GBPUSD: Very Bearish Outlook 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Intraday price action on GBPUSD looks very bearish after a recent
test of a significant daily resistance that we discussed earlier.
The occurrence of a bearish imbalance indicates a highly probable
down movement.
I anticipate a fall at least to 1.3064
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Technical Analysis
US30 Approaches 47,200 Support as Seasonality Favors Bulls!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 47,200 zone. The Dow Jones remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a key support and resistance area at 47,200.
We’d also like to highlight the strong seasonal tendency for equities during this period — historically, November has often provided a tailwind for the Dow as market sentiment improves ahead of year-end.
Watching closely for a potential bullish trigger at support.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Silver (XAGUSD) 4H – Potential Ending Diagonal in C of (B)Price action in the 4H chart for Silver suggests we’re nearing the completion of a possible zigzag, with wave C possibly building out a clear ending diagonal (wedge) in the final leg of (B). This aligns with classic Elliott Wave behaviour, where a wedge pattern often signals the conclusion of a strong corrective rally before a significant reversal or new trend begins.
The current rally is testing both the upper parallel and key Fibonacci zones (0.618/0.764).
Watch for breakdown triggers below wedge support, which would confirm the reversal and set up a new bearish sequence.
If price keeps grinding higher within the wedge, further subdivisions may occur before wave C/B finally tops.
What’s your view on this structure? Do you expect a deeper reversal or more upside first? Share your ideas below!
The Power of One Setup: Variety Kills ConsistencyMost traders chase new strategies, indicators, and secret signals. Progress rarely comes from adding more. It comes from mastering one thing deeply.
The fastest path to consistency is one setup traded a thousand times, until execution becomes automatic.
Every setup has a rhythm. Market conditions, timing, management. When you rotate through styles, you reset the learning curve repeatedly.
Specialization compresses uncertainty. You see the same context, the same triggers, the same mistakes, which tightens execution and accelerates feedback.
Switching setups leads to inconsistent entries, inconsistent risk, and mixed data. You cannot tell what actually works because the sample is polluted.
Professionals remove variables. They keep the market changing while the method stays constant.
Turn the setup into a rulebook.
• Market conditions: trend, range, volatility threshold, session.
• Structure: levels, pattern shape, invalidation logic.
• Entry: trigger candle, confirmation, timing window.
• Risk: stop location, size per trade, max daily loss.
• Management: partials, move to break even, trail or fixed target.
Mastery does not come from more information. It comes from repetition and refinement.
You do not need more strategies. You need fewer distractions.
NBIS Bearish Setup?NBIS spent most of 2025 trending higher, but the tone flipped after late-October’s peak. Price sliced below the 20- and 60-day MAs and is now pressing a critical demand zone at 101.91–99.80 (neckline/MA60 vicinity). A clear Double Top at 135.00 caps the structure, while MACD momentum is decisively negative and Bollinger Bands are opening—classic fuel for continuation if support gives way.
Primary path: a daily close beneath 99.80—and especially <97.00—confirms the breakdown and activates the double-top objective. That opens 95.00 first, then the 90.00–88.00 support zone, with an extension risk toward 82.00 on a measured move. Any weak bounce that stalls under 110.00 keeps sellers in control. For risk control on shorts, an invalidation is a daily close back above 115.50 (reclaiming the 20-day and negating the breakdown).
Alternative: if buyers defend 99.80–102.22 and price reclaims 115.50, that would suggest a failed breakdown. In that case, squeeze pressure can unwind higher toward 112.00–120.00, with 135.00 the larger supply to watch. Bulls are only back in charge on a sustained hold above 115.50; lose 99.80 on a closing basis and the bearish thesis remains the higher-probability track.
Thought of the Day 💡
At turning points, clarity comes from behavior at the line in the sand. Trade the confirmation, not the hope.
This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations
GBPJPY Long Trigger That Nobody Talks AboutGBPJPY in the 15-min timeframe, after the previous two legs of the 4H uptrend, has now formed a range where breaking it upwards could reactivate the next MWC uptrend wave.
Setup and Entry: You can set a stop buy above 203.268, or you can wait for a breakout candle above 203.237.
Exit Plan: We're taking this position for the continuation of the HWC and restarting the MWC uptrend, so it's better to hold it longer—use partial profits to your advantage. The first resistance will be around 204.203, with daily resistance at 204.810. But definitely close 35% of the position at an R/R of 2, so that if you hit your stop loss, you at least break even.
Goal: Aligning with the drop in JPYX in the 4H timeframe and riding along with the MWC uptrend wave of GBPJPY.
