Indian Oil: Tight Range Breakout | Short-Term Swing TradeBUY Setup 🛢️
Entry: ₹166.25-166.50 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹170.05-170.50
Target 2: ₹173.59-174.00
Target 3: ₹176-178 (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹163.85
Technical Rationale:
Consolidating near resistance at 166.99 level on 1-hour chart
Strong uptrend from 161 to 167 in recent sessions
Trading in tight range (166-167) - coiling for breakout
Volume at 4.95M showing decent participation
RSI around 65-70 zone indicating strength
Price holding above key support at 163.85
PSU oil marketing company with government backing
Crude oil prices stabilizing supporting sector
Multiple resistance levels: 167, 170, 173.59
Clear support structure at 163.85 and 162
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Ascending channel + consolidation near resistance on 1H chart - breakout setup
Strategy: Intraday to short-term swing - Book 40% at T1 (170), 30% at T2 (173.50), trail remaining with SL at 167 after T1
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 166.99-167.00 (breakout zone)
Strong Resistance: 170.05, 173.59
Critical Support: 163.85, 162.00
Timeframe: 1-hour chart for short-term traders
Sector: Oil & Gas PSU - relatively stable with dividend yield
Note: Stock at resistance - wait for break above 167 with volume for confirmation, or enter at current support with tight SL
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
Technical Analysis
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Sweep & Smart Reentry ZoneAfter a strong impulsive rally, gold reached the premium zone (1.5–1.618 extension) and created a set of Equal Highs (BSL) — a clear liquidity pool above 4148.
I’m anticipating a short-term retracement before continuation, as smart money often rebalances after grabbing liquidity.
🔹 Technical Breakdown (SMC Flow)
Sell Zone (Supply / OB): 4224 – 4228 (SL 4235)
→ Price reached the extreme of a premium H1 OB, aligning with FIB 1.5–1.618.
→ This area remains a valid sell-to-buy reaction zone if M15 shows a CHoCH.
Buy Zone (Demand / OB): 4086 – 4082 (SL 4070)
→ Confluence with 0.5–0.618 retracement and previous structure base.
→ Expecting sell-side liquidity sweep into this zone before a bullish continuation.
Target Zone: 4158 – 4160
→ The next Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above Equal Highs.
→ Ideal take-profit area for intraday longs from discount levels.
📈 My View
The bias remains bullish on H1, as long as 4070 holds.
I’ll patiently wait for a liquidity sweep into BUY zone followed by a clear M15 CHoCH confirmation — that’s where I’ll look for entries toward 4158–4160.
💭 Note from Karina
This structure perfectly reflects how liquidity drives movement — not emotion, not indicators.
Patience and precision are the true edge of a trader.
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
Like & Follow for daily London session updates 💛
BHARATFORG Breaking Out | Targets 1,400+BUY Setup 🔨
Entry: ₹1,300-1,305 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹1,330-1,340
Target 2: ₹1,365-1,375
Target 3: ₹1,400+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹1,275
Technical Rationale:
Strong bullish momentum with +4.56% gain today
Breaking above major descending trendline resistance (visible from June highs)
Consolidation breakout from 1,265-1,285 range
Good volume (3.45M) supporting the breakout
RSI around 65, showing strength with room for further upside
Price attempting to cross key resistance at 1,300 psychological level
Falling wedge pattern breakout - typically bullish
Auto sector strength supporting the move
Support established at 1,280 zone
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 ratio
Pattern: Descending wedge breakout - classic bullish reversal pattern
Strategy: Positional trade - Book 40% at T1 (1,335), 30% at T2 (1,370), trail remaining with SL at 1,310 after T1
Key Levels:
Strong Resistance: 1,310, 1,340, 1,365
Support: 1,280, 1,265
$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
💬 Fed marathon day: Six Fed officials speak across the day, led by Williams, Waller, and Bostic — giving markets multiple reads on the Fed’s reaction to soft labor data and upcoming inflation prints.
📉 Policy sensitivity rising: With no major macro releases this week, investors are hypersensitive to tone shifts in Fed commentary — especially regarding rate-cut timing and balance sheet guidance.
🧩 Positioning churn: After a light Tuesday session, liquidity normalizes as equities digest global risk appetite and pre-CPI setups.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
⏰ 9:20 AM — John Williams (NY Fed)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Anna Paulson (Philadelphia Fed)
⏰ 10:20 AM — Chris Waller (Fed Governor)
⏰ 12:15 PM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed)
⏰ 12:30 PM — Stephen Miran (Fed Governor)
⏰ 4:00 PM — Susan Collins (Boston Fed)
⚠️ Note:
No economic data releases today — markets will key off Fed tone and Treasury yield movement ahead of Thursday’s CPI and jobless claims (both still at risk of delay).
