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Technical Analysis

Bitcoin Dominance Breaks Out: Altcoins in Danger?🔎 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – 4H Analysis • The 5-wave decline has completed right at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (59.1%), confirming a potential bottom. • A contracting triangle (A–B–C–D–E) has formed and just broke to the upside, coinciding with the breakout of the descending channel. ⸻ 📈 Main Scenario • With this breakout, BTC dominance is entering a new bullish phase. • Next targets: • 60.8% – 61.0% (key Fibonacci resistance + channel top) • If broken, possible extension to 61.4% – 62.0% ⸻ ⚠️ Implications for Altcoins • Rising BTC dominance usually means capital is rotating into Bitcoin → leading to heavy sell-offs in altcoins. • Alt traders should be cautious: this move can trigger a broad correction across the altcoin market. ⸻ 📉 Alternative Scenario • If BTC.D falls back below 59.3%, the breakout may turn into a fakeout, and a retest of lower levels could follow. ⸻ ✅ Conclusion: The breakout above the descending channel is a strong signal of trend reversal. As long as BTC.D stays above 59.3%, the path toward 61%+ is favored. This could mark the beginning of a tough phase for altcoins.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by CryptoPilot
9
EURGBP: Up Move From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇬🇧 Odds are high that EURGBP will continue rising after a test of a major daily support cluster. The price violated a resistance line of an expanding wedge pattern on an hourly time frame, indicating a strong intraday bullish sentiment. Goal - 0.865 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
4
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY $TLT. 📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read on July meeting dissents and tariff/inflation views—rate-cut odds in play. 🛒 Retail Heavyweights: Earnings updates from NYSE:WMT NYSE:HD NYSE:TGT NYSE:LOW NASDAQ:ROST = real-time consumer pulse for AMEX:XRT and broader risk tone. 🏠 Housing Check: Starts/Permits + Existing Home Sales frame construction demand and affordability; watch AMEX:XHB and long rates. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events (ET) 📊 📅 Tue, Aug 19 • Housing Starts & Building Permits (8:30 AM) 📅 Wed, Aug 20 • FOMC Minutes (July meeting) (2:00 PM) 📅 Thu, Aug 21 • Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM) • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM) • S&P Global Flash PMIs (Mfg/Services) (9:45 AM) • Existing Home Sales (Jul) (10:00 AM) • Conference Board Leading Index (10:00 AM) • Jackson Hole Symposium begins (all day; speeches through Sat) 📅 Fri, Aug 22 • No major U.S. releases (focus: Jackson Hole headlines + positioning) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #FOMC #JacksonHole #housing #PMI #retailsales #SPY #SPX #DXY #TLT #XHB #XRT
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Pullback Toward 112k Support On the 3H chart, Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness after failing to hold above the mid-channel resistance. Price action is rolling over, with a clear break of the short-term trendline and rejection at ~118.5k. 🔹 The structure suggests BTC is forming a corrective leg, with the next major liquidity pool resting near 112,000 – 111,500 (highlighted green zone). This level also aligns with: • Prior demand block & consolidation base • Lower boundary of the short-term channel • Key Fibonacci retracement cluster If buyers fail to defend this zone, we could see acceleration toward the deeper supports around 109k. 📊 Scenario Path (Orange Projection): • Short-term consolidation under 118k • Breakdown continuation toward 114.5k (intermediate support) • Final sweep into 112k liquidity zone before any strong rebound attempt ⚠️ Risk factors: • A reclaim of 121.5k invalidates the bearish scenario and opens the door to retesting 125k. • Watch funding rates & BTC.D — a sudden risk-off move in alts could accelerate the drop. 🎯 Trading Outlook (Not Financial Advice): • Short bias while below 118.5k–121.5k • Main target: 112k • Tight stops required due to volatility
Short
by CryptoPilot
1
GBP/NZD POTENTIONAL SHORT OPPORTUNITYThis is an idea for GBPNZD's potential short opportunity based on what the technicals indicate. The trend has been emphasising its bullish approach for almost three years. Price respected almost 11 times due to the strong resistance within 150 days between 2.265 & 2.275 and bounced off bullish OB on the daily chart and FVG on the weekly chart. An institutional sharp decline on the weekly chart, followed by a clear wedge, can support a further drop once swept by bearish daily OB. A breakout to the micro wedge (orange) within a macro wedge can also help further down move. Given that a bearish pin bar followed by a bearish doji is a strong warning signal of potential reversal or bearish continuation that appears inside the micro wedge. TP1 is considered the first support at the bottom, where the daily OB and the weekly FVG meet at around 2.22000 or the area close to the trendline. If the price breaks through the trendline, TP2 and TP3 will be expected to be achieved. TP2 may be located at the micro accumulation around 2.20000, and TP3 at the following major support around 2.15000-2.17000 that previously acted as both support and resistance. Good luck and have a great weekend.
