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Technical Analysis

XAUUSD – Downtrend Confirmed, Bears in ControlOn the H4 timeframe, gold has completely broken its short-term uptrend structure and formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Every bounce is rejected at the strong resistance zone of 3,326 – 3,333 USD, confirming the clear downtrend. Although the recently released Core PCE index was lower than expected, this is not enough to drive a recovery as other data, such as the Employment Cost Index and statements from the Fed, still show persistent inflationary pressure. Therefore, the monetary policy remains hawkish, causing money to flow out of gold. Currently, the price is approaching the critical support zone of 3,247. If this level is broken, the scenario of further declines to 3,192 is entirely possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
6
Bearish Retest Setup After BreakdownPrice broke down from the recent bounce and lost the 0.098–0.101 zone, which lined up with the 23.6–38.2 fibs. That area is now likely to act as resistance. Momentum is still bearish. MACD histogram is red and expanding, and no signs of reversal yet. On the daily timeframe, MACD has just started to cross bearish, which adds weight to the downside bias. If price retests that 0.098–0.101 area and shows weakness (like rejection wicks or small-bodied candles), it’s a clean short opportunity. First target would be the recent low around 0.092, and if that breaks, the next key level is 0.077. Any push above 0.102 would invalidate the setup for me.
Short
by xWindx
BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone 🟢 Technical Outlook: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has tapped into a well-defined Demand Zone near 115,000–116,000, showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal. This level aligns with key liquidity zones, smart money concepts, and price inefficiencies — offering high-probability long setups. 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: 🔻 Equal Lows + Sell-Side Liquidity: Market swept equal lows, grabbing liquidity below support — a common institutional setup before a bullish push. ✅ Break of Structure (BOS): A prior BOS indicates a shift from bearish to bullish structure after liquidity collection. 📉 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price created and respected an FVG after the BOS, validating bullish intent. 📊 Imbalance Filled: A prior price inefficiency has now been filled, completing a clean move from imbalance back into structure. 📈 Target Zone: 119,000 USD Marked as the logical next stop — sitting near prior resistance and a liquidity zone. 🎓 Educational Insight: This is a textbook Smart Money Concept scenario: Sell-side liquidity sweep Demand zone tap Imbalance rebalancing Shift in market structure It shows how institutions often engineer liquidity grabs before a large directional move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
BTC analysis, supports 116k, targets 122k, caution below 115.9k__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Bullish momentum confirmed on all timeframes (1D to 1H). Key supports: 115,960 / 117,423 / 117,700. Main resistances: 119,573–119,800–122,318. Volumes overall normal to moderately high, no climax. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong buy signal for all higher TFs, neutral on 30m/15m (momentary exhaustion). ISPD DIV neutral across all frames, no extreme or behavioral signals. MTFTI trend: up / strong up across the board. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Main bias: confirmed bullish, high-range maintained between 116k–122k. Opportunities: buy on validated pullbacks between 116k–117.7k, take partial profits under 119.5k–122k. Risk areas: sharp downside below 115,960 with potential extension to 112k/110k. Macro catalysts: PCE (slightly above consensus), Fed on hold, moderate volatility. No negative crypto catalyst in sight. Action plan: Tactical stop-loss below 115,960, defensive management within range. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D – Support: 115,960 (Pivot Low), Resistance: 119,573–122,318. Strong momentum, resistance clusters. 12H/6H/4H – Bullish structure, moderate volume participation, consolidation under major resistance, pullbacks defended. 2H/1H – Compression between pivots, patience before breakout or support retest. 30m/15m – Tight consolidation, Up momentum but neutral behavioral signals, compression pre-move. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong buy on all TFs except intraday, neutrality on 30m/15m (temporary stall). ISPD DIV : No euphoria/fear, median persistent zone. Volumes slightly above average, healthy structure. Summary: Technical and fundamental confluence, upper range maintained, no reversal signals present. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary and Strategic Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Main bias: confirmed bullish on all frames, but increased caution above 122k. Plan: tactical buy only on validated pullback/price action, defensive profit-taking near resistance. Stop-loss below 115,960. Major invalidation under this threshold (low liquidity area). Monitor reactions to upcoming macro events (PCE/Fed) and any escalation in geopolitics. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro/Fundamentals & On-chain __________________________________________________________________________________ US Macro: PCE YoY above forecast (2.6% vs 2.5%), Fed on hold, USD under pressure. No systemic negative crypto alerts. IMF to classify BTC as “national wealth” from 2026. On-chain: Large liquidity test absorbed, 97% of BTC supply in profit, network consolidation in 117k–122k. Specific risk on break <115k: potential acceleration towards 110k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary: BTC/USDT is in a structural range 116k–122k with a dominant bullish bias, supported by technicals, strong macro and on-chain content. Accumulating at supports and defensive sells near resistance remain optimal until confirmation of a directional breakout. Suggested stop-loss: <115,960. Moderate risk until the next major macro/event catalysts. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