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #Fed #Williams #Waller #Bostic #Miran #Collins #macro #inflation #yields #markets
RIVN 1D — It’s Time to Buy: Setup UpdateThe setup on Rivian (RIVN) just got upgraded from “interesting” to “strategically significant.” We’re looking at a textbook symmetrical triangle that’s been developing since July 2023, with a clean breakout and retest on the weekly trendline.
The breakout was followed by a bullish retest, right at the intersection of the triangle base and the key trendline. Volume kicked in, price held — and that’s what smart money calls confirmation.
Now, the Golden Cross is live: the 50-day MA just crossed the 200-day MA from below. Price is confidently holding above both — momentum is shifting hard. Fibs from the bottom (10.22) to the last local top (17.05) project the first target at $17, and the extended Fibonacci confluence gives us $25.64 as a long-range goal (2.618 extension).
The weekly trendline — which acted as resistance for over a year — has flipped to support. Price action respects it, bulls are loading, and structure is clean.
This is not just a bounce. It’s a technical rotation from accumulation to expansion.
The time to talk about potential is over — price action has spoken.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap up near the 58,150–58,200 zone, showing early bullish momentum after a steady recovery in the previous sessions. The index is approaching a key resistance area around 58,050–58,100, where a breakout could trigger further upside.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,050–58,100, traders can look for buying opportunities targeting 58,250, 58,350, and 58,450+. A breakout above 58,550 will open the path toward 58,850–59,000, marking a continuation of the uptrend.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 57,950, and below that, 57,750–57,550 acts as a strong intraday demand zone. Weakness below 57,900 could lead to mild profit booking.
Overall, with a positive gap up opening, sentiment remains bullish, but traders should watch for sustained strength above 58,100 to confirm momentum continuation. Partial profit booking at each target and strict stop-loss management are advised as volatility may rise around higher resistance zones.
Gold Consolidating Above 4,110$: The Next Wave Is Loading📊 Technical Overview (H1)
Gold is holding firm around the 4,110$ zone, where a clear liquidity pocket has formed after a short-term correction from last week’s rally. The market continues to build a higher-low structure, showing that bulls are quietly absorbing supply before the next impulsive leg.
Price is currently balancing between support at 4,085$ – 4,113$ and resistance at 4,146$ – 4,172$.
A clean break above 4,146$ could trigger the next bullish leg targeting 4,203$, while a temporary dip toward 4,085$ would still remain within the bullish structure.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch:
• Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 4,113$, expect a breakout toward 4,172$ → 4,203$.
• Pullback Scenario: A retest to 4,085$ could act as a liquidity sweep before continuation.
🧠 MMFLOW Insight
“Smart Money doesn’t chase momentum — it builds it. The current range is the calm before the next move.”
⚜️ Bias: Bullish as long as price stays above 4,085$
BTCUSDT – Holding Steady, Signs of Recovery AheadBitcoin remains stable around $106,000, despite profit-taking pressure from ETF funds. Market optimism surrounding the potential reopening of the U.S. government and a cooling U.S. Dollar Index are providing solid support for overall sentiment.
On the 4H timeframe, price continues to fluctuate within a steady descending channel, with $107,200 acting as a strong resistance zone, while $101,300 serves as a key support level.
Each touch at the channel’s lower boundary has triggered a clear buying reaction, signaling that bulls are quietly defending the lower price range.
The current structure suggests that Bitcoin may experience a mild pullback before rebounding, continuing to move within the channel but with a slightly bullish bias.
As long as the $101,300 level holds firm, the mild upward trend remains intact — representing a typical accumulation phase before a potential breakout from the descending channel in the upcoming sessions.
SPX – Recovery Momentum Gradually ReturningThe U.S. stock market is regaining its upward rhythm after a period of correction, as investor sentiment improves notably on hopes that the U.S. government shutdown will soon end .
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index has stalled and bond yields have slightly declined , creating favorable conditions for capital to return to large-cap equities.
On the 4H chart, SPX maintains a steady ascending channel structure , and the sharp rebound from the 6,800 zone signals that buyers are regaining control.
The current setup suggests the index could continue rising toward the 7,000 level, before a minor technical pullback — a healthy move to build momentum for the next leg higher toward the upper boundary of the channel.
