USDJPYas i live in japan but not much as i trade on this pair, here is what i see potentional move aftre brinking the resistent or support, can catch up the trend follow.
the line may make youu clear image, this analysis is base on weekly frame to 4H
weekly low.
weekly high
leave your comment or any qustion in the comment.
Technical Analysis
BTC/USD Weekend War Map• Weekly sStructure single-prints filled ✅
• Retracing toward key stop zones 114,915 & 113,730
• Hourly range = chop, order-flow weak → no fresh longs
• Vol-midline = profit-taking pivot
Weekend algos have been ruthless lately—another wave lower tonight or Sunday session isn’t off the table.
Saturday scalpers: stay alert , stops tight.
GRAB 1W: Two Years of Silence — One Loud BreakoutGRAB 1W: When stocks go quiet for two years just to slap bears across both cheeks
The weekly chart of GRAB shows a textbook long-term accumulation. After spending nearly two years in a range between $2.88 and $4.64, the price is finally compressing into a symmetrical triangle. We’ve already seen a breakout of the descending trendline, a bullish retest, and the golden cross between MA50 and MA200. Volume is rising, and the visible profile shows clear demand with little resistance overhead.
The $4.31–$4.64 zone is key. Holding this level opens the path to $5.73 (1.0 Fibo), $6.51 (1.272), and $7.50 (1.618). The structure is clean, momentum is building, and this accumulation doesn’t smell like retail — it smells institutional.
Fundamentally, GRAB is a leading Southeast Asian tech platform combining ride-hailing, delivery, fintech, and financial services. Yes, it’s still unprofitable (–$485M net loss in 2024), but revenue is growing fast, recently crossing $2.3B. Adjusted EBITDA has been improving steadily, and the company holds $5.5B in cash equivalents with minimal debt — giving it excellent liquidity and expansion flexibility.
Valued at ~$18B, GRAB operates in the world’s fastest-growing digital market, with increasing institutional exposure from players like SoftBank and BlackRock. The 2-year base hints at smart money preparing for the next big move.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: by market
— Targets: $5.73 → $6.51 → $7.50
— Stop: below $4.00 or trendline
If a stock sleeps for 2 years and forms a golden cross — it’s not snoring, it’s preparing for liftoff. The only thing left? Don’t blink when it moves.
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Weekly Plan🔎 Captain’s Log – Context
📈 Main Trend : Strong uptrend after BoS.
📊 Price moving sideways within the rising channel, staying below Weak High 3674 .
📌 EMA 50 > EMA 200 → bullish trend remains solid.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Golden Harbor (BUY – Main Priority)
🎯 Entry:
FVG Dock: 3602 – 3593
FVG Deep: 3567 – 3560
OB Harbor: 3535 – 3540
⛔ SL: below 3520
✅ TP1: 3674 (sweep Weak High)
✅ TP2: 3720 – 3740
2️⃣ Quick Boarding (Short-term SELL – Counter-trend)
Condition: If price breaks 3674 first → watch for false break.
🎯 Entry: 3670 – 3680
✅ TP: back to 3602 – 3567
⚠️ Note : scalp only, don’t hold long.
3️⃣ Storm Breaker Alert (Bearish Scenario)
If 3535 breaks → short-term uptrend invalidated.
🎯 Bearish target: 3480 – 3500
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The golden sail still catches the wind after BoS, leading the captain and crew on the bullish tide. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3593 – 3560 – 3535) remains the preferred docking point to load cargo and continue the voyage. Quick Boarding 🚤 at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3670 – 3680) is only a short ride when the ship sweeps liquidity at Weak High 3674 . Should 3535 break, the ship might be dragged toward 3480 – 3500, but as long as it anchors at Golden Harbor, the grand journey still heads north toward 3720+.”
DAMUSDT: Long setup from daily resistance at 0.08568The level is formed by an anomalously large bar from 09.09. Its strength is confirmed by the price stopping just below it on the local timeframe and entering a consolidation. I expect minimal volatility before the level and a continuation of the consolidation. If the consolidation is short, a strong breakout may not occur, resulting in a false breakout.
Scenario:
Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level
Volatility contraction on approach
Immediate retest
Prolonged consolidation
Repeated precise tests of the level
Consolidation with price compression
Do not open a trade if the scenario does not play out.
Do not open a trade solely because the price is crossing a key level, even if it is very strong. Pay attention to how the price crosses the level.
The Trader's House
Ethereum at a Critical Resistance Zone – Will $4,800 Hold or Bre📝 Analysis:
Ethereum (ETH/USDT, 4H) is testing a critical resistance zone at $4,700–$4,800, where several technical factors converge:
1. Descending Channel:
Price is touching the upper boundary of the long-term descending channel.