EURNZD: Major Demand Zone Ahead 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD has recently set a new higher high higher close on a daily
breaking a significant horizontal resistance cluster.
We see a retracement now.
The price is entering an important demand zone that is based
on a strong rising trend line and a broken structure.
With a high probability, the price will grow from that
and reach 2.07 level.
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Market Outlook | GU, UJ & Gold Analysis | Nov 10–14In this video, we unpack how structure, sentiment, and events shaped last week’s price action across GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (Gold) and what these clues reveal about where the market might head next.
The video highlights how the market reacted to the quiet U.S. week caused by the government shutdown, and how traders positioned themselves ahead of the major data coming up, from UK employment and GDP figures to U.S. CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales.
You’ll Learn:
✅Why each market moved the way it did last week in simple, clear terms.
✅How I connect fundamental sentiment with real chart structures.
✅Key price zones and levels I am watching in the coming trading week.
✅How I anticipate reactions to upcoming economic data.
Stay till the end for my outlook and mindset tip, and check the comment section throughout the week for real-time updates as I monitor price action.
Timestamps:
00:01 – Welcome & overview
01:35 – GBP/USD breakdown
06:55 – USD/JPY analysis
11:05 – XAU/USD (Gold) insights
14:05 – Closing outlook & mindset
⚠️ This isn’t a signal service; it’s my personal trading map, shared to help you think and trade smarter.
Indian Oil: Tight Range Breakout | Short-Term Swing TradeBUY Setup 🛢️
Entry: ₹166.25-166.50 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹170.05-170.50
Target 2: ₹173.59-174.00
Target 3: ₹176-178 (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹163.85
Technical Rationale:
Consolidating near resistance at 166.99 level on 1-hour chart
Strong uptrend from 161 to 167 in recent sessions
Trading in tight range (166-167) - coiling for breakout
Volume at 4.95M showing decent participation
RSI around 65-70 zone indicating strength
Price holding above key support at 163.85
PSU oil marketing company with government backing
Crude oil prices stabilizing supporting sector
Multiple resistance levels: 167, 170, 173.59
Clear support structure at 163.85 and 162
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3+ ratio
Pattern: Ascending channel + consolidation near resistance on 1H chart - breakout setup
Strategy: Intraday to short-term swing - Book 40% at T1 (170), 30% at T2 (173.50), trail remaining with SL at 167 after T1
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 166.99-167.00 (breakout zone)
Strong Resistance: 170.05, 173.59
Critical Support: 163.85, 162.00
Timeframe: 1-hour chart for short-term traders
Sector: Oil & Gas PSU - relatively stable with dividend yield
Note: Stock at resistance - wait for break above 167 with volume for confirmation, or enter at current support with tight SL
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Sweep & Smart Reentry ZoneAfter a strong impulsive rally, gold reached the premium zone (1.5–1.618 extension) and created a set of Equal Highs (BSL) — a clear liquidity pool above 4148.
I’m anticipating a short-term retracement before continuation, as smart money often rebalances after grabbing liquidity.
🔹 Technical Breakdown (SMC Flow)
Sell Zone (Supply / OB): 4224 – 4228 (SL 4235)
→ Price reached the extreme of a premium H1 OB, aligning with FIB 1.5–1.618.
→ This area remains a valid sell-to-buy reaction zone if M15 shows a CHoCH.
Buy Zone (Demand / OB): 4086 – 4082 (SL 4070)
→ Confluence with 0.5–0.618 retracement and previous structure base.
→ Expecting sell-side liquidity sweep into this zone before a bullish continuation.
Target Zone: 4158 – 4160
→ The next Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above Equal Highs.
→ Ideal take-profit area for intraday longs from discount levels.
📈 My View
The bias remains bullish on H1, as long as 4070 holds.
I’ll patiently wait for a liquidity sweep into BUY zone followed by a clear M15 CHoCH confirmation — that’s where I’ll look for entries toward 4158–4160.
💭 Note from Karina
This structure perfectly reflects how liquidity drives movement — not emotion, not indicators.
Patience and precision are the true edge of a trader.
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice.
