Get started

Technical Analysis

EURNZD May Have ToppedEUR is coming sharply to the upside against NZD, hitting new highs, however, looking at the wave structure, we still see the market is in a fifth wave, but it appears that this wave five has a much more extended structure than initially expected. Still, it looks like the final leg of the impulse up from the 1.7490, with the shape of a wedge now at the top, with potential reversal happening as prices comes down from a wedge, signals more weakness, especially if slips back below 2.00 level.
Short
by ew-forecast
CHF/JPY AnalysisCHFJPY (4-hour, FXCM) TradingView Analysis: Current Price: 193.101 Open: 192.991 High: 193.243 Low: 192.937 Change: +0.110 (+0.06%) Recent Trend: Modest upward movement in the current 4-hour candle, with the price near today's high, indicating bullish momentum. Volatility: The high-low range is relatively narrow, signaling low immediate volatility. Potential Signals: A price break above 193.243 could continue the bullish trend. Failure to stay above 193.000 might signal a short-term correction. Target Zones: Blue Lines: Represent key target zones drawn on the chart. These zones are based on the open gap area highlighted with a circle, suggesting areas where price might react or aim to fill the gap. Recommendation: Watch for a breakout above or below the current range and monitor the blue target zones for increased price action or reversals.
Short
by TheMotivationalProfessor
APPS 1W: warms up the stage again or is this only a teaserAPPS is trading at 5.08 and holding above the demand zone between 3.88 and 4.72. These levels correspond with Fibonacci 0.5 and 0.618 and continue to attract buyers. A golden cross between ma50 and ma100 has formed and the ma200 above creates a clean technical structure for a potential breakout. The chart suggests a move toward 7.77 while a confirmed break above it may open the way toward 11.01. The fundamental picture has strengthened. Revenue grew 18 percent in the latest quarter and adjusted EBITDA increased 78 percent. The business acceleration comes from a sharp rise in ad impressions, wider SDK penetration, stronger non gaming activity and expansion into the Asia-Pacific region. Margin improvement and stronger cash flow support the bullish scenario as the advertising market stabilizes. As long as price holds above the demand zone between 3.88 and 4.72 the bullish setup remains active. Losing this zone would lead to deeper consolidation yet the combination of technical strength and improving fundamentals favors upside continuation. Advertising is all about timing and Digital Turbine seems to know exactly when to turn the spotlight on.
NASDAQ:APPSLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Eyes 4,207 Rebound as USD Softens & Venezuela Tensions RiseHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,207 zone. Gold continues to trade within a broader uptrend, and the current pullback is bringing price into a key support–resistance confluence aligned with the ascending trend structure. Fundamentals: The US Dollar remains under pressure, with markets increasingly leaning toward a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve, reinforcing gold’s classic negative correlation with the USD. A softer Dollar environment typically boosts demand for metals, and this week’s macro flow continues to point in that direction. At the same time, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating, increasing global uncertainty and driving markets toward safe-haven assets. Gold is already reflecting this risk premium, and any further escalation could accelerate flows into XAU. Next Step: We’re watching price reaction closely around 4,207 for a potential continuation of the broader bullish structure. Trade safe, Joe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JoeChampion
8
USDCAD – A “Soft Rebound” Forming at Defensive SupportUSDCAD is currently caught between two weak forces . On one side, the USD is losing momentum as markets almost fully expect the Fed to cut rates soon ; on the other side, the CAD isn’t strong either as Canada’s manufacturing data continues to weaken. These opposing forces neutralize each other, preventing a strong trend—but they do create room for a mild technical rebound from the current support zone. On the H4 chart, USDCAD has slipped out of its upper consolidation range and gradually moved toward the support area around 1.3920, a level where price has reacted strongly multiple times before. The decline is slowing, with candles showing reduced volatility—signs that selling pressure is fading . Above, the zone around 1.3970, aligned with the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud and the descending trendline, becomes a reasonable upside target for a rebound. Preferred scenario: USDCAD may continue to test the floor near 1.3920, form a small accumulation pattern, then bounce for a light recovery toward 1.3970, possibly even sweeping slightly higher toward the cloud if USD sentiment stabilizes. However, this remains only a corrective move within a broader weakening structure. Therefore, the optimal approach is to look for short-term buys at support , take profits early at nearby resistance, and maintain strict risk management in a macro environment that remains highly uncertain.