TONUSDT Analysis : Bullish Setup Breakout – Advanced MMC Analyze“Blue Ray Pattern Breakout Confirms Bullish Trend Continuation” The 30-minute chart of TONUSDT highlights a clean and structured bullish setup based on the MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) methodology. The price action exhibits disciplined market behavior, respecting structural levels, breakout dynamics, and volume-based reactions. 🔷 1. Blue Ray Pattern – Trend Continuation Phase This chart begins with the formation of the Blue Ray, a visual representation of trend consolidation and energy buildup. This pattern functions as a trend continuation flag or wedge. Prices compressed within a narrowing range, forming higher lows and lower highs, signaling accumulation under buyer control. Once the pattern matured, we witnessed a decisive bullish breakout, where the price closed above resistance with conviction. This event marked a clear market intention shift and established a new impulsive leg. 🔍 2. Breakout Confirmation and Follow-Through Post-breakout, TONUSDT experienced: High-volume candles with elongated bodies, indicating increased buyer participation. Immediate upside momentum that pushed the asset into a short-term overextended condition – often a healthy sign of strength when followed by a controlled pullback. The breakout wasn’t just a false move – it was sustained, and the price held above the broken structure, proving that supply was absorbed and buyers were dominant. 🔑 3. Demand Zones (Minor and Major) Two key MMC demand zones are highlighted: 🔹 Minor Demand Zone (~3.43–3.45): This is the most immediate support and current price is hovering just above it. It's the first zone of interest for buyers and may serve as a re-entry or scaling point. 🔸 Major Demand Zone (~3.34–3.36): In case of deeper retracement or volatility, this zone is expected to act as a strong bounce region based on past structure and MMC’s reversal logic. Price memory here suggests accumulation or reactive interest. 📐 4. Structure, Momentum, and Higher Timeframe Confluence TONUSDT is in a confirmed uptrend, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The structure supports a bullish flag breakout with minimal overhead resistance. The projected path drawn on the chart illustrates a stair-stepping price pattern with continuation toward 3.60–3.70, if current levels hold. 📊 5. MMC Strategy Bias – Bullish Using the MMC lens: Blue Ray breakout confirms continuation Volume absorption succeeded at the base of the flag No signs of dominant supply entering post-breakout Wave projection supports ongoing momentum Structure favors buying dips, not shorting spikes 💡 Trader’s Takeaway: TONUSDT is providing a textbook bullish opportunity under the MMC framework. As long as price stays above the Minor Demand Zone, continuation upward toward 3.60 and beyond remains in play. If price dips to the Major Zone, watch for strong buyer reactions for fresh entries. Ideal for MMC traders and technical analysts looking to align with structured, logic-based entries and exits. This setup reflects market strength, technical clarity, and volume confirmation – a powerful trio for continuation plays.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias. 🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles 🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation. A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level). This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply. 🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed) Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged. This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect. ⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum) The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed. The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing. 📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply. Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now. Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment. 📦 Key Levels to Watch Zone/Level Type Role 38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin 37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance 36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift 🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00). MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on: Volume cycle completion Downward exhaustion Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50. 📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell If the green zone fails to hold: A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible. However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst. 💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens) We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion. The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone. Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering. 📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice) Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70 Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00 Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90 🧾 Conclusion & Final Note Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle. ✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure. 🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?" 📊 Market Structure Overview: USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds. 🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move. Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support. This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed. 🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside. This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain. 🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure) A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum. This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation. 📍 Key Price Zones: Type Price Level (Approx.) Description 🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout 🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term) 🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails 🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely 🔮 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias) Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone. If bullish momentum continues: 📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area 📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate Bullish Confirmation: Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs. Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range. ⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80): 📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support) 📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone) Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum. Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology: Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level. Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers. However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed. The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move. 🎯 Summary: USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by: A valid retest of demand A clean breakout of major resistance An ascending parabolic curve If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00. 📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Analysis : Major Breakout Setup | Big Move Loading"Bitcoin Coiling Below Key Resistance – Breakout or Trap?" 🔍 Technical Overview: Bitcoin is currently trading within a compressed range, sitting just below a key descending trendline that has capped upside movement for multiple sessions. Price is consolidating between minor highs and lows, hinting at a build-up of momentum for the next breakout move. The setup presents a classic compression inside a bearish wedge, but with increasing bullish pressure evident from higher lows and wick rejections near minor supports. 🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔸 1. Descending Trendline Structure Price has formed a downward sloping resistance line from earlier highs. This trendline has acted as a dynamic ceiling, rejecting multiple bullish attempts. Each time price approaches it, the rejection gets weaker, indicating a possible breakout attempt soon. 🔸 2. Multiple Minor & Major Zones Minor Resistance: Around $118,800–$119,200 A short-term ceiling that has paused bullish rallies. Price needs a clean break and close above this to initiate momentum. Major Resistance: ~$121,000–$121,200 This zone aligns with a previous significant swing high. A break above here could result in strong bullish continuation toward ATH levels. Minor Support: ~$117,000 Price has repeatedly bounced from this level. A breakdown would indicate fading bullish strength and open the downside. Major Support: ~$115,000 A historically strong demand zone. If BTC fails all bullish attempts, this would be the final defense for buyers. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: Price is trapped between aggressive short-term sellers and accumulating buyers. Buyers are placing confidence in this area by defending higher lows. Sellers are still protecting the trendline, but with each retest, the defense weakens. This is a classic equilibrium zone where liquidity is building—once imbalance hits, a strong impulsive breakout (either direction) is likely. Volume and momentum should be watched closely as a breakout with confirmation may trap the opposite side, leading to a strong move (short squeeze or long liquidation). 🔮 Scenario Forecasts: 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario: Price breaks above $119,200 → minor resistance flips to support Retest of the broken trendline confirms a bullish breakout Price targets: First Target: $121,000–$121,200 (major resistance) Second Target: $122,500+ Third Target: $123,800–$124,000 (All-Time High) Confirmation Needed: 4H candle close above descending trendline and $119,200 with rising volume. 📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario: Price gets rejected from the trendline or minor resistance zone Breaks below $117,000 minor support Possible targets: First Target: $116,000 (reaction zone) Second Target: $115,000 (major support) A fall below $115,000 could invalidate the bullish buildup and invite strong bearish continuation. This would signal that bulls failed to reclaim control, and sellers maintain market structure dominance. 