With market sentiment turning increasingly positive , supported by bullish forecasts from major institutions like UBS (targeting S&P 500 at 7,500 by 2026), the short-term bullish bias for SPX remains intact.
As long as 6,800 holds firm, the uptrend structure stays valid, reflecting growing confidence that the U.S. market recovery cycle is far from over.
$RSP:TIME TO TAKE THE STAGEMoving forward, it will be essential to monitor the strength of the Equal Weight SP:SPX ETF. For the market to maintain its upward trend, broad participation is necessary. While bears may perceive a Double Top pattern, I see that the MACD is close to triggering a buy signal, and the 14-day RSI has recovered above the 50 line.
$SPX: DIP BUYNG IS THE RULE FOR NOW The strategy of buying on dips has proven effective once again, underscoring the current strength of the market. The 10- and 20-day moving averages are no longer relevant as support or resistance levels; instead, their slopes indicate the short-term trend. We will focus on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which remains in a positive slope. The key moving average for maintaining the upward trend is the 50-day SMA. The S&P 500 has easily recovered above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and is just 73 points away from its all-time high; it appears quite feasible to set a new record.
However, there is a slight concern regarding the technology sector, which seems to be carrying more weight in the market. If the end of the shutdown is indeed approaching, the uncertainty will likely conclude with the release of economic data. Therefore, given this display of market strength, a wait-and-see approach may develop, which could lead to sideways trading—a situation that could be quite frustrating.
How to Apply Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) | Crypto TAHow to Apply Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) | Crypto Technical Analysis
In this video, we break down how to draw and use Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) to understand market structure and price rotation in crypto.
You’ll learn how institutional traders use quarter levels to identify key turning points and why this method can help you see precision entries long before retail traders react.
Whether you’re trading spot or futures, this breakdown gives you a practical framework to read crypto price movement like a professional.
What You’ll Learn:
How to draw Quarter’s Theory levels on a crypto chart
Why market makers respect these levels across all timeframes
How to use quarter zones for entries, exits, and managing bias
Real example using ADA/USD
If you’re ready to stop guessing and start reading the market’s geometry, this is where to begin.
Tags: quarters theory, cardano analysis, crypto trading strategy, institutional trading concepts, market structure crypto
XAU/USD | Watch Gold at $4100 – Pullback or Continuation Ahead?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price dropped from $3997 to $3984, then quickly found strong demand and started a powerful rally, breaking the $4040 resistance.
At the moment, Gold has reached the $4100 zone. A short-term pullback from this level is likely, but after a brief correction, I expect the uptrend to continue. The next bullish targets are $4140, $4156, and $4162.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
ZECUSDT - Testing Support For Potential Relief BouncePrice is reacting to a strong demand zone after forming an M-top pattern on the higher timeframe. Watching for a short-term relief move toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels (around 470–490) before deciding whether this becomes a full reversal or just a retest.
If the 450 level holds, continuation to 520–540 is possible. If 450 breaks cleanly, I’ll look for a deeper long setup near 399–371.
Stop loss for the short-term long is below 450.
GBP/USD | Pound Eyes 1.32 After Breaking Key Level!By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after climbing to 1.31900, the pair has entered a new bullish scenario and is now trading around 1.31700.
I expect to see a minor pullback first, after which we’ll need to see if the price can hold above 1.31500 — if it does, we can anticipate further upside movement.
The first target for this potential rise is 1.31980.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY Consolidates Near 78.6% Fibonacci ResistanceUSDJPY has entered a consolidation phase just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level around 154.78, following a strong recovery from mid-year lows. The pair remains above both the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) simple moving averages, indicating that the broader structure continues to favor the upside despite recent pauses in momentum.
A series of higher lows since April forms a clear ascending trendline, underscoring the sustained bullish bias. The MACD lines are flattening near the zero level, signaling waning momentum but no confirmed bearish shift. Meanwhile, the RSI holds around 61, reflecting moderate bullish strength without reaching overbought territory.
For now, USDJPY trades within a tight range between 151.60 (0.618 Fib support) and 154.80 (resistance). A decisive break beyond this upper boundary would reaffirm bullish continuation, while a move below 151.60 could open the door for a deeper pullback toward the 50% retracement near 149.35.
-MW
Gold Rebounds Above 50-Day SMA After PullbackGold has regained upward momentum following a short-term correction, with price now trading back above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near $3,900. This area acted as dynamic support after the strong breakout from the earlier ascending triangle pattern, which had contained price action between roughly $3,250 and $3,450 for several months.
