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$ORCL Pullback Inside a Strong Monthly Expansion!Oracle is still trading inside a strong higher-timeframe trend, and the pullback is happening inside a fundamentally supportive backdrop tied to cloud, AI, and enterprise software demand. 🚀 The market continues to reward names with durable recurring revenue and exposure to AI infrastructure, which keeps the bigger bullish thesis intact. 🧠 The chart is giving two clean long ideas. 👀 The first is the tighter continuation buy, and the second is the deeper discount buy if price flushes further before resuming higher. If the monthly structure keeps holding, the path back toward the upper extension zone remains open. 📈 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Entry: 167.61 Stop: 158.52 Target: 241.40 This is the tighter continuation setup for traders who want to buy the pullback while the monthly trend is still intact. ✅ It is the earlier entry, so it offers a cleaner position if price respects support and rotates higher without much deeper drawdown. 🎯 🟢 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 146.52 Stop: 132.35 Target: 241.40 This is the deeper discount setup for traders who want a better entry price and are willing to wait for a larger retracement. 📉 It gives the stock more room to shake out weak hands while still keeping the same upside objective in play. 💪 🎯 Primary Thesis Oracle remains a higher-timeframe continuation idea as long as the monthly support zones hold and the broader market keeps rewarding AI, cloud, and enterprise software exposure. 🌐 The first setup is for an earlier reaction from support, while the second is for a deeper pullback that still keeps the larger trend alive. 🔥
OLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$APG The Quiet Compounder Doubling Revenue Every 4 Years.Most investors have never heard of APi Group. That is exactly why it is interesting! APi provides fire and life safety, electronic security, elevator and escalator, and specialty services from over 500 locations worldwide. The business runs on recurring, regulatory-driven contracts. Customers cannot legally operate buildings without compliant fire protection and life safety systems. That makes APi's inspection, service, and monitoring revenue almost impossible to cancel. The numbers tell the story. Revenue grew from $3.9 billion in 2021 to $7.91 billion in 2025. That is a doubling in four years driven by organic growth and disciplined acquisition. Q4 2025 revenue was $2.12 billion, up 13.8% year-over-year with organic growth of 11.1%. Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 13.2% for the full year, above the company's own 13% target. Adjusted free cash flow was a record $836 million at 80% conversion. Net leverage sits at just 1.6x. On February 2, 2026 APi completed the acquisition of CertaSite, an inspection-first fire and life safety provider in the Midwest, accelerating the shift toward 60% of revenues from inspection, service, and monitoring. 2026 revenue guidance is $8.4 to $8.6 billion with adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.2 billion. JP Morgan reaffirmed Buy on March 10. Baird raised its target to $50 from $41 on February 26. Truist raised its target to $53 from $50 on February 26. Analyst consensus is Strong Buy with an average target of $46.33. Next earnings are May 13, 2026. The Iran war context matters here. Every data centre, government building, hospital, and military facility being built or upgraded as part of European rearmament and AI infrastructure expansion needs fire protection, life safety systems, and security services. APi installs and inspects all of it on long-term recurring contracts. The geopolitical backdrop is an accelerant for exactly the end markets APi serves. The weekly chart shows a controlled pullback from the 2025 highs into three Fibonacci demand zones. The blue SMA 20 is pulling back toward the red SMA 200 which is curling upward as long-term structural support. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($36.84 area) 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and prior weekly support shelf. Stop: $35.54 (3.529% below entry) / $980 position Qty: 15 Risk/Reward Ratio: 13.37 Target 1: +46.242% ($14.89 / $1,229.08) Target 2: +47.177% ($17.38 / $1,267.38) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($32.20 area) 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the consolidation base from mid 2024. Stop: $30.90 (4.037% below entry) / $980 position Qty: 15 Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.45 Target 1: +46.242% ($14.89 / $1,229.08) Target 2: +47.177% ($17.38 / $1,267.38) 🟢 Buy Zone 3 ($26.69 area) 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the long-term breakout base from 2023. Stop: $25.39 (4.871% below entry) / $980 position Qty: 15 Risk/Reward Ratio: 21.09 Target: +102.735% ($27.42 / $1,421.85) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $39.91 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$36.84 | Stop: $35.54 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$32.20 | Stop: $30.90 🔑 Buy Zone 3: ~$26.69 | Stop: $25.39 🔑 FY2025 Revenue: $7.91B (+12.72% YoY) 🔑 Q4 2025 Organic Growth: 11.1% 🔑 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $836M 🔑 Net Leverage: 1.6x 🔑 2026 Revenue Guidance: $8.4B to $8.6B 🔑 2026 EBITDA Guidance: $1.2B 🔑 Baird Target: $50 🔑 Truist Target: $53 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $46.33 (Strong Buy) 🔑 Next Earnings: May 13, 2026 🎯 Target 1: +46.242% ($1,229.08) 🎯 Target 2: +47.177% ($1,267.38) 🎯 Target 3: +102.735% ($1,421.85) ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 1: $35.54 ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 2: $30.90 ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 3: $25.39
NYSE:APGLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$EONR Small Cap Permian Producer. Big Hedge. Bigger Upside!Most investors chasing the Iran war oil trade are looking at ExxonMobil, Chevron, and the majors. They are missing the small cap Permian Basin producer that just locked in its entire production price floor through 2027 while the market was distracted. EON Resources is an independent upstream energy company with 20,000 leasehold acres in the Permian Basin. 750 producing and injection wells. Over 1,000 barrels of oil per day in current production. Proven reserves of approximately 14 million barrels of oil and 2.8 billion cubic feet of natural gas. And as of March 11, 2026, a fully hedged 24-month position that insulates the company from any oil price collapse between now and the end of 2027. Here is the hedge structure. The next 15 months are approximately 75% hedged. The final nine months of 2027 are over 50% hedged. Approximately 12% of 2026 hedges are locked in above $70 per barrel. The hedges are a combination of no-cost swaps and no-cost collars, meaning EON paid nothing to establish them. The CEO locked these in deliberately, taking advantage of the Iran war oil spike to secure a financial floor before prices potentially retreat. His words: "We are taking action now to ensure profitable pricing through 2027 before an anticipated retreat to lower oil prices." That is management thinking two steps ahead of the market. The production growth story is just beginning. EON has a 35% working interest in a San Andres horizontal drilling program with 92 wells planned. The first three wells are expected to be in service by end of July 2026. Around 10 wells are expected by year-end. Net production lift from the horizontal program is projected at 100 to 300 barrels per day in Q2 2026 alone, on top of the existing 1,000 barrels per day base. Q3 2025 was a landmark quarter, with the company posting record net income of $5.6 million, retiring all $41 million of senior and seller debt, and retiring all preferred shares with a redemption value of $27 million, increasing shareholder equity by $22.7 million in a single quarter. A new independent director with petroleum engineering and reservoir engineering experience at ConocoPhillips was appointed in January 2026 to support the next stage of financing and acquisitions. The stock is up 300% from its year-to-date low and still trading at $1.53. The weekly chart shows the stock in a long base-building phase after a sharp selloff from its 2024 highs, now sitting at a horizontal demand zone with two clean buy entries and defined stops. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($0.97 area) First weekly demand zone above the 0.11 Fibonacci level and prior consolidation base. Stop: $0.13 below entry (13.402%) / $980 position Qty: 153 Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.6 Target 1: +142.268% ($1.38 area / $1,212.31) Target 2: +371.233% ($2.71 area / $1,416.92) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($0.73 area) Deeper demand zone at the weekly base and lowest support level before trend invalidation. Stop: $0.13 below entry (17.808%) / $980 position Qty: 153 Risk/Reward Ratio: 20.85 Target 1: +142.268% ($1.38 area / $1,212.31) Target 2: +371.233% ($2.71 area / $1,416.92) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $1.53 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$0.97 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$0.73 🔑 Current Production: 1,000+ barrels per day 🔑 Proven Reserves: 14 million barrels oil 🔑 Hedge Coverage: 75% next 15 months, 50%+ through end 2027 🔑 Hedge Price: ~12% of 2026 hedges above $70 per barrel 🔑 Horizontal Wells Expected by Year-End: ~10 🔑 Q3 2025 Net Income: $5.6M (record) 🎯 Target 1: $1.38 (+142% / $1,212.31) 🎯 Target 2: $2.71 (+371% / $1,416.92) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $0.13 below entry The risks are real and worth stating clearly. This is a micro-cap with no Wall Street analyst coverage. The company carries ongoing losses at the group level outside of standout quarters. The horizontal drilling program is unproven and execution risk is high. More than 25% of near-term production remains unhedged. But a small cap Permian producer that just retired $41 million in debt, posted record quarterly net income, locked in a 24-month price floor at the peak of an Iran war oil spike, and has 92 wells in a horizontal drilling program scheduled for H2 2026 is not a stock that stays at $1.53 if execution follows through. Small cap. Big hedge. Bigger upside. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
AMEX:EONRLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
3