📌 Key Levels Summary: Type Price Range Significance 🔺 All-Time High $123,800–124,000 Final upside target 🔸 Major Resistance $121,000–121,200 Key breakout level 🔹 Minor Resistance $118,800–119,200 Immediate trendline + local supply 🔹 Minor Support ~$117,000 Local demand base 🔻 Major Support $115,000 Last line of defense for bulls 🧭 Conclusion & Strategy: Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break zone under a significant descending trendline. Price compression is tightening, and a breakout looks imminent. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation—either a breakout and successful retest for longs or a rejection and trendline defense for shorting opportunities. Whether it’s a breakout toward $121K and ATH, or a drop toward $115K support, this setup offers a high-probability trade opportunity for both bulls and bears depending on the confirmation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Analysis : Channel Break, Demand Zone + SR - Interchange"High-Probability Zone Reaction & SR Flip Confirmation" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a significant support zone after completing a bearish breakout from a well-established ascending channel. The market structure indicates both threat and opportunity depending on how price behaves around key levels ahead. 🔍 Structure Breakdown & Price Behavior: 🔹 1. Rising Channel Violation Over the past few weeks, price was comfortably moving inside a well-respected ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Recently, however, price broke below the lower boundary, which is often a bearish signal—indicating a possible trend reversal or a deeper correction phase. Such breakdowns suggest buyers are losing control, and bearish sentiment is gaining strength. 🔹 2. Supply Zone Reaction & Drop Before the breakout, we observed a sharp rejection from a high point, triggering a sell-off. The price completed its move into a previously defined supply zone, resulting in a strong bearish impulsive leg that pushed it outside the channel. This move shows clear institutional distribution—where large sellers unloaded positions around that zone. 📍 Key Zone Focus: 🟩 Previous Reversal / Demand Zone (Green Box) Price is now sitting in a historically strong demand zone, which acted as a major reversal point in the past. This area is marked as the first zone of interest where buyers might step back in to defend. The green box represents a liquidity pocket where institutions previously accumulated positions—hence it’s a strong bounce candidate. 🟦 SR Interchange Zone (Blue Box) The next major level above current price is the SR Interchange zone, around 3,320–3,340. This level was previously broken and now acts as resistance. It's crucial because it represents the battle zone where the market will decide whether to continue bearish or shift back bullish. 🧠 Market Psychology & Order Flow Insight: The recent aggressive selling pressure from the highs, followed by a bounce from the demand zone, shows a shift from euphoria to fear. Sellers are active at supply, while buyers are attempting to defend the previous demand. The market is currently in decision mode—and the SR flip zone (3,320–3,340) will be the judge. A break and retest above this level signals strength and potential for a trend resumption. A failure to reclaim it would confirm bearish dominance and open doors for deeper targets. 🔄 Possible Scenarios Ahead: 📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Rejection & Breakout: If buyers successfully hold the 3,280–3,260 demand zone and push price above the SR Interchange zone, we can expect: 📍 Target 1: 3,360 (mid-term resistance) 📍 Target 2: 3,400–3,420 (previous high & upper trendline) This would confirm a fakeout from the channel and a bullish continuation pattern. 📉 Scenario 2 – Failure at Resistance & Drop Continuation: If price fails to reclaim the interchange zone, expect a retest of the green demand, followed by a potential drop toward: 📍 3,260 – local support 📍 3,240 – major support (unfilled demand below) 📍 3,220–3,200 – ultimate downside target This would solidify a bearish market structure, confirming the sellers are in control. 🧭 Key Levels To Watch: Level Type Price Range Significance Supply Zone ~3,400–3,420 Major institutional selling area SR Interchange (Blue) ~3,320–3,340 Critical resistance / flip zone Current Price ~3,297 Watching reaction for momentum shift Demand Zone (Green) ~3,280–3,260 Key support / bounce zone Major Demand Pending ~3,240–3,220 Next support level if drop continues ✅ Conclusion: Gold is at a critical inflection point. The recent bearish breakout signals weakness, but the current support zone may provide a short-term bullish setup if buyers defend it effectively. A successful reclaim of the SR flip zone will shift sentiment bullish again. Otherwise, a deeper correction is likely. This setup is ideal for both swing and intraday traders—look for confirmation signals at the current support and SR zone before executing trades.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Will Upcoming Data Determine the Next Gold's Direction?Macro approach: - Gold retreated this week, reversing early gains to trade near four-week lows amid renewed US dollar strength and caution ahead of the Fed's policy decision. - The retreat was mainly pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data and a tentative revival in risk appetite, offsetting pockets of safe-haven demand. - Key drivers included robust US GDP growth for 2Q, a bounce in consumer confidence, and the Fed's steady rates with a more hawkish tone, suggesting cuts may be further out. - Meanwhile, recent US-EU and US-China trade deals eased some global uncertainty, damping gold's appeal as a hedge.  - Market participants also eyed the labor market's continued cooling, but resilient consumer spending further buoyed the dollar. - Gold may remain volatile, with potential upside if upcoming US PCE inflation and NFP reports disappoint expectations. Any escalation in trade tensions or signals of Fed policy easing could renew support for gold prices. Technical approach: - XAUUSD fluctuated within the range of 3285-3560, which is below the broken ascending trendline. The price between the two EMAs awaits an apparent breakout to determine the next trend. - If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3273, confluence with EMA78, the price may plunge to retest the following support at 3167. - On the contrary, remaining above the support at 3273 may lead XAUUSD to retest the resistance at around 3560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by DatTong
2
GBPUSD – Daily Timeframe Analysis: Head & Shoulders PatternThe GBPUSD daily chart is currently presenting a textbook Head & Shoulders reversal pattern, a powerful bearish signal that often marks the end of an uptrend and the beginning of a new downward cycle. This setup demands attention from swing and positional traders alike, especially considering the size and clarity of the structure. 🔍 Pattern Breakdown Left Shoulder: Formed in late May, establishing a significant high before a corrective move. Head: A higher peak was made in early June, which now stands as the pattern's highest point. Right Shoulder: A lower high formed in mid-July, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Neckline: The crucial horizontal support zone around 1.3330–1.3340 was tested multiple times and has now been decisively broken, triggering a confirmed bearish setup. 📊 Technical Significance This Head & Shoulders pattern becomes especially meaningful due to: Multiple rejections at the neckline, confirming its strength as support-turned-resistance. Bearish volume expansion on the breakdown, adding weight to the selling pressure. Formation on a daily timeframe, suggesting a long-term trend reversal rather than a short-term pullback. 📌 Trading Strategy for Traders ✅ Sell Setup (Short Position) Entry: Around the neckline zone on retest (1.3320–1.3340) Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder (~1.3550) Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 1.3100 (psychological and horizontal support) 🎯 Target 2: 1.2900 (measured move from head to neckline) 🎯 Target 3: 1.2650–1.2600 (extended downside zone based on structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Don’t chase the breakdown — wait for a pullback/retest of the neckline to get a better risk/reward entry. Ensure position sizing is appropriate based on the stop loss distance. If price reclaims the neckline with strong bullish momentum and closes above 1.3350, exit short and reevaluate. 🧠 What Traders Should Keep in Mind Macro Fundamentals: Watch upcoming economic events like BoE rate decisions, US NFP, and inflation data, which can cause volatility and impact the technical scenario. Dollar Index (DXY) trend should also be monitored closely. If DXY rallies, GBPUSD breakdown can accelerate. Trendline Confirmation: Align this with any break of rising trendlines drawn from previous lows. 📌 Final Thought This pattern marks a crucial turning point in GBPUSD. The momentum has clearly shifted from buyers to sellers, and the breakdown opens up significant downside room. As a swing or position trader, this is a high-probability setup with a clear invalidation point (above the right shoulder) and a favorable risk-reward ratio. 📉 Patience and precision are key here. Let price come to you at the neckline, confirm rejection, and then take the trade with confidence. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Short
by TradZoo
8
GME 1W: when the memes fade, the structure speaksGameStop is once again testing the lower boundary of its long-term consolidation, bouncing off the 21.53 zone - a level that aligns with the 0.79 Fib retracement and historical support. This zone also intersects with a key trendline on the weekly chart, and just recently, a golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200 weekly) printed - a rare but technically significant signal. The stock continues to trade inside a broad descending channel, and if this support holds, the natural next step is a move back toward the mid-range at 37.42 (0.5 Fib), followed by a possible push toward 64.92. The tactical setup favors a confirmation entry near current levels, with a stop under 21.00. Risk/reward here is among the cleanest GME has offered in months. On the fundamental side, GameStop remains in a transitional phase. The company is shutting down unprofitable segments, reducing costs, and doubling down on e-commerce and digital distribution. Financial results are still slow to recover, but the latest Q2 2025 report showed positive operating cash flow and narrowing losses. This isn't a value play in the traditional sense - it's more about the potential for renewed retail-driven momentum if technical conditions align. If there’s still power behind the crowd - this might be one of the most technically compelling entry zones of 2025.