2. Fibonacci Extension:
The recent rally has reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (~$4,720), which often acts as a potential reversal zone.
3. Resistance Cluster:
The $4,700–$4,800 area combines both static resistance and the channel top, making it a high-risk region for buyers.
4. Wave Structure:
The strong rally from ~$4,050 could be part of a corrective wave (possibly Wave D). If ETH fails here, we may see a sharp pullback.
⸻
📊 Scenarios:
🔸 Bearish Case (more likely):
Rejection from $4,720–$4,800 could trigger a correction toward:
• First support: $4,580–$4,600
• Key support: $4,100–$4,200
🔸 Bullish Case (conditional):
A daily close above $4,800 would confirm a breakout from the channel, opening the door for targets at:
• $4,950–$5,000
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
ETH is at a make-or-break level. Failure to hold above $4,800 could bring a strong correction, but a confirmed breakout may fuel a run toward $5,000.
NZDUSD Pullback Toward 0.59300 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around the 0.59300 zone. The pair is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, though price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 0.59300 — an important area where buyers may look to step in and resume the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Broader USD weakness and improving risk sentiment continue to favor commodity-linked currencies like NZD, making this level one to watch closely.
Trade safe,
Joe.
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis
🌟🚀 As we said earlier #BTC moved around 5%. Right now we would see a little retest and then a bullish movement will be seen soon
🔖 Current Price: $1,15,858
⏳ Target Price: $1,21,713
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#MKR #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
XAUUSD3 week continue long on gold after breaking 3500 , it took 3 month around , are we looking for 4000 coming within this month? is gold short or keep up trend.? i am sure everyone have this question in mind.
i have drawed line to understand what could happend as it is an analysis base on education, every price need to be confirmed after breakout and retested with rejection,,, and it take time to predict the direction of the market.
i had a great 3 week. how about you leave your thoughts in the comment.
XAUUSD | FED leaning toward 50bps cut? |Buy strategy at support XAU/USD – 12/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
Probability of a -50bps FED cut next week has risen to 10.9% (from 8%), while the -25bps scenario remains almost certain.
US Jobless Claims surged unexpectedly → reflecting labor market weakness, reinforcing expectations of FED easing.
Tonight (21:00): release of University of Michigan Sentiment & Inflation Expectations (1Y–5Y) – data that could further impact the Dollar.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Dollar weakness + declining bond yields = Gold remains supported to the upside. However, short-term corrections may appear before breaking higher.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Weak High: 3675 – 3677 (psychological barrier)
Peak Zone: 3676 – 3680 (retest highs, possible short-term reversal)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
OB Dock: 3636 – 3638
Deep Harbor: 3621 – 3623
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold has created multiple BoS and formed Equal Highs (EqH) around 3645 – 3650.
An FVG appeared → signal that liquidity gap may need filling before continuation.
Preferred scenario: pullback to 3636 or deeper 3621 , then rebound toward 3675 – 3680.
Break above 3680 → potential expansion toward a new ATH above 3700 .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority with trend)
Buy OB: 3636 – 3638 | SL: 3628 | TP: 3645 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 36xx
Deep Buy Zone: 3621 – 3623 | SL: 3612 | TP: 3640 – 3655 – 3665 – 3675 – 368x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone: 3675 – 3677 | SL: 3684 | TP: 3665 – 3655 – 3645 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The dovish wind from the FED continues to carry the Golden sails forward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3636 – 3621) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before the next voyage. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3675 – 3680) may raise strong waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main journey still points north. If 3680 is broken, the Golden ship will expand its voyage toward new peaks above 3700.”
MSTR Long Setup at $320 Support — Targets Up to $455MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR is trading at a critical support zone between $320 – $325. This area has historically attracted buyers, and with price consolidating at the lows, we’re eyeing a potential spot long entry if support holds.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $320 – $325
• Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $360 – $390
🥈 $420 – $455
• Stop Loss: Just below $315
#MSTR #MicroStrategy #Stocks #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
#SupportZone #StockWatchlist #PriceAction
#SwingTrade #LongSetup #MarketAnalysis
Gold Analysis – Is the Correction Over?Yesterday I maintained my bias that OANDA:XAUUSD correction could extend lower, with 3570 as the focus for the next swing low. I even sold rallies above 3640 zone with that scenario in mind.
However, after the CPI release, Gold dipped to 3620 zone but quickly recovered. That prompted me to lock in a modest 100 pips gain rather than fight the market.
A wise move in hindsight, since Gold is now back testing the 3650+ resistance zone.
So, is the correction finished?