$BABA Investing $52B in AI. Trading at 18x Earnings = BUY!📊 Alibaba reported Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings on March 19 and the market sold it off 7%. The headline was a 66% decline in GAAP net income. The reason matters more than the number. Alibaba is deliberately sacrificing near-term profit to build China's AI infrastructure. The company committed approximately $53 billion in AI and cloud capex over three years and set a target of $100 billion in annual AI and cloud revenue within five years. The market is punishing the investment. The monthly chart is offering the entry. Here is what the quarter actually showed. Cloud Intelligence Group revenue grew 36% to approximately $6.1 billion. AI-related product revenue delivered triple-digit growth for the tenth consecutive quarter. Net cash position stands at $42.5 billion. Qwen AI models reached 203 million monthly active users by February 2026. T-Head proprietary GPU chips are in scaled mass production supporting over 400 enterprise customers. Quick Commerce revenue grew 56%. The Alibaba Token Hub launched March 16, unifying AI models, cloud, and consumer apps. Morgan Stanley named BABA a top pick. Analyst consensus target is $197.86, implying 45% upside on a Strong Buy rating. The geopolitical risk must be stated clearly. BABA can gap 5 to 10% on US-China headlines overnight. Pentagon list inclusion, chip export restrictions, tariff escalation, and delisting threats are permanent risks. Size positions accordingly. The monthly chart shows a 10-year structure. After peaking above $300 in 2021, BABA retraced through a four-year bear market and is now at a major Fibonacci demand zone with the monthly SMA 20 curling upward. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($89.35 area) 0.236 Fibonacci retracement and multi-year horizontal support. Stop: $9.76 below entry (10.923%) / $980 position Qty: 2 Risk/Reward Ratio: 13.28 Target 1: +145% ($219.01 area / $1,265.70) Target 2: +364% ($285.24 area / $1,458.55) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($61.47 area) 0.11 Fibonacci level and pre-breakout base from 2022 to 2024. Stop: $9.76 below entry (15.878%) / $980 position Qty: 2 Risk/Reward Ratio: 22.93 Target 1: +145% ($219.01 area / $1,265.70) Target 2: +364% ($285.24 area / $1,458.55) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $122.41 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$89.35 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$61.47 🔑 52-Week Low: $95.73 🔑 52-Week High: $192.67 🔑 Net Cash: $42.5B 🔑 Cloud Revenue Growth: +36% YoY 🔑 AI Capex: ~$53B over 3 years 🔑 5-Year AI Revenue Target: $100B annually 🔑 Trailing PE: ~18x 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $197.86 (Strong Buy) 🎯 Target 1: $219.01 (+145% / $1,265.70) 🎯 Target 2: $285.24 (+364% / $1,458.55) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $9.76 below entry $53 billion in AI investment. $100 billion revenue target. 18x earnings. $42.5 billion in net cash. Monthly demand zone hit. Two entries mapped.
NYSE:BABALong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$PL Every Conflict Needs Eyes in the Sky. Two Buy Zones Mapped!When US and Israeli forces struck Iran on February 28, 2026, the world turned to Planet Labs for the images. Planet's satellites captured the IRINS Makran, Iran's largest naval vessel, on fire in port. They showed damage to Iranian military facilities, missile sites, and naval bases in real time. Every major news outlet ran Planet's imagery. The Iran war did not just move the stock. It put Planet Labs on the map as critical defense infrastructure. Here is what the company looks like behind the images. Planet operates approximately 200 Earth-imaging satellites, the largest commercial constellation on the planet. On March 3, 2026, Planet was selected as a prime contractor on the Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD IDIQ contract vehicle, which has a ceiling of $151 billion. Planet announced a partnership with Nvidia to build a GPU-native AI engine that turns raw satellite pixels into analysis-ready insights in seconds rather than hours, using Nvidia Blackwell and IGX Thor chips. In-orbit GPU integration is planned for Pelican and Owl satellites. Planet signed a sovereign satellite deal with Sweden. It formed a Defense and Intelligence Advisory Board with former NATO commanders, intelligence chiefs, and senior government officials including Michèle Flournoy and General Tod Wolters. Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue hit a record $81.3 million, up 33% year-over-year. Recurring ACV was 97%. RPOs increased 361% year-over-year to $672 million. Backlog grew 216% year-over-year to $734 million. Full year 2026 revenue guidance stands at $297 million to $301 million. Bull case analyst fair value sits at $33.00 per share. The pullback from the $42.64 high to the current $26.96 level is Iran war risk-off combined with broader tech selling. The business case has not changed. The defense contracts have not been cancelled. The Nvidia partnership has not been walked back. The SHIELD IDIQ ceiling has not shrunk. The weekly chart shows two clean Fibonacci demand zones after a sharp parabolic move from the $9.91 base. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($20.93 area) 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the recent bull move and prior weekly support shelf. Stop: $1.63 below entry (7.788%) / $980 position Qty: 12 Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.81 Target: +84.185% ($17.62 area / $1,216.20) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($16.65 area) 0.5 Fibonacci level and the prior breakout base from late 2025. Stop: $1.63 below entry (9.790%) / $980 position Qty: 12 Risk/Reward Ratio: 15.94 Target: +84.185% ($38.55 area / $1,216.20) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $26.96 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$20.93 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$16.65 🔑 52-Week High: $42.64 🔑 52-Week Low: $9.91 🔑 SHIELD IDIQ Ceiling: $151 billion 🔑 Q3 Revenue: $81.3M (+33% YoY) 🔑 RPO Growth: +361% YoY 🔑 Backlog: $734M (+216% YoY) 🔑 Bull Case Target: $33.00 🎯 Target: $38.55 (+84% / $1,216.20) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $1.63 below entry The Iran war made Planet Labs famous. The $151 billion defense contract made it serious. The Nvidia partnership made it a platform. The pullback made it a trade. Two weekly buy zones are mapped.
NYSE:PLLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$FDX Down 57% From Its High. Just Posted Its Best Quarter!FedEx reported Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings tonight, March 19, 2026, and beat on every metric that matters. Revenue came in at $24 billion, up 8.3% year-over-year, beating analyst estimates of $23.51 billion by 2.1%. Adjusted EPS hit $5.25 against estimates of $4.13, a 27% beat. Free cash flow margin expanded to 4.3% from 3.1% in the same quarter last year. Management raised full year adjusted EPS guidance to $19.30 to $20.10, up from the prior range of $17.80 to $19.00. The midpoint of $19.70 represents a 7.1% increase to guidance. Revenue growth guidance was raised to 6% to 6.5%, ahead of analyst estimates of 5.6%. Network 2.0 cost savings are now expected to exceed $1 billion. The stock rose roughly 9% in extended trading. FedEx opened 2026 on a tear, surging to an all-time high of $392.86 on February 27. Then the Iran war hit. Oil prices spiked. Growth fears took over. The stock fell approximately 11% from its peak as investors worried about the war's impact on global trade volumes and shipping costs. Combined with the multi-year decline from the 52-week high, the pullback has created the monthly chart setup visible here. The FedEx Freight spinoff is on track for June 1, 2026, when FedEx Freight will become a separate publicly traded company. Separating the freight business allows the market to value both businesses independently, and historically spinoffs of this nature have been positive catalysts for the parent company. CEO Raj Subramaniam called out accelerating AI-driven digital solutions and automation as the primary drivers of efficiency gains. FedEx is scaling into healthcare and data center logistics, two of the fastest-growing verticals in 2026. The Iran war context is direct. Every defense contractor, military supplier, and government agency mobilized by the conflict needs expedited freight. Every supply chain disruption caused by Hormuz closures creates premium-priced alternative routing that benefits the major carriers. FedEx is the physical infrastructure of global commerce, and global commerce under geopolitical stress generates pricing power. Wells Fargo has a $430 price target. Barclays has $450. Analyst median sits at $362.50. The monthly chart shows the full 20-year structure. After peaking at $392.86 in February 2026, price has retraced into two clean Fibonacci demand zones. The 52-week low sits at $194.29, representing the depth of the prior correction. The red SMA 200 is curling upward on the monthly as long-term mean reversion support. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($320.44 area) The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and prior horizontal support from 2024. Stop: $22.15 below entry (3.792%) / $980 position Qty: 1 Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.5 Target 1: +39.808% ($448 area / $1,209.98) Target 2: +88.605% ($515.57 area / $1,398.70) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($273.36 area) The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the prior breakout base from 2023. Stop: $12.15 below entry (4.445%) / $980 position Qty: 1 Risk/Reward Ratio: 19.93 Target 1: +39.808% ($448 area / $1,209.98) Target 2: +88.605% ($515.57 area / $1,398.70) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $356.11 🔑 Post Market: ~$388.90 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$320.44 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$273.36 🔑 52-Week Low: $194.29 🔑 All-Time High: $392.86 (February 27, 2026) 🔑 Q3 2026 Revenue: $24B (+8.3% YoY) 🔑 Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS: $5.25 vs $4.13 expected (+27% beat) 🔑 Full Year EPS Guidance: $19.30 to $20.10 (raised) 🔑 Freight Spinoff Date: June 1, 2026 🔑 Wells Fargo Target: $430 🔑 Barclays Target: $450 🔑 Analyst Median Target: $362.50 🎯 Target 1: $448 (+39% from Zone 1 / $1,209.98) 🎯 Target 2: $515.57 (+88% from Zone 2 / $1,398.70) ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 1: $22.15 below entry ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 2: $12.15 below entry The bears had one argument going into tonight. That the Iran war would crush global trade volumes and hurt FedEx's top line. FedEx just reported 8.3% revenue growth and raised full year guidance by 7%. That argument is now significantly weaker. A 27% EPS beat. Guidance raised. Freight spinoff on track for June. Two monthly Fibonacci demand zones mapped. Down from its all-time high with tonight's post-market surge suggesting a strong open tomorrow. That is the setup.