NYSE:GMELong
by TotoshkaTrades
11
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 31, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 31, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏦 Fed Holds Rates — Dissent Indicates Division The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50%. Notably, two governors—Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman—dissented in favor of a 25 bp rate cut, underscoring internal divisions amid growing political pressure 📈 Strong Q2 Growth, But No Rate-Cut Signal U.S. GDP expanded at a 3.0% annualized rate in Q2, rebounding sharply from Q1's contraction. Despite this, Powell emphasized persistent inflation, particularly from tariffs, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious policy stance 🛢️ Oil Climbs as Tariff Tensions Rise Brent crude rose to ~$73.51 and WTI to ~$70.37 on fears of supply disruptions tied to President Trump’s threats of new tariffs on Russian oil and new tariffs imposed on Brazil and South Korea 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Thursday, July 31: 8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims (week ending July 26) Initial claims rose to 222,000, up from 217,000 previously—an early gauge of labor-market trends 8:30 AM ET – Employment Cost Index (Q2) Quarterly growth in labor costs edged lower to 0.8%, down from 0.9%—a signal of moderate wage pressures 8:30 AM ET – Personal Income (June) Data released on household income and spending patterns—crucial for assessing consumer resilience heading into Q3 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #inflation #jobs #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
#PENGUUSDT confirms a bearish impulse📉 SHORT BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P from $0.034625 ⚡ Stop loss $0.035646 🕒 Timeframe: 4H ⚡ Overview: ➡️ A Double Top pattern BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P has formed, signaling a bearish reversal. ➡️ The price broke the $0.0355 support and is consolidating below, confirming seller strength. ➡️ Increasing sell volume confirms bearish control. ➡️ Main focus on targets in the $0.034–0.033 zone. ➡️ The POC at $0.03113 remains the ultimate bearish objective. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.033947 💎 TP 2: $0.033369 💎 TP 3: $0.032948 BYBIT:PENGUUSDT.P Trade Recommendations: 📢 Hold short towards the TP zones. 📢 Watch for reaction around $0.0339 — partial profit-taking possible. 📢 Invalidation if price reclaims above $0.0356. ⚠️ As long as bearish pressure holds, the price is likely to continue towards TP2–TP3. ⚠️ A recovery above $0.0356 would invalidate this setup. 🚀 The signal confirms a bearish impulse — expecting further downside!