by Paradise_Noir
2
CLOV 1D - Health Is Back in TrendOn the daily chart, Clover Health (CLOV) has broken out of its descending channel and triangle, now pulling back for a retest near 3.27–3.43 - a key buy zone aligned with the MA50. Buyers are clearly regaining control, and the setup looks ready for continuation. Technically: – first clean breakout of the downtrend since January 2025; – volume expansion on bullish candles, suggesting institutional accumulation; – holding above the former resistance turned support. Upside targets: $4.71 (local volume peak) and $5.98, offering +70% potential upside if momentum sustains. From a fundamental perspective, Clover Health is stabilizing its business: – a leading player in Medicare Advantage, with an expanding senior member base; – Q3 results show 40% reduction in net loss and +18% YoY revenue growth; – leveraging AI-driven healthcare analytics to improve efficiency and patient outcomes; – with high short interest, a confirmed breakout above $4.70 could ignite a short squeeze. Tactical plan: accumulation near 3.27–3.43, add above 4.70, targets 4.71 → 5.98. Sometimes the healthiest trend is the bullish one.
NASDAQ:CLOVLong
by TotoshkaTrades
$SPY & $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 5, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY & SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Dec 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🧨 Big inflation catch-up day: A cluster of delayed PCE reports hits at once — this is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and will dictate rate-path expectations into year-end. 🧭 Consumer sentiment & credit: Adds read-through on household stress, spending durability, and recession probability. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) ⏰ 8 30 AM — Heavy Macro Drop • Personal Income (Sept, delayed): 0.3% vs 0.4% • Personal Spending (Sept, delayed): 0.4% vs 0.3% • PCE Index (Sept, delayed): 0.3% vs 0.3% • PCE YoY: 2.9% vs 2.9% • Core PCE Index (Sept, delayed): 0.2% vs 0.2% • Core PCE YoY: 2.8% vs 2.7% ⏰ 10 00 AM • Consumer Sentiment (prelim, Dec): 52.0 vs 51.0 ⏰ 3 00 PM • Consumer Credit (Oct): $10.5B vs $13.1B ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #PCE #inflation #macro #fed #consumer #markets #stocks #trading #investing
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
EURUSD – The Dollar Weakens, Uptrend Takes OffIf there is one currency pair currently favored by macro conditions, EURUSD is clearly at the top. The U.S. dollar keeps weakening as recent economic data remains poor, with ADP showing a drop of 32,000 jobs , and expectations for a Fed rate cut next week rising sharply. Meanwhile, political uncertainty surrounding Trump’s plan to appoint a new Fed Chair further pressures the USD. In contrast, the euro is trading near a 7-week high and is on track for its strongest yearly gain since 2017. On the 2H chart, EURUSD is moving cleanly inside an ascending channel : price is riding the lower boundary and gliding above the Ichimoku cloud — a sign of a strong bullish structure where dips are simply pauses. The area around 1.1640 acts as a key support level, aligning with the channel bottom, the Ichimoku cloud, and a small demand zone previously respected by the market. The main scenario: price may dip slightly toward 1.1640 to accumulate liquidity, then rebound following the prevailing trend toward the 1.1700–1.1703 target zone, and potentially higher toward the channel top. As long as EURUSD stays above 1.1640 and does not close decisively below the Ichimoku cloud, the dominant direction remains bullish, favoring buy-the-dip strategies rather than counter-trend selling.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
5