NYSE:FDXLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$UBER The Amazon of Transportation. Two Monthly Buy Zones MappedUber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi said it himself on the Q4 2025 earnings call: "We enter 2026 with a rapidly growing topline, significant cash flow, and a clear path to becoming the largest facilitator of AV trips in the world." The market has spent the last three months pricing in doubt. The last three days have been a reminder of what Uber actually is.Here is what just happened this week alone.On March 17, 2026, Uber jumped 5.6% to $78.83 following a landmark announcement at Nvidia's GTC conference. The two companies unveiled a plan to deploy 100,000 Level 4 robotaxis across 28 cities by 2028 using Nvidia's DRIVE Hyperion platform and the Alpamayo AI model. On March 13, Uber and Motional officially launched a commercial robotaxi service in Las Vegas, with a fully driverless service expected by end of 2026. Uber also announced a partnership with Zoox, Amazon's autonomous vehicle division, targeting Las Vegas by summer 2026 and Los Angeles by mid-2027, with Zoox covering all insurance and fleet costs. A collaboration with Nissan and British startup Wayve targets a pilot robotaxi launch in Tokyo by late 2026, Uber's first AV partnership in Japan. Uber committed over $100 million to build autonomous vehicle charging infrastructure. And Uber launched Uber Autonomous Solutions, a full turnkey backend for AV developers covering routing, cleaning, charging, and maintenance, effectively making Uber the operating system for the entire robotaxi industry. This is the asset-light model at its most powerful. Uber does not build the cars. It does not own the fleet. It does not pay for insurance. It collects a fee on every trip across a network of 202 million monthly active platform consumers who already have the app on their phone. Think of it as a toll road operator for the autonomous vehicle era.The fundamental picture is confirmed. Uber completed 3.8 billion trips in Q4 2025 alone. Annual revenue exceeds $52 billion. The analyst consensus price target sits at $103.81 across 55 analysts, with 47 Buy ratings, 8 Hold ratings, and just 1 Sell. Deutsche Bank reiterated Buy following the Nvidia announcement. BofA maintains Buy with a $103 price target. Goldman Sachs holds a Buy rating. The highest target on the Street is $150. The 52-week high was $101.99 reached in October 2025. The stock is currently trading at $76.66, down approximately 25% from that high.The Iran war context matters here in a specific way. Every conflict that disrupts oil supply accelerates the timeline for energy-efficient autonomous transportation. When fuel costs spike, the economic case for electric robotaxis at $0.20 to $0.30 per mile against $2.00 per mile ride-sharing strengthens dramatically. Uber's robotaxi network runs on electricity. Its cost structure benefits from exactly the kind of oil price shock the Iran conflict has created. The war is not a headwind for Uber's autonomous transition. It is a tailwind. The monthly chart shows a controlled multi-year base building phase. After peaking at $101.99, price retraced into two clean Fibonacci demand zones that align with the 0.618 and 0.382 levels of the entire 2023 to 2025 bull run. The blue SMA 20 on the monthly is curling upward as long-term trend support. The broader channel from the 2022 lows remains firmly intact. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($62.27 area) The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and a major horizontal support shelf going back to early 2024. Stop: $3.48 below entry (5.589%) / $980 position Qty: 5 Risk/Reward Ratio: 17.59 Target 1: +70.508% ($85.22 area / $1,202.53) Target 2: +98.282% ($121.65 area / $1,351.72) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($49.98 area) The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and the prior breakout base from late 2023. Stop: $3.48 below entry (6.963%) / $980 position Qty: 5 Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.13 Target 1: +70.508% ($85.22 area / $1,202.53) Target 2: +98.282% ($121.65 area / $1,351.72) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $76.66 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$62.27 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$49.98 🔑 52-Week Low: $60.63 🔑 52-Week High: $101.99 🔑 Monthly Active Users: 202 million 🔑 Q4 2025 Trips: 3.8 billion 🔑 Annual Revenue: $52B+ 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $103.81 🔑 Highest Analyst Target: $150 🔑 Next Earnings: May 6, 2026 🎯 Target 1: $85.22 (+70% from Zone 1 / $1,202.53) 🎯 Target 2: $121.65 (+98% from Zone 2 / $1,351.72) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $3.48 below entry The bears will point to lower take rates on autonomous rides compared to standard UberX fares, the long timeline to 28 cities, and the regulatory patchwork that still exists across US states. Those are real considerations. But a company with 202 million monthly users, $52 billion in annual revenue, 47 analyst Buy ratings, and a robotaxi strategy that requires it to own zero vehicles is not a company that stays 25% below its 52-week high for long. Uber is not building the cars. It is building the network every car has to use. That is the Amazon of transportation. Two monthly buy zones are mapped.
NYSE:UBERLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
Rosneft Multi-Year Reversal Setup + Macro Channel Support!The weekly chart shows the full picture. After an extended corrective phase, price has retraced directly into a multi-year ascending channel support, aligning with key Fibonacci retracement zones and historical demand. This area has repeatedly acted as a base for expansion, and the current reaction suggests accumulation rather than continuation lower. The structure is clean, with trendline confluence supporting a potential shift from bearish correction into bullish continuation. The move off this level shows early strength, with price attempting to reclaim momentum and build higher. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 (423 area) 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligned with channel support and prior structure. Stop: 9.50 below entry (2.01%) / 980 position Qty: 2 Risk/Reward Ratio: 20.29 Target: +40.90% (664 area / 1,405.79) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 (462 area) 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with deeper channel support and stronger demand. Stop: 9.50 below entry (2.24%) / 980 position Qty: 2 Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.39 Target 1: +25.57% (531 area / 1,227.89) 🟢 Buy Zone 3 (367 area) 0.382 Fibonacci retracement approaching lower trendline support and final demand zone. Stop: 9.50 below entry (2.58%) Qty: 2 Risk/Reward Ratio: 32.61 Target 1: +25.57% (531 area / 1,227.89) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: 493 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~423 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~462 🔑 Buy Zone 3: ~367 🔑 Channel Resistance: ~677 🔑 Major Resistance: ~700 🎯 Target 1: 531 (+25%) 🎯 Target 2: 664–677 (+40% to +84%) ⚠️ Hard Stop All Zones: 9.50 below entry The bear case is clear. Continued downside in oil prices could weaken the entire sector. Geopolitical risks surrounding Russia remain elevated, and sanctions or policy shifts could impact long-term valuation. A breakdown below the channel would invalidate the structure entirely. The bull case is equally strong. Energy demand remains persistent, and supply-side constraints continue to support higher pricing environments. The technical structure shows strong historical respect for this channel, and each prior touch has resulted in significant upside expansion. This is not a short-term trade. It is a macro structure play based on multi-year support, trendline integrity, and high time frame confluence. The opportunity lies in positioning at key demand while maintaining tight, controlled risk against a large potential upside move.