The MACD histogram is beginning to flatten after a recent bearish crossover, suggesting downside momentum may be fading. Meanwhile, the RSI has recovered from near-neutral levels to around 59, showing improving strength without yet entering overbought territory — a sign that the rebound still has room to develop.
From a structural standpoint, the long-term trend remains constructive, supported by the 200-day SMA trending steadily higher near $3,390. As long as gold maintains support above the 50-day SMA, the bias stays broadly bullish within an established uptrend.
-MW
Backtesting on TradingViewBased on the massive feedback from our previous article about backtesting we decided to make a follow up on how to backtest your strategy.
Every trader talks about strategy.
Few actually test it.
Backtesting is where ideas meet data — and TradingView makes it surprisingly simple.
Whether you code your own system or use built-in tools, backtesting shows you how your logic performs before you risk a single dollar.
1. Open the Strategy Tester
Start by opening the chart of the asset you want to test.
Click “Strategy Tester” at the bottom of the screen.
This activates TradingView’s built-in engine that simulates your system’s historical trades automatically.
You’ll see three tabs appear:
Overview: a summary of your results.
Performance Summary: key stats like profit, drawdown, and win rate.
List of Trades: every single historical trade your strategy executed.
2. Load or Create a Strategy
Go to the Indicators & Strategies tab.
TradingView separates indicators from strategies — only strategies can trigger trades for backtesting!
You have two options:
Use a built-in or public strategy: like “MACD Strategy” or “Moving Average Crossover.”
Paste your own Pine Script strategy: under “Pine Editor,” then click “Add to Chart.”
Once applied, TradingView automatically calculates historical trades based on your logic.
Tip: Indicators are for signals, strategies are for testing execution.
3. Adjust the Test Parameters
To make your test realistic, click the ⚙️ icon next to your strategy name.
In the Properties tab, you can define:
Initial capital (e.g. $10,000)
Position size (fixed or percent-based)
Commission and slippage
Pyramiding (how many positions can stack)
Then set your date range in the Strategy Tester — for example, test from 01-01-2022 to 01-01-2024.
The goal is to simulate what your system would have done under real conditions.
4. Analyze the Results
Once the test runs, TradingView gives you a detailed breakdown:
Net Profit (%) — your total gain or loss.
Max Drawdown — your biggest loss from peak to trough.
Win Rate & Profit Factor — how often you win and how much you win versus lose.
Average Trade — the mean result per trade.
Equity Curve — how your balance evolved over time.
Scroll through the List of Trades to see how each entry and exit behaved.
If you spot clusters of losses, note the pattern — that’s where improvements start.
This is the part where you analyze and think why did a trade fail and how can I avoid it.
TradingView also enables you to export data in excel so its super easy to analyze and look for improvement.
5. Refine and Forward-Test
Once you’ve seen how your system performs historically, make small adjustments.
Change one parameter at a time — like EMA length, RSI threshold, or stop-loss distance — and rerun the test.
When you find consistent results across timeframes or markets, move to paper trading mode.
Forward-testing confirms your backtest logic under real conditions, including live volatility and execution timing.
If your live and backtested results align closely, you’ve built something solid and you are ready to make money.
A big tip here, even a small thing such as a change in stop loss or timeframe change from 15 minutes to 14 minutes can make a huge difference so try out different conditions.
XAUUSD Breakout Rally Underway — Parallel Channel RetestGold (XAUUSD) is showcasing a classic parallel channel breakout retest pattern that could propel prices higher toward the 4225+ zone in the coming sessions.
Over the past several days, price action has been neatly contained within a parallel channel, bounded by an upward-sloping support line and a steady resistance band. Each swing high and low respected this range, forming a strong structural base for a potential breakout setup.
Recently, the price managed to break above the resistance zone, confirming bullish momentum. This breakout came after a strong impulse move from the channel's support, pushing above the resistance with increasing volume and strength.
Now, the price is revisiting the previous resistance — which is expected to act as a new support. This type of breakout retest is a healthy sign of a sustainable uptrend. If buyers defend this zone, it opens the door for the next bullish leg.