Microsoft: Overvalued but Still Bullish - Watching the 400–450Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT 1. Quick Trade Plan (for those who want levels first) 🎯 Market Bias: Long term bullish, but in a late phase of the cycle. Strategy: Don’t chase highs; buy the correction. 📌 Buy Zones Primary Buy Zone: 400–450 USD Strong support cluster and the preferred accumulation zone. Aggressive Early Entries: 450–470 on sharp dips, but main focus remains 400–450. ⛔ Invalidation Level 345 USD A break below this level invalidates the mid term bullish structure. 🎯 Take Profit Targets TP1: ~600 TP2: 680–720 Potential completion of the final fifth wave. 🧭 For Current Holders Continue holding while above 345. Use a protective stop below 345 if trading shares. Options traders may hedge instead. 🆕 For New Buyers Avoid entering near ATHs. Wait for the 400–450 pullback. Use 345 as your hard-risk level. 2. Fundamental Overview: Great Business, Clearly Overvalued 💼📊 Microsoft has delivered very stable mid-teens growth for years: Revenue growth: 15–17 percent annually EPS growth: also 15–20 percent annually Last 3 quarters: EPS +9–12 percent, revenue in the same range This is a mature mega-cap, not a hyper-growth name. ⚠️ Buybacks Stopped Company regularly bought back shares for six years Stopped in March 2023 and hasn’t resumed This removes a major EPS-boosting engine 📉 Valuation (Peter Lynch style) EPS growth ≈ 15 percent P/E ≈ 30 Stock trades at ~2x its fundamental fair value Conclusion: Amazing business. Predictable. Cash generative. 🔥 But fundamentally overpriced and in the late stage of its growth curve. 3. Technical Picture: Still Bullish, but Late in the Cycle 📐📈 📅 Long Term Channel Since 2010 Price has stayed inside a massive uptrend channel for 14+ years. As long as MSFT remains inside it, the primary trend stays bullish. 📏 200-Day Moving Average MSFT consistently bounces from the 200d MA on the weekly. That keeps the structural bull trend intact. 🌊 Elliott Wave Context Currently in the 5th sub-wave of a larger 3rd wave Upside still possible Potential final wave targets: 600–700 ⏳ What Comes After Once this major wave completes: Expect a multi-year sideways cycle (5–7 years) as the market distributes the massive positions accumulated since 2009. 4. Current Structure: A Correction Is Likely Before New Highs 🔄 We already saw an A–B–C correction, but structure suggests another A–B–C, forming a zigzag, before the final move higher. 🎯 Why 400–450 Is the Key Zone Major liquidity & support cluster Aligns with channel midline and prior consolidation Perfect area for a 5th wave launch If MSFT hits 400–450 and bounces → 600–700 is back on the table. 5. What To Do Based on Your Situation 🧭 ✔️ If You Already Hold MSFT Stay in the trade while above 345 Expect volatility You can hedge or use a stop below 345 🟦 If You Want to Enter Don’t FOMO near the highs ❌ Wait for a pullback into 400–450 Start with partial size, add on confirmation 345 = hard stop ⚡ If You Trade Short Term Shorts are counter-trend Treat every drop as a tactical move, not a macro reversal Unless 345 breaks 6. Final Thoughts ✨ Microsoft is still in a powerful long term uptrend, but: Fundamentally overvalued Technically late stage of its long cycle Likely to give a clean buyable correction Best accumulation zone: 400–450 Invalidation: 345 Upside targets: 600–700 It’s a “buy the dip, not the rip” market for MSFT. Not financial advice — manage risk according to your plan.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by sdk-trading