Like & Follow for daily London session updates 💛
BHARATFORG Breaking Out | Targets 1,400+BUY Setup 🔨
Entry: ₹1,300-1,305 (Current Level)
Target 1: ₹1,330-1,340
Target 2: ₹1,365-1,375
Target 3: ₹1,400+ (Extended)
Stop Loss: ₹1,275
Technical Rationale:
Strong bullish momentum with +4.56% gain today
Breaking above major descending trendline resistance (visible from June highs)
Consolidation breakout from 1,265-1,285 range
Good volume (3.45M) supporting the breakout
RSI around 65, showing strength with room for further upside
Price attempting to cross key resistance at 1,300 psychological level
Falling wedge pattern breakout - typically bullish
Auto sector strength supporting the move
Support established at 1,280 zone
Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:3 ratio
Pattern: Descending wedge breakout - classic bullish reversal pattern
Strategy: Positional trade - Book 40% at T1 (1,335), 30% at T2 (1,370), trail remaining with SL at 1,310 after T1
Key Levels:
Strong Resistance: 1,310, 1,340, 1,365
Support: 1,280, 1,265
$SPY $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
💬 Fed marathon day: Six Fed officials speak across the day, led by Williams, Waller, and Bostic — giving markets multiple reads on the Fed’s reaction to soft labor data and upcoming inflation prints.
📉 Policy sensitivity rising: With no major macro releases this week, investors are hypersensitive to tone shifts in Fed commentary — especially regarding rate-cut timing and balance sheet guidance.
🧩 Positioning churn: After a light Tuesday session, liquidity normalizes as equities digest global risk appetite and pre-CPI setups.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
⏰ 9:20 AM — John Williams (NY Fed)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Anna Paulson (Philadelphia Fed)
⏰ 10:20 AM — Chris Waller (Fed Governor)
⏰ 12:15 PM — Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed)
⏰ 12:30 PM — Stephen Miran (Fed Governor)
⏰ 4:00 PM — Susan Collins (Boston Fed)
⚠️ Note:
No economic data releases today — markets will key off Fed tone and Treasury yield movement ahead of Thursday’s CPI and jobless claims (both still at risk of delay).
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #trading #Fed #Williams #Waller #Bostic #Miran #Collins #macro #inflation #yields #markets
RIVN 1D — It’s Time to Buy: Setup UpdateThe setup on Rivian (RIVN) just got upgraded from “interesting” to “strategically significant.” We’re looking at a textbook symmetrical triangle that’s been developing since July 2023, with a clean breakout and retest on the weekly trendline.
The breakout was followed by a bullish retest, right at the intersection of the triangle base and the key trendline. Volume kicked in, price held — and that’s what smart money calls confirmation.
Now, the Golden Cross is live: the 50-day MA just crossed the 200-day MA from below. Price is confidently holding above both — momentum is shifting hard. Fibs from the bottom (10.22) to the last local top (17.05) project the first target at $17, and the extended Fibonacci confluence gives us $25.64 as a long-range goal (2.618 extension).
The weekly trendline — which acted as resistance for over a year — has flipped to support. Price action respects it, bulls are loading, and structure is clean.
This is not just a bounce. It’s a technical rotation from accumulation to expansion.
The time to talk about potential is over — price action has spoken.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(12/11/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap up near the 58,150–58,200 zone, showing early bullish momentum after a steady recovery in the previous sessions. The index is approaching a key resistance area around 58,050–58,100, where a breakout could trigger further upside.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,050–58,100, traders can look for buying opportunities targeting 58,250, 58,350, and 58,450+. A breakout above 58,550 will open the path toward 58,850–59,000, marking a continuation of the uptrend.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 57,950, and below that, 57,750–57,550 acts as a strong intraday demand zone. Weakness below 57,900 could lead to mild profit booking.
Overall, with a positive gap up opening, sentiment remains bullish, but traders should watch for sustained strength above 58,100 to confirm momentum continuation. Partial profit booking at each target and strict stop-loss management are advised as volatility may rise around higher resistance zones.
Gold Consolidating Above 4,110$: The Next Wave Is Loading📊 Technical Overview (H1)
Gold is holding firm around the 4,110$ zone, where a clear liquidity pocket has formed after a short-term correction from last week’s rally. The market continues to build a higher-low structure, showing that bulls are quietly absorbing supply before the next impulsive leg.
Price is currently balancing between support at 4,085$ – 4,113$ and resistance at 4,146$ – 4,172$.
A clean break above 4,146$ could trigger the next bullish leg targeting 4,203$, while a temporary dip toward 4,085$ would still remain within the bullish structure.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch:
• Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 4,113$, expect a breakout toward 4,172$ → 4,203$.
• Pullback Scenario: A retest to 4,085$ could act as a liquidity sweep before continuation.
🧠 MMFLOW Insight
“Smart Money doesn’t chase momentum — it builds it. The current range is the calm before the next move.”
⚜️ Bias: Bullish as long as price stays above 4,085$
BTCUSDT – Holding Steady, Signs of Recovery AheadBitcoin remains stable around $106,000, despite profit-taking pressure from ETF funds. Market optimism surrounding the potential reopening of the U.S. government and a cooling U.S. Dollar Index are providing solid support for overall sentiment.