Short
by AmirZary
2
USDJPY Sell Setup – Watching 147.600 Key Zone Next WeekHey Traders, In the coming week, I’m monitoring USDJPY for a potential sell opportunity near 147.600. Trend: Still in a clear downtrend. Current move: Price is correcting upward into resistance. Key level: 147.600 – a major support-turned-resistance area. If price rejects this zone with confirmation, it could resume the bearish move. I’ll be looking for signs of weakness (candlestick rejection, momentum shift) before entering. What do you think? Will USDJPY hold below 147.600 or push higher first? Trade safe, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
6
XAUUSD – Double Tap or Deeper Correction?Idea Breakdown: Gold just gave us a textbook double-tap at the key 1,910–1,912 demand zone. This level aligns with the 61.8% retracement from the most recent bullish impulse. The long wicks on the daily suggest strong rejection by buyers. As long as price holds above 1,910, this looks like a potential launch pad for another leg up. Next resistance sits around 1,943, and above that, we’re eyeing 1,966 and 1,984. Plan: • Look for bullish price action on the lower timeframes (1H–4H) confirming the double tap • Conservative entry: on a retest of 1,912 • Aggressive entry: break and hold above 1,943 • Invalidation: Clean daily close below 1,898 Structure: • Daily double tap at the 1,910–1,912 level • Strong bullish wick rejection • Reaction from 61.8% Fibonacci retracement • In line with overall bullish market structure Key Zones: • Support: 1,910–1,912 (wick rejections + Fib confluence) • Resistance: 1,943 • Breakout target: 1,966 and 1,984 • Invalid if we break below: 1,898
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by AutoMarkets
USDCAD: More Growth is Coming Next Week 🇺🇸🇨🇦 There is a high chance that USDCAD will continue rising next week. The market closed in a very bullish sentiment, nicely respecting a recently broken horizontal resistance and closing above that. The next strong resistance is 1.3852 It will be the next goal for the buyers. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
4
NAS100 4H Channel: Bounce or Breakdown?NASDAQ100 has been trending within a clean ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. We’re now sitting at a crucial decision point — the midline and horizontal support around 23,670. This zone has historically acted as a strong S/R pivot. If price holds, we could see another bullish bounce toward 24,000+. But if it breaks and closes below, we may get a clean drop toward the bottom of the channel — with 23,200 and 22,663 as targets. Plan: • Wait for a 4H close above or below the 23,670 level • Bullish scenario: Bounce toward upper channel (~24,300) • Bearish scenario: Drop to lower channel boundary with incremental TP levels Structure: • 4H rising channel structure still intact • Price testing midline zone • Horizontal level at ~23,670 adds confluence • No confirmed break of channel yet Key Zones: • Support: 23,670 (midline + structure support) • Bullish flip zone: 23,967 • Bearish continuation zones: ‣ 23,200 ‣ 22,994 ‣ 22,663
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by AutoMarkets
Brent Crude Squeeze – Daily Symmetrical Triangle Nears BreakoutBrent Crude has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart since mid-May, following a strong bullish recovery from $58 lows. Price is now approaching the apex of the structure, suggesting a breakout is imminent. We’re still holding above the higher low trendline support, but resistance at $71.00 remains unbroken. A decisive daily candle close outside this triangle will likely set the tone for the next leg. A bullish breakout above $71.15 could expose $75.00 and eventually $82.00 highs. But if bears take control and break below $67.00 support, $64.00 and $58.00 reopen. 📈 Bias: Neutral short term — Waiting for breakout confirmation. Bullish if price breaks and retests above $71.15. Bearish if we lose $67.00 and structure fails.