Hassett Fed Rumors Hit USD; AUDUSD Set for Bounce!!Hey Traders, In today’s trading session we’re monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. The pair remains in a well-defined uptrend, and the ongoing correction is guiding price back toward a key support-and-trendline confluence, where buyers have repeatedly stepped in. On the fundamental front, USD sentiment is shifting fast. It’s now almost certain that Kevin Hassett will become the next FED Chair. Trump hasn’t made the announcement official, but the internal signals are clear: the decision looks essentially locked in. And the market knows exactly what that means: Hassett is the most dovish option on the table He will push to lower interest rates aggressively next year This is bearish USD, supportive for commodities, and bullish AUDUSD With the dollar turning softer into a dovish-policy outlook, AUDUSD’s pullback into 0.65900 could offer a clean continuation setup. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
14
Golden Point Emerges – GBPUSD Buyers Take Full Control!As the USD continues to weaken steadily on expectations of a Fed rate cut, GBPUSD is stepping right into the “golden zone” of its bullish trend. The current chart is telling a very clear story: buyers are firmly dominating the market . Recent data shows strong pressure on the USD: weak ADP numbers, the USD Index falling 0.5%, and the probability of a Fed rate cut rising to 89%. Meanwhile, the UK Services PMI has been revised upward, giving GBP additional support to continue its upward momentum. This is a rare combination — when a weaker USD + stronger GBP appear together, GBPUSD often gains a powerful and sustained bullish push. On the chart, price is moving cleanly within an ascending channel and has just bounced strongly from the Ichimoku cloud — the perfect confluence zone between the trendline and the 1.3270 support. The recent rally pushed price into the 1.3400 resistance, causing some short-term noise, but the overall bullish structure remains fully intact . Preferred scenario: wait for a mild pullback toward 1.3270, then look for a continuation of the uptrend targeting 1.3400. This will be a key level for buyers to challenge again if USD weakness persists in the short term. In summary: fundamentals favor GBP , technicals pave the way for further upside, and GBPUSD is currently in a natural and steady bullish cycle. For experienced traders, the priority is to buy the pullbacks , not chase the highs.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
PLTR — [2D] WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/04/2025PLTR — WEEK 49 TREND REPORT | 12/04/2025 Ticker: NASDAQ:PLTR Timeframe: 2D This is a reactive structural classification of PLTR based on the weekly chart as of this timestamp. Price conditions are evaluated as they stand — nothing here is predictive or forward-assumptive. ⸻ 1) Current Trend Condition [ Numbers to Watch ] Current Price @ 178$ • Trend Duration @ +546 Days ( Bullish ) • Trend Reversal Level ( Bullish ) @ 177.54 • Trend Reversal Level ( Bearish Confirmation ) @ 166.16 • Pullback Support @ 133.47 ⸻ 2) Structure Health • Retracement Phase: Uptrend (operating above 78.6%) • Position Status: Healthy (price above both structural layers) ⸻ 3) Temperature : Neutral Phase ⸻ 4) Momentum : Bullish ⸻ Author’s Note NEUTRAL STRUCTURAL CONDITION This mark represents a period where directional behavior was unclear. Market movement here reflected compression, chop, or indecision — neither trend direction was dominant. It does not signal continuation or reversal, only that price action was not showing strong alignment in either direction. ⸻ Methodology Overview This classification framework evaluates directional conditions using internal trend-interpretation logic that references price behavior relative to its structural layers. These relationships are used to identify when price movement aligns with the framework’s criteria for directional phases, transition points, or regime shifts. Visual elements or structural labels reflect these internal interpretations, rather than explicit trading signals or preset indicator crossovers. This framework is observational only and does not imply future outcomes.