➡️ Most probably, yes.
Here’s why:
• Bulls are defending the 3620 zone, stepping in strongly on dips.
• The chart is shaping into a rectangle, typically a continuation pattern, which suggests consolidation before trend resumption.
• Momentum is aligning again with the broader bullish trend.
Trading Plan:
• As long as 3620 holds, my strategy shifts to buying dips instead of selling rallies.
• A break above 3660 would open the path for continuation, with 3700 as the next bullish milestone.
The market has spoken – the correction seems to be losing steam, and the trend is ready to reassert itself. 🚀
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): To the New Highs
Dow updated the all time high again yesterday.
A broken structure and a solid rising trend line will compose
a significant contracting demand zone from where I will look for buying.
The next resistance will be 46350.
Wait for a retracement first, and anticipate more growth then.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Aarti Industries at Solid Base – Potential Upside Loading!!Aarti Industries – Weekly Chart Update
Chart Pattern: Stock is trading within a shorter-timeframe parallel channel.
Support Zone: Strong support observed near ₹370 – ₹380 levels.
RSI Indicator: RSI is also taking support and moving upward, indicating positive momentum.
Trend Outlook: If this support zone sustains, the stock is likely to move into an uptrend.
Price Projection: Potential for higher levels at 500-521 in Aarti Industries.
Thank you!
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USD If you’ve ever stared at a Bitcoin chart and thought, “ This looks like chaos ”, Ralph Nelson Elliott might disagree with you. Back in the 1930s, Elliott proposed that markets aren’t just random squiggles — they actually move in recognizable rhythms. This became known as Elliott Wave Theory .
So, what is Elliott Wave Theory? In the simplest terms, it’s the idea that market psychology unfolds in waves: five steps forward, three steps back, repeat. Not every chart follows it perfectly, but when you see it play out, it feels like spotting order in the middle of crypto madness.
⚠️ Before we dive in: remember, no single tool or pattern works alone. Elliott wave trading is most useful when combined with other methods.
The Elliott Wave Principle
At the heart of the Elliott Wave principle are two phases:
Impulse Waves (5 waves) : Markets advance in five moves — three with the trend, two counter-trend. This is when optimism snowballs.
Corrective Waves (3 waves) : The market cools off in three moves. Usually messy, choppy, and fueled by doubt.
Put them together, and you get a “5-3“ structure that repeats at different scales. That’s what gives Elliott Wave its fractal character. Again, don’t treat this as a crystal ball. Elliott Wave Theory rules are guidelines, not guarantees. Real-world Bitcoin charts bend, stretch, and sometimes ignore them altogether.
Elliott Wave Theory Explained with BTC
Let’s use an example: Bitcoin’s rally from early 2025 till now .
This downturn marked the first step in a broader consolidation, signaling that momentum was beginning to fade.
The corrective sequence unfolded in a classic A-B-C structure.
❗This three-part move effectively reset the market, washing out excess leverage and preparing the ground for the next impulsive cycle.
From that low, Bitcoin launched into a textbook five-wave impulsive rally.
This initial leg down, labeled wave (a), suggested that a larger corrective phase was now underway, replacing the bullish momentum with profit-taking and distribution.
That’s a textbook case of Bitcoin Elliott wave analysis . But notice: it wasn’t clean. Some traders counted the waves differently. Some saw extensions or truncations. That’s the thing with Elliott — interpretation matters as much as the rules.
Elliott Wave Theory Rules and Flexibility
The classic Elliott wave rules say things like: Wave 2 can’t retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest impulse wave. Wave 4 can’t overlap with Wave 1 in most cases.
But in practice, Bitcoin often blurs these lines. Extreme volatility, liquidation cascades, and macro shocks can distort wave counts. That’s why even seasoned analysts will say, “This is my Elliott count,” not the Elliott count.
The takeaway? Think of Elliott as a lens, not a lawbook.
Tools That Pair with Elliott
Many traders use the MT5 Elliott Wave Indicator or TradingView drawing tools to sketch their wave counts. Despite the waves becoming far more meaningful when tied to other signals:
Fibonacci Retracements: For example, watching how corrections line up with golden pocket levels. Momentum Oscillators: That confirm or contradict the wave structure. Macro Sentiment: Shifts that often align with corrective or impulsive phases.
Elliott Wave Theory trading doesn’t exist in a vacuum. Used alone, it’s like trying to predict the weather with just cloud shapes.
Why Beginners Should Care
If you’re new, you might be asking: “ Okay, but why bother with this at all? ” The answer: Elliott Wave Theory explained the psychology behind price swings long before the existence of cryptocurrency. It captures the human emotions behind markets — fear, greed, doubt, euphoria. And Bitcoin, perhaps more than any other asset, runs on psychology.
So whether you’re sketching waves, testing them on the Bitcoin Elliott wave chart , or just trying to understand why BTC always seems to surge then collapse, this framework helps put the chaos into context.
Final Thoughts 🌊
What is Elliott Wave Theory in trading? It’s not a magic formula. It’s a structured way of looking at markets through recurring patterns of optimism and pessimism.
And just like with every other tool we’ve discussed, it’s not about using it alone. The best insights come when you combine the Elliott Wave principle with other indicators: Fibonacci, moving averages, and even plain old support and resistance.
So the next time someone posts a “ wave count ” on a Bitcoin Elliott Wave analysis, don’t take it as gospel. Treat it as one possible map of where we are in the cycle. Because in trading, it’s never about certainty. It’s about perspective.
This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
XAUUSD – Gold Eyes 3,700 Psychological LevelThe latest data shows U.S. jobless claims reached 263k, much higher than the forecast of 235k. This immediately pressured the USD while boosting gold as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the University of Michigan’s preliminary report on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations came out relatively stable, further strengthening gold’s appeal.
Technical Outlook
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD continues to move within a clear uptrend channel. The Price Box around 3,620 is acting as short-term support, while the psychological resistance at 3,700 remains the key barrier. If price sustains its rebound from this box, a breakout toward 3,700 is highly likely.
With the current setup, the uptrend remains dominant, and traders should closely watch the 3,620 – 3,700 zone for opportunities.
SOLUSDT Rallies: Heading Towards New HighsSOL is in a strong uptrend, with the support level at 225.00 USD having been tested and held. The price is currently aiming for 250.00 USD, with technical indicators signaling the continuation of this trend. The clear upward trendline and institutional inflows are strengthening SOL's bullish momentum.
Forecast:
If SOL maintains above the 225.00 USD support, there is a high probability it will continue to rise towards 250.00 USD.
Buy SOL when the price retraces to the 225.00 USD support zone.
Set a stop loss below 220.00 USD to protect your capital.
US Unemployment Claims data came in higher than expected, weakening the USD, which provides favorable conditions for SOL to increase in value. Additionally, Forward Industries completed a 1.65 billion USD fundraising deal to build the Solana Treasury, with participation from Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital, providing a strong boost for the Solana ecosystem.
USDCAD: Pullback Trade From Support 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is going to bounce from a strong intraday horizontal support.
My confirmation signal is a formation of a double bottom pattern
on that and a breakout of its horizontal neckline.
I expect move up to 1.3855
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SOL/USDT – The Powerful Wave Isn’t Over YetSolana is showcasing its strength by holding firmly above the 200 USDT psychological level while also being backed by massive inflows, with open interest hitting record highs. This clearly shows strong market confidence in SOL’s breakout potential.
On the 12H chart, the bullish structure remains crystal clear: price is clinging to the trendline, holding above both the EMA34 and EMA89, and bouncing solidly from support zones. The next key destination the market is eyeing is 223 USDT – a crucial resistance. If broken, Solana could easily open the path to even higher levels.
In short, both news and technicals are in sync: SOL/USDT’s bullish momentum is far from over – in fact, it’s gearing up for an even more impressive breakout.
GOLD POWERS HIGHERThe U.S. dollar has been absorbing heavy flows for weeks, yet gold keeps ripping higher for the fourth straight week—a rare split that tells its own story.
Softening U.S. Data – CPI and retail sales came in lighter, pushing Fed cut expectations higher and weighing on real yields.
Central-Bank Buying – Emerging-market reserve managers continue record gold purchases for diversification.
Safe-Haven Demand – Energy market jitters and ongoing geopolitical tension keep institutional bids under the metal.
Dollar Liquidity Games – Despite dollar absorption, funding markets remain loose enough to support alternative stores of value.
Gold shows no sign of daily-chart weakness. It’s a “buy mode”
Market makers continue to press higher; every small-timeframe dip finds buyers.
My approach: trail stops behind each daily low.
GBP/USD – Short-Term Bearish TrendGBP/USD is currently in a short-term bearish trend after testing the resistance at 1.36000 USD and showing signs of a pullback. If the support at 1.35000 USD is broken, GBP/USD could drop sharply towards 1.34000 USD.
US Unemployment Claims data came in higher than expected, weakening the USD. However, the stability in Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations from UoM is not enough to support GBP.
If the price stays below 1.36000 USD, GBP/USD could continue to decline towards 1.35000 USD, and possibly 1.34000 USD if the support is broken.
Monitor the 1.35000 USD support level closely to determine the next move for GBP/USD.