ICMARKETS:XBRUSD
by AutoMarkets
GBPJPY: Bullish Trend Will Continue 🇬🇧🇯🇵 2 important events these week indicate that GBPJPY will most likely remain bullish. First, the price violated a falling trend line and closed above that, then, we saw a confirmed break of structure BoS and a formation of a new higher high. Bullish sentiment will most likely continue to prevail. Next resistance - 200.6 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market?MINIMA - Technical Analysis. Are we entering a bull market? Hello! I am returning to an analysis of MINIMA. This market is remarkably interesting in both its structure and behavior. Today, I will review the latest structure and place it in the broader context, including the history observed on the Wrapped version. Unfortunately, TradingView does not allow overlaying two charts outside their native ranges, so I will refer to data from both Wrapped and MINIMA. Let’s begin. I do not have formal education in this field. I am self-taught and place strong emphasis on Technical Analysis as the core of my decision-making process. While charts are difficult to read, I think they allow one to infer, to a meaningful extent, the hidden intentions of so-called “Smart Money.” The views below are strictly my own and may be incorrect. This publication does not constitute investment or educational advice as defined by any applicable regulations. I will rely solely on Technical Analysis based on the Wyckoff methodology, VSA, and footprint analysis. Background As background, I use the WMINIMA chart supplemented by current MINIMA quotations. WMINIMA data show periods of distribution and accumulation on the higher timeframe. A key observation for me is the strong breakout around March 2024: price surged sharply and then printed a new, deeper low. The downtrend subsequently stalled at a higher low and transitioned into a range. On the charts, I mark accumulation/distribution structures relevant to the analysis. Technical analysis and interpretation For this study I created a composite view to capture the full history. The composite lacks full volume because WMINIMA does not provide it. For context, one of my archived screenshots shows the last visible candle at roughly 1.4 million in volume; based on bar height I estimate the highest volumes to be around 6 million. pbs.twimg.com I annotate events in line with Wyckoff. In Phase A of accumulation, I label the Selling Climax as “Seller’s Exhaustion,” as in my view the bar structure does not fully match a classic Climax Bar known from VSA; however, the message is the same - significant accumulation. I first consider the highest-order, global structure marked in red. I observe rising volume on the advance that builds what I mark as an Upthrust. The next area of elevated volume begins around July 2024 - a demand response to declining price within the price zone that preceded the breakout. Both high-activity zones are in comparable price areas. I then move to the current MINIMA chart. On MINIMA, I see a local volume spike during the formation of the ATL (all-time low). I also note declining volume on the drop from a local top I labeled an Upthrust - this is a lower-order structure than the red one; I mark it in orange. Following this path leads to the area with the highest volume, which I interpret as Phase C of the orange structure. It is characterized by very high volumes(1W ~50kk to 6kk volume from 1W WMINIMA) and minimal spread. In my view, this indicates strong absorption by smart money - behavior consistent with “Bag Holding” in the Williams/VSA framework - similar to the candle that halted the decline at the ATL. To validate this, I zoom in with a 1-month footprint. The 1-month view shows the last two candles with very large volumes. The three most recent candles all have negative delta, and delta represents a significant share of total volume. The buy/sell relation suggests aggressive, dominant selling. However, price does not fall despite repeated attempts to push it lower. I analyze where volume clusters within one standard deviation. The candles have lower wicks- particularly in June - suggesting a Shakeout. Given the negative delta and the price response, I conclude there is a lack of result relative to the effort: aggressive supply has been absorbed, with the largest market orders printing within a narrow price band. In my interpretation, the orange structure is a lower-tier structure functioning as Phase C of the red, global accumulation. Considering the above, I judge it highly probable that these observations confirm ongoing accumulation. I place particular weight on the footprint: the activity occurred at the right place and time. The asset recorded the highest volumes in its history at what I think is Phase C of the global accumulation. Moreover, the market’s failure to decline under heavy selling reinforces this view. At this stage, I consider the possibility of an accumulation spring that could push price once more lower - potentially below the ATL - taking out the structure; I justify this by the still elevated volumes. I also note prior resistance and consider that a potential shakeout low could terminate around 0.0138 USD. All in all, I think this market is worth monitoring. Confirmation of my thesis would be successful supply tests resolved in favor of the bulls, followed by development consistent with Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) leading to a Sign of Strength (SOS) and a Jump Across the Creek (JAC). Thank you for reading. I wish you good health, effective analyses, and successful trades. CatTheTrader
Long
by CatTheTrader
1
Wkly Market Wrap – Nifty Breaks Losing Streak, Bulls Eye 25,100Nifty closed the week at 24,631, up 270 points from last week’s close, after hitting a high of 24,702 and a low of 24,347. As I highlighted in last week’s outlook, Nifty once again respected my range of 24,800–23,900 to the dot. After five straight weeks of red, we finally saw a green weekly close—a much-needed breather for the bulls. But remember, this is the first pullback after a prolonged downtrend, so sellers are likely to make another attempt to drag the markets lower. 📌 Key levels for next week: Support: 24,300 – If bulls defend this level, we could see a rally toward 25,000–25,100. Resistance: 25,100 – Strong selling pressure likely here. Even if 24,300 breaks, I don’t expect Nifty to slip below 24,200–24,150 this week. 💡 Opportunity Alert: For those who’ve been patiently waiting for a dip to enter, this week could present a good buying window—possibly followed by another opportunity by the second week of September. Have your list of fundamentally strong stocks ready to pounce. Global Cue – S&P 500 on Fire The S&P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high of 6,468, and the momentum suggests it’s on track to test the key Fibonacci level of 6,568. If you’re invested in the US markets, trail your stop-loss to 6,200 to safeguard profits. Bulls are back in the game, but sellers haven’t left the field—next week will be all about who controls the pitch!
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11