On the 4H timeframe, price continues to fluctuate within a steady descending channel, with $107,200 acting as a strong resistance zone, while $101,300 serves as a key support level.
Each touch at the channel’s lower boundary has triggered a clear buying reaction, signaling that bulls are quietly defending the lower price range.
The current structure suggests that Bitcoin may experience a mild pullback before rebounding, continuing to move within the channel but with a slightly bullish bias.
As long as the $101,300 level holds firm, the mild upward trend remains intact — representing a typical accumulation phase before a potential breakout from the descending channel in the upcoming sessions.
SPX – Recovery Momentum Gradually ReturningThe U.S. stock market is regaining its upward rhythm after a period of correction, as investor sentiment improves notably on hopes that the U.S. government shutdown will soon end .
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index has stalled and bond yields have slightly declined , creating favorable conditions for capital to return to large-cap equities.
On the 4H chart, SPX maintains a steady ascending channel structure , and the sharp rebound from the 6,800 zone signals that buyers are regaining control.
The current setup suggests the index could continue rising toward the 7,000 level, before a minor technical pullback — a healthy move to build momentum for the next leg higher toward the upper boundary of the channel.
With market sentiment turning increasingly positive , supported by bullish forecasts from major institutions like UBS (targeting S&P 500 at 7,500 by 2026), the short-term bullish bias for SPX remains intact.
As long as 6,800 holds firm, the uptrend structure stays valid, reflecting growing confidence that the U.S. market recovery cycle is far from over.
$RSP:TIME TO TAKE THE STAGEMoving forward, it will be essential to monitor the strength of the Equal Weight SP:SPX ETF. For the market to maintain its upward trend, broad participation is necessary. While bears may perceive a Double Top pattern, I see that the MACD is close to triggering a buy signal, and the 14-day RSI has recovered above the 50 line.
$SPX: DIP BUYNG IS THE RULE FOR NOW The strategy of buying on dips has proven effective once again, underscoring the current strength of the market. The 10- and 20-day moving averages are no longer relevant as support or resistance levels; instead, their slopes indicate the short-term trend. We will focus on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA), which remains in a positive slope. The key moving average for maintaining the upward trend is the 50-day SMA. The S&P 500 has easily recovered above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and is just 73 points away from its all-time high; it appears quite feasible to set a new record.
However, there is a slight concern regarding the technology sector, which seems to be carrying more weight in the market. If the end of the shutdown is indeed approaching, the uncertainty will likely conclude with the release of economic data. Therefore, given this display of market strength, a wait-and-see approach may develop, which could lead to sideways trading—a situation that could be quite frustrating.
How to Apply Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) | Crypto TAHow to Apply Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) | Crypto Technical Analysis
In this video, we break down how to draw and use Quarter’s Theory on Cardano (ADA) to understand market structure and price rotation in crypto.
You’ll learn how institutional traders use quarter levels to identify key turning points and why this method can help you see precision entries long before retail traders react.
Whether you’re trading spot or futures, this breakdown gives you a practical framework to read crypto price movement like a professional.
What You’ll Learn:
How to draw Quarter’s Theory levels on a crypto chart
Why market makers respect these levels across all timeframes
How to use quarter zones for entries, exits, and managing bias
Real example using ADA/USD
If you’re ready to stop guessing and start reading the market’s geometry, this is where to begin.
Tags: quarters theory, cardano analysis, crypto trading strategy, institutional trading concepts, market structure crypto
XAU/USD | Watch Gold at $4100 – Pullback or Continuation Ahead?By analyzing the Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price dropped from $3997 to $3984, then quickly found strong demand and started a powerful rally, breaking the $4040 resistance.
At the moment, Gold has reached the $4100 zone. A short-term pullback from this level is likely, but after a brief correction, I expect the uptrend to continue. The next bullish targets are $4140, $4156, and $4162.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
ZECUSDT - Testing Support For Potential Relief BouncePrice is reacting to a strong demand zone after forming an M-top pattern on the higher timeframe. Watching for a short-term relief move toward the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels (around 470–490) before deciding whether this becomes a full reversal or just a retest.
If the 450 level holds, continuation to 520–540 is possible. If 450 breaks cleanly, I’ll look for a deeper long setup near 399–371.
Stop loss for the short-term long is below 450.
GBP/USD | Pound Eyes 1.32 After Breaking Key Level!By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after climbing to 1.31900, the pair has entered a new bullish scenario and is now trading around 1.31700.
I expect to see a minor pullback first, after which we’ll need to see if the price can hold above 1.31500 — if it does, we can anticipate further upside movement.
The first target for this potential rise is 1.31980.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