RUS:ROSNLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$AUDUSD Third Trendline Touch. Labour Data Today. Buy the STATS!Simple setup. Third trendline touch. RBA meeting Tuesday. Entry mapped. AUD/USD ran from the January lows to 0.71872, its highest level since February 2023, then sold off all week as institutions took profit. Price has now pulled back cleanly into the ascending trendline for the third time. The first touch established the line. The second confirmed it. The third is statistically the highest probability bounce point on any trendline. The fundamental case is real. The RBA hiked 25bps to 3.85% in February, its first hike in over two years. The March 17 meeting is live. CBA, Westpac, and ANZ are all now forecasting another 25bp hike on Tuesday, which would bring the cash rate back to 4.35%. The driver is Iran war oil inflation. Australian CPI is running at 3.8% and rising, core inflation sits at 3.4%, well above the RBA 2 to 3% target. Rate hike expectations are the strongest fundamental tailwind the AUD has had in years. Australia is also a major commodity exporter. When oil spikes on Iran war fears, commodity currencies outperform. The AUD benefits from both sides of this conflict, higher commodity prices and a hawkish central bank forced to hike into an inflationary oil shock. The trendline third touch lands the Friday before the RBA decision. Smart money does not sell AUD into a live rate hike meeting. The setup closes Tuesday. 🟢 Buy Zone (0.69742 area) Third touch of the ascending trendline at the 0.236 Fibonacci level on the 4-hour chart. Stop: 0.00114 below entry (0.163%) / $980 position Qty: 17,543 units Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.6 Target: +1.566% (0.71094 area / $1,191.93) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: 0.70457 🔑 Buy Zone: ~0.69742 🔑 52-Week Low: 0.69441 🔑 52-Week High: 0.71872 🔑 RBA Current Cash Rate: 3.85% 🔑 RBA March 17 Decision: Live hike expected 🔑 Australia CPI: 3.8% and rising 🎯 Target: 0.71094 (+1.566% / $1,191.93) ⚠️ Hard Stop: 0.00114 below entry Third trendline touch. RBA hike on Tuesday. Three reasons to be long right here. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
Long
by ConnectmyCurrency
$HOOD RELOADED! 27 Million Customers. Down 52% = BUY!Robinhood has spent the last two months getting sold off like the party is over. It is not over. The business just posted its best year on record and the stock is down 52% from its 52-week high of $153.86. That is the setup. Here is what the numbers actually say. Full year 2025 revenue of $4.47 billion, up 51% year-over-year. Record net deposits of $68 billion for the year. 27.4 million funded customers as of February 2026. Total platform assets of $324 billion, up 68% year-over-year. Gold subscribers hit a record 4.2 million, up 58% year-over-year. Diluted EPS of $2.05 for the full year, a record. Adjusted EBITDA of $761 million in Q4 alone. The product expansion story is real. Robinhood launched a $1 billion venture fund giving retail investors access to pre-IPO companies. Tokenized stocks are live in the EU. Cortex Digests, an AI portfolio insights tool, launched for Gold members. Prediction markets are active and generating engagement directly tied to the Iran war news cycle. Mizuho maintains Outperform with a $110 price target. Analyst consensus sits at $121.73. The Iran war is not a headwind for Robinhood. It is volume. Every oil spike, every defense stock rotation, every crypto surge on capital flight from conflict zones drives transaction revenue on this platform. War is the most active trading environment in years and Robinhood has 27 million customers sitting in it. The bear case is real. Crypto revenues represent over 50% of transaction income and volumes have cooled from their peak. The venture fund dropped 11% on its first day. February operating data showed mixed trading activity. The stock trades at 35x earnings. But record revenues, record deposits, record subscribers, and 27 million customers do not justify a 52% haircut. The weekly chart shows a clean Fibonacci retracement from the $29.66 to $153.86 bull run into two tiered demand zones. The SMA 20 has crossed below the SMA 200 on the weekly but is decelerating, a classic exhaustion signal approaching major support. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($54.20 area) 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and major horizontal support. Stop: $6.28 below entry (11.587%) / $980 position Qty: 628 Risk/Reward Ratio: 22.02 Target 1: +189.969% ($112.74 area / $1,235.22) Target 2: +255.129% ($192.48 area / $1,440.38) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($38.88 area) 0.236 Fibonacci level and pre-breakout base from late 2024. Stop: $6.28 below entry (16.152%) / $980 position Qty: 628 Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.76 Target 1: +189.969% ($112.74 area / $1,235.22) Target 2: +255.129% ($192.48 area / $1,440.38) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $74.67 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$54.20 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$38.88 🔑 52-Week Low: $29.66 🔑 52-Week High: $153.86 🔑 Funded Customers: 27.4 million 🔑 Platform Assets: $324 billion 🔑 Full Year Revenue: $4.47B (+51% YoY) 🔑 Gold Subscribers: 4.2 million (record) 🔑 Mizuho Target: $110 (Outperform) 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $121.73 🎯 Target 1: $112.74 (+189% from Zone 1 / $1,235.22) 🎯 Target 2: $192.48 (+255% from Zone 2 / $1,440.38) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $6.28 below entry 27 million customers. Record revenue. Record deposits. Down 52%. The dip has two entries! If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:HOODLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$ADBE Record Cash Flow. AI ARR Tripled. Down 64% From Its High.📊 ADBE 📊 Adobe reported Q1 fiscal 2026 yesterday and beat everything. Revenue $6.40 billion, up 12% year-over-year. Non-GAAP EPS $6.06 versus $5.87 expected. Record Q1 operating cash flow of $2.96 billion. AI-first ARR more than tripled year-over-year. Monthly active users hit 850 million, up 17%. Firefly Enterprise new customer acquisition up 50%. Total ARR $26.06 billion. Q2 guidance ahead of consensus on both revenue and EPS. The stock fell anyway. CEO Shantanu Narayen announced he is stepping down after 18 years. The market sold the news. That is the setup. The bears are focused on the CEO transition and the decline in traditional stock photography. The bulls are looking at 47.4% non-GAAP operating margins, a Runway partnership integrating Gen-4.5 video models directly into Adobe Firefly, a $50 billion buyback authorization, and an analyst consensus target of $423.50 across 27 analysts. RBC is at $430. Wells Fargo at $405. The Iran war accelerates enterprise content demand. Every defense contractor, government communications team, and military media operation runs on Adobe. The Content Supply Chain platform is the infrastructure of wartime information. That is not a headwind. It is a tailwind. The weekly chart shows a controlled multi-year downtrend from the $688 all-time high, now approaching two Fibonacci demand zones from the 2016 to 2021 bull run. The SMA 20 is decelerating on the weekly, a classic exhaustion signal approaching major support. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($209.44 area) 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. Major horizontal support from 2020. Stop: $20.92 below entry (9.989%) / $980 position Qty: 2,092 Risk/Reward Ratio: 8.69 Target 1: +36.841% ($391.32 area / $1,173.88) Target 2: +181.944% ($458.92 area / $1,283.13) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($162.77 area) 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Pre-breakout base from 2019 to 2020. Stop: $20.92 below entry (12.852%) / $980 position Qty: 2,092 Risk/Reward Ratio: 14.16 Target 1: +36.841% ($391.32 area) Target 2: +181.944% ($458.92 area / $1,283.13) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $465.43 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$209.44 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$162.77 🔑 All-Time High: $688 🔑 Q1 Revenue: $6.40B (+12% YoY) 🔑 Q1 Non-GAAP EPS: $6.06 vs $5.87 expected 🔑 Q1 Operating Cash Flow: $2.96B (record) 🔑 Total ARR: $26.06B 🔑 Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 47.4% 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $423.50 🎯 Target 1: $391.32 (+36% / $1,173.88) 🎯 Target 2: $458.92 (+182% / $1,283.13) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $20.92 below entry The CEO transition is noise. The business is not broken. The weekly chart is approaching levels not seen since before the pandemic. Record cash flow. AI ARR tripled. Down 64% from its high. That is the trade. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:ADBELong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$SOFI The Fintech Dip With a Stablecoin Catalyst!📊 SoFi Technologies has spent the last three months being sold off like a broken business. It is not a broken business. It is a digital bank growing revenue at 30% per year, adding members at 30% per year, generating record originations, and now sitting at a 46% discount to its 52-week high. The Iran war accelerated a risk-off rotation out of growth fintech and into hard assets. The selloff created the setup. Here is what the fundamentals say: SoFi reported Q4 2025 GAAP revenue of $1.025 billion, up 39.6% year-over-year, beating both internal estimates and analyst consensus. Total originations hit a record $10.5 billion in the quarter, up 46% year-over-year. The company added one million new members in a single quarter. Deposits reached a record $37.4 billion. Adjusted EPS is projected at $0.60 for 2026, up significantly from $0.39 in 2025. Management guided for 30% revenue growth through 2026 and a revenue CAGR of 30% through 2028. Adjusted EPS is forecast to grow at 38% to 42% annually over the same period. The average analyst price target sits at $26.88, implying roughly 45% upside from current levels. Seeking Alpha upgraded SOFI to Buy after the 32.8% decline, noting the price-to-tangible book multiple of 2.94 now makes the selloff an overreaction. SoFi targets $4.66 billion in revenue for 2026, with $1.60 billion in EBITDA, representing 51.8% EBITDA growth year-over-year. Now the catalyst the market has not fully priced in yet. On March 3, 2026, SoFi announced it deepened its stablecoin partnership with Mastercard, supporting SoFiUSD, its fully reserved stablecoin, as a settlement option on Mastercard's global network. Keefe, Bruyette and Woods called it a significant step. CEO Anthony Noto made a roughly $1 million open-market share purchase the same week, his first insider buy in over a year. In a world where the Iran war is accelerating crypto adoption, where the GENIUS Act stablecoin legislation is moving through Congress, and where Iranian exchanges saw 873% crypto outflow spikes at the start of the conflict, a US digital bank with a live stablecoin on Mastercard's global network is not just a fintech story. It is a financial infrastructure story. The Iran war layer matters here in a specific way. Every conflict that drives capital out of traditional banking systems accelerates the adoption of digital financial rails. SoFi is not a speculative crypto play. It is a regulated, deposit-taking digital bank with a live stablecoin product, a Mastercard settlement partnership, and 7.7 million members who already bank digitally. When geopolitical instability makes people question legacy banking infrastructure, SoFi's model becomes more relevant, not less. The weekly chart shows the full picture. After a parabolic run from $8.11 to $38.95, price has retraced sharply into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone and is now pressing against major weekly support. The blue SMA 20 has crossed below the red SMA 200 on the weekly, creating short-term bearish pressure, but the longer-term Fibonacci channel and horizontal demand at this level have historically produced significant reversals. Two tiered buy zones are mapped targeting a full recovery toward the prior highs and beyond. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($15.01 area) Price is approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2023 to 2025 bull move. This is the first major demand zone with strong horizontal support going back to early 2024 breakout levels. - Stop: $1.73 below entry (11.526%) / $45,000 position - Qty: 2,890 - Risk/Reward Ratio: 10.31 - Target: +118.854% ($32.85 area / $101,560) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($9.50 area) If broader Iran war risk-off and fintech sector pressure push SOFI toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the base of the 2024 breakout, this is the entry with the highest conviction R/R in the setup. - Stop: $1.39 below entry (14.632%) / $45,000 position - Qty: 3,597 - Risk/Reward Ratio: 21.19 - Target: +118.854% ($20.60 area / $101,560) Key Levels: - 🔑 Current Price: $17.70 - 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$15.01 area - 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$9.50 area - 🔑 52-Week Low: $8.11 - 🔑 52-Week High: $38.95 - 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $26.88 - 🔑 2026 Revenue Target: $4.66B - 🔑 2026 EBITDA Target: $1.60B - 🔑 Record Q4 Originations: $10.5B - 🎯 Target: $36.96 (+118% / $101,560) - ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: Stop below entry as mapped The bears will point to the insider sell by director Freiberg, the high P/E ratio, and the competitive pressure in digital banking. Those are real considerations. But a CEO buying $1 million of his own stock in the open market the same week a major Mastercard stablecoin partnership is announced is not the behavior of a man who thinks his company is in trouble. Record originations. Record deposits. Record membership growth. A live stablecoin on the world's largest payment network. A stock down 46% from its high. The fintech dip has a stablecoin catalyst. That is the trade. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series, oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, flash storage, AI data centers, biodefense mRNA, consumer health telehealth, and now digital banking, is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$HIMS Legal Overhang Gone. Buy the Dip!Here's the full TradingView idea: 📊 HIMS Three months ago Hims and Hers had a $72.98 stock price, a booming GLP-1 weight loss business, and a growth trajectory that had the market pricing in a dominant telehealth future. Then Novo Nordisk filed a patent infringement lawsuit over Hims' compounded semaglutide products, the FDA cracked down on compounders, and the stock collapsed 62% from its 52-week high. The legal overhang became the single biggest weight on the stock. Investors did not know if the business model was viable. Analysts cut targets. The monthly chart printed a waterfall selloff straight into long-term Fibonacci support. On March 9, 2026, that overhang disappeared entirely. Hims and Hers announced a full strategic partnership with Novo Nordisk. Novo dropped its lawsuit without prejudice. In exchange, Hims stopped marketing compounded semaglutide and became an authorized distribution channel for branded Ozempic and Wegovy on its platform. The company simultaneously announced it would become the largest global consumer health platform for access to FDA-approved GLP-1 medications. Trading volume on the day of the announcement hit 168.1 million shares, approximately 557% above the three-month average. The stock surged 41% in a single session and has continued higher, up 66% on the week. Here is the fundamental picture after the deal: Hims and Hers is now a direct distribution partner for the two most prescribed weight loss drugs on the planet. The legal risk that had been suppressing the valuation is gone. The regulatory uncertainty around compounded GLP-1s no longer threatens the core business model. Novo Nordisk revised its self-pay pricing structure as part of the deal, making branded GLP-1s more accessible through the Hims platform and expanding the addressable patient base significantly. Leerink Partners called the deal both a surprise and an unambiguous positive, noting it removes what had been the biggest overhang on the stock. Morgan Stanley said the deal could significantly reduce regulatory and legal risk tied to the weight loss business. Needham raised its price target to $30. Citi raised to $24. The stock is still trading at just 20 times forward earnings. It is still down 62% from its 52-week high of $72.98. Now add the Iran war layer. The Iran conflict has driven a broad rotation out of growth and into defense, energy, and hard assets. Consumer health and telehealth names have been indiscriminately sold as part of that risk-off move. But Hims and Hers is not a discretionary spending story. Weight loss is a chronic condition treatment. Mental health, hair loss, and sexual health subscriptions are recurring revenue businesses with high retention. These are not luxury purchases that get cut when oil prices rise. The Iran war selloff created the entry into a stock that just had its biggest fundamental catalyst in its history. The monthly chart is where this setup lives. After the parabolic move from $2.72 to $72.98, price has retraced all the way back into the long-term breakout base and is now sitting directly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire bull move. The blue SMA 20 on the monthly has acted as dynamic support through the entire 2024 to 2025 run. The current candle is printing a long lower wick at this level, a classic monthly demand signal. 🟢 Buy Zone ($16.43 area) Price retraced into the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the prior breakout shelf from mid-2024. The monthly wick here signals institutional accumulation at a level that previously acted as major resistance before becoming support. Stop: $3.88 below entry (23.615%) / $45,000 position Qty: 1,288 Risk/Reward Ratio: 7.37 Target: +173.950% ($28.58 area / $86,829) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $25.88 🔑 Buy Zone: ~$16.43 area 🔑 52-Week Low: $2.72 🔑 52-Week High: $72.98 🔑 Needham Price Target: $30.00 🔑 Citi Price Target: $24.00 🔑 Forward P/E: 20x 🎯 Target: $45.01 (+173% / $86,829) ⚠️ Hard Stop: $3.88 below entry The bears had one argument. It was the Novo Nordisk lawsuit. That argument no longer exists. What remains is a profitable telehealth platform with a subscription model, a new direct partnership with the world's leading GLP-1 manufacturer, a massive and growing addressable market in obesity treatment, and a stock that is still more than 60% below its recent high. The legal overhang is gone. The monthly demand zone is here. The entry is mapped. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series, oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, flash storage, AI data centers, biodefense mRNA, and now consumer health telehealth, is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NYSE:HIMSLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
6
$SMH Chips Are The War. The ETF Is The Weapon.VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has become the central vehicle for expressing the entire semiconductor super cycle: AI accelerators, data centers, edge compute, and defense grade chips all flow through this basket. After a vertical run from sub $50 in the COVID era to over $400 today, SMH has pulled back sharply into a cluster of higher timeframe demand and Fibonacci levels while the fundamental story has only intensified. The chart you are looking at is not a bubble top. It is a violent retest inside a secular uptrend. Here is what has not changed while price whipped from the recent highs back into support: NVIDIA, TSMC, Broadcom, AMD, ASML, and other core holdings continue to post strong AI related backlogs and capex pipelines. Defense and intelligence agencies are accelerating secure chip procurement for missiles, drones, satellites, cyber offense, and encryption hardware as the Iran war and broader geopolitical fractures deepen. Sovereign reshoring programs in the US, EU, Japan, and India are committing large sums to on shore fabs and advanced packaging. Every AI data center expansion, including GPU clusters, networking, high bandwidth memory, and specialized inference ASICs, funnels orders directly into the SMH component base. Edge and automotive silicon demand is rising as EVs, ADAS, industrial automation, and military vehicles all add compute. No major constituent has reported a structural demand collapse; the pullback is position clearing, not a pipeline failure. What has changed is positioning and sentiment. After an almost parabolic monthly move into early 2026, crowded long exposure in AI and chips met macro fear, including rates repricing, Iran conflict risk, and profit taking at all time highs. The ETF reversed hard off the upper regression channel and has now stabbed back into the mid channel and key Fibonacci retracement levels, where my chart marks the two “BUY HERE” zones. The 20 month moving average is acting as dynamic support inside the trend channel while the longer term moving average still slopes firmly upward, confirming a primary bullish trend rather than a completed blow off. The monthly chart context is crucial. From 2019 to 2021, SMH launched from a quiet base into the first AI and 5G up leg, then consolidated through the 2022 bear market before breaking out again in 2023 and 2024. The latest leg from that base into the 2025 and 2026 highs has now retraced into prior breakout structure instead of breaking down through it. In other words, price has returned to the scene of the crime, where long term buyers previously stepped in with size. My chart anchors both buy zones exactly in this confluence: regression channel support, Fibonacci retracements, and prior monthly supply turned demand. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($332) Price has been driven back into the upper mid regression channel and the first major Fibonacci retracement of the most recent leg, just below the prior monthly high. The current monthly candle is showing a long lower wick as dip buyers defend the breakout zone, suggesting institutions are absorbing supply rather than abandoning the sector. This is the first high probability demand area with a tight, well defined invalidation just under the local structural low around 384 dollars. Stop Loss: $317 🟢 Buy Zone 2 $267 If war driven risk off, renewed rate volatility, or a broader tech correction pushes SMH deeper toward the mid channel and the next major Fibonacci level, this is the entry with maximum risk reward before the secular trend is questioned. It aligns with a prior multi month consolidation shelf and sits well above the long term 200 month moving average, which still trends upward. A flush into this level with capitulation volume would likely mark the kind of generational entry that funds build around for the next AI and defense cycle. Stop Loss: $253 Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price on chart: high 398s 🔑 Buy Zone 1: around 332 🔑 Buy Zone 2: around 267 🔑 Local Swing Low Support: mid 380s (short term invalidation below Zone 1) 🔑 Major Monthly Resistance and Target 1: around 496 dollars area 🔑 Major Monthly Resistance and Target 2: around 533 dollars area 🔑 Long Term Moving Average Support: rising 20 month moving average tracking the trend channel 🔑 Macro Tailwinds: AI data centers, defense technology, edge and auto silicon, reshoring subsidies 🎯 Primary Target: about 496 to 533 dollars (roughly plus 60 to 86 percent from Zone 1 and about 126,832 to 138,075 dollars potential on the full position) The headlines will keep swinging between “AI bubble” and “chip glut.” The chart is telling a different story. The global economy is being rewired around compute density: battlefield autonomy, missile guidance, ISR satellites, quantum secure communication, AI copilots for pilots and analysts, and real time logistics all run on semiconductors. The Iran war does not reduce that demand. It makes reliable, domestically controlled chip capacity a national security asset. SMH is not just another ETF in that world. It is how you own the infrastructure layer. What changed in this pullback is sentiment at extended prices, not the underlying requirement for GPUs, high bandwidth memory, EUV tools, RF chips, and secure microcontrollers. When that sentiment dumps price back into clean monthly demand with multi confluence support and clearly defined risk, that is not where the story ends. That is where the trade begins. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page and drop a like on this idea so it reaches more traders. Every idea in this Iran war series covering oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, flash storage, AI data centers, and now the semiconductor backbone via SMH is being updated in real time as the conflict and AI build out evolve. You do not want to miss what is coming next.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$BNTX The Founders Left. The Pipeline Didn't.This morning BioNTech dropped a bombshell. Co-founders Prof. Ugur Sahin and Prof. Özlem Türeci, the two scientists who built the mRNA platform that produced the world's first approved COVID-19 vaccine, announced they are leaving the company by end of 2026 to start a new independent mRNA-focused biotech. BioNTech will contribute related mRNA technology rights to the new venture in exchange for a minority stake and potential milestones and royalties. The stock immediately sold off 14%, wiping approximately $4.26 billion from the company's market cap in a single session. The market treated this like an existential event. It is not. Here is what did not leave with the founders: 15 ongoing Phase 3 oncology trials with multiple late-stage readouts expected in 2026. A completed acquisition of CureVac in December 2025, expanding BioNTech's mRNA manufacturing and IP portfolio significantly. Positive Phase 2 data from pumitamig in triple-negative breast cancer. A new HIV antibody trial adding depth to the long-term infectious disease pipeline. A new first-in-human BNT3214 cancer trial initiated this week. A new mpox mRNA vaccine trial launched in Africa. Morgan Stanley maintaining its Buy rating. HC Wainwright maintaining a $140 price target. JP Morgan maintaining $120. UBS at $117. Analyst median target sitting at $131. A strong cash position that management highlighted at the JP Morgan conference in January. A stated goal of becoming a commercial multi-product oncology company by 2030. The binding agreement for the founders' new venture is not even signed yet, it is expected by end of H1 2026, and the transition does not complete until end of 2026. The company has time to install new leadership and the pipeline is already in motion. Now add the Iran war layer. Every modern conflict accelerates biodefense spending. The US military and allied governments have dramatically increased investment in rapid-response vaccine and therapeutic platforms since COVID-19. BioNTech's mRNA technology is the most validated rapid-response platform on the planet, capable of producing a new vaccine candidate in weeks. In a conflict environment where biological threats, chemical exposure, and mass casualty scenarios demand fast medical countermeasures, BioNTech's platform is not a liability. It is infrastructure. Biodefense investment is rising globally and mRNA sits at the center of every serious government preparedness program. The weekly chart puts this in full context. After a multi-year downtrend from the COVID highs above $400, BioNTech built a long base through 2023 and 2024, broke out hard into late 2025, hit $124 on the 52-week high, and has now retraced sharply back into the prior breakout zone. Today's founder news accelerated that pullback into two clean weekly demand zones that sit directly on long-term Fibonacci support levels. The red SMA 200 is still declining as overhead resistance but the green SMA 20 is trying to curl at a historically significant horizontal level. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 ($65.92 area) Price has been driven into the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2024 to 2025 breakout move. The weekly candle is printing a long lower wick as institutional buyers absorb the panic selling. This is the first high-probability demand zone with a defined stop below the prior consolidation base. Stop: $2.50 below entry (3.792%) / $45,000 position Qty: 2,000 Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.94 Target: +45.297% ($95.78 area / $109,720) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 ($51.17 area) If broader market risk-off and continued founder transition uncertainty pushes BNTX toward the 0.786 Fibonacci level and the lower boundary of the multi-year base, this is the entry with maximum R/R before a full trend reversal would be confirmed. Stop: $2.50 below entry (4.886%) / $45,000 position Qty: 2,000 Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.94 Target: +58.355% ($81.17 area / $109,720) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $83.40 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$65.92 area 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$51.17 area 🔑 52-Week Low: $76.53 🔑 52-Week High: $124.00 🔑 HC Wainwright Target: $140.00 🔑 Morgan Stanley Target: $131.00 🔑 JP Morgan Target: $120.00 🔑 Analyst Median Target: $131.00 🔑 Phase 3 Trials: 15 🎯 Target: $113 (+45% from Zone 1 / $109,720) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $2.50 below entry The founders built the platform. The platform is what has value now. Fifteen Phase 3 oncology trials do not stop running because the people who started the company are moving on. The CureVac acquisition does not unwind. The mRNA IP does not disappear. The biodefense contracts do not evaporate. What changed today is sentiment, and sentiment at panic lows on a weekly demand zone is where the setups are made. The founders left. The pipeline didn't. That is the trade. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series, oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, flash storage, AI data centers, and now biodefense mRNA, is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:BNTXLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$SNDK Up 1,200% in 12 Months. Now Pulling Back. Two Buy ZonesThis is one of the most extraordinary charts in the entire market right now. Twelve months ago, SanDisk was trading at $27.89. It hit a 52-week high of $725.00. That is a 1,200% move in a single year driven by a perfect storm of a strategic spinoff from Western Digital, a global NAND flash shortage, and an AI infrastructure buildout that has made high-performance storage one of the most constrained resources in the semiconductor ecosystem. And now the Iran war has pulled it back 28% from its peak in two weeks. That is the setup. Here is the fundamental case before we get to the chart: SanDisk reported Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $3.03 billion, up 31% sequentially and 61% year-over-year, with GAAP net income of $803 million and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $6.20. Datacenter revenue rose 64% sequentially. The company guided Q3 to $4.4 to $4.8 billion in revenue with non-GAAP EPS of $12.00 to $14.00. Gross margin expanded to over 51% GAAP. Management highlighted sustained pricing strength in NAND flash, driven by constrained supply and AI-related demand that shows no signs of easing with supply agreements now extending to 2028 as customers lock in capacity ahead of projected shortages. SanDisk and Kioxia extended their Yokkaichi joint venture agreement through December 31, 2034, adding five years to the prior expiry co-developing 3D flash memory and AI-enabled manufacturing to support growing generative AI demand. That JV structure gives SanDisk a structurally different margin and capex profile than any integrated memory manufacturer delivering leading-edge NAND at roughly 5.8% capex-to-revenue, compared to 30%+ at Micron. Institutional investors have been aggressively rotating out of software and into AI hardware, driving the year-to-date gains. The Tradr 2X Long SNDK Daily ETF reached $650 million AUM in just 24 days after launch making it the fifth-largest single-stock ETF in the US. Now add the Iran war layer. South Korean semiconductor fabs run 24/7, consuming enormous electricity and process gases, with a significant share of that power coming from LNG-fired plants and when natural gas prices spike, fab operating costs follow. SK Hynix fell 11.5% overnight while Samsung fell 9.9% the two companies that together control the majority of global DRAM supply and a massive share of NAND. Every percentage point increase in Korean fab operating costs is a percentage point of margin compression for the companies that supply most of the world's flash memory. SanDisk, with its Kioxia JV in Japan and its US listing, is structurally better positioned than its Korean competitors to absorb this shock. The Iran war did not break SanDisk's thesis it reinforced it. SanDisk has been acting as a stand-in for hardware names riding the AI wave, thanks to the surge in data center spending by big cloud players and tech firms. The selloff is fear-driven, not fundamental. The Q3 guidance has not been revised. The Kioxia JV has not been cancelled. The AI storage shortage has not been resolved. What changed is oil prices and sentiment. I have mapped two tiered buy zones on the daily chart targeting a move back toward all-time highs and beyond into mid-2026. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Current Level ($469 area) Price has pulled back into the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from the breakout base, where the blue SMA 20 is flattening after the sharp decline. This is the first structural support after the post-spinoff parabolic move and sits directly above the prior consolidation range. Stop: $26.93 below entry (5.746%) / $45,000 position Qty: 185 Risk/Reward Ratio: 5.61 Target: +32.227% ($619.67 area / $78,041) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 Deep Demand ($409 area) If risk-off from the Iran war continues pushing memory stocks lower, the 0.5 Fibonacci level and prior breakout shelf align at this zone. This is the entry with the highest conviction R/R in the setup and still sits well above the SMA 200. Stop: $26.93 below entry (6.584%) / $45,000 position Qty: 185 Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.75 Target: +123.477% ($505.02 area / $143,765) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: ~$588.73 🔑 Buy Zone 1: ~$469 area 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$409 area 🔑 52-Week Low: $27.89 🔑 52-Week High: $725.00 🔑 Q3 Revenue Guidance: $4.4 to $4.8B 🔑 Q3 EPS Guidance: $12.00 to $14.00 🎯 Target 1: $619.67 (+32% from Zone 1 / $78,041) 🎯 Target 2: $914 (+123% from Zone 2 / $143,765) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $26.93 below entry A stock that went up 1,200% in twelve months on genuine fundamental acceleration does not simply reverse because of a two-week geopolitical selloff. The NAND shortage is structural. The AI datacenter buildout is structural. The Kioxia JV advantage is structural. None of those things changed on February 28 when the first strikes hit Iran. What changed is that scared money sold hardware and bought gold. That is the opportunity. The bears will point to the parabolic chart and call it a bubble. The bulls will point to $12.00 to $14.00 EPS guidance in a single quarter and call it a generational earnings ramp. At these buy zones, with defined stops and a clear target back toward all-time highs, the risk/reward is on the side of the bulls. The war created the entry. The AI shortage closes it. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, and now flash storage is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:SNDKLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
2
$INTC The Fallen Giant With a Government Backstop and 2x BuysIntel 📊 is not a stock the market loves. It has lost CPU market share for years. Its foundry business posted a $2.5 billion operating loss in Q4 2025. Q1 2026 revenue guidance came in below consensus. A bipartisan group of senators just raised national security concerns over Intel's use of China-linked chipmaking equipment. The stock has been down 5.5% in a single session this week alone. And yet Intel is the only US company capable of large-scale advanced semiconductor fabrication on home soil. In a world where the Iran war has just made supply chain security a national emergency, that fact is worth more than it has ever been. Here is what the chart does not tell you on its own: Intel beat Q4 2025 expectations $13.7 billion in revenue versus $13.4 billion consensus, adjusted EPS of $0.15 versus $0.08 expected. That was the fifth consecutive quarter of beating guidance. The 18A node is in high-volume manufacturing. Panther Lake, the first 18A product, is shipping. CEO Lip-Bu Tan confirmed at the Cisco AI Forum that external customers are now actively engaging Intel Foundry for 18AP and 14A nodes. Yields are improving 7-8% per month. The US government holds a direct equity stake tied to CHIPS Act funding. SoftBank has invested. NVIDIA is a strategic partner. Intel just participated in a $350 million investment in AI chip startup SambaNova. Server allocations for Xeon 6 are reportedly sold out. Next earnings are April 23, 2026 a hard catalyst on the calendar. Now add the Iran war layer. Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has raised fears about sustained supply chain disruptions and semiconductor supply chains run directly through Asia. TSMC fabs in Taiwan. Samsung fabs in South Korea. Every chip imported through disrupted shipping lanes is a chip that could have been made in Oregon, Arizona, or Ohio. Intel's status as the only US company capable of large-scale semiconductor fabrication gives it some defensive benefits that no other chipmaker can claim. The US government's equity stake tied to CHIPS Act funding represents a strategic bet on maintaining domestic semiconductor manufacturing capability, giving Intel a geopolitical backstop that no other Western chipmaker has. The monthly chart tells the full story. Intel peaked above $75 and has spent four years unwinding that excess. It is now sitting at a 20-year demand zone, printing long-tailed monthly candles at levels not seen since the early 2000s. The Fibonacci extensions from the all-time high map two clean buy zones with defined risk and targets into the 0.786 and 1.272 extensions on the upside. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Current Level ($43 area) Price is pressing against the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the monthly chart. The long-tailed wicks here signal institutional absorption. The red SMA (200-month) is curling as a long-term mean reversion signal. Stop: $3.18 below entry (8.426%) / $45,000 position Qty: 1,572 Risk/Reward Ratio: 14.18 Target 1: +119.449% ($45.08 area / $140,707) Target 2: +228.385% ($57.69 area / $140,707) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 Deep Demand ($25 area) If the Iran war-driven risk-off and broader semiconductor selloff push INTC toward the 0.236 Fibonacci support and the pre-2020 breakout zone, this is the entry with the highest conviction R/R in the series. Stop: $3.18 below entry (12.589%) / $45,000 position Qty: 1,572 Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.14 Target 1: +119.449% ($45.08 area) Target 2: +228.385% ($57.69 area / $140,707) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $43.42 🔑 Buy Zone 2: ~$25 area 🔑 52-Week Low: ~$17.66 🔑 Analyst Consensus Target: $43.60 (Hold) 🔑 High Analyst Target: $66 🔑 Next Earnings: April 23, 2026 🎯 Target 1: $45.08 (+119% from Zone 2) 🎯 Target 2: $57.69 (+228% / $140,707) ⚠️ Hard Stop Both Zones: $3.18 below entry The bears have a real case. The foundry losses are real. The China regulatory risk is real. The Q1 guidance miss is real. But the bears are pricing Intel like a company that has no path forward and that is not what the data shows. The US government does not take equity stakes in companies it expects to fail. NVIDIA does not partner with foundries that cannot execute. SoftBank does not write cheques without a thesis. And Intel does not beat earnings five quarters in a row by accident. When the Iran war makes every Asian chip fab a supply chain risk and every domestic manufacturer a strategic asset, the market will eventually remember that Intel is the only one of its kind on US soil. The fallen giant has a government backstop. Two entry points are mapped. The monthly chart is at a 20-year demand zone. The rest is risk management. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips, cyber, AI infrastructure, and now domestic semiconductor manufacturing is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$CRWD The Cyber Front Is Open. Are You Positioned?The battlefield has moved from Tehran to your company's server room. And CrowdStrike is the last line of defense. Iranian-linked groups have already launched wiper malware attacks against US banks, airports, and software suppliers. CrowdStrike's own head of counter adversary operations confirmed the firm is seeing a surge in reconnaissance and DDoS attacks from Iran-aligned threat actors and warned these behaviors "often precede more aggressive operations." JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon went on CNBC and said banks are targets and he expects a rise in cyber attacks globally. At the same time, CISA the US government's lead cyber defense agency is operating at just 38% staffing due to a government shutdown and mass layoffs. The US is more exposed to cyberattack right now than at any point in the last decade. That is not a risk. That is a revenue catalyst for CrowdStrike. Top Wall Street analyst Dan Ives named CRWD as one of his top 10 tech names positioned to navigate the Iran war, specifically calling out the Falcon platform as holding steady amid the market selloff due to its strength against AI-driven cyber threats. Cybersecurity spending is forecast to reach $520 billion by end of 2026 more than double what was spent just five years ago. CRWD just reported earnings and beat estimates. Gross retention held at 97% across all four quarters. Falcon Flex ARR surged 120% year over year to $1.69 billion. The consensus analyst price target is $508.85 representing 27% upside from current levels even before the war premium is priced in. CRWD just rose 6% in two trading sessions purely from war-driven sentiment. This is the early innings. I've mapped two tiered buy zones on the daily chart. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Current Level ($427 area) Price is holding above key support and moving averages are beginning to flatten after a prolonged downtrend. This is the entry for those who want immediate exposure to the cyber war trade. Stop: $14.37 below entry (3.481%) / $450,000 position Qty: 1,401 Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.36 Target 1: +32.582% ($533 area / $967,951) Target 2: +70.751% ($625 area / $1,425,000+) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 Deeper Demand ($388 area) A pullback toward the 0.352 Fibonacci level and key horizontal support offers a significantly better R/R entry for patient traders. Stop: $14.01 below entry (3.824%) / $450,000 position Qty: 1,401 Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.5 Target 1: +32.582% ($533 area) Target 2: +70.751% ($625 area / $1,425,000+) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $427.14 🔑 Buy Zone 2: $388.42 🔑 Hard Support: $352.36 🎯 Target 1: $533.55 (+32%) 🎯 Target 2: $625.58 (+70%) 🎯 Analyst Consensus Target: $508.85 ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 1: $14.37 below entry ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 2: $14.01 below entry Every war has a cyber front. Every company in America is now a potential target. And every CISO who was delaying a CrowdStrike renewal just got the board approval they needed. The Iran war did not create the cybersecurity trade it just made it impossible to ignore. If you found this analysis valuable, hit the Follow button at the top of the page. Every idea in this Iran war series oil, defense, reconstruction, crypto, chips and cyber is being updated in real time as the conflict develops. You don't want to miss what's coming next.
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$VTU UK's Most Undervalued Car Dealer at a 20-Yr Demand ZoneThis is the longest timeframe setup in this entire war watchlist a monthly chart going back to 2007 on one of the UK's most overlooked small cap plays. Vertu Motors is the UK's fourth largest automotive retailer, trading at just 60p with a P/E ratio of 10, a dividend yield of 3.28%, and a net income that just jumped from £2.15 million to £14.27 million in a single reporting period. And the chart is sitting at a demand zone that has only been visited twice in 20 years. Here is why the Iran war makes this trade even more compelling right now: Oil prices are surging toward $100 a barrel. That means fuel prices across the UK are about to spike hard. When fuel costs rise, consumer appetite shifts dramatically away from fuel-heavy vehicles and toward more efficient ones. Vertu's franchise dealerships include Toyota, Honda, Kia, Hyundai, MG, and BYD precisely the brands that benefit most from a fuel cost shock. This is a war-driven tailwind hiding inside a stock almost nobody is covering. The technical buy signal on daily moving averages is currently rated Strong Buy. The analyst price target sits at 78-80p, representing over 30% upside from current levels. The next earnings report is May 13, 2026 giving this trade a clear near-term catalyst. Nivag Holdings recently increased its stake to 6% of voting rights, signalling insider confidence at these levels. Two operations directors also purchased shares through the company's share scheme recently. Revenue TTM sits at £4.44 billion. EBITDA is £99.98 million. This is a profitable, cash-generating business trading at a fraction of its intrinsic value with a 20-year monthly chart that says the floor is right here. 🟢 Buy Zone Current Level (32p area) This is a single high-conviction entry on the monthly chart at a 20-year demand zone. Price is deep in the 0.236 Fibonacci level, with the long-term ascending channel offering structural support. Stop: 5.00p below entry (15.480%) / Risk/Reward Ratio: 11.28 Target: +174.613% (88.7p area / Amount: £1,064,000) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: 60p 🔑 Buy Zone: ~32p 🔑 52-Week High: 67p 🔑 52-Week Low: 47.15p 🔑 All-Time High: 103p (Feb 2007) 🎯 Analyst Target: 78-80p 🎯 Full Extension Target: 88.7p (+174% from buy zone) 🎯 Target Amount: £1,064,000 ⚠️ Hard Stop: 5p below entry (15.48%) This is not a trade for those looking for a quick flip. This is a monthly chart position targeting a multi-year move back toward the top of a 20-year range. The Iran war, rising fuel prices, and a shift toward efficient vehicles all point to Vertu's brand mix being in exactly the right place at exactly the right time. Small cap. Long timeframe. Enormous R/R.
LSE:VTULong
by ConnectmyCurrency
$LUKOIL The Sanctioned Oil Giant Nobody Can Ignore!This is the most contrarian trade on this entire watchlist and potentially the most explosive. Lukoil is trading at 5,385 on the weekly chart, sitting near multi-year lows while oil prices are surging globally. This disconnect is the trade. Here is why the Iran war changes everything for Lukoil specifically: The Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed. Middle East oil flows are disrupted. And the world's two biggest oil buyers India and China are suddenly scrambling to find alternative supply. With Middle East barrels facing logistical disruption, both India and China face strong incentives to deepen reliance on Russian supply. That supply goes through Lukoil. Russia's oil revenues, which had hit a four-year low in January, are about to explode higher. Russian crude is now trading above the $59 per barrel benchmark assumed in Russia's federal budget plan for 2026 meaning every dollar above that goes straight into Russian oil company profits. Oil and gas tax revenues account for up to 30% of the Russian federal budget, and the government needs Lukoil producing and profitable. Here is the wild card catalyst almost nobody is talking about: The US Treasury's OFAC just extended the deadline for potential deals involving Lukoil's international assets to April 1, 2026, pausing asset sales to use them as leverage in Russia-Ukraine peace talks. Chevron is reportedly in exclusive talks to take over Lukoil's stake in Iraq's giant West Qurna 2 oilfield. Any peace deal or asset transaction of that scale reprices this stock immediately and violently to the upside. This is a weekly chart with two tiered buy zones targeting a move into 2026 and 2027. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Current Level (5,385 area) Price is testing a major long-term support zone with the weekly candles showing capitulation wicks. This is the aggressive entry for those who see the macro thesis clearly. Stop: 197.5 below entry (4.451%) / $450,000 position Qty: 253 Risk/Reward Ratio: 7.95 Target 1: +35.392% (6,955 area / Amount: $897,594) Target 2: +118.466% (8,831 area / Amount: $1,353,654) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 Deep Demand (4,240 area) The ultimate patient entry near the 4,240 level. If geopolitical uncertainty keeps pressure on the stock short term before the macro thesis plays out, this deep zone offers an extraordinary R/R. Stop: 280.5 below entry (6.939%) / $450,000 position Qty: 178 Risk/Reward Ratio: 17.07 Target 1: +35.392% (6,955 area) Target 2: +118.466% (8,831 area / Amount: $1,353,654) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: 5,385 🔑 52-Week High: 8,175 🔑 52-Week Low: 3,482 🎯 Target 1: 6,955 (+35%) 🎯 Target 2: 8,831 (+118%) 🎯 Full Extension Amount: $1,353,654 ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 1: 197.5 below entry ⚠️ Hard Stop Zone 2: 280.5 below entry The world is trying to cut Russia off. But when Hormuz shuts and Middle East oil disappears, India and China don't have a choice. Russian oil becomes indispensable overnight and Lukoil is the company sitting on top of that supply at multi-year lows. High risk. High reward. Define your position size and let the energy crisis do the work.
RUS:LKOHLong
by ConnectmyCurrency
1
Rebuild After the Rubble $FLR Has a $25.5B Backlog!While everyone is panic-buying oil and missile defense stocks and crypto, smart money is quietly loading up on the reconstruction trade. Fluor Corporation is the sleeper play of the Iran-US war and the fundamentals just got a whole lot more compelling. Here is what just happened in the last two weeks that most retail traders have completely missed: Zacks Research upgraded FLR to a "Strong Buy" on February 19th. Citigroup raised their price target from $57 to $61 with a "Buy" rating on February 20th. Rough Draft Atlanta And the company itself just dropped a bombshell earnings report that sets up the next 12-18 months beautifully. Fluor posted full-year 2025 revenue of $15.5 billion and is sitting on a backlog of $25.5 billion, 81% of which is reimbursable. The company completed $754 million in share buybacks in 2025 and has $1.4 billion more planned for 2026. Investing.com CEO Jim Breuer said the company has "growing confidence in capturing significant EPC awards in 2026 and into 2027, supported by an improving capital spending environment and increasing client commitments." Investing.com Now add an Iran-US war into that equation. Fluor's Mission Solutions segment works directly with the US government and military providing site management, nuclear remediation, logistics, EPC, and life support for mission-critical US military facilities worldwide. CNN Every conflict creates reconstruction contracts. Fluor wins those contracts. Every single time. Just weeks ago, Fluor was awarded a major EPC contract to expand Centrus Energy's uranium enrichment facility in Ohio, covering engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning expected to create over 1,300 jobs. Markets Daily This is the kind of strategic government work that accelerates in wartime. I've mapped three tiered buy zones on the daily chart, each offering progressively better risk/reward as price pulls back into demand. 🟢 Buy Zone 1 Current Level ($50 area) Price is holding above both moving averages right now. Aggressive entry for those who want in immediately. Stop: $1.67 below entry (3.403%) / $450,000 position Qty: 29,940 Risk/Reward Ratio: 7.89 Target 1: +26.854% ($62.18 area) Target 2: +36.689% ($65.85 area) 🟢 Buy Zone 2 SMA 200 Retest ($47 area) Pullback to the 0.5 Fibonacci and SMA 200 confluence zone. Textbook higher low entry with a much cleaner R/R. Stop: $1.67 below entry (3.671%) / $450,000 position Qty: 29,940 Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.99 Target 1: +26.854% Target 2: +36.689% ($67.50 area) 🟢 Buy Zone 3 Deep Demand ($43-$44 area) The ultimate patient entry near the 0.236 Fibonacci level. If the broader market shakes out weak hands, this is where institutions step in hard. Stop: $1.67 below entry (3.977%) / $450,000 position Qty: 29,940 Risk/Reward Ratio: 15.83 Full Target: +62.967% ($68.43 area / Amount: $1,291,616) Key Levels: 🔑 Current Price: $50.89 🔑 SMA 20: $49.25 🔑 SMA 200: $45.45 🔑 52-Week High: $60.10 🎯 Target 1: $62.18 🎯 Target 2: $65.85 🎯 Full Extension: $68.43 🎯 Citigroup Price Target: $61.00 ⚠️ Hard Stop All Zones: $1.67 below entry A $25.5 billion backlog. $1.4 billion in buybacks coming. A Strong Buy upgrade from Zacks. A Citi price target raise. And now a war that puts government reconstruction contracts directly in Fluor's wheelhouse. This is not a meme trade. This is a fundamentally sound company with a technically clean chart sitting at a generational entry point. Be patient. Let price come to your zones. The war is just starting and so is Fluor's next leg up. Follow More Updates!
NYSE:FLRLong
by ConnectmyCurrency