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by GURULifeline
IRYSUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 0.030873BINANCE:IRYSUSDT.P is currently showing signs of market participants exiting positions accumulated pre-listing. The asset is hovering near a psychological mark — its listing price. For two days, the price has consolidated above this level, with all attempts to rally ending in failure, which, given the broader bearish trend across the crypto market, suggests the downtrend is likely to continue. To confirm this outlook, the formation of a solid pre-breakout base following at least one test of the level is essential. However, given the potential for sharp upward reversals in such scenarios, the specific character of price action right at the critical level remains the deciding factor before any potential breakdown. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Closing near the level Factors that contradict this scenario: Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
BINANCE:IRYSUSDT.PShort
by The_Traders_House
2
FOLKSUSDT.P: short setup from daily support at 10.758BINANCE:FOLKSUSDT.P has a local level based on the low of a paranormal bar. The extremes of such bars serve as valid levels when confirmed. In this case, the level has been clearly confirmed by a recent touch followed by consolidation above it. If the asset shows low volatility on the 4H or 1H timeframes and closes near the lows, a short position can be considered with a target of approximately 4-to-1. Since the setup is local, the expected move will likely be local as well. Key factors for this scenario: Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Repeated precise tests of the level Consolidation with price compression Closing near the level Closing near the bar's extreme Factors that contradict this scenario: Aggressive high-volatility approach Lack of consolidation Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
BINANCE:FOLKSUSDT.PShort
by The_Traders_House
BULL Smart Money Breakout?BULL on the 60-minute chart is coiling inside a Symmetrical Triangle after a bullish impulse and a clear Break of Structure to the upside. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), the structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the key swing lows, with the 120-period MA still acting as trend support beneath the current consolidation. Price is oscillating between resistance around 9.40 and support near 8.95, while the 20 and 60 MAs flatten around the pivot zone at 9.205–9.285, reflecting equilibrium before the next move. From an SMC perspective, the primary path is a bullish continuation. A 1H close above 9.40 would confirm displacement, breaking both the triangle’s upper boundary and horizontal resistance, with 9.80 as the next logical liquidity area. The 9.11–9.21 bearish Fair Value Gap is a key point of interest; a controlled fill of that imbalance, while price respects 9.20 and the 8.95–8.80 demand zone, can offer refined long entries. Alternatively, a clean 1H close below 9.20 and loss of the 8.95–8.80 support shifts the focus to a deeper correction toward 8.80, with any move back above 9.40 invalidating the bearish scenario. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations. Thought of the Day 💡: Smart Money Concepts work best when paired with clear levels and strict invalidations. ------------------------- Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by bbqgio
Quant Is Finishing A Bullish Triangle FormationQuant Network is a blockchain interoperability project that lets different blockchains communicate with each other. Its operating system, Overledger, allows developers and businesses to build apps that can run across multiple blockchains at the same time. The token QNT is used to access and pay for Overledger services. Quant with ticker QNTUSD is still holding up well above the lower triangle line, so bulls are still here. On the weekly basis, we can now see it finishing a bullish triangle pattern in wave B before we may see another rally for wave C. On a daily chart, it may actually have a completed complex W-X-Y decline within final wave (E) of B, but bullish confirmation for wave C is only above the upper triangle line and 136 level.
COINBASE:QNTUSDLong
by ew-forecast
RBA Turns Hawkish, USD Weakens – AUDUSD Surges Without Brakes!If I had to choose one pair that’s “waking up” thanks to the news flow, it would definitely be AUDUSD. The RBA maintains a clearly hawkish tone , Australian inflation remains high, and the economy continues to recover well. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the market is increasingly expecting the Fed to begin cutting rates soon . The result? A weaker USD , while the Australian dollar attracts more capital — the perfect “tailwind environment” for a bullish trend. On the 3H chart, AUDUSD is moving smoothly inside an ascending wedge , forming higher highs and higher lows, with price holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud — a classic structure of a strong bullish market. After a brief shakeout at the lower boundary, buyers stepped in aggressively, engulfing the previous bearish candle and keeping price close to the upper edge of the wedge. My preferred scenario: price may make a small pullback around 0.6570 to gather momentum, then continue pushing toward the target zone at 0.6630 — aligned with the upper boundary of the wedge and the next resistance area ahead. As long as the fundamental backdrop continues to favor AUD and the USD fails to regain strength, the most reasonable strategy is to buy with the trend , taking advantage of shallow pullbacks rather than trying to fight the rising wave of AUDUSD.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
8
TONUSD – Double Bottom Formation TONUSD – Double Bottom Formation (Neutral Technical View) The chart shows a double bottom structure, where price formed two lows (Bottom 1 and Bottom 2) near the same zone. This is generally watched as a potential reversal signal when price moves back toward the neckline. Key observations: Bottom 1 and Bottom 2 highlight buyers defending the same support area. Price is now approaching the neckline zone around 1.65–1.67, which is an important technical barrier. If candles can hold above the short-term EMAs (9 and 21), it strengthens the idea of momentum shifting upward. A close above the neckline would indicate continuation toward higher resistance levels, while rejection could keep the pair in consolidation.
CRYPTO:TONUSDLong
by Harry_Megat