Key Observations:
Support Zone: Around 4100 (former resistance now acting as support)
Resistance Turned Support: Confirming strength in the breakout
Pattern Height Projection: The earlier swing height projected from the breakout point gives a bullish target above 4225
Confirmation Needed: A bounce from the retest zone with a strong candle will confirm the next leg up
Possible Trading Strategy:
Entry: On confirmation candle after retest (e.g., bullish engulfing on 1H or 4H)
Targets:
Target 1: 4165
Final Target: 4225+
Stop Loss: Below 4085 (just under the retest zone)
In summary, the structure favors bulls as long as price holds above the 4100 support. The clean breakout and retest setup, backed by prior channel compression, indicates that XAUUSD is preparing for a fresh upside wave. Keep an eye on the confirmation candle — this move could offer a low-risk, high-reward setup in gold.
TradeCityPro | FETUSDT Analysis AI Coins Ready to Take Off?🚀 FETUSDT Analysis — Are AI Coins Ready to Take Off? 🤖
Let’s move on to the analysis of FET (Fetch.ai) — one of the leading projects in the AI and data category, which could soon attract significant capital inflow. It’s worth keeping an eye on this one, as momentum might be building up in the AI sector.
🌐 Overview of Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, let me remind you once again that we’ve moved the Bitcoin analysis section to a dedicated daily report at your request — allowing us to discuss Bitcoin’s trend, dominance, and overall market sentiment in greater detail each day:
📊 Technical Structure (4H Timeframe)
After losing the key 0.5213 support, FET experienced a sharp drop toward the daily support at 0.2037, where it finally found strong buying pressure.
From that level, the coin made an impressive rebound up to 0.3830, followed by a rejection and a pullback to 0.2936, where buyers once again stepped in to defend the zone.
💎 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
If price breaks above 0.3830, it would confirm renewed bullish momentum — signaling a potential long entry opportunity, with the main target at 0.5213. This move would indicate that AI-related coins are gaining strength again.
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
While there are better short setups available on coins like SUI and APE, if FET fails to print a higher high and instead breaks below 0.2936, a short-term correctional short trade could still be considered — though with lower conviction compared to other charts.
📈 Summary:
FET is currently showing signs of accumulation after a deep correction, and the AI narrative could fuel the next breakout. Keep an eye on 0.3830 as your early trigger zone — a breakout there might just mark the start of the next leg up for AI tokens.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
SNDK Bullish Continuation: Breakout Toward 285–305On the 1D chart, SNDK has shifted from months of range-bound trade into a powerful uptrend, with price riding well above the 20/60/120-day MAs in a classic bullish stack. Momentum is hot and volatility has expanded, but the market now faces near-term resistance at $270.91 (the latest swing high). The nearest structural demand sits around $185.00—the October “ledge” that launched the current leg.
Primary path: a decisive daily close above $271 confirms a breakout and resumes price discovery. If buyers hold that break, upside extension toward $285 is the first objective, with a continuation push into the $303–$305 area aligning with the recent measured move and psychological magnet. In this scenario, shallow retests of $270.91 turning into support would reinforce the trend.
If $270.91 rejects, expect digestion or a deeper fade before another attempt. A cooling phase could trap price between roughly $265–$270; a heavier unwind risks a drive toward $245 and even $225 if profit-taking accelerates. The bullish idea is invalidated on a daily close back below $185.00, which would mark a clear character change and open room for a broader correction toward the rising 20-day MA ($181.91).
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
1 Little-Known USDJPY Long Trigger That Actually WorksLadies and gentlemen, USDJPY finally broke its daily downtrend upwards. Momentum has completely shifted to uptrend.
Setup and Entry : After breaking the resistance at 154.363 and moving above the 1H shadow—meaning above 154.503—I expect growth to levels 155.874 and continuing to 156.821 for USDJPY.
I strongly recommend placing a stop buy in such conditions above the shadow I mentioned, because it shows that buyers have broken this level, and with the liquidity gathered from sellers, we can have strong upward growth with high momentum.
Exit Plan : If after breaking 154.363 it turns out to be a fakeout and we head back down without going above the shadow at 154.503, our scenario gets canceled, and we'll need to wait for a proper break candle or look at bearish scenarios. For stop loss, if we start the growth from here, a logical stop would be below the 154.060 levels, or if you want to play it safer, below the previous low at 153.871.
Goal : The aim of this position is to capture the continuation of the HWC and the start of the uptrend in MWC (daily), so it's better to use partial profits for early exits to stay aligned with the trend and secure higher R/R ratios.
AUDUSD: Bullish Move From Support 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD will likely bounce from a key intraday/daily support.
A double bottom pattern on that provides a reliable confirmation.
Expect a rise at least to 0.6535
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