Short
by MoriartyTrading
EURUSD – German GDP boosts EUR, but USD still holds the reins Germany’s recently released GDP data exceeded expectations, acting as a catalyst for EURUSD to rebound after a steep decline. However, this upward move remains fragile, as the USD continues to dominate the market—especially with several key U.S. economic reports set to be released later this week. On the chart, EURUSD has just bounced from the 1.15000 support zone, which has historically served as a strong floor. If the price holds above this level and breaks the downtrend line, the short-term target could move toward the 1.15700 resistance zone. Still, the path ahead won’t be easy. The market is closely watching upcoming U.S. data, such as the jobs report and the Core PCE index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. If these figures come in strong, the USD could regain strength and put pressure back on EURUSD.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues as USD StrengthensGold remains under significant pressure as the U.S. dollar continues to gain strength following a series of positive economic data from the U.S. Specifically, GDP grew by 2.5%, beating expectations, while ADP Non-Farm Employment data also came in strong. This suggests the U.S. economy remains resilient, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance and keeping the dollar strong. On the 4H chart, XAUUSD has broken below the previous ascending price channel and is now trading under the 3,340.400 resistance zone – an area packed with unfilled FVGs. The current price structure leans bearish, with any rebounds likely to be temporary pullbacks. If USD strength continues, gold could drop further toward the support zone at 3,279.200 or even lower near 3,240. Trading Strategy: Focus on SELL Entry: Around 3,325 – 3,340.400 upon price rejection signals. Target: 3,279.200 or lower. Stop-loss: Above 3,342.459
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
16
GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm?GOLD – A Bottom in Place or Just the Calm Before the Storm? Gold has recently shed nearly $50, indicating sustained bearish pressure. But here’s the real question: 👉 Is this simply a liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal? 👉 Or are we witnessing the early stages of a broader bearish continuation? Let’s break it all down – step by step – to map out smart, reaction-based trading opportunities. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Overview The US–EU trade and defence agreement has dampened gold’s role as a safe haven in the short term. The US Dollar and equity markets remain strong, driven by solid macroeconomic data. Overall market sentiment leans “risk-on”, pushing capital into riskier assets and away from precious metals. 📆 Upcoming Key Events: Tuesday: ADP Employment Data Friday: FOMC Statement & Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) These events could drastically shift market expectations around Fed policy, impacting gold’s direction. 📊 Technical Picture (Timeframes H1–H4) Gold has rebounded from recent lows and is currently moving within a parallel bullish channel. However, price is now nearing a critical resistance level at 3342 – a potential turning point. 🔎 Key Technical Zones: 🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342 🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + Fair Value Gap + Fib 0.5–0.618) 🔻 High-Liquidity Support Zone: 3293–3290 🔻 Key Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273 🔺 High-Level Resistance: 3416 🧭 Trading Plan – Based on Price Action (Not Prediction) We don’t guess the market. We wait, watch, and react based on price confirmation. ✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup) Entry: 3293 – 3291 Stop Loss: 3286 Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Ideal for intraday scalps within high-liquidity zones. ✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deep Demand (Swing Setup) Entry: 3275 – 3273 Stop Loss: 3269 Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Great opportunity if price absorbs selling pressure at the FVG zone and reverses. ❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Key Resistance (3342) Entry: 3340 – 3342 Stop Loss: 3346 Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310 🔴 Use if price fails to break and hold above 3342. ❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone (Swing) Entry: 3369 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3376 Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320 🔴 Higher-risk setup; enter only on strong rejection or bearish candlestick confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Guidelines Avoid entries during the London and NY open – fakeouts and stop hunts are common. Always wait for clear price reaction within zones – avoid impulsive entries. Respect your stop-loss levels, especially with this week’s major data releases. 🎯 Final Thoughts for UK & Global Traders Let the market come to you – never chase price. Stay disciplined, especially in volatile weeks like this one. The best trades are reactionary, not predictive. 💬 Found this plan useful? Feel free to comment your views or follow for more structured gold analyses throughout the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
NIKE Confirms A Bullish Reversal With An Impulsive RecoveryWe talked about Nike on July 10 with our members, where we mentioned and highlighted a completed higher degree ABC correction in wave IV on the monthly and weekly charts. Today we want to represent a closer view, as we see a five-wave impulsive recovery away from the lows on a daily chart. It actually confirms the bottom and bullish reversal, but since it can be trading in 5th wave that can stop around 80-85 area, we should be aware of a three-wave corrective setback soon. It can slow down the price back to the open GAP, so ideal buy zone is in the 70-60 area. Invalidation level is at 52. Highlights: Direction: Up, but watch out for a correction Structure: Impulse, Wave 5 in final stages Support: 70 / 60
NYSE:NKELong
by ew-forecast
EURGBP Analysis : Bearish Leg Nearing Completion + Target Zone📍 Overview: The EURGBP pair has recently provided significant price action signals that suggest a high-probability reversal setup is unfolding. This analysis dives deep into market structure, supply and demand dynamics, and institutional price behavior using MMC principles. The current focus lies in identifying a potential trend reversal opportunity after a sharp decline from a key supply level, as price nears a well-marked Reversal Zone. This detailed breakdown covers each phase to provide clarity and trade planning. 🧩 Phase 1: Consolidation Phase (Accumulation) From July 11th to July 24th, EURGBP moved sideways within a clearly defined range-bound structure (highlighted in green). This consolidation indicates a battle of control between bulls and bears, typically signaling accumulation or distribution depending on breakout direction. The tight price action and wicks on both sides suggest market makers accumulating positions before a breakout. Price eventually broke out to the upside, confirming bullish accumulation rather than distribution. 🚀 Phase 2: Impulse Move & 2x Supply Rejection Following the breakout from the consolidation, price experienced a strong impulsive rally, catching breakout traders and pushing into a major supply zone. The area where price reversed is marked as a 2x supply rejection zone, suggesting heavy institutional sell orders were triggered. This zone aligns with a historical resistance level and is critical in the current structure. Price failed to sustain the bullish momentum, forming a sharp drop right after tapping into supply, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔄 Phase 3: Market Structure Shift via QFL (Quick Flip Levels) As the price dropped from the supply zone, two significant QFL levels were printed in quick succession. QFL (Quick Flip Levels) represent a break in internal structure, showing that buyers were no longer defending the previous support zones. These quick flips signal an aggressive shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. Each QFL breakdown was followed by a new lower low, confirming the start of a bearish sequence or trend leg. 📉 Phase 4: Descending Trendline & Dynamic Resistance After the QFL shifts, a clear downtrend channel formed, respected by multiple lower highs. The descending trendline drawn from the supply zone peak has acted as dynamic resistance, rejecting every bullish pullback attempt. This trendline provides technical confluence for intraday traders to manage risk and timing entries. 🟠 Current Market Context: Entering the Reversal Zone Price is now approaching a marked Reversal Zone (highlighted in orange). This zone represents a high-probability demand area, previously respected as a base before the rally to supply. If price reaches this area and shows signs of exhaustion (e.g., bullish engulfing, long wick rejection, volume divergence), it may serve as a reversal point. This zone aligns with MMC logic — market makers tend to react at zones of trapped liquidity, especially after stop hunts. 📈 Projected Scenario & Trade Setup: Price drops into the Reversal Zone A bullish rejection pattern appears (e.g., pin bar, engulfing candle) Price retests and breaks the descending trendline to confirm a momentum shift Entry can be taken post-breakout or with aggressive confirmation inside the zone Stops placed below the zone; targets aligned with the previous QFL or trendline retest ⚠️ Key Notes for Traders: Don't chase the move. Wait for reversal confirmation before entering. QFLs offer strong structure-based levels to identify where the market flipped. Use trendline confluence and volume confirmation for precise entries. Monitor price action in the Reversal Zone — if invalidated, the downtrend may extend toward the next macro support. Apply proper risk management and stay patient for the setup to fully develop. 📊 Summary: 🧭 Bias: Short-term bearish → possible reversal bullish 🎯 Entry Area: Reversal Zone (0.85800 – 0.86000 approx.) ⛔ Invalidation: Clean break and close below 0.85700 🏁 Potential Target: First TP near 0.86750; extended TP near 0.87050 (previous QFL level) 🔄 MMC Approach Recap: This analysis follows the Market Maker Cycle (MMC) method, which involves: Consolidation (Accumulation) Manipulation (False Breakouts or Stop Hunts) Distribution (Rapid Expansion & Flip Levels) Re-Accumulation or Reversal Each step is clearly defined in this chart, offering a blueprint for both trend traders and reversal specialists. 💬 Let's Talk: What do you think about this setup? Are you seeing similar MMC patterns on other EUR or GBP crosses? Drop your thoughts, charts, and questions below!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades