP2: 0.027 – 0.034
TP3: 0.041 – 0.048
These levels represent key structural break zones + liquidity pockets.
Partial take-profits are recommended at each level.
⚙️ Trade Management
This is a swing trade, not a scalp.
Strict money management is required.
Take partial profits at each target.
Once TP1 (0.020) is hit → Move stop loss to breakeven (BE).
Let remaining positions run toward higher structural targets.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This plan reflects my personal analysis and execution approach.
It’s not financial advice, and everyone should manage their own risk based on their strategy and risk tolerance.
BTCUSD | Swing Trade | Buy Zone (Educational Idea)📌 Market Context
Bitcoin is approaching a major long-term demand zone between 87,000 – 83,000 USD, which historically represents a strong accumulation range for medium-term investors.
As long as weekly candles remain above 83,000 USD, the bullish macro outlook remains intact.
🎯 Buy Zone (DCA Approach)
You may distribute entries in either structure:
Option 1:
87,000
85,000
83,000
Option 2:
86,000
84,000
82,000
(Both methods follow the same logic: staggered accumulation inside the broader 87–83 zone.)
⛔ Stop Loss
Weekly candle close below 83,000 USD.
A confirmed weekly breakdown invalidates the long-term bullish structure.
🎯 Targets (Investment-Based)
Each target represents a partial take-profit zone as Bitcoin recovers from the accumulation range:
TP1: 91,000
TP2: 95,000
TP3: 99,000
TP4: 103,000
TP5: 107,000
TP6: 111,000
TP7: 115,000
TP8: 119,000
⚙️ Trade Management
Use DCA across the buy zone to reduce average entry.
Scale out gradually at each target.
You may move the stop loss to breakeven only after a strong structural recovery above 91,000–95,000.
This setup is designed for investment, not short-term trading.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Trading and investing in crypto markets carries significant risk. Always use proper risk management.
EURUSD bullish?EURUSD Analysis – Bearish Structure With Key Data Ahead
EURUSD continues to form lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming a clear bearish trend. Yesterday’s strong NFP data almost fully confirmed that the Federal Reserve will not cut rates in December, which strengthens the U.S. dollar and keeps downward pressure on the pair.
Today, the market will focus on Germany’s PMI data. If the numbers come in weak, EURUSD could drop again toward the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. From that area, we have two potential scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
EURUSD forms a double bottom at the 0.786 Fib, creating a base for a recovery targeting the 1.070 zone.
Bearish scenario:
Price breaks the support decisively, opening the path to the 1.046 lows, where liquidity and prior demand align.
Overall, fundamentals favor USD strength, while technicals point to continued bearish pressure unless the 0.786 level triggers a